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At least 73 records · Page 4

The morphology of metallic ions in the upper atmosphere

Analysis of metallic ion data from a day-night pair of rockets, OGO 6, and the elliptic phases of AE-C and AE-D shows the presence of Fe(+) ions at altitudes above 400 km only at low magnetic latitudes. The detection probability of this ion decreases with altitude, with a maximum over the Atlantic and a minimum over India; the rocket data indicate ions in the E region during the day and on the bottom of the F layer at night. Mg(+) and Fe(+) are the dominant ions below 250 km at all latitudes, but Al(+), Na(+), Si(+), and Ca(+) are also detectable; a correlation was found between solar activity and metallic ion detection probability at low latitudes and high altitudes at night

Kumar, S.

The probability of detecting absorption features in gamma-ray burst spectra

It has recently been suggested that several mechanisms for the primary release of energy in gamma-ray bursts may result in the excitation of magnetospheric plasma oscillations (MPO) above the polar cap of a neutron star. The basic MPO idea is refined by determining the soft photon source (which damps the particle motion via inverse Compton scattering interactions) self-consistently by means of a Monte Carlo simulation for the deposition of back-scattered gamma-ray energy below the stellar photosphere. The observed fraction of bursts displaying low-energy absorption features may be understood in the context of a model wherein the overall spectrum changes with inclination angle due to the superposition of several components with different angular distributions. GRB spectra should display these cyclotron lines about 18 percent of the time, which is consistent with the KONUS and Ginga sets of data.

Melia, F.

Performance Evaluation Modeling of Network Sensors

Substantial benefits are promised by operating many spatially separated sensors collectively. Such systems are envisioned to consist of sensor nodes that are connected by a communications network. A simulation tool is being developed to evaluate the performance of networked sensor systems, incorporating such metrics as target detection probabilities, false alarms rates, and classification confusion probabilities. The tool will be used to determine configuration impacts associated with such aspects as spatial laydown, and mixture of different types of sensors (acoustic, seismic, imaging, magnetic, RF, etc.), and fusion architecture. The QualNet discrete-event simulation environment serves as the underlying basis for model development and execution. This platform is recognized for its capabilities in efficiently simulating networking among mobile entities that communicate via wireless media. We are extending QualNet's communications modeling constructs to capture the sensing aspects of multi-target sensing (analogous to multiple access communications), unimodal multi-sensing (broadcast), and multi-modal sensing (multiple channels and correlated transmissions). Methods are also being developed for modeling the sensor signal sources (transmitters), signal propagation through the media, and sensors (receivers) that are consistent with the discrete event paradigm needed for performance determination of sensor network systems. This work is supported under the Microsensors Technical Area of the Army Research Laboratory (ARL) Advanced Sensors Collaborative Technology Alliance.

probability of detection

Probability of Detection (POD) Demonstration Transferability

NASA Special Level POD demonstration tests are typically performed on flat plates of a single material containing fatigue cracks with aspect rations between 0.3 and 0.5. Subsequent fracture mechanics analyses consider aspect ratios that range from 0.1 to 0.5. There is debate within the NDE community about the detectability of shallow cracks associated with NASA Special Level penetrant inspections that are routinely performed by propellant tank manufactures. The objective of the task is to investigate effect of crack aspect ratio on POD crack sizes for the penetrant inspection technique.

Parker, Bradford H.

Probability of Detection (POD) Demonstration Transferability: Phase II

NASA Special Level POD demonstration tests are typically performed on flat plates of a single material containing fatigue cracks with aspect rations between 0.3 and 0.5. In many cases, the inspectors that pass the demonstration tests use (transfer) the NDE technique to inspect different materials and part geometries and for varying types of flaws. The objective of the task is to investigate several of the factors that may influence the transferability of POD demonstration tests. An existing set of 30 6061-T6 aluminum crack panels will be used to create parts with a square tube and pocket type geometries. These same aluminum crack panels were used in a study of the effect of penetrant sensitivity level on POD. Hence, we should be able to directly compare the POD for flat panels versus larger parts with more complex geometries.

