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DOE OSTI2022

Atikokan Digital Twin: Machine learning in a biomass energy system

The Atikokan Generating Station, operated by Ontario Power Generation, has a 200 MW, biomass-fired tower boiler that operates on a dispatch schedule with a five-minute cycle. The boiler is generally operated in the range of 40–100 MW using two of five burner levels. In order to optimize boiler performance, we propose the implementation of a unique digital twin. Our digital twin abstraction couples Bayesian inference from science-based models and from observations (machine learning) with decision theory to predict operating-variable set points that optimize the physical asset (the boiler) in the presence of uncertainty (artificial intelligence). We focus this paper on the continuous Bayesian machine learning part of the Atikokan Digital Twin; we discuss decision theory in a companion paper. We identify and learn about 12 operational, model, and measured-output parameters and their uncertainties from high-fidelity, science-based simulations of the Atikokan boiler and from the observed measurements at the power plant. Since the goal of the Atikokan Digital Twin is to implement it online in real time, we require fast function evaluations for the quantities of interest extracted from the simulations in the Bayesian analysis. We use Gaussian process regression/interpolation to create accurate, robust surrogate models. We define the Bayesian priors and likelihood function and solve for the posterior distributions of the 12 parameters. Here we then propagate these distributions (i.e., parameters with uncertainty) into the predicted distributions of 790 quantities of interest to learn about the relative importance of various sources of error including experimental, model, and operating-parameter errors.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

High‐throughput combinatorial approach expedites the synthesis of a lead‐free relaxor ferroelectric system

Abstract Developing novel lead‐free ferroelectric materials is crucial for next‐generation microelectronic technologies that are energy efficient and environment friendly. However, materials discovery and property optimization are typically time‐consuming due to the limited throughput of traditional synthesis methods. In this work, we use a high‐throughput combinatorial synthesis approach to fabricate lead‐free ferroelectric superlattices and solid solutions of (Ba 0.7 Ca 0.3 )TiO 3 (BCT) and Ba(Zr 0.2 Ti 0.8 )O 3 (BZT) phases with continuous variation of composition and layer thickness. High‐resolution x‐ray diffraction (XRD) and analytical scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) demonstrate high film quality and well‐controlled compositional gradients. Ferroelectric and dielectric property measurements identify the “optimal property point” achieved at the composition of 48BZT–52BCT. Displacement vector maps reveal that ferroelectric domain sizes are tunable by varying {BCT–BZT} N superlattice geometry. This high‐throughput synthesis approach can be applied to many other material systems to expedite new materials discovery and properties optimization, allowing for the exploration of a large area of phase space within a single growth. image

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

High-throughput combinatorial approach expedites the synthesis of a lead-free relaxor ferroelectric system

Developing novel lead-free ferroelectric materials is crucial for next-generation microelectronic technologies that are energy efficient and environment friendly. However, materials discovery and property optimization are typically time-consuming due to the limited throughput of traditional synthesis methods. In this work, we use a high-throughput combinatorial synthesis approach to fabricate lead-free ferroelectric superlattices and solid solutions of (Ba 0.7 Ca 0.3 )TiO 3 (BCT) and Ba(Zr 0.2 Ti 0.8 )O 3 (BZT) phases with continuous variation of composition and layer thickness. High-resolution x-ray diffraction (XRD) and analytical scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) demonstrate high film quality and well-controlled compositional gradients. Ferroelectric and dielectric property measurements identify the “optimal property point” achieved at the composition of 48BZT–52BCT. Displacement vector maps reveal that ferroelectric domain sizes are tunable by varying {BCT–BZT} N superlattice geometry. This high-throughput synthesis approach can be applied to many other material systems to expedite new materials discovery and properties optimization, allowing for the exploration of a large area of phase space within a single growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis and Optimization of the Recompression Cycle with High Temperature Recuperator Bypass for Concentrating Solar Power Applications

