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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Tidal–hydrological dynamics of water temperature across freshwater forested wetlands on the northeastern Pacific coast

Abstract Tidal freshwater forests were once extensive across temperate coastlines, but loss and fragmentation have made estimation of their ecosystem functions challenging. We measured water temperature for 2 years in three Sitka spruce tidal forests, a restoration site, and an adjacent emergent marsh on the Columbia River, Washington, United States. We assessed spatial variability of water temperature within sites including the effects of hydrology, differences among bay and tributary tidal forests, and differences between the tidal forests and the mainstem Columbia, the restoration site, and the emergent marsh. The tidal forests nearest to the bay had lower interior water temperatures than their channel confluences by up to 2.5°C (weekly median temperature) and 2.0°C (weekly maximum temperature), with most cooling occurring during the low‐flow months of July–September. Tributary sites had maximum temperatures up to 1.9°C cooler than bay sites and 4.2°C cooler than the mainstem. Temperatures in the two bay sites decreased by −0.16°C/100 m and −0.07°C/100 m, on average. The restoration site had the smallest within‐site temperature gradient. Differences in maximum temperatures were greatest when tidal range was low, while higher tidal ranges were associated with warmer and more variable site interiors relative to their confluences. These results suggest that water temperatures in these tidal forests can provide temperature refugia for cold water biota including salmon.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Fine Temperature Grid Continuous Energy Cross Section Generation for Monte Carlo Analysis of Xe-100 Design

The standard “A Compact ENDF (ACE)” data libraries used by Monte Carlo based reactor physics codes calculations are provided by Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) with a temperature interval mostly of 300 K (e.g. 300 K, 600 K, 900 K) for the cross sections and between 100 K and 200 K for the thermal scattering libraries (TSL). However, some codes such as MCNP lack capability to perform on-the-fly temperature interpolation during simulation both for neutron and TSL cross-sections. To evaluate the impact related to Doppler broadening and spectrum shift associated with TSL changes, this paper explores the potential of adopting a temperature grid finer than the ones contained in the standard data libraries. A 50 K temperature grid was employed to quantify the error in neutronics calculations due to temperature grid resolution. This was achieved by comparing the results of this study (50 K temperature interval) against the results obtained with standard data libraries (>100 K temperature interval). While the adopted grid primarily relies on the ENDF/B-VII.1 library, for neutron cross-sections, it utilizes ENDF/B-VIII.0 library for TSL. The analyses confirmed that the accuracy of neutronics calculations is satisfactory when using a 50 K temperature grid. Notably, adopting a 50 K temperature grid, as opposed to standard libraries or coarser temperature grids, could lead to a difference of no more than a few hundred pcm in dk for both fresh fuel and burnt fuel. The most sensitive reaction type to the temperature grid was as expected identified as the capture cross-section of U-238.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Temperature sensitivity of the equilibrium neutronics and accident analysis of the HTR-10

Pebble-Bed High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (PB-HTGR) are moderated by the graphite in the fuel pebbles and the graphite reflector surrounding the pebble-bed. Because graphite is by far the most abundant material in PB-HTGRs and the primary moderator, accurate modeling of the graphite material, including density, impurities, and temperatures, is crucial for accurate computational modeling and simulation of these reactors. While main characteristics of the graphite components are often known, the local temperature is less well known and often averaged over all components. Here, this work studies the impact of considering accurate temperature profiles in the graphite material on the generation of a small PB-HTGR model at the state of equilibrium operation and on short-term accident progression. The fuel compositions for the PB-HTGR were determined using a jump-in equilibrium modeling method, the Axial Radial Zone Equilibrium Modeling (AR-ZEM) method. In contrast to previous work, the AR-ZEM method was used considering thermal-hydraulic feedback from the MELCOR code to determine temperatures of the fuel pebbles and the surrounding graphite reflector. The consideration of an axial and radial temperature profile in the core and reflector, as opposed to uniform material temperatures, had an impact of almost 1,300 pcm on the equilibrium core eigenvalue and caused significant differences in the discharged plutonium fuel inventory with up to 4.9% and 11.0% for Pu-239 and Pu-242, respectively. To assess the impact on short-term accident progression, two Anticipated Transient Without SCRAM (ATWS) events, a Pressurized Loss of Forced Coolant (PLOFC) and a Control Rod Withdrawal (CRW) with loss of flow, were simulated with MELCOR. The use of temperature profiles in the equilibrium core models did not reveal a significant impact on the temperature, power, or reactivity responses during the transients. In conclusion, a need for consideration of accurate temperature profiles, in particular for the graphite reflector, was found for the generation of equilibrium PB-HTGRs core models using jump-in methods, but detailed temperature profiles may not be necessary when performing conservative transient analysis.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Temperature effect on turbulent burning velocity of lean premixed hydrogen/air flames

