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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2011

Design and performance of a punch mechanism based pellet injector for alternative injection in the large helical device

A low speed single barrel pellet injector, using a mechanical punch device has been developed for alternative injection in the large helical device. A pellet is injected by the combined operation of a mechanical punch and a pneumatic propellant system. The pellet shape is cylindrical, 3 mm in diameter and 3 mm in length. Using this technique the speed of the pellet can be controlled flexibly in the range of 100-450 m/s, and a higher speed can be feasible for a higher gas pressure. The injector is equipped with a guide tube selector to direct the pellet to different injection locations. Pellets are exposed to several curved parts with the curvature radii R{sub c}= 0.8 and 0.3 m when they are transferred in guided tubes to the respective injection locations. Pellet speed variation with pressure at different pellet formation temperatures has been observed. Pellet intactness tests through these guide tubes show a variation in the intact speed limit over a range of pellet formation temperatures from 6.5 to 9.8 K. Pellet speed reduction of less than 6% has been observed after the pellet moves through the curved guide tubes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2017

DESIGN AND COMMISSIONING OF A THREE-BARREL SHATTERED PELLET INJECTOR FOR DIII-D DISRUPTION MITIGATION STUDIES

Disruptions are sudden unplanned terminations of tokamak plasmas that can lead to high thermal loads and runaway electrons (RE). Unmitigated disruptions in ITER are predicted to dissipate hundreds of MJ of thermal energy and generate multi-MeV runaway electrons. This intense heat and energetic particle beams can cause localized melting of the plasma facing components. Reliable and fast acting disruption mitigation (DM) techniques are therefore a critical requirement for ITER to safeguard the machine from damage. The proven method for DM centers on injecting a large quantity of impurity particles into the plasma to quickly increase density and radiate the thermal energy to mitigate thermal effects. Additionally, if the particle injection can achieve a critical density, it can create collisional drag which suppresses the formation of REs. The particle injection methods attempted have been shell pellet injection, massive gas injection, and shattered pellet injection (SPI). The SPI technique has been successfully used on DIII-D [1] to study thermal mitigation using a single-barrel SPI system that can more efficiently reach the critical density required for successful disruption mitigation than the other injection approaches. Recently, a new three-barrel second SPI (SPI-II) system has been developed for use on DIII-D to study injection effects from multiple toroidal locations and pellet timing. The SPI-II system is a liquid helium cooled pipe gun that has two 7 mm and one 8.5 mm pellet sizes. The pellet sizes are determined by the inner diameter of the pipe gun barrels which can easily be changed for different pellet sizes. The three pellets can be formed and fired individually or simultaneously. The SPI-II has provisions for making and firing pure species pellets with deuterium, neon, or argon and also deuterium layered pellets with a core of neon. The pellets are fired into a bent tube near the plasma edge which shatters them from the impact. This paper will describe the design and commissioning of the SPI-II system. Measured pellet speeds and shattered pellet fragment sizes will be reported.

Meitner, Steven↗
DOE OSTI2011

Twin-Screw Extruder and Pellet Accelerator Integration Developments for ITER

The ITER pellet injection system consisting of a twinscrew frozen hydrogen isotope extruder, coupled to a combination solenoid actuated pellet cutter and pneumatic pellet accelerator, is under development at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. A prototype extruder has been built to produce a continuous solid deuterium extrusion and will be integrated with a secondary section, where pellets are cut, chambered, and launched with a single-stage pneumatic accelerator into the plasma through a guide tube. This integrated pellet injection system is designed to provide 5 mm fueling pellets, injected at a rate up to 10 Hz, or 3 mm edge localized mode (ELM) triggering pellets, injected at higher rates up to 20 Hz. The pellet cutter, chamber mechanism, and the solenoid operated pneumatic valve for the accelerator are optimized to provide pellet velocities between 200-300 m/s to ensure high pellet survivability while traversing the inner wall fueling guide tubes, and outer wall ELMpacing guide tubes. This paper outlines the current twin-screwextruder design, pellet accelerator design, and the integrationrequired for both fueling and ELM pacing pellets.