This work analyzes the sCO2 recompression with high temperature recuperator (HTR) bypass power cycle for use in concentrating solar power (CSP) systems. CSP operation differs from other thermal power plants in that CSP must balance between maximizing the heat transfer fluid (HTF) temperature difference and maximizing the cycle thermal efficiency, which typically are inversely related. Large HTF temperature differences reduce the size and cost of thermal energy storage (TES), improve the solar receiver efficiency, and require lower mass flow rates that reduce pumping power required to elevate the HTF to the receiver. The recompression cycle with HTR bypass potentially offers improved thermal efficiency with larger HTF temperature differences as compared to the recompression cycle, and it has fewer turbomachinery components than the partial cooling cycle. The recompression with HTR bypass cycle adds a second lower temperature primary heat exchanger which transfers heat from the HTF to the fraction of sCO2 flow that bypasses the HTR. We developed a model to compare the recompression with HTR bypass cycle to the recompression and partial cooling cycles. A sweep of design parameters including bypass fraction, recompression fraction, recuperator conductance, and pressure ratio is used to form a pareto-optimal front with the cycle thermal efficiency and HTF temperature difference as objectives. An optimization routine has also been developed to find optimal design point parameters for a target HTF temperature difference. The performance of the recompression with HTR bypass cycle is compared with recompression and partial cooling cycles.

concentrating solar power↗

DOE OSTI2022

Gamma Ray Source Localization for Time Projection Chamber Telescopes Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Diverse phenomena such as positron annihilation in the Milky Way, merging binary neutron stars, and dark matter can be better understood by studying their gamma ray emission. Despite their importance, MeV gamma rays have been poorly explored at sensitivities that would allow for deeper insight into the nature of the gamma emitting objects. In response, a liquid argon time projection chamber (TPC) gamma ray instrument concept called GammaTPC has been proposed and promises exploration of the entire sky with a large field of view, large effective area, and high polarization sensitivity. Optimizing the pointing capability of this instrument is crucial and can be accomplished by leveraging convolutional neural networks to reconstruct electron recoil paths from Compton scattering events within the detector. In this investigation, we develop a machine learning model architecture to accommodate a large data set of high fidelity simulated electron tracks and reconstruct paths. We create two model architectures: one to predict the electron recoil track origin and one for the initial scattering direction. We find that these models predict the true origin and direction with extremely high accuracy, thereby optimizing the observatory’s estimates of the sky location of gamma ray sources.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Hybrid Energy Management with Real-Time Control of a High-Power EV Charging Site

Decarbonization of transportation systems is driving higher capacity energy storage and faster charging power requirements in electric vehicles (EVs). Given the potential advantages - such as increased efficiency, reduced inverter capacity, and less total cable mass - there is a demand in the industry for more DC distribution for high-power charging (HPC) hubs. However, the cost-effective, adaptive, and robust operation of the DC-coupled HPC hub necessitates a robust site energy management system (SEMS). Validating SEMS operation using a digital twin of an HPC hub in a real-time simulator (RTS) platform is crucial before field deployment. In this study, we propose a hybrid energy management site controller designed to achieve high-level, long-term operational objectives while managing low-level power sharing control between hub assets. We develop a centralized model predictive controller (MPC) to optimize hub operating points and use these points to update the droop parameters of the site energy storage system (ESS). This approach ensures the hub follows an optimal operating point while maintaining the flexibility to respond to load surges. We tested and verified our proposed approach both offline and on a Controller Hardware-in-the-loop (C-HIL) simulation platform integrated with a SEMS framework, demonstrating real-time site operation and validating a cost-effective and robust site controller.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2021

AC Power Flow Based DLMP Calculation and Decomposition Method to Smooth Power Fluctuation of Distributed Renewable Energy Sources