Hydrogen has drawn great attention in recent years as a carbon-free fuel. The turbulent burning velocity (S T ) is an important parameter for the design and modeling of hydrogen-fueled engines given the high propagation speed of hydrogen flames. It has been well documented that S T of hydrogen flames can be dramatically increased by thermo-diffusive effects which are sensitive to thermodynamic conditions. Previous studies have mainly focused on the pressure effect on S T of lean hydrogen flames, while the temperature effect has been largely ignored. Here, in the present study, the turbulent burning velocity for a lean hydrogen/air mixture over a wide range of temperatures (300–641 K) and pressures (1–15 atm) is investigated through direct numerical simulations of statistically planar turbulent premixed flames. Results show that the variation of normalized turbulent burning velocity (S T /S L , where S L is the laminar flame speed) with temperature and pressure is mainly controlled by the variation of the stretching factor I 0 . While S T /S L is only marginally dependent on temperature at the atmospheric pressure, it exhibits a decreasing trend with temperature at an elevated pressure (10 atm). This is associated with different temperature dependencies of flame surface area enlargement at the two different pressures, despite the monotonically decreasing trends of I 0 with temperature at both pressures. In addition, under engine-relevant conditions where the temperature and pressure increase simultaneously, the promotion effect of pressure is found to be largely canceled out by the suppression effect of temperature, leading to only a slight increase in I 0 and S T /S L . The observed trends are further explained through detailed flame dynamic analysis. Furthermore, I 0 at different temperatures and pressures is found to correlate very well with the enhancement of fuel consumption rate in the critically strained laminar flames. The present study elucidates the strong impact of temperature on S T of lean premixed hydrogen/air flames at elevated pressures and provides new insights into the modeling of S T , especially for engine-relevant conditions.

Wang, Yiqing [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), A↗
DOE OSTI2026

Lattice anharmonicity effects in fluorite oxide single crystals and anomalous increase in phonon lifetime in ceria at elevated temperature

Here, we investigate the temperature dependence of the frequency and linewidth of the triply degenerate T 2g zone-centered optical phonon in flux-grown ceria and hydrothermally synthesized thoria single crystals from room temperature to 1273 K using Raman spectroscopy. Both crystals exhibit an expected increase in the phonon linewidth with temperature due to enhanced phonon–phonon scattering. However, ceria displays an anomalous linewidth reduction in the temperature range of 1023–1123 K. First-principles phonon linewidth calculations considering cubic and quartic phonon interactions within temperature-independent phonon dispersion fail to describe this anomaly. A parameterization of the temperature-dependent second-order interatomic force constants based on previously reported phonon dispersion measured at room and high temperatures predicts a deviation from the monotonic linewidth increase, albeit at temperatures lower than those observed experimentally for ceria. The qualitative agreement in the trend of temperature-dependent linewidth suggests that lattice anharmonicity-induced phonon renormalization plays a role in phonon lifetime. Specifically, a change in the overlap between softened acoustic and optical branches in the dispersion curve reduces the available phonon scattering phase space of the Raman-active mode at the zone center, leading to an increased phonon lifetime within a narrow temperature interval. These findings provide insights into higher-order anharmonic interactions in ceria and thoria, motivating further investigations into the role of anharmonicity-induced phonon renormalization on phonon lifetimes at high temperatures.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Code Benchmark of Depressurized Conduction Cooldown Transient in the High Temperature Test Facility

