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At least 73 records · Page 4

Explainable machine learning model for multi-step forecasting of reservoir inflow with uncertainty quantification

We propose an explainable machine learning (ML) model with uncertainty quantification (UQ) to improve multi-step reservoir inflow forecasting. Traditional ML methods have challenges in forecasting inflows multiple days ahead, and lack explainability and UQ. To address these limitations, we introduce an encoder–decoder long short-term memory (ED-LSTM) network for multi-step forecasting, employ the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) technique for understanding the influence of hydrometeorological factors on inflow prediction, and develop a novel UQ method for prediction trustworthiness. We apply these methods to forecast 7-day inflow in snow-dominant and rain-driven reservoirs. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the ED-LSTM model, with high forecasting accuracy for short lead times. Our UQ method provides reliable uncertainty estimates, covering 90% of data with a 90% confidence level. The SHAP analysis reveals the importance of historical inflow and precipitation as influential factors. These findings and methods may support reservoir operators in optimizing water resources management decisions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Insights from Optimizing HPL Performance on Exascale Systems: A Comparative Analysis of Panel Factorization

High performance LINPACK (HPL) remains the primary benchmark for evaluating supercomputing performance. It includes many parts with substantial internal complexity, and its performance is affected by a large number of parameters that interact in ways that are difficult to predict on large-scale heterogeneous supercomputer systems. We present a comprehensive performance analysis of HPL on Frontier, the world’s first exascale supercomputer, which achieved HPL performance of 1.35 exaflops. Through empirical parameter tuning, detailed modeling, and comparative evaluation, we uncover critical performance insights, share lessons learned, and outline best practices for effective parameter tuning on exascale systems. We introduce and evaluate two novel PDFACT strategies: a dedicated-thread (DT) variant and a GPU-based variant (GPUPDFACT) implementation using HIP cooperative groups, demonstrating that GPU-based factorization outperforms conventional CPU-based PDFACT on Frontier’s architecture. Our findings establish key performance factors for HPL on exascale systems and offer valuable guidance for future high-performance computing and benchmarking efforts.

Lu, Hao [ORNL] (ORCID:000000018941870X)↗

Techno-economic and environmental assessment of solar-based electrical vehicles charging stations integrated with hydrogen production

With the growing interest in adopting both commercial and residential electric vehicles (EVs) utilizing green renewable energy, the techno-economic assessment of EV charging stations with solar energy is a critical aspect of the transition to sustainable transportation. However, battery storage capacity for variable solar energy production is becoming increasingly less cost-effective due to the higher Lithium price. Complementing solar energy production and battery storage, the potential of combining green hydrogen fuel energy integration with solar energy for EV charging stations can provide a sustainable alternative to reach carbon-free transportation. This research aims to assess the technical and economic viability of grid-connected Photovoltaic (PV)-based EV charging stations across Kentucky based on existing EV load profiles. The study considers different PV system sizes, locations, orientations, and the impact of net metering policies and electricity tariffs on the profitability of the PV systems. Further, using excess PV energy, Lithium-Ion batteries will be charged, which will be assessed considering the techno-economic and environmental impacts of green EV charging stations. To further enhance green renewable energy production, we also investigated the feasibility of on-grid PV-based EV charging stations with Lithium-Ion batteries charged during low tariff periods. In comparison with these scenarios, we studied the potential benefits of integrating green hydrogen energy production using excess solar energy with and without governmental incentives. Furthermore, we assess the environmental impact of these green EV charging stations across Kentucky. Our study indicates that EV stations across Kentucky have similar techno-economic feasibility with insignificant deviation in the levelized cost of electricity, payback period, and PV energy fraction with/without Li-Ion batteries. However, with green hydrogen production, the marginal H 2 production cost indicates the first scenario (on-grid PV energy charging) is the most significant, roughly 10 USD/Kg, which is similar to 1.5 times higher than the second (charging during low-tariff periods) and the third scenarios (power grid to satisfy the demand deficit - approximately 6.5 USD/Kg). From the environmental perspective, the second scenario would be a good option for either hybrid EV/H 2 or EV charging stations in Kentucky, factoring in the hydrogen production cost and the carbon footprint.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Manipulation of Lignin Monomer Composition Combined with the Introduction of Monolignol Conjugate Biosynthesis Leads to Synergistic Changes in Lignin Structure

