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At least 73 records · Page 4

Predicting resistive wall mode stability in NSTX through balanced random forests and counterfactual explanations

Abstract Recent progress in the disruption event characterization and forecasting framework has shown that machine learning guided by physics theory can be easily implemented as a supporting tool for fast computations of ideal stability properties of spherical tokamak plasmas. In order to extend that idea, a customized random forest (RF) classifier that takes into account imbalances in the training data is hereby employed to predict resistive wall mode (RWM) stability for a set of high beta discharges from the NSTX spherical tokamak. More specifically, with this approach each tree in the forest is trained on samples that are balanced via a user-defined over/under-sampler. The proposed approach outperforms classical cost-sensitive methods for the problem at hand, in particular when used in conjunction with a random under-sampler, while also resulting in a threefold reduction in the training time. In order to further understand the model’s decisions, a diverse set of counterfactual explanations based on determinantal point processes (DPP) is generated and evaluated. Via the use of DPP, the underlying RF model infers that the presence of hypothetical magnetohydrodynamic activity would have prevented the RWM from concurrently going unstable, which is a counterfactual that is indeed expected by prior physics knowledge. Given that this result emerges from the data-driven RF classifier and the use of counterfactuals without hand-crafted embedding of prior physics intuition, it motivates the usage of counterfactuals to simulate real-time control by generating the β N levels that would have kept the RWM stable for a set of unstable discharges.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The onset distribution of rotating m , n = 2 , 1 tearing modes and its consequences on the stability of high-confinement-mode plasmas in DIII-D

Abstract Analysis of a multi-scenario database of over 13 000 DIII-D H-mode discharges shows that the m , n = 2 , 1 magnetic islands are dominantly pressure gradient driven, stochastically triggered non-linear instabilities at all edge safety factor ( q 95 ) values. The instability onset time closely follows the exponential distribution in intermediate and high q 95 scenarios and is characterized by near constant onset rate ( λ ), in accordance with Poisson-point processes. This implies that the plasmas are operated in marginally stable conditions, characterized by a small threshold for instability growth and variations in the trigger amplitude and/or the stabilizing mechanisms with temporally uniform random distribution in this database. While the majority of the tearing modes occur in the first current-profile relaxation time of the β N flattop, constant λ throughout the β N flattop shows that the tearing onset is insensitive to the evolution of the equilibrium current profile. In low q 95 scenarios, where a large fraction of the plasmas are operated at low torque, λ increases over the course of the β N flattop, showing that these plasmas evolve toward more unstable conditions. The onset rate rapidly increases with β N , while it does not show a clear dependence on the current gradient at the mode rational surface. Overall, these observations support that the majority of the analyzed 2,1 tearing modes are non-linear, neoclassically driven instabilities and classical stability does not play a dominant role in their onset.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Safe Reinforcement Learning-Based Transient Stability Control for Islanded Microgrids With Topology Reconfiguration

This paper proposes a safe reinforcement learning (RL)-based transient stability emergency control (TSEC) method for islanded microgrids. RL requires extensive interaction with the environment to learn control strategies, hence, a data-driven approach is used as a substitute for time-consuming time-domain simulation calculations. Deep sigma point processes (DSPP), which is a Gaussian process model, is utilized to predict the normal distribution of transient stability of microgrids and to construct a transient stability chance constraint. Reward-constrained policy optimization (RCPO) can simultaneously achieve objective prediction, policy learning, and constraint cost coefficient update across multiple timescales. RCPO interacts with the DSPP-based microgrid environment through a multi-process parallel manner, greatly increasing the training speed. Case studies on a real islanded microgrid demonstrate that the proposed method can efficiently and quickly obtain the optimal emergency control strategy while adhering to all hard constraints.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Beyond Like-for-Like: A User-centered Approach to Modernizing Legacy Applications

When modernizing a legacy application, it is easy to fall back on a like-for-like replica with new tools and updated design stylings, but this is an opportunity to explore making a more intuitive application that supports user tasks and efficiency. Rather than having a blank canvas-unburdened by legacy tech debt-to create a new application, you are working with an existing application that is integral to accelerator operations and one that expert users are already familiar with. Due to this, you might assume people will prefer the like-for-like, but you could be carrying forward the pain points, processes that are inefficient, and ultimately wind up with an application that no one wants to use because it doesn't solve existing problems. Getting users involved can make all the difference in your approach to modernizing a legacy application that caters to both newer and expert users. It also can bridge the gap between like-for-like and introducing new GUI design. Having a legacy application doesn't have to make the modernized one difficult to develop, as the existing application is a tool in how you move forward with the new application. It provides insight into areas that an application with a clean slate doesn't give you.