This paper presents results from modeling of a depressurized conduction cooldown (DCC) transient at the High Temperature Test Facility (HTTF) as part of the OECD-NEA Thermal Hydraulics Code Validation Benchmark for High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors using HTTF Data . This paper briefly describes the benchmark and the models being used. It then presents a comparison of steady state and transient results based on the Problem 2 Exercise 1A and 1B definitions. We compare block and helium temperature distributions, mass flow distribution, and energy balance in steady state. All models show comparable mass flow distributions and energy balances. The temperatures within the core and outer regions are comparable in all models too, but inner reflector temperatures can vary significantly. Despite that, we find that the models are in good agreement for the full-power steady state. In the DCC, we look at block temperature at the core midplane and RCCS water exit temperature. The INL and ANL models are found to be in excellent agreement with one another on block temperature over time, while the agreement when the KAERI and NRG models are added into consideration is good. Differences in the transient heat removal from the RCCS cause the differences in block temperature over time in these models. The CNL models show similar trends to the INL, ANL, KAERI, and NRG models, but the temperatures are high because the volumes used in calculating the average temperature include the heater rods in the CNL models only. The HUN-REN model shows results that suggest significantly lower heat removal in the RCCS which merit further investigation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Ground surface temperature derived Snow Cover Properties, Seward Peninsula, Alaska, 2019-2023

Snow-ground interface temperatures have been collected at the Teller mile marker 27 and Kougarok mile marker 64 field sites on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska from 2019 through 2023 (with data missing from Fall 2020 through Summer 2021 due to COVID). Temperatures were measured using iButton Link DS1921G-F5# Thermochron miniature temperature sensors and Tinytag TGP-4017 internal sensors deployed across the Kougarok 64 and Teller 27 field sites. These sensors are a cost-efficient way to collect snow-ground interface temperatures at a high spatial resolution, and when paired with air temperature data these measurements can provide insight into fine-scale variability in snowpack characteristics across the study sites. From this data, snow process metrics were calculated at each sensor location based on the methods outlined in Staub and Delaloye, 2017. Metrics are calculated daily for each sensor as well as over the entire season. These metrics include ground surface temperature (°C), the number of days under snow cover (number of days), the insulation effect of snow (unitless), the length of the transitional snow periods (number of days), as well as intermediaries such as temperature variability. Calculating these snow processes relies on the assumption that when snow covers a temperature sensor, it is buffered from diurnal fluctuations in air temperature by the insulating snow layer. More information on the calculated metrics can be found in the User Guide of this dataset, as well as in Staub and Delaloye’s 2017 publication Using Near-Surface Ground Temperature Data to Derive Snow Insulation and Melt Indices for Mountain Permafrost Applications. This dataset includes one daily and one seasonal *.csv file of metrics for every year of data, a daily and a seasonal *.csv data dictionary, and one User Guide document (*.pdf) describing data collection and processing.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of molten salt inflow on the temperature distribution in thermal energy storage tanks at startup for central receiver concentrating solar power plants

