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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1991

The rate of neutron star binary mergers in the universe - Minimal predictions for gravity wave detectors

Of the many sources which gravitational wave observatories might see, merging neutron star binaries are the most predictable. Their waveforms at the observable frequencies are easy to calculate. And three systems which will merge in less than a Hubble time have already been observed as binary pulsars: two in the disk of the Galaxy, and one in a globular cluster. From the lifetimes and positions of these, a lower limit to the merger rate in the Galaxy and globular cluster system are inferred with confidence. Taking the merger rate in other galaxies to scale with the star formation rate, the merger rate expected in the local universe is computed. An ultraconservative lower limit to the rate gives three per year within 1 Gpc. The best estimate, still conservative in that it considers only systems like those already observed, gives three per year within 200 Mpc. An upper limit of three mergers per year within 23/h Mpc is set by the rate of Type Ib supernovae. The rates of black hole binary mergers and black hole-neutron star binary mergers are model-dependent, but could be comparable to the given rate of neutron-star binary mergers.

Phinney, E. S.↗
NASA NTRS2002

Prediction of Shock Wave Structure in Weakly Ionized Gas Flow by Solving MGD Equation

This paper reports the recent research results of shockwave structure predictions using a new developed code. The modified Rankine-Hugoniot relations across a standing normal shock wave are discussed and adopted to obtain jump conditions. Coupling a electrostatic body force to the Burnett equations, the weakly ionized flow field across the shock wave was solved. Results indicated that the Modified Rankine-Hugoniot equations for shock wave are valid for a wide range of ionization fraction. However, this model breaks down with small free stream Mach number and with large ionization fraction. The jump conditions also depend on the value of free stream pressure, temperature and density. The computed shock wave structure with ionization provides results, which indicated that shock wave strength may be reduced by existence of weakly ionized gas.

Deng, Z. T.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Eurasian Heat Waves: Mechanisms and Predictability

This study uses the NASA MERRA reanalysis and GEOS 5 model simulations to examine the causes of Eurasian heat waves including the recent extreme events that occurred in Europe during 2003 and in Russia during 2010. The focus is on the warm season and the part of the Eurasian continent that extends north of about 40oN, or roughly to the north of the mean upper tropospheric jet stream. The results show that such extreme events are an amplification of natural patterns of atmospheric variability that develop over the Eurasian continent as a result of internal atmospheric forcing. The amplification occurs when the wave occasionally becomes locked in place for several weeks to months resulting in extreme heat and drying with the location depending on the phase of the upper atmospheric wave. An ensemble of very long GEOS-S model simulations (spanning the 20th century) forced with observed SST and greenhouse gases show that the model is capable of generating very similar heat waves, and that they have become more intense in the last thirty years as a result of the overall warming of the Asian continent. Sensitivity experiments with perturbed initial conditions indicate that these events have limited predictability.

Wang, Hailan↗
NASA NTRS2003

Usefulness of microvolt T-wave alternans for prediction of ventricular tachyarrhythmic events in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy: results from a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to evaluate the ability of microvolt-level T-wave alternans (MTWA) to identify prospectively patients with idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) at risk of ventricular tachyarrhythmic events and to compare its predictive accuracy with that of conventional risk stratifiers. BACKGROUND: Patients with DCM are at increased risk of sudden death from ventricular tachyarrhythmias. At present, there are no established methods of assessing this risk. METHODS: A total of 137 patients with DCM underwent risk stratification through assessment of MTWA, left ventricular ejection fraction, baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), heart rate variability, presence of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (VT), signal-averaged electrocardiogram, and presence of intraventricular conduction defect. The study end point was either sudden death, resuscitated ventricular fibrillation, or documented hemodynamically unstable VT. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 14 +/- 6 months, MTWA and BRS were significant univariate predictors of ventricular tachyarrhythmic events (p < 0.035 and p < 0.015, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that only MTWA was a significant predictor. CONCLUSIONS: Microvolt-level T-wave alternans is a powerful independent predictor of ventricular tachyarrhythmic events in patients with DCM.

Evaluation Studies↗
NASA NTRS1984

On the use of parametric differentiation to predict weak shock waves

The method of parametric differentiation is shown to be an effective means to transform both the time-linearized and the fully nonlinear transonic small disturbance potential flow equations to a linear system of equations. The globally linearized equations are then solved in phase space by finite difference methods and integral equation methods. The predicted birth, growth, and motion of weak shock waves in two-dimensional transonic flows are compared with existing theory and experiment.

