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At least 73 records · Page 4

Time and Frequency Analysis of Load Profile Data

Technology advancements and integration of modern advanced metering systems can monitor, forecast, inform, control, and operate the building's mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems. They offer a higher level of information, which can contribute to making smart buildings more energy efficient and to making them closer to becoming grid-interactive energy efficient buildings (GEB). This paper builds on the ongoing research on variability analysis of a case study building with a 1-minute load profile and examines the Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) process in the frequency domain to quantify the signal's energy in each bandwidth, with respect to each end-use category. Moreover, the amount of variability in the total variability is not similar among the end-use categories. This information is needed to understand the behavior of the variability in the frequency domain for future applications, such as generating synthetic load profiles with a similar frequency spectrum as the measured signal.

decomposition↗

Statistical Analysis of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles Climatology and Multi-Day Periodicity Using GOLD Observations

This study develops a new Bubble Index to quantify the intensity of 2-D postsunset equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) in the American/Atlantic sector, using Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) nighttime data. A climatology and day-to-day variability analysis of EPBs is conducted based on the newly-derived Bubble Index with the following results: (a) EPBs show considerable seasonal and solar activity dependence, with stronger (weaker) intensity around December (June) solstice and high (low) solar activity years. (b) EPBs exhibit opposite geomagnetic activity dependencies during different storm phases: EPBs are intensified concurrently with an increasing Kp, but are suppressed with high Kp occurring 3–6 hr earlier. (c) For the first time, we found that EPBs' day-to-day variation exhibited quasi-3-day and quasi-6-day periods. A coordinated analysis of Ionospheric Connection Explorer (ICON) winds and ionosonde data suggests that this multi-day periodicity was related to the planetary wave modulation through the wind-driven dynamo.

Ercha Aa↗

Resource Analysis of NP Kunta Solar Park Site (White Paper)

India has set a target of 175 GW of renewable energy (RE) capacity by 2022 and 450 GW by 2030. Flexibility is key for efficient integration of renewables. The modern-day RE plants are grid-friendly and can also provide this flexibility. A pilot to demonstrate this flexibility by implementing automatic generation control (AGC) at a solar plant is being done by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) under USAID’s Greening the Grid (GTG) Program and Renewable Integration & Sustainable Energy (RISE) initiative. This paper presents the resource variability analysis of the 250-MW NP Kunta solar plant site where the AGC pilot project is being implemented. This paper also demonstrates the use of publicly available resource quality data, which can be utilized by various stakeholders to better understand the variability of any existing or potential RE site in India and possibly increase confidence in decisions or help to understand the impacts that can be expected.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Conformational motions and ligand-binding underlying gating and regulation in IP 3 R channel

Inositol-1,4,5-trisphosphate receptors (IP3Rs) are activated by IP 3 and Ca 2+ and their gating is regulated by various intracellular messengers that finely tune the channel activity. Here, using single particle cryo-EM analysis we determined 3D structures of the nanodisc-reconstituted IP 3 R1 channel in two ligand-bound states. These structures provide unprecedented details governing binding of IP 3 , Ca 2+ and ATP, revealing conformational changes that couple ligand-binding to channel opening. Using a deep-learning approach and 3D variability analysis we extracted molecular motions of the key protein domains from cryo-EM density data. We find that IP 3 binding relies upon intrinsic flexibility of the ARM2 domain in the tetrameric channel. Our results highlight a key role of dynamic side chains in regulating gating behavior of IP 3 R channels. This work represents a stepping-stone to developing mechanistic understanding of conformational pathways underlying ligand-binding, activation and regulation of the channel.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Using MERRA Gridded Innovations for Quantifying Uncertainties in Analysis Fields and Diagnosing Observing System Inhomogeneities

MERRA is a NASA reanalysis for the satellite era using a major new version of the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System Version 5 (GEOS-5). The project focuses on historical analyses of the hydrological cycle on a broad range of weather and climate time scales and places the NASA EOS suite of observations in a climate context. The characterization of uncertainty in reanalysis fields is a commonly requested feature by users of such data. While intercomparison with reference data sets is common practice for ascertaining the realism of the datasets, such studies typically are restricted to long term climatological statistics and seldom provide state dependent measures of the uncertainties involved. In principle, variational data assimilation algorithms have the ability of producing error estimates for the analysis variables (typically surface pressure, winds, temperature, moisture and ozone) consistent with the assumed background and observation error statistics. However, these "perceived error estimates" are expensive to obtain and are limited by the somewhat simplistic errors assumed in the algorithm. The observation minus forecast residuals (innovations) by-product of any assimilation system constitutes a powerful tool for estimating the systematic and random errors in the analysis fields. Unfortunately, such data is usually not readily available with reanalysis products, often requiring the tedious decoding of large datasets and not so-user friendly file formats. With MERRA we have introduced a gridded version of the observations/innovations used in the assimilation process, using the same grid and data formats as the regular datasets. Such dataset empowers the user with the ability of conveniently performing observing system related analysis and error estimates. The scope of this dataset will be briefly described. We will present a systematic analysis of MERRA innovation time series for the conventional observing system, including maximum-likelihood estimates of background and observation errors, as well as global bias estimates. Starting with the joint PDF of innovations and analysis increments at observation locations we propose a technique for diagnosing bias among the observing systems, and document how these contextual biases have evolved during the satellite era covered by MERRA.