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) systems with molten salt thermal energy storage (TES) tanks are one of the most promising, renewable-based energy conversion technologies for larger-scale power generation. The TES tank is one of the most critical components in CSP plants due to its high-temperature operation (up to 565 °C), daily thermal cycling, and intermittent solar radiation conditions. The plant startup is one of the most challenging operation conditions that could lead to damaging thermal gradients due to low salt inventory levels. In this study an analytical model for the sparger ring was developed and integrated with a detailed computational fluid dynamics model of a commercial-scaled molten salt tank. The integrated model allows an accurate representation of the tank operation to evaluate the effect of molten salt inflow on the mixing process. The tank filling process during plant startup was analyzed considering sparger rings with variations in design features, including inlet orifice configurations, number of orifices, direction of the inlets, and orifice diameter. The results demonstrated that higher temperature gradients are obtained in the tank floor during the plant startup. A sparger ring configuration with a predetermined orifice inlet inclination (30°, 45° and 60°) leads to significant temperature differences in the floor, between 57 °C and 62 °C, but better homogeneity in the temperature of the salt inventory. Lower salt inflow velocities result in a more homogeneous floor temperature, with maximum temperature differences under 38 °C. The sparger ring configuration with 52 orifices of 1-in. diameter and vertical flow showed better homogeneity in the temperature differences as a function of the salt level and lower temperature gradients in the tank floor. Because large temperature gradients in the tank's floor have been identified as one of the main factors contributing to tank failures, assessing various sparger ring design features is fundamental to determining proper inflow conditions that lead to low-temperature gradients and reducing failure susceptibility.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Develop Accurate Techniques for Passive SiC Temperature Monitoring of Miniature Samples for Cross-Cutting Applications

Passive thermometry is critically important because most fuels and materials irradiation experiments are not instrumented, and it is necessary to understand the irradiation temperature to properly interpret any post-irradiation examination data, including evolving properties and/or microstructures. The standard passive thermometry approach uses continuous dilatometry to evaluate changes in the instantaneous coefficient of thermal expansion during post-irradiation thermal annealing. This approach has limitations in terms of sample size (minimum length requirements) and the maximum irradiation temperature that can be accurately determined, which is limited by the reduced swelling (and therefore recovery) following higher temperature irradiation and limitations on the furnaces used with push-rod dilatometers. This work evaluates two new proposed techniques for post-irradiation evaluation of passive SiC temperature monitors: differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and Raman spectroscopy. DSC is an extremely sensitive technique that can be used for any specimen geometry and is capable of higher temperature operation. Raman spectroscopy is similar in that it is a surface technique capable of examining extremely small samples (submillimeter), can be used with a heated stage up to 1,500°C (planned for future work), and is capable of mapping local irradiation temperatures throughout a sample. Existing SiC samples that were previously irradiated over a wide range of temperatures were cut into multiple pieces to allow for annealing studies using multiple different techniques: dilatometry, DSC, and Raman spectroscopy. This approach mitigates the concern that samples analyzed using one technique may have a slightly different irradiation history than those analyzed using a different technique. Recovery was clearly observed during annealing using both DSC and dilatometry. In some cases, a direct comparison could not be made due to some of the DSC runs accidentally including material from multiple specimens and issues with using an alternative DSC sample holder for the highest temperature annealing studies. Nevertheless, one trend was clear: the DSC runs resulted in higher irradiation temperatures compared to those of the dilatometry runs. Part of this could be attributed to the higher temperature ramp rates used during the DSC runs, which are often preferred to reduce noise in the measurements. By comparison, dilatometry has previously been shown to produce better data at lower ramp rates. Future work should further investigate the ideal ramp rate for both techniques to produce consistent results. Additional work should evaluate the best holder material to use for DSC runs exceeding 1,000°C to provide reliable data while preventing interactions between SiC and the holder.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Develop Accurate Techniques for Passive SiC Temperature Monitoring of Miniature Samples for Cross-Cutting Applications