Meitner, Steven J↗
DOE OSTI2014

Effect of pelleting process variables on physical properties and sugar yields of ammonia fiber expansion pretreated corn stover

Pelletization process variables including grind size (4, 6 mm), die speed (40, 50, 60 Hz), and preheating (none, 70 degrees C) were evaluated to understand their effect on pellet quality attributes and sugar yields of ammonia fiber expansion (AFEX) pretreated biomass. The bulk density of the pelletized AFEX corn stover was three to six times greater compared to untreated and AFEX-treated corn stover. Also the durability of the pelletized AFEX corn stover was >97.5% for all pelletization conditions studied except for preheated pellets. Die speed had no effect on enzymatic hydrolysis sugar yields of pellets. Pellets produced with preheating or a larger grind size (6 mm) had similar or lower sugar yields. Pellets generated with 4 mm AFEX-treated corn stover, a 60 Hz die speed, and no preheating resulted in pellets with similar or greater density, durability, and sugar yields compared to other pelletization conditions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Pellet fueling experiments in Wendelstein 7-X

During the two most recent experimental campaigns in the advanced stellarator Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) (Klinger et al 2017 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 59 014018; Bosch et al 2017 Nucl. Fusion 57 116015; Wolf et al 2017 Nucl. Fusion 57 102020; Pedersen et al 2017 Phys. Plasmas 24 0555030) hydrogen ice pellet injection was performed for the first time. In order to investigate the potential of pellet fueling in W7-X and to study the particle deposition in a large stellarator, a blower-gun system was installed with 40 pellets capability. The experience gained with this system will be used for the specification of a future steady-state pellet injector system. One important motivation for a pellet injector (Dibon 2014 Master-Thesis Technical University Munich, Max-Planck Institut IPP) on W7-X is the mitigation of hollow density profiles expected in case of predominant neoclassical transport. For long-pulse operation of up to 30 min, only electron cyclotron resonance heating is available on W7-X. Hence, pellet injection will be the only source for deep particle fueling. Deep particle fueling by pellets in tokamaks is supported by a grad-B drift, if the pellets are injected from the magnetic high-field-side. This approach was tested in W7-X, as well. The injection of series of pellets was also tested. Here, deep fueling is supported for later pellets in the series by the plasma cooling following the initial pellets in the same series. As in earlier experiments in the heliotron LHD (Takeiri et al 2017 Nucl. Fusion 57 102023), deep and rapid fueling could be achieved successfully in W7-X.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Prediction of pellet mass thresholds for ELM triggering in low-collisionality, ITER-like discharges

Abstract In ITER, pellets are calculated to require more than 8 times the mass than currently planned to reliably trigger edge-localized modes (ELMs). Unmitigated heat flux impulses from ELMs are intolerable in ITER at full power and current. Therefore, ITER operation relies on multiple approaches to control ELM heat fluxes. One method is pellet ELM pacing to instigate small rapid ELMs with low heat flux. Predicting the performance of pellet pacing is critical for ITER, which is expected to operate in a regime with a low-collisionality, peeling-limited pedestal. However, to trigger ELMs the local pressure increase in the expanding pellet cloud pushes the equilibrium over the ballooning stability limit. In this work, linear and nonlinear M3D-C1 simulations are used to predict pellet mass thresholds in DIII-D discharges and ITER scenarios with peeling-limited pedestals. It is found that the distance of the equilibrium’s operational point from the ballooning branch of the pedestal stability boundary strongly changes thresholds. Linear M3D-C1 simulations find a strong dependence of the pellet mass threshold on the poloidal injection location for ITER’s 15 MA, Q = 10 scenario. The required pellet mass at the planned injection locations is 8 to 17 times larger than currently considered. However, such linear simulations do not include pellet ablation physics or time evolution of density and temperature. A new scheme of 2D nonlinear simulations, coupled with linear stability analysis at various steps throughout the nonlinear time evolution, was developed to include such physics and improve on the linear results. These new nonlinear-to-linear simulations confirm previous findings. This result suggests that pellet ELM triggering in ITER could require pellets much larger than those currently planned, which makes ELM-pacing operationally challenging. On the other hand, fueling pellets injected from the high-field side will likely not unintentionally trigger ELMs in an otherwise ELM-stable plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulation of pellet ELM triggering in low-collisionality, ITER-like discharges

