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Computer Science Research Needs for Parallel Discrete Event Simulation (PDES)

Historically, scientific computing efforts have demonstrated the clear need for, and effective use of, supercomputing with traditional time-stepped simulations. Nevertheless, there are several areas in the mission spaces of the U.S. Department of Energy and other agencies waiting to tap advanced computing research using a different, discrete event style of modeling, simulation, and analysis. These span a wide spectrum of applications including energy grid resilience, urban planning and policy, transportation science, building technologies, emergency response and planning, environmental impact analysis, computational epidemiology, Internet communications, cyber security, and cyber-physical systems, to name only a few. Even within traditional scientific applications, the role of discrete event modes of execution is increasing in the form of new event-based mathematical solvers such as quantized state integration methods and discrete-continuous hybrid system solvers. Co-design of advanced supercomputing hardware systems is another area that exploits discrete event simulation at its core for effective analyses. Complex systems, entity behaviors and interconnections play a significant role in all these applications, which are mapped to large-scale models with discrete event formulations. To make advancements in all the aforementioned scientific areas, many technical aspects need to be more thoroughly studied and deeply understood in parallel discrete event simulation (PDES). The unique dynamics inherent in a discrete event modeling approach, by their very nature, intersect and influence the entire stack of the computing system, including (a) the unique nature of the instruction sets exercised in PDES workloads without a predominance of high-precision floating point operations, (b) virtual time-constrained multi-threaded execution of many logical processes per processor, (c) extremely variable and difficult to predict network traffic characteristics, (d) interfaces and inter-dependencies with machine learning and artificial intelligence codes at higher software layers, and (e) highly challenging load balancing needs, especially in effectively accounting for accelerated/extremely heterogeneous computing in current and future high-performance computing systems. Efficient and accurate parallel execution of PDES workloads is also dominated by challenges in dealing with their asynchronous concurrency fundamentally present at the model level. Conservative synchronization, optimistic/speculative synchronization, and their hybrid schemes open new questions in fundamental computer science with respect to reversibility of computation and prediction (lookahead) of behaviors inherent within model codes. On the implementation front, there are relatively few scalable, general-purpose parallel discrete event simulators in the world, and even fewer have been studied on emerging hardware platforms. To enable scientific advances using PDES, the research needs in computer science must also be pursued and met in the intersection of the algorithmic and hardware-aware aspects of scalable PDES engines. This report is aimed at capturing a computer science-oriented view of this important area of research in PDES, presenting a sample of important applications with their inherent discrete event technology elements. Needs are outlined in core areas of parallel discrete event research as well as cross-cutting directions in computer science research that positively impact scientific advancements across several important application areas. A selection of priority research opportunities in advanced computing for PDES is identified to serve as reference for key research topics and their order of importance for scientific advancements.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Development of Corrosion Resistant Coatings for Structural Materials for Liquid Fueled Molten Salts Reactors Applications (Final Report)

Current structural alloys, code certified for the MSRs temperature ranges, contain high levels of chromium, making them highly susceptible to molten halide salt corrosion. One potential solution to circumvent the need for code certification of novel alloys, which is expensive and time consuming, is to design claddings that will protect the underlying code certified materials from corrosion damage during operation. In this work, we examined the corrosion of Ni and Cu electroplated, Ni and CuNi weld overlay, Mo-laser clad, and carburized claddings on SS316H for use in molten salt reactor environments. After characterization of the cladded materials (Task 1), static corrosion tests were used to assess corrosion resistance of the claddings in typical molten fluoride salts (Task 2). The corrosion tests were performed in molten FLiNaK at 700°C up to 1000 hours. Pre- and post-corrosion Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive-spectroscopy (EDS), Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM), X-ray Diffraction (XRD) and glow-discharge-optical-emission-spectroscopy (GDOES) were performed on cladding cross-sections and surfaces to evaluate degradation. The Cu and Ni electroplated samples, as well as the carburized samples, showed excellent corrosion resistance relative to the bare SS316H. To assess high temperature cladding stability, ageing experiments were performed at temperatures up to 900 C in inert atmosphere for the electroplated and carburized samples and a diffusion model was developed to predict long term cladding behavior (Task 3). It was found that the Cu cladding was basically insensitive to the high temperature ageing, except for small secondary phases forming at the interface. On the other hand, the Ni electroplated cladding experienced significant interdiffusion. Nevertheless, the gain in corrosion resistance for a 100μm Ni electroplated cladding is phenomenal, with more than 50% reduction in chromium dissolution from the substrate material for the first 15 years of salt exposure at 700°C. To assess radiation resistance and phase stability, high-temperature 4MeV Ni heavy ion irradiation was performed across the cladding/substrate interface up to 50 displacement-per-atom (DPA) at 500°C and 700°C to assess the phase stability and irradiation behaviors of the electroplated systems (Task 4). The Ni and Cu electroplated systems did not experience void swelling at the contrary to the SS316H substrate due to their nanocrystalline nature. Some level of recrystallization was observed in the cladding, as well as radiation induced segregation and enhanced diffusion. The interface acted as a potent sink for point defects with the presence of a void denuded zone. The mechanical properties of the claddings were assessed using thermal shock, micro-indentation, nano-indentation, and four-point bend testing experiments (Task 5). These experiments were performed on the claddings in as-received, corroded, irradiated, and thermally aged states to determine the effects of typical molten salt reactor environments on cladding integrity. No significant mass loss was observed after repeated thermal shocks. While the electroplated samples softened after high-temperature ageing, irradiation hardening compensate this effect, such that there is little different with the as-received materials. The results of these experiments suggest that the electroplated (copper/nickel) show the greatest promise for application in molten salt reactor development. These claddings prevented any chromium dissolution from occurring during the static corrosion experiments. Additionally, they demonstrated favorable properties for high temperature diffusion, phase stability, interfacial mechanical properties, and irradiation resistance. Weld-overlay cladding are also of great interest and could reach properties similar to the electroplated samples upon optimization (especially with multiple weld passes). The carburized SS316H showed excellent behavior as well, but more work needs to be done to assess their long-term stability. Finally, the Mo-laser clad system was not pursued further due to the manufacturing challenges. It is also worth noting that the Ni cladding systems should behave relatively well in terms of weldability since the Ni-weld overlay microstructure and associated corrosion rate are sound. While the NiCu weld-overlay has even lower corrosion rates than the Ni-weld overlay, more studies on welding of Cu-electroplated systems are necessary since Cu clusters are known to embrittle steels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Observation of high-energy neutrinos from the Galactic plane

