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At least 73 records · Page 4

Confronting Earth System Model trends with observations

Anthropogenically forced climate change signals are emerging from the noise of internal variability in observations, and the impacts on society are growing. For decades, Climate or Earth System Models have been predicting how these climate change signals will unfold. While challenges remain, given the growing forced trends and the lengthening observational record, the climate science community is now in a position to confront the signals, as represented by historical trends, in models with observations. This review covers the state of the science on the ability of models to represent historical trends in the climate system. It also outlines robust procedures that should be used when comparing modeled and observed trends and how to move beyond quantification into understanding. Finally, this review discusses cutting-edge methods for identifying sources of discrepancies and the importance of future confrontations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Changing Trends in Drought Patterns over the Northeastern United States Using Multiple Large Ensemble Datasets

Since the infamous extreme drought of the 1960s, the climate of the northeastern United States (NEUS) has generally trended toward warmer and wetter conditions. Nonetheless, there is mounting evidence that short-term droughts will continue to pose a significant risk for this region. To better explore the processes governing events such as these, climate models have adopted more complex representations of the fully coupled atmosphere–land–ocean–sea ice system; however, large uncertainties in future projections still persist, with internal variability necessitating large ensembles to understand trends in both rare and high-impact extreme events such as rapidly developing droughts (a term here that includes flash droughts developing on monthly scales). In this study, seven large ensemble (LE) models are employed to answer the outstanding question: How are the frequency and character of drought in the NEUS changing under a warming climate? We find that most LE models indicate the NEUS will experience a long-term wetting trend with more “extremely wet” months, but also more frequent short-term extreme droughts. These changes are associated with increasing precipitation, atmospheric water demand, and climate variability. We also conclude that discrepant trends in precipitation and evapotranspiration variability will lead to increasing anticorrelation of these variables, which is relevant to the intensification of rapidly developing drought, particularly in the spring season. These changes are associated with an increase in evapotranspiration from plants, brought by an earlier emergence of the growing season and denser vegetation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

time-resolved spectroscopy fit (trspecfit) v0.01

Analyze 2D time- and energy-resolved data, such as from a pump-probe spectroscopy experiment. User can select and input different peak shapes/ functions and background types to first fit a ground state/ unperturbed spectrum. This would be similar to how standard spectroscopy data is fit. Subsequently, to describe the time domain, users can choose functions that describe the temporal dynamics of one or more spectral features, such as a peak amplitude, peak position, etc. These time dynamics functions can be added or convoluted (e.g. describing an instrument response function) with each other. Functionality to integrate implicit variables leading to distributions of certain parameters/ functions is in development. Alternatively, 2D data can be analyzed one time step at a time to get an idea of the time dynamics of the system before deploying the global 2D fit described above. Typically people write custom software for this purpose. During my PhD I've seen five internal LBL and external researchers write one-off code in different languages to analyze time- and energy-resolved spectra. While this was specifically was for a laser pump - X-ray probe spectroscopy experiment, I'm trying to write a general package for the time-resolved spectroscopy community.

Mahl, Johannes [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborat↗

Core States of Neutron Stars from Anatomizing Their Scaled Structure Equations

Given an Equation of State (EOS) for neutron star (NS) matter, there is a unique mass–radius sequence characterized by a maximum mass ${M}_{\mathrm{NS}}^{\max}$ at radius $R$ max . We first show analytically that the ${M}_{\mathrm{NS}}^{\max}$ and $R$ max scale linearly with two different combinations of the NS central pressure $P$ $c$ and energy density $ε$ $c$ , by dissecting perturbatively the dimensionless Tolman–Oppenheimer–Volkoff (TOV) equations governing NS internal variables. The scaling relations are then verified via 87 widely used and rather diverse phenomenological as well as 17 microscopic NS EOSs with/without considering hadron–quark phase transitions and hyperons, by solving numerically the original TOV equations. The EOS of the densest NS matter allowed before it collapses into a black hole is then obtained. Using the universal ${M}_{\mathrm{NS}}^{\max}$ and $R$ max scalings and Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer and XMM-Newton mass–radius observational data for PSR J0740+6620, a very narrow constraining band on the NS central EOS is extracted directly from the data for the first time, without using any specific input EOS model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Shifting Valencies and Magnetic Responses in La-Based High-Entropy Oxide Perovskite Thin Films with Variable Mn Presence

