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At least 73 records · Page 4

Characteristics of infrasound signals from North Korean underground nuclear explosions on 2016 January 6 and September 9

This study investigates infrasound signals from North Korean underground nuclear explosions on 2016 January 6 at 01:30:01 UTC (UNEJ16) and on 2016 September 9 at 00:30:01 UTC (UNES16). Infrasound observations from eight, seismo-acoustic arrays at distances of 300–600 km from the explosions and aligned approximately east–west across South Korea are used in the analysis. Progressive multichannel correlation was used followed by analyst review to identify the infrasound arrivals with estimates of azimuth, phase velocity, celerity, F-statistic, signal-to-noise ratio, correlation and signal duration. These observations are compared with model predictions of travel path, ray turning height and relative amplitudes, using Ground-to-Space atmospheric specifications at the time of each explosion. Stratospheric conditions at the time of the UNEJ16 are favourable to the Korean arrays when all arrays detected infrasound signals, while the few detections for UNES16 are consistent with unfavourable stratospheric winds and reduced amplitude thermospheric arrivals. Infrasound locations of the explosions were estimated using the Bayesian Infrasonic Source Location method (BISL), with wind-corrected backazimuth estimates based on the ray tracing calculations. Adding wind corrections to BISL resulted in infrasound locations up to 50 per cent closer to the seismic epicentre over uncorrected locations. The UNES16 infrasound location estimate using atmospheric corrections had larger differences (~67 km difference from seismic location) than the UNEJ16 location (~11 km difference from seismic location) as a result of the reduced number of observations and poor azimuth coverage for UNES16. Based on stratospheric phases recorded at six arrays and the empirical yield-scaling relations, wind corrected amplitudes from UNEJ16 lead to equivalent infrasound source energy estimates between 0.9 and 16.1 tons of TNT detonated in the atmosphere with an average of 6.4 tons and a standard deviation of 4.6 tons.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Azimuthal Sampling of Tectonic Release from Rayleigh Waves, Triggered by Shallow Explosions from the Source Physics Experiment: Theory

Underground explosions often produce Rayleigh waves with non-circular radiation patterns. The presence of significant anisotropic radiation patterns from isotropic sources is often attributed to the coincident release of tectonic strain across faults that are spatially near the explosion working point. However, poor instrument deployment geometries can lead to misinterpretations of these fields as isotropic when the are non-circular. In this work, we construct a physical representation for the first two moments of the Rayleigh wave radiation pattern triggered by a shallow, underground explosion. We then construct a hypothesis test for discriminating between the isotropic and anisotropic portion of the radiated Rayleigh wavefield, using these moments. We find that the screening power is completely quantified by a single parameter λ that depends on azimuthal deployment geometry as well as wavefield sampling. To improve radiation pattern discrimination, we present an algorithm for iteratively including receivers to sample the radiation pattern that increases the performance (power) of the hypothesis test at each iteration. Last, we discuss future applications of our method to data recorded from the Source Physics Experiment taking place at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS).

42 ENGINEERING↗

A low-permeability underground nuclear explosion containment regime: An example of gas transport by “invisible” fractures?

Understanding the nature of gas transport from an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) is required for evaluating the ability to detect and interpret either on-site or atmospheric signatures of noble gas radionuclides resulting from the event. We performed a pressure and chemical tracer monitoring experiment at the site of an underground nuclear test that occurred in a tunnel in Nevada to evaluate the possible modes of gas transport to the surface. The site represents a very well-contained, low gaspermeability end member for past UNEs at the Nevada National Security Site. However, there is very strong evidence that gases detected at the surface during a period of low atmospheric pressure resulted from fractures of extremely small aperture that are essentially invisible. Our analyses also suggest that gases would have easily migrated to the top of the high-permeability collapse zone following the detonation minimizing the final distance required for migration along these narrow fractures to the surface. This indicates that on-site detection of gases emanating from such low-permeability sites is feasible while standoff detection of atmospheric plumes may also be possible at local distances for sufficiently high fracture densities. Finally, our results show that gas leakage into the atmosphere also occurred directly from the tunnel portal and should be monitored in future tunnel gas sampling experiments for the purpose of better understanding relative contributions to detection of radioxenon releases via both fracture network and tunnel transport.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Centrifuge Physical Modeling of Underground Chemical Explosions

