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DOE OSTI2026

Size scaling of acceleration phase energetics and its effects on direct-drive DT-layered implosions

A fundamental question in inertial confinement fusion is how implosion performance, and therefore ignition thresholds and fusion gain, evolve with target size. In laser-driven direct drive fusion, the scaling of laser-drive performance with size is critical to this evolution and to extrapolating results from the 30-kJ OMEGA laser-fusion experiments to ignition-class facilities such as the National Ignition Facility. Beyond the well-known adverse effects of cross-beam energy transfer (CBET) on drive performance, here we demonstrate that effects related to the non-scaling physics of thermal conduction and electron–ion energy equilibration exert an influence on drive behavior with scale that equals or surpasses that of CBET. We find that a significant portion of the lost implosion performance with increasing scale is due to the loss of shell implosion velocity. Here, we show that while modest modifications to hydro-scaled designs can recover most of the lost implosion velocity, a full hydro-equivalent performance extrapolation is difficult to achieve without CBET mitigation or subcooling below the triple point of DT.

Patel, D. [University of Rochester, NY (United Sta↗

DOE OSTI2025

Reversed magnetic shear scenario development in NSTX-U using TRANSP

Abstract Understanding and control of electron thermal transport is a critical point of research in magnetic fusion experiments. Previous experiments have shown that operation with reversed magnetic shear (RMS) can suppress electron thermal transport, resulting in the generation of internal transport barriers (ITBs), with the location of the ITB correlated with the location of minimum magnetic shear. The recent upgrades to NSTX—increased magnetic field up to 1 T, increased plasma current up to 2 MA, 2nd neutral beam—present an increased operating space in which to explore electron thermal transport in RMS plasmas. Utilizing TRANSP, we have developed operating scenarios by which to generate RMS in NSTX-U. The results suggest that RMS in NSTX-U can be generated through fast current ramp and early beam injection into a large plasma volume. This is very similar to the procedure that was followed in both TFTR and NSTX to generate RMS. Sustainment of RMS, disregarding non-( q min = 1) MHD events, requires maintaining a large plasma volume, and increasing the core T e , either via increased plasma current and/or adding heating power. Using this procedure, RMS was sustained for ∼1 s, with q min > 1 for that period.

Galante, M. E. (ORCID:0009000098149425)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Measurement of the 75 As ⁢(𝑛, 2⁢𝑛) cross section at 14.1 MeV at the National Ignition Facility

Here, a new measurement of the 75 As (𝑛, 2⁢𝑛) measurement was performed using the 14.1 MeV neutron pulse produced by fusion experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF). The target material consisted of GaAs foils encapsulated in aluminum irradiation containers, along with Au monitor foils, and positioned in the NIF chamber during high neutron yield shots. After irradiation, the GaAs and Au foils were counted with high purity germanium detectors to assess the production of (𝑛, 2⁢𝑛) activation products to determine the flux and the cross section of interest. The measured cross section was 966 ± 71 mb at 14.1 ± 0.37 MeV. This work provides a proof of concept for a platform for performing “ride-along” cross section measurements at NIF to contribute to existing nuclear data as well as measure new cross sections in the future.

and nuclear chemistry↗

DOE OSTI2026

LDRD FY25 Program Overview

As Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s (LLNL’s) Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program enters its fifth decade of leading-edge research and development, its impact and importance have never been stronger. The program continues to advance strategic investments in pioneering science, technology, and engineering, ensuring LLNL will be ready to deliver on our mission as it evolves over the coming decades. Investing in LDRD research, and the people who perform this critical work, gives LLNL the ability to sustain our role as a leader in the Department of Energy and National Nuclear Security Administration enterprise. The LDRD program enables high-risk, high-payoff research that anticipates emerging threats and future mission needs. By nurturing the ingenuity of the Lab’s greatest asset, its people, LDRD funding advances not only our research but also grows and nurtures our workforce: engaging future innovators with student mentoring, challenging postdoctoral researchers to apply their skills to support national security, and strengthening the leadership skills of early career staff. This annual report documents how LDRD investments advance LLNL’s science, technology, and engineering across our mission space. To assess LDRD’s impact we track both short and long-term metrics such as peer-reviewed publications, number of students, or professional fellows. In addition to reviewing these metrics, I encourage you to delve deeper into the breadth of science and technology that illustrate the strategic value of this research portfolio. For instance, a recent exploratory research project used advanced manufacturing to construct miniaturized three-dimensional ion traps for a quantum computer with reduced quantum error rates to enable applications that address national security missions and support basic science. Another project has delved into studying detonation by examining deflagration to enhance the safety and security of the nuclear weapons stockpile. LDRD researchers are also deploying AI agents on two of the world’s most powerful supercomputers to automate and accelerate inertial confinement fusion experiments. Other teams are delivering more accurate optical constants to enable improved validation for aluminum to advance atomic and molecular physics models. LDRD-driven discoveries of how metals deform under extreme conditions strengthen our ability to model and design materials for demanding national security environments. National security challenges are increasingly complex and continuously evolving. LDRD focuses our most innovative science and technology on these challenges, ensuring the Laboratory is developing creative, forward-leaning solutions for our nation and the world. The following pages feature highlights of published scientific advances, patents, and honors that stem from LDRD investments. As you read this report, I hope you will understand how these investments position the Laboratory, and our partners, to meet the demands of the decades ahead.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Towards a Robust Adaptive Digital Twin for Fusion Applications

