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At least 73 records · Page 4

Carbon‐Neutral Pathways for the United States

Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C points to the need for carbon neutrality by mid‐century. Achieving this in the United States in only 30 years will be challenging, and practical pathways detailing the technologies, infrastructure, costs, and tradeoffs involved are needed. Modeling the entire U.S. energy and industrial system with new analysis tools that capture synergies not represented in sector‐specific or integrated assessment models, we created multiple pathways to net zero and net negative CO 2 emissions by 2050. They met all forecast U.S. energy needs at a net cost of 0.2–1.2% of GDP in 2050, using only commercial or near‐commercial technologies, and requiring no early retirement of existing infrastructure. Pathways with constraints on consumer behavior, land use, biomass use, and technology choices (e.g., no nuclear) met the target but at higher cost. All pathways employed four basic strategies: energy efficiency, decarbonized electricity, electrification, and carbon capture. Least‐cost pathways were based on >80% wind and solar electricity plus thermal generation for reliability. A 100% renewable primary energy system was feasible but had higher cost and land use. We found multiple feasible options for supplying low‐carbon fuels for non‐electrifiable end uses in industry, freight, and aviation, which were not required in bulk until after 2035. In the next decade, the actions required in all pathways were similar: expand renewable capacity 3.5 fold, retire coal, maintain existing gas generating capacity, and increase electric vehicle and heat pump sales to >50% of market share. This study provides a playbook for carbon neutrality policy with concrete near‐term priorities.

Williams, James H.↗

rRNA methylation by Spb1 regulates the GTPase activity of Nog2 during 60S ribosomal subunit assembly

Biogenesis of the large ribosomal (60S) subunit involves the assembly of three rRNAs and 46 proteins, a process requiring approximately 70 ribosome biogenesis factors (RBFs) that bind and release the pre-60S at specific steps along the assembly pathway. The methyltransferase Spb1 and the K-loop GTPase Nog2 are essential RBFs that engage the rRNA A-loop during sequential steps in 60S maturation. Spb1 methylates the A-loop nucleotide G2922 and a catalytically deficient mutant strain ( spb 1 D52A ) has a severe 60S biogenesis defect. However, the assembly function of this modification is currently unknown. Here, we present cryo-EM reconstructions that reveal that unmethylated G2922 leads to the premature activation of Nog2 GTPase activity and capture a Nog2-GDP-AlF 4 - transition state structure that implicates the direct involvement of unmodified G2922 in Nog2 GTPase activation. Genetic suppressors and in vivo imaging indicate that premature GTP hydrolysis prevents the efficient binding of Nog2 to early nucleoplasmic 60S intermediates. We propose that G2922 methylation levels regulate Nog2 recruitment to the pre-60S near the nucleolar/nucleoplasmic phase boundary, forming a kinetic checkpoint to regulate 60S production. Our approach and findings provide a template to study the GTPase cycles and regulatory factor interactions of the other K-loop GTPases involved in ribosome assembly.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Projected income data under different shared socioeconomic pathways for Washington state

Abstract High-resolution income projections under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are essential for the climate change research communities to devise climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. To generate income projections for Washington state, we obtain state-level GDP per capita projections and convert them into projected annual household income. The resulting state-level income projections are subsequently downscaled to the census block-level based on the Longitudinal Origin-Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) dataset. For accuracy assessment, we downscale historical income data from state- level to block- and block group-level and compare the downscaled results against the actual income data from LODES. County-level accuracy assessment is also conducted based on American Community Survey. The results demonstrate a good agreement (Average R 2 of 0.67, 0.8, and 0.99 for block-, block group-, and county-level, respectively) between the downscaled income data and the reference data, thereby validating the methodology employed. Our approach is applicable to other states for income projections, which can be utilized by a broader audience, including those involved in demographic analysis, economic research, and urban planning.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Covalent organic frameworks in heterogeneous catalysis: recent advances and future perspective