3D nonlinear, as well as 2D linear M3D-C1 simulations are used to model ELM triggering by small pellets in DIII-D discharges in the ITER relevant, peeling-limited pedestal stability regime. A critical pellet size threshold is found in both experiment and modeling depending on pedestal conditions, pellet velocity and injection direction. Using radial injection at the outboard midplane, the threshold is determined by M3D-C1 for multiple time slices of a DIII-D low-collisionality discharge that has pellet ELM triggering. Experimental observations show that a larger pellet size than the standard 1.3 mm diameter is necessary for ELM triggering; 1.8 mm pellets triggered several ELMs in cases where a smaller pellet failed. The M3D-C1 simulations are in good agreement with these observations. While the 2D linear simulations give insight into the change of growth rates for various toroidal modes with pellet size, the 3D nonlinear simulations apply a pellet ablation model that mimics the actual injection with good match to the experiment. The 3D nonlinear simulation confirms the pellet ELM triggering for a pellet size larger than the threshold found by the linear simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Grain Size and Phase Purity Characterization of U 3 Si 2 Pellet Fuel

Characterization of U 3 Si 2 fresh fuel pellets is important for quality assurance and validation of the finished product. Grain size measurement methods, phase identification methods using scanning electron microscopes equipped with energy dispersive spectroscopy and x-ray diffraction, and phase quantification methods via image analysis have been developed and implemented on U 3 Si 2 pellet samples. A wide variety of samples have been characterized including representative pellets from an initial irradiation experiment, and samples produced using optimized methods to enhance phase purity from an extended fabrication effort. The average grain size for initial pellets was between 16 and 18 µm. The typical average grain size for pellets from the extended fabrication was between 20 and 30 µm with some samples exhibiting irregular grain growth. Pellets from the latter half of extended fabrication had a bimodal grain size distribution consisting of coarsened grains (>80 µm) surrounded by the typical (20-30 µm) grain structure around the surface. Phases identified in initial uranium silicide pellets included: U 3 Si 2 as the main phase composing about 80 vol. %, Si rich phases (USi and U 5 Si 4 ) composing about 13 vol. %, and UO 2 composing about 5 vol. %. Initial batches from the extended U 3 Si 2 pellet fabrication had similar phases and phase quantities. The latter half of the extended fabrication pellet batches did not contain Si rich phases, and had between 1-5% UO 2 : achieving U 3 Si 2 phase purity between 95 vol. % and 98 vol. % U 3 Si 2 . The amount of UO 2 in sintered U 3 Si 2 pellets is correlated to the length of time between U 3 Si 2 powder fabrication and pellet formation. These measurements provide information necessary to optimize fabrication efforts and a baseline for future work on this fuel compound.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2012

Simulations of plasma behavior during pellet injection in ITER

Plasma behavior during pellet injection in ITER is investigated using a 1.5D BALDUR integrated predictive modeling code. In these simulations, the pellet ablation is described using the neutral gas shielding (NGS) model developed by Parks and Turnbull [Phys. Fluids 21, 1735 (1978)]. The NGS pellet ablation model that includes the {nabla}B drift effect is coupled with a plasma core transport model, which is a combination of an MMM95 anomalous transport model and an NCLASS neoclassical transport model. The combination of core transport models, together with pellet model, is used to simulate the time evolution of plasma current, ion and electron temperatures, and density profiles for ITER standard type-I ELMy H-mode discharges during the pellet injection. It is found that the injection of pellet can result in either enhancement or degradation of plasma performance. The {nabla}B drift effect on the pellet deposition is very strong in ITER. The plasma density with high field side pellets, which favorable with the {nabla}B drift effect, is much higher and pellet can penetrate much deeper than that with low field side pellets.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2016

A New Manufacturing Method of Bentonite Pellets as a Gap Filling Material for HLW Repository - 16110

