Results for “expectation maximization” — Page 4

DOE OSTI2025

𝐷-shell mixing in light baryons and its effect on the orbital motion

The standard description of the nucleon in the nonrelativistic quark model is an 1S,L = 0 state without orbital motion. Yet, there are several indications from phenomenology that an admixture of states with nonzero orbital motion maybe substantial. In this paper we focus on the “second shell” of the nucleon excitations (D-shell), for which we give a modern description of the wave functions. We follow it by investigating what we call a “maximal mixing” scenario, assuming a hypothetical long-range tensor force. We give the explicit wave functions for all states, before and after mixing, and reassess many predictions such as the magnetic moments, the standard and transitional form-factors from the nucleon to N*. Unexpectedly, in this scenario we can reproduce the long-puzzling features of the Roper resonance N*(1440). But even in this extreme case, the admixture of the 1D,L = 2 state to a nucleon remains significantly smaller than expected from phenomenology.

Baryons↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data Selection Improvement For MicroBooNE

Data selection is an extremely important part of data analysis for any experiment. Finding a physics result is often the result of sifting through a massive amount of data, keeping data that we believe to be signal, and throwing out data we do not. This process is called data selection. Creating a selection algorithm is an intensive process that must balance keeping enough data to have statistics and maximizing the signal purity of that data. We also need to choose the right reconstruction method, a tool to take raw data from the detector and convert it into physics results. In this study, we used three different reconstruction tools, Pandora, WireCell, and LANTERN, for the MicroBooNE experiment in conjunction to improve the selection algorithm for analysis. For the case of this study, we look into the charged current N proton 0 pions (CCNp0$\pi$) interaction channel. This is the dominant channel for the Short Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program and is expected to be a large contributor to the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). We first investigated each of the three tools to find out more about their strengths and weaknesses as reconstructions, and compared them to the truth information directly from the MicroBooNE simulation pipeline. We then put together a direct comparison of the three methods to find which method or combination of methods would return the best result for us. While the study is ongoing, we have learned a lot about data selection for the experiment and the differences between the reconstruction tools.

Dillon, Brayden [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Recurrent features of amplitudes in planar $\mathcal{N}$ = 4 super Yang-Mills theory

The planar three-gluon form factor for the chiral stress tensor operator in planar maximally supersymmetric Yang-Mills theory is an analog of the Higgs-to-three-gluon scattering amplitude in QCD. The amplitude (symbol) bootstrap program has provided a wealth of high-loop perturbative data about this form factor, with results up to eight loops available. The symbol of the form factor at L loops is given by words of length 2L in six letters with associated integer coefficients. In this paper, we analyze this data, describing patterns of zero coefficients and relations between coefficients. We find many sequences of words whose coefficients are given by closed-form expressions which we expect to be valid at any loop order. Moreover, motivated by our previous machine-learning analysis, we identify simple recursion relations that relate the coefficient of a word to the coefficients of particular lower-loop words. These results open an exciting door for understanding scattering amplitudes at all loop orders.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bubble Transport through a Porous Lattice with an Applied Inlet Flow

Within gas-evolving electrochemical systems, bubbles negatively impact performance by covering electrode active sites for reactions, blocking electric field lines, and obstructing liquid electrolyte flow causing pressure buildup. Recent additive manufacturing advances have enabled tuned porous electrode microstructures to be created, but producing systems that maximize electrochemical throughput and minimize bubble impact remains challenging. Thus, improved physical understanding of and modeling capabilities for bubble behavior are critical to improve electrolyzer design. To address this need, this study examines rising stage bubbles within a lattice with an applied liquid flow—an underexplored regime that strongly influences an electrochemical bubble’s fate. Notably, theoretical predictions and resolved bubble simulations are complemented by experiments from a 3D-printed visualization cell that matches the simulation geometry. The minimum threshold flow rate to achieve bubble breakthrough is found to be larger for higher porosities and for smaller bubbles. Different-sized bubbles decrease expected electrochemical performance in different ways; smaller bubbles tend to stay stuck but cover less solid surface, while larger bubbles more readily break through but cover more surface while in the lattice. The bubble trajectory, deformation, and contact area provide insight into these different behaviors. These findings provide design guidelines toward creating more effective electrolyzers.

