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DOE OSTI2021

Redesigning capacity market to include flexibility via ramp constraints in high-renewable penetrated system

Capacity markets can co-exist alongside the energy and ancillary markets to ensure the medium-term and long-term supply adequacy by remunerating the generation resources for their availability. With the substantially increasing deployment of renewable generation, the system needs more flexibility to quickly mitigate the variability and uncertainty caused by the renewable generation. However, the present capacity market model does not differentiate the flexibility of generating units, so it might not give appropriate pricing signals to more flexible units that are usually more expensive. This is particularly important considering the increasing penetration levels of renewable generation on the electric grid, which increases the need for flexible units. This paper proposes a novel capacity market model considering flexibility requirement (FR) under the high penetration levels of renewable generation. Therefore, the proposed model can give the market-clearing price (MCP) for not only peak load generation capacity but also flexibility requirement. Thus, flexible units will tend to receive more economic incentives than non-flexible units. In the case studies, the profitability of different generation resources under the proposed capacity market model is analyzed and compared to the present capacity market model. The results show that the proposed method can maintain system reliability with regard to both peak load and flexibility requirement efficiently.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Effects of Climate Change on Capacity Expansion Decisions of an Electricity Generation Fleet in the Southeast U.S.

The electric power sector in the United States faces many challenges related to climate change. On the demand side, climate change could shift demand patterns due to increased air temperatures. On the supply side, climate change could lead to deratings of thermal units due to changes in air temperature, water temperature, and water availability. Past studies have typically analyzed these risks separately. Here, we developed an integrated, multimodel framework to analyze how compounding risks of climate-change impacts on demand and supply affect long-term planning decisions in the power system. In the southeast U.S., we found that compounding climate-change impacts could result in a 35% increase in installed capacity by 2050 relative to the reference case. Participation of renewables, particularly solar, in the fleet increased, driven mostly by the expected increase in summertime peak demand. Such capacity requirements would increase investment costs by approximately 31 billion (USD 2015) over the next 30 years, compared to the reference case. These changes in investment decisions align with carbon emission mitigation strategies, highlighting how adaptation and mitigation strategies can converge.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2021

Probing Hawking radiation through capacity of entanglement

We consider the capacity of entanglement in models related with the gravitational phase transitions. The capacity is labeled by the replica parameter which plays a similar role to the inverse temperature in thermodynamics. In the end of the world brane model of a radiating black hole the capacity has a peak around the Page time indicating the phase transition between replica wormhole geometries of different types of topology. Similarly, in a moving mirror model describing Hawking radiation the capacity typically shows a discontinuity when the dominant saddle switches between two phases, which can be seen as a formation of island regions. In either case we find the capacity can be an invaluable diagnostic for a black hole evaporation process.

2D gravity↗

NASA NTRS1987

The use of satellites in non-goestationary orbits for unloading geostationary communication satellite traffic peaks. Volume 2: Technical report

The part of the geostationary (GEO) orbital arc used for United States domestic fixed, communications service is rapidly becoming filled with satellites. One of the factors currently limiting its utilization is that communications satellites must be designed to have sufficient capacity to handle peak traffic leads, and thus are under utilized most of the time. A solution is to use satellites in suitable non-geostationary orbits to unload the traffic peaks. Three different designs for a non-geostationary orbit communications satellite system are presented for the 1995 time frame. The economic performance is analyzed and compared with geostationary satellites for two classes of service, trunking and customer premise service. The result is that the larger payload of the non-geostationary satellite offsets the burdens of increased complexity and worse radiation environment to give improved economic performance. Depending on ground terminal configuration, the improved economic performance of the space segment may be offset by increased ground terminal expenses.