In high-level waste (HLW) repositories in Japan, there is a need to properly deal with gaps that surround buffers made of bentonite-based material, which are inevitably generated during construction. Bentonite pellets are thought to be a candidate material for filling these gaps. To fill the gaps densely in order to ensure desired buffer quality, high-density pellets with spherical shape would be suitable, and we have developed a new method for manufacturing such bentonite pellets, which is different from conventional methods. The new method first produces spherical pellets by extrusion and spheronization by alternately using two commercially available pelletizing machines. Then, the pellets, which do not have a very high density because of their water content, are turned into high-density ones using dry shrinkage. For typical Japanese sodium bentonite, we confirmed that spherical pellets can be manufactured when the water content is relatively high within the range of 25 to 30%. We observed that proper dry shrinkage enables the wet spherical pellets with a low density of about 1,500 kg/m{sup 3} to turn into ones with a high dry density of about 2,000 kg/m{sup 3} . Drying slowly causes the proper dry shrinkage. We performed simple laboratory tests to evaluate the filling performance of pellets produced by the new manufacturing method. The maximum filling density obtained was 1,540 kg/m{sup 3} when large (20-mm diameter) and small (1-mm diameter) pellets were mixed in the proportion of 60 % to 40 %, which is considerably higher than the previously reported maximum filling density in Japan, which was about 1,300 kg/m{sup 3}. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2018

The Role of Biomass Composition and Steam Treatment on Durability of Pellets

Steam treatment has been reported to improve the durability of wood pellet likely by changing the physical and chemical structures of wood particles, but published literature is inconclusive about which structure change is the major reason for enhanced durability. Here, in this paper, steam treatment was combined either with alkaline or with SO 2 to study. The solids obtained after steam treatments along with a control sample were dried and each was compacted into pellets. The pellets were then tested for durability. Steam treatment alone dominated improvements in durability. The pellet durability increased with the amount of xylose, but xylose performed better in the pellet from raw poplar than did in the pellet from treated poplar. Water-soluble components contributed a maximum 4% of the durability of poplar pellets. The addition of lignin and sugars to substrates after steam treatment did not improve durability significantly. The surface modification that took place as a result of size reduction during steam treatment was the major reason, contributing about 50% of the durability of the pellet from steam-treated poplar. The acidity of steam treatment slightly affected the relative contributions of these structure changes on the durability. Lastly, the new knowledge helps tailor the chemical and/or mechanical pretreatment involved in pelleting biomass to durable pellets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Effects of different pelleting technologies and parameters on pretreatment and enzymatic saccharification of lignocellulosic biomass

Densification of lignocellulosic biomass is beneficial for its logistics, and in some situations, also for its application in biorefineries. In this study, industrial pellets and laboratory-made pellets produced at different die temperatures (90, 125 °C) from wheat straw, beech, and pine were pretreated (by dilute acid and alkali) and enzymatically hydrolyzed to study the effects of pelleting on pretreatment and sugar yield. The results showed that industrial pelleting positively affected sugar yield of the three biomasses for both acid and alkaline pretreatments, while laboratory pelleting affected sugar yield differently related to pretreatment types and biomass species. Pelleting disturbed biomass cell wall structure and affected the stability of hemicellulose and β-O-4' linkages in lignin. The extent of hemicellulose solubility during acid pretreatment and the amount of lignin β-O-4' ether linkages present in acid pretreated substrates could serve as indicators of the effect of pelleting on sugar yield. The structural modifications caused by pelleting and their effects on the enzymatic sugar yield correlate tightly to pelleting technology, pretreatment method, and biomass species. As a result, the discrepant effects between industrial and laboratory pelleting on sugar yield observed in this study should be considered when designing future studies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2014

Influences on particle shape in underwater pelletizing processes

Underwater pelletizing has gained high importance within the last years among the different pelletizing technologies, due to its advantages in terms of throughput, automation, pellet quality and applicability to a large variety of thermoplastics. The resulting shape and quality of pellets, however, differ widely, depending on material characteristics and effects not fully understood yet. In an experimental set-up, pellets of different volumes and shapes were produced and the medium pellet mass, the pellet surface and the bulk density were analyzed in order to identify the influence of material properties and process parameters. Additionally, the shaping kinetics at the die opening were watched with a specially developed camera system. It was found that rheological material properties correlate with process parameters and resulting particle form in a complex way. Higher cutting speeds were shown to have a deforming influence on the pellets, leading to less spherical s and lower bulk densities. More viscous materials, however, showed a better resistance against this. Generally, the viscous properties of polypropylene proofed to be dominant over the elastic ones in regard to their influence on pellet shape. It was also shown that the shapes filmed at the die opening and the actual form of the pellets after a cooling track do not always correlate, indicating a significant influence of thermodynamic properties during the cooling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Simulation of shell pellet injection strategies for ITER-scale tokamaks