Chemical disorder in compositionally complex perovskite oxides generates a broad distribution of exchange pathways and spin states, but the microscopic origin and spatial homogeneity of the resulting magnetic phases remain debated. Here, we tune the Mn fraction (x = 0.2–0.6) in epitaxial La(Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni)O3 thin films and resolve the coupled evolution of valence, spin state, and magnetism using element-specific x-ray absorption spectroscopy and x-ray magnetic circular dichroism (XMCD). Mn enrichment drives an internal redistribution of charge, in which Mn evolves toward a Mn3+-rich mixed valence, while Co converts from predominantly Co3+ to high-spin Co2+. This valence/spin-state coupling amplifies the Mn- and Co-derived ferromagnetic response by nearly an order of magnitude while increasing the magnetic onset temperature to at least 250 K, whereas Fe and Cr remain essentially trivalent with weak dichroism. Depth-resolved low-energy muon spin spectroscopy (LE-μSR) shows magnetic homogeneity through the film thickness, with a secondary relaxation maximum near 25 K indicating a low-temperature dynamical crossover consistent with frustrated magnetism in a strongly disordered spin lattice.

Miertschin, Duncan [Baylor University]↗

Quantitative comparison of power production and power quality onshore and offshore: a case study from the eastern United States

Abstract. A major issue in quantifying potential power generation from prospective wind energy sites is the lack of observations from heights relevant to modern wind turbines, particularly for offshore where blade tip heights are projected to increase beyond 250 m. We present analyses of uniquely detailed data sets from lidar (light detection and ranging) deployments in New York State and on two buoys in the adjacent New York Bight to examine the relative power generation potential and power quality at these on- and offshore locations. Time series of 10 min wind power production are computed from these wind speeds using the power curve from the International Energy Agency 15 MW reference wind turbine. Given the relatively close proximity of these lidar deployments, they share a common synoptic-scale meteorology and seasonal variability with lowest wind speeds in July and August. Time series of power production from the on- and offshore location are highly spatially correlated with the Spearman rank correlation coefficient dropping below 0.4 for separation distances of approximately 350 km. Hence careful planning of on- and offshore wind farms (i.e., separation of major plants by > 350 km) can be used reduce the system-wide probability of low wind energy power production. Energy density at 150 m height at the offshore buoys is more than 40 % higher, and the Weibull scale parameter is 2 m s−1 higher than at all but one of the land sites. Analyses of power production time series indicate annual energy production is almost twice as high for the two offshore locations. Further, electrical power production quality is higher from the offshore sites that exhibit a lower amplitude of diurnal variability, plus a lower probability of wind speeds below the cut-in and of ramp events of any magnitude. Despite this and the higher resource, the estimated levelized cost of energy (LCoE) is higher from the offshore sites mainly due to the higher infrastructure costs. Nonetheless, the projected LCoE is highly competitive from all sites considered.

Foody, Rebecca↗

Convolutional Neural Networks Trained on Internal Variability Predict Forced Response of TOA Radiation by Learning the Pattern Effect

Abstract Predicting forced, long‐term radiative feedbacks from internal climate variability has been a decades‐long quest in climate science. We train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict annual‐ and global‐mean top of the atmosphere radiation anomalies from time‐varying maps of near‐surface temperature in climate models. Trained on internal variability alone, the nonlinear CNN can predict radiation under strong climate change, outperforms a regularized linear regression approach, and works within and across different climate models. We show with explainable artificial intelligence methods that the CNN draws predictive skill from physically meaningful regions but at much smaller spatial scales than currently assumed.

Rugenstein, Maria [Colorado State University Fort ↗

Modes of Variability in E3SM and CESM Large Ensembles

An adequate characterization of internal modes of climate variability (MoV) is a prerequisite for both accurate seasonal predictions and climate change detection and attribution. Assessing the fidelity of climate models in simulating MoV is therefore essential; however, doing so is complicated by the large intrinsic variations in MoV and the limited span of the observational record. Large ensembles (LEs) provide a unique opportunity to assess model fidelity in simulating MoV and quantify intermodel contrasts. Here, in this work, these goals are pursued in four recently produced LEs: the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) versions 1 and 2 LEs, and the Community Earth System Model (CESM) versions 1 and 2 LEs. In general, the representation of global coupled modes is found to improve across successive E3SM and CESM versions in conjunction with the fidelity of the base state climate while the patterns of extratropical modes are well simulated across the ensembles. Various persistent shortcomings for all MoV are however identified and discussed. The results both demonstrate the successes of these recent model versions and suggest the potential for continued improvement in the representation of MoV with advances in model physics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Photoinitiated Reactions of Molecules and Radicals in Molecular Beams