This report presents development of a new meso-scale geomechanics capability using an 8.84-m radius centrifuge for physically simulating underground chemical explosions and stress cage processes in scaled models.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Analysis of Ground Motion from An Underground Chemical Explosion

Here in this paper we investigate the excitation and propagation of far-field seismic waves from the 905 kg trinitrotoluene equivalent underground chemical explosion SPE-3 recorded during the Source Physics Experiment (SPE) at the Nevada National Security Site. The recorded far-field ground motion at short and long distances is characterized by substantial shear-wave energy, and large azimuthal variations in P-and S-wave amplitudes. The shear waves observed on the transverse component of sensors at epicentral distances <50 m suggests they were generated at or very near the source. The relative amplitude of the shear waves grows as the waves propagate away from the source. We analyze and model the shear-wave excitation during the explosion in the 0.01–10 Hz frequency range, at epicentral distances of up to 1 km. We used two simulation techniques. One is based on the empirical isotropic Mueller–Murphy (MM) (Mueller and Murphy, 1971) nuclear explosion source model, and 3D anelastic wave propagation modeling. The second uses a physics-based approach that couples hydrodynamic modeling of the chemical explosion source with anelastic wave propagation modeling. Comparisons with recorded data show the MM source model overestimates the SPE-3 far-field ground motion by an average factor of 4. The observations show that shear waves with substantial high-frequency energy were generated at the source. However, to match the observations additional shear waves from scattering, including surface topography, and heterogeneous shallow structure contributed to the amplification of far-field shear motion. Comparisons between empirically based isotropic and physics-based anisotropic source models suggest that both wave-scattering effects and near-field nonlinear effects are needed to explain the amplitude and irregular radiation pattern of shear motion observed during the SPE-3 explosion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Noble Gas Migration Experiment to Support the Detection of Underground Nuclear Explosions

A Noble Gas Migration Experiment (NGME) funded by the National Center for Nuclear Security and conducted at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) in collaboration with Lawrence Livermore national Laboratory and National Security Technology provided critical on-site inspection (OSI) information related to the detection of an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) event using noble gas signatures.

Underground nuclear explosion, Explosion cavity, O↗

Simulating the effects of underground nuclear explosions with an exploding wire

Exploding wires can deposit significant amounts of energy (1000’s of Joules on a nano-microsecond timescales) into a very confined space. Under the right conditions they can even produce neutrons. While most exploding wire studies have been performed in open air and to a lesser extent liquids we have started to investigate enclosing the wire element in solid matrices like concrete to mimic the effects of an underground nuclear explosion. The temperatures and pressures achieved are quite sufficient to induce structural cracking and localized flash melting in the enclosing media like a real underground nuclear detonation. As a result exploding wires would appear to form the perfect trigger for releasing confined chemical species including gases in geological media to study migration behavior in a controlled environment. Details of the apparatus and some illustrations of it potential will be given.

Underground Nuclear Explosions, Exploding Wires, X↗

Implications of Underground Nuclear Explosion Cavity Evolution for Radioxenon Isotopic Composition

Abstract Isotopic ratios of radioxenons sampled in the atmosphere or subsurface can be used to verify the occurrence of an underground nuclear explosion (UNE). Differences in the half-lives of radioactive xenon precursors and their decay-chain networks produce different time-dependent concentration profiles of xenon isotopes allowing isotopic ratios to be used for tracking UNE histories including estimating the time of detonation. In this study, we explore the potential effects of post-detonation cavity processes: precipitation of iodine precursors, gas seepage, and prompt venting on radioxenon isotopic evolution which influences UNE histories. Simplified analytical models and closed-form solutions yielding a potentially idealized radioactive decay/ingrowth chain in a closed and well-mixed system typically have limited application by not including the partitioning of the radionuclide inventory between a gas phase and rock melt created by the detonation and by ignoring gas transport from the cavity to host rock or ground surface. In reality, either subsurface transport or prompt release that is principally responsible for gas signatures violates the closed-system (or batch-mode) assumption. A closed-form solution representing time-dependent source-term activities is extended by considering the cavity partitioning process, slow seepage, and/or prompt release of gases from the cavity and applied to realistic systems.