The development of a digital twin system for fusion applications is essential for enhancing the prediction, analysis, and optimization of complex plasma processes. Machine learning (ML), particularly deep learning has demonstrated strong capabilities in modeling such highly nonlinear and intricate systems. However, two critical challenges limit the deployment of deep learning-based digital twins: Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and data drift. UQ is vital for ensuring trustworthy predictions, especially in decision-support scenarios. Additionally, data-driven models are often sensitive to changes in the underlying data distribution, such as shot-to-shot variations in fusion experiments, which can lead to performance degradation over time. To address these challenges, we are developing an uncertainty-aware, adaptive digital twin framework. Our approach incorporates deep learning models enhanced with Gaussian Process approximations for predictive uncertainty estimation, coupled with an online learning mechanism that enables continuous model adaptation to new experimental data. This adaptive capability allows the data driven models to respond effectively to evolving plasma behaviors and equipment conditions. Specifically, to mitigate the effects of shot-to-shot drift, our system updates itself incrementally as new data becomes available, improving both robustness and fidelity. Our vision is to evolve this data driven model into a self-sustaining digital twin system that leverages UQ based feedback to continuously refine itself and potentially support real-time decision making. This presentation will cover a brief background on uncertainty quantification for ML, our ongoing effort on development of UQ capabilities for ML, our data science pipeline from data collection to model development and analysis and online learning framework for modeling coil deflection at DIII-D. I will also briefly touch upon opportunities and challenges in development of digital twin framework.

Sammuli, Brian [General Atomics]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Burn propagation in magnetized high-yield inertial fusion

Recent experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) have demonstrated ignition for the first time in an inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiment, a major milestone allowing the possibility of high energy gain through burn propagation. Use of external magnetic fields, applied primarily to reduce thermal losses, could increase hotspot temperature and ease requirements for ignition, opening up the capsule design space for high energy gain. However, this same restriction of thermal transport has the potential to inhibit burn propagation, which is vital in the attainment of high gain. In this work, radiation-magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) simulations carried out using the code Chimera are used to investigate the effect of a pre-imposed magnetic field on ignition and burn propagation. This paper studies the propagation of burn using both an idealized planar model and in fully integrated 2D MHD simulations of an igniting NIF capsule. A study of magnetized burn propagation in the idealized planar model identifies three regimes of magnetized burn propagation: (1) thermal conduction driven; (2) alpha transport driven; and (3) fully suppressed burn. Simulations of NIF shot N210808 with an applied 40 T axial field show clear indication of burn suppression perpendicular to field lines, with rapid burn observed along field lines. Implosion shape is altered by the field, and anisotropic conduction causes significant modification to the rate of ablation during stagnation. These results highlight the fundamental changes to implosion dynamics in high-yield magnetized ICF and motivate further study to better optimize future magnetized target designs for high gain.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Magnetized liner inertial fusion platform development to assess performance scaling with drive parameters

Magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) experiments have demonstrated fusion-relevant ion temperatures up to 3.1 keV and thermonuclear production of up to 1.1 × 1013 deuterium–deuterium neutrons. This performance was enabled through platform development that provided increases in applied magnetic field, coupled preheat energy, and drive current. Advanced coil designs with internal reinforcement enabled an increase from 10 to 20 T. An improved laser pulse shape, beam smoothing, and thinner laser entrance foils increased preheat energy coupling from less than 1 to 2.3 kJ. A redesign of the final transmission line and load region increased peak load current from 16 to 20 MA. The wider range of input parameters was leveraged to study target performance trends with preheat energy, applied magnetic field, and peak load current. Ion temperature and neutron yield generally followed trends in two-dimensional clean Lasnex calculations. Stagnation performance improved with peak load current when other input parameters were also increased such that convergence was maintained. This dataset suggests that reducing convergence to less than 30 would improve predictability of target performance. Lasnex was used to identify a simulation-optimized scaling path, which suggests 10+ kJ of fusion yield is possible on the Z facility with achievable input parameters. This path also indicates >10 MJ could be generated through volume burn on a future facility with a path to high yield (>200 MJ) using cryogenic dense fuel layers. The newly developed MagLIF platform enables exploration of both this simulation optimized scaling path and a recently developed similarity-scaling path.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data-Enabled Fusion Technology (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