The UV photochemistry of organic molecules is a fundamental process that governs reactions in the atmosphere, synthetic chemistry, processing of organic aerosols, and biological damage in living tissues. In many organic molecules, the ensuing evolution involves pathways that are in competition, giving rise to different products, isomerization, coupling to other electronic states, and secondary reactive collisions. Because photodissociation is usually fast (picoseconds to microseconds), these processes are far from equilibrium and are controlled by kinetic competition and dynamical forces. The work accomplished was focused primarily on the photochemistry of alpha-keto carboxylic acids, a group of acids produced from natural sources, which are implicated in aerosol formation and biological processes. In the atmosphere, they are destroyed mainly by solar radiation. Studying their photochemistry has been surprisingly difficult because of the complexity of their excited electronic states, and the effect of collisions and secondary reactions. The second project investigated the lifetime of excited electronic states of pyrazine and picoline and had both experimental and theoretical aspects. The work focused on a model molecule, pyruvic acid (PA), because it was hypothesized that it should be a good source of the unstable carbene, methylhydroxycarbene (MHC). PA has an internal hydrogen bond that controls the evolution of its decomposition. The decomposition was studied following excitation to two of its lowest excited states reached by laser irradiation at 351 and 193 nm. The photodissociation dynamics in the absence and presence of collisions was monitored and compared. Understanding the UV photochemistry requires the use of complementary experimental approaches. Two methods were enlisted, which together generated a comprehensive and detailed set of results: (i) The time-sliced velocity map imaging (SVMI) instrument at USC was exploited to determine kinetic energy release of fragments, fast dissociation timescales, and internal state distributions of fragments for which Resonance Enhanced Multiphoton Ionization (REMPI) schemes exist; and (ii) The multiplexed photoionization mass spectrometer (MPIMS) setup developed at the Sandia Combustion Research Facility was used for product discovery, achieved by exploiting tunable narrowband VUV radiation at the Advanced Light Source (ALS), and to follow in real time their subsequent unimolecular and bimolecular reactions. The experimental conditions ranged from collisionless molecular beams to study nascent products to flow reactors of variable pressures to study subsequent bimolecular reactions of the products. The goals stated above were successfully accomplished. By exciting PA to its lowest excited state, MHC was identified as the only primary product and its isomerization to vinylalcohol and acetaldehyde was directly observed in real time. Moreover, we reported the first bimolecular reaction of MHC, which was with acetaldehyde, and identified its reaction product. This paves the way for the study of other reactions of this important carbene intermediate. When excitation was carried out at 193 nm, which imparted much higher energy to PA, many more products were directly observed in real time, some deriving from three-body dissociation. Quantitative branching ratios and secondary reactions of radical products were also determined and analyzed. The studies of pyrazine and picoline focused on the second excited state of these molecules and showed (via ionization studies) that their excited states were very short lived (<100 fs) because of efficient couplings to lower electronic states via vibronic coupling. Theoretical work on modeling the absorption spectrum and decay mechanisms of the excited states are in progress in collaboration with theoreticians.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Particle phase-state variability in the North Atlantic free troposphere during summertime is determined by atmospheric transport patterns and sources

