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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty quantification for Bayesian active learning in rupture life prediction of ferritic steels

Abstract Three probabilistic methodologies are developed for predicting the long-term creep rupture life of 9–12 wt%Cr ferritic-martensitic steels using their chemical and processing parameters. The framework developed in this research strives to simultaneously make efficient inference along with associated risk, i.e., the uncertainty of estimation. The study highlights the limitations of applying probabilistic machine learning to model creep life and provides suggestions as to how this might be alleviated to make an efficient and accurate model with the evaluation of epistemic uncertainty of each prediction. Based on extensive experimentation, Gaussian Process Regression yielded more accurate inference ( $$Pearson\;correlation\;coefficent> 0.95$$ P e a r s o n c o r r e l a t i o n c o e f f i c e n t > 0.95 for the holdout test set) in addition to meaningful uncertainty estimate (i.e., coverage ranges from 94 to 98% for the test set) as compared to quantile regression and natural gradient boosting algorithm. Furthermore, the possibility of an active learning framework to iteratively explore the material space intelligently was demonstrated by simulating the experimental data collection process. This framework can be subsequently deployed to improve model performance or to explore new alloy domains with minimal experimental effort.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A comparison of surrogate constitutive models for viscoplastic creep simulation of HT-9 steel

Mechanistic microstructure-informed constitutive models for the mechanical response of polycrystals are a cornerstone of computational materials science. However, as these models become increasingly more complex – often involving coupled differential equations describing the effect of specific deformation modes – their associated computational costs can become prohibitive, particularly in optimization or uncertainty quantification tasks that require numerous model evaluations. To address this challenge, surrogate constitutive models that balance accuracy and computational efficiency are highly desirable. Data-driven surrogate models, that learn the constitutive relation directly from data, have emerged as a promising solution. In this work, we develop two local surrogate models for the viscoplastic response of a steel: a piecewise response surface method and a mixture of experts model. These surrogates are designed to adapt to complex material behavior, which may vary with material parameters or operating conditions. The surrogate constitutive models are applied to creep simulations of HT-9 steel, an alloy of considerable interest to the nuclear energy sector due to its high tolerance to radiation damage, using training data generated from viscoplastic self-consistent (VPSC) simulations. In conclusion, we define a set of test metrics to numerically assess the accuracy of our surrogate models for predicting viscoplastic material behavior, and show that the mixture of experts model outperforms the piecewise response surface method in terms of accuracy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uniaxial compressive creep tests by spark plasma sintering of 70% theoretical density α -uranium and U-10Zr