Guo, Jack [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory ↗

DOE OSTI2026

Valuing Maintenance Strategies for Fusion Plants as Part of a Future Electricity Grid

Scheduled maintenance is likely to be lengthy and therefore consequential for the economics of fusion power plants. The maintenance strategy that maximizes the economic value of a plant depends on internal factors such as the cost and durability of the replaceable components, the frequency and duration of the maintenance blocks, and the external factors of the electricity system in which the plant operates. Here, this paper examines the value of fusion power plants with various maintenance properties in a decarbonized United States Eastern Interconnection circa 2050. Seasonal variations in electricity supply and demand mean that certain times of year, particularly spring to early summer, are best for scheduled maintenance. Seasonality has two important consequences. First, the value of a plant can be 15% higher than what one would naively expect if value were directly proportional to its availability. Second, in some cases, replacing fractions of a component in shorter maintenance blocks spread over multiple years is better than replacing it all at once during a longer outage, even through the overall availability of the plant is lower in the former scenario.

power plant, maintenance, seasonality, electricity↗

DOE OSTI2026

Calibration and Data Analysis of a Frequency Selectable Laser Source for CMB Detector Characterization

Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) experiments study faint radiation left over from the early universe. The CMB was created when the universe became cool enough for light to travel freely through space, and today it gives scientists one of the earliest images of the universe. One important goal of modern CMB experiments is to measure this radiation with higher precision in order to search for evidence that supports the theory of cosmic inflation. To do this, scientists use extremely sensitive detectors that must be calibrated accurately. The Frequency Selectable Laser Source, or FLS, is a new calibration tool that can send selected frequencies to detectors and help measure their response. During my internship, I worked on the FLS after it returned to Fermilab from Chile, where it had been used to characterize detectors at the Simons Observatory. The system came back in parts, so the first part of my project was helping rebuild the optical and mechanical setup. After the system was rebuilt, we performed alignments to maximize the receiver photocurrent. We then collected calibration measurements over different frequency ranges, including 543 GHz to 568 GHz, 740 GHz to 766 GHz, and 60 GHz to 500 GHz. These measurements were used to check waterline calibration and reflectivity features and compare new data with previous data. Another major part of my project was learning Python so I could understand previous analysis code, modify it for new files, and write my own code to compare the mean response between datasets. The results showed that the new data was close to previous measurements and that waterline features near 556 GHz and 752 GHz were found within less than 1.5 GHz of the expected values. I also completed the reflectivity analysis for five prisms in two polarization orientations. In the original orientation, the results were consistent between the five prisms and close to values measured on a different system at the University of Chicago. I then collected a second set of measurements on my own with the polarization of the laser rotated by 90 degrees and compared them with the original data using the same Python workflow. The measured reflectivity increased for all five prisms in the new orientation, showing that the prism reflectivity depends on polarization. Future work will focus on using the FLS to characterize real CMB detectors.

Pumarino, Rafael [Unlisted]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Calibration and Data Analysis of a Frequency Selectable Laser Source for CMB Detector Characterization

Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) experiments study faint radiation left over from the early universe. The CMB was created when the universe became cool enough for light to travel freely through space, and today it gives scientists one of the earliest images of the universe. One important goal of modern CMB experiments is to measure this radiation with higher precision in order to search for evidence that supports the theory of cosmic inflation. To do this, scientists use extremely sensitive detectors that must be calibrated accurately. The Frequency Selectable Laser Source, or FLS, is a new calibration tool that can send selected frequencies to detectors and help measure their response. During my internship, I worked on the FLS after it returned to Fermilab from Chile, where it had been used to characterize detectors at the Simons Observatory. The system came back in parts, so the first part of my project was helping rebuild the optical and mechanical setup. After the system was rebuilt, we performed alignments to maximize the receiver photocurrent. We then collected calibration measurements over different frequency ranges, including 543 GHz to 568 GHz, 740 GHz to 766 GHz, and 60 GHz to 500 GHz. These measurements were used to check waterline calibration and reflectivity features and compare new data with previous data. Another major part of my project was learning Python so I could understand previous analysis code, modify it for new files, and write my own code to compare the mean response between datasets. The results showed that the new data was close to previous measurements and that waterline features near 556 GHz and 752 GHz were found within less than 1.5 GHz of the expected values. I also completed the reflectivity analysis for five prisms in two polarization orientations. In the original orientation, the results were consistent between the five prisms and close to values measured on a different system at the University of Chicago. I then collected a second set of measurements on my own with the polarization of the laser rotated by 90 degrees and compared them with the original data using the same Python workflow. The measured reflectivity increased for all five prisms in the new orientation, showing that the prism reflectivity depends on polarization. Future work will focus on using the FLS to characterize real CMB detectors.