The origin of high-energy cosmic rays, atomic nuclei that continuously impact Earth’s atmosphere, is unknown. Because of deflection by interstellar magnetic fields, cosmic rays produced within the Milky Way arrive at Earth from random directions. However, cosmic rays interact with matter near their sources and during propagation, which produces high-energy neutrinos. We searched for neutrino emission using machine learning techniques applied to 10 years of data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. By comparing diffuse emission models to a background-only hypothesis, we identified neutrino emission from the Galactic plane at the 4.5σ level of significance. The signal is consistent with diffuse emission of neutrinos from the Milky Way but could also arise from a population of unresolved point sources.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Structural and Dynamical Insights into the Formation Process of a Cross-Linked Polymer Network in Acrylic Adhesives During Thermal Curing

Many modern adhesives, sealants, and coatings rely on the controlled transition from a liquid to a solid state by forming a three-dimensional cross-linked polymer network, often referred to as curing. The curing process, which is initiated by the mixing of reactive components or an external trigger, defines the structure of a network and further controls the final mechanical properties of cured materials. However, the curing mechanism is not fully understood yet due to the lack of experimental tools capable of directly probing the structure and dynamics of a network over relevant time- and length scales. Here, in this paper, we report the curing process of a commercial two-component methyl methacrylate (MMA) adhesive using in operando X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS), a method that closely simulates the target manufacturing environment of the adhesive. The results are then integrated with those obtained by rheology, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), and transmission electron microscopy to establish the structure–dynamics–process–property relationship. The XPCS results identify four distinct stages in the curing process after the mixing, extrusion, and deposition of the acrylic adhesive: (i) At a cure time (or “aging time”, t age ) of less than 1 min, nanodomains of polymerized MMA are formed within a liquid monomeric MMA matrix. The average size is several nm and remains constant over t age , while the dynamics of the nanodomains are slowed down with t age due to an increase in the viscosity of the MMA matrix. (ii) After t age > 1 min, the size of the nanodomains increases with t age until the gel point (= 6.3 min after mixing as determined by rheology). The dynamics of the nanodomains also increase due to the heat generated by the exothermic reaction. (iii) At the gel point, the nanodomains begin to interconnect each other, resulting in a network structure with a characteristic length of about 100 nm. This characteristic network size does not change for the rest of the curing process up to t age = 500 min. The dynamics of the network structure, however, show a rapid slowing down with t age up to t age ≈ 12 min, corresponding to the onset of vitrification (as determined by rheology). (iv) At t age > 12 min, when the DSC and rheology data can no longer provide meaningful information, the XPCS data show a further slowing down of the network dynamics associated with vitrification. Our results provide rich and complex insights into the physics and material design of thermosets in commercially relevant processes, which are essential for future industrial applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Primary intrinsic defects and their charge transition levels in β–Ga 2 O 3

A steady-state photocapacitance (SSPC) setup directly connected to the beamline of a MeV ion implanter is utilized to study primary intrinsic defects in β – Ga 2 O 3 generated by He implantation at cryogenic temperatures (120 K). At low temperatures, the migration of defects is suppressed, and hence the generation of primary intrinsic defects is expected to prevail. SSPC measurements reveal defect-related optical transitions in halide vapor-phase epitaxy (HVPE) -grown β – Ga 2 O 3 thin films with onset energies at 1.3 ( T 1 ) , 1.7 ( T 2 ) , 1.9 ( T 3 ) , 2.6 ( T 4 ) , 3.7 ( T 5 ) , and 4.2 eV ( T 6 ) . T 2 , T 4 , T 5 , and T 6 were observed in as-received HVPE-grown β – Ga 2 O 3 thin films, whereby T 2 is only sporadically observed. The introduction rates for T 3 , T 4 , as well as T 6 indicate an origin related to primary intrinsic defects. Notably, T 1 and T 3 are only observed after He implantation at cryogenic temperatures. Hybrid-functional calculations were performed to estimate the optical absorption cross-section spectra for the gallium ( Ga i ) and oxygen ( O i ) interstitials as well as the corresponding vacancies ( V Ga and V O , respectively), and compared with the measured onsets for optical absorption found by SSPC measurements. Indeed, we propose T 3 to be associated with Ga i ( + / + 2 ) and/or V GaI ( - 3 / - 2 ) , while T 4 is suggested to be related to V O K ( 0 / + ) ( K = I , II , III ) and/or V GaII ( - 3 / - 2 ) . Additionally, several further charge-state transition levels associated with V GaI and V GaII may contribute to T 4 and T 6 . We further studied the kinetics of the defects created with He implantation by exposing the sample to room temperature. The kinetics observed for T 3 and T 4 further support the proposed assignments of the corresponding defect signatures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improved Biofuel Production through Discovery and Engineering of Terpene Metabolism in Switchgrass

