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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Dynamic Modeling of a Kaplan Hydroturbine Using Optimal Parametric Tuning and Real Plant Operational Data

To address grid variability caused by renewable energy integration and to maintain grid reliability and resilience, hydropower must quickly adjust its power generation over short time periods. This changing energy generation landscape requires advance technology integration and adaptive parameter optimization for hydropower systems via digital twin effort. However, this is difficult owing to the lack of characterization and modeling for the nonlinear nature of hydroturbines. To solve this issue, this paper first formulates a six-coefficient Kaplan hydroturbine model and then proposes a parametric optimization tuning framework based on the Nelder–Mead algorithm for adaptive dynamic learning of the six-coefficients so as to build models that describe the turbine. To assess the performance of the proposed optimal parametric tuning technique, operational data from a real-world Kaplan hydroturbine unit are collected and used to model the relationship between the gate opening and the generated power production. The findings show that the proposed technique can effectively and adaptively learn the unknown dynamics of the Kaplan hydroturbine while optimally tune the unknown coefficients to match the generated power output from the real hydroturbine unit with an inaccuracy of less than 5%. The method can be used to provides optimal tuning of parameters critical for controller design, operational optimization and daily maintenance for hydroturbines in general.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

How Silica Surface Chemistry Modulates Interfacial Water: Insights from Machine Learning Molecular Dynamics

Controlling water structure and dynamics at silica interfaces are central to a wide range of technologies, including protective oxide layers for solar water splitting and nanoporous membranes. In this work, we develop a machine learning interatomic potential, trained via active learning, to achieve ab initio accuracy for water confined between hydroxylated silica surfaces over a range of silanol coverages and slit widths. We find that partially hydroxylated surfaces (50 and 75% OH) support stronger water−surface hydrogen bonding and more extended interfacial density profiles than fully hydroxylated (100% OH) surfaces, indicating that increasing OH coverage does not necessarily strengthen interfacial hydrogenbond networks. Translational diffusion decreases approximately linearly with slit width and OH coverage, whereas rotational dynamics respond nonlinearly. In particular, at the smallest slit width of 5 Å, 75% OH coverage produces an enhanced local tetrahedral ordered interfacial network that strongly suppresses reorientation, while 100% coverage yields a crowded, disordered interfacial layer that also hinders rotation. In contrast, the 50% OH coverage is sufficiently sparse that it does not markedly alter water structure or dynamics under confinement. These results show that coupled control of pore size and surface chemistry enables nonlinear tuning of interfacial water structure and transport, providing a design strategy for optimizing porous silica for either enhanced interfacial stability and controlled reactivity or rapid and selective transport.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Elucidating Lithium Transport Mechanisms in Disordered LiF from Machine-Learning Molecular Dynamics Simulations

Lithium fluoride (LiF) is a ubiquitous component of solid- and cathode–electrolyte interphases, yet its functional role remains unclear under the structural and chemical heterogeneity typical of cycling batteries. Here, we systematically quantify how structural disorder, off-stoichiometry, and strain govern Li-ion transport in LiF. Using a machine-learning potential to enable extensive molecular-dynamics sampling, we compare crystalline and amorphous LiF, Li 0.95 F, and LiF 0.95 , and evaluate the impact of small homogeneous deformations. Defect-free crystalline LiF is effectively ion-blocking at 300−500 K, whereas amorphization generates free-volume–assisted percolation pathways that facilitates Li-ion diffusion. At elevated temperatures, thermodynamically driven crystallization disrupts these pathways, leading to non-Arrhenius behavior. In crystalline phases, Li deficiency activates vacancy-mediated diffusion, while in amorphous LiF, transport is governed primarily by network connectivity. Strain is found to have only a marginal effect on Li mobility in both crystalline and amorphous structures.

