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At least 73 records · Page 4

A carbon molecular sieve membrane-based reactive separation process for pre-combustion CO 2 capture

In this study, we discuss a hybrid system combining a membrane reactor (MR) and an adsorptive reactor (AR), with the MR's reject stream serving as the AR's feed. We apply this system for the water gas shift (WGS) reaction for H 2 generation and simultaneous CO 2 capture in the context of the Integrated Gas Combined Cycle (IGCC) process for power generation from coal and biomass. This MR-AR system attains a high conversion exceeding equilibrium, produces a pure H 2 product for power generation, and delivers a high-pressure CO 2 stream ready for sequestration. Specifically, in our study we use carbon molecular sieve membranes (CMSMs) and a commercial sour-shift WGS catalyst. Lab experiments were carried-out to determine the membrane characteristics, and the MR performance under IGCC-relevant conditions, i.e., for temperatures up to 250 °C and pressures up to 25 bar, employing a model coal gasifier syngas. The CMSM and the catalyst have displayed robust and stable performance during a long-term run (~750 h of syngas exposure). We evaluated the MR-AR system in multi-cycle runs and it has demonstrated superior performance to that of a conventional packed-bed reactor, producing a high-purity H 2 product directly useable in a turbine for power generation. We conclude from the study, that the CMSM-based MR-AR system is a good candidate technology for environmentally-benign power generation. We are currently constructing a pilot-scale system for field demonstration of the technology.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Development of Novel Combustion Codes for Supercritical CO2 Combustion: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-20-17182

The Allam-Fetvedt Cycle, a novel supercritical CO2 (sCO2) power cycle developed by 8 Rivers Capital, LLC, generates low-cost power from fossil fuels while capturing combustion-CO2. This cycle employs high-temperature oxy-combustion using sCO2 as the working fluid, leading to a challenging environment for materials. The most critical component for reliable deployment of this technology is the combustor-turbine interface. In the proposed partnership between NREL and 8 Rivers, we will develop a simulation-based tool to provide key design inputs for defining the materials and geometries required in this critical area.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Westinghouse advanced fuel management strategies leveraging high enrichment and high burnup fuel to optimize PWR economics

In the US, nuclear power plants have been focused on increasing electricity generation for over three decades via longer operating cycles, reduced number of outages and duration, and the implementation of power up-rates. The potential for zero-carbon emission credits and other carbon-reduction initiatives further makes nuclear power utilities to focus on increasing generation capability. Longer operating cycles provide increased energy generation and enable economic savings to nuclear utilities when the increase in fuel loading required to achieve the extended cycle energy target and resulting increase in total fuel cost is offset by the savings from outage avoidance and reduced replacement power costs. For the current licensed limits of 5 w/o {sup 235}U enrichment and 62 GWd/tU peak pin burnup, higher power density PWR plants, which are prevalent in the PWR fleet, require an excessively penalizing fraction of feed fuel assemblies to operate for the extended cycle duration, with inevitably poor fuel use and fuel cycle economics that cannot be counterbalanced by the savings on outage cost avoidance. To overcome this barrier, the nuclear industry is pursuing development of high enrichment/high burnup fuel technology ({sup 235}U enrichment up to 8 w/o and peak pin burnup up to 75 GWd/tU) which increases fuel energy generation capability and can enable high power density plants to achieve positive economics on 24-month cycle of operation. This paper presents advanced fuel management strategies developed by Westinghouse to enable transition of PWR reactors from 18-month to 24-month cycle of operation, with and without a core thermal power uprate, which are then used as basis to assess the economics of a direct transition from 18 to 24-month cycles with high enrichment/high burnup fuel. The results show that these fuel management strategies, especially if coupled with thermal power up-rates, present the opportunity for substantial economic benefits to utilities. The systematic review of fuel management strategies presented can provide an illustrative reference for decision makers as they consider how to maximize nuclear energy generation economically. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Review of the Research and Development of Brayton Cycle Technology in Nuclear Power Applications with a Focus on Compressor Technology