Pumarino Meza, Rafael [Unlisted, US; Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Calibration and Data Analysis of a Frequency Selectable Laser Source for CMB Detector Characterization

Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) experiments study faint radiation left over from the early universe. The CMB was created when the universe became cool enough for light to travel freely through space, and today it gives scientists one of the earliest images of the universe. One important goal of modern CMB experiments is to measure this radiation with higher precision in order to search for evidence that supports the theory of cosmic inflation. To do this, scientists use extremely sensitive detectors that must be calibrated accurately. The Frequency Selectable Laser Source, or FLS, is a new calibration tool that can send selected frequencies to detectors and help measure their response. During my internship, I worked on the FLS after it returned to Fermilab from Chile, where it had been used to characterize detectors at the Simons Observatory. The system came back in parts, so the first part of my project was helping rebuild the optical and mechanical setup. After the system was rebuilt, we performed alignments to maximize the receiver photocurrent. We then collected calibration measurements over different frequency ranges, including 543 GHz to 568 GHz, 740 GHz to 766 GHz, and 60 GHz to 500 GHz. These measurements were used to check waterline calibration and reflectivity features and compare new data with previous data. Another major part of my project was learning Python so I could understand previous analysis code, modify it for new files, and write my own code to compare the mean response between datasets. The results showed that the new data was close to previous measurements and that waterline features near 556 GHz and 752 GHz were found within less than 1.5 GHz of the expected values. I also completed the reflectivity analysis for five prisms in two polarization orientations. In the original orientation, the results were consistent between the five prisms and close to values measured on a different system at the University of Chicago. I then collected a second set of measurements on my own with the polarization of the laser rotated by 90 degrees and compared them with the original data using the same Python workflow. The measured reflectivity increased for all five prisms in the new orientation, showing that the prism reflectivity depends on polarization. Future work will focus on using the FLS to characterize real CMB detectors.

Pumarino Meza, Rafael [Unlisted, US; Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Robust Optimal Experimental Design of Infinite-Dimensional Bayesian Nonlinear Inverse Problems

Abstract. We consider robust optimal experimental design (ROED) for nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). An optimal design is one that maximizes some utility quantifying the quality of the solution of an inverse problem. However, the optimal design is dependent on elements of the inverse problem such as the simulation model, the prior, or the measurement error model. ROED aims to produce an optimal design that is aware of the additional uncertainties encoded in the inverse problem and remains optimal even after variations in them. We follow a worst-case scenario approach to develop a new framework for robust optimal design of nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems. The proposed framework (a) is scalable and designed for infinite-dimensional Bayesian nonlinear inverse problems constrained by PDEs; (b) develops efficient approximations of the utility, namely the expected information gain; (c) employs eigenvalue sensitivity techniques to develop analytical forms and efficient evaluation methods of the gradient of the utility with respect to the uncertainties against which we wish to be robust; and (d) employs a probabilistic optimization paradigm that properly defines and efficiently solves the resulting combinatorial max-min optimization problem. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated for optimal sensor placement problem in an inverse problem governed by an elliptic PDE.

Chowdhary, Abhijit↗

DOE OSTI2024

The effect of temperature on photosystem II efficiency across plant functional types and climate

Modeling terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) is central to predicting the global carbon cycle. Much interest has been focused on the environmentally induced dynamics of photosystem energy partitioning and how improvements in the description of such dynamics assist the prediction of light reactions of photosynthesis and therefore GPP. The maximum quantum yield of photosystem II (Φ PSIImax ) is a key parameter of the light reactions that influence the electron transport rate needed for supporting the biochemical reactions of photosynthesis. Φ PSIImax is generally treated as a constant in biochemical photosynthetic models even though a constant Φ PSIImax is expected only for non-stressed plants. We synthesized reported Φ PSIImax values from pulse-amplitude-modulated fluorometry measurements in response to variable temperatures across the globe. We found that Φ PSIImax is strongly affected by prevailing temperature regimes with declined values in both hot and cold conditions. To understand the spatiotemporal variability in Φ PSIImax , we analyzed the temperature effect on Φ PSIImax across plant functional type (PFT) and habitat climatology. The analysis showed that temperature's impact on Φ PSIImax is shaped more by climate than by PFT for plants with broad latitudinal distributions or in regions with extreme temperature variability. There is a trade-off between the temperature range within which Φ PSIImax remains maximal and the overall rate of decline of Φ PSIImax outside the temperature range such that species cannot be simultaneously tolerant and resilient to extreme temperatures. Our study points to a quantitative approach for improving electron transport and photosynthetic productivity modeling under changing climates at regional and global scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling Diurnal and Annual Ethylene Generation from Solar-Driven Electrochemical CO 2 Reduction Devices