Project Objectives - Of the myriad specialized metabolites that plants deploy to adapt to environmental challenges, terpenes form the largest group. In many major crops, unique terpene blends serve as key stress defenses that directly impact plant fitness and yield. In addition, terpenes, such as bisabolene and pinene, are used for producing renewable biofuels. Essential to advancing a broader use of terpenes for biofuel feedstock engineering is a system-wide knowledge of the diverse biosynthetic machinery and defensive potential of often species-specific terpene blends. The proposed project would merge genome-wide enzyme discovery with comparative –omics, protein structural and plant microbiome studies to define the biosynthesis and stress-defensive functions of the switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) terpene network. These insights would be combined with developing and applying non-transgenic genome editing tools to design plants with desirable terpene blends for higher productivity and biofuel production on marginal lands. As a dedicated lignocellulosic feedstock for U.S. biofuel production with high net energy yield, stress tolerance, and available genome resources, switchgrass is well-suited for devising new avenues for biofuel production. Project Description – The diversity of plant terpene defenses is governed by species-specific families of terpene synthase (TPS) and cytochrome P450 monooxygenase (P450) enzymes. Mining of the switchgrass genome (genotype Alamo) identified ~100 TPS and P450 candidate genes, and combinatorial biochemical analysis of synthesized TPSs and P450s revealed more than a dozen enzymes with common and novel activities. In addition, several identified terpene metabolites and the corresponding transcripts were up-regulated in response to abiotic stressors. These findings demonstrate a unique switchgrass terpene network with probable importance to abiotic stress tolerance, thus providing a large chemical portfolio for optimizing crop resistance, yield, and biofuel composition. Leveraging these preliminary data, we propose to generate a genome-wide map of the switchgrass terpene metabolic network through multi-gene co-expression analyses that allow the efficient cross-validation of TPS and P450 functions. Key enzymes would further be applied to structure-function studies via X-ray protein crystallography, homology modeling and site-directed mutagenesis to gain mechanistic insight into the catalytic specificity of switchgrass terpene metabolism and provide gene and amino acid targets for genome editing. In tandem with terpene pathway discovery, system-wide metabolomics, transcriptomics and proteomics studies in switchgrass accessions of contrasting drought tolerance would define the role of switchgrass terpene metabolism in conferring abiotic stress resilience. Metabolic changes would be assessed in a combined approach of targeted (terpenes) and untargeted metabolite profiling using a high-resolution LC-MS/MS approach, differential gene expression analyses through multiplexed Illumina RNA sequencing, and quantitative analysis of high-priority pathway enzymes using multiple reaction monitoring (MRM). Drawing on these insights, knock-down/out mutants of stress-associated pathway nodes would be generated by optimizing transient virus-induced gene silencing (VIGS) and CRISPR/Cas9 systems under control of the Tobacco Rattle Virus (TRV). The resulting mutant lines would then be analyzed for stress susceptibility and the impact on the root microbiome to define gene functions in planta. Knowledge of terpene pathways, enzyme mechanisms and bioactivities would be applied to enhance switchgrass stress resilience and to tailor-make terpene blends for biofuel production. Here, TRV-enabled CRISPR/Cas9 genome editing, including allele-specific knock-out of redundant genes, engineering of enzyme specificity via structure-guided point mutations, and overexpression of terpene genes relevant to stress-protection or biofuel production, would be used to increase metabolic flux toward desired pathways. Broader Impacts - Integrating the system-wide discovery, mechanistic analysis and non-transgenic genome engineering of the switchgrass terpene network aligns the required steps to unlock the chemical potential of this important metabolite class to generate crops that are more resistant to stress and provide advanced biofuel production in light of rising climate pressures as foreseeable challenges for bioenergy crop cultivation. The proposed project would further offer interdisciplinary student training through active involvement in the project and integration of research concepts and outcomes into newly-developed graduate and undergraduate courses on Plant Biotechnology.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Arctic Tipping Points Triggering Global Change (LDRD Final Report)

The Arctic is warming and feedbacks in the coupled Earth system may be driving the Arctic to tipping events that could have critical downstream impacts for the rest of the globe. In this project we have focused on analyzing sea ice variability and loss in the coupled Earth system Summer sea ice loss is happening rapidly and although the loss may be smooth and reversible, it has significant consequences for other Arctic systems as well as geopolitical and economic implications. Accurate seasonal predictions of sea ice minimum extent and long-term estimates of timing for a seasonally ice-free Arctic depend on a better understanding of the factors influencing sea ice dynamics and variation in this strongly coupled system. Under this project we have investigated the most influential factors in accurate predictions of September Arctic sea ice extent using machine learning models trained separately on observational data and on simulation data from five E3SM historical ensembles. Monthly averaged data from June, July, and August for a selection of ice, ocean, and atmosphere variables were used to train a random forest regression model. Gini importance measures were computed for each input feature with the testing data. We found that sea ice volume is most important earlier in the season (June) and sea ice extent became a more important predictor closer to September. Results from this study provide insight into how feature importance changes with forecast length and illustrates differences between observational data and simulated Earth system data. We have additionally performed a global sensitivity analysis (GSA) using a fully coupled ultra- low resolution configuration E3SM. To our knowledge, this is the first global sensitivity analysis involving the fully-coupled E3SM Earth system model. We have found that parameter variations show significant impact on the Arctic climate state and atmospheric parameters related to cloud parameterizations are the most significant. We also find significant interactions between parameters from different components of E3SM. The results of this study provide invaluable insight into the relative importance of various parameters from the sea ice, atmosphere and ocean components of the E3SM (including cross-component parameter interactions) on various Arctic-focused quantities of interest (QOIs).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Anomalous two-photon Compton scattering