Advancing Scientific Understanding in Fusion Energy and Machine Learning This research represented a significant step forward in machine learning (ML) applications for fusion energy experiments. The project integrated advanced data-driven modeling, optimization techniques, and artificial intelligence to enhance the predictive capabilities and operational efficiency of plasma-based fusion systems. Specifically, tasks focused on ML-enhanced diagnostics, operator guidance tools, and predictive modeling helped improve the ability to interpret complex fusion experiments. Key areas of advancement included: 1) data-driven plasma control, i.e., using ML algorithms to optimize experimental conditions and classify plasma behaviors based on historical data; 2) spectroscopy and diagnostics, i.e., applying AI models to extract previously inaccessible insights from experimental spectroscopy data; and 3) configuration mapping and operator guidance, i.e., developing a predictive framework to assist scientists in identifying the most effective experimental parameters, reducing reliance on manual adjustments. By refining these ML-driven techniques, the project contributed to the broader scientific community’s understanding of plasma dynamics and fusion energy viability. Technical Effectiveness and Economic Feasibility The methods investigated demonstrated high technical effectiveness, as reflected in milestones assessing the predictive accuracy, performance, and optimization of fusion configurations. The development of an Operator Guidance Tool (OGT), for example, led to more precise control of plasma conditions by learning from experimental data and offering real-time adjustments. From an economic standpoint, DeFT provided: 1) the ability to reduce trial-and-error experimentation, which lowered operational costs; 2) improved data interpretation methods, which enabled more efficient resource allocation in large-scale fusion research projects; and 3) the automation of key diagnostic tasks, which reduced manual labor and human error, increasing overall efficiency. 13 The final assessments of predictive models and optimization strategies demonstrated that these approaches were scalable and could be implemented across multiple fusion energy research programs. Public Benefit and Societal Impact This project contributed directly to the broader goal of achieving sustainable and commercially viable fusion energy, which had profound implications for clean energy production and climate change mitigation. The integration of AI-driven solutions into fusion research: 1) sped up scientific discovery, accelerating progress towards achieving energy breakthroughs; 2) reduced the cost of experimentation, making fusion research more accessible; and 3) provided a framework for future AI applications in high-energy physics, benefiting adjacent fields like space exploration, material science, and renewable energy. Additionally, by fostering collaborations between AI researchers and plasma physicists, this project promoted interdisciplinary innovation that could lead to broader applications beyond fusion research.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Active oversight and quality control in standard Bayesian optimization for autonomous experiments

The fusion of experimental automation and machine learning has catalyzed a new era in materials research, prominently featuring Gaussian Process (GP) Bayesian Optimization (BO) driven autonomous experiments. Here we introduce a Dual-GP approach that enhances traditional GPBO by adding a secondary surrogate model to dynamically constrain the experimental space based on real-time assessments of the raw experimental data. This Dual-GP approach enhances the optimization efficiency of traditional GPBO by isolating more promising space for BO sampling and more valuable experimental data for primary GP training. We also incorporate a flexible, human-in-the-loop intervention method in the Dual-GP workflow to adjust for unanticipated results. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the Dual-GP model with synthetic model data and implement this approach in autonomous pulsed laser deposition experimental data. This Dual-GP approach has broad applicability in diverse GPBO-driven experimental settings, providing a more adaptable and precise framework for refining autonomous experimentation for more efficient optimization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

FAR3d

The FAR3d model calculates the linear and nonlinear stability properties of energetic particle driven Alfven instabilities for both tokamak and stellarator plasma confinement devices using gyro-landau closure methods. This is an important fundamental physics problem for existing fusion energy experiments and for future fusion reactors.