Abstract. Free tropospheric aerosol particles have important but poorly constrained climate effects due to transformations of their physicochemical properties during long-range transport. In this study, we investigate the chemical composition and provide an overview of the phase states of individual particles that have undergone long-range transport over the North Atlantic Ocean in June and July 2014, 2015, and 2017 to the Observatory of Mount Pico (OMP) in the Azores. The OMP is an ideal site for studying long-range-transported free tropospheric particles because local emissions have a negligible influence and contributions from the boundary layer are rare. We used the FLEXible PARTicle Lagrangian particle dispersion model (FLEXPART) to determine the origins and transport trajectories of sampled air masses and found that most of them originated from North America and recirculated over the North Atlantic Ocean. The FLEXPART analysis showed that the sampled air masses were highly aged (average plume age >10 d). Size-resolved chemical compositions of individual particles were probed using computer-controlled scanning electron microscopy with an energy-dispersive X-ray spectrometer (CCSEM-EDX) and scanning transmission X-ray microscopy with near-edge X-ray absorption fine structure spectroscopy (STXM-NEXAFS). CCSEM-EDX results showed that the most abundant particle types were carbonaceous (∼ 29.9 % to 82.0 %), sea salt (∼ 0.3 % to 31.6 %), and sea salt with sulfate (∼ 2.4 % to 31.5 %). We used a tilted stage interfaced within an environmental scanning electron microscope (ESEM) to determine the phase states of individual submicron particles. We found that most particles (∼ 47 % to 99 %) were in the liquid state at the time of collection due to inorganic inclusions. Moreover, we also observed substantial fractions of solid and semisolid particles (∼ 0 % to 30 % and ∼ 1 % to 42 %, respectively) during different transport patterns and events, reflecting the particles' phase-state variability for different atmospheric transport events and sources. Combining phase state measurements with FLEXPART CO tracer analysis, we found that wildfire-influenced plumes can result in particles with a wide range of viscosities after long-range transport in the free troposphere. We also used temperature and RH values extracted from the Global Forecast System (GFS) along the FLEXPART-simulated path to predict the phase state of the particles during transport and found that neglecting internal mixing with inorganics would lead to an overestimation of the viscosity of free tropospheric particles. Our findings warrant future investigation aiming at the quantitative assessment of the influence of internal mixing on the phase states of the individual particles. This study also provides insights into the chemical composition and phase state of free tropospheric particles, which can help models to reduce uncertainties about the effects of ambient aerosol particles on climate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Progress in the validation of rotor aerodynamic codes using field data

Within the framework of the fourth phase of the International Energy Agency (IEA) Wind Task 29, a large comparison exercise between measurements and aeroelastic simulations has been carried out featuring three simulation cases in axial, sheared and yawed inflow conditions. Results were obtained from more than 19 simulation tools originating from 12 institutes, ranging in fidelity from blade element momentum (BEM) to computational fluid dynamics (CFDs) and compared to state-of-the-art field measurements from the 2 MW DanAero turbine. More than 15 different variable types ranging from lifting-line variables to blade surface pressures, loads and velocities have been compared for the different conditions, resulting in over 250 comparison plots. The result is a unique insight into the current status and accuracy of rotor aerodynamic modeling. For axial flow conditions, a good agreement was found between the various code types, where a dedicated grid sensitivity study was necessary for the CFD simulations. However, compared to wind tunnel experiments on rotors featuring controlled conditions, it remains a challenge to achieve good agreement of absolute levels between simulations and measurements in the field. For sheared inflow conditions, uncertainties due to rotational and unsteady effects on airfoil data result in the CFD predictions standing out above the codes that need input of sectional airfoil data. However, it was demonstrated that using CFD-synthesized airfoil data is an effective means to bypass this shortcoming. For yawed flow conditions, it was observed that modeling of the skewed wake effect is still problematic for BEM codes where CFD and free vortex wake codes inherently model the underlying physics correctly. The next step is a comparison in turbulent inflow conditions, which is featured in IEA Wind Task 47. Doing this analysis in cooperation under the auspices of the IEA Wind Technology Collaboration Program (TCP) has led to many mutual benefits for the participants. The large size of the consortium brought ample manpower for the analysis where the learning process by combining several complementary experiences and modeling techniques gave valuable insights that could not be found when the analysis is carried out individually.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Experimental Investigation of the Effect of Air-Handling and DME-Propane Blends on the Performance and Emissions of a 4-Cylinder CI Engine

Dimethyl ether (DME) is considered an excellent alternative to diesel because of its higher cetane number and lower carbon content. Additionally, DME can be blended with abundantly available propane with minimal modifications to the propane infrastructure. This paper focuses on an experimental investigation of the effect of air-handling i.e., boost pressure and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), and DME-propane blends on the combustion and emissions performance of a light-duty, four-cylinder, compression ignition (CI) engine. Here, the boost pressure and EGR sweeps were carried out and showed that higher boost pressures resulted in increased brake thermal efficiencies (BTE) at the expense of higher NOx emissions which could be reduced by an increase in EGR. The fuel sweeps were carried out at 0, 15 and 25% propane (neat, 85% and 75% DME) with 0% and 25% EGR. The fuel sweeps indicated that the ignition delay (ID) increased and burn duration (BD) decreased monotonically when the blend increased to 25% propane/75% DME. The results suggest optimum engine performance with neat DME at 105 kPa boost pressure and 25% EGR with propane addition improving the BTE with negligible increase in emissions. Higher contents of Propane, up to 25%, did not affect the variability of combustion, with standard deviations of burn duration and peak cylinder pressures below 1% for all test cases.