Price, K.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Capacity and Throughput of Urban Air Mobility Vertiports with a First-Come, First-Served Vertiport Scheduling Algorithm

In this paper, a first-come, first-served vertiport scheduling algorithm for Urban Air Mobility (UAM) was exercised to assess and compare the capacity and throughput of various vertiport configurations. The scheduler models each vertiport by the number of vertipads and parking spaces, and manages reservations on timelines for those vertiport resources, at a level of fidelity suitable for fast-time and system-level analyses of UAM concepts and other airspace studies. The paper defines the theoretical model that can be used to estimate the capacity of various vertiport configurations. The theoretical model provides an understanding of the conditions that can lead to either a parking space-limited or a vertipad-limited vertiport. Examples of potential throughput for some vertiport configurations are provided using both a queueing approach as well as a simulated UAM demand scenario. The study demonstrated that a first-come, first-served scheduling approach can have inefficiencies in the use of the vertiport resources. The inefficiencies can increase as the number of resources increases. Nonetheless, 80% or better peak throughput to capacity ratio was observed for most vertiport configurations.

UAM↗

DOE OSTI2025

Investigations into the Ternary NaF-KF-UF4 Salt System – Phase A

A knowledge gap exists in the data and understanding of fresh fuel salt and irradiated multicomponent fuel salt systems thermophysical properties. Quantifying these properties is necessary for the design and construction of test reactors, as well as the licensing of future commercial molten-salt reactors. To facilitate thermal property determination on a proposed fuel salt composition for Seaborg Technologies, several samples containing depleted uranium tetrafluoride (UF4), sodium fluoride (NaF), and potassium fluoride (KF) were blended, and a melt temperature analysis was performed. From the melting temperature analysis, it was determined that sample Seaborg-7, a ternary salt composition of 26.4UF4-24.7KF-48.9NaF (mol%), was very near a ternary eutectic point. Therefore, thermal properties such as melting temperature, salt stability, density, heat capacity, thermal diffusivity, and viscosity were experimentally determined on the Seaborg-7 salt. These measurements document the baseline properties of fresh fuel salt as a function of temperature, where future experiments on irradiated fuel salt will provide a holistic perspective on the change of thermophysical properties during reactor operations. Several precision instruments were used to collect property data, and instrument calibrations and data collection were performed and documented in a standardized and reproducible manner with meticulous detail. This process ensured that the measurement procedures and resulting data can readily be duplicated elsewhere. The Seaborg-7 salt was shown to be stable at temperatures up to 900°C, as no mass change was observed upon repeated heating and cooling. The peak melting temperature was determined to be 547°C (557°C endset). The enthalpy of fusion (??H?_fus^o) was determined to be 167.5 ± 2.7 J/g while the enthalpy of crystallization (??H?_c^o) was determined to be -147.8 ± 13.3 J/g. In addition to the eutectic melting peak, upon heating, several pre eutectic peaks were observed, occurring at 470°C (onset) and 499°C (peak). Specific heat capacity measurements showed a slightly increasing trend with respect to temperature in the solid phase, while the liquid-specific heat capacity showed a somewhat flat trend with an average value of 106.1 ± 1.24 J/mol·K between 600 to 800°C. Three independent trials using the Seaborg-7 salt determined the density to be ?(T) = 4.908 – 0.000363·T(°C), validated between 32 to 200°C, and ?(T) = 4.808 – 0.00113·T(°C), validated between ~575 to 850°C. Thermal diffusivity was determined for the liquid state and is represented by the linear equation y = 0.1581 + 0.000207·T(°C) between 550 to 850°C. The viscosity was determined from 600 to 800°C and is represented by the exponential fit equation, ? (mPa·s) = 736.58e^(-0.006·T(°C)). This report documents the conclusion of fuel salt thermophysical property measurements for the Seaborg SPP, Phase A project.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Parametric Battery Model for the Conceptual Design of Electric Aircraft