Passive thermometry is critically important because most fuels and materials irradiation experiments are not instrumented, and it is necessary to understand the irradiation temperature to properly interpret any post-irradiation examination data, including evolving properties and/or microstructures. The standard passive thermometry approach uses continuous dilatometry to evaluate changes in the instantaneous coefficient of thermal expansion during post-irradiation thermal annealing. This approach has limitations in terms of sample size (minimum length requirements) and the maximum irradiation temperature that can be accurately determined, which is limited by the reduced swelling (and therefore recovery) following higher temperature irradiation and limitations on the furnaces used with push-rod dilatometers. This work evaluates two new proposed techniques for post-irradiation evaluation of passive SiC temperature monitors: differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and Raman spectroscopy. DSC is an extremely sensitive technique that can be used for any specimen geometry and is capable of higher temperature operation. Raman spectroscopy is similar in that it is a surface technique capable of examining extremely small samples (submillimeter), can be used with a heated stage up to 1,500°C (planned for future work), and is capable of mapping local irradiation temperatures throughout a sample. Existing SiC samples that were previously irradiated over a wide range of temperatures were cut into multiple pieces to allow for annealing studies using multiple different techniques: dilatometry, DSC, and Raman spectroscopy. This approach mitigates the concern that samples analyzed using one technique may have a slightly different irradiation history than those analyzed using a different technique. Recovery was clearly observed during annealing using both DSC and dilatometry. In some cases, a direct comparison could not be made due to some of the DSC runs accidentally including material from multiple specimens and issues with using an alternative DSC sample holder for the highest temperature annealing studies. Nevertheless, one trend was clear: the DSC runs resulted in higher irradiation temperatures compared to those of the dilatometry runs. Part of this could be attributed to the higher temperature ramp rates used during the DSC runs, which are often preferred to reduce noise in the measurements. By comparison, dilatometry has previously been shown to produce better data at lower ramp rates. Future work should further investigate the ideal ramp rate for both techniques to produce consistent results. Additional work should evaluate the best holder material to use for DSC runs exceeding 1,000°C to provide reliable data while preventing interactions between SiC and the holder.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Investigating Temperature Uniformity and Accuracy in PV Module Lamination: A Verification Study

This study investigates the temperature uniformity and accuracy of a photovoltaic (PV) module lamination process by addressing inconsistencies identified in 2017 data where irregular temperature changes were observed across setpoints. The 2017 data showed a notable drop in temperature upon bladder initiation, except for the 145 degrees Celsius profile. This inconsistency indicated potential inaccuracies in manual data recording methods. To address this concern, a verification experiment was conducted to evaluate temperature uniformity across the 2014 Bent River SPL2828 laminator platen and within test samples. Thermocouples, paired with Omega data acquisition software, were deployed to measure temperatures at multiple platen locations and within test samples. The experiment compared lamination temperatures of polyethylene-co-vinyl acetate (EVA) encapsulant when paired with solite glass or TPE backsheets. The methodology included verifying temperature uniformity directly on the platen and by using a large glass/EVA/glass sample using multiple thermocouples. Smaller samples were built with glass/EVA/glass and glass/EVA/backsheet configurations with one centered thermocouple to verify and compare sample temperatures. This verification aims to refine lamination temperature profiles, enhance data accuracy and provide insights into optimal process control for uniform module lamination. Ensuring consistent and uniform lamination may improve the accuracy and reliability of research outcomes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the relationship between precipitation extreme and local temperature over eastern China based on convection permitting simulations: roles of different moisture processes and precipitation types

The Clausius–Clapeyron (CC) scaling, which indicates a roughly 7% increase in saturated water vapor per 1 °C increase in temperature, can serve as a strong constraint linking the intensity of precipitation extremes and local temperature. However, the relationship between precipitation extreme and local temperature (referred to as the PE-T relationship) does not always follow the CC scaling and is highly dependent on climate regimes. In this study, we investigated the impacts of different moisture processes and precipitation types on the PE-T relationship over eastern China during the summertime based on convection-permitting model simulations. Consistent with observations, the simulated intensity of precipitation extremes increases with temperature at a rate close to CC (double-CC) scaling below (above) 20 °C. When the temperature exceeds 25 °C, precipitation intensity starts to drop. Precipitation extremes are mainly contributed by the stratiform, MCS (i.e., mesoscale convective system) convective, and non-MCS convective precipitation at low (< 20 °C), medium (20–25 °C), and high (> 25 °C) temperatures, respectively, suggesting that the double-CC scaling occurs when convective types become dominant, while the negative scaling at high temperatures is attributed to the reduced horizontal scale of convection. Corresponding to the reduced intensity of precipitation at high temperatures, there are stronger divergence and subsidence in the low-level atmosphere, which is probably caused by the net cooling associated with the enhanced melting and evaporation of falling hydrometeors due to the lower relative humidity in the low-level atmosphere. Overall, our findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the temperature dependence of precipitation extremes in eastern China.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