This study reviews the integration of Brayton Cycle (BC) systems in nuclear power generation, emphasizing their potential to enhance thermal efficiency and operational flexibility over traditional Rankine Cycle (RC) systems. Key working fluids, such as helium (He), supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ), nitrogen (N 2 ), and air, are evaluated for their performance, efficiency, and compatibility with nuclear systems. He is recognized for its high thermal conductivity and inertness at elevated temperatures, while sCO 2 demonstrates advantages in compactness and efficiency in midrange temperatures. This article also highlights the importance of compressor designs in optimizing BC performance and reviews, available compressor technologies. Axial and centrifugal compressor designs enable efficient gas compression while managing the thermal and mechanical stresses associated with high-pressure operations in nuclear systems. Combined with variable geometry components and advanced materials, these technologies address the challenges posed by varying load conditions. Despite the promising features of BC systems, several challenges persist, including high leakage rates and material degradation under extreme conditions, which necessitate robust sealing technologies and thorough testing. The insights gained from operational experiences at facilities, such as the Oberhausen II plant and the High-Temperature He Test Facility (HHV), underscore the complexities involved in designing high-temperature gas turbines for nuclear applications. This review concludes that as the nuclear industry evolves, BC systems hold significant promise for contributing to a sustainable energy future, particularly in the context of small modular reactors (SMRs) and microreactors. Further exploration of combined cycle configurations that combine BCs with RCs may enhance overall efficiency and flexibility in power generation.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

BENCH-SCALE DEVELOPMENT OF A TRANSFORMATIVE MEMBRANE PROCESS FOR PRE-COMBUSTION CO 2 CAPTURE

This final technical report describes work conducted by Membrane Technology and Research, Inc. (MTR) for the Department of Energy, National Energy Technology Laboratory (DOE NETL) on development of the second generation (Gen-2) Proteus™ membrane modules and a pre-combustion membrane process for carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture from an Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) plant for power generation (award number DE-FE0031632). The work was conducted from October 1, 2018 through March 30, 2022. The overall goal of this project was to bring a Gen-2 version of the H2-selective Proteus membrane to bench-scale module (component) testing with real syngas. MTR was assisted in this project by Susteon, a technology development company with extensive experience in gasification processes, and the University of North Dakota Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC), who provided the host site for the slipstream field testing. This report details the work conducted to optimize the Gen-2 Proteus membrane and develop modules capable of operation at 200°C; demonstrate membrane module performance processing coal-derived syngas during a field test at EERC; and optimize integration of a dual-membrane process into an IGCC with carbon capture. Work for this project included membrane optimization and scale-up, module component screening and fabrication of high-temperature lab- and bench-scale modules, design and fabrication of a bench-scale field test membrane skid, operation of the field test skid processing coal-derived syngas at EERC, and a detailed techno-economic analysis (TEA) of the MTR dual-membrane process for IGCC power plant pre-combustion CO 2 capture. This project validated recent membrane technology advancements, mitigates risk in future scale-up activities, and moved the membrane pre-combustion capture technology from TRL-4 to TRL-5. Key results for each major task are discussed in the report.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Design and Modeling of an 80 bar Oxy-Combustor for Direct Fired Supercritical CO2 Applications

As supercritical CO2 power cycles for fossil energy power generation continue to generate interest, there are significant issues and unanswered questions regarding injector design, flame stabilization, wall heat transfer, CO emissions, combustion dynamics and other combustion phenomenon. For natural gas, direct-fired cycles with carbon capture it is believed that Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling will play an essential role in the combustor design process. To accurately model turbulent reacting flows at these unique conditions, experimental data is needed to validate CFD codes and sub-models and is currently lacking at conditions relevant for these cycles. This paper presents the conceptual design and CFD simulations of an experimental 80 bar oxy-combustion facility and test article currently under construction at NETL. The facility is targeted towards the testing of a single injector, direct-fired sCO2 combustor at the 100 kW thermal output level. While these conditions do not reflect the actual Allam cycle operating conditions (300 bar) they are viewed as a stepping stone in the model validation process at supercritical conditions. Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes as well as Large Eddy Simulation are used to model the turbulent combustion process and aid in the design of the combustor and injector. Process parameters including oxidizer preheat temperature and combustor flowrate are investigated.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Measurements of Density and Sound Speed in Mixtures Relevant to Supercritical CO2 Cycles