da Silva, Arlindo↗

Coordinated time variability of multi-phase ultra-fast outflows in J132216.25 + 052446.3

ABSTRACT We present a time variability analysis of broad absorption lines (BAL; spread over the velocity range of 5800–29 000 km s−1) seen in the spectrum of J132216.25 + 052446.3 (zem = 2.04806) at ten different epochs spanning over 19 yr. The strongest absorption component (BAL-A; spread over 5800–9900 km s−1) is made up of several narrow components having velocity separations close to C iv doublet splitting. The C iv, N v, and Si iv absorption from BAL-A show correlated optical depth variability without major changes in the velocity structure. A very broad and shallow absorption (BAL-C; spread over the velocity range 15 000–29 000 km s−1) emerged during our monitoring period coinciding with a dimming episode of J1322 + 0524. All the identified absorption lines show correlated variability with the equivalent widths increasing with decreasing flux. This together with the C iv emission line variability is consistent with ionization being the main driver of the correlated variability. The observed UV-continuum variations are weaker than what is required by the photoionization models. This together with a scatter in the C iv equivalent width at a given continuum flux can be understood if variations of the C iv ionizing photons are much larger than that of the UV continuum, the variations in the ionizing photon and UV fluxes are not correlated and/or the covering factor of the flow varies continuously. We suggest BAL-A is produced by a stable clumpy outflow located beyond the broad emission line region and BAL-C is a newly formed wind component located near the accretion disc and both respond to changes in the ionizing continuum.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Studying the Iron Line Complex in the Bright Seyfert Galaxy NGC 5506

This grant was to support the reduction and analysis of our approved XMM observation of the nearby Seyfert 2 galaxy NGC 5506. The observation has been carried out simultaneously with a BeppoSAX observation of the same source. The proposal was aimed to study in detail the Compton reflection component and the complex Iron K line of this source, combining the still unique capability of BeppoSAX in hard X-rays (to strongly constrain the reflection component, and then the intrinsic nuclear continuum), and the sensitivity of XMM at the energy of the Iron Line complex. NGC 5506 is one of the brightest AGN in hard X-rays and has been intensively studied in the past. GINGA detected the complex iron line as well as the reflection component. Both ASCA (spectroscopically) and Rossi-XTE (through variability analysis) suggested that the FeK line is complex, possibly made up of several distinct components. The centroid of the FeK complex in a subsequent BeppoSAX observation was bluer than the 6.4 keV energy of the relatively low-ionization iron Kalpha transition. NGC 5506 has been observed simultaneously by NewtonXMM and BeppoSAX on February 2-3 2001. we have reduced and analyzed both the NewtonXMM and the BeppoSAX data, and have written and published a paper on our results (appeared in Volume 377 (page 31) of A&A-Letters). Our main results can be summarized as follows: (a) we confirm that the FeK line is complex, and for the first time disentangle its components: we find that at least two components made up the FeK complex, one neutral and narrow, at 6.4 keV (rest energy), and another one either broader and highly ionized, at about 6.7 keV (rest frame), or, in turn, made up of two narrow and unresolved components from the He-like and the H-like ions of Fe; (b) the two possible solution for the high-ionization Fe-K component, are statistically indistinguishable. However, physically, a blend of two narrow lines from photoionized matter seems to be preferable to emission of a relativistically broadened line from an ionized accretion disk; (c) The bulk of the Compton reflection continuum originates in neutral matter, and is therefore associated with the narrow FeK line at 6.4 keV: they are most likely emitted by distant matter.