Varela, Jacobo↗

DOE OSTI2026

Improving the stability and performance of MagLIF implosions by applying dielectric coatings and increasing applied B z , fuel preheat, and load current

We report two magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) experiments that produced record thermonuclear D–D neutron yields of 2.11×10 13 and 2.33×10 13 . These yields are about a factor of two higher than previous MagLIF results. The experiments achieved ion temperatures of 3.0 and 3.3 keV and stagnation pressures of 1.6 and 1.3 Gbar. The inferred Lawson parameters were χ=0.2 and 0.1, which are the largest reported for MagLIF. The performance increase used a high-aspect-ratio beryllium liner with a dielectric coating and modest increases in preheat energy (∼2.2 kJ), peak current (18.5 MA), and axial magnetic field (15 T). Three-dimensional HYDRA simulations are consistent with the measured liner dynamics and fusion outputs. These results indicate a pathway to higher-yield MagLIF designs using coated, high-aspect-ratio liners and improved input parameters. Simulations further suggest that adding an ice fuel layer could increase yield by up to a factor of 2.5 by reducing liner convergence, instability feedthrough, and mix.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

First demonstration of improved yield with reduced adiabat in inertial confinement fusion implosions on the National Ignition Facility

Laser-driven, indirect-drive inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) recently achieved a target gain greater than one, where fusion energy output exceeds input laser energy [Abu-Shawareb et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 132, 065102 (2024)]. Despite this milestone, gain levels remain insufficient for practical applications such as inertial fusion energy, making performance improvement critical. One promising approach is increasing fuel compression by lowering the implosion adiabat. To explore reduced adiabat, experiments were conducted modifying the laser pulse shape and shock timing of an existing 1.9-MJ-drive implosion design performing near the ignition cliff [Abu-Shawareb et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 075001 (2022)]. These experiments demonstrated increased compression and fusion yield in ICF implosions at the NIF by using a lower fuel adiabat, and increased compression with a reduced adiabat in high-density carbon ablators. The updated design achieved up to 80% higher fusion yield and 14% greater fuel compression compared to the previous best-performing 1.9-MJ experiment, with repeatable performance, and is the only implosion design to achieve a target gain exceeding one with < 2.04 MJ laser energy. Notably, this work was made possible because of recent advances in target quality and pulse shape control allowing experimental access to the ignition regime, and thereby increased sensitivity to adiabat. This work addresses a long-standing question in ICF research and lays the foundation for higher target gains through optimized implosion strategies. It underscores the potential of reduced adiabat designs to enhance compression and fusion yields for future ICF applications.

Hohenberger, M. [Lawrence Livermore National Labor↗

DOE OSTI2025

Efficient screening of rare large pit anomalies on polished surfaces using a minimalist sampling scheme

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has made significant strides in generating clean energy through its inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. These experiments rely on high-density carbon (HDC) coated shells to encapsulate the fusion fuel. The success of these experiments is heavily dependent on the surface quality of these shells, as even minor imperfections, such as deep pits, can negatively impact fusion yield. Ensuring the required smoothness involves an extensive surface-finishing process that spans approximately 20 stages, making it both time-intensive and resource-demanding. A critical challenge in this process is the need for high-resolution scans to detect rare deep pits, which can be costly and impractical if performed on every shell. This highlights the necessity of developing more efficient scanning methods to optimize time and cost without compromising accuracy. To address these challenges, we introduce a novel approach that employs the multivariate Dvoretzky–Kiefer–Wolfowitz (DKW) inequality to provide a probabilistic upper bound on the error in estimating pit distribution characteristics via a Kernel Density Estimator (KDE). This error bound enables efficient and reliable estimation of pit distribution characteristics at a specified statistical confidence level using a minimal number of surface scans. The integrated DKW-KDE approach was validated through surface-finishing experiments across two batches of HDC-coated shells, demonstrating consistent and robust performance across multiple stages of the surface-finishing experiments. The validation studies suggest that the integrated DKW-KDE approach achieves comparable accuracy in estimating the risk of deleterious large pits with six scans, thus conserving time and resources. Further evaluations show that performance remains consistent across batches and over multiple polishing stages. In conclusion, based on these findings, one can leverage the minimal-scan insights to strategically improve the bottleneck inspection process, thus enhancing the productivity and quality of shell polishing and similar challenging manufacturing processes.

Inertial confinement fusion↗

DOE OSTI2025

Particle balance of deuterium during deuterium shattered pellet injection shutdown in DIII-D

A particle balance analysis was conducted during a deuterium (D 2 ) shattered pellet injection-induced plasma shutdown on the DIII-D tokamak to determine why less than 20% of the pellet material is assimilated into the core plasma by the mid-current quench (CQ). Initially, most of the D 2 is injected as frozen shards and ionized upon entering the vessel. During the thermal quench, ionized particles move to the divertors and subsequently to the center post (CP) walls, where they rapidly recycle and partially accumulate as neutrals without assimilating into the core plasma. In contrast, the particle flux to the outer midplane walls is negligible, despite being accompanied by hot plasma with electron temperatures exceeding 100 eV. During mid-CQ, volume recombination effects, although not large enough to impact overall particle balance, were significant enough to require accounting for accurate interpretation of fast-framing camera D-alpha signals and the estimation of the CP wall particle flux. In addition, toroidal asymmetries, observed in measurements of toroidal electron density perturbations and the phase of magnetohydrodynamic modes, are present throughout the shutdown and can account for a discrepancy in the assimilation rate for up to 50% of the observed D 2 particle inventory. These sources and sinks of particles and fluxes were identified using absolutely calibrated D-alpha brightness and Langmuir probes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Advancing Tritium Self-Sufficiency in Fusion Power Plants: Insights from the BABY Experiment