Abstract The complexity of lignin structure impedes efficient cell wall digestibility. Native lignin is composed of a mixture of three dominant monomers, coupled together through a variety of linkages. Work over the past few decades has demonstrated that lignin composition can be altered through a variety of mutational and transgenic approaches such that the polymer is derived almost entirely from a single monomer. In this study, we investigated changes to lignin structure and digestibility in Arabidopsis thaliana in near-single-monolignol transgenics and mutants and determined whether novel monolignol conjugates, produced by a FERULOYL-CoA MONOLIGNOL TRANSFERASE (FMT) or a p-COUMAROYL-CoA MONOLIGNOL TRANSFERASE (PMT), could be integrated into these novel polymers to further improve saccharification efficiency. Monolignol conjugates, including a new conjugate of interest, p-coumaryl p-coumarate, were successfully integrated into high-H, high-G and high-S lignins in A. thaliana. Regardless of lignin composition, FMT- and PMT-expressing plants produced monolignol ferulates and monolignol p-coumarates, respectively, and incorporated them into their lignin. Through the production and incorporation of monolignol conjugates into near-single-monolignol lignins, we demonstrated that substrate availability, rather than monolignol transferase substrate preference, is the most important determining factor in the production of monolignol conjugates, and lignin composition helps dictate cell wall digestibility.

2D-HSQC-NMR↗

Mechanisms of Mitigating Chloride-Induced Stress Corrosion Cracking of Austenitic Steels by Laser Shock Peening

This study investigates the effect of laser shock peening (LSP) on the chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking (SCC) of 304 austenitic steels. LSP can induce a high compressive residual stress to a depth of 700 µm and plastic deformation structures of dislocations, deformation twins, and stacking faults. Constant-load SCC tests in MgCl2 solution suggested that LSP can retard the crack initiation and slow the crack growth. LSP-treated subsurface layers experience ductile fracture while the central regions exhibit intergranular SCC. The LSP-induced deformation structures may impede dislocation slips, while the LSP-induced compressive residual stress can lessen the stress intensity factor of crack tips and decrease the local stress for film rupture.

Materials Science↗

MUSTN1 is an indispensable factor in the proliferation, differentiation and apoptosis of skeletal muscle satellite cells in chicken

The yield and quality of the skeletal muscle are important economic traits in livestock and poultry production. The musculoskeletal embryonic nuclear protein 1 (MUSTN1) gene has been shown to be associated with embryonic development, postnatal growth, bone and skeletal muscle regeneration; however, its function in the skeletal muscle development of chicken remains unclear. Therefore, in this study, we observed that the expression level of MUSTN1 increased in conjunction with the proliferation of chicken skeletal muscle satellite cells (SMSCs). Knockdown of MUSTN1 in SMSCs downregulated the expression of cell proliferation genes as Pax7, CDK-2 and differentiation-relate genes including MyoD, MyoG, MyHC and MyH1B, whereas it upregulates the expression of cell apoptosis gene (Caspase-3) (P < 0.05). However, the combined analysis of CCK-8 and EdU showed that the cell vitality and EdU-positive cells of the si-MUSTN1 transfected group were significantly lower than those of the negative siRNA group (P < 0.05). In addition, the knockdown of MUSTN1 significantly increased the cell population in the G0/G1 phase and significantly decreased the cell population in the G2/M phase (P < 0.05), whereas the overexpression of MUSTN1 showed opposite effect. Taken together, our findings indicates that MUSTN1 is an important molecular factor that is responsible for regulating muscle growth and development in chickens, particularly, proliferation and differentiation of SMSCs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Ultrafine Interwoven Dendritic Cu 2 Se/CuFeSe 2 Composites with Enhanced Thermoelectric Performance