Electric aircraft conceptual designs usually have an assumed specific power and specific energy for the aircraft’s energy storage system that dictates the total capacity and the peak power available. The specific energy and power are inherently linked to the state-of-charge and discharge rate from which they were derived; therefore, they will not directly correspond to the diverse circumstances encountered in various aircraft missions and flight segments. These parameters turn the battery system into a black box, disregard potential electrical restrictions, and disallow the aircraft and battery to be optimized as a system. Peering into this box, this study highlights the importance of incorporating a parametric battery model into the conceptual design workflow by splitting high-level terms such as power into voltage and current and investigating their variability during the discharge process. Through the modeling of these more detailed parameters, this methodology shows the feasibility of using low states-of-charge for contingency operations, including the end of the reserve mission, expanding the amount of usable capacity for electric aircraft. Stark differences in aircraft capabilities can arise between varying fidelity battery models due to late-mission, high-power flight operations. This parametric battery model effectively captures these differences by evaluating the limitations that arise within the individual battery cells and the aircraft powertrain. This paper shows that the unusable charge of a battery is set by the balked landing power requirement and can realistically range from 5% to 44% based on assumptions. This sets the analog to unusable fuel capacity in aircraft with liquid fuel systems. Needing only aircraft- and mission-level inputs and only seconds of run time, this model is a prime fit for the fast, accurate exploration of the electric aircraft conceptual design space.

Battery↗

DOE OSTI2024

Registration of ‘Independence’ switchgrass

Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.), a valuable forage and bioenergy crop, is established more easily than other native perennial warm-season grasses, but its establishment is still slower than that of annual crops. Vigorous switchgrass establishment is crucial for achieving its full potential yield and for effectively competing with weeds for water and nutrient availability. To satisfy this demand, ‘Independence’ (Reg. no. CV-295, PI 704577) switchgrass was developed at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Independence was selected for establishment vigor, winter survivorship, and high biomass yield for two cycles from ‘Kanlow’. Here, it is characterized by rapid establishment, robust seedling growth, and the capacity to achieve peak production by the second year. Independence is well adapted to USDA hardiness zones 5b–7b. In field experiments conducted from 2016 to 2017, averaged over seven locations and all years, Independence annually yielded 13 Mg ha –1 of biomass, outperforming ‘Cave-in-Rock’ by 31%, ‘Liberty’ by 15%, ‘Shawnee’ by 42%, ‘Summer’ by 81%, and ‘Sunburst’ by 129%. In wet marginal sites in Illinois from 2020 to 2023, Independence exhibited an average biomass yield of 12 Mg ha –1 , outperforming Shawnee by 31%, Liberty by 27%, and Kanlow by 19%, indicating its potential use on less productive land for annual crops. Independence was publicly released by the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in October 2021.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Temporal and spatial separations between spin glass and short-range order

Broken-symmetry-induced order parameters account for many phenomena in physics. For spin glasses, this framework dictates the theoretical construction, whereas experiments have only established dynamical behaviors but not the physical entity. Experimental techniques have limitations when the spin glass is probed as an isolated state. Here, we create an evolution from a long-range order using well-controlled non-magnetic substitution on a sublattice. Neutron magnetic diffuse scattering of pico-second timescale reveals that the dynamics of short- and long-range order formation are not affected by disorder, but their spatial ranges are. Across all specimens, the inflection point of spin correlation length’s temperature dependence fully matches with the peak in heat capacity, while spin glass can freeze at millisecond timescale either above or below this characteristic temperature of spin-order formation. Our results identify the spin glass as single, uncorrelated spins at domain walls between spin clusters, and an uncorrelated coexistence of the two.