Dispersive shell pellet (DSP) injection is considered as an alternative to shattered pellet injection as a disruption mitigation system for ITER, and strategies for penetration of a shell pellet into ITER are modeled with the 3D MHD code NIMROD. Because the high plasma temperatures lead to rapid ablation of the shell, delivery of the dispersive payload to the core of ITER will be very challenging. Two strategies to increase payload delivery depth are modeled: first, multiple staggered pellets are simulated in DIII-D, to assess the ability for one DSP to "piggy-back" on another to reach deeper into the core; second, DSP injection after pre-dilution-cooling with deuterium is simulated in ITER, in order to reduce the plasma temperature before shell pellet arrival. The DIII-D simulations show that a second, slower pellet can penetrate much deeper once the release of the first payload strongly cools the mid-radius region. When the pellets are staggered, deeper penetration of the second pellet leads to higher radiation fraction and larger runaway electron loss fraction, consistent with single pellet results. However, simultaneously released pellets at mid-radius that do not trigger a large n=1 mode produce an even higher radiation fraction. The ITER simulations show that an inside-out TQ can be produced with a payload release just inside of the q=2 surface, which is achieved at a speed of 800 m/s after pre-dilution cooling. Although stochastization of the core leads to a complete thermal quench, the edge flux surfaces are surprisingly robust in the ITER simulations, regardless of payload release location. As a result, runaway electron losses would not be expected.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Setting the H-mode pedestal structure: variations of particle source location using gas puff and pellet fueling

Experiments in DIII-D show that a particle source location inside the top of the H-mode pedestal (pellets) maintains a higher pedestal pressure than an edge source (gas fueling) through a widening of the electron temperature pedestal with reduction of the temperature gradient. The effect of these two fueling schemes on the H-mode pedestal structure was examined in DIII-D by comparing controlled pellet-fueled and gas-fueled discharges across a fueling scan up to 40 torr 1 s –1 . High resolution electron profiles reveal that gas fueling lowers the pedestal pressure as the density profile shifts radially outwards and the separatrix density increases, while pellet fueling maintains a constant pedestal pressure. The neutral source locations from pellets and gas are determined with the PELLET and UEDGE codes, respectively, and quantify the particle source localization. Pellets provide significant ionization inside the pedestal top while gas puffing localizes ionization in the scrape-off-layer and pedestal foot, broadly consistent with the density profile structure influenced by the source. ELMs are observed to increase in frequency and reduce impurity content as fueling is increased. Stability analysis with ELITE shows that both conditions are near the type-I ELM corner of the peeling–ballooning stability diagram, which is altered significantly by the introduction of pellets. Since transport mechanisms are not observed to change substantially with particle source location, wider pedestals allow the pellet-fueled discharges to retain higher pedestal temperatures at similar pedestal densities. EPED1 is tested to capture the pedestal pressure, under-predicting the height with pellets and over-predicting the height with gas by ~15%. Overall, these results have important implications for future reactors where pellet fueling will be the primary particle source due to an opaque scrape-off-layer by showing that the neutral source location plays a role in setting the structure of the H-mode pedestal.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling of carbon pellets disruption mitigation in an NSTX-U plasma