Harris, W. L.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Model-data comparisons of moments of nonbreaking shoaling surface gravity waves

The predictions of linear and nonlinear (Boussinesq) shoaling wave models for nonbreaking unidirectional surface gravity waves are compared to field observations, with particular emphasis on quantities that may be important for cross-shore sediment transport. The extensive data sets were obtained on two natural beaches, span water depths between 1 and 10 m, and include incident wave power spectra with narrow, broad, and bimodal shapes. Significant wave heights varied between approximately 30 and 100 cm, and peak periods between approximately 8 and 18 s. The evolution of total variances of sea surface elevation, cross-shore velocity, and horizontal acceleration is modeled at least qualitatively well by both linear and nonlinear theories. Only the nonlinear theory predicts the increasingly asymmetric sea surface elevations and horizontal velocities (pitched-forward wave shapes) and the weaker variation of skewness (difference between crest and trough profiles) which are observed to occur during shoaling. The nonlinear theory also models qualitatively well the large skewed accelerations which occur during the passage of asymmetric waves.

Elgar, Steve↗
NASA NTRS1983

The influence of the tropics on the prediction of ultralong waves. I - Tropical wind field

The effects of tropical wind data from the FGGE and tropical latent heating on numerical modeling of ultralong waves are considered in a two-part study. The model studied is the global fourth-order GLAS general circulation model, an energy-conserving format with horizontal differences calculated with fourth-order accuracy. Data assimilation experiments were performed with and without the wind data, with account taken of eastward and northward wind components, the geopotential height, and the relative humidity, all over pressure surfaces. The initial conditions were used to generate six pairs of forecasts, and the tropical wind error decreased after two days of prediction when the initial conditions contained the wind data. The deviations from the measured planetary wave data were attributed to differences in the initial rotational wind field, which varied on a three-day basis. The latent heat initial data had a five-day period and extended its influence beyond the tropical zone. The tropical heat sources sustained the tropical westerlies in the GLAS model, and removal of the tropical heat sources reversed the wind to easterlies.

Baker, W. E.↗
NASA NTRS1969

Millimeter-wave atmospheric loss prediction method

Relationship between atmospheric attenuation and the ground temperature and humidity provides a reference from which changes in temperature and humidity will produce a corresponding atmospheric loss figure. Computer program computes atmospheric loss due to water content, given the measured loss and ground temperature and humidity.

Stelzried, C. T.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Predictability of ultralong waves in global and hemispheric quasi-geostrophic barotropic models

A global quasi-geostrophic barotropic model, including orography, zonal forcing, and frictional dissipation, is compared to two hemispheric models, one with antisymmetric equatorial boundary conditions and one with symmetric boundary conditions. The stationary solutions in the global model and the hemispheric models are found to be different, because the hemispheric models lack either the symmetric or antisymmetric waves, and because the nonlinear feedbacks are much larger in the hemispheric models. Time-dependent calculations show that the hemispheric models can excite anomalous Rossby waves and can produce erroneous short-range forecasts in middle latitudes. It is concluded that global models are preferred for making both short-range and long-range forecasts for middle latitudes.

Roads, J. O.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Predicting dangerous ocean waves with spaceborne synthetic aperture radar

It is pointed out that catastrophes, related to the occurrence of strong winds and large ocean waves, can consume more lives and property than most naval battles. The generation of waves by wind are considered, Pierson et al. (1955) have incorporated statistical concepts into a wave forecast model. The concept of an 'ocean wave spectrum' was introduced, with the wind acting independently on each Fourier component. However, even after 30 years of research and debate, the generation, propagation, and dissipation of the spectrum under arbitrary conditions continue to be controversial. It has now been found that spaceborne SAR has a surprising ability to precisely monitor spatially evolving wind and wave fields. Approaches to overcome certain weaknesses of the SAR method are discussed, taking into account the second Shuttle Imaging Radar experiment, and a possible long-term solution provided by Spectrasat. Spectrasat should be a low-altitude (200 to 250 km) satellite with active drag compensation.

Beal, R. C.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Comparison of shock wave rise time prediction techniques

Two techniques for predicting sonic-boom rise times are described, and the values of the rise time (defined as the time required for the shock front to go from 10 percent to 90 percent of the maximum overpressure) predicted when using the two approaches are compared. The results are applied to the prediction of the rise time from two hypothetical supersonic transport aircraft. In both cases, the rise time predicted at the ground was much greater than that predicted for a conventional SST.