Parker, Bradford H.

Consistent Practices for the Probability of Detection (POD) of Fracture Critical Metallic Components Project

NASA-STD-5009 requires that successful flaw detection by NDE methods be statistically qualified for use on fracture critical metallic components, but does not standardize practices. This task works towards standardizing calculations and record retention with a web-based tool, the NNWG POD Standards Library or NPSL. Test methods will also be standardized with an appropriately flexible appendix to -5009 identifying best practices. Additionally, this appendix will describe how specimens used to qualify NDE systems will be cataloged, stored and protected from corrosion, damage, or loss.

Hughitt, Brian

Carbonaceous compounds in comets - Infrared observations

The Comet Halley observations showed that carbon is a major component of the comet nucleus, with mass spectroscopic data giving near-cosmic C/O ratios. Gaseous and solid compounds were also observed with infrared spectroscopy, which gave detections of CO and CO2, probable detections or upper limits of H2CO and CH4, and a tentative detection of OCS. The CH4/CO ratio of less than unity in Comet Halley points to a CO-rich solar nebula; however, the ratio is higher than in interstellar clouds. A broad, complicated emission feature near 3.4 microns is evidence for carbonaceous compounds containing C-H groups in gas or solid phases. Analysis of radiation mechanisms and abundance constraints suggests that thermal emission or transient heating by single photons can account for the 3.4-micron emission feature. The band resembles (but is not identical to) bands of carbonaceous chondrite organic material, synthetic materials, and interstellar carbonaceous bands.

Encrenaz, T.

Interstellar isothiocyanic acid

Isothiocyanic acid (HNCS) has been identified in Sgr B2 from millimeter-wave spectral line observations. We have definitely detected three rotational lines, and have probably detected two others. The rotational temperature of HNCS in Sgr B2 is 14 plus or minus 5 K, its column density is 2.5 plus or minus 1.0 x 10 to the 13th per sq cm, and its abundance relative to HNCO is consistent with the cosmic S/O ratio, 1/42.

Frerking, M. A.

Photochemistry and molecular ions in oxygen-rich circumstellar envelopes

A theory for the ionization of the circumstellar envelopes around O-rich red giants is developed from the photochemical model. The main source of ionization is photoionization of H2O, OH, and C by the interstellar UV radiation field, supplemented by cosmic-ray ionization of hydrogen. Significant amounts of H3O(+) and HCO(+) are produced, with peak abundances of about 10 to the -7th at intermediate distances from the star. Although H3O(+) may be difficult to detect with current instrumentation, HCO(+) is probably detectable in nearby O-rich envelopes with large millimeter-wave telescopes.

Mamon, G. A.

How many Earth-approaching asteroids are there?

The discovery process of Earth-approaching asteroids is formulated as a periodic sampling problem from an urn with replacement. It presumes as unchanging number of such objects over recent historical times, a fixed limiting magnitude/angular speed combination for detection probability, and allows for the possibility of the lack of detection or the lack of sufficient observations to refine an orbit at the first noticed apparition. While simple, the model is sufficiently powerful to show that an estimate of the number of Earth-approaching minor planets is impossible. This conclusion is insensitive to uncertainties in perturbing influences, celestial mechanics, or a model for the distribution of the orbital element sets of these minor planets.

Taff, L. G.

How many earth-approaching asteroids are there?

The discovery process of earth-approaching asteroids is formulated as a periodic sampling problem from an urn with replacement. It presumes as unchanging number of such objects over recent historical times, a fixed limiting magnitude/angular speed combination for detection probability, and allows for the possibility of the lack of detection or the lack of sufficient observations to refine an orbit at the first noticed apparition. While simple, the model is sufficiently powerful to show that an estimate of the number of earth-approaching minor planets is impossible. This conclusion is insensitive to uncertainties in perturbing influences, celestial mechanics, or a model for the distribution of the orbital element sets of these minor planets.

Taff, L. G.