Sun, Yunwei (ORCID:0000000194801439)↗

Thermally driven advection for radioxenon transport from an underground nuclear explosion

Abstract Barometric pumping is a ubiquitous process resulting in migration of gases in the subsurface that has been studied as the primary mechanism for noble gas transport from an underground nuclear explosion (UNE). However, at early times following a UNE, advection driven by explosion residual heat is relevant to noble gas transport. A rigorous measure is needed for demonstrating how, when, and where advection is important. In this paper three physical processes of uncertain magnitude (oscillatory advection, matrix diffusion, and thermally driven advection) are parameterized by using boundary conditions, system properties, and source term strength. Sobol' sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the importance of all physical processes influencing the xenon signals. This study indicates that thermally driven advection plays a more important role in producing xenon signals than oscillatory advection and matrix diffusion at early times following a UNE, and xenon isotopic ratios are observed to have both time and spatial dependence.

Sun, Yunwei↗

Geologic Framework Model for the Underground Nuclear Explosions Signatures Experiment P Tunnel Testbed, Aqueduct Mesa, Nevada National Security Site

Three-dimensional geologic framework model of the P-Tunnel Complex and vicinity has been constructed for the Underground Nuclear Explosion Signature Experiment to address anisotropy of physical properties within the experiment medium. The P-Tunnel geologic framework model was constructed using EarthVision geologic modeling software by Dynamic Graphics, Inc. The model area covers 4.36 square kilometers and includes the entire P-Tunnel Complex. The model extends vertically from 2,004 meters above mean sea level, the highest land surface elevation in the model area, to 1,000 meters above mean sea level. The P-Tunnel Complex lies at an elevation of approximately 1,676 meters above mean sea level. The model incorporates data and information from more than 55 years of geological and geophysical studies in the P-Tunnel region, including surface and subsurface geology maps, tunnel construction drawings, a digital elevation model of the topography, and orthophoto imagery. The model consists of thirteen layers, with each layer defining a distinct stratigraphic interval with similar physical properties. Because no faults with significant offset are present within the model area, no faults are incorporated directly into the model. Small-offset faults and other prominent fractures mapped during tunnel construction, however, were digitized and gridded to produce fault and fracture planes that can be viewed within the model. The model has been exported as simple ASCII text files that define the model layers as either two-dimensional surfaces representing the tops of each model layer, or as three-dimensional volumes. The model was also exported as binary-STL files for three-dimensional printing.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Data supporting the article titled "Heterogeneous Multiphase Flow Properties of Volcanic Rocks and Implications for Noble Gas Transport from Underground Nuclear Explosions"

The submission is a Reproducible Research (RR) data archive that contains the supporting multiphase fluid flow and curve fitting results of the Vadose Zone Journal article titled: "Heterogeneous Multiphase Flow Properties of Volcanic Rocks and Implications for Noble Gas Transport from Underground Nuclear Explosions." The article's DOI number is the following: https://doi.org/10.1002/vzj2.20123. Please see the "Methods and Materials" section of the journal article and the ReadMe.txt in the RR_ARCHIVE folder for further details. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. SAND Number: SAND2021-3407 O.

mercury injection capillary pressure↗

A New Method for High Resolution Surface Change Detection: Data Collection and Validation of Measurements from UAS at the Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, USA

The use of uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) increases the opportunities for detecting surface changes in remote areas and in challenging terrain. Detecting surface topographic changes offers an important constraint for understanding earthquake damage, groundwater depletion, effects of mining, and other events. For these purposes, changes on the order of 5–10 cm are readily detected, but sometimes it is necessary to detect smaller changes. An example is the surface changes that result from underground explosions, which can be as small as 3 cm. Previous studies that described change detection methodologies were generally not aimed at detecting sub-5-cm changes. Additionally, studies focused on high-fidelity accuracy were either computationally modeled or did not fully provide the necessary examples to highlight the usability of these workflows. Detecting changes at this threshold may be critical in certain applications, such as global security research and monitoring for high-consequence natural hazards, including landslides. Here we provide a detailed description of the methodology we used to detect 2–3 cm changes in an important applied research setting—surface changes related to underground explosions. This methodology improves the accuracy of change detection data collection and analysis through the optimization of pre-field planning, surveying, flight operations, and post-processing the collected data, all of which are critical to obtaining the highest output data resolution possible. We applied this methodology to a field study location, collecting 1.4 Tb of images over the course of 30 flights, and location data for 239 ground control points (GCPs). We independently verified changes with orthoimagery, and found that structure-from-motion, software-reported root mean square errors (RMSEs) for both control and check points underestimated the actual error. We found that 3 cm changes are detectable with this methodology, thereby improving our knowledge of a rock’s response to underground explosions.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Effects of Model Uncertainties in Underground Chemical Explosions on Far-field Results