Catalysis is ubiquitous in ~90% of chemical manufacturing processes and contributes up to 35% of global GDP. Hence, the development of advanced catalytic systems is of utmost importance for academia, industry, and government. Covalent organic frameworks (COFs) are a rapidly emerging class of crystalline porous materials that precisely integrate organic monomer units into extended periodic networks, offering a propitious platform for heterogeneous catalysis due to salient structural merits of ultralow density, high crystallinity, permanent porosity, structural tunability, functional diversity, and synthetic versatility. The past decade has witnessed an upsurge of interest in COFs for heterogeneous catalysis and this trend is expected to continue. In this review, we briefly introduce COF chemistry concerning the design principles, growth mechanism, and cutting-edge advances in structural evolution, linkage chemistry, and facile synthesis. Further, we then scrutinize four leading design strategies for COF catalysts, namely pristine COFs with catalytically active backbones, COFs as hosts for the inclusion of catalytic species, COF-based heterostructures, and COF-derived carbons for thermo-, photo-, and electrocatalysis. Next, we overview the most recent advances (mainly from 2020 to 2023) of COFs in heterogeneous catalysis, along with their fundamentals and advantages. Finally, we outline the current challenges and offer our perspectives on the future directions of COFs for heterogeneous catalysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exploring switch II pocket conformation of KRAS(G12D) with mutant-selective monobody inhibitors

The G12D mutation is among the most common KRAS mutations associated with cancer, in particular, pancreatic cancer. Here, we have developed monobodies, small synthetic binding proteins, that are selective to KRAS(G12D) over KRAS(wild type) and other oncogenic KRAS mutations, as well as over the G12D mutation in HRAS and NRAS. Crystallographic studies revealed that, similar to other KRAS mutant-selective inhibitors, the initial monobody bound to the S-II pocket, the groove between switch II and α3 helix, and captured this pocket in the most widely open form reported to date. Unlike other G12D-selective polypeptides reported to date, the monobody used its backbone NH group to directly recognize the side chain of KRAS Asp12, a feature that closely resembles that of a small-molecule inhibitor, MTRX1133. The monobody also directly interacted with H95, a residue not conserved in RAS isoforms. These features rationalize the high selectivity toward the G12D mutant and the KRAS isoform. Structure-guided affinity maturation resulted in monobodies with low nM KD values. Deep mutational scanning of a monobody generated hundreds of functional and nonfunctional single-point mutants, which identified crucial residues for binding and those that contributed to the selectivity toward the GTP- and GDP-bound states. When expressed in cells as genetically encoded reagents, these monobodies engaged selectively with KRAS(G12D) and inhibited KRAS(G12D)-mediated signaling and tumorigenesis. These results further illustrate the plasticity of the S-II pocket, which may be exploited for the design of next-generation KRAS(G12D)-selective inhibitors.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The first DEP domain of the RhoGEF P-Rex1 autoinhibits activity and contributes to membrane binding

Phosphatidylinositol (3,4,5)-trisphosphate (PIP 3 )-dependent Rac exchanger 1 (P-Rex1) catalyzes the exchange of GDP for GTP on Rac GTPases, thereby triggering changes in the actin cytoskeleton and in transcription. Its overexpression is highly correlated with the metastasis of certain cancers. P-Rex1 recruitment to the plasma membrane and its activity are regulated via interactions with heterotrimeric Gβγ subunits, PIP 3 , and protein kinase A (PKA). Deletion analysis has further shown that domains C-terminal to its catalytic Dbl homology (DH) domain confer autoinhibition. Among these, the first dishevelled, Egl-10, and pleckstrin domain (DEP1) remains to be structurally characterized. DEP1 also harbors the primary PKA phosphorylation site, suggesting that an improved understanding of this region could substantially increase our knowledge of P-Rex1 signaling and open the door to new selective chemotherapeutics. Here we show that the DEP1 domain alone can autoinhibit activity in context of the DH/PH-DEP1 fragment of P-Rex1 and interacts with the DH/PH domains in solution. The 3.1 Å crystal structure of DEP1 features a domain swap, similar to that observed previously in the Dvl2 DEP domain, involving an exposed basic loop that contains the PKA site. Using purified proteins, we show that although DEP1 phosphorylation has no effect on the activity or solution conformation of the DH/PH-DEP1 fragment, it inhibits binding of the DEP1 domain to liposomes containing phosphatidic acid. Thus, we propose that PKA phosphorylation of the DEP1 domain hampers P-Rex1 binding to negatively charged membranes in cells, freeing the DEP1 domain to associate with and inhibit the DH/PH module.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Boosting Thailand’s palm oil yield with advanced seasonal predictions