Integrated solar fuels devices for CO 2 reduction (CO 2 R) are a promising technology class towards achieving net-negative carbon emissions. Designing integrated CO 2 R solar fuels devices requires careful co-design of electrochemical and photovoltaic components as well as consideration of the diurnal and seasonal effects of solar irradiance, temperature, and other meteorological factors expected for ‘on-sun’ deployment. Here, using a photovoltaic-electrochemical (PV-EC) platform, we developed a temperature and potential-dependent diurnal and annual model using experimental CO 2 R performance of Cu-based electrocatalysts, local meteorological data from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRD), and modeled performance of commercial c-Si PVs. We simulated diurnal product outputs with and without the effects of ambient temperature to determine gaseous product temperature sensitivity. From these outputs, we observed seasonal variation in gaseous product generation, with up to two-fold increases in ethylene productivity between the Winter and Summer, analyzed the consequences of dynamic cloud coverage, and identified periods where device cooling/heating mechanisms could be implemented to maximize ethylene generation. Finally, we modeled the annual ethylene generation for a scaled 1 MW solar farm at three different locations (Beijing, CN; Sydney, AUS; Barstow, CA) to determine the consequences of local meteorological climates on PV-EC CO 2 R product output, recording a maximum ethylene output of 18.5 tonne/yr at Barstow. Overall, this model presents a critical tool for streamlining the translation of experimental solar-driven electrochemical research to real-world implementation.

Yap, Kyra M. K.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Biased degenerate ground-state sampling of small Ising models with converged quantum approximate optimization algorithm

The quantum alternating operator ansatz, a generalization of the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA), is a quantum algorithm used for approximately solving combinatorial optimization problems. QAOA typically uses the transverse field mixer as the driving Hamiltonian. One of the interesting properties of the transverse field driving Hamiltonian is that it results in nonuniform sampling of degenerate ground states of optimization problems. In this study, we numerically examine the fair sampling properties of the transverse field mixer QAOA, and Grover mixer QAOA (GM-QAOA), which provides theoretical guarantees of fair sampling of degenerate optimal solutions, up to a large enough p such that the mean expectation value converges to an optimal approximation ratio of 1. This comparison is performed with high-quality heuristically computed, but not necessarily optimal, QAOA angles, which give strictly monotonically improving solution quality as p increases. These angles are computed using the Julia based numerical simulation software JuliQAOA. Fair sampling of degenerate ground states is quantified using the Shannon entropy of the ground-state amplitudes distribution. The fair sampling properties are reported on several quantum signature Hamiltonians from previous quantum annealing fair sampling studies. Small random fully connected spin glasses are shown, which exhibit exponential suppression of some degenerate ground states with transverse field mixer QAOA. The transverse field mixer QAOA simulations show that some problem instances clearly saturate the Shannon entropy of 0 with a maximally biased distribution that occurs when the learning converges to an approximation ratio of 1 while other problem instances never deviate from a maximum Shannon entropy (uniform distribution) at any p step. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2024

“Max-tech FHR”: What is the maximum technically achievable water delivery capacity from a single 120 V plug?

Electrifying water heating will require affordable, direct drop-in replacements for existing gas water heaters that meet consumer expectations for hot water delivery. For many replacement scenarios, affordability requires a replacement option with like-for-like physical product dimensions, and existing consumer expectations presume a large delivery capacity from a small water heater. This work explores the technical potential for hot water delivery capacity for a heat pump water heater (HPWH) powered from a common 120 V plug. Delivery capability in this work is quantified by two metrics: the First Hour Rating (FHR) defined in the Code of Federal Regulations, and a real-world draw profile that resulted in hot water runout during field studies of 120 V HPWHs. The work focuses on the common “tall-and-slim” gas water heater product category, with external product dimensions of 20 inch diameter and 60 inch height. Using a simulation model in DOE/ORNL Heat Pump Design Model, validated by experimental baseline testing of a commercially available 120 V HPWH model, several measures were evaluated to maximize the delivery capacity of a 120 V HPWH. The 120 V HPWH was constrained by 1) external product dimensions of 20 in diameter and 60 inch height, 2) electrical power of 1.5 kW (85% of the available power from a dedicated 120 V, 15 A circuit), and 3) commercially-available components. The measures implemented included a large compressor, a pumped loop with plate heat exchanger to maximize tank stratification, enlarged heat exchangers, and relatively thin insulation to maximize the water storage volume.