We used the CTH shock physics code to simulate the explosion of an 18-t chemical explosive at a depth of 250 m. We used the CTH in the two-dimensional axisymmetric (cylindrical) geometry (2DC) and most simulations included fully tamped explosions in wet tuff. Our study focused on parametric studies of three of the traditional strength models available in CTH, namely, geologic-yield, elastic perfectly-plastic von Mises, and Johnson-Cook strength (flow stress) models. We processed CTH results through a code that generates Reduced Displacement Potential (RDP) histories for each simulation. Since RDP is the solution of the linear wave equation in spherical coordinates, it is mainly valid at far-enough distance from the explosion the elastic radius. Among various parameters examined, we found the yield strength to have the greatest effect on the resulting RDP, where the peak RDP reduces almost linearly in log-log space as the yield strength increases. Moreover, an underground chemical explosion results in a cavity whose final diameter is inversely proportional to the material yield strength, i.e., as the material's yield strength increases the resulting final cavity radius decreases. Additionally, we found the choice of explosive material (COMP-C4 versus COMP-B) has minor effects on the peak RDP, where denser COMP-C4 shows higher peak RDP than the less dense COMP-B by a factor of ~1.1. In addition to wet tuff, we studied explosions in dry tuff, salt, and basalt, for a single strength model and yield strength value. We found wet tuff has the highest peak RDP value, followed by dry tuff, salt, and basalt. 2DC simulations of explosions in 11 m radius spherical, hemispherical, and cylindrical cavities showed the RDP signals have much lower magnitude than tamped explosions, where the cavity explosions mimicked nearly decoupled explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Spatially Dependent Seismic Wavefield Scattering from an Underground Chemical Explosion: Analysis of the Source Physics Experiment Dry Alluvium Geology Large- N Array

Explosion sources have been observed to generate significant shear‐wave energy despite their isotropic nature. To investigate this phenomenon, we conduct an analysis of the seismic data collected as part of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE): Dry Alluvium Geology (DAG) and investigate the generation of shear‐wave energy via scattering. The data were produced by three underground chemical explosions and consist of three‐component seismograms, which were recorded by the DAG Large‐N array. Synthetic tests suggest that for the DAG experiments, small‐scale stochastic heterogeneities, defined as features with correlation lengths of 10–100s of meters, are more effective than large‐scale geologic structure (scales >1–10 km) at reproducing the scattering of explosion generated wavefields observed at DAG. We analyze the seismic data for spatially variable ratios between transversely and radially polarized seismic energy, and then estimate the mean free path of P and S waves. All analyses are conducted within a frequency band of 5–50 Hz. The ratio of transversely to radially polarized energy is the highest in the east and west portion of the Large‐N array. In addition, the magnitude of the estimated S‐wave mean free path is shorter in the eastern portion of the Large‐N array. This variation indicates that the eastern area of the DAG array is where more scattering is occurring, suggesting azimuthal dependence of P‐to‐P and P‐to‐S scattering. Furthermore, this azimuthal dependence of P‐to‐S scattering can have implications for explosion discrimination based on spectral ratios of seismic wave types, because the general assumption is that explosions do not generate shear‐wave energy. Synthetic tests modeling only larger‐scale geologic structure had lower transversely polarized energy (only four stations showing a transversely to radially polarized energy ratio greater than 1) and fewer stations (<10) displaying shorter (<300 m) mean free paths than what was observed in the DAG data results.

Darrh, Andréa Nicole↗