As an effort to develop high-performance and stable copper chalcogenide thermoelectrics, several (1-x)Cu 2 Se/(x)CuFeSe 2 composites were successfully synthesized via a one-step solid-state transformation of CuSe 2 template. Uniform ultrafine dendritic structures consisting of interweaving Cu 2 Se and CuFeSe 2 nanofibers were observed in samples with low Fe content (0.05 ≤ x ≤ 0.1). Increasing the Fe content to x = 0.5 led to phase segregation into Cu 2 Se-rich region with embedded CuFeSe 2 fine structures interwoven with CuFeSe 2 -rich region containing Cu 2 Se nanofibers. The formation of such an entwined dendritic structure is believed to arise from the temperature-dependent solubility of CuFeSe 2 in the Cu 2 Se matrix. The dynamic dissolution of CuFeSe 2 into the Cu 2 Se at high temperatures leads to temperature-dependent doping of the Cu 2 Se matrix, enabling drastic enhancements of thermoelectric power factor at high temperatures. As a result, such a strategy is expected to be a powerful tool for properties modulation in thermoelectric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mitigation of nitrogen vacancy photoluminescence quenching from material integration for quantum sensing

The nitrogen-vacancy (NV) color center in diamond has demonstrated great promise in a wide range of quantum sensing. Recently, there have been a series of proposals and experiments using NV centers to detect spin noise of quantum materials near the diamond surface. This is a rich complex area of study with novel nano-magnetism and electronic behavior, that the NV center would be ideal for sensing. However, due to the electronic properties of the NV itself and its host material, getting high quality NV centers within nanometers of such systems is challenging. Band bending caused by space charges formed at the metal-semiconductor interface force the NV center into its insensitive charge states. Here, we investigate optimizing this interface by depositing thin metal films and thin insulating layers on a series of NV ensembles at different depths to characterize the impact of metal films on different ensemble depths. We find an improvement of coherence and dephasing times we attribute to ionization of other paramagnetic defects. The insulating layer of alumina between the metal and diamond provide improved photoluminescence and higher sensitivity in all modes of sensing as compared to direct contact with the metal, providing as much as a factor of 2 increase in sensitivity, decrease of integration time by a factor of 4, for NV T 1 relaxometry measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High susceptibility to adiabatic shear banding and high dynamic strength in tungsten heavy alloys with a high-entropy alloy matrix

The susceptibility to adiabatic shear banding (ASB) of tungsten heavy alloys (WHAs) is a key factor to determine their penetration performance for kinetic energy penetrators (KEPs). This work reports a novel WHA with strong susceptibility to ASB that uses a precipitation-hardening high-entropy alloy (HEA) as the binding phase of W particles. The results find that nanoscale L12 precipitates and high dislocation density in the matrix contribute a high dynamic yield strength of ~2300 MPa. Also, a narrow ASB with a width of ~12 μm forms in the novel WHA, which is only 6% of the width of ASB in traditional WHAs like W-NiFe, exhibiting a great susceptibility to ASB. The redissolution of precipitates into the matrix because of temperature rise during shearing could sharply soften the shearing location, which is suggested to be a very important factor of destabilizing mechanism to promote the development of ASB.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Aqueous passivation of multi-principal element alloy Ni 38 Fe 20 Cr 22 Mn 10 Co 10 : Unexpected high Cr enrichment within the passive film

The aqueous passivation of a non-equiatomic Ni 38 Fe 20 Cr 22 Mn 10 Co 10 - at.% (Ni 40 Fe 20 Cr 20 Mn 10 Co 10 - wt.%) multi-principal element alloy (MPEA) was investigated in 0.1 M NaCl at pH 4 and compared to a conventional binary Ni 76 Cr 24 – at.% (Ni 78 Cr 22 – wt.%) alloy. The electrochemical behavior and oxide film characteristics were explored utilizing in-situ electrochemical and ex-situ surface-sensitive techniques. The passive film composition, thickness, and elemental valence states, as well as, the fate of each element were studied by in-situ atomic emission spectro-electrochemistry, ex-situ X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and atom probe tomography. The Ni 38 Fe 20 Cr 22 Mn 10 Co 10 MPEA demonstrated slightly better corrosion resistance compared to the binary Ni 76 Cr 24 , alloy. Passive films on the MPEA contained primarily Cr, and small amounts of Ni, Fe, Co and Mn, while dissolution of Ni, Fe, Co was observed. Ni 0 was enriched at the oxide/metal interface while Cr was depleted. Enrichment of Cr in the passive film occurred to a greater extent in the MPEA than for the Ni-Cr binary alloy. As a result, enrichment factors were determined and the origins of enrichment are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Out-of-plane ferroelectricity and robust magnetoelectricity in quasi-two-dimensional materials