Dronova, Margarita G [Okinawa Institute of Science↗

DOE OSTI2020

Structure and properties of densified silica glass: characterizing the order within disorder

The broken symmetry in the atomic-scale ordering of glassy versus crystalline solids leads to a daunting challenge to provide suitable metrics for describing the order within disorder, especially on length scales beyond the nearest neighbor that are characterized by rich structural complexity. Here, we address this challenge for silica, a canonical network-forming glass, by using hot versus cold compression to (i) systematically increase the structural ordering after densification and (ii) prepare two glasses with the same high-density but contrasting structures. The structure was measured by high-energy X-ray and neutron diffraction, and atomistic models were generated that reproduce the experimental results. The vibrational and thermodynamic properties of the glasses were probed by using inelastic neutron scattering and calorimetry, respectively. Traditional measures of amorphous structures show relatively subtle changes upon compacting the glass. The method of persistent homology identifies, however, distinct features in the network topology that change as the initially open structure of the glass is collapsed. The results for the same high-density glasses show that the nature of structural disorder does impact the heat capacity and boson peak in the low-frequency dynamical spectra. Densification is discussed in terms of the loss of locally favored tetrahedral structures comprising oxygen-decorated SiSi 4<:sub> tetrahedra.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling the Nucleation and Growth of Lead Sulfate Particles on Lead Electrodes

Lead-acid batteries (LABs) play a pivotal role in the energy storage sector with applications spanning from starting-lighting-ignition batteries to grid energy storage. Passivation of lead negative electrodes by PbSO 4 particles is a fundamental mechanism limiting the performance of LAB. In this regard, an electrochemical model is developed that simulates the nucleation and growth (N&G) dynamics of PbSO 4 particles on a flat lead electrode, responsible for its passivation. The model considers the electrochemical reactions between lead electrode and sulfuric acid, N&G of PbSO 4 particles, passivation of the lead surface, and the ternary transport of PbSO 4 (aq), bisulfate, and protons in H 2 SO 4 electrolyte. The model is validated with a dataset of cyclic voltammetry (CV) responses collected at several scan rates and H 2 SO 4 concentrations. The model shows remarkable qualitative and quantitative agreement with the experimental data including CV peak features, discharge capacity, and particle size. The model was employed to explore key N&G quantities, such as supersaturation, nucleation rate, particle count, growth rate, particle size, and surface coverage, and to examine how their interactions influence electrode utilization. Parametric studies were also conducted to evaluate how scan rates and acid concentrations influence the previously mentioned N&G quantities and, subsequently, the utilization of the electrode.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Climate Influences on Capacity Expansion Planning with Application to the Western U.S

Electric power system planners utilize a variety of planning tools to inform decisions concerning generation and transmission additions to the electric grid, the need for operational changes, and to evaluate potential stressors on the system. Numerous factors contribute to the planning process including projected fuel and technology costs, policy and load profiles. There is also a growing recognition of the interdependency of the electric grid with other natural and engineered systems. Here we explore how future climate change and hydropower operability might influence decisions related to electricity capacity expansion planning and operations. To do so we assemble a multi-model framework. Specifically, water resource modeling is used to simulate climate impacts on future water supply for thermoelectric and hydropower generation. Separately, temperature impacts on electricity load are evaluated. Together, these climate factors spatially constrain a capacity expansion model that projects generation and transmission additions to the grid. The projected new capacity-builds are then evaluated on their operations, reliability, and cost under average and extreme climate conditions using production cost modeling. This coupled framework is demonstrated on the electric grid in the Western U.S., supporting capacity expansion planning by WECC, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) regional entity responsible for reliability assurance of the Western Interconnection. This region was selected in part because the West is unique in that it has high potential for renewable penetrations and is experiencing large retirements/displacements of baseload resources, primarily coal, leading to possible operational challenges in terms of changing resource mix and the need for resource flexibility. Toward this challenge, planning scenarios encompass a range of alternative energy, climate and drought futures. In this context we explore answers to two strategic questions: 1) How does changing climate influence electricity expansion planning (generation and transmission) and future operations, including type and capacity of new builds, system reliability, cost and environmental impacts? 2) How does the representation of hydropower in the modeling framework influence the evaluation of bulk power system operations? Results indicate that climate has a measurable influence on recommendations concerning the capacity, type and location of new generation and transmission additions, with up to 17 GW additional capacity needed by 2038 to meet peak loads (~6.6% increase over capacity-builds based on historical climate). The extent of additional infrastructure needs is strongly influenced by future water availability for hydropower and the potential deployment of demand response technologies. Systems designed for future climate conditions were found to maintain high system reliability under a range of electricity and water availability scenarios (including significant drought), with minimal system curtailments. Additional capacity needs due to higher load tend to increase cumulative 20-year investment and operating costs by $\$$5-$\$$17 billion and generation costs increase by 9 to 19%. Finally, changing the representation of hydropower flexibility has a relatively small influence on capacity expansion in the Western Interconnection through 2038, but hydropower flexibility impacts generation costs to a similar extent as climate.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1992