Metallic fuels hold numerous advantages over conventional uranium dioxide fuels and are a key component of several liquid metal-cooled advanced reactor concepts including sodium fast reactors. These fuels undergo rapid swelling during early burnup; consequently, they spend most of their reactor lifetime in a porous state. The presence of this porosity alters many of the mechanical properties of the fuel including creep impacting fuel deformation during axial swelling. This work investigates the creep behavior of the porous fuel using a spark plasma sintering technique. Creep tests were performed for the first time on porous α-phase uranium and uranium with 10 wt. % zirconium (U-10Zr) samples. The samples of α-phase uranium and U-10Zr were fabricated from depleted uranium by spark plasma sintering and subjected to uniaxial compressive creep testing. Calculated stress exponents were found to be 2.6±1.6 and 5.7±1.4 for α-U and U-10Zr, respectively, and calculated activation energies were found to be 61.6±1.1kJ/mol for α-U. The creep data were also used to evaluate existing porosity inclusive in creep models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Post-closure Nuclear Criticality Safety Evaluations for Disposition of Criticality Control Overpacks at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) is a geological repository in southern New Mexico that provides for disposal of transuranic (TRU) wastes from atomic energy defense activities. The Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) Report, Consideration of Nuclear Criticality When Disposing of Transuranic Waste at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant, addresses nuclear criticality safety based on the projected inventory characteristics for the initial compliance certification application of WIPP in 1996. As the inventory, waste forms, and disposal package designs change, revised or new analyses are necessary to demonstrate acceptability for these configurations within the WIPP safety basis and compliance with 10,000-year post-closure standards of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Saylor and Scaglione evaluated criticality control overpacks (CCOs) in 2017 based on conservative assumptions for post-closure repository structural conditions with resulting effects on containers and container spacing, The Saylor and Scaglione evaluation of CCOs addressed a single waste configuration that represents the Surplus Plutonium Disposition Program’s dilute and dispose waste form and composition. This initial CCO study demonstrated that 50 grams of boron carbide (B 4 C) per CCO is sufficient to ensure post-closure criticality safety based on a well-mixed waste composition, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) subsequently determined that this amount of B 4 C does not require constraints on moisture or plastic present as moderator. The Saylor and Scaglione analysis conservatively assumes repository room closure that eliminates all space between fissile gram equivalent (FGE) 239 Pu masses. The close-packed array was selected based on limited availability of repository salt creep modeling results at that time. In 2019, Brickner provided additional evaluations for pipe overpack containers (POCs), building on the conservative basis provided by Saylor and Scaglione. Brickner’s 2019 analysis made use of new geomechanical data for post-closure spacing that rely on advances in repository modeling as documented in the work by Reedlunn and Bean. This current CCO evaluation for generic waste materials expands on earlier work performed at ORNL and includes evaluation of CCOs across a much broader range of possible waste compositions and geometries. This evaluation is intended to provide input for the required feature, event and process (FEP) screening to determine if post-closure criticality must be included as an event in the 10,000-year regulatory evaluation. As such, the approach to modeling post-closure criticality presented in this report has been coordinated with the Sandia team responsible for FEP screening. The resulting analysis supports disposition of fissile materials in the CCO containing up to 380 FGE 239 Pu and expands conditions acceptable for disposal of fissile material in CCOs. This evaluation builds on the methodology of Saylor and Scaglione and Brickner, using the most recently available geomechanical data for CCO spacing under salt creep compaction scenarios provided by Reedlunn and Bean. The broad range of fissile material configurations analyzed in this report are intended to account for configurations that may occur during the post-closure disposal time period, and it also includes waste configurations that are not physically possible to support analysis of conditions that influence neutron fluence.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ultrahigh temperature in situ transmission electron microscopy based bicrystal coble creep in Zirconia II: Interfacial thermodynamics and transport mechanisms

This work uses a combination of stress dependent single grain boundary Coble creep and zero-creep experiments to measure interfacial energies, along with grain boundary point defect formation and migration volumes in cubic ZrO 2 . These data, along with interfacial diffusivities measured in a companion paper are then applied to analyzing two-particle sintering. The analysis presented here indicates that the large activation volume, v * = v f + v m primarily derives from a large migration volume and suggests that the grain boundary rate limiting defects are delocalized, possibly due to electrostatic interactions between charge compensating defects. The discrete nature of the sintering and creep process observed in the small-scale experiments supports the hypothesis that grain boundary dislocations serve as sources and sinks for grain boundary point defects and facilitate strain during sintering and Coble creep. Model two-particle sintering experiments demonstrate that initial-stage densification follows interface reaction rate-limited kinetics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