Palm oil, an indispensable global commodity, plays a crucial role in Thailand's economy (Maluin et al 2020). This versatile product, found in everything from food to biodiesel and industrial applications (Kamil and Omar 2017, Chiarawipa et al 2020), cements Thailand's position as the third-largest producer in the world. The industry is particularly vital in the southern regions, where most plantations are located (Dallinger 2011), providing employment opportunities in rural areas and bolstering the nation's GDP and foreign exchange earnings through exports. However, oil palm productivity hinges on climatic conditions, with precipitation patterns being especially influential. Both local climate and remote forces like El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) significantly impact production. In neighboring Malaysia, research by Kamil and Omar (2017) has uncovered the consequential role of ENSO events on precipitation and, subsequently, palm oil productivity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Non-parametric projections of the net-income distribution for all U.S. states for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Abstract Income distributions are a growing area of interest in the examination of equity impacts brought on by climate change and its responses. Such impacts are especially important at subnational levels, but projections of income distributions at these levels are scarce. Here, we project U.S. state-level income distributions for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). We apply a non-parametric approach, specifically a recently developed principal components algorithm to generate net income distributions for deciles across 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. We produce these projections to 2100 for three SSP scenarios in combination with varying projections of GDP per capita to represent a wide range of possible futures and uncertainties. In the generation of these scenarios, we also generated tax adjusted historical deciles by U.S. states, which we used for validating model performance. Our method thus produces income distributions by decile for each state, reflecting the variability in state income, population, and tax regimes. Our net income projections by decile can be used in both emissions- and impact-related research to understand distributional effects at various income levels and identify economically vulnerable populations.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Economic evaluation of the Hepatitis C virus elimination program in the country of Georgia, 2015 to 2017

Abstract Background and Aims In 2015, the country of Georgia launched an elimination program aiming to reduce the prevalence of Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by 90% from 5.4% prevalence (~150 000 people). During the first 2.5 years of the program, 770 832 people were screened, 48 575 were diagnosed with active HCV infection, and 41 483 patients were treated with direct‐acting antiviral (DAA)‐based regimens, with a >95% cure rate. Methods We modelled the incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio (ICER) of HCV screening, diagnosis and treatment between April 2015 and November 2017 compared to no treatment, in terms of cost per quality‐adjusted life year (QALY) gained in 2017 US dollars, with a 3% discount rate over 25 years. We compared the ICER to willingness‐to‐pay (WTP) thresholds of US$4357 (GDP) and US$871 (opportunity cost) per QALY gained. Results The average cost of screening, HCV viremia testing, and treatment per patient treated was $386 to the provider, $225 to the patient and $1042 for generic DAAs. At 3% discount, 0.57 QALYs were gained per patient treated. The ICER from the perspective of the provider including generic DAAs was $2285 per QALY gained, which is cost‐effective at the $4357 WTP threshold, while if patient costs are included, it is just above the threshold at $4398/QALY. All other scenarios examined in sensitivity analyses remain cost‐effective except for assuming a shorter time horizon to the end of 2025 or including the list price DAA cost. Reducing or excluding DAA costs reduced the ICER below the opportunity‐cost WTP threshold. Conclusions The Georgian HCV elimination program provides valuable evidence that national programs for scaling up HCV screening and treatment for achieving HCV elimination can be cost‐effective.

Tskhomelidze, Irina↗

Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit

Given the increasing interest in keeping global warming below 1.5 ?, a key question is what this would mean for China’s emission pathway, energy restructuring and decarbonization. By conducting a multi-model study, we find that the 1.5 ?-consistent goal would require China to reduce its carbon emissions and energy consumption by over 90% and 39%, respectively, compared to the No Policy case. Negative emission technologies play an important role in achieving near-zero emissions, with captured carbon averagely accounting for 23% of the total reductions in 2050. Our multi-model comparisons reveal large differences in necessary emission reductions across sectors, while what’s consistent is that the power sector is required to achieve full decarbonization by 2050. The cross-model averages indicate that China’s accumulated policy costs may amount to 2.75-5.73% of its GDP by 2050, given the 1.5 ? warming limit.

1.5 degrees, China, Paris agreement, ENGAGE↗

Discovery of BBO-11818, a Potent and Selective Noncovalent Inhibitor of (ON) and (OFF) KRAS with Activity against Multiple Oncogenic Mutants

Although KRAS G12C -specific inhibitors have been introduced, no approved targeted therapies exist for other clinically significant KRAS mutants, including KRAS G12D and KRAS G12V . We discovered BBO-11818, a potent, selective, orally bioavailable noncovalent pan-KRAS inhibitor capable of targeting multiple KRAS mutants in both the inactive GDP-bound (OFF) and active GTP-bound (ON) states. BBO-11818 binds in the Switch-II/Helix 3 pocket, inducing conformational changes incompatible with effector binding, and demonstrates high-affinity binding to mutant KRAS with strong selectivity over NRAS and HRAS. BBO-11818 potently inhibited MAPK signaling and cellular viability specifically in KRAS-driven lines and produced tumor regressions in KRAS-mutant xenograft models. Combination studies with anti–PD-1, anti-EGFR antibodies, and a RAS:PI3Kα breaker compound showed enhanced efficacy. BBO-11818 has entered phase I clinical trials for patients with various KRAS mutations in colorectal, pancreatic, and lung cancers (NCT06917079).

