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At least 73 records · Page 4

Late-time small body disruptions for planetary defense

Here, diverting hazardous small bodies on impact trajectories with the Earth can in some circumstances be impossible without risking disrupting them. Disruption is a much more difficult planetary defense scenario to assess, being linked both to the response of the body to shock loading and the much more complicated gravitational dynamics of the fragments in the solar system relative to pure deflection scenarios. In this work we present a new simulation suite built on N-body gravitational methods that solves fragment orbits in the full gravitational system without recourse to more approximate methods. We assess the accuracy of our simulations and the simplifying assumptions we adopt to make the system tractable, and then discuss in more detail several specific, plausible planetary defense scenarios based on real close encounters. We find that disruption can be a very effective planetary defense strategy even for very late (sub-year) interventions, and should be considered an effective backup strategy should preferred methods, which require long warning times, fail.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Understanding of the factors slowing down metakaolin reaction in limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) at late ages

Factors which could explain the slowing down of the metakaolin reaction in LC{sup 3} blends are investigated. Portlandite availability and the presence of aluminium ions in the pore solution are shown not to be limiting factors. Hydrates can only precipitate in solution filled pores. Internal relative humidity measurements indicate that at 28 days solution is present only in pores with radii below 13 nm. An enhancement of metakaolin reaction was obtained at late ages when the larger capillaries are filled with solution. The lower limit of the water filled pores was more difficult to analyse since there is a lack of precision in determining interfacial energies of hydrates and pore solution of the system. However, this study gives an indication of order of magnitude where the growth of hydrates could be slowed down.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Persistence of Late Substantial Patient-Reported Symptoms (LAPERS) After Radiochemotherapy Including Image Guided Adaptive Brachytherapy for Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer: A Report From the EMBRACE Study

This report describes the persistence of late substantial treatment-related patient-reported symptoms (LAPERS) in the multi-institutional EMBRACE study on magnetic resonance image guided adaptive brachytherapy in locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC).

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Estimates of Alpha/Beta (α/β) Ratios for Individual Late Rectal Toxicity Endpoints: An Analysis of the CHHiP Trial

Changes in fraction size of external beam radiation therapy exert nonlinear effects on subsequent toxicity. Commonly described by the linear-quadratic model, fraction size sensitivity of normal tissues is expressed by the α/β ratio. We sought to study individual α/β ratios for different late rectal effects after prostate external beam radiation therapy.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Breast Conservation in Women with Autoimmune Disease: The Role of Active Autoimmune Disease and Hypofractionation on Acute and Late Toxicity in a Case-Controlled Series

Autoimmune connective tissue disease (CTD) has historically represented a relative contraindication to breast conservation (BC) among patients with early-stage breast cancer. Controversy exists regarding the use of hypofractionated radiation therapy (RT) among patients with CTDs. We evaluated acute and late toxicity in patients with breast cancer and CTD treated with BC.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Bulk and position-specific isotope geochemistry of natural gases from the Late Cretaceous Eagle Ford Shale, south Texas

Here, a dataset of bulk and position-specific isotope compositions of shale gases from the Late Cretaceous Eagle Ford Shale, south Texas is reported. The chemical and bulk isotopic compositions of the seven samples in this study and those available from the literature show that across the play, produced natural gas from the Eagle Ford Shale preserves a wide range of gas compositions (wetness, ~5 to >90%) and δ 13 C values of C 1 –C 3 . The depth profiles of the isotopic compositions suggest that the western region of the Eagle Ford Shale deposit had experienced as much as 700–800 m of uplift-erosion or gas migration. The timing of and lost-gas fractions by gas expulsion events very likely affected their gas compositions and bulk isotope compositions. Some deep (>3000–3500 m), matured (%Ro > 1.5) gases with heavy δ 13 C(C 1 –C 3 ) values indicate significant loss (>50%) of the early-stage gases. For the position-specific isotope deviations of propane, the ΔC 2-1 values of the five samples show small decrease with well depths, while the ΔH 2-1 values have a general increasing trend. Although some samples fall very close to the equilibrium model trajectories with reasonable calculated temperatures (138–148 °C), the position-specific isotope compositions of propane from the Eagle Ford Shale gases are likely results of thermal cracking of various organic molecules within the source rocks, which have different activation energy for cracking and non-statistical distributions of C/H isotope within them.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The temporal onset of associations of cortical proteins with cognitive resilience vary during late life