Abstract The objective of this research is to validate properties of mixtures relevant to supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) power cycles. Direct-fired sCO2 cycles are a promising technology for the future power generation systems. The working fluid of sCO2 cycles will be near and above critical point of CO2. One of the challenges is that the simulation of mixtures should consider real gas behavior. Expected operating conditions of Allam cycles reach up to 300 bar and 1000 °C. Characterizing the mixtures at the extreme conditions is an important issue in current researches and industrial applications. Thermophysical properties of mixtures may be beyond the valid range of the widely used database such as NIST REFPROP. Experimental data of mixture properties in the literature are limited which is necessary to develop high-fidelity design tools for sCO2 power cycles. We measured the density and sound speed of several multi-component mixtures. A temperature-controlled high-pressure test cell was used for the density measurements. Sound speed was measured by resonant frequency detection using an external speaker and a piezoelectric pressure sensor. Mixtures studied in this work include carbon dioxide, methane, oxygen, and water vapor. Properties of pure CO2 were measured to show the validity of our technique. Compositions were selected to be close to frozen mixtures at the inlet, mid-progress, and exhaust conditions of a model sCO2 combustor in the previous numerical simulation work. Corresponding reaction progress variables (RPV) were RPV = 0, 0.5, and 1. Temperature and pressure conditions of experiments are 310–450 K and 0–150 bar. In our study, density and sound speed from the NIST REFPROP database agree with experimental measurements within the range of our measurement uncertainties.

Energy & Fuels↗

Thermoeconomic analysis of a multigeneration system using waste heat from a triple power cycle

Multigeneration systems represent an appealing concept, due to their multiple benefits compared to standalone systems, which has motivated researchers to develop different types of multigeneration systems for several applications. Considering their significance, in this study, a novel multigeneration is proposed that uses the waste heat of a thermodynamically efficient triple power cycle with a 100 MWe capacity. The proposed system, which can generate power, freshwater, cooling, and domestic hot water concurrently, is evaluated using detailed thermodynamic and economic analyses. The triple cycle includes a simple Brayton cycle coupled with a supercritical carbon dioxide recompression cycle and a high-temperature organic Rankine cycle. The waste energy of the recompression and organic Rankine cycles is recovered by a half effect absorption chiller, a multi-effect distillation unit, and two heat exchangers. The results show that for an optimized triple cycle, up to 1,804 kW cooling and 8,472 m 3 /day of hot water can be generated from the hot supercritical carbon dioxide stream with a levelized cost of cooling and hot water of 0.0362/ton-hr and $0.6823/MWth, respectively. The integration of a multi-effect distillation unit with 7 effects can generate 4,167 m 3 /day freshwater with a levelized cost of water of $1.142/m 3 . Finally, the proposed multigeneration system offers a very promising application and a number of benefits such as a generating multiple useful products with no adverse effect on the thermodynamic efficiency of the triple power cycle.

Thermoeconomic analysis↗

Analysis of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Data

Electricity generated using nuclear power accounted for 18.9% of all electricity consumed in the United States in 2021, putting it in third place behind natural gas (38%) and coal (22%) power plants. Nuclear power plants boast a significantly higher uptime or capacity factor—90% and above—compared to 49.1% for coal fired power plants and 56.6% for natural gas power plants. Renewable energy sources, such as solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind electricity, have lower capacity factors: 24.9% and 36.3%, respectively. In addition, nuclear power is cleaner than both coal and natural gas fired power plants. With the passing of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, significant tax credits will be claimed by producers of hydrogen with well-to-gate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions below 0.45 kg CO 2e /kg H 2 . This has sparked interest in using clean sources of electricity, including nuclear power, to generate H 2 via water electrolysis. As uranium is a primary fuel for modern nuclear power plants, the upstream emissions from nuclear fuel production greatly impact the GHG emissions related to all nuclear power end use. Therefore, it is important to accurately determine the upstream emissions associated with the nuclear fuel cycle of nuclear power production in the United States. In this analysis, the nuclear fuel cycle was separated into distinct steps to allow better understanding of the chemical and energy inputs at each step of the fuel cycle. This also provides details of the GHG emissions at each step in the nuclear fuel cycle. The transportation distance for each step of the fuel cycle was updated to account for the locations of uranium processing facilities along the supply chain of the current U.S. nuclear power plants. Finally, all the updated values were incorporated into Argonne National Laboratory’s Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Technologies (GREET) model.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Stochastic Model Predictive Control With Gaussian Wind Direction Preview for Wake Steering

This article addresses the problem of wake steering control for wind farms that explicitly consider the tradeoff between farm-level power generation and yaw duty cycle under variable and uncertain wind conditions. A novel stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented, which utilizes a stochastic model of the freestream wind field components in a receding horizon framework to compute optimal yaw set points that maximize the expected value of the farm power while constraining the yaw actuation. Different configurations of the algorithm are evaluated using a steady-state wind farm simulator. The proposed stochastic MPC algorithm can plan control actions over a future prediction horizon based on probabilistic estimates of the incoming wind magnitude and direction.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Data Driven Approach to Analyzing The Impact of Power Plant Cycling on Air Preheater Degradation and Remaining Useful Life