Stahlhut, Carlos [BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics,↗

Identification, characterization, and structure of a tRNA splicing enzyme RNA 5′-OH kinase from the pathogenic fungi Mucorales

Fungal Trl1 is an essential tRNA splicing enzyme composed of C-terminal cyclic phosphodiesterase and central polynucleotide kinase end-healing domains that convert the 2′,3′-cyclic-PO 4 and 5′-OH ends of tRNA exons into the 3′-OH,2′-PO 4 and 5′-PO 4 termini required for sealing by an N-terminal ATP-dependent ligase domain. Trifunctional Trl1 enzymes are present in most human fungal pathogens and are untapped targets for antifungal drug discovery. Mucorales species, deemed high-priority human pathogens by WHO, elaborate a noncanonical tRNA splicing apparatus in which a stand-alone monofunctional RNA ligase enzyme joins 3′-OH,2′-PO 4 and 5′-PO 4 termini. Here we identify a stand-aloneMucor circinelloidespolynucleotide kinase (MciKIN) and affirm its biological activity in tRNA splicing by genetic complementation in yeast. Recombinant MciKIN catalyzes magnesium-dependent phosphorylation of 5′-OH RNA and DNA ends in vitro. MciKIN displays a strong preference for GTP as the phosphate donor in the kinase reaction, a trait shared with the stand-alone RNA kinase homologs from Mucorales speciesRhizopus azygosporus(RazKIN) andLichtheimia corymbifera(LcoKIN) and with the kinase domains of fungal Trl1 enzymes. We report a 1.65 Å crystal structure of RazKIN in complex with GDP•Mg 2+ that illuminates the basis for guanosine nucleotide specificity.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Economic Impacts of VGI

This dataset includes the outputs of the JOBS EVSE module for VGI. These impacts include state, census division region, and national metrics including gross jobs, wages, and GDP of the manufacturing, installation, and operations of interconnects per geographic unit.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

IDAES GTEP 0.1 Release

The Institute for the Design of Advanced Energy Systems (IDAES) Generation and Transmission Expansion Planning (GTEP) package provides a Pyomo-based implementation of a modular, flexible, Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP) formulation for power infrastructure planning problems. This package is designed with the following goals in mind: - Abstract GTEP modeling away from any particular case study or fixed modeling assumptions (e.g., technologies, temporal resolution, spatial resolution, policy implications, etc.) - Admit flexible decision sets and heterogeneous parameterization - Allow high-level modeling options to be understood easily, chosen modularly, and changed rapidly

AS↗

Scaling Up Energy Efficiency Investment in Emerging Markets - Private Sector Perspectives

Since 2000, electricity demand has flattened and decoupled from Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. This trend is anticipated to continue for the next several decades and is largely attributed to the implementation of energy efficiency measures. However, non-OECD countries (emerging markets) have experienced, and are projected to continue experiencing, increasing electricity demands. If the world is to meet the requirements of the Paris Agreement, annual investments in clean energy and energy efficiency need to increase by a factor of six by 2050, compared to 2015. Information presented in this paper is based on qualitative and quantitative data collection and analysis methods to provide an empirical understanding of barriers to private sector clean energy investment including microgrid development, energy efficiency, smart grid development, and utility-scale wind and solar in emerging markets. Through literature review, a survey, and a series of webinar dialogues, USAID and the U.S. Department of Energy National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) solicited input from private sector actors, including developers, project financiers, manufacturers and technical assistance service providers, on the challenges they face to market entry in emerging markets, and their suggestions for improving market competitiveness.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A Multi-Scale Computational Platform for Predictive Modeling of Corrosion in Al-Steel Joints (Final Report)