Background: Cortical proteins associated with cognitive resilience have been identified but their temporal onset in older adults is unknown. We present a multistage approach to first identify cortical proteins associated with cognitive resilience and then examine their associated temporal onset. Methods: We used data from a subset of 1088 decedents from two cohort-studies who had selected reaction monitoring proteomics from the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and at least 3 cognitive assessments. Cognition was assessed using a composite derived from 19 tests. We first used linear mixed-effects models to identify cortical proteins associated with cognitive resilience. We then used functional mixed-effects models to examine non-linear associations between proteins and cognitive resilience to identify their temporal onset. Results: Mean age at death was 90 years (SD = 6.4); 69 % were female. On average, cognition started to decline at around 15 years before death, with accelerated decline in the last 7 years. We identified 40 proteins associated with cognitive resilience, of which 17 proteins also showed non-linear associations. Non-linear associations indicated that higher levels of 10 proteins were associated with slower cognitive decline between 23 and 4 years before death. In contrast, higher levels of 7 proteins were associated with faster decline only within the last 7 years before death. Conclusions: Cognitive resilience proteins are differentially related to late-life cognitive aging; the onset of proteins that maintain cognition may begin many years before the onset of proteins that hasten cognitive decline. The temporal onset of cognitive resilience proteins may be crucial for timing efficacious interventions.

Zammit, Andrea↗

Climate-eutrophication-anoxia interactions in Late Glacial Soppensee, Switzerland: Forcings, non-linear responses and recovery

Combined effects of climate warming and anthropogenic nutrient loadings lead to lake eutrophication and anoxia globally. Because of chemical feedbacks, lakes under multiple stressors often respond in non-linear ways. However, it remains unclear whether climate change alone can lead to non-linear lake responses in the absence of anthropogenic nutrient disturbances. Here, we investigate the interactions between climate variability, nutrient cycling and trophic state changes, mixing regimes, anoxia and related chemical feedback in a small kettle-hole lake in Switzerland during Late Glacial times (15.2–12.6 cal ka BP), a period known for high-amplitude climate change in pre-anthropogenic times. After its formation during Heinrich Stadial 1 (>15 cal ka BP), Soppensee was oligotrophic and well-mixed. Soppensee became eutrophic and developed anoxia at 14.25 cal ka BP. Phosphorus (P) was released from sediments through the reductive dissolution of Fe-oxyhydroxides, fuelling eutrophication. Eutrophication lagged the Bølling warming (14.65 cal ka BP) by 400 years, suggesting that rising temperatures were not the trigger for eutrophication. Instead, eutrophication responded non-linearly to forest closure (threshold at 76 % arboreal pollen AP), which shielded Soppensee from wind mixing, enhancing lake stratification, anoxia and P release, intensifying eutrophication. These conditions ended during the 200-years cold period of the Aegelsee Oscillation (GI-1d, ca. 14.0 cal ka BP) when the landscape regionally opened (AP<76 %); the lake became well-mixed, oxygenated and P was efficiently sequestered. Throughout the Allerød (13.9–12.8 cal ka BP), enhanced Fe input prompted diagenetic vivianite formation, sequestering P in sediments, naturally remediating lake eutrophication despite closed forests, warm temperatures, lake stratification and anoxia.

Environmental sciences↗

Deep desert aquifers as an archive for Mid- to Late Pleistocene hydroclimate: An example from the southeastern Mediterranean

Many efforts have been made to illuminate the nature of past hydroclimates in semi-arid and arid regions, where current and future shifts in water availability have enormous consequences on human subsistence. Deep desert aquifers, where groundwater is stored for prolonged periods, might serve as a direct record of major paleo-recharge events. To date, groundwater-based paleoclimate reconstructions have mainly focused on a relatively narrow timescale (up to ∼40 kyr), limited by the relatively short half-life of the widely used radiocarbon (5.73 kyr). Here we demonstrate the usage of deep regional aquifers in the arid southeastern Mediterranean as a hydroclimate archive for earlier Mid-to-Late Pleistocene epochs. State-of-the-art dating tools, primarily the 81 Kr radioisotope (t 1/2 = 229 kyr), were combined with other atmosphere-derived tracers to illuminate the impact of four distinguishable wetter episodes over the past 400 kyr, with differences in climatic conditions and paleo-recharge locations. Variations in stable water isotope composition suggest moisture transport from more proximal (Mediterranean) and distal (Atlantic) sources to different parts of the region at distinct times. Large variability in the computed noble gas-based recharge temperature (NGT), ranging ~15–30 °C, cannot be explained by climate variations solely, and points to different recharge pathways, including geothermal heating in the deep unsaturated zone and recharge from high-elevation (colder) regions. The obtained groundwater record complements and enhances the interpretation of other terrestrial archives in the arid region, including a contribution of valuable information regarding the moisture source origin as reflected in the deuterium-excess values, which is unattainable from the common practice analysis of calcitic cave deposits. We conclude that similar applications in other deep (hundred-m-order) regional groundwater systems (e.g., the Sahara desert aquifers) can significantly advance our understanding of long-term (up to 1 Myr) paleo-hydroclimate in arid regions, including places where no terrestrial remnants, such as cave, lake, and spring sediments, are available.