Abstract X-ray free-electron lasers can generate radiation pulses with extreme peak intensities at short wavelengths. This enables the investigation of laser–matter interactions in a regime of high fields, yet at a non-relativistic ponderomotive potential, where ordinary rules of light–matter interaction may no longer apply and nonlinear processes are starting to become observable. Despite small cross-sections, first nonlinear effects in the hard x-ray regime have recently been observed in solid targets, including x-ray-optical sum-frequency generation (XSFG), x-ray second harmonic generation (XSHG) and two-photon Compton scattering (2PCS). Nonlinear interactions of bound electrons in the x-ray range are fundamentally different from those dominating at optical frequencies. Whereas in the optical regime nonlinearities are predominantly caused by anharmonicities of the atomic potential in the chemical bonds, x-ray nonlinearities far above atomic resonances are expected to be due to nonlinear oscillations of quasi-free electrons, including inner-shell atomic electrons. While the quasi-free-electron model agrees reasonably well with the experimental data for XSFG and XSHG, 2PCS measurements have led to unexpected results: the energy of the nonlinearly scattered photons from non-relativistic electrons shows a substantial unexpected red shift in addition to the Compton shift that is well beyond that predicted by a nonlinear quantum electrodynamics model for free electrons. A potential explanation for the spectral broadening is based on a previously unexplored scattering process that involves the whole atom rather than just quasi-free electrons. A first simulation that includes the atomic binding potential was successful in describing a broadening of the spectrum of the nonlinearly scattered photons to longer wavelengths for soft x-rays. However, the same model does not show any broadening at hard x-ray wavelengths, which is in agreement with other simulation approaches. To this point no calculation has been able to reproduce the experimentally observed broadening. Here we present further experimental data of 2PCS for an extended parameter range using additional diagnostics. In particular, we present measurements of the electron momentum distribution during the interaction that strongly suggest that the spectral broadening is not caused by an increased plasma temperature. We extend our measurement of the magnitude of the red shift in beryllium to > 1.9 k e V in addition to the Compton shift expected for free electrons and expand the measurement of the angular distribution to include forward scattering angles. We also present first measurements of 2PCS from diamond.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

The Uranium-Containing and Thorium-Containing Anions Studied by Photoelectron Spectroscopy

An in-depth knowledge of actinide chemistry is fundamental to many aspects of nuclear science and technology, including the synthesis and processing of materials and the remediation of waste disposal sites. Among the actinides, the chemical bonding behaviors of actinium and thorium resemble those of the transition metals; the 5f-electrons of protactinium, uranium, neptunium, and plutonium often play important roles in their bonding; and among the still heavier elements, their bonding tends to mimic the lanthanide elements in terms of electron shielding and their f-electron contributions. Bonding that involves 5f-electrons, however, is especially important, in part because of the significance of uranium and plutonium, but also because these elements are among the few where f-electron participation in bonding is relatively common. This work focused on studying uranium-containing and thorium-containing anions in the gas phase using negative ion photoelectron spectroscopy. Since this technique directly probed valence electrons, it was uniquely positioned to address open questions regarding molecular bonding and electron configurations. A particularly important issue concerned how bonding in actinide-containing molecules was affected by modifications to their actinide atoms’ environment, i.e., due to their interaction with ligands. A closely related question was how actinide atoms’ suborbitals were qualitatively reordered and their energies quantitatively shifted as a result of their ligated environments. These were especially relevant issues in regard to uranium due to it having multiple possible oxidation states (OS) and the potential for 5f electron participation in bonding. The effects of ligands on oxidation states and 5f-orbital energies in uranium bonding was expected to be pronounced. Both ligands and excess electrons were seen as probes of actinide atoms within actinide-containing molecules. Our strategy for advancing knowledge of chemical bonding in the actinide-containing species utilized the synergy between experiments and theory, where in some cases experimental results validated theory and where in others computational results assisted in interpreting experiments. Calculations on actinide systems are terrifically challenging due to large spin-orbit interactions, relativistic effects, and just the sheer number of electrons involved. Even in the simplest species, e.g., U and U2, the most sophisticated, modern calculations carried out by the most experienced theorists often only approximate experimentally-measured values, such as electron affinities. For theory to provide confident predictions that can be used to solve real problems it needed an iterative and ultimately corrective mechanism by which its methods can develop further. Experiments can be used to identify when theory has failed; whereupon the subsequent process of using the experiment-theory interplay can be used to find the cause of the failure. Upon fixing it in one case, different test species can be proposed and studied by the experiment-theory combination to determine whether the problem has been corrected. Thus, experiments not only measure the values of molecular properties, they also provide navigational 3 beacons that keep computations off the reefs in an otherwise dark sea with few reference points. Experimental measurements in the actinide field are not only important, they are in actuality essential to computational progress. While it was not always possible to compare the theoreticallydetermined quantity of interest directly with the same experimentally-measured observable, it was usually possible to compare consequential properties that are both calculable and measurable. In the work completed here electron affinities and electronic state spacings were often sensitive consequential parameters. Reasonable agreement between measured and computational values signaled that a calculation that was very likely to be on-track. We had established collaborative relationships with five computational groups, all of which have expertise in computational actinide chemistry. Their PI’s are L. Cheng, D. Dixon, L. Gagliardi, K. Peterson, and B. Vlaisavljevich. Our close interaction with our theory partners led to us suggesting systems to them and them to us. This reciprocal interaction between our experimental and their computational results was among the most important strengths of this work and was a thread woven throughout. Even though anion photoelectron spectroscopic studies are conducted on anions, much of the information that they provide, pertains to the electronic structure of the neutral counterparts of those anions; among these are electron affinities and electronically excited state spacings. Our experimental tools included several specialized ion sources for forming the anionic species of interest, a mass spectrometer for identifying and mass-selecting them, and an anion photoelectron spectrometer for determining their electron affinities (EA) and characterizing the electronic states of the selected anions’ neutral counterparts. Anion photoelectron spectroscopy is conducted by crossing a mass-selected beam of anions with a fixed-frequency laser beam and energy-analyzing the resultant photodetached electrons. The photodetachment process is governed by the energyconserving relationship: hν = EBE + EKE, where hν is the photon’s energy, EBE is the electron binding (photodetachment transition) energy, and EKE is the electron’s kinetic energy. In our apparatus mass-selection is accomplished via time-of-flight mass spectrometry (TOF-MS), electron energy analysis is achieved with either a magnetic bottle or by velocity mapped imaging. Photodetachment of electrons from anions is implemented via either Nd:YAG or excimer lasers. The photodetachment transition energy, i.e., the EBE, between the ground vibrational and electronic state of an anion and the ground vibrational and electronic state of that anion’s neutral counterpart is the adiabatic electron affinity (EA) of that neutral molecule. Likewise, photodetachment transitions between the ground vibrational and electronic state of an anion and the various electronically-excited states of that anion’s corresponding neutral map the electronic spectrum of that neutral species, i.e., the spectral spacings in the photoelectron spectrum are a mirror image of the neutral’s electronic spectrum. It was, of course, crucial to be able to form the anionic species of interest. There, we had a particularly broad field of anion sources from which to choose. These included several variants of pulsed laser vaporization (LV), laser photoemission, infrared desorption plus photoemission, pulsed arc discharge (PACIS), electrospray ionization (ESI), and Rydberg electron transfer (RET). Each of these anion sources were readily combined with, i.e., connected to, the anion photoelectron spectroscopic portion of our apparatus as described above. Among the sources that utilize lasers, visible light for LV sources as well as IR for desorption sources are provided by Nd:YAG lasers. Ultraviolet photons are provided by both Nd:YAG and excimer lasers, whereas the excitation wavelengths for RET experiments come from two Nd:YAG-pumped dye lasers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Measurements of the time-dependent cosmic-ray Sun shadow with seven years of IceCube data: Comparison with the Solar cycle and magnetic field models