Batteries↗
DOE OSTI2019

Deep Conservation: A latent dynamics model for exact satisfaction of physical conservation laws [Report]

This work proposes an approach for latent dynamics learning that exactly enforces physical conservation laws. The method comprises two steps. First, we compute a low-dimensional embedding of the high-dimensional dynamical-system state using deep convolutional autoencoders. This defines a low-dimensional nonlinear manifold on which the state is subsequently enforced to evolve. Second, we define a latent dynamics model that associates with a constrained optimization problem. Specifically, the objective function is defined as the sum of squares of conservation-law violations over control volumes in a finite-volume discretization of the problem; nonlinear equality constraints explicitly enforce conservation over prescribed subdomains of the problem. The resulting dynamics model—which can be considered as a projection-based reduced-order model—ensures that the time-evolution of the latent state exactly satisfies conservation laws over the prescribed subdomains. In contrast to existing methods for latent dynamics learning, this is the only method that both employs a nonlinear embedding and computes dynamics for the latent state that guarantee the satisfaction of prescribed physical properties. Numerical experiments on a benchmark advection problem illustrate the method's ability to significantly reduce the dimensionality while enforcing physical conservation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2014

Cavity contour segmentation in chest radiographs using supervised learning and dynamic programming

Purpose: Efficacy of tuberculosis (TB) treatment is often monitored using chest radiography. Monitoring size of cavities in pulmonary tuberculosis is important as the size predicts severity of the disease and its persistence under therapy predicts relapse. The authors present a method for automatic cavity segmentation in chest radiographs. Methods: A two stage method is proposed to segment the cavity borders, given a user defined seed point close to the center of the cavity. First, a supervised learning approach is employed to train a pixel classifier using texture and radial features to identify the border pixels of the cavity. A likelihood value of belonging to the cavity border is assigned to each pixel by the classifier. The authors experimented with four different classifiers:k-nearest neighbor (kNN), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), GentleBoost (GB), and random forest (RF). Next, the constructed likelihood map was used as an input cost image in the polar transformed image space for dynamic programming to trace the optimal maximum cost path. This constructed path corresponds to the segmented cavity contour in image space. Results: The method was evaluated on 100 chest radiographs (CXRs) containing 126 cavities. The reference segmentation was manually delineated by an experienced chest radiologist. An independent observer (a chest radiologist) also delineated all cavities to estimate interobserver variability. Jaccard overlap measure Ω was computed between the reference segmentation and the automatic segmentation; and between the reference segmentation and the independent observer's segmentation for all cavities. A median overlap Ω of 0.81 (0.76 ± 0.16), and 0.85 (0.82 ± 0.11) was achieved between the reference segmentation and the automatic segmentation, and between the segmentations by the two radiologists, respectively. The best reported mean contour distance and Hausdorff distance between the reference and the automatic segmentation were, respectively, 2.48 ± 2.19 and 8.32 ± 5.66 mm, whereas these distances were 1.66 ± 1.29 and 5.75 ± 4.88 mm between the segmentations by the reference reader and the independent observer, respectively. The automatic segmentations were also visually assessed by two trained CXR readers as “excellent,” “adequate,” or “insufficient.” The readers had good agreement in assessing the cavity outlines and 84% of the segmentations were rated as “excellent” or “adequate” by both readers. Conclusions: The proposed cavity segmentation technique produced results with a good degree of overlap with manual expert segmentations. The evaluation measures demonstrated that the results approached the results of the experienced chest radiologists, in terms of overlap measure and contour distance measures. Automatic cavity segmentation can be employed in TB clinics for treatment monitoring, especially in resource limited settings where radiologists are not available.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Moving beyond post hoc explainable artificial intelligence: a perspective paper on lessons learned from dynamical climate modeling