Nicastro, Fabrizio↗

Mercury Speciation via Diffusive Gradients Thin-Films Technology

Objectives: Develop and test various diffusive gradient in thin films (DGT) samplers for mercury - SRNL is developing reactive DGTS (rDGTs). Test chemistry to differentiate methylmercury from total and/or inorganic mercury in environmental samples. Fabricate and test rDGT samplers for deployment. Deploy the rDGTs in variable settings. Mercury is a persistent-bioaccumulative-toxic environmental pollutant. Mercury exists in different species such as elemental, inorganic, and methyl. Mercury speciation determine mercury behavior and toxicity. For example, methylmercury strongly accumulates in biota such as fish resulting in potential human health impacts. DGTs are innovative samplers to measure water concentration by diffusion and capture. Types of Hg DGTs used: Total Hg, Inorganic Hg, and Methyl Hg. Deployment Sites: Upper Three Runs, Lower Three Runs, Steele Creek, East Fork Poplar Creek (SRNL Sites), Horizons Creek, NOA Creek, Bruners Creek (ORNL Sites). DGT concentration estimates closely matched alternative measurements for soluble mercury at each Oak Ridge site - DGTs did not respond to particulate mercury. DGTs provide a representative measure for biota uptake since they are left out longer which allows for an average exposure concentration. DMA-80 provided an efficient and quick analysis. Variability in site location made a difference in Hg species. DGT preparations and sampling wasn't as quick and simple as microcolumn technology. Copper reagent degraded agarose gel - more work and cleaner data are needed to assess speciation in rDGTs. Future Work: Use cross-linked polyacrylamide for the collection layer for a stronger plastic. Make a copper diffusion layer without agarose. Test copper separation in lab using realistic stream conditions such as high organic carbon.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Spectroscopic classification, variability, and SED of the Fermi -detected CSS 3C 286: the radio-loudest NLS1 galaxy?

ABSTRACT 3C 286 is a well-known calibrator source in radio astronomy. It is also one of very few compact steep-spectrum (CSS) sources detected in γ-rays. Here, we perform a detailed spectroscopic and variability analysis and present the first quasi-simultaneous optical to X-ray spectral energy distribution (SED) in order to reveal physical mechanisms that dominate its emission at different wavelengths, and arrive at a reliable optical source classification. The first main result of our study reveals several pitfalls when applying simple broad- or narrow-line Seyfert 1 (BLS1 or NLS1) classification criteria that only look at the [O iii]–Hβ complex. [O iii] and Hβ can be dominated by the same outflow components, in which case full width at half-maximum (Hβ) is no reliable classification criterion, and extinction by intrinsic or intervening material can make the highest velocity Hβ component undetectable. After careful combination of all information from ultraviolet (UV)–optical spectra along with multiwavelength data, we confirm that 3C 286 can be classified as NLS1 galaxy, with line properties and supermassive black hole mass (of order 108 M⊙ and accreting near the Eddington limit) close to the BLS1 regime, making it an important borderline object. The quasi-simultaneous SED taken with Swift shows a sharp rise in the optical–UV, implying the presence of a strong accretion-disc component with extreme UV excess, consistent with emission-line diagnostics. Finally, we report the discovery of X-ray variability of 3C 286, plausibly dominated by jet emission, and variable by at least a factor of ∼4. This result suggests to exercise caution when using 3C 286 as radio calibrator in high-resolution radio very long baseline interferometry observations.

Yao, Su↗

A machine learning model for predicting the minimum miscibility pressure of CO 2 and crude oil system based on a support vector machine algorithm approach

CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) is a potential way for carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS). Though, the effect of CO 2 injection is greatly influenced by the reservoir conditions. Typically, Minimum miscible pressure (MMP) is selected as one of the key parameters for the screening and evaluation of prospective CO 2 flooding. Conventional slim tube test is both accurate and widely accepted but it is inefficient. Existing empirical formulas for MMPs are easy to be used but have been proved inaccurate and unreliable. Machine learning-based methods have great advantages in predicting MMP. However, only predication accuracy is discussed for most models without the screening of the main control factors and further validation of the model reliability. In this paper, a new prediction model based on support vector machine (SVM) was developed for pure/impure CO 2 and crude oil system. This study was based on 147 sets of MMP data from the literature with full information on reservoir temperature, oil composition and gas composition. The main control factors were screened by several statistical methods. Unlike the conventional prediction models that verified by only prediction accuracy, learning curve and single factor control variable analysis are further validated to obtain the optimum model.

02 PETROLEUM↗

A search for ultrahigh-energy neutrinos associated with astrophysical sources using the third flight of ANITA

The ANtarctic Impulsive Transient Antenna (ANITA) long-duration balloon experiment is sensitive to interactions of ultrahigh-energy (E>10 18 eV) neutrinos in the Antarctic ice sheet. The third flight of ANITA, lasting 22 days, began in December 2014. We develop a methodology to search for energetic neutrinos spatially and temporally coincident with potential source classes in ANITA data. This methodology is applied to several source classes: the potential IceCube-identified neutrino sources TXS 0506+056 and NGC 1068, flaring high-energy blazars reported by the Fermi All-Sky Variability Analysis, gamma-ray bursts, and supernovae. Among searches within the five source classes, one candidate was identified as associated with SN 2015D, although not at a statistically significant level. Finally, we proceed to place upper limits on the source classes. We further comment on potential application of this methodology to more sensitive future instruments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

elm-diagnostics

elm-diagnostics is a Python package for computing diagnostic analyses and visualizations for the E3SM Land Model (ELM) component and is meant to support new feature development in ELM. The tool reads model history files and performs quantitative analyses including budget-closure checking, variable transformations, temporal aggregations, and statistical summaries to support model evaluation, validation, and scientific interpretation. The framework is designed for extensibility, with modular architecture enabling straightforward addition of new diagnostic methods, derived variables, analysis types, visualization approaches, and model-specific adaptations