Due to the increased penetration of renewable energy generation sources, and fluctuations of the oil and gas prices, modern coal burning power plants deal with increased variability in the demand for power generation. These varying demands result in their intermittent under-capacity operation (cycling). Periodical ramping down and back up to follow the daily power demands causes damages to the plant components reducing its operational life. In this paper we analyze the impact of cycling on a rotary Ljungstrom air preheater (APH) unit installed at a coal fire power plant in the US. An inefficient air preheater can significantly impact boiler performance. Due to the repeated boiler’s hot-cold start, the APH experiences fluctuating operating conditions that result in accelerated degradation mechanisms, such as dew-point corrosion, fouling/deposition plugging, and air heater leakage. The analysis in this paper utilizes field data related to APH basket replacement, and the number of cycles experienced by the boiler to model the life expectancy of the baskets. The data-driven model enables preventive maintenance strategies for the APH by predicting how long the APH baskets will last in a probabilistic sense. Furthermore, the analysis showed that an increase in cycling for a fixed operation time can reduce the APH basket remaining useful life by about 30%.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DATA DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZING THE IMPACT OF POWER PLANT CYCLING ON AIR PREHEATER DEGRADATION AND REMAINING USEFUL LIFE

Due to the increased penetration of renewable energy generation sources, and fluctuations of the oil and gas prices, modern coal burning power plants deal with increased variability in the demand for power generation. These varying demands result in their intermittent under-capacity operation (cycling). Periodical ramping down and back up to follow the daily power demands causes damages to the plant components reducing its operational life. In this paper we analyze the impact of cycling on a rotary Ljungstrom air preheater (APH) unit installed at a coal fire power plant in the US. An inefficient air preheater can significantly impact boiler performance. Due to the repeated boiler’s hot-cold start, the APH experiences fluctuating operating conditions that result in accelerated degradation mechanisms, such as dew-point corrosion, fouling/deposition plugging, and air heater leakage.The analysis in this paper utilizes field data related to APH basket replacement, and the number of cycles experienced by the boiler to model the life expectancy of the baskets. The data-driven model enables preventive maintenance strategies for the APH by predicting how long the APH baskets will last in a probabilistic sense. The analysis showed that an increase in cycling for a fixed operation time can reduce the APH basket remaining useful life by about 30%.

Sharma, Himanshu↗

Molten Chloride Thermophysical Properties, Chemical Optimization, and Purification

Next-generation concentrating solar power (CSP) technology requires high-temperature heat-transfer fluids and thermal energy storage that can operate in the temperature range of 500°–720°C. This high temperature demands a new chemistry for the heat-transfer fluids that must have high-temperature thermal and chemical stabilities, high energy density, and low corrosion rate on metallic materials used in the heat exchangers, piping, and thermal energy storage tanks. A ternary MgCl 2 -KCl-NaCl chloride-salt system has been proposed to achieve such goals, given its high-temperature thermal stability. The chloride-salt-based systems have been used by the metallurgy industry as the electrolyte to electrolytically extract metallic magnesium. They have also attracted attentions from the nuclear industry for developing the molten salt fast reactors that can operate at close to atmospheric pressure and at higher temperature than traditional light-water reactors. However, the corrosion properties of the ternary salt are not well known. The corrosion mechanism is believed to be correlated to the presence of MgOHCl impurity at the operation temperature. MgOHCl is fundamentally caused by the hygroscopic nature of the MgCl 2 component. Therefore, the first key objective of this project is to understand the nature of the corrosiveness of the ternary chloride-salt system and its prevention by designing new lab-scale purification processes. Because of its importance, a working group called the Chloride Salt Collective across multiple U.S. Department of Energy national laboratories is established to gain experimental agreement on the corrosion behaviors. In addition, water generation during salt dehydration could lead to highly corrosive HCl/water mixture via a hydrolysis process between water and anhydrous MgCl 2 or MgCl 2 hydrates. MgOHCl will eventually be converted to MgO particulates regardless of the chemical path chosen (i.e., by thermal decomposition, chemical purification with an active metal, or electrochemical purification utilizing the reduction power of electron flows). Large MgO particles with high hardness can wear out bearing and bushing and even clog the delicate channels in the primary heat exchanger. Because of this, a second objective is to understand the chemistry behind salt purification and transfer the scientific understanding to a set of engineering know-how for large-scale salt melter design. Because there is limited information on the thermophysical properties and the sensitivity of these properties around the targeted salt composition, a third objective is to measure thermophysical properties relevant to system and component design and support Topic 1 Liquid Pathway development. For example, composition shift due to salt reaction with water can be a potential issue because it can lead to changes of thermophysical properties, such as (1) melting point (or freeze point), which can jeopardize safe operation of the supercritical CO 2 power cycle proposed for next-generation CSP, and (2) heat capacity and density, which can decrease the overall power-generation capability of the plants. The value of the thermal conductivity of the selected salt composition is also a critical criterion for the solar receiver design.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Particle Handling in Particle-Based Pumped Thermal Energy Storage