AI models are criticized as being black boxes, potentially subjecting climate science to greater uncertainty. Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has been proposed to probe AI models and increase trust. In this review and perspective paper, we suggest that, in addition to using XAI methods, AI researchers in climate science can learn from past successes in the development of physics-based dynamical climate models. Dynamical models are complex but have gained trust because their successes and failures can sometimes be attributed to specific components or sub-models, such as when model bias is explained by pointing to a particular parameterization. We propose three types of understanding as a basis to evaluate trust in dynamical and AI models alike: (1) instrumental understanding, which is obtained when a model has passed a functional test; (2) statistical understanding, obtained when researchers can make sense of the modeling results using statistical techniques to identify input–output relationships; and (3) component-level understanding, which refers to modelers' ability to point to specific model components or parts in the model architecture as the culprit for erratic model behaviors or as the crucial reason why the model functions well. We demonstrate how component-level understanding has been sought and achieved via climate model intercomparison projects over the past several decades. Such component-level understanding routinely leads to model improvements and may also serve as a template for thinking about AI-driven climate science. Currently, XAI methods can help explain the behaviors of AI models by focusing on the mapping between input and output, thereby increasing the statistical understanding of AI models. Yet, to further increase our understanding of AI models, we will have to build AI models that have interpretable components amenable to component-level understanding. We give recent examples from the AI climate science literature to highlight some recent, albeit limited, successes in achieving component-level understanding and thereby explaining model behavior. The merit of such interpretable AI models is that they serve as a stronger basis for trust in climate modeling and, by extension, downstream uses of climate model data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Integrated machine learning-molecular dynamics framework for electrolyte property prediction

Electrochemical stability windows determine the operating range of battery electrolytes, yet accurate prediction remains challenging because stability emerges from statistical ensembles of local solvation environments rather than single ground-state molecular structures. Traditional density functional theory calculations on energy-minimized clusters cannot capture the thermal variations in local coordination environments and geometries that govern decomposition, while SMILES-based machine learning methods lack explicit representation of three-dimensional solvation structure and ion pairing. Here, we introduce a structure-aware machine learning framework that predicts frontier orbital energies (HOMO and LUMO) directly from molecular dynamics-sampled solvation configurations, achieving sub-0.6 eV accuracy at computational costs 3–4 orders of magnitude lower than first-principles methods. Across twelve representative battery electrolytes, we demonstrate that solvent-separated and contact ion pairs exhibit strong size- and local chemistry dependent electronic stability, with variations in coordination shifts of HOMO or LUMO level by 2–3 eV, and that extended solvation structure and partially desolvated environment further modulate stability by up to 3 eV. By encoding the statistical nature of electrochemical failure through ensemble sampling of explicit solvation geometries, our approach enables high-throughput screening and rational design of next-generation battery electrolytes with mechanistic understanding of structure–property relationships.

Energy - Storage↗
DOE OSTI2022

Machine Learning Derived Dynamic Operating Reserve Requirements in High-Renewable Power Systems

Accurately forecasting wind and solar power output poses challenges for deeply decarbonized electricity systems. Grid operators must commit resources to provide reserves to ensure reliable operations in the face of forecast errors, a process which can increase fuel consumption and emissions. We apply neural network-based machine learning to expand the usefulness of median point forecast data by creating probabilistic distributions of short-term uncertainty in demand, wind, and solar forecasts that adapt to prevailing grid conditions. Machine learning derived estimates of forecast errors compare favorably to estimates based on incumbent methods. Reserves derived from machine learning are usually smaller than values derived using incumbent methods, which enables fuel savings during most hours. Machine learning reserves are generally larger than incumbent reserves during times of higher forecast error, potentially improving system reliability. Performance is tested using multi-stage production simulation modeling of the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) system. Machine learning reserves provide production cost and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions of approximately 0.3% relative to historical 2019 requirements. Savings in the 2030 timeframe are highly dependent on battery storage capacity. At lower levels of battery capacity, savings of 0.4% from machine learning reserves are shown. Significant quantities of battery storage are expected to be added to meet California's resource adequacy needs and GHG reduction targets. Addition of these batteries saturate reserve needs and results in minimal within-hour balancing costs in 2030.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Dynamic concurrent learning method to neutralize cyber attacks and faults for industrial asset monitoring nodes