TEX-HEU: Integral Experiment Execution with Polyethylene at Very Low Temperatures

The low-temperature variant of the TEX HEU (called Low-Temperature TEX or sometimes LT TEX) campaign is a highly anticipated and necessary experimental series by the greater nuclear science community. Fundamentally, the need for low-temperature integral experiments is required to perform validation of cross sections below room temperature. There has been substantial international interest in low-temperature benchmarks to validate below room temperature cross sections, namely talks given at the 2019 International Conference on Nuclear Criticality (ICNC): UK (Watson, 2019), France (Milin, 2019), and UK (Gan & Wilson, 2019). Additionally, NCSP funded thermal scattering laws (TSLs) were produced by North Carolina State University and require low-temperature benchmarks to validate them. Validation of low-temperature cross sections is also necessary for criticality safety applications. One particularly important application is to ensure that during transportation, fissile materials must remain subcritical under normal ambient conditions which is defined as temperatures down to -40°C/°F by the United States 10 CRF 71 as well as a regulation put forward by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A high-temperature heat flux sensor using the transverse Seebeck effect in elemental rhenium

Heat flux sensors compatible with hot environments are critical to advance aerospace, materials, and energy generation technologies that cope with extreme thermal conditions. In this work, we report on the development and characterization of a high-temperature heat flux sensor using the transverse Seebeck effect in rhenium single crystals. The sensor leverages refractory alloys and ceramics compatible with temperatures exceeding 1000 °C. The heat flux sensor was characterized from room temperature to 500 °C using a temperature-controlled calibration facility. At constant temperature, the sensor’s voltage output is linear with respect to the absorbed heat flux. The responsivity of the sensor varies with temperature, from 1.3 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at room temperature to −3.2 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at 500 °C, increasing monotonically in magnitude after changing sign from positive to negative at approximately 300 °C. The experimental results are in good agreement with analytical predictions of the sensor’s temperature-dependent responsivity, which suggest a further increase in magnitude up to −7.4 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at 1000 °C. These results highlight the unique characteristics of rhenium as a TSE transducer. The design offers compatibility with a wide range of operating temperatures and yields a measurement sensitivity that increases as the environmental conditions become more challenging.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analytical Model for the Higher Order Moments of Midlatitude Atmospheric Temperature Distributions

Observed distributions of atmospheric temperature are non-Gaussian. Therefore, moments beyond variance are necessary in determining the frequency of extreme temperature events. Here we propose a simple kinematic model for atmospheric mid-latitude temperature variability based on symmetric advection from a non-symmetric background temperature profile. We then use this model to derive analytical expressions for the higher order moments of temperature distributions. Our results show that nonzero skewness and kurtosis arise due to the nonlinearity of the time-mean meridional temperature profile. The analytical model matches an idealized Held-Suarez atmospheric model, indicating nonlinearity of time-mean temperature in latitude is the dominant contribution to nonzero skewness and kurtosis in synoptic temperature variations. Model analysis further shows decrease in higher order moments due to climate change come roughly equally from changes in mixing length and changes in the background temperature profiles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Structural Uncertainty in the Sensitivity of Urban Temperatures to Anthropogenic Heat Flux