A particle-based pumped thermal electricity storage system stores high-temperature heat (~1000 degrees C) in low-cost silica sand and generates power through an efficient power cycle. Central to this system is a counterflow direct-contact gas/particle fluidized-bed heat exchanger, which can significantly improve the heat exchange process due to the large heat transfer surface area of particles. To showcase a lab-scale 10- to 20-kWe heat exchange process with particles heating up to 300 degrees C, a comprehensive hydrodynamic analysis of the fluidization condition inside the heat exchanger was conducted. The heat exchanger was designed to target for heat exchange process of 10-20 kW and accommodate an air mass flow rate of 0.3-0.7 kg/s. The fluidization condition was set to maintain stable bubbling fluidization, thereby maximizing the particle-to-air heat transfer. An air distributor was designed to equally distribute air over the bed, which can avoid defluidized zones in the heat exchanger. Additionally, particle handling systems including L-valves, screw conveyors, and pneumatic conveyors were developed for the prototype heat exchanger, efficiently conveying high-temperature particles at 0.2-0.5 kg/s. This work lays the foundation for scaling up the system and integrating it into larger energy storage applications, demonstrating its potential for efficient, high-temperature thermal energy storage and power generation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Coal-Biomass Co-Firing Power Plants with Carbon Capture and Storage

The United States has set a target to achieve the net-zero economy by 2050. Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Sequestration (BECCS) is one of the promising negative-emission routes in the mitigation portfolio to help meet this goal. Coal-biomass co-firing with carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a key BECCS technology to realize the carbon mitigation at fossil-fuel power plants. The mitigation potential of co-firing option is affected by numerous critical factors, such as biomass properties, co-firing level, and carbon capture rate. The objectives of the study are to characterize and estimate the life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and performance of coal-biomass co-firing power plants with CCS, determine the breakeven co-firing level at power plants necessary to achieve net-zero life cycle emissions, and quantify the variabilities and uncertainties in life cycle emissions. The scope of the life cycle assessment includes the fuel supply, combustion-based power generation, and CO2 transport and storage. A fuel-based life cycle module is developed and embedded in the Integrated Environmental Control Model (IECM), a fossil-fuel power plant modeling tool. This study then applies the enhanced IECM to conduct the process-based life cycle assessment for an array of biomass co-firing scenarios. Deterministic analysis indicates that reaching net-zero life cycle emissions in a biomass co-firing plant without CCS deployment is challenging. Combining biomass co-firing and CCS deployment can significantly lower the overall life cycle emissions of power plants. Net-zero life cycle emissions can be achieved with a 20 wt.% co-firing level and 90% CCS when the Powder River Basin coal is co-fired with energy crops or forestry residues. However, the breakeven co-firing level for net-zero emissions depend on the selected fuel properties. Fuel supply and plant operation are the critical stages influencing the life cycle emissions of power plants with 90% CCS. Deployment of deep CCS beyond 90% CO2 capture can remarkably reduce operational emissions and the breakeven co-firing level. With 99% CCS, the breakeven co-firing rate can be reduced to 12% on average. These findings highlight the trade-offs between technical performance and environmental impact of biomass co-firing at coal-fired power plants and emphasize the role of deep CCS in achieving a net-zero emissions future.