air-handling↗

Uncertainty Analysis of Inhalation Dose Coefficients for Nuclear Incident Response

This study addressed the need to characterize variability in inhalation dose coefficients due to uncertainties in respiratory tract deposition, systemic biokinetics, and physiological parameters. A Python-based implementation of the International Commission on Radiological Protection Publication 66 Human Respiratory Tract Model was developed called the Radiological Exposure Dose Calculator (REDCAL) to propagate parameter uncertainty.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Joint Factorization of QCD and QED Radiation in Lepton-Hadron Scattering

The factorization theorem plays an important role in the analysis of high energy quantum chromodynamic (QCD) processes, separating the nonperturbative hadronic interaction into the universal parton distribution functions (PDFs) and fragmentation functions (FFs) and the process-dependent interactions into short distance perturbative calculations, with any interference power suppressed. With a virtual photon exchange, lepton-hadron deep inelastic scattering (DIS) provides an electromagnetic hard probe for the partonic structure of colliding hadrons and has played an important role in the development of QCD factorization. However, the collision induced QED radiation can change the momentum of the exchanged but unobserved virtual photon, making the photon-hadron frame, where the factorization formalism for DIS and semi-inclusive DIS (SIDIS) was derived, ill defined. A new analogous factorization approach has been introduced to separate the leading power process-independent QED radiative contributions to the single photon exchange by introducing lepton distribution functions (LDFs) and lepton fragmentation functions (LFFs), while process-dependent effects are perturbatively calculated with large logarithms removed [J. High Energ. Phys. 2021, 157 (2021)]. These LDFs and LFFs are considered global, as they appear in many different interactions, such as e+e-, DIS and SIDIS, so data from experiments can be used to fit and describe these functions across a wide range of lepton scattering. In this work, I will apply this new hybrid factorization approach to lepton-hadron DIS and SIDIS. For DIS, I derive the NLO short distance perturbative contribution to the cross section and demonstrate the effects the QED radiation has on the cross section using this approach using the CTEQ parameterization for the QCD functions. As part of the SIDIS analysis, I study the cross-section in two different kinematic regions: (1) the scattered lepton and observed hadron are not near back-to-back, and (2) they are close to back-to-back, where collinear QCD factorization works for (1) and TMD QCD factorization for (2) while collinear QED factorization works for both. As part of this work, I show the effects on the SIDIS cross section using fixed order calculations for the unpolarized structure function by first showing the effect of the radiative corrections on the main kinematic variables, especially how the internal transverse momentum is significantly correlated to the external angular dependence, and then the unpolarized structure function (or cross section) with matching between the descriptions for low and high transverse momentum. This work will impact the calculations for predictions for data from COMPASS and various Jefferson Lab experiments.

Cammarota, Justin [Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, K↗

A robust aerosol impact on clouds along the subtropical to tropical transition

Marine clouds undergo a transition from subtropical stratocumulus (Sc) to shallow cumulus (Cu) and eventually to deep convective (DC) systems as air masses advect from the subtropics towards the deep tropics. How aerosols modulate this Lagrangian cloud evolution remains largely uncertain. Here we use both 5 years of satellite observations mapped along 8 d Lagrangian trajectories and complementary large-eddy simulations from 9 initiation locations across the Northeast Pacific, Southeast Pacific, and Southeast Atlantic. This Lagrangian framework allows us to quantify the aerosol effect and its co-variability with meteorological conditions on cloud microphysics, macrophysics, and top-of-atmosphere radiation through the full Sc-Cu-DC transition. We show that increasing aerosol concentrations leads to deeper and more reflective clouds throughout this cloud transition. Examining the thermodynamic evolution along the trajectory indicates a well-known trend: enhanced moistening near the boundary-layer top and lower free troposphere under polluted conditions, suggesting that part of the co-variability between aerosol and meteorological conditions may be internally driven. The agreement between model simulations and satellite data alongside the multi-basin coherence of the results indicates that aerosols systematically amplify cloud depth and reflectivity during the subtropical–to–tropical cloud transition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A phase-field fracture formulation for generalized standard materials: The interplay between thermomechanics and damage