Atom Trap Trace Analysis↗

Late Metal Sandwich Catalysts for Olefin Polymerization

Polyolefins are by far the most ubiquitous industrially produced polymers and are primarily produced by early transition metal catalysts. These catalysts are not functional group tolerant, and copolymerization of ethylene and polar vinyl monomers is quite challenging. Furthermore, early metal catalysts convert ethylene to linear polyethylene, and introduction of branches requires addition of comonomers. In this Account, we describe our efforts in designing and implementing new Pd(II) and Ni(II) olefin polymerization catalysts based on mechanistic understanding of the chain growth process. Here, the original hindered nickel- and palladium-aryl-substituted diimine complexes were discovered in 1995. The key to the success of these now “classic” systems in generating high polymers rather than dimers or oligomers was realizing that incorporation of ortho-disubstituted aryl groups partially blocks the axial sites of the metal and thus retards the rate of chain transfer relative to propagation. Two key features of these late metal catalysts distinguish them from early metal complexes. First, they tolerate certain functional groups, which allows copolymerization of olefins with polar comonomers. Second, they can form a branched polymer from ethylene without the need to add α-olefin comonomers. Importantly, for nickel catalysts, branching levels can be modulated by changing reaction conditions, such as temperature and monomer pressure.

Catalysts↗

Late Stage Domain Coarsening Dynamics of Lamellar Block Copolymers

Block copolymer (BCP) phase separation dynamics can be expected to differ significantly from that of the polymer blends due to the constraint of chain connectivity. BCP phase separation dynamics has been studied theoretically, but there has been little experimental evidence to confirm the BCP domain growth scaling laws put forward theoretically. Here, we investigate the dynamics of late-stage lamellar BCP domain coarsening and find that the scaling exponent for lamellar domain growth is ≈1/6 (0.17), irrespective of the annealing temperature, a value close to the scaling exponent of 0.2 predicted by theoretical studies. Furthermore, we show that the prefactors in the domain coarsening equation show Arrhenius dependence on temperature, indicating that the BCP domain growth dynamics is Arrhenius over the temperature range investigated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Acid-Catalyst is Required for Hydrogenolysis of a Late Metal Hydroxo Complex

The cationic AuIII pincer complex [(tBuPCP)AuIII -OH]OTf (AuOH, tBuPCP = 2,6-(CH2PtBu2)2C6H3) was prepared and characterized. In contrast to hydrogenolysis reactions of other late metal-hydroxides, the hydrogenolysis of AuOH to form the corresponding AuIII -H and water is shown to require an acid catalyst. The kinetic data, collected in acetone-d6, are consistent with a reaction mechanism involving initial protonation to form the AuIII aquo complex, [(tBuPCP)AuIII -OH2](OTf)2 (AuOH2), which was isolated and characterized. Following substitution of the water by coordinating solvent, the dicationic AuIII center undergoes electrophilic activation of H2 to generate the [(tBuPCP)AuIII -H]OTf product (AuH). The mechanism of hydrogenolysis is supported by experimental and computational (DFT) results. A AuIII dihydrogen complex (Au(H2)) was located along the potential energy surface for the reaction and computations indicate that deprotonation of Au(H2) by acetone solvent is barrierless. The bonding and properties of the proposed AuIII -H2 complex are consistent with predictions made for high-valent, electrophilic metal-dihydrogen complexes.

Ardon, Yotam [University of Pennsylvania] (ORCID:0↗

Indirect Measurements of the Composition of Ultrafine Particles in the Arctic Late-Winter