As the penetration of renewable energy sources increases, the growing renewable power variability brings ramping issues to power systems. Meanwhile, the development of distributed energy resources (DERs) makes the distribution systems to provide both energy and ancillary services. To incentivise individual resources and customers to alleviate ramping issues on the demand side, a two-stage distribution locational marginal price (DLMP) calculation and decomposition method is developed to formulate the marginal power ramping price for DERs. In the first stage of the proposed method, a distribution system operator market scheduling model based on AC optimal power flow is designed to estimate the optimal operating point of the distribution system. Subsequently, the voltage and power flow constraints are linearised in stage two to calculate DLMP. Finally, based on the Lagrange function and sensitivity factors, DLMP is decomposed to the marginal costs for active/reactive power, voltage management, power loss and power variability. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed model can effectively smooth the power fluctuation and reduce the ramping flexibility requirements of distribution systems.

AC optimal power flow↗

DOE OSTI2020

Inferring the Dynamics of the State Evolution During Quantum Annealing

To solve an optimization problem using a commercial quantum annealer, one has to represent the problem of interest as an Ising or a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problem and submit its coefficients to the annealer, which then returns a user-specified number of low-energy solutions. It would be useful to know what happens in the quantum processor during the anneal process so that one could design better algorithms or suggest improvements to the hardware. However, existing quantum annealers are not able to directly extract such information from the processor. Hence, in this work we propose to use advanced features of D-Wave 2000Q to indirectly infer information about the dynamics of the state evolution during the anneal process. Specifically, D-Wave 2000Q allows the user to customize the anneal schedule, that is, the schedule with which the anneal fraction is changed from the start to the end of the anneal. Furthermore, using this feature, we design a set of modified anneal schedules whose outputs can be used to generate information about the states of the system at user-defined time points during a standard anneal. With this process, called "slicing", we obtain approximate distributions of lowest-energy anneal solutions as the anneal time evolves. We use our technique to obtain a variety of insights into the annealer, such as the state evolution during annealing, when individual bits in an evolving solution flip during the anneal process and when they stabilize, and we introduce a technique to estimate the freeze-out point of both the system as well as of individual qubits.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

The Uniform Methods Project: Smart Thermostat Evaluation Protocol

A smart thermostat is an internet-connected device that controls home heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) equipment and can automatically adjust temperature set points to optimize performance and achieve energy savings. Smart thermostat features often include two way communication, occupancy detection (such as geofencing and occupancy sensors), schedule learning, and seasonal optimization algorithms. Smart thermostats can control most conventional HVAC systems, including central air conditioners, heat pumps, and forced air furnaces. Several types of residential utility programs offer smart thermostats as replacements measures. Working with smart thermostat vendors, utilities can offer separate optimization programs to produce energy savings beyond those achieved by installing a smart thermostat. From an evaluation perspective, smart thermostat programs have several noteworthy features. First, the energy savings from a smart thermostat may change over the life of the device. As a smart thermostat is connected to the internet, original equipment manufacturers can update the thermostat software to improve the thermostat's energy efficiency. Likewise, users can adjust the thermostat settings and schedules over time in response to changes in weather, thermal comfort, energy prices, or preferences for energy efficiency. Additionally, many thermostat manufacturers offer seasonal optimization programs that recommend changes or make minor, automated adjustments to the thermostat settings to improve energy efficiency. These opt-in programs are now standard offerings for many smart thermostat manufacturers and provided at no additional cost to users. The potential for software updates and continuous optimization and the evolving nature of user interactions mean future energy savings may differ from first-year savings and the energy savings of smart thermostats may need to be evaluated more than once. Second, smart thermostats often have small unit energy savings relative to a home's total energy consumption, especially in comparison to whole- home retrofit programs. This can make it difficult to detect the smart thermostat savings in billing or advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) meter consumption data. For example, as cooling loads in many regions average about 20% of annual electricity consumption, smart thermostat savings of 10% of cooling energy use would equate to a 2% reduction in home electricity consumption. Evaluators should use regression analysis of whole-home billing consumption or advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) meter consumption data to evaluate smart thermostat savings because, as explained at greater length below , these data are usually available to evaluators and regression can control for the impacts of weather and other potentially confounding factors on a home's energy consumption. Finally, as with other energy efficiency programs, participation in smart thermostat programs is self-selective. As discussed at greater length below , smart thermostat participants tend to be, among other things, younger, higher-income, and more likely to adopt electric vehicles (EVs) and internet connected devices than nonparticipants. These differences are often unobservable to the evaluator and correlated with a home's energy consumption, creating the potential for bias in estimating savings. Due to the small unit savings of thermostats, errors and biases from self-selection that may not be very consequential when evaluating a whole- home retrofits (e.g., ±2% of home electricity consumption) can have a major impact when evaluating the savings and cost-effectiveness of smart thermostat programs. A percentage point change in the estimated savings could affect the cost-effectiveness of a program. This means it is important for evaluators to assess and to minimize the potential for error from selection bias in estimating smart thermostat program savings. The Uniform Methods Project provides model protocols for determining energy savings and demand reductions that result from specific energy efficiency measures implemented through state and utility programs. In most cases, the measure protocols are based on a particular option identified by the International Performance Verification and Measurement Protocol ; however, this work provides a more detailed approach to implementing that option. Each chapter is written by technical experts in collaboration with their peers, reviewed by industry experts, and subject to public review and comment. The UMP protocols can be used by utilities, program administrators, public utility commissions, evaluators, and other stakeholders for both program planning and evaluation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