Single carbon pellet disruption mitigation simulations using M3D-C1 were conducted for an NSTX-U-like plasma to support the electromagnetic pellet injection concept (EPI). A carbon ablation model has been implemented in M3D-C1 and tested with available data. 2D simulations were conducted in order to estimate the amount of carbon needed to quench the plasma, finding that the content in a 1 mm radius vitreous carbon pellet (~3.2x10E20 atoms) would be enough if it is entirely ablated. 3D simulations were performed, scanning over pellet velocity and parallel thermal conductivity, as well as different injection directions and pellet concepts (solid pellets and shell pellets). The sensitivity of the thermal quench and other related quantities to these parameters has been evaluated. A 1 mm radius solid pellet only partially ablates at velocities of 300 m/s or higher, thus being unable to fully quench the plasma. To further enhance the ablation, approximations to an array of pellets and the shell pellet concept were also explored. 3D field line stochastization plays an important role in both quenching the center of the plasma and in heat flux losses, thus lowering the amount of carbon needed to mitigate the plasma when compared to the 2D case. This study constitutes an important step forward in `predict-first' simulations for disruption mitigation in NSTX-U and other devices, such as ITER.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2016

Solidification and Acceleration of Large Cryogenic Pellets Relevant for Plasma Disruption Mitigation

The technology for producing, accelerating, and shattering large pellets (before injection into plasmas) for disruption mitigation has been under development at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory for several years, including a system on DIII-D that has been used to provide some significant experimental results. The original proof-of-principle testing was carried out using a pipe gun injector cooled by a cryogenic refrig- erator (temperatures ~8-20 K) and equipped with a stainless steel tube to produce 16.5-mm pellets composed of either pure D 2 , pure Ne, or a dual layer with a thin outer shell of D 2 and core of Ne. Recently, significant progress has been made in the laboratory using that same pipe gun and a new injector that is an ITER test apparatus cooled with liquid helium. The new injector operates at ~5-8 K, which is similar to temperatures expected with cooling provided by the flow of supercritical helium on ITER. An alternative technique for producing/solidifying large pellets directly from a premixed gas has now been successfully tested in the laboratory. Also, two additional pellet sizes have been tested recently (nominal 24.4 and 34.0 mm diameters). With larger pellets, the number of injectors required for ITER disruption mitigation can be reduced, resulting in less cost and a smaller footprint for the hardware. An attractive option is longer pellets, and 24.4-mm pellets with a length/diameter ratio of ~3 have been successfully tested. Since pellet speed is the key parameter in determining the response time of a shattered pellet system to a plasma disruption event, recent tests have concentrated on documenting the speeds with different hardware configurations and operating parameters; speeds of ~100-800 m/s have been recorded. The data and results from laboratory testing are presented and discussed, and a simple model for the pellet solidification process is described.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2017

U.S. Pellet Industry Overview

The U.S. production of wood pellets has grown to over 8 million tons by 2015 (FAO 2016). The majority of the production capacity increase took place in the U.S. Southeast and is associated with industrial wood pellet production for export markets. In 2015, over 5 million tons were exported, 99% of which went to EU markets (84% to the UK alone) (EUROSTAT 2015, FAOSTAT 2016, USDA 2016). The production and consumption growth of U.S. residential wood pellets has been slow in comparison. The industrial and residential wood pellet markets are beginning to merge slowly, but production excess (e.g., in 2015 and 2016) in the industrial wood pellet segment could not be fully absorbed by domestic or oversea residential markets. The main growth path for U.S. wood pellet production is still seen to lie in oversea markets (Bingham 2016, Strauss 2016). Demand increases for industrial pellets are projected to occur within the next years in Europe (Netherlands, Denmark, UK, Belgium) and Asia (predominantly Japan). At the same time, subsidy schemes in Europe are also bound to be phased out within the next decade. U.S. suppliers will have to compete with other supply regions (e.g., Western Canada to Asia) in the long-term, and are already focusing on selling more and more into non-subsidized markets such as biochemicals, absorbents, and soil amendments (Keppler 2016). An outlook of U.S. industrial wood pellet production under a potential growth in U.S. biopower demand and a lack thereof shows a wood pellet oversupply of 9-10 million tons by 2030, equaling roughly 12.5 million tons of production capacity, 20-30 large-scale plants, or 15 million green tons of woody biomass. Once the U.S. production of wood pellets outgrows combustion market demand (which will plateau even with a domestic expansion of biopower) the industry will require additional outlets to avoid a structural decline and bankruptcy. This will create a resource push and cost reduction, driving the development of a U.S. cellulosic biofuels industry.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