Thin-film ferroelectrics have been pursued for capacitive and nonvolatile memory devices. They rely on polarizations that are oriented in an out-of-plane direction to facilitate integration and addressability with complementary metal-oxide semiconductor architectures. The internal depolarization field, however, formed by surface charges can suppress the out-of-plane polarization in ultrathin ferroelectric films that could otherwise exhibit lower coercive fields and operate with lower power. Here, we unveil stabilization of a polar longitudinal optical (LO) mode in the n = 2 Ruddlesden–Popper family that produces out-of-plane ferroelectricity, persists under open-circuit boundary conditions, and is distinct from hyperferroelectricity. Our first-principles calculations show the stabilization of the LO mode is ubiquitous in chalcogenides and halides and relies on anharmonic trilinear mode coupling. We further show that the out-of-plane ferroelectricity can be predicted with a crystallographic tolerance factor, and we use these insights to design a room-temperature multiferroic with strong magnetoelectric coupling suitable for magneto-electric spin-orbit transistors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Bi-Layer Dense/Porous Solid Electrolyte Interphase for Enhanced Lithium-Metal Stability

Due to its high theoretical capacity and low electrochemical potential, lithium metal is a highly investigated anode for next-generation high-energy batteries. However, the unstable chemical and topographical heterogeneous surface of lithium gives rise to safety and efficiency concerns that prevent it from being utilized in practical applications. Exposure to electrolyte leads to non-uniform, mixed organic-inorganic solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI) formation, starting a cascading to non-uniform flux distribution, consumption of active materials, and dendrite growth. The SEI is the key feature that will lead to harnessing the capabilities possible with lithium metal. In this work, the formation of a closed-host bi-layer solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) improves the stability of lithium anode. This is successfully realized by forming an interconnected porous LiF-rich artificial SEI in contact with Li metal, and a dense, stable in-situ formed upper layer SEI. The porous layer increases the number of Li/LiF interfaces, which reduces local volume fluctuations and improves Li+ diffusion along these interfaces. Additionally, the tortuous porous structure guides uniform Li+ flux distribution and mechanically suppresses dendrite propagation. The dense upper layer of the SEI accomplishes a closed-host design through reaction with LiNO3 additive and prevents continuous consumption of active materials seen without the additive included in the electrolyte. The duality of a dense top layer with porous bottom layer led to extended cycle life and improved rate performance, evidenced with symmetric cell testing, as well as full cell testing paired with sulfur and LiFePO4 (LFP) cathodes. This work is a good example of a rational design of the SEI, based on comprehensive consideration of various critical factors to improve Li-metal anode stability, and highlights a new pathway to improve cycling and rate performances of Li metal batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Final Technical Report: Impact of Wildfires on Solar Generation, Reserves, and Energy Prices

This study quantifies the potential impacts of wildfires on the California grid, specifically the impacts under three different wildfire scenarios: a "no wildfire" scenario and two wildfire-specific scenarios, "2020 wildfire" and "enhanced wildfire" (with both wildfire scenarios assuming spatial distribution of the wildfire location the same as the 2020 fires). The study combines each scenario with two solar energy infrastructures: one corresponding to the current solar installation and the other to future (midcentury) solar installation. The analysis is conducted using state-of-the-science modeling tools: primarily WRF-Chem for atmospheric modeling with chemistry to account for impacts of wildfires on solar radiation and PLEXOS for electricity market simulations. The analysis suggests that wildfires can significantly attenuate solar radiation at both short downwind distances as well as far from the emissions sources. Although the study is limited in scope, and the analysis studies only a few of the many factors that can affect photovoltaic generation and electricity markets, it indicates that wildfire smoke is an important factor that needs to be carefully considered and analyzed in planning the future grid.