Polzin, M. [Fermilab]↗

Bioblendstocks to Optimize Mixing Controlled Compression Ignition (MCCI) Engines

In this project, a team of researchers from the University of Massachusetts Lowell, the University of Maine, and Mainstream Engineering developed an integrated process for the product of bioblendstocks to optimize mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) engines. The objective was to improve the energy density, sooting propensity, and cetane number of base diesel fuel while maintaining cold weather behavior. The process converts woody biomass (e.g. sawmill residues) into bio-oil through selective fast pyrolysis; the bio-oil is then selectively upgraded to form selectively oxygenated, minimally-branched hydrocarbons using non-noble metal catalysts in combination with metal-catalyzed hydrogenation. Advanced predictive models, in conjunction with existing property databases, and experimental testing are used to evaluate overall bioblendstock properties and their impact on base diesel fuel. An iterative, targeted upgrading approach was implemented to optimize the proposed bioblendstock’s properties. Assessment methodologies included techno-economic analysis, life-cycle assessment, property testing, and engine testing. Ultimately, the project team successfully produced a viable bioblendstock while identifying critical process points related to scale-up efforts. It was found that producing pyrolysis oils at 500 degrees C and with pine particle sizes of 1-2 mm led to bio-oil with a higher yield (of approximately 45 wt%) and rich amounts of aromatic alcohols. The resultant pyrolysis oil was then upgraded using a sequence of mild hydrotreating, followed by catalytic etherification and esterification, followed by another final mild hydrotreating to produce a blendstock containing saturated species with a limited, but non-zero, amount of oxygen. The aromatic alcohols produced by pyrolysis were especially helpful in this regard, as the resulting bicycloethers and derivatives exhibited high cetane numbers. While most bulk properties of the bioblendstock met or exceeded targeted thresholds, viscosity and cloud point notably fell outside the expected range; this could be addressed by blending limits and/or through the use of additives that are commonplace in current refinding practices. Identification of a bioblendstock that can be produced economically at scale while improving the performance and emissions characteristics of internal combustion engines positively affects the economy by boosting domestic fuel production and the environment by decreasing harmful emissions and increasing efficiency.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

pCubit

SAND2025-01894O pCubit is a software tool that can easily place particles or pores into a given geometry using desired statistics and the Poisson point process. It reduces the need for users to manually create complex geometry creation and placement. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Buche, Michael↗

Future planetary television cameras

The evolution of planetary slow-scan vidicon cameras started with the exploratory flyby mission to Mars in 1965, and has continued through the planned launch of the Mariner Jupiter/Saturn 1977 Mission. To date, the camera performance has been constrained by limited spacecraft capabilities rather than driven by desires of experimenters. The paper traces this evolution for a generation of camera using charge-coupled device (CCD) sensors, which have greater capability within spacecraft weight and power constraints. Projections are given of scientific objectives for the CCD cameras, and it is shown how these objectives will drive the camera performance, data rates, on-board processing, pointing accuracy, and other spacecraft system parameters.

Norris, D. D.↗

Ultralow denier polybenzimidazole (PBI) yarns

A study to determine the feasibility of preparing ultralow denier polybenzimidazole (PBI) yarns was undertaken. Conditions that presently yield multifilament yarns with bundle deniers ranging from 75 to 15,000 were used as a baseline. From this starting point, process parameters were identified that give five filament yarns with yarn densiers as low as 0.80. Physical properties from such ultralow denier yarns were at levels that would permit subsequent fabrication into fabrics.

Tan, M.↗

Estimating time and time-lag in time-of-flight velocimetry

Estimating time and time-lag in time-of-flight velocimeters is investigated. Statistics of a filtered Poisson point process is given. A Maximum Likelihood Estimator is compared with suboptimum estimators in terms of robustness. For a dominating background combined spatial and temporal processing can improve the robustness compared with purely temporal processing. Schemes for the spatial filters are given.