Raspet, Richard↗
NASA NTRS1992

The 26-day oscillation observed in the satellite sea surface temperature measurements in the equatorial western Indian Ocean

A 26-d oscillation in SST data is observed in the western Indian Ocean, from 52 to 60 deg E and in the vicinity of the equator. The SST data used in this study are obtained from the NOAA 9 satellite and are for the years 1987 and 1988. This fluctuation of SST at a period near 26-d is found to be antisymmetric about the equator and is trapped within the equatorial waveguide latitude; furthermore, the variance decreases at a faster rate toward the equator than poleward. These characteristics are consistent with the latitudinal structure for the mixed Rossby-gravity (or Yanai) waves as predicted from linear wave theory. The temporal variation of this 26-d oscillation is most energetic during the summer season (July to September), with maximum values of 0.4 C and 0.8 C found during August of 1987 and 1988, respectively. This observation agrees with temporal variation of Yanai waves inferred from drifting buoy observations and numerical studies of the Indian Ocean. Thus it is concluded that the Yanai wave is responsible for the 26-d fluctuation observed in the SST data in this region.

Tsai, Pedro T. H.↗
NASA NTRS1993

On the coupling between the lower and the upper thermosphere during the first lower thermosphere coupling study

The study reports simultaneous observations of the neutral winds and temperatures and electron densities in the upper and lower thermosphere. The measurements were made at Arecibo and Millstone Hill during the first Lower Thermosphere Coupling Study (LTCS 1) campaign in September 1987. The observations show much day-to-day variability, possibly due to the geomagnetic activity which occurred during the period; storm effects are discernible in the data at low altitudes even at low latitudes. Simulations of the low and midlatitudes did not substantially improve with the use of lower boundary conditions derived from the measurements. The model predicts that diurnal waves are not negligible in analysis of lower thermosphere data; near 100 km the diurnal wave amplitudes of the meridional waves were predicted to be greater than the semidiurnal.

Fesen, C. G.↗
NASA NTRS2000

Prediction of Sound Waves Propagating Through a Nozzle Without/With a Shock Wave Using the Space-Time CE/SE Method

The benchmark problems in Category 1 (Internal Propagation) of the third Computational Aeroacoustics (CAA) Work-shop sponsored by NASA Glenn Research Center are solved using the space-time conservation element and solution element (CE/SE) method. The first problem addresses the propagation of sound waves through a nearly choked transonic nozzle. The second one concerns shock-sound interaction in a supersonic nozzle. A quasi one-dimension CE/SE Euler solver for a nonuniform mesh is developed and employed to solve both problems. Numerical solutions are compared with the analytical solution for both problems. It is demonstrated that the CE/SE method is capable of solving aeroacoustic problems with/without shock waves in a simple way. Furthermore, the simple nonreflecting boundary condition used in the CE/SE method which is not based on the characteristic theory works very well.

Wang, Xiao-Yen↗
NASA NTRS1994

An algorithm for forecasting mountain wave-related turbulence in the stratosphere

A global mountain wave parameterization for prediction of wave-related displacements and turbulence is described. The parameterization is used with input from National Meteorological Center (NMC) analyses of wind and temperature to examine small-scale disturbances encountered by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration high-altitude ER-2 during the Second Airborne Arctic Stratosphere Experiment (AASE-II). The magnitude and location of observed large wave events are well reproduced. A strong correlation is suggested between patches of moderate turbulence encountered by the ER-2 and locations where breaking mountain waves are predicted by the parameterization. These facts suggest that useful forecasts of global mountain wave activity, including wave-related clear-air turbulence, can be made quickly and inexpensively using our mountain wave parameterization with input from current numerical forecast models.

Bacmeister, Julio T.↗
NASA NTRS1985

The role of FGGE data in the understanding and prediction of atmospheric planetary waves

The augmented observational data base provided by FGGE offers a unique opportunity to improve the understanding and prediction of atmospheric planetary waves. Substantial progress was made, but a number of problems remain. The research on planetary waves conducted thus far with FGGE data is reviewed. Areas of progress are summarized, and some remaining problems are discussed.

Baker, W. E.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Review of data analysis procedures for the ATS-6 millimeter wave experiment

Predictions of satellite downlink attenuation through the use of ground based measurements form a substantial part of the ATS-6 millimeter wave experiment (MWE). At the downlink frequencies (20 and 30 GHz), the major causes of attenuation are the density and the size distribution of rain drops along the propagation path. Ground station data, which include radar and rain gauge records, measure quantities related to the meteorological parameters of interest and thereby provide a prediction of downlink attenuation with which the measured attenuation can be compared. The calibration and data analysis procedures used in the MWE are reviewed with the object of improving the accuracy of such ground based predictions.

Meneghini, R.↗