Using energy storage systems to extend the life of hydropower plants

Despite their advantages, distributed energy resources (DERs) bring inherent uncertainty and variability into the landscape of modern power systems. As DER penetration grows, conventional generators like hydropower plants have to respond more often to arrest the imbalance in the net load. Hydropower turbines provide their best operational performance with minimal wear and tear when operating at regions of maximum efficiency. However, the current needs for hydropower plants require them to operate under varying load conditions and thus sub-optimal operating points leading to additional stress. To relieve the hydropower plants, this paper proposes a hybridization strategy where a hydropower unit is paired with an energy storage system (ESS) to increase operational flexibility and mitigate damage to the hydro plant. Models are developed to represent the operation of the hybrid system, quantify degradation, and assess economic benefits. Moreover, an innovative controller disaggregates the market dispatch signal into separate control setpoints for the ESS and hydropower unit. In case studies performed on a real-world hydropower facility, it was found that the ESS-based hybridization can extend the life of the hydropower plant by 5% on average. Notably, the economic benefits from reduced maintenance and deferred investment are estimated to be around $3.6 million.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Plastic additives in the ocean: Use of a comprehensive dataset for meta-analysis and method development

In excess of 13,000 chemicals are added to plastics (‘additives’) to improve performance, durability, and production of plastic products. They are categorized into numerous chemical classes including flame retardants, light stabilizers, antioxidants, and plasticizers. While research on plastic additives in the marine environment has increased over the past decade, there is a lack of methodological standardization. To direct future measurement of plastic additives, we compiled a first-of-its-kind dataset of literature assessing plastic additives in marine environments, delineated by sample type (plastic debris, seawater, sediment, biota). Using this dataset, we performed a meta-analysis to summarize the state of the science. Currently, our dataset includes 217 publications published between 1978 and May 2023. The majority of publications analyzed plastic additives in biota collected from Europe and Asia. Analyses concentrated on plasticizers, brominated flame retardants, and bisphenols. Common sample preparation techniques included Solvent - Agitation extraction for plastic, sediment, and biota samples, and Solid Phase Extraction for seawater samples with dichloromethane and solvent mixtures including dichloromethane as the organic extraction solvent. Finally, most analyses were performed utilizing gas chromatography/mass spectrometry. There are a variety of data gaps illuminated by this meta-analysis, most notably the small number of compounds that have been targeted for detection compared to the large number of additives used in plastic production. The provided dataset facilitates future investigation of trends in plastic additive concentration data in the marine environment (allowing for comparison to toxicity thresholds) and acts as a starting point for optimizing and harmonizing plastic additive analytical methods.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Unifying Energy-Management Problems for Inverter-Based Power Networks

This paper outlines a suite of energy-management problems for inverter-based power networks from the vantage point of optimal control and (non)linear optimization. The problems are categorized based on timescales dictated by the network dynamics, and organized methodologically based on the problem complexity. A growing body of literature has addressed problems in this domain, albeit, with poorly motivated assumptions and behavioral models that obscure precise device behavior. With a combination of circuit- and control-theoretic lenses, we establish appropriate dynamic models for the networked resources, illustrate how common engineering assumptions arise, uncover how problems are linked, and postulate open challenges.