Wu, Wanying↗

Experimental Validation of a High-Temperature Test Facility for Future Additive Manufactured Supercritical Carbon Dioxide Turbine Testing

For next-generation power plants to achieve high cycle efficiencies consistent with the Department of Energy's 65% efficiency target, turbomachinery capable of operating within high-temperature power cycles must be demonstrated. Pairing additively manufactured superalloy turbines with the supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) power cycle could enable turbine inlet temperatures approaching 1300 °C while providing flexibility in turbine cooling strategies. Development of test facilities to characterize and validate such systems is crucial. In this study, a turbine test facility capable of achieving inlet conditions of 800 °C, 11 MPa, and 0.43 kg/s while accommodating complex auxiliary cooling flow requirements has been designed and constructed to support future testing of a Haynes 282 additively manufactured 30 kW turbine-generator system with advanced cooling channels. This facility enables characterization of aerodynamic performance, leakage, and windage losses. Details of the facility's construction and operation are presented, along with experimental validation tests using an orifice as an expansion device in place of the turbine. These tests confirm that the facility can reach the required conditions, distinguish regions of achievable steady and pseudo-steady conditions, and identify the heater power required for each point in the upcoming turbine campaign. The campaign confirmed that ISO 5167-2 can reliably predict orifice mass flow rates in extreme supercritical carbon dioxide conditions with deviations of 0.5–7.5%.

42 ENGINEERING↗

EM-Enhanced HyPOR Loop for Fast Fusion Cycles

Vacuum pumps are the heart of a fusion energy facility – fusion power cannot be generated without them. Nevertheless, the vacuum technology needed to operate a viable fuel cycle for a compact fusion power plant does not exist. Commercial vacuum technology offers the best solution to this challenge, but a pump oil recycling and detritiation system is necessary. Conventional oil detritiation processes have only been developed to deal with legacy waste and are too slow and destructive to the oil. Further, post hoc detritiation strategies are intrinsically inefficient. Our approach is to rethink the challenge holistically by designing the pumping fluid and tritium extraction system in an integrated manner to achieve an innovative solution. By selecting an oil for the specific task of pumping tritium and then designing our catalytic system to selectively target the tritium-bearing functional groups, an effective detritiation system (hydrocarbon pump oil recycling, HyPOR, loop) for fusion power plants can be obtained. The project demonstrated a HyPOR loop process that can selectively remove heavier hydrogen isotopes from pump oil, reaching the target of 99.5 % removal, with an uptake of less than 0.01% of tritium throughput, while also purifying the oil of radiation-induced damage. The recycled oil retained its pumping characteristics over 7 recycles and gamma irradiation over 30 MGy. By meeting these targets, the project enable a reduction in pump operational costs from $\$$14.5M/year to $\$$103k/year (>140× reduction), reducing pump electric power consumption from 2.8 MW to 0.25 MW (>10× reduction), and reducing in-process tritium inventory from 2.03 kg to 0.48 kg (>4× reduction).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Forecasting Solar-Thermal Systems Performance under Transient Operation Using a Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach Based on the Deep Operator Network Architecture

Modeling and prediction of the dynamic behavior of thermal systems operating under intermittent energy input and variable load requirements represent one of the greatest challenges in the development of efficient and reliable renewable-based power generation technologies. In this work, a data-driven machine learning modeling framework was developed based on a modified version of the Deep Operator Network architecture where the time coordinate in the trunk net is replaced with historical data of the predicting quantity. The modeling framework can be used to accurately predict the performance of renewable-based energy conversion technologies including wind- and solar-based power plants. This novel framework was applied on a solar-thermal system that consists of a solar collection loop using a flat plate collector, a power generation loop comprising an Organic Rankine Cycle, and a thermal energy storage tank connecting both loops. Variable solar irradiance, air temperature, and power load profiles were used by the Deep Operator Network to predict the State-of-Charge and the efficiency of the thermal system for several days. The results were compared with the State-of-Charge and efficiency functions calculated using a physics-based model. For a simple operation scenario, characterized by a clear sky solar irradiance profile and constant load, the standard deviation in the State-of-Charge prediction by Deep Operator Network is below 0.9% during a seven-day prediction time horizon. For the most realistic operation scenario that considers real solar irradiance and a rough load profile, the maximum standard deviation in the predictions for the State-of-Charge and efficiency are below 6.8% and 2.5%, respectively. A comparison between Deep Operator Network and Long Short Term Memory network was also performed. In general, both networks predict very well the State-of-Charge for different data density conditions; however, a higher accuracy, with a standard deviation below 2.0%, is obtained by the Deep Operator Network during three and half days using sparser training data of 20-minute points. The same accuracy for the State-of-Charge prediction with the Long Short Term Memory network is achieved only for 14 h. Average standard deviations for the State-of-Charge prediction of 1.1% with the Deep Operator Network and 1.5% with the Long Short Term Memory network are obtained for a four-day prediction time using a denser training data of 5-minute points.

DeepONet↗