Vascular uptake of rehydration fluids in hypohydrated men at rest and exercise

The purpose of this study was to formulate and to evaluate rehydration drinks, which would restore total body water and plasma volume (PV), for astronauts to consume before and during extravehicular activity, a few hours before reentry, and immediately after landing. In the first experiment (rest, sitting), five healthy men (23-41 yr), previously dehydrated for 24 hr., drank six (1a, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7) fluid formulations (one each at weekly intervals) and then sat for 70 min. Pre-test PV were measured with Evans blue dye and changes in PV were calculated with the hematocrit-hemoglobin transformation equation. This rest experiment simulated hypohydrated astronauts preparing for reentry. The second experiment (exercise, supine) followed the same protocol except four healthy men (30-46 yr) worked for 70 min. in the supine position on a cycle ergometer at a mean load of 71+/-1 percent of their peak aerobic work capacity. This exercise experiment simulated conditions for astronauts with reduced total body water engaging in extravehicular activity.

Greenleaf, J. E.↗

NASA NTRS1995

The 50 Ah NiH2 CPV qualification tests

In 1992, the Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) started a program to qualify a large diameter common pressure vessel (CPV) nickel-hydrogen (NiH2) batteries for use on future Navy/NRL spacecraft electrical power subsystems. NRL's involvement with the qualification of CPV NiH2 batteries dates back to 1988 when COMSAT and Johnson Controls, Inc. initiated a joint effort to fly the first ever NiH2 CPV in space. A later NRL-JCI cooperative research and development agreement led to the launch of a space experiment in 1993 and to the use of a single NiH2 CPV battery on the BMDO Clementine spacecraft in 1994. NRL initiated procurement of two, 50 Ah CPV NiH2 batteries in the Fall of 1992. The two batteries were delivered to NRL in June 1994. NiH2 CPV batteries have almost 2x the specific energy (Wh/kg) of nickel cadium batteries and 2x the energy density (Wh/l) of individual pressure vessel NiH2 CPV's. This presentation discusses the results of electrical and mechanical qualification tests conducted at NRL. The tests included electrical characterization, standard capacity, random vibration, peak load, and thermal vacuum. The last slides of the presentation show initial results from the life cycle tests of the second NiH2 CPV battery at 40% depth of discharge and a temperature of 10 C.

Garner, J. C.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Combined Heat and Power Technology Fact Sheet Series: Thermal Energy Storage

This fact sheet provides an overview of thermal energy storage (TES) technologies, which heat or cool a storage medium and, when needed, deliver the stored thermal energy to meet heating or cooling needs. TES systems are used in commercial buildings, industrial processes, and district energy installations to deliver stored thermal energy during peak demand periods, thereby reducing peak energy use. TES systems are often integrated with electric or absorption chillers to reduce peak electricity costs and, in the case of new construction, to reduce capital costs by optimizing chiller size. TES technologies can support sites that have either renewable or fossil power generation, including combined heat and power (CHP) installations. With CHP, TES can help optimize equipment size by reducing the required peak CHP thermal capacity and increasing annual CHP usage. TES can also provide turbine inlet cooling for gas turbines used in CHP applications, which increases power production in hot ambient conditions.