(non)linear optimization↗

DOE OSTI2025

Iodine’s Wild Ride Leading to Photoinstability in Halide Perovskite Solar Cells

Understanding processes that contribute to efficiency losses during long-term operation of perovskite solar cells is crucial for achieving operational stability. Although maximum power point tracking optimizes outdoor performance, it is not uncommon that devices are kept under open-circuit conditions during sunny hours. Under these conditions, charge carriers accumulate at the interfaces rather than flowing through the circuit. In the case of the MAPbI 3 /spiro-OMeTAD interface studied here, hole accumulation leads to formation of I2 and subsequent oxidation of spiro-OMeTAD. By employing in situ absorption measurements, we show that the decrease in power conversion efficiency follows the spiro-OMeTAD oxidation while operating the device under open-circuit conditions. In short-circuit conditions, where photogenerated charge carriers are extracted in the external circuit, the I 2 -induced oxidation of spiro-OMeTAD and the device instability are minimized. The photoinduced expulsion of iodine from MAPbI 3 into spiro-OMeTAD discussed in this work provides new insight into the photoinstability of perovskite solar cells.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Sequence-based generative AI design of versatile tryptophan synthases

Enzymes are powerful and sustainable catalysts, but their widespread application is limited by the difficulty of identifying functional starting points for optimization, creating a major bottleneck in early- stage biocatalyst discovery. Designing libraries of such starting enzymes remains particularly challenging. Here, we use the GenSLM protein language model to generate novel β-subunit of tryptophan synthase (TrpB) enzymes that express in Escherichia coli and are both stable and catalytically active. Many generated TrpBs also display significant substrate promiscuity, outperforming their natural counterparts on non-native substrates. Some even surpass laboratory-evolved TrpBs. Comparison of the most-active and most-promiscuous generated TrpB to its closest natural homolog confirms that the enhanced versatility is absent from the natural enzyme, highlighting the creative potential of generative models. These results demonstrate that the generated TrpBs not only preserve natural structure and function but also acquire non-natural properties, establishing generative models as powerful tools for biocatalyst discovery and engineering.

biocatalysis↗

DOE OSTI2026

Discovery of hydrogen storage molecules using large language models and machine learning

Accelerating the discovery of new molecules with targeted properties is a central challenge in molecular design. In this contribution, we present an AI-driven molecular discovery framework that integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) for generative molecular design with Machine Learning (ML)-based screening to identify novel Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carrier (LOHC) candidates. Using the developed framework, LOHC molecules were systematically generated, evaluated, and refined iteratively, combining LLM-guided molecular generation and ML-predicted hydrogenation enthalpies (Δ H ), under physicochemical property constraints such as optimal melting points (MP), desired hydrogen storage capacity (wt% H 2 ), and synthetic accessibility (SA) scores. This approach enabled the discovery of 42 new LOHC candidates in two distinct campaigns, one seeded with experimentally known and another with previously computationally identified LOHCs, respectively. Although we began with different numbers of starting molecules (31 vs . 7 seed molecules), both runs yielded a comparable number of viable candidates, suggesting an influence of chemically intuitive seed molecule selection for success. Selected LOHC molecules, such as 3-methyl pyridine, 1-ethylnapthalene, 1,1-diphenylethane, and benzofuran, were experimentally tested and compared with benchmark LOHCs (toluene and 9-ethylcarbazole) for hydrogenation using a series of commercial supported metal catalysts. The order of conversion into fully hydrogenated products at 200 °C was 3-methyl pyridine (100%) > 9-ethyl carbazole (86.4%) > 2,3-benzofuran (74%) > 1,1-diphenylethane (66.9%) > 1-ethylnapthalene (66.7%) > toluene (57%), further validating the AI-guided molecular design. This study demonstrates promise of LLM-driven molecular design in conjunction with ML-based screening for accelerated discovery and design of molecules.