Accurately modeling fracture of ductile materials poses open challenges in the field of computational mechanics due to the multiphysics nature of their failure processes. Integrating the interplay between thermodynamics and damage into ductile fracture models is vital for predicting critical failure modes. Here, in this paper, we develop a versatile phase-field (PF) framework for modeling ductile fracture, taking into account finite-strain elasto-plasticity. The framework stems from a variational formulation of constitutive relations for generalized standard materials (GSMs), whose response is described by a Helmholtz free energy and a dissipation pseudo-potential. Its variational structure is based on a minimum principle for a functional that expresses the sum of power densities for reversible and irreversible processes. By minimizing this functional with a constraint on a von Mises yield function, we derive the evolution equation for the equivalent plastic strain and an associative flow rule. This constrained optimization problem is analytically solved for a wide class of thermo-viscoplasticity models. The key innovations of the current work include (i) a cubic plastic degradation function that accounts for a non-vanishing damage-dependent yield stress, (ii) closed-form expressions of the Helmholtz free energy and dissipation pseudo-potential for three thermo-viscoplasticity models, (iii) an extended Johnson–Cook plasticity model with a nonlinear hardening law, and (iv) a plastic work heat source that depends on the plastic degradation function and a variable Taylor–Quinney (TQ) coefficient. The capabilities of the proposed framework are tested with the aid of four ductile fracture problems, including the Sandia Fracture Challenge. In each of these problems, we examine the evolution of relevant field variables such as the PF order parameter, the equivalent plastic strain, the temperature, and the internal power dissipation density, in addition to the overall structural response quantified by the force–displacement curve. These numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed framework effectively represents ductile fracture, yielding computational results that exhibit good agreement with experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Importance of an Ensemble Approach for Modeling Aerosol‐Convection Interactions

Aerosol-convection interactions modulate cloud microphysics, thermodynamics, and updraft intensity, contributing to climate-scale aerosol-radiative forcing. However, quantifying aerosol indirect effects in mixed-phase deep convection remains challenging due to uncertainties in parameterized physics and initial conditions driving nonlinear evolution of convective processes. This study investigates the convective updraft sensitivity to random initial temperature perturbations using an idealized ensemble modeling framework informed by in situ thermodynamic and aerosol observations from the DOE TRACER field campaign. We analyze the impact of small-scale initial perturbations on updraft velocity and supersaturation, and determine the ensemble size required to minimize stochastic internal variability. Results show that minor thermodynamic perturbations can produce updraft variability comparable to aerosol-induced changes reported in prior work. An ensemble of 10 members sufficiently reduces variability, enabling robust investigation of aerosol-related updraft invigoration and informing the design of future ensemble-based aerosol-convection interaction studies in environments with significant spatiotemporal mesoscale thermodynamic and aerosol heterogeneity.

aerosol-convection interactions↗

The System for Classification of Low-Pressure Systems (SyCLoPS): An All-In-One Objective Framework for Large-Scale Data Sets

We propose the first unified objective framework (SyCLoPS) for detecting and classifying all types of low-pressure systems (LPSs) in a given data set. We use the state-of-the-art automated feature tracking software TempestExtremes (TE) to detect and track LPS features globally in ERA5 and compute 16 parameters from commonly found atmospheric variables for classification. A Python classifier is implemented to classify all LPSs at once. The framework assigns 16 different labels (classes) to each LPS data point and designates four different types of high-impact LPS tracks, including tracks of tropical cyclone (TC), monsoonal system, subtropical storm and polar low. The classification process involves disentangling high-altitude and drier LPSs, differentiating tropical and non-tropical LPSs using novel criteria, and optimizing for the detection of the four types of high-impact LPS. A comparison of our labels with those in the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) revealed an overall accuracy of 95% in distinguishing between tropical systems, extratropical cyclones, and disturbances. SyCLoPS produces a better TC detection skill compared to the previous algorithms, highlighted by an approximately 6% reduction in the false alarm rate compared to the previous TE algorithm. The vertical cross section composite of the four types of high-impact LPS we detect each shows distinct structural characteristics. Finally, we demonstrate that SyCLoPS is valuable for investigating various aspects of LPSs in climate data, such as the evolution of a single LPS track, patterns of LPS frequencies, and precipitation or wind influence associated with a particular LPS class.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