Input signals may be received from monitoring nodes of the industrial asset, each input signal comprising time series data representing current operation. A neutralization engine may transform the input signals into feature vectors in feature space, each feature vector being associated with one of a plurality of overlapping batches of received input signals. A dynamic decision boundary may be generated based on the set of feature vectors, and an abnormal state of the asset may be detected based on the set of feature vectors and a predetermined static decision boundary. An estimated neutralized value for each abnormal feature value may be calculated based on the dynamic decision boundary and the static decision boundary such that a future set of feature vectors will be moved with respect to the static decision boundary. An inverse transform of each estimated neutralized value may be performed to generate neutralized signals comprising time series data that are output.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Machine Learning for Dynamic Test Sensor Placement

There are multiple different algorithms to perform modal test sensor placement optimization: effective independence, residual kinetic energy, iterative Guyan reduction, genetic algorithms, or a brute-force methodology. However, any of these methods may be computationally expensive, especially for structural models with a large number of degrees of freedom. Given the high-cost and the need to optimize the solution, modal sensor placement is a great application for machine learning (ML) algorithms. In this paper, we will apply ML algorithms to determine the optimal sensor locations for simple and complex structures. We will also discuss the benefits and drawbacks of using machine learning over other sensor placement algorithms.

Kelsey Buckles↗
DOE OSTI2024

Weighted Composition Operators for Learning Nonlinear Dynamics

Operator theoretic methods in dynamical system have been dominated by the use of Koopman operators and their continuous time counterparts, such as Koopman Generators and Liouville Operators. The advantage gained from their use primarily stems from the ability to extract subspaces and eigenfunctions within a space of observables that are invariant with respect to the Koopman operator over that space. When this occurs, a dynamic mode decomposition of the systems state provides a linear model for the dynamical system. Not all Koopman operators have eigenfunctions that may be exploited in this manner. However, the framework can still be leveraged for approximations using other operators. In this setting, we present a different operator for the study of dynamical systems, the weighted composition operator. These operators are compact for a wide range of dynamics and spaces, and through their interactions with occupation kernels and vector valued kernels, they admit an estimation of the underlying dynamics. Here, this manuscript presents a new algorithm for the data driven study of dynamical systems from data, and also provides two numerical experiments where convergence is achieved as a proof of concept.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Effects of Nonequilibrium Atomic Structure on Ionic Diffusivity in LLZO: A Classical and Machine Learning Molecular Dynamics Study

To improve the performance of electrochemical devices, it is essential to understand the effects of nonequilibrium motifs in solids, such as grain boundaries, amorphous phases, and highly strained regions, on atomic-scale transport and stability. Molecular dynamics simulations are used to explore the combined effect of far-from-equilibrium atomic structures and the choice of interatomic potential on ionic diffusivity predictions for Li 7 La 3 Zr 2 O 12 (LLZO), a promising solid electrolyte for all-solid-state batteries. Amorphization and high strain are considered using both classical Buckingham interatomic potentials and machine learning force fields. Here we find that both crystalline expansion and amorphization tend to slow diffusion, although the different physical encodings in the two potentials impact the properties in different ways. We trace these variations to a combination of structural and transport factors, the contributions of which are deconvoluted computationally. Graph-based analysis reveals that the variations for amorphous LLZO arise from the connectivity of diffusion pathways within the predicted structures, which generally correlates with diffusivity and is notably higher for structures generated by the machine learning force fields. Our study provides additional insight into the relationship between atomic structure and diffusivity in LLZO, while also highlighting the need for care in choosing and validating potentials to simulate far from equilibrium structures.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Deep reinforcement learning for dynamic control of fuel injection timing in multi-pulse compression ignition engines

Conventional compression-ignition (CI) engines have long offered high thermal efficiencies and torque across a wide range of loads, but often require extensive exhaust gas treatment that decreases efficiency to meet ever-increasing emissions regulations. One strategy to decrease emissions is to split the fuel injection into a series of smaller injections. In this paper, we explore a new way of discovering optimal control strategies for the next generation of CI engines using deep reinforcement learning (DRL). We outline a DRL procedure to maximize the weighted reward of engine work while minimizing end-of-cycle NO x emissions. Through the procedure outlined in this paper, we show that the DRL agent is able to reduce NO x emissions threefold while only decreasing network by 2%. We demonstrate the use of transfer learning (TL) across hierarchies of physical models to accelerate the learning process, making this approach feasible for a range of control problems within this space. This paper presents a framework and demonstration for using DRL to design control systems in technology areas such as multi-pulse engine control where a hierarchy of models combined with multi-objective rewards are used for optimal operation.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Autodifferentiable Ensemble Kalman Filters

Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and the state-space dynamics are unknown. This paper introduces a machine learning framework for learning dynamical systems in data assimilation. Here, our auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters (AD-EnKFs) blend ensemble Kalman filters for state recovery with machine learning tools for learning the dynamics. In doing so, AD-EnKFs leverage the ability of ensemble Kalman filters to scale to high-dimensional states and the power of automatic differentiation to train high-dimensional surrogate models for the dynamics. Numerical results using the Lorenz-96 model show that AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods that use expectation-maximization or particle filters to merge data assimilation and machine learning. In addition, AD-EnKFs are easy to implement and require minimal tuning.

autodifferentiation↗
NASA NTRS2019

Using Machine-Learning to Dynamically Generate Operationally Acceptable Strategic Reroute Options

The newly developed Trajectory Option Set (TOS), a preference-weighted set of alternative routes submitted by flight operators, is a capability in the U.S. traffic flow management system that enables automated trajectory negotiation between flight operators and Air Navigation Service Providers. The objective of this paper is to describe and demonstrate an approach for automatically generating pre-departure and airborne TOSs that have a high probability of operational acceptance. The approach uses hierarchical clustering of historical route data to identify route candidates. The probability of operational acceptance is then estimated using predictors trained on historical flight plan amendment data using supervised machine learning algorithms, allowing the routes with highest probability of operational acceptance to be selected for the TOS. Features used describe historical route usage, difference in flight time and downstream demand to capacity imbalance. A random forest was found to be the best performing algorithm for learning operational acceptability, with a model accuracy of 0.96. The approach is demonstrated for an historical pre-departure flight from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport.

Evans, Antony↗
NASA NTRS2019

Using Machine-Learning to Dynamically Generate Operationally Acceptable Strategic Reroute Options

The newly developed Trajectory Option Set (TOS), a preference-weighted set of alternative routes submitted by flight operators, is a capability in the U.S. traffic flow management system that enables automated trajectory negotiation between flight operators and Air Navigation Service Providers. The objective of this paper is to describe and demonstrate an approach for automatically generating pre-departure and airborne TOSs that have a high probability of operational acceptance. The approach uses hierarchical clustering of historical route data to identify route candidates. The probability of operational acceptance is then estimated using predictors trained on historical flight plan amendment data using supervised machine learning algorithms, allowing the routes with highest probability of operational acceptance to be selected for the TOS. Features used describe historical route usage, difference in flight time and downstream demand to capacity imbalance. A random forest was found to be the best performing algorithm for learning operational acceptability, with a model accuracy of 0.96. The approach is demonstrated for an historical pre-departure flight from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport.

Evans, Antony↗
DOE OSTI2020

Learning compact physics‐aware delayed photocurrent models using dynamic mode decomposition

Abstract Radiation‐induced photocurrent in semiconductor devices can be simulated using complex physics‐based models, which are accurate, but computationally expensive. This presents a challenge for implementing device characteristics in high‐level circuit simulations where it is computationally infeasible to evaluate detailed models for multiple individual circuit elements. In this work we demonstrate a procedure for learning compact delayed photocurrent models that are efficient enough to implement in large‐scale circuit simulations, but remain faithful to the underlying physics. Our approach utilizes dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), a system identification technique for learning reduced‐order discrete‐time dynamical systems from time series data based on singular value decomposition. To obtain physics‐aware device models, we simulate the excess carrier density induced by radiation pulses by solving numerically the ambipolar diffusion equation, then use the simulated internal state as training data for the DMD algorithm. Our results show that the significantly reduced‐order delayed photocurrent models obtained via this method accurately approximate the dynamics of the internal excess carrier density—which can be used to calculate the induced current at the device boundaries—while remaining compact enough to incorporate into larger circuit simulations.

Hanson, Joshua↗