Combined Heat and Power, CHP, Thermal Energy, Tech↗

NASA NTRS2001

Power Management for Space Advanced Life Support

Space power systems include the power source, storage, and management subsystems. In current crewed spacecraft, solar cells are the power source, batteries provide storage, and the crew performs any required load scheduling. For future crewed planetary surface systems using Advanced Life Support, we assume that plants will be grown to produce much of the crew's food and that nuclear power will be employed. Battery storage is much more costly than nuclear power capacity and so is not likely to be used. We investigate the scheduling of power demands by the crew or automatic control, to reduce the peak power load and the required generating capacity. The peak to average power ratio is a good measure of power use efficiency. We can easily schedule power demands to reduce the peak power from its maximum, but simple scheduling approaches may not find the lowest possible peak to average power ratio. An initial power scheduling example was simple enough for a human to solve, but a more complex example with many intermittent load demands required automatic scheduling. Excess power is a free resource and can be used even for minor benefits.

Jones, Harry↗

DOE OSTI2020

Least-Cost Pathways for India's Electric Power Sector

The Government of India has a target of deploying 175 GW from renewable energy by 2022 and 40% of electricity capacity from renewable energy by 2030 and has indicated that ambitions for 2030 could be higher. Rapid changes in technology costs and performance could drive further deployment of wind and solar capacity beyond these policy targets. Increased deployment of variable renewable energy (VRE) raises new questions for power system planning regarding the optimal siting of generation capacity, trade-offs between generation and transmission infrastructure, and system flexibility needs. This study aims to evaluate least-cost pathways for India's electric power system over the period 2017-2047. Uniquely, this work considers an expanded planning horizon and range of scenarios not previously analyzed in national planning studies in India. The data collection and model design processes undertaken for this study provides a framework for recurring planning studies. This study finds anticipated changes in electricity demand and component costs can drive a significant shift in India's future electricity supply and how this system will be operated. In the Base scenario, the share of generation from VRE reaches 54% by 2047. Reducing the capital cost of wind has a larger impact on VRE penetration than reducing the capital cost of solar PV or battery storage. In the lowest wind cost scenario (40% capital cost decline by 2047 relative to the Base scenario), the penetration of VRE in the generation mix reaches 722%, exceeding the penetration levels achieved when the cost of battery storage or solar PV are reduced by an even greater 50%. In a future system with high penetrations of RE, capacity additions are driven by the coincidence of demand and RE generation rather than peak demand alone. This study finds the system could have surplus capacity during the peak demand months of July–September because this period corresponds to periods with high wind speeds and more wind generation available to meet peak demand. By contrast, new capacity is needed to meet demand during moderate demand months of October–November when output from wind plants falls more than 75% nationally compared to the previous two months. Finally, the success for gas for electricity production may depend on cost competitiveness rather than fuel availability. Increasing the amount of gas available for electricity production had no significant impact on the capacity or generation mix by 2047, as determined from a scenario that significantly increases fuel availability throughout the planning horizon. In fact, over 80% of new gas fuel available for the power sector remains unused. This suggests the high cost of gas plant operations relative to other technologies may constrain the expansion of gas generation in India more than fuel availability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

The Peaking Potential of Long-Duration Energy Storage in the United States Power System

In this work, we investigated the peaking potential for storage with durations of 4 h up to durations of 168 h (1 week). The peaking potential for a given storage duration is the amount of storage that can be added to a power system before that storage can no longer serve the peak net demand period at full rated capacity. We found that for the United States, 168 h of storage would be sufficient to serve about 27 % of peak demand, or about 215 GW in the current system. However, more than one-half of this amount could be served by storage with 12 h or less of capacity. As deployment of wind and solar grows, the peaking potential increases significantly, and under decarbonization scenarios, approximately one-half of the peak demand could be served by storage of up to 168 h; but again, the majority of this storage could be with durations of up to 12 h. The potential is also driven by the mix of wind and solar, and by storage efficiency, with the deployment of solar having the largest impact for both storage peaking potential and the mix of durations.

capacity expansion↗