Observations of the time-dependent cosmic-ray Sun shadow have been proven as a valuable diagnostic for the assessment of solar magnetic field models. Here, seven years of IceCube data are compared to solar activity and solar magnetic field models. A quantitative comparison of solar magnetic field models with IceCube data on the event rate level is performed for the first time. Additionally, a first energy-dependent analysis is presented and compared to recent predictions. We use seven years of IceCube data for the moon and the Sun and compare them to simulations on data rate level. The simulations are performed for the geometrical shadow hypothesis for the moon and the Sun and for a cosmic-ray propagation model governed by the solar magnetic field for the case of the Sun. We find that a linearly decreasing relationship between Sun shadow strength and solar activity is preferred over a constant relationship at the 6.4σ level. We test two commonly used models of the coronal magnetic field, both combined with a Parker spiral, by modeling cosmic-ray propagation in the solar magnetic field. Both models predict a weakening of the shadow in times of high solar activity as it is also visible in the data. We find tensions with the data on the order of 3σ for both models, assuming only statistical uncertainties. The magnetic field model CSSS fits the data slightly better than the PFSS model. This is generally consistent with what is found previously by the Tibet AS-γ Experiment; a deviation of the data from the two models is, however, not significant at this point. Regarding the energy dependence of the Sun shadow, we find indications that the shadowing effect increases with energy during times of high solar activity, in agreement with theoretical predictions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Search for IceCube Events in the Direction of ANITA Neutrino Candidates

During the first three flights of the Antarctic Impulsive Transient Antenna (ANITA) experiment, the collaboration detected several neutrino candidates. Two of these candidate events were consistent with an ultra-high-energy upgoing air shower and compatible with a tau neutrino interpretation. A third neutrino candidate event was detected in a search for Askaryan radiation in the Antarctic ice, although it is also consistent with the background expectation. The inferred emergence angle of the first two events is in tension with IceCube and ANITA limits on isotropic cosmogenic neutrino fluxes. Here we test the hypothesis that these events are astrophysical in origin, possibly caused by a point source in the reconstructed direction. Given that any ultra-high-energy tau neutrino flux traversing the Earth should be accompanied by a secondary flux in the TeV-PeV range, we search for these secondary counterparts in 7 yr of IceCube data using three complementary approaches. In the absence of any significant detection, we set upper limits on the neutrino flux from potential point sources. Finally, we compare these limits to ANITA's sensitivity in the same direction and show that an astrophysical explanation of these anomalous events under standard model assumptions is severely constrained regardless of source spectrum.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Elucidating the chemical dynamics of the elementary reactions of the 1-propynyl radical (CH 3 CC; X 2 A 1 ) with 2-methylpropene ((CH 3 ) 2 CCH 2 ; X 1 A 1 )