In this work, we present indirect measurements of size-resolved ultrafine particle composition conducted during the Ocean-Atmosphere-Sea Ice-Snowpack (OASIS) Campaign in Utqiagvik, Alaska, during March 2009. This study focuses on measurements of size-resolved particle hygroscopicity and volatility measured over two periods of the campaign. During a period that represents background conditions in this location, particle hygroscopic growth factors (HGF) at 90% relative humidity ranged from 1.45 to 1.51, which combined with volatility measurements suggest a mixture of ~30% ammoniated sulfates and ~70% oxidized organics. Two separate regional ultrafine particle growth events were also observed during this campaign. Event 1 coincided with elevated levels of H2SO4 and solar radiation. These particles were highly hygroscopic (HGF = 2.1 for 35 nm particles), but were almost fully volatilized at 160 °C. The air masses associated with both events originated over the Arctic Ocean. Event 1 was influenced by the upper marine boundary layer (200–350 m AGL), while Event 2 spent more time closer to the surface (50–150 m AGL) and over open ocean leads, suggesting marine influence in growth processes. Event 2 particles were slightly less hygroscopic (HGF = 1.94 for 35 nm and 1.67 for 15 nm particles), and similarly volatile. We hypothesize that particles formed during both events contained 60–70% hygroscopic salts by volume, with the balance for Event 1 being sulfates and oxidized organics for Event 2. These observations suggest that primary sea spray may be an important initiator of ultrafine particle formation events in the Arctic late-winter, but a variety of processes may be responsible for condensational growth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Late Holocene Cliff Retreat in Del Mar, CA, Revealed From Shore Platform 10 Be Concentrations and Numerical Modeling

Rocky coast cliff retreat presents a hazard to coastal communities and infrastructure that is potentially amplified under rising sea level conditions, among other factors. Unfortunately, constraints on retreat rates are typically limited to those derived from imagery and maps spanning the last ~100 years. Here, we use a newly developed coupled model of shore platform profile evolution and cosmogenic radionuclide production that considers the influence of relative sea level (RSL) rise, weathering, material resistance, and wave height decay to model cliff retreat over millennial timescales and its potential drivers in Del Mar, California. We demonstrate the ability to use topographic and bathymetric measurements from a narrow shore platform along with a limited data set of nine cosmogenic 10Be concentrations extending ~125 m from the cliff base to obtain modeled cliff retreat rates that steadily range from 5.0 to 12.5 cm yr -1 over the last two millennia until 100 years before present. These rates are consistent with modern retreat rates of about 2–19 cm yr -1 here. RSL rise in Southern California remained relatively constant during the late Holocene, potentially explaining the relatively stable modeled cliff retreat rate over this time. We also explore the relative influence of weathering, material resistance, and wave erosion efficacy and find that both weathering and wave-driven erosion are necessary to replicate the measured data at this location, with the latter exerting a stronger control on model acceptance, suggesting that waves may provide a possible mechanism by which RSL rise may influence coastal cliff erosion in southern California.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Exploring Water System Vulnerabilities in California's Central Valley Under the Late Renaissance Megadrought and Climate Change

Abstract California faces cycles of drought and flooding that are projected to intensify, but these extremes may impact water users across the state differently due to the region's natural hydroclimate variability and complex institutional framework governing water deliveries. To assess these risks, this study introduces a novel exploratory modeling framework informed by paleo and climate‐change based scenarios to better understand how impacts propagate through the Central Valley's complex water system. A stochastic weather generator, conditioned on tree‐ring data, produces a large ensemble of daily weather sequences conditioned on drought and flood conditions under the Late Renaissance Megadrought period (1550–1580 CE). Regional climate changes are applied to this weather data and drive hydrologic projections for the Sacramento, San Joaquin, and Tulare Basins. The resulting streamflow ensembles are used in an exploratory stress test using the California Food‐Energy‐Water System model, a highly resolved, daily model of water storage and conveyance throughout California's Central Valley. Results show that megadrought conditions lead to unprecedented reductions in inflows and storage at major California reservoirs. Both junior and senior water rights holders experience multi‐year periods of curtailed water deliveries and complete drawdowns of groundwater assets. When megadrought dynamics are combined with climate change, risks for unprecedented depletion of reservoir storage and sustained curtailment of water deliveries across multiple years increase. Asymmetries in risk emerge depending on water source, rights, and access to groundwater banks.

Gupta, Rohini S. [School of Civil and Environmenta↗

Direct Geologic Constraints on the Timing of Late Holocene Ice Thickening in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, Antarctica

Abstract Constraining past West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) change helps validate numerical models simulating future ice sheet dynamics. Following rapid deglaciation during the mid‐Holocene, ice near Thwaites Glacier was ∼35 m thinner than present; however, the timing of ice regrowth to its present configuration remains unknown. To fill this knowledge gap, we present cosmogenic nuclide exposure ages of cobbles from the surface of a moraine situated between Thwaites and Pope glaciers. We infer that the moraine formed and stabilized in the Late Holocene (∼1.4 ka) when a small glacier thickened. We also present a novel reconstruction of WAIS volume constrained by sea‐level data, which demonstrates that moraine formation coincided with a large‐scale WAIS readvance. Our new geologic constraints will help inform models of the solid Earth response to surface mass loading, improving our understanding of ice sheet dynamics in a vulnerable part of WAIS.

Nichols, Keir A. [Imperial College London London U↗