BISON validation to in situ cladding burst test and high-burnup LOCA experiments

The process for developing and qualifying nuclear fuels for commercial nuclear application requires fundamental material development, characterization, and design; out-of-pile testing on unirradiated materials; integral fuel rod irradiations, testing, and postirradiation examinations; and transient analyses. The historical approach depends on the generation of large empirical datasets and series of integral fuel rod irradiations, and this approach ultimately takes ~20 years—or sometimes longer—to acquire data through extensive sequential testing. Thus, the qualification and eventual deployment of new fuel systems constitute a long process. However, recent technological advancements have provided researchers the opportunity to perform out-of-cell, in situ measurements to assess material performance for the duration of the experiment. One such example of this capability is the use of digital image coordination and thermal imaging to assess Zircaloy cladding performance under a simulated loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) transient condition. In situ measurements generally provide high-fidelity strain, strain rates, and temperature surface maps. This is critical for the US nuclear industry, which is actively developing a technical basis to support extending the peak rod average burnup from 62 to ~75 GWd/tU and the deployment of accident-tolerant fuel. However, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) outlined in its research information letter several technical issues that the industry must address before extending burnup. One topic of specific interest is understanding the cladding balloon and rupture geometry during the LOCA heat-up phase. By leveraging these advanced in situ capabilities, this work used in situ data generated from a simulated LOCA to better understand high-temperature creep and its effect on Zircaloy balloon and rupture performance. Here, this work used the BISON fuel performance code to assess the high-temperature creep model predictions with in situ data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

BISON Validation to In-Situ Cladding Burst Test and High Burnup LOCA Experiments

The process to develop and qualify nuclear fuels for commercial nuclear application requires fundamental material development, characterization, and design; out-of-pile testing on unirradiated materials; integral fuel rod irradiations, testing, and post irradiation examinations (PIEs); and transient analyses. The historical approach depends on the generation of large empirical datasets and series of integral fuel rod irradiations, and this approach ultimately takes approximately 20 years—or sometimes longer—to acquire data through extensive sequential testing. Thus, the qualification and eventual deployment of new fuel systems constitute a long and drawn-out process. However, recent technological advancements have provided researchers the opportunity to perform out-of-cell, in-situ measurements to assess material performance for the duration of the experiment. One such example of this capability is the use of digital image coordination and thermal imaging to assess Zircaloy cladding performance under a simulated loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) transient condition. In general, the in-situ measurements provide high-fidelity strain, strain rates, and temperature surface maps. This is critical for the United States nuclear industry, which is actively developing a technical basis to support extending the peak rod average burnup from 62 to ~75 GWd/tU and the deployment of accident-tolerant fuel. However, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, through their research information letter, outlined a number of technical issues for the industry to address before extending burnup. One topic of specific interest is understanding the cladding balloon and rupture geometry during the LOCA heatup phase. Leveraging these advanced in-situ capabilities, this work intends to use insitu data generated from a simulated LOCA in the Severe Accident Test Station at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to better understand high-temperature creep and its impact on Zircaloy balloon and rupture performance. This work used the BISON fuel performance code to compare BISON’s high-temperature creep model predictions to in-situ data and identify limitations and gaps within the model. Additionally, BISON will subsequently be used to simulate relevant high-burnup LOCA tests. The results will be analyzed and compared to the available post-test data in a manner consistent with the approach outlined in the Nuclear Regulatory Commission research information letter.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing the Impact of Molten Halide Salts on Creep of Structural Alloys at 650°-750°C

There is a critical lack of data on the mechanical behavior of candidate structural materials for advanced nuclear reactors under molten halide salt environments. Limited legacy data from the molten salt reactor experiment (MSRE) program showed a significant reduction in creep rupture strength of a Ni-base alloy in molten fluoride salt. With ongoing efforts to commercialize different molten salt reactor concepts, the industry can considerably benefit from quantitative information on the impact of molten halide salts on the engineering properties such as creep and fatigue strength of materials of interest. The present work aims to assess the role of molten salt corrosion on the creep behavior of three alloys 316H, 617 and 282 at 650-816 °C. Creep tests were conducted in fluoride (FLiNaK) and chloride (NaCl-MgCl2) salts. Initial results from the ongoing testing will be presented which suggest that the molten salt environment caused a 25-50% reduction in creep rupture lifetime compared to air exposures. Physics-based corrosion and creep models were employed to gain some insights into the potential degradation mechanisms.