The research team proposed to develop innovative multi-scale models to predict corrosion and the resulting mechanical performances in aluminum-steel joints. The methods of joining considered are resistance spot welding, self-piercing riveting, and rivet-welding, all suitable for mass production applications. The multi-scale models integrate high throughput first-principle calculations based on density functional theory (DFT), high throughput calculation of phase diagrams (CALPHAD) modeling, and finite element method (FEM) simulations. These models are to be validated through laboratory experiments. Furthermore, the models are available as open source so as to enable scientists and engineers in the community to adapt and contribute to the development and application. The approaches rely on the research team’s extensive experience on the prediction of properties of individual phases at finite temperatures and variable compositions through DFT calculations, and our broad expertise on dissimilar material joining and their corrosion. The proposed computational framework enables high throughput computations for improved predictions of corrosion and the associated mechanical performance in dissimilar material joints, resulting in significant reduction in computational time needed by the current state-of-the-art methods. With the participation of researchers from three universities, an auto manufacturer, two manufacturing technology/equipment suppliers, and a software developer/vendor, the interdisciplinary research team applies the technical development on both phase-based modeling and laboratory experiments into the automobile body joining processes for validation and technology demonstration. The global cost of corrosion was estimated at about 3.4% of the global GDP in 2013. By using available corrosion control practices, it is estimated a saving between 15-35% of the cost of corrosion. In the U.S., more than $276 billion is spent repairing corrosion damage. Prediction of the corrosion and its impact on performance of the dissimilar material joints is critical for reducing the massive number of the current corrosion-based recalls for automobiles. Thus, the project goal is to develop models to enable predictive maintenance and end-of-life planning of multi-metal joints with risk of corrosion under different conditions such as exposure to high temperatures in summer and salt solutions in winter, quantified through its pH. An academia-industry consortium led by the University of Michigan and including Pennsylvania State University, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, University of Georgia, General Motors Company, Livermore Software Technology Corporation, and Optimal Process Technologies, LLC. created multi-scale models for prediction of corrosion in aluminum-steel joint structures such of them used in vehicle subassemblies – chassis and transmission systems. Starting from the first principle calculations, the team developed mathematical and data-driven models to predict the metallic components, which are formed during joining of two metals, for example aluminum and steel - a lightweight multilateral system which is currently used in more than 60% car bodies. These models were used for simulating chemical reactions that are happening when the joining metallic components are exposed to high temperatures and different pH values. The team was able to predict how the corrosion installs on the metallic components and how they lead to a sudden failure of components in cars. Newly developed machine learning algorithms combining Science, Technology, Engineering and Math disciplines, advanced finite element simulation and experimental validations have been integrated in a platform for prediction of the corrosion evolution and prediction the failure of joints under mechanical loadings and fatigue. Moreover, based on machine learning and inverse analysis, the team proposed solutions for designing new metallic alloys less susceptible to corrosion when joining multi-material assembles. An average of 4% error compared with experiments was achieved for the most common joints that are used in vehicle subassemblies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling and Policy Pathways to Decarbonize South Asia’s Industrial Sector

The industrial sector is responsible for one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions, and industrial decarbonization will be an essential component of limiting emissions and mitigating climate change (Rissman et al., 2020). This holds true for South Asian countries as they work toward their stated commitments to reducing emissions in the coming years. India has pledged to reduce the emissions intensity of its gross domestic product (GDP) by 33–35% by 2030 (Government of India, 2016) and announced at COP26 a target of reaching net-zero CO 2 emissions by 2070, a goal that will require rapid decarbonization of energy-intensive industries (WEF, 2021). Bangladesh’s Nationally Determined Contributions include a commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 6.73% to 15.12% by 2030 (Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, 2021). While these Nationally Determined Contributions do not explicitly target emissions reductions in industry, Bangladesh’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation (EE&C) Master Plan highlights industry as an important sector for EE&C (Sustainable and Renewable Energy Development Authority, 2015). Sri Lanka has pledged carbon neutrality by 2050, including a reduction in industrial greenhouse gas emissions (Ministry of Environment, 2021). Nepal’s commitment to net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 includes plans to establish guidelines and technology transitions facilitating industrial decarbonization (Government of Nepal, 2020).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Optimal Membrane Cascade Design for Critical Mineral Recovery through Logic-based Superstructure Optimization

In this work, we extend the superstructure model proposed by Wamble et al. (2022) that considers feed input locations, recycling strategies, split fractions, stage numbers, and membrane area. We include the total number of stages as a decision variable, which might be particularly useful when there is cost as- sociated with adding additional stages. We propose a Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP) superstructure model that integrates all the design variables of the system. We also investigate the scalability of the model by varying the number of stages and the number of finite elements per stage to determine the impact on recovery and solution time.

Tran, Norman↗