Gluesenkamp, Kyle↗

DOE OSTI2024

Measuring thermal diffusivity and gap conductance in uranium nitride and Zircaloy relevant for microreactor applications

Heat transfer across nuclear fuels and structural interfaces is an important factor for evaluating the performance of nuclear power systems. Specifically, heat generated as nuclear fuel fissions must be transported through the cladding material and through the reactor to reach the steam turbine for power generation. As new microreactor designs emerge, maximizing the efficiency of this heat transfer process becomes crucial to make them commercially viable. This article examines thermal diffusivity and gap conductance in uranium nitride (UN) fuel and Zircaloy-4 (Zry4) cladding using light flash analysis (LFA). Thermal diffusivity measurements were made on monolithic UN pellets and Zry4 exposed to carbon at peak operating temperatures of microreactors and show that carbon ingress has a minimal effect on thermal diffusivity when compared with identical materials not exposed to carbon. Evaluation of gap conductance at the UN-Zry4 interface was done using one-dimensional two-layer thermal transport models as a function of applied pressure. Here the results show that increasing pressure on the UN-Zry4 interface leads to gains in gap conductance per unit area in fuel-cladding assemblies at microreactor operating temperatures. While many other variables are expected to influence UN-Zry4 interfacial gap conductance (e.g. contact surface roughness, porosity, localized heating, environmental gas pressure), the work offers a demonstration of using a conventional LFA apparatus to determine this parameter at elevated temperatures.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

WEC-Sim Modeling of Laminar Scientific's Patented Seesaw Wave Energy Converter: Preprint

Laminar Scientific's patented seesaw wave energy converter was modeled in WEC-Sim to predict performance. The device operates by utilizing ocean surface waves to rotate a truss in pitch about a pivot. The pivot is located at the top of two pylons, which are embedded in the seafloor. The seesaw has a float on either end, and the buoyancy forces from each float cause the system to rise or fall with passing waves. Device performance relies upon seesaw length and ocean wavelength creating an antiphase effect. The seesaw truss has an adjustable length intended to achieve this effect. The operation method enforces a narrow band of wavelengths which induce the largest rotational motion from the device. The hydrodynamic analysis of the device was performed using Capytaine, and the results confirmed that the device operates best in a narrow frequency band. Four float-to-float spacing cases and three pylon radii were examined. The hydrodynamic results indicate a match between the model and the physical expectations for the device, and that varying the pylon radii by 0.1-m increments for three instances creates minimal changes in hydrodynamic properties. Power matrices for three float spacing cases of the device were simulated with Joint North Sea Wave Project spectra waves and optimal power take-off damping in WEC-Sim. The maximum average power production for the 15-m spacing case was 14.1 kW with a 5.0-s peak wave period and 4-m significant wave heights. Plots of capture-width ratios indicated that the device performance was linear and confirmed that the device is optimal in a narrow frequency band. The maximum percentage of the available wave power produced by the 15-m device was approximately 16%. Simulations of the device in regular waves were used to produce plots of average power compared to a ratio of float spacing to wavelength. These plots indicate that the power production is maximized at a ratio of 0.5, and further confirm that the device has a narrow frequency response. The device was simulated at an example field location, where the device produced an annual average power rating of 1.6 kW given an average omnidirectional wave climate of 10.3 kW m-1 and an optimal, linearized power take-off model. While the maximum predicted device performance is reliant upon a narrow band of wave frequencies, the conducted analysis provides an opportunity to improve device design prior to prototyping and testing. Modifying the design to respond to a broader frequency range would improve device performance.

numerical modeling↗

DOE OSTI2024

Clostridium autoethanogenum alters cofactor synthesis, redox metabolism, and lysine-acetylation in response to elevated H 2 :CO feedstock ratios for enhancing carbon capture efficiency