Pillai, Rishi↗
DOE OSTI2022

Physics-based model of irradiation creep for ferritic materials under fusion energy operation conditions

Irradiation creep is known to be an important process for structural materials in nuclear environments, potentially leading to creep failure at temperatures where thermal creep is generally negligible. While there is a great deal of data for irradiation creep in steels and zirconium alloys in light water reactor conditions, much less is known for first wall materials under fusion energy conditions. Lacking suitable fusion neutron sources for detailed experimentation, modeling, and simulation can help bridge the dose-rate and spectral-effects gap and produce quantifiable expectations for creep deformation of first wall materials under standard fusion conditions. In this paper, we develop a comprehensive model for irradiation creep created from merging a crystal plasticity representation of the dislocation microstructure and a defect evolution simulator that accounts for the entire cluster dimensionality space. Both approaches are linked by way of a climb velocity that captures dislocation-biased defect absorption and a dislocation strengthening term that reflects the accumulation of defect clusters in the system. Here, we carry out our study in Fe under first wall fusion reactor conditions, characterized by a fusion neutron spectrum with average recoil energies of 20 keV and a damage dose rate of ≈3×10 –7 dpa/s at temperatures between 300 and 800 K.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multiobjective Constrained Symbolic Regression for Predictive Modeling of Material Creep Behavior

When creep testing is repeated on samples of the same alloy under the same parametric conditions (i.e., stress and temperature), the resulting strain/time curves can vary from each other considerably as shown in Figure 1 [1]. The time required to creep test a material to rupture can extend to the order of years. Because of this, a numerical model that can quickly analyze the incomplete results of an ongoing experiment to predict 1) the incomplete portion of the strain/time curve leading up to the rupture point and 2) the rupture point itself would be of great utility to the materials community. Such a model has the potential to save 1) the time required to finish running the experiment to rupture 2) the associated monetary cost of finishing said experiment. Furthermore, it would be advantageous if the predictive model could give a parametric function modeling strain/time curves for material scientists to investigate the impact of the temperature and stress parameters on the resulting creep behavior. This work introduces a piecewise symbolic regression algorithm to predict the remainder of the strain/time curve. Preliminary results show good model performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

A model of thermal creep and annealing in finite domains based on coupled dislocation climb and vacancy diffusion

Here, we develop a framework to investigate thermal creep and annealing in finite domains, where the climb motion of discrete dislocations is coupled to the diffusion of a continuum vacancy field. The model is first formulated in a continuum finite-deformation setting. All governing equations and boundary conditions are obtained from a unified irreversible thermodynamics principle. The resulting model couples a mechanical boundary value problem (BVP), a vacancy diffusion BVP, and the climb and glide motion of the discrete dislocation network within the crystal. The framework is then linearized for implementation in three-dimensional (3D) discrete dislocation dynamics (DDD) simulations for arbitrary anisotropic crystals. A solution scheme is developed based on the superposition principle, which is imposed weakly on the dislocation network to obtain a Galerkin solution for the nodal climb velocities. The framework includes diffusional (Nabarro–Herring) creep deformation as well as dislocation creep by climb-assisted-glide. The method is applied to simulate the annealing of vacancy loops in Al, with good agreement to experimental measurements by Silcox and Hirsch. We further consider the effects of annealing under stress, and of the proximity of the vacancy loops to loaded and free boundaries Simulations in polycrystalline materials are carried out to highlight the effects of the grain size on dislocation climb and vacancy loop annealing. The method is also applied to estimate the creep rate due to climb-assisted glide of jogged-screw dislocations in γ-TiAl, and results are compared to experiments by Viswanathan et al. Finally, we discuss the effects of uniaxial and hydrostatic stresses on the two diffusive deformation pathways of the material, namely Nabarro–Herring creep and dislocation climb.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Microscale Mechanical‐Chemical Modeling of Granular Salt: Insights for Creep