Hoffman, Matt [Los Alamos National Laboratory]↗

Refining Fast Simulation Using Machine Learning

A growing reliance on the fast Monte Carlo (FastSim) will accompany the high luminosity and detector granularity expected in Phase 2. FastSim is roughly 10 times faster than equivalent GEANT4-based full simulation (FullSim). However, reduced accuracy of the FastSim affects some analysis variables and collections. To improve its accuracy, FastSim is refined using regression-based neural networks trained with ML. The status of FastSim refinement is presented. The results show improved agreement with the FullSim output and an improvement in correlations among output observables and external parameters.

Güngördü, Acelya Deniz↗

metabCombiner 2.0: Disparate Multi-Dataset Feature Alignment for LC-MS Metabolomics

Liquid chromatography–high-resolution mass spectrometry (LC-HRMS), as applied to untargeted metabolomics, enables the simultaneous detection of thousands of small molecules, generating complex datasets. Alignment is a crucial step in data processing pipelines, whereby LC-MS features derived from common ions are assembled into a unified matrix amenable to further analysis. Variability in the analytical factors that influence liquid chromatography separations complicates data alignment. This is prominent when aligning data acquired in different laboratories, generated using non-identical instruments, or between batches from large-scale studies. Previously, we developed metabCombiner for aligning disparately acquired LC-MS metabolomics datasets. Here, we report significant upgrades to metabCombiner that enable the stepwise alignment of multiple untargeted LC-MS metabolomics datasets, facilitating inter-laboratory reproducibility studies. To accomplish this, a “primary” feature list is used as a template for matching compounds in “target” feature lists. We demonstrate this workflow by aligning four lipidomics datasets from core laboratories generated using each institution’s in-house LC-MS instrumentation and methods. We also introduce batchCombine, an application of the metabCombiner framework for aligning experiments composed of multiple batches. metabCombiner is available as an R package on Github and Bioconductor, along with a new online version implemented as an R Shiny App.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

OAO-2 observations of C III 1909 A line in gamma 2 Velorum

The C III 1909 A emission line in gamma 2 Velorum was observed over a period of 24 hours in an attempt to find short period time variability. Analysis of this data found no periods in the range of 0.5 to 200 minutes, and placed an upper limit of 3% on the amplitude of the stellar pulsations. Improved spectral resolution data for this line was obtained by offsetting the OAO-2 pointing in steps of 15 seconds of arc. The line profile derived by combining this offset data with the slit function shows a definite asymmetry. Although the improved resolution gives results which are barely sufficient for comparison with the prediction from model envelopes, some information concerning the abundance of carbon and the physical conditions of the envelope can be gained.

West, D. K.↗

Multiple eigenvalues of sound-absorbing circular and annular ducts

Eigenvalue equations of the form D(lambda) = 0 are studied for acoustic modes in circular and annular ducts without flow. The ducts have locally reacting walls with arbitrary wall admittance. It is shown that circular ducts may have double eigenvalues, or wall admittances where both D(lambda) and D prime (lambda) are zero. These double eigenvalues are formed by the coalescence of the lowest-order eigenfunction with some higher-order eigenfunction. The eigenfunctions, or acoustic modes, associated with the double eigenvalues are found to be orthogonal to themselves so that the standard expansion formula for the acoustic field, which is obtained from a separation-of-variables analysis, is invalid. An alternate expansion formula for the acoustic field is derived. This alternate formula shows that the coalesced acoustic mode is linearly amplified by the transmission distance and exponentially attenuated at the expected rate. The expansion formula also reveals a new eigenfunction, or acoustic mode, which is exponentially attenuated at the same rate as the coalesced eigenfunction.

Zorumski, W. E.↗

Stress-intensity factors and crack-opening displacements for round compact specimens

An improved method of boundary collocation based on the complex variable analysis of Muskhelishvili (1953) is applied to the two-dimensional stress analysis of round compact specimens with pin-loaded holes. Stress intensity factors and crack opening displacements are calculated for various round compact specimens as a function of crack-length-to-specimen-width ratios. A wide-range equation for the stress intensity factors and equations for crack-surface displacements and load-point displacements are developed.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗

Program review presentation to Level 1, Interagency Coordination Committee

Progress in the development of crop inventory technology is reported. Specific topics include the results of a thematic mapper analysis, variable selection studies/early season estimator improvements, the agricultural information system simulator, large unit proportion estimation, and development of common features for multi-satellite information extraction.

Source record↗