Clostridium autoethanogenum is an acetogenic bacterium that autotrophically converts carbon monoxide (CO) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) gases into bioproducts and fuels via the Wood–Ljungdahl pathway (WLP). To facilitate overall carbon capture efficiency, the reaction stoichiometry requires supplementation of hydrogen at an increased ratio of H 2 :CO to maximize CO 2 utilization; however, the molecular details and thus the ability to understand the mechanism of this supplementation are largely unknown. In order to elucidate the microbial physiology and fermentation where at least 75% of the carbon in ethanol comes from CO 2 , we established controlled chemostats that facilitated a novel and high (11:1) H 2 :CO uptake ratio. We compared and contrasted proteomic and metabolomics profiles to replicate continuous stirred tank reactors (CSTRs) at the same growth rate from a lower (5:1) H 2 :CO condition where ~ 50% of the carbon in ethanol is derived from CO 2 . Our hypothesis was that major changes would be observed in the hydrogenases and/or redox-related proteins and the WLP to compensate for the elevated hydrogen feed gas. Our analyses did reveal protein abundance differences between the two conditions largely related to reduction–oxidation (redox) pathways and cofactor biosynthesis, but the changes were more minor than we would have expected. While the Wood–Ljungdahl pathway proteins remained consistent across the conditions, other post-translational regulatory processes, such as lysine-acetylation, were observed and appeared to be more important for fine-tuning this carbon metabolism pathway. Metabolomic analyses showed that the increase in H 2 :CO ratio drives the organism to higher carbon dioxide utilization resulting in lower carbon storages and accumulated fatty acid metabolite levels. This research delves into the intricate dynamics of carbon fixation in C. autoethanogenum, examining the influence of highly elevated H 2 :CO ratios on metabolic processes and product outcomes. The study underscores the significance of optimizing gas feed composition for enhanced industrial efficiency, shedding light on potential mechanisms, such as post-translational modifications (PTMs), to fine-tune enzymatic activities and improve desired product yields.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Highly Efficient Regeneration Module for Carbon Capture Systems in NGCC Applications

The objective of this project is to design, fabricate, and test a highly efficient regeneration module capable of providing an ultra-lean absorption solution that is required for capturing CO 2 from dilute sources at 95% or better efficiency. By integrating this advanced regenerator module with SRI International’s Mixed Salt Process (MSP) absorption modules, SRI expects to demonstrate significant progress toward a reduction in cost of capture versus the DOE reference natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plant with carbon capture. SRI designed, built, and tested an advanced stripper to enhance the performance of SRI’s MSP for CO 2 capture – a transformational ammonia-based solvent technology – for natural gas (NG) power sources. The testing of the advanced stripper for MSP was conducted at an SRI site using a simulated flue gas stream equivalent to about 10 kWe. The research work included modeling of the advanced stripper and integrating it with the MSP absorbers; studying the strategies for producing very highly alkaline lean solvent with minimized emissions; operating the stripper with advanced heat integration to improve process efficiencies; and collecting critically important data for a detailed techno-economic analysis (TEA). The project tasks were designed to address concerns relating to scale-up and integration of the technology to NG power plants—more specifically, to maximize the carbon capture efficiency achievable with MSP and identify pathways to achieve higher capture efficiencies and ultimately zero net carbon emissions. SRI teamed up with a process modeling company (OLI Systems), a process and chemical engineering company (Trimeric Corporation), and a cost-sharing commercial partner (Baker-Hughes – a leading multinational company that designs, manufactures, and services transformative energy technologies) to execute the project. The research findings will accelerate the MSP development and pave the way for the technology to reach the DOE’s goal, and ultimately commercialization of the MSP technology for low-cost CO 2 capture from NGCC flue gas and other dilute CO 2 sources.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mapping causal patterns in crystalline solids

The evolution of the atomic structures of the combinatorial library of Sm-substituted thin film BiFeO 3 along the phase transition boundary from the ferroelectric rhombohedral phase to the non-ferroelectric orthorhombic phase is explored using scanning transmission electron microscopy. Localized properties, including polarization, lattice parameter, and chemical composition, are parameterized from atomic-scale imaging, and their causal relationships are reconstructed using a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model. This approach is further extended to explore the spatial variability of the causal coupling using the sliding window transform method, which revealed that new causal relationships emerged at both the expected locations, such as domain walls and interfaces, and at additional regions forming clusters in the vicinity of the walls or spatially distributed features. While the exact physical origins of these relationships are unclear, they likely represent nanophase-separated regions in the morphotropic phase boundaries. Overall, we posit that an in-depth understanding of complex disordered materials away from thermodynamic equilibrium necessitates understanding not only the generative processes that can lead to observed microscopic states but also the causal links between multiple interacting subsystems.

Causal inference↗