Lading, L.↗

Applications of Sequential Estimation to Numerical Weather Prediction

The main objective of this cooperative research with NASA's Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) is to use information about the atmosphere acquired from new types of observations, especially from satellites, in order to deepen our understanding of its behavior on time scales from hours to years. This is achieved by: (1) improving the methods for processing point observations into complete fields in space and time, using sequential estimation theory; and (2) analyzing low-frequency atmospheric variability by the methods of dynamical system theory, suitably modified to enhance practical predictability.

Ghil, M.↗

A comparison of the Cray-2 performance before and after the installation of memory pseudo-banking

A suite of 13 large Fortran benchmark codes were run on a Cray-2 configured with memory pseudo-banking circuits, and floating point operation rates were measured for each under a variety of system load configurations. These were compared with similar flop measurements taken on the same system before installation of the pseudo-banking. A useful memory access efficiency parameter was defined and calculated for both sets of performance rates, allowing a crude quantitative measure of the improvement in efficiency due to pseudo-banking. Programs were categorized as either highly scalar (S) or highly vectorized (V) and either memory-intensive or register-intensive, giving 4 categories: S-memory, S-register, V-memory, and V-register. Using flop rates as a simple quantifier of these 4 categories, a scatter plot of efficiency gain vs Mflops roughly illustrates the improvement in floating point processing speed due to pseudo-banking. On the Cray-2 system tested this improvement ranged from 1 percent for S-memory codes to about 12 percent for V-memory codes. No significant gains were made for V-register codes, which was to be expected.

Schmickley, Ronald D.↗

Preliminary results from the NASA/JPL multifrequency, multipolarization synthetic aperture radar

A brief description is given of the three-frequency polarimetric synthetic-aperture radar built and tested at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The radar has the capability to simultaneously acquire fully polarimetric data at P-, L-, and C-bands from a DC-8 airborne platform. The radar has an instantaneous data rate of approximately 2.1 Gb/s and has selectable record rates between 80-240 Mb/s. The system has a wide dynamic range featuring 8-b analog-to-digital converters and full digital floating-point processing. The processing is accomplished offline on a minicomputer system assisted by an array processor. Sample images are presented.

Held, Daniel N.↗

Synchronization in neural nets

The paper presents an artificial neural network concept (the Synchronizable Oscillator Networks) where the instants of individual firings in the form of point processes constitute the only form of information transmitted between joining neurons. In the model, neurons fire spontaneously and regularly in the absence of perturbation. When interaction is present, the scheduled firings are advanced or delayed by the firing of neighboring neurons. Networks of such neurons become global oscillators which exhibit multiple synchronizing attractors. From arbitrary initial states, energy minimization learning procedures can make the network converge to oscillatory modes that satisfy multi-dimensional constraints. Such networks can directly represent routing and scheduling problems that consist of ordering sequences of events.

Vidal, Jacques J.↗

Piloting decision aid for spacecraft proximity operations

The concept of a decision aid to assist the piloting of a powered vehicle during a near-field (less than 2000 feet) rendezvous to another spacecraft is discussed. Using Space Shuttle rendezvous with an orbiting satellite as an example, extensive practice is normally required to successfully effect such a rendezvous with a minimum of propellant. As a rule, variations on a 'point and shoot' technique are optimized and used as much as possible. A piloting decision aid (PDA) to assist in the pointing process was conceived and is in the preliminary stages of development. This concept may be applied to Space Shuttle proximity operations for berthing with Space Station Freedom (SSF), for Shuttle rendezvous with other spacecraft, or for autonomous rendezvous of any unmanned vehicle with SSF. The concept orginated with a task order from NASA JSC for an automated piloting procedure and was influenced by an early air-to-air missile envelope display.

Pierce, Cole J.↗

Clustering, randomness and regularity in cloud fields. I - Theoretical considerations. II - Cumulus cloud fields

The current controversy existing in reference to the regularity vs. clustering in cloud fields is examined by means of analysis and simulation studies based upon nearest-neighbor cumulative distribution statistics. It is shown that the Poisson representation of random point processes is superior to pseudorandom-number-generated models and that pseudorandom-number-generated models bias the observed nearest-neighbor statistics towards regularity. Interpretation of this nearest-neighbor statistics is discussed for many cases of superpositions of clustering, randomness, and regularity. A detailed analysis is carried out of cumulus cloud field spatial distributions based upon Landsat, AVHRR, and Skylab data, showing that, when both large and small clouds are included in the cloud field distributions, the cloud field always has a strong clustering signal.

Weger, R. C.↗