electricity market↗

Fermi-type particle acceleration from magnetic reconnection at the termination shock of a relativistic striped wind

An oblique-rotating pulsar generates a relativistic striped wind in a pulsar wind nebula (PWN). The termination shock of the PWN compresses the Poynting-flux-dominated flow and drives magnetic reconnection. By carrying out particle-in-cell simulations of the termination shock of the PWN, we study the shock structure as well as the energy conversion processes and particle acceleration mechanisms. With the recent advances in the numerical methods, we extend the simulations to the ultrarelativistic regime with a bulk Lorentz factor of up to γ 0 = 10 6 . Magnetic reconnection at the termination shock is highly efficient at converting magnetic energy to particle kinetic energy and accelerating particles to high energies. Similar to earlier studies, we find that the resulting energy spectra crucially depend on λ/d e (λ is the wavelength of the striped wind and de is the relativistic plasma skin depth). When λ/d e is large (λ ≳ 40d e ), the downstream particle spectra form a power-law distribution in the magnetically dominated relativistic wind regime. By analyzing particle trajectories and statistical quantities relevant to particle energization, we find that Fermi-type mechanism dominates the particle acceleration and power-law formation. We find that the results for particle acceleration are scalable as γ 0 and σ 0 increase to large values. The maximum energy for electrons and positrons can reach hundreds of TeV if the wind has a bulk Lorentz factor of γ0 ≈ 106 and a magnetization parameter of σ 0 = 10, which can explain the recent observations of high-energy gamma rays from PWNe

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Physics-driven Explosions of Stripped High-mass Stars: Synthetic Light Curves and Spectra of Stripped-envelope Supernovae with Broad Light Curves

Stripped-envelope supernovae (SESNe) represent a significant fraction of core-collapse supernovae, arising from massive stars that have shed their hydrogen and, in some cases, helium envelopes. The origins and explosion mechanisms of SESNe remain a topic of active investigation. In this work, we employ radiative-transfer simulations to model the light curves and spectra of a set of explosions of single, solar-metallicity, massive Wolf–Rayet stars with ejecta masses ranging from 4 to 11 M ⊙ , which were computed from a turbulence-aided and neutrino-driven explosion mechanism. We analyze these synthetic observables to explore the impact of varying ejecta mass and helium content on observable features. We find that the light curve shape of these progenitors with high ejecta masses is consistent with observed SESNe with broad light curves but not the peak luminosities. The commonly used analytic formula based on rising bolometric light curves overestimates the ejecta mass of these high-initial-mass progenitor explosions by a factor of up to 2.6. In contrast, the calibrated method by Haynie et al., which relies on late-time decay tails, reduces uncertainties to an average of 20% within the calibrated ejecta mass range. Spectroscopically, the He I 1.083 μm line remains prominent even in models with as little as 0.02 M ⊙ of helium. However, the strength of the optical He I lines is not directly proportional to the helium mass but instead depends on a complex interplay of factors such as the 56 Ni distribution, composition, and radiation field. Thus, producing realistic helium features requires detailed radiative transfer simulations for each new hydrodynamic model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Deep Symbolic Optimization for Electric Component Sizing in Fixed Topology Power Converters

Power converters (PC) are a major component in any current electronic hardware device. The development and design is usually guided by expert knowledge and heavily relies on human intuition and experience. The process is a very time consuming and costly activity and it is generally hard to improve upon current designs. As a first step towards autonomous PC design, we are here proposing a new framework for the sizing of components for fixed topology PCs based on given design requirements. To this end, we developed surrogate models for rapid evaluation of new topologies and adapt the deep symbolic optimization (DSO) framework to generate new topologies guided by a reinforcement learning training signal. In an empirical evaluation, we show that our DSO based approach is able to find the optimal configuration for all investigated topologies, while reducing the learning time by at least a factor of 100 compared to popular RL algorithms.

Xue, Lincoln↗