One key source of uncertainty for weather and climate models is structural uncertainty arising from the fact that these models must simplify or approximate complex physical, chemical, and biological processes that occur in the real world. However, structural uncertainty is rarely examined in the context of simulated effects of anthropogenic heat flux in cities. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model, it is found that the sensitivity of urban canopy air temperature to anthropogenic heat flux can differ by an order of magnitude depending on how anthropogenic heat flux is released to the urban environment. Moreover, varying model structures through changing the treatment of roof-air interaction and the parameterization of convective heat transfer between the canopy air and the atmosphere can affect the sensitivity of urban canopy air temperature by a factor of 4. Urban surface temperature and 2-m air temperature are less sensitive to the methods of anthropogenic heat flux release and the examined model structural variants than urban canopy air temperature, but their sensitivities to anthropogenic heat flux can still vary by as much as a factor of 4 for surface temperature and 2 for 2-m air temperature. Our study recommends using temperature sensitivity instead of temperature response to understand how various physical processes (and their representations in numerical models) modulate the simulated effects of anthropogenic heat flux.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Photosynthetic responses to temperature across the tropics: a meta-analytic approach

Background and Aims Tropical forests exchange more carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) with the atmosphere than any other terrestrial biome. Yet, uncertainty in the projected carbon balance over the next century is roughly three times greater for the tropics than other for ecosystems. Our limited knowledge of tropical plant physiological responses, including photosynthetic, to climate change is a substantial source of uncertainty in our ability to forecast the global terrestrial carbon sink. Methods Here, we used a meta-analytic approach, focusing on tropical photosynthetic temperature responses, to address this knowledge gap. Our dataset, gleaned from 18 independent studies, included leaf-level light-saturated photosynthetic (A sat ) temperature responses from 108 woody species, with additional temperature parameters (35 species) and rates (250 species) of both maximum rates of electron transport (J max ) and Rubisco carboxylation (V cmax ). We investigated how these parameters responded to mean annual temperature (MAT), temperature variability, aridity and elevation, as well as also how responses differed among successional strategy, leaf habit and light environment. Key Results Optimum temperatures for A sat (T optA ) and J max (T optJ ) increased with MAT but not for V cmax (T optV ). Although photosynthetic rates were higher for ‘light’ than ‘shaded’ leaves, light conditions did not generate differences in temperature response parameters. T optA did not differ with successional strategy, but early successional species had ~4 °C wider thermal niches than mid/late species. Semi-deciduous species had ~1 °C higher T optA than broadleaf evergreen species. Most global modelling efforts consider all tropical forests as a single ‘broadleaf evergreen’ functional type, but our data show that tropical species with different leaf habits display distinct temperature responses that should be included in modelling efforts. Conclusions This novel research will inform modelling efforts to quantify tropical ecosystem carbon cycling and provide more accurate representations of how these key ecosystems will respond to altered temperature patterns in the face of climate warming.

Carter, Kelsey R. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗
DOE OSTI2024

Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis of Low-Temperature Resources for Sedimentary Basin Geothermal Play Types: An Example in the Denver Basin

This project is part of a nationwide effort to highlight the advantages of incorporating low-temperature geothermal resource evaluation into the implementation of combined heat and power (CHP), and geothermal direct use (GDU) technologies (e.g., space heating and/or cooling). The initiative aims to hasten the nation's decarbonization process by exploring the potential for using low-temperature geothermal resources (< 150 Degrees Celsius) in selected sedimentary basins that have several population centers. The Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) techniques were modified from earlier studies of sedimentary basin geothermal play types (SBGPTs) that assessed the viability of low-temperature resources. The decision-making process for leveraging low-temperature geothermal resources for GDU and CHP applications is complex and considers a variety of factors, including geological, economic, and risk criteria. This study covers workflows, relevant datasets, python code, and both common and composite maps used to create low-temperature geothermal resource favorability maps for the Denver Basin, which extends across Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The replication of these methodologies in other SBGPTs can evaluate potential for low-temperature resources. The proposed geothermal PFA approach for low-temperature geothermal resources includes: (1) identifying available relevant data and grouping data sets into PFA criteria (e.g., geological, economic, and risk criteria); (2) analyzing data gaps enable future focalized exploration; (3) performing uncertainty quantification; (4) weighting relevant data; (5) developing favorability and common risk maps for low-temperature geothermal resources to identify potential locations for more focused data collection. This project will facilitate future deployment of CHP and GDU by providing data, tools, and a workflow applicable to low-temperature geothermal resources in sedimentary basins.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