Abstract Microscale numerical modeling is potentially an effective approach for understanding salt creep, but it is quite challenging because natural salt grain boundaries can have complex and evolving geometry, and because contacts between these deformable salt mineral grains are dynamic as a result of compaction, chemical reaction, fluid flow, and heat transfer. In this study, we have overcome these challenges and developed a new microscale mechanical‐chemical (MC) model to analyze creep of salt at the microscale, accounting for coupled deformation, dynamic contacts, and chemical reaction in granular systems with realistic geometric representations. The MC model was realized by linking a new microscale mechanical code based on the numerical manifold method (NMM) to a reactive transport code named Crunch. We simulated the processes of reorganization of the salt grains, microfracturing, and pressure solution that contribute to creep at larger scales. Based on this first quantitative microscale model, we found that sharp corners of mineral grains can dominate the contact dynamics, microfracturing, and pressure solution when salt is compacted, thus governing the structural changes and porosity loss of the system. We found that pressure solution, which preferentially dissolves sharp corners and edges, can lead to relatively high porosity loss in the system, thus playing an important role in the creep of salt. Our analysis shows that the dynamic changes of salt granular systems involving grain relocation and pressure solution can occur repeatedly and continuously, thus contributing to longer‐term creep of salt at larger scales.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Microstructural Model for Creep-Fatigue Interaction in Grade 91 Steel

This report describes the completion of a crystal plasticity finite element simulation framework for creep-fatigue deformation and damage in Grade 91 steel. In addition to a description of the framework and a set of verification calculations, the report details an initial set of simulations applying the framework to examine low cycle fatigue and creep-fatigue interaction in Grade 91 at 600° C. Grade 91 is a likely material for future advanced microreactors and creep-fatigue will be a limiting structural damage mechanism, particularly for mobile reactors or load following systems. The framework described here could provide a better understanding of creep-fatigue damage mechanisms and directly examine creep, fatigue, and creep-fatigue interaction for Grade 91 at realistic component service conditions. This in turn could lead to improved design methods and component life estimation approaches, leading to more efficient and economical component designs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Compare Mechanistic Predictions for Doped UO 2 Mechanical Response and Other Properties with Empirical Models and Experimental Measurements

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program develops predictive capabilities using computational methods for the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel cycle systems. This program has been supporting the development of BISON, a high-fidelity, high resolution fuel performance tool at the engineering scale. As part of its development, additional modeling capabilities and improvements have been developed for relevant fuel forms. In this work, a fuel creep deformation model for Cr-doped fuel has been implemented into BISON, along with improvements to the empirical UO 2 fuel creep model based on experimental data and improvements to the radial power factor calculation for doped fuels. This work allows for more accurate simulation analyses for both UO 2 and doped-UO 2 fuels.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Surrogate Model Integration with MOOSE XFEM for Creep Crack Growth

Ferritic-martensitic steels are key structural materials for advanced reactors but experience time-dependent deformation and damage under prolonged high temperature and irradiation, leading to creep-driven crack initiation and growth. High-fidelity models—crystal plasticity with irradiation mechanisms, phase-field for microstructural evolution, and continuum-damage viscoplasticity—capture the underlying physics but are too computationally intensive for broad design-space exploration and uncertainty quantification. This milestone advances a scalable alternative by integrating a microstructure-sensitive surrogate creep model into the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) finite element framework and extending it to fracture via the extended finite element method (XFEM). The surrogate model, developed with collaborators at Sandia and Los Alamos National Laboratories, maps relevant microstructural descriptors to the viscoplastic response of HT9. We embed this surrogate within a coupled deformation-damage workflow in MOOSE/XFEM to simulate creep-driven crack initiation and propagation. Implementation enhancements include updates to the material interface, a plastic correction phase involving microstructure evolution, and fracture criteria to ensure numerical robustness and compatibility with the surrogate structure. Demonstrations on canonical creep benchmarks spanning uniaxial and multiaxial states show that the surrogate reproduces key trends of high-fidelity models while substantially reducing computational cost. The resulting capability bridges physics fidelity and performance, providing a practical path to a predictive, microstructure-aware assessment of creep and fracture in reactor materials.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