Exploiting the crossed molecular beam technique, we studied the reaction of the 1-propynyl radical (CH 3 CC; X 2 A 1 ) with 2-methylpropene (isobutylene; (CH 3 ) 2 CCH 2 ; X 1 A 1 ) at a collision energy of 38 ± 3 kJ mol –1 . The experimental results along with ab initio and statistical calculations revealed that the reaction has no entrance barrier and proceeds via indirect scattering dynamics involving C 7 H 11 intermediates with lifetimes longer than their rotation period(s). The reaction is initiated by the addition of the 1-propynyl radical with its radical center to the π-electron density at the C1 and/or C2 position in 2-methylpropene. Further, the C 7 H 11 intermediate formed from the C1 addition either emits atomic hydrogen or undergoes isomerization via [1,2-H] shift from the CH 3 or CH 2 group prior to atomic hydrogen loss preferentially leading to 1,2,4-trimethylvinylacetylene (2-methylhex-2-en-4-yne) as the dominant product. The molecular structures of the collisional complexes promote hydrogen atom loss channels. RRKM results show that hydrogen elimination channels dominate in this reaction, with a branching ratio exceeding 70%. Since the reaction of the 1-propynyl radical with 2-methylpropene has no entrance barrier, is exoergic, and all transition states involved are located below the energy of the separated reactants, bimolecular collisions are feasible to form trimethylsubstituted 1,3-enyne (p1) via a single collision event even at temperatures as low as 10 K prevailing in cold molecular clouds such as G+0.693. As a result, the formation of trimethylsubstituted vinylacetylene could serve as the starting point of fundamental molecular mass growth processes leading to di- and trimethylsubstituted naphthalenes via the HAVA mechanism.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Denoising Autoencoder for Reconstructing Sensor Observation Data and Predicting Evapotranspiration: Noisy and Missing Values Repair and Uncertainty Quantification

Abstract Machine learning (ML) methods applied in scientific research often deal with interrelated features in high‐dimensional data. Reducing data noise and redundancy is needed to increase prediction accuracy and efficiency especially when dealing with data from field sensors. We explored an unsupervised learning method, the denoising autoencoder (DAE), to extract the underlying data structure from noisy raw data in the context of predicting hydrologic quantities from multiple field sensors. These sensors have intrinsic instrumental noise and occasional malfunctions that cause missing values. Our DAE neural network reconstructed meteorological sensor data containing noise and missing values to predict evapotranspiration in a mountainous watershed. The DAE reconstructed the sensor variables with a mean coefficient of determination value of 0.77 across 15 dimensions representing individual sensors. It reduced variance and bias uncertainties compared to a classical autoencoder model. The reconstruction quality varied across dimensions depending on their cross‐correlation and alignment with the underlying data structure. Uncertainties arising from the model structure were overall higher than those resulting from data corruption. We attached the DAE structure to a downstream ET‐prediction neural network in three formats and achieved reasonably accurate ET predictions . The use of the DAE notably reduced variance uncertainty in ET prediction. However, excessive variance reduction may be accompanied by an increase in bias due to the intrinsic bias‐variance tradeoff. Our method of evaluating and reducing uncertainties in aggregated data from different sources can be used to improve predictive models, process understanding, and uncertainty quantification for better water resource management. Plain Language Summary We present a machine learning method, namely the denoising autoencoder, which reduces the effects of data noise and missing values typically present in scientific data sets collected through sensor measurements. This method selects the most relevant information from noisy raw data collected by the instruments and fills in missing values. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, we applied it to predict evapotranspiration, a hydrologic variable that represents the water moved from the land surface to the atmosphere through a combination of evaporation and plant water use (transpiration). We also used a random sampling technique (the Monte Carlo method) to compare the uncertainty in the predictions when using the raw and noisy data versus the reconstructed data. The denoising process produced more accurate predictions of evapotranspiration with less uncertainty. Improved predictions of evapotranspiration can lead to a better understanding and accounting of water budgets. This ML approach is broadly suitable for a wide variety of applications that involve noisy sensor data with missing values. Key Points We used a denoising autoencoder (DAE) neural network to reduce noise in meteorological and soil sensor observations by on average We used Monte Carlo sampling to estimate the bias and variance of all model outputs, including uncertainty sources from data and the model We attached the DAE component to a downstream neural network to predict ET with the variance reduced by , compared to that without the DAE

denoising autoencoder↗

Assessment of Benefits of Solid-State Advanced Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Energy Products

The Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technology (AMMT) program develops cross cutting technologies in support of a broad range of nuclear reactor technologies and maintains U.S. leadership in materials and manufacturing technologies for nuclear energy applications. This overall project provides the U.S. Department of Energy a critical feasibility study comparison of three solid-state processes to other AM processes, thereby providing the feasibility of the solid-state processes examined to manufacture 316H SS and ODS steel components: • Fused-filament fabrication (FFF): This work provides an initial evaluation of the impact of powder morphology and sizes on the FFF process, and the feasibility and adaptability for different material systems, to use FFF for ODS steels and 316 SS. • Shear-assisted processing and extrusion (ShAPE): Specifically for this portion of the project on ShAPE tube forming, the objectives will be to determine the feasibility to direct tube forming of high tensile strength steel tubing, specifically for ODS steel to determine the effect of the patented extrusion process on the dispersoids of the ODS material. Additionally, as often ODS powders are mechanically alloyed and therefore more platelike or angular, this feasibility was to explore the impact on the optimization process and initial feasibility of direct tube forming. • Cold spray and friction stir additive manufacturing as a stretch goal: Bulk and near net shape manufacturing processes for high-temperature, high-strength alloys are needed. Additionally, cold spray techniques can be applied in-situ at the operational level for repair and can provide multiple benefits to the nuclear industry. These tasks aim to provide information to show benefits of cold spray during the full life cycle, namely research and development, product manufacturing, and repair to mention a few key points.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Investigations in the tape-to-tape contact resistance and contact composition in superconducting CORC ® wires

Conductor on Round Core (CORC®) wires and cables, constructed from multiple layers of helically wound REBa 2 Cu 3 O 7–δ tapes, are a promising cable technology for high field magnet applications. An important feature of high-temperature superconductor cables is the ability to share current between conductors, allowing current to bypass drops in I c and minimizing the risk of hot spot formation, which could lead to potential burnout in the superconductor. In contrast to stacked-tape cables, which have continuous contact between tapes, in CORC® the transfer points occur at discrete tape crossovers. The tape-to-tape contact resistance, R c , plays a critical role in the current sharing capabilities and current distribution in cables. For the work reported here, special CORC® wires were manufactured using different winding parameters to investigate variations in R c . Variations comprised inclusion of a lubricant, different lubricant conductivity, inclusion of pre-tinning, and heating briefly to melt the solder. Cables were first tested as straight lengths, followed by bending to a 10 cm diameter. In straight cables R c values ranged from 1 to over 1000 μΩ cm 2 , depending on cabling parameters, with the highest values being found for cables made by the present 'standard' process. Bending the cables to a 10 cm diameter decreased R c by a factor 2–5. Tinning with PbSn decreased R c by three orders of magnitude compared to standard CORC® wires, and heat treating wires with tinned conductor resulted in only a small further decrease in R c . Based on the measured R c at an electric field of 1 μV cm –1 the resulting current transfer length between layers can range from a few millimeters to a tens of centimeters. Examination of contacts with a laser confocal microscope showed plastic deformation of the copper at the edges of the contact overlap area, apparently caused by thicker plating at tape edges digging into the copper of neighboring layers. These images reveal that only a fraction of the total contact surface may actually be touching when there is nothing to compensate for height differential. Images of the PbSn coated tapes indicated that application of solder produces a much more uniform contact surface and higher contact area. Furthermore, imaging of CORC® cross-sections confirmed that in the non-tinned cables there are many regions where tapes are not in contact, while in contrast the PbSn cable shows significantly more contact between the tapes. These different imaging techniques reveal that tape surface morphology is a significant parameter in determining R c .

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Search for the NΔ resonance in the 𝛾𝑑 → 𝑑𝜋 +𝜋 − reaction

A dibaryon which is an object with baryon number B = 2 has been studied for a long time. Dyson and Xuong classified non-strangeness dibaryon states based on SU(6) symmetries in 1960?s. In the framework, the deuteron is classified as one of the sextet states of dibaryons. Although dibaryon have been an interesting subject of research for a long time, most of the experimental studies up to the early 2000?s were unsuccessful. The CELCIUS/WASA collaboration reported this state via the double-pionic fusion reaction (?= ! 3c0c0) in 2009. Thereafter, the WASA-at-COSY collaboration revealed properties of the isoscaler resonance state via the ?= ! 3c0c0 reaction in 2011. The dibaryon resonance state with isospin ? = 0 and spin ( = 3 thought to be a ?03 which was predicted by Dyson and Xuong at 2.35 GeV?22 with a configuration of ??. The reported mass and width of that state were 2?37 GeV?22 and 0?07 GeV?22, espectively. The mass was ?0?08 GeV?22 smaller than that of 2?, the width was narrower than that of single ?. This surprising result made dibaryon study come back into the limelight. ?12 is one of the dibaryon states classified by Dyson and Xuong with isospin ? = 1, spin ( = 2. This state can be regarded as an s-wave #? resonance. ?12 is an interesting state from the point of view of the possibilities of existence as an internal structure of ?03 and contribution to many-body effects in nuclei. Though there were some experimental clues and theoretical studies of this state, it was unclear whether the obtained experimental results represented a real resonance or not due to the difficulty of separation from kinematical effects. Very recently, the FOREST group at Tohoku University reported a photoproduced isovector dibaryon state at mass of 2.14 GeV?22 in the 3c0 invariant mass spectra of the W3 ! 3c0c0 reaction. The most probable ?% configuration was 2¸ although they didn?t exclude the possibility of ?% = 1¸ or 3?. They separated the dibaryon production process from conventional pion production process for the first time using angular distribution of deuteron. We investigated the W3 ! 3c¸c? reaction for study of a possible #? dibaryon state using a deuterium target at the Research Center for Electron Photon Science, Tohoku University, Japan. In the experiment, ?3 ? 1012 tagged photon beam at energies ranging from 0.8 to 1.1 GeV was impinged to the liquid deuterium target (?520 mg?cm2) and the charged particles in the final state: deuteron, c¸, and c?, were detected by a magnetic spectrometer with a large solid angle named NKS2. NKS2 had capabilities of reconstructing momentum of charged particles, multi-track analysis, and ??c separation. We performed two different analyses named 2-track analysis and 3-track analysis. The 2-track (3-track) analysis was for events in which two (three) particles of 3c¸c? in the final state, including deuteron, were detected by NKS2. In the 3-track and 2-track analysis, ?2000? ?15000 events were identified as the W3 ! 3c¸c? reaction events, respectively. The 2-track analysis with higher statistics was mainly used to derive the cross sections, and the 3-track analysis was used to check the consistency of the 2-track analysis. In this thesis, we have shown the total cross section, the differential cross sections of the W3 ! 3c¸c? reaction in the region of jC j ¡ 0?15 GeV2. This is the world?s first measurement of this reaction in this energy region. Dibaryon resonance structures were observed below the #? threshold in the differential cross section of the invariant mass of 3c?. The mass and width of the structure were consistent with these of ?12 measured by the W3 ! 3c0c0 reaction. The mechanism of the production process was discussed based on the angular distribution of emitted deuteron.

Toyama, Yuichi↗

On Alfvénic turbulence of solar wind streams observed by Solar Orbiter during March 2022 perihelion and their source regions

It has been recently accepted that the standard classification of the solar wind solely according to flow speed is outdated, and particular interest has been devoted to the study of the origin and evolution of so-called Alfvénic slow solar wind streams and to what extent such streams resemble or differ from fast wind. In March 2022, Solar Orbiter completed its first nominal phase perihelion passage. During this interval, it observed several Alfvénic streams, allowing for characterization of fluctuations in three slow wind intervals (AS1-AS3) and comparison with a fast wind stream (F) at almost the same heliocentric distance. This work makes use of Solar Orbiter plasma parameters from the Solar Wind Analyzer (SWA) and magnetic field measurements from the magnetometer (MAG). The magnetic connectivity to the solar sources of selected solar wind intervals was reconstructed using a ballistic extrapolation based on measured solar wind speed down to the (spherical) source surface at 2.5 R s below which a potential field extrapolation was used to map back to the Sun. The source regions were identified using SDO/AIA observations. A spectral analysis of in situ measured magnetic field and velocity fluctuations was performed to characterize correlations, Alfvénicity, normalized cross-helicity, and residual energy in the frequency domain as well as intermittency of the fluctuations and spectral energy transfer rate estimated via mixed third-order moments. A machine learning technique was used to separate proton core, proton beam, and alpha particles and to study v − b correlations for the different ion populations in order to evaluate the role played by each population in determining the Alfvénic content of solar wind fluctuations. The comparison between fast wind and Alfvénic slow wind intervals highlights the differences between the two solar wind regimes: The fast wind is characterized by larger amplitude fluctuations, and magnetic and velocity fluctuations are closer to equipartition of energy. In fact the Alfvénic slow wind streams appear to be on a spectrum of wind types, with AS1, originating from open field lines neighboring active regions and displaying similarities with the fast wind in terms of fluctuation amplitude and turbulence characteristics, but not with respect to the alpha particles and proton beams. The other two slow streams differed both in their sources as well as plasma characteristics, with AS2 coming from the expansion of a narrow coronal hole corridor and AS3 from a region straddling a pseudostreamer. The latter displayed the coldest and highest density but the slowest stream with the smallest fluctuation amplitude and greatest magnetic energy excess. It also showed the largest scatter in proton beam speeds and the greatest difference in speed between proton beam and alpha particles. This study shows how the old fast–slow solar wind dichotomy, already called into question by the observations of slower Alfvénic solar wind streams, should further be refined, as the Alfvénic slow wind, originating in different solar wind regions, show significant differences in density, temperature, and proton and alpha-particle properties in the inner heliosphere. The observations presented here provide the starting point for a better understanding of the origin and evolution of different solar wind streams as well as the evolving turbulence contained within.

magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)↗

IM3/HyperFACETS Thermodynamic Global Warming (TGW) Simulation Datasets

Publication For a thorough description of the methods, see the peer-reviewed paper: Jones, A.D., Rastogi, D., Vahmani, P. et al. Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weather. Sci Data 10, 664 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02485-5 Overview The IM3 / HyperFACETS climate simulations provide 40-year historical (1980-2019) as well as four 80-year future simulations (2020-2099) over the U.S. The future simulations are split into near (2020-2059) and far future (2060-2099) segments. The future scenarios span a range of plausible changes in future climate (both Global Circulation Model (GCM) and Representative Concentration Pathways/Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (RCP/SSP) dimensions). The simulations provide climate variables with high spatiotemporal resolution (25 hourly variables and 207 3-hourly variables at 12 km2). The datasets are generated using dynamical downscaling with the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model (version 4.2.1) and therefore preserve physical consistency across variables. WRF is a state-of-the-art, fully compressible, non-hydrostatic, mesoscale numerical weather prediction model. WRF is coupled with an urban canopy model (UCM), which resolves urban surfaces. The future scenarios were developed using a thermodynamic global warming approach where past events are replayed under a range of future warming conditions. These scenarios therefore provide a perspective on potential increases in extreme event intensity, geographic scope, and duration, with previously non-extreme conditions potentially crossing new thresholds to be considered extreme by today's standards. This approach is not intended to estimate future changes in extreme event frequency that might result from changes in large-scale atmospheric dynamics. This dataset has NOT been bias corrected. A bias corrected version of selected variables is under development and will be released here when available. Scenarios Files Data for each scenario is provided in weekly NetCDF files. 25 variables are available at hourly resolution, and 207 variables are available at three-hourly resolution. Spatial resolution is 12km and spans the conterminous United States (CONUS), including some areas of Canada and Mexico, resulting in a grid of 424 by 299 cells. The spatial projection is a Lambert Conformal Conic with the following proj-string: "+proj=lcc +lat_0=40.0000076293945 +lon_0=-97 +lat_1=30 +lat_2=45 +x_0=0 +y_0=0 +R=6370000 +units=m +no_defs". The available scenarios and simulation periods are listed below: historical | 1980 - 2019 rcp45cooler | 2020 - 2059 rcp45cooler | 2060 - 2099 rcp45hotter | 2020 - 2059 rcp45hotter | 2060 - 2099 rcp85cooler | 2020 - 2059 rcp85cooler | 2060 - 2099 rcp85hotter | 2020 - 2059 rcp85hotter | 2060 - 2099 * The first year (1979, 2019, and 2059) of data within each scenario represents a model warmup period and should not be used. These are located in the `spinup_files` directory. Historical year 2020 is considered an extra year of data beyond the simulation period and can be found in the `additional_files` directory. For information on specific variables and a more in-depth discussion of methodology, please refer to the data landing page at https://tgw-data.msdlive.org. Delta Warming Files The global and CONUS warming deltas for each scenario are provided in degrees Celsius annually and monthly. Restart Files Yearly restart files are provided for each scenario which can be used to restart the WRF model at a particular point in time. Spinup Files The first year of data within each simulation period represents a model warmup period and should not be used. The files are provided here for the sake of reproducibility. Additional Files Additional years of data are provided as an extension of the historic simulation.

Jones, Andrew D.↗