Abstract In the pursuit of fusion power, achieving tritium self-sufficiency stands as a pivotal challenge.Tritium breeding within molten salts is a critical aspect of next-generation fusion reactors, yet experimental measurements of \gls{tbr} have remained elusive.Here we present the results of the \gls{baby} experiment, which represents a pioneering effort in tritium research by utilizing high-energy (\SI{14}{\mega\electronvolt}) neutron irradiation of molten salts, a departure from conventional low-energy neutron approaches. Using a small-scale (\SI{100}{\milli\litre}) molten salt tritium breeding setup, we not only simulated, but also directly measured a \gls{tbr} \textcolor{red}{(\num{3.57e-4})}. This innovative approach provides crucial experimental validation, offering insights unattainable through simulation alone.Moreover, our findings reveal a surprising outcome: tritium was predominantly collected as HT, contrary to the expected TF. This underscores the complexity of tritium behavior in molten salts, highlighting the need for further investigation.This work lays the foundation for a more sophisticated experimental setup, including increasing the volume of the breeder, enhancing neutron detection, and refining tritium collection systems.Such improvements are crucial for advancing our understanding of fusion reactor feasibility and paving the way for future experiments.

Delaporte-Mathurin, Rémi (ORCID:0000000310648882)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Distortions in charged-particle images of laser direct-drive inertial confinement fusion implosions

Energetic charged particles generated by inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions encode information about the spatial morphology of the hotspot and dense fuel during the time of peak fusion reactions. The knock-on deuteron imager (KoDI) was developed at the Omega Laser Facility to image these particles in order to diagnose low-mode asymmetries in the hotspot and dense fuel layer of cryogenic deuterium–tritium ICF implosions. However, the images collected are distorted in several ways that prevent reconstruction of the deuteron source. In this paper, we describe these distortions and a series of attempts to mitigate or compensate for them. We present several potential mechanisms for the distortions, including a new model for scattering of charged particles in filamentary electric or magnetic fields surrounding the implosion. Particle-tracing is used to create synthetic KoDI data based on the filamentary field model that reproduces the main experimentally observed image distortions. We conclude that the filamentary scattering model best matches the observed image distortions. Finally, we discuss potential impacts of filamentary fields on other charged-particle diagnostics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Need for a New LLNL Pulsed Sphere Neutron Leakage Spectra Series

Here, it is shown that spectra measured as part of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Pulsed Sphere (LPS) program offer decisive information to locate formatting or physics issues in nuclear data of key interest for fusion reactor simulations. However, experiments from this measurement series are not benchmarks. For instance, their uncertainties are incomplete. There are also many open questions—e.g., on the setup, the detector response, and whether LPS are accurately modeled—that cannot be answered anymore given the limited documentation and that many of the experimenters are no longer actively working. This limited knowledge has implications when one tries to adjust nuclear data to LPS spectra. Usually, one adjusts to benchmarks representing an application with the hope to get more precise nuclear data for the application of interest where differential data might be scarce and/or to reduce nuclear data uncertainties in the application simulations. However, it is demonstrated that adjustment with LPS spectra without accounting for missing uncertainties and modeling potential biases in the experimental data leads to adjusted data that are highly unphysical. That means adjusted data differ significantly from evaluated data based on information from differential experiments; also, application quantities predicted with the adjusted data deviate distinctly from experimental ones. While we can approximate our limited knowledge on these experiments with Gaussian processes in the adjustment process, this modeling of bias is arbitrary rather than based on a physics explanation, calling into doubt the validity of resulting adjusted data. Thus, we discuss here the need for a new measurement series, learning from the strengths and weaknesses of the LPS program, to yield decisive and well-benchmarked integral experiments to support fusion reactor research.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

AI foundation models for experimental fusion tasks

Artificial Intelligence (AI) foundation models, while successful in various domains of language, speech, and vision, have not been adopted in production for fusion energy experiments. This brief paper presents how AI foundation models can be used for fusion energy diagnostics, enabling, for example, visual automated logbooks to provide greater insights into chains of plasma events in a discharge, in time for between-shot analysis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