Harb, Hassan [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), A↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of Power-Maximizing Region 2 Controllers for Wind and Marine Turbines

Wind and marine energy are rapidly growing and complementary technologies that share some techniques for simplified modeling and control, particularly in below-rated flow speeds. A turbine operator has several choices of controller for maximizing power in Region 2. The simple and ubiquitous KΩ 2 control law is often effective but limited in its flexibility. Alternative controllers use reference tracking to split the control objectives into a low-bandwidth optimal tip-speed ratio tracking loop to maximize steady-state power and a higher-bandwidth proportional-integral control loop to reject inflow turbulence. Several options exist for identifying the slowly varying optimal set point during operation, based on estimating the inflow velocity or filtering the power or torque signals. This study compares the trade-offs between performance and other design priorities for a few choices of reference-tracking controller in the literature for reference wind and marine turbines. Analysis is performed in the frequency domain using the linearization of each controller, and the impact of turbulent disturbances on the closed-loop system is described. The controllers are simulated in OpenFAST to analyze their performance with higher-order nonlinear turbine dynamics.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Locally adaptive activation functions with slope recovery for deep and physics-informed neural networks

Here we propose two approaches of locally adaptive activation functions namely, layer-wise and neuron-wise locally adaptive activation functions, which improve the performance of deep and physics-informed neural networks. The local adaptation of activation function is achieved by introducing a scalable parameter in each layer (layer-wise) and for every neuron (neuron-wise) separately, and then optimizing it using a variant of stochastic gradient descent algorithm. In order to further increase the training speed, an activation slope-based slope recovery term is added in the loss function, which further accelerates convergence, thereby reducing the training cost. On the theoretical side, we prove that in the proposed method, the gradient descent algorithms are not attracted to sub-optimal critical points or local minima under practical conditions on the initialization and learning rate, and that the gradient dynamics of the proposed method is not achievable by base methods with any (adaptive) learning rates. We further show that the adaptive activation methods accelerate the convergence by implicitly multiplying conditioning matrices to the gradient of the base method without any explicit computation of the conditioning matrix and the matrix–vector product. The different adaptive activation functions are shown to induce different implicit conditioning matrices. Furthermore, the proposed methods with the slope recovery are shown to accelerate the training process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Learnability Transitions in Monitored Quantum Dynamics via Eavesdropper’s Classical Shadows

Monitored quantum dynamics—unitary evolution interspersed with measurements—has recently emerged as a rich domain for phase structure in quantum many-body systems away from equilibrium. Here we study monitored dynamics from the point of view of an eavesdropper who has access to the classical measurement outcomes, but not to the quantum many-body system. We show that a measure of information flow from the quantum system to the classical measurement record—the —undergoes a phase transition in correspondence with the measurement-induced phase transition (MIPT). This transition determines the eavesdropper’s (in)ability to learn properties of an unknown initial quantum state of the system, given a complete classical description of the monitored dynamics and arbitrary classical computational resources. We make this learnability transition concrete by defining classical shadow protocols that the eavesdropper may apply to this problem, and show that the MIPT manifests as a transition in the sample complexity of various shadow-estimation tasks, which become harder in the low-measurement phase. We focus on three applications of interest: Pauli expectation values (where we find the MIPT appears as a point of optimal learnability for typical Pauli operators), many-body fidelity, and global charge in U ( 1 ) -symmetric dynamics. Our work unifies different manifestations of the MIPT under the umbrella of and gives this notion a general operational meaning via classical shadows. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Physics↗