A Search for r-Modes from 1825 to the Present

Global oscillations (r-modes) of the Sun's outer convective envelope with periods approximately 1 month and longer have been detected in several short data strings of several years duration. To test whether r-modes might persist beyond one 11 year cycle, the daily sunspot numbers from 1825 to the present were analyzed. Good evidence, but confidence level less than 3sigma, was found for most of the 14 r-modes with spherical harmonic index lambda less than or equal to 5 that can exist in the presence of solar differential rotation. The characteristic rotation rate of almost every such r-mode was detected, displaced systematically from its expected value by only 0.15%. If this probable detection is real, then most low harmonic r-modes have lifetimes exceeding one century and the rotation of the Sun's outer layers varies by less than 0.05%, except possibly at solar minimum.

Wolff, Charles L.

Community-wide Validation of Geospace Model Ground Magnetic Field Perturbation Predictions to Support Model Transition to Operations

In this paper we continue the community-wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation.While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high-latitude and mid-latitude locations. Events-based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.

MAGNETIC

An optimum PN code search technique for a given apriori signal location density

A method is presented for optimizing (minimizing) the acquisition time for a PN-type spread spectrum system when the a priori probability density function is not uniform. For an assumed a priori Gaussian density function, calculations show that the acquisition time, when the 0.5 probability acquisition time is used as a measure of acquisition time, is reduced by 40% for a cell detection probability of 0.25 and when three sweeps are used. For the same parameters and with four sweeps the acquisition time is reduced by 41%. When the acquisition time probability is set to 0.9 instead of 0.5, the reduction is 25% of the uniform sweep time.

Holmes, J. K.

The High-Energy View of the Broad-Line Radio Galaxy 3C 111

We present the analysis of Suzaku and XMM -Newton observations of the broad-line radio galaxy (BLRG) 3C 111. Its high-energy emission shows variability, a harder continuum with respect to the radio-quiet active galactic nucleus population, and weak reflection features. Suzaku found the source in a minimum flux level; a comparison with the XMM-Newton data implies an increase of a factor of 2.5 in the 0.5-10 keV flux, in the 6 months separating the two observations. The iron K complex is detected in both data sets, with rather low equivalent width(s). The intensity of the iron K complex does not respond to the change in continuum flux. An ultrafast, high-ionization outflowing gas is clearly detected in the Suzaku/X-ray Imaging Spectrometer data; the absorber is most likely unstable. Indeed, during the XMM-Newton observation, which was 6 months after, the absorber was not detected. No clear rollover in the hard X-ray emission is detected, probably due to the emergence of the jet as a dominant component in the hard X-ray band, as suggested by the detection above approx.100 keV with the GSO onboard Suzaku, although the present data do not allow us to firmly constrain the relative contribution of the different components. The fluxes observed by the gamma-ray satellites CGRO and Fermi would be compatible with the putative jet component if peaking at energies E approx. 100MeV. In the X-ray band, the jet contribution to the continuum starts to be significant only above 10 keV. If the detection of the jet component in 3C 111 is confirmed, then its relative importance in the X-ray energy band could explain the different observed properties in the high-energy emission of BLRGs, which are otherwise similar in their other multiwavelength properties. Comparison between X-ray and gamma -ray data taken at different epochs suggests that the strong variability observed for 3C 111 is probably driven by a change in the primary continuum.

Ballo, L.

Demonstration of the use of ADAPT to derive predictive maintenance algorithms for the KSC central heat plant

The Avco Data Analysis and Prediction Techniques (ADAPT) were employed to determine laws capable of detecting failures in a heat plant up to three days in advance of the occurrence of the failure. The projected performance of algorithms yielded a detection probability of 90% with false alarm rates of the order of 1 per year for a sample rate of 1 per day with each detection, followed by 3 hourly samplings. This performance was verified on 173 independent test cases. The program also demonstrated diagnostic algorithms and the ability to predict the time of failure to approximately plus or minus 8 hours up to three days in advance of the failure. The ADAPT programs produce simple algorithms which have a unique possibility of a relatively low cost updating procedure. The algorithms were implemented on general purpose computers at Kennedy Space Flight Center and tested against current data.

Hunter, H. E.