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At least 73 records · Page 4

Recent Developments in DAO's Finite-Volume Data Assimilation System

The Physical-space/Finite-volume Data Assimilation System (fvDAS) is the next generation global atmospheric data assimilation system in development at the Data Assimilation Office at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. It is based on a new finite-volume general circulation model jointly developed by NASA and NCAR and on the Physical-Space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS) developed at the DAO. The data assimilation method implemented in CODAS incorporates a simplified version of the model bias estimation and correction algorithm, as described by Dee and da Silva (1998). In this talk we will briefly describe the general system formulation, and focus on the impact of 3 data types recently introduced, namely: 1) cloud tracks winds from the Multi-angle Imaging Spectrometer by the US Air Force, and 3) temperature and moisture information derived from GPS refractivity occultation measurements. The impact of these data types on observation-minus-6hr forecast (O-F) statistics, as well as 5-day forecast skills will be discussed. In addition we will assess the impact of cloud assimilation on top of the atmosphere radiation fields estimated from CERES measurements.

daSilva, Arlindo↗

The Influence of Shallow Cloud Populations on Transitions to Deep Convection in the Amazon

Abstract In this study, a pair of convection-permitting (2-km grid spacing), month-long, wet-season Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model simulations with and without the eddy-diffusivity mass-flux (EDMF) scheme are performed for a portion of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon) 2014/15 field campaign period. EDMF produces an ensemble of subgrid-scale convective plumes that evolve in response to the boundary layer meteorological conditions and can develop into shallow clouds. The objective of this study is to determine how different treatments of shallow cumulus clouds (i.e., with and without EDMF) impact the total cloud population and precipitation across the Amazonian rain forest, with emphasis on impacts on the likelihood of shallow-to-deep convection transitions. Results indicate that the large-scale synoptic conditions in the EDMF and control simulations are nearly identical; however, on the local scale their rainfall patterns diverge drastically and the biases decrease in EDMF. The EDMF scheme significantly increases the frequency of shallow clouds, but the frequencies of deep clouds are similar between the simulations. Deep convective clouds are tracked using a cloud-tracking algorithm to examine the impact of shallow cumulus on the surrounding ambient environment where deep convective clouds initiate. Results suggest that a rapid increase of low-level cloudiness acts to cool and moisten the low to midtroposphere during the day, favoring the transition to deep convection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Sea Breezes and Associated Convective Cloud Evolution in the Model Gray Zone

We characterize convective clouds associated with sea‐breeze circulations (SBC) using multi‐agency observations and multi‐case ensemble model simulations. The focus is on assessing convective cloud lifecycle properties and their merging behavior, as well as the environmental conditions they are embedded in, particularly SBC features. In total, 46 SBC days over the Houston‐Galveston region are selected and simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model at a gray zone scale with a forecast‐like parameterization setup. Advanced techniques, including change‐point detection, a Lagrangian cloud tracking method, and a newly developed cell merging and splitting detection algorithm, are applied and/or developed for this study. Our findings indicate that the WRF model at 1 km grid spacing well represents the thermodynamic conditions over the region, as well as SBC timing and intensity. However, for the associated convective cells, WRF overestimates the 30‐dBZ echo top height, cell area, and maximum radar reflectivity compared to radar observations. This overestimation is potentially due to under‐resolved entrainment processes, an overestimated merging frequency, and the overestimation of updraft intensity. Furthermore, the model exhibits a deficiency in simulating congestus clouds, showing a more rapid transition from shallow to deep convection compared to observed behavior. Moreover, observations indicate stronger, deeper, and wider clouds when merging happens. Conversely, in simulations, the merging process does not necessarily lead to higher or longer‐lived cells, as many cases experience rapid and frequent merging and splitting which may result in more variance in convective updraft velocity during the convection lifetime.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Preparing for Europa Clipper Jupiter Observations: Multi-Wavelength Zonal Winds During the New Horizons and Cassini Flybys

We present Jovