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At least 721 records · Page 40

Ordovician-Cambrian Units: Hierarchical Evaluation of Geologic Carbon Storage Resource Estimates

The Indiana Geological and Water Survey (IGWS) led subtask 1.1 to assess the regional distribution and estimate the storage capacity of Ordovician-Cambrian stratigraphic units located within the partnership region. A comprehensive data set of wireline logs and petrophysical information was used to generate these interpretations. These data include core analysis for porosity and permeability, mercury injection capillary pressure (MICP), and existing well data including location and stratigraphic information. This report includes storage resource estimates (SREs) for three potential storage reservoirs(limestone and dolostone from the Upper Ordovician Trenton Limestone/Black River Group and equivalent units, the Middle Ordovician St. Peter Sandstone, and primary target reservoir rocks of the Lower Ordovician and Upper Cambrian Knox Supergroup and equivalent units) calculated using six methodologies: (1) a fixed value of porosity of 10 percent in all units evaluated; (2) a unique average porosity (per well) from wireline-derived porosity (neutron, sonic, and/or density porosity for each unit); (3) porosity values from core analysis; (4) a depth-dependent porosity model (Knox Supergroup only); (5) porosity based on a model based on petrophysical facies; and (6) SREs using National Energy Technology Laboratory’s CO2 Storage prospeCtive Resource Estimation Excel aNalysis (CO2-SCREEN beta V2). All methods used the same values for thickness for each unit. However, the areal extent of each assessment was limited by the data available for each method. Estimated volumes were calculated in 1-by-1 kilometer grid cells and summarized as county and total stratigraphic unit volumes. The resultant SREs mass are displayed using boxplots, which allow for comparing data statistics (mean values and variability) between methods. Differences observed in SRE results from the six methods are mainly attributable to differences in the data and conceptual models used to interpret or estimate porosity in each method. Based on this systematic variability between methods, it is inferred that methods 1, 4, and 6 are best used for regional-scale reconnaissance estimates of storage capacity while methods 2, 3, and 5 are more appropriate for local scales where more data is required. All estimates are data-density dependent and different methods require different amounts of data for reasonable assessments. ArcMap 10.5.1 software was used to portray SREs to help visualize spatial variance of estimates for each methodology, and more importantly, to highlight those areas having the greatest total storage potential estimates.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Microsphere LiMn 0.6 Fe 0.4 PO 4 /C cathode with unique rod-like secondary architecture for high energy lithium ion batteries

LiMn x Fe 1-x PO 4 /C is considered a promising next-generation cathode material with significant commercial potential, inheriting the safety of LiFePO 4 while offering higher energy densities. However, the extremely low conductivity and the Jahn-Teller effect induced by Mn 3+ limit its practical capacity and rate performance. Effective modifications can be achieved through particle nanonization and uniform carbon coating. Here, in this work, we synthesized microspherical LiMn 0.6 Fe 0.4 PO 4 /C cathode materials using a hydrothermal method combined with spray drying carbon coating. The cathode material exhibits a microsphere structure composed of aggregated nanorods with a uniform 3 nm carbon coating, showing good dispersibility, small specific surface area and high tap density. In-situ diffraction analysis showed that expanding the single-phase solid solution region during (de)lithiation can reduce the energy barrier for electron transport, improve the kinetics of the (dis)charge process, and enhance both cycling and rate performance. The initial capacity at 0.1C can reach 155 mAh/g, and the capacity remains at 133.5 mAh/g with a retention rate of 97.1 % after 300 cycles. The synergistic effect of particle nanonization and uniform carbon coating endows the LiMn x Fe 1-x PO 4 /C material with excellent electrochemical performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

ASU’s DAC polymer-enhanced cyanobacterial bioproductivity (AUDACity)

ASU’s DAC polymer-enhanced cyanobacterial bioproductivity (AUDACity) project aims to demonstrate a novel, scalable method for removing carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) directly from ambient air and delivering it to cyanobacterial cultures to produce commodity biofuel, mid-value protein for supplements, and high value phycocyanin (PC), a natural blue colorant (Figure A). This approach uses low-cost, reusable anion exchange polymers embedded in modular mesh packets, which capture CO 2 during drying cycles when exposed to ambient air, and release concentrated CO 2 into aqueous cultivation systems. The project addresses a critical challenge in energy research needed for developing sustainable, economically viable methods of Direct Air Capture (DAC) that can be integrated with bio-based systems for fuel and chemical production. AUDACity contributes to scientific understanding by integrating materials chemistry, cyanobacterial biology, and system engineering to create a distributed CO 2 delivery platform. Key insights have emerged around the design of biocompatible sorbents, optimization of CO 2 capture-release cycles, and durability of packet-based delivery systems under outdoor conditions. Notably, the team has synthesized and tested a range of polymer sorbents, identified mechanisms of material degradation and fouling, and advanced both lab- and pilot-scale cultivation systems to evaluate performance. From a technical and economic standpoint, AUDACity shows promise for achieving cost-effective CO 2 capture and delivery into aqueous media and biofuel production. Preliminary techno-economic analysis (TEA) indicates that the DAC system based on current performance can reach $\$$680/tonne CO 2 delivered into aqueous solution; with reasonable improvements to sorbent lifetime, sorbent capacity, reducing water uptake the approach could reach $\$$66/tonne by avoiding the need for energy-intensive sorbent regeneration and CO 2 compression, making it more feasible for decentralized deployment. With these costs for CO 2 and by extracting and selling high-value PC ($\$$50/kg) and mid-value protein supplement ($\$$6/kg), the remaining biomass can be hydrothermally treated into biofuel for $\$$2.50/gallon, and would support a small first-of-a-kind biorefinery capable of producing 500 barrels per day of biofuel. The project offers meaningful public benefits by advancing carbon removal technologies that are low-energy, modular, and adaptable to non-arable land and brackish water use. It aligns with national goals to develop advanced biotechnology and supports future pathways for bio-based fuels and products. By enabling direct coupling of CO 2 transfer into aqueous medium and biological carbon utilization, AUDACity lays the groundwork for effective algae cultivation without wasteful CO 2 delivery and is a promising and innovative solution for low-carbon fuel and bioproduct generation contributing to a vigorous bioeconomy.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

High-Frequency Signature-Based Fault Detection for Future MV Distribution Grids: Preprint

Increased deployment of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) and microgrids are significantly changing the operation of distribution grid. Increasing penetration of power electronics based DERs also raise several operational problems such as protection coordination issues, voltage raise, recloser synchronization, stability, and frequency control. Legacy systems are designed for unidirectional power flow. Bidirectional power flows, and varying short circuit levels are some of the major challenges in implementing these legacy protection schemes for future power grid with high penetration of power electronics based DERs. Inverter based DER’s can contribute to a maximum of 2 p.u. fault current. Interconnection standards might require even lower fault current contribution. If these protection related challenges are not addressed, it will result in limiting the penetration of DERs in distribution feeders. In this paper, the feasibility of high frequency signature generated by transients is evaluated to identify and locate faults in a distribution system. The paper will discuss the need for an accurate line modeling approach to accurately capture the high frequency signatures. These high frequency signatures are naturally occurring electromagnetic transients for events such as switching events in the network, faults events, etc. This is different than that implemented in transmission systems as the proposed approach utilizes advanced signal processing techniques to retrieve valuable information from the high frequency signatures generated during faults and does not just rely on time delay measurements between reflections of the high frequency signals. In the full paper, information of a modified IEEE distribution feeder test system to accurately model the high frequency signatures will be provided. The distribution lines will be modeled using universal line modeling (ULM) technique in an electromagnetic transients program (EMTP) modeling platform. Different test cases will be simulated and these test cases will include different fault types, multiple fault locations, capacitor bank switching, etc. The feeder system modeled for these simulations will also include power electronics based DERs. Additionally, experimental results demonstrating the high frequency signatures generated due to a transient event in a medium voltage (13.8 kV) distribution line will also be presented in the full paper. Furthermore, the analysis combined with simulation and experimental results in the full paper will help demonstrate the feasibility and efficacy of the proposed protection scheme. The developed protection scheme will not just help solve problems generated by bidirectional current flow, varying short-circuit current capacity, but also help in proliferation of DERs in distribution systems.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Association between soil organic carbon and calcium in acidic grassland soils from Point Reyes National Seashore, CA

All data is collected from across 3 soil cores spanning a pH gradient at Point Reyes National Seashore, as part of a recent publication. The bulk data csv includes hygroscopic moisture content, soil pH, total C and N values, particle size distributions, cation exchange capacity and extractable cations. The STXM data package includes raw spectra data from scanning transmission X-ray microscopy C near-edge X-ray absorption fine structure spectroscopy analysis, extracted from STXM Image Reader analysis and then subsequently normalised in Athena (see details in paper). The data file also contains a bulk chemistry and mineralogy dataset, including total and trace element contents from 3 depths and mineral compositions as measured at BL 11-3 SSRL and semi-quantified in HighScore. Finally the final data file is calcium K-edge X-ray absorption near-edge structure spectroscopy (BL 4-3) and micro-XANES and micro-X-ray fluorescence (BL 14-3b) data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Case Study: Hybrid Carbon Conversion Using Low-Carbon Energy Sources in Coal-Producing States

The demand for more carbon efficient power sources and a decrease in natural gas prices has decreased the desire for coal power. This decrease in demand has led to massive job losses in coal mining regions over the past decade. The purpose of this project is to develop a hybrid energy system utilizing both a coal power plant and advanced reactor, which is competitive with natural gas by improving on profitability and decreasing carbon emissions. This report details the problem with a summary of the impact on the coal industry and the availability of renewable energy sources in the Appalachian region. Because of the geography of the region, variable renewable energy sources are not available without significant size and siting restrictions. However, biomass in the form of wood waste is abundant and can be used as a carbon neutral energy source. Combining biomass and coal processing, in addition to thermal power plants, can increase system profits and efficiency by providing peaking power and conversion opportunities for secondary markets. The electric load is based on publicly available demand data from Appalachian Power, which services the western Virginia and southern West Virginia in the Appalachian region. The demand information is combined by service, normalized, and scaled to an average demand of 1000 kW, which will be the basis for sizing the hybrid energy system. A traditional screening curve analysis for a coal plant and advanced reactor shows that the least cost design varies significantly based on the assumed discount rate and capital recovery period. An optimization program to size the design in TEAL based on the load curve gives 10 optimal designs, all with a negative resulting net present value (NPV) and a coal plant capacity of less than 15%. Including profits from selling captured carbon at a flat rate results in a positive NPV; however, the coal capacity factor only increases to about 40%. There are limitations with this optimization as well since the price of CO2 is likely to decrease as more is sold to the conversion market. The suggested design will combine coal power, an advanced reactor, and coal and biomass coprocessing to produce a variety of products that can be sold to the conversion market while increasing system efficiency. The analysis of conversion pathways for coal and biomass reveals that multiple options will need to be included in the analysis to produce the optimal system design. Three systems will be optimized and compared to determine the best design based on the figures of merit of total NPV and cost of carbon avoided. The first system will include a coal power plant and an advanced reactor that will sell electricity to the grid to meet demand and sell captured carbon to the conversion market. The second system adds a high-temperature steam electrolysis plant, which will utilize electricity during times of low demand to produce hydrogen and sell it to the conversion market. The third system adds biomass and coal processing with options for hydrocarbon oils, syngas to be produced for the conversion market, and electricity generation to power components within the system or provide peaking power. This analysis will be based on a new approach that combines traditional screening curve methods with a dispatch algorithm that optimizes the system based on the opportunity cost of different production options. The resulting optimization algorithm should provide results with less processing time than HERON’s decision tree method. The results from this analysis will determine an optimal design and reinforce the benefits of coal power when used in a hybrid energy system. The initial results show that the addition of a secondary market for carbon sales could result in a positive NPV and increases the capacity factor of the coal plant as compared to a design with only sales to the electricity market. The addition of more markets and additional coal consumption from biomass coprocessing could increase NPV further, replace carbon in other markets through the sale of biomass-derived hydrocarbons, and demonstrate the value of coal power technology.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Transcriptomic and metabolomic analysis of recalcitrant phosphorus solubilization mechanisms in Trametes gibbosa

Introduction Phosphorus (P) is a crucial growth-limiting nutrient in soil, much of which remains challenging for plants to absorb and use. Unlike chemical phosphate fertilizers, phosphate-solubilizing microorganisms (PSMs) offer a means to address available phosphorus deficiency without causing environmental harm. PSMs possess multiple mechanisms for phosphorus solubilization. Although the phosphorus-solubilizing mechanisms of phosphate-solubilizing bacteria (PSB) have been well characterized, the mechanisms utilized by phosphate-solubilizing fungi (PSF) remain largely unexplored. Methods This study isolated a PSF strain, Trametes gibbosa T-41, from soil and evaluated its phosphorus solubilizing capacity with organic (calcium phytin; Phytin-P) and inorganic (tricalcium phosphate; Ca-P) phosphorus sources. The phosphorus solubilization, enzyme activity, and organic acid production of T-41 were measured. And the P-solubilizing mechanism conducted by transcriptomic and metabolomic analyses. Results and discussion T-41 exhibited varying phosphorus solubilizing capacity when grown with organic (calcium phytin; Phytin-P) and inorganic (tricalcium phosphate; Ca-P) phosphorus sources (109.80 ± 8.9 mg/L vs. 57.5 ± 7.9 mg/L, p < 0.05). Compared with the Ca-P treatment, T-41 demonstrated a stronger alkaline phosphatase (ALP) production capacity under Phytin-P treatment (34.5 ± 1.2 μmol/L/h vs. 19.8 ± 0.8 μmol/L/h, p < 0.05). Meanwhile, the production of oxalic acid, maleic acid, and succinic acid was higher under Phytin-P treatment ( p < 0.05). Transcriptomic and metabolomic analysis revealed that different phosphorus sources altered metabolic pathways such as galactose metabolism, glyoxylate and dicarboxylic acid metabolism, and ascorbate and aldolate metabolism. Key metabolites like myo-inositol, 2-oxoglutarate, and pyruvate were found to impact the performance of T. gibbosa T-41 differently under the two P sources. Notably, synthesis in Ca-P vs. Pytin-P, T-41 upregulated genes involved in myo-inositol synthesis, potentially enhancing its P-solubilizing ability. These results provide new insights into the molecular mechanisms of PSF at the transcriptomic and metabolomic levels, laying a theoretical foundation for the broader application of PSF as bio-phosphorus fertilizers in the future.

Chen, Yulan↗

Mitigating Calendar Aging in Si-NMC Batteries with Advanced Dual-Salt Glyme Electrolytes

In addressing the critical challenge of calendar aging in silicon (Si)-based lithium-ion batteries, this study introduces a groundbreaking strategy utilizing glyme-type dual-salt electrolytes (lithium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide [LiTFSI] and lithium difluoro(oxalato)borate [LiDFOB]). These electrolytes are demonstrated to significantly mitigate parasitic reactions and capacity loss in Si-NMC (lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide) full cells, especially when compared with traditional carbonate-based electrolytes. Further, our exhaustive mechanistic analysis reveals that such electrolytes not only preserve the integrity of the Si anode but also improve the cathode/electrolyte interphases (CEI) through the formation of a conformal coating on the high-voltage cathode surface. This dual-salt approach, enhanced by the addition of a phosphate additive, effectively decelerates calendar aging, marking a substantial advance in the quest for durable and reliable Si-based energy storage technologies. The findings underscore the vital role of electrolyte composition in extending the calendar life of Si batteries, offering an alternative avenue toward maximizing the performance and longevity of next-generation Li-Si batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sorption-enhanced steam reforming of toluene using multifunctional perovskite phase transition sorbents in a chemical looping scheme

Abstract Sorption-enhanced steam reforming (SESR) of toluene (SESRT) using catalytic CO 2 sorbents is a promising route to convert the aromatic tar byproducts formed in lignocellulosic biomass gasification into hydrogen (H 2 ) or H 2 -rich syngas. Commonly used sorbents such as CaO are effective in capturing CO 2 initially but are prone to lose their sorption capacity over repeated cycles due to sintering at high temperatures. Herein, we present a demonstration of SESRT using A- and B-site doped Sr 1− x A’ x Fe 1− y B’ y O 3− δ (A’ = Ba, Ca; B’ = Co) perovskites in a chemical looping scheme. We found that surface impregnation of 5–10 mol% Ni on the perovskite was effective in improving toluene conversion. However, upon cycling, the impregnated Ni tends to migrate into the bulk and lose activity. This prompted the adoption of a dual bed configuration using a pre-bed of NiO/ γ –Al 2 O 3 catalyst upstream of the sorbent. A comparison is made between isothermal operation and a more traditional temperature-swing mode, where for the latter, an average sorption capacity of ∼38% was witnessed over five SESR cycles with H 2 -rich product syngas evidenced by a ratio of H 2 : CO x > 4.0. XRD analysis of fresh and cycled samples of Sr 0.25 Ba 0.75 Fe 0.375 Co 0.625 O 3- δ reveal that this material is an effective phase transition sorbent—capable of cyclically capturing and releasing CO 2 without irreversible phase changes occurring.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Atomistic modeling of LiF microstructure ionic conductivity and its influence on nucleation and plating

We report the formation and degradation of the solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) and its underlying transport properties play an essential role in the overall performance of lithium-ion batteries. This paper presents classical molecular dynamics studies on polycrystalline inorganic lithium fluoride (LiF) layers to model and predict the SEI transport properties. The ionic conductivity is obtained from the lithium-ion diffusivity in polycrystalline structures of LiF using the Nernst-Einstein relation. The predicted molecular dynamics data are used in a continuum scale phase-field model to evaluate the plating kinetics under fast charging conditions. The analysis emphasizes that the SEI ionic conductivity properties impact the plating dynamics, where SEI's low ion conductivity value is prone to large plating and subsequent capacity degradation. The combination of atomic and continuum scale studies shown herein lays a foundation to tune in SEI transport properties to decrease the amount of lithium plating and improve the performance of fast-charging batteries.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Investigating Benefits and Challenges of Converting Retiring Coal Plants into Nuclear Plants

A coal-to-nuclear (C2N) transition means siting a nuclear reactor at the site of a recently retired coal power plant. Three overarching questions from the C2N transition guide this research: where in the United States are retired coal facilities located and what factors make a site feasible for transition; what factors of technology, cost, and project timeline drive investor economics over such a decision; and how will C2N impact local communities? The study team evaluated the siting characteristics of recently retired plants and those operating coal-fired power plant sites run by a utility or an independent power producer utilizing publicly available data to screen U.S. coal power plant sites to nuclear-feasible locations. After screening all retired coal sites to a set of 157 potential candidates and screening operating sites to a set of 237 candidates, the study team estimates that 80% of retired and operating coal power plant sites that were evaluated have the basic characteristics needed to be considered amenable to host an advanced nuclear reactor. For the recently retired plant sites evaluated, this represents a capacity potential of 64.8 GWe to be backfit at 125 sites. For the operating plant sites evaluated, this represents a capacity potential of 198.5 GWe to be backfit at 190 sites. This report evaluates a case study for the detailed impacts and potential outcomes from a C2N transition. Based on the nuclear technology choices and sizes evaluated to replace a large coal plant of 1,200 MWe generation capacity at the case study site, nuclear overnight costs of capital could decrease by 15% to 35% when compared to a greenfield construction project, through the reuse of infrastructure from the coal facility. Nuclear replacement designs can have a lower capacity size because nuclear power plants run at higher capacity factors than coal power plants. In the case study replacing coal capacity with 924 GWe of nuclear capacity, the study team found regional economic activity could increase by as much as $\$275 million$ and add 650 new, permanent jobs to the region of analysis. The evaluated site choice in the report is hypothetical for analysis purposes only and based on available data and documented assumptions. Consequently, the findings only inform at a general level. A community, investor, or other interested stakeholder can use these results to set up a detailed, in-depth analysis for a specific application of interest, such as evaluating a C2N transition of a specific coal power plant and a specific nuclear technology design. The report was subjected to independent peer reviews by experts in systems engineering and regional economic modeling to evaluate analysis and assumptions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Oxygenate Onboard Separation for Octane-on-Demand

This project further examines the use of Self-Assembled Monolayers on Mesoporous Supports ® SAMMS ® -based sorbent materials as a sorbent for alcohols from alcohol-gasoline blends in the context of an onboard separation approach for use in an octane-on-demand strategy. Several questions were posed by potential industry collaborators seeking to better understand how the SAMMS®-based materials would perform in a more realistic environment. Several conclusions can be made from the work conducted here, with the caveat that these experiments do not represent the results that would be obtained from continuous or long-term use of the sorbent, because of the short duration of the project. Vigorous extractions into warm gasoline did not reveal the presence of additional species in gas chromatographic analysis. Vibration testing for up to eight hours under aggressive conditions did not show particle attrition. Thermal desorption experiments showed that the SAMMS ® have a higher capacity for methanol, approximately 50 weight-percent of the sorbent, than for ethanol, approximately 20 weight-percent of the sorbent, and that the methanol is easier to extract. Testing of the A20 fuel blends was insufficient and requires a slightly more sophisticated approach than was attempted here. Additionally, further work would be needed to assess the rate at which the alcohol is absorbed into the sorbent. The testing conducted here suggests that equilibrium is reached in well under an hour. While this study provides additional insights into the use of SAMMS®-based sorbent materials for onboard alcohol separation, there is room for further work employing a benchtop testing apparatus similar to that described herein.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Assessment of tank designs for hydrogen storage on heavy duty vehicles using metal hydrides

The objective of this project was to evaluate material-based hydrogen storage solutions as a replacement for high-pressure hydrogen gas or liquid hydrogen on Class 7 or 8 tractor fuel cell electric vehicles. The project focused on low-density main-group hydrides, a well-known class of materials for hydrogen storage. Prior research has considered metal amides as storage materials for light-duty vehicles but not for heavy-duty applications. The project established the basis for further development of storage systems of this type for heavy duty vehicles (HDV). Systems analysis of an HDV storage system comprised of a tank and associated balance of plant (piping, coolant tubes, burner) was performed to determine the usable hydrogen capacity. A composite storage material comprised of a metal hydride mixed with a high thermal-conductivity carbon is predicted to have a usable hydrogen volumetric capacity comparable to or exceeding that of 700 bar pressurized hydrogen gas. The gravimetric capacity of this material is also predicted to be competitive with pressurized gas, particularly if costly carbon fiber composite Type III or Type IV tanks are excluded. The storage system design parameters and material properties served as inputs to a second model that simulates fuel cell operation in conjunction with the storage system during an HDV drive cycle. The results show that sufficient hydrogen pressure can be produced to operate a Class 8 HDV, yielding a range of ~480 miles. These results are particularly relevant for high-impact regions, such as the South Coast Air Quality Management District, for which an economical vehicular hydrogen storage system with minimal impact on cargo capacity could accelerate adoption of heavy-duty fuel cell electric vehicles. An additional benefit is that knowledge generated by this project can assist in development of material-based storage for stationary applications such as microgrids and backup power for data centers.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Thermodynamic Cloud Phase Classifications Using Machine Learning at NSA and ANX

Vertically resolved thermodynamic cloud phase classifications are essential for studies of atmospheric cloud and precipitation processes. The Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) THERMOCLDPHASE Value-Added Product (VAP) uses a multi-sensor approach to classify thermodynamic cloud phase by combining lidar backscatter and depolarization, radar reflectivity, Doppler velocity, spectral width, microwave radiometer-derived liquid water path, and radiosonde temperature measurements. The measured voxels are classified as ice, snow, mixed-phase, liquid (cloud water), drizzle, rain, and liq_driz (liquid+drizzle). We use this product as the ground truth to train three machine learning (ML) models to predict the thermodynamic cloud phase from multi-sensor remote sensing measurements taken at the ARM North Slope of Alaska (NSA) observatory: a random forest (RF), a multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a convolutional neural network (CNN) with a U-Net architecture. Evaluations against the outputs of the THERMOCLDPHASE VAP with one year of data show that the CNN outperforms the other two models, achieving the highest test accuracy, F1-score, and mean Intersection over Union (IOU). Analysis of ML confidence scores shows ice, rain, and snow have higher confidence scores, followed by liquid, while mixed, drizzle, and liq_driz have lower scores. Feature importance analysis reveals that the mean Doppler velocity and vertically resolved temperature are the most influential datastreams for ML thermodynamic cloud phase predictions. The ML models’ generalization capacity is further evaluated by applying them at another Arctic ARM site in Norway using data taken during the ARM Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) field campaign. Finally, we evaluate the ML models’ response to simulated instrument outages and signal degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sharing the Sun: Community Solar Deployment and Subscriptions (As of January 2026)

The community solar market analysis presented here is based primarily on data collected through Sharing the Sun, an initiative of the National Community Solar Partnership+ (NCSP+). Sharing the Sun data collection and analysis are conducted by the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) as part of its support for implementation of NCSP+. NLR first released a dataset of community solar projects in 2018 and updates it biannually. The January 2026 dataset, data collection methodology, and all the previous datasets are available from NLR's Data Catalog: https://data.nlr.gov/submissions/244. The dataset presents project-level information including location, capacity, operating utility, and year of interconnection. The dataset is created from multiple data sources such as utility data, public utility commissions, project developer websites, media releases, primary data collection by NLR, and data provided by developers under nondisclosure agreements. This presentation builds on a previous analysis of the community solar project dataset, Sharing the Sun: Community Solar Deployment and Subscriptions (as of June 2024). Dr. Gabriel Chan and his team at the University of Minnesota contribute to this effort. NCSP+ is led and funded by U.S. Department of Energy's Integrated Energy Systems Office (IESO).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Multiscale Electricity Modeling for Evaluating Carbon Capture and Sequestration Technologies (MEME-CCS)

This effort employs and adapts an existing, rigorous multiscale electricity modeling platform at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to evaluate carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and negative emissions technologies (NET) from the ARPA-E FLECCS program. NREL's modeling platform includes the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) electric sector capacity expansion model, which projects future electricity generation mixes at sub-state-level resolution that are downscaled to the unit-level to enable hourly, zonal or nodal electricity production cost modeling in the PLEXOS model. The resulting hourly price data from PLEXOS is provided to technology developers under the ARPA-E FLECCS program to enable technology-specific economic analysis. The ReEDS-PLEXOS modeling suite is well-established for examining electric sector futures with high renewable energy penetrations, energy storage, electrification, and distributed generation. The key advancement proposed herein utilizes collaboration with CCS experts at the University of Wyoming and the FLECCS teams to create innovative methods for representing CCS and NET in the ReEDS and PLEXOS models. Expanded technology options, new operational parameterizations, and detailed data defining CO2 capture, transportation, and storage systems are being integrated into these models to allow an unprecedented combination of scope and resolution for exploring the future of CCS and NET. The resulting capabilities will take advantage of high-performance computing resources to permit wide-ranging scenario analysis to assess CCS and NET deployment under alternative CO2 prices, fossil fuel prices, electricity demand growth, and other electric sector characteristics. Final outcomes will include publicly available hourly grid operation and price data for any U.S. region of interest along with open-access capacity expansion tools for evaluating CCS/NET systems. These products will help an emerging CCS/NET industry in the United States by providing economics-driven guidance to technology developers while informing policy and investment decisions in the public and private sectors.

air capture↗

A Data-driven Approach for Predicting Nepheline Crystallization in High-Level Waste Glasses

High-level waste (HLW) glasses with high aluminum content are prone to nepheline crystallization during the slow canister cooling that is experienced during large-scale production. Due to its detrimental effects on glass durability, nepheline precipitation must be avoided; however, developing robust, predictive models for nepheline crystallization behavior in HLW glasses is difficult due to their compositional complexity. Using overly conservative constraints to predict nepheline formation can limit the waste loading to lower than the achievable capacity. In this study, a robust data-driven model using five compositional features has been developed to predict nepheline formation. The analysis of the model and the data show that there is an overlap, instead of a distinct compositional boundary, between glasses that form and do not form nepheline. As a result, the model’s predictive accuracy is not the same throughout the feature space and instead is dependent on the location of the glass composition in the dimensionally reduced feature space.

Sargin, Irmak↗

Parametric Finite Element Analysis of Naturally Corroded Steel Specimens Using 3D Surface Laser Scans

Corrosion is considered a uniform thickness reduction design guideline of the maritime industry. However, additionally, the corroded and irregular morphology of the surface affects the steel's load-bearing capacity and its impact on the strength and elongation behaviour of the steel is not yet fully understood. These effects on the local behaviour of steel structures under tensile loading were investigated with tensile tests on naturally corroded steel specimens and nonlinear finite element simulations including the corroded surface morphology with a uniform surface idealation. The models also include the deformed specimen shape. The developed approach led to highly accurate parametric finite element models predicting the ultimate tensile strength and longitudinal position of fracture. The results show that all included aspects are essential for accurate simulations, while solely the maximum available surface resolution was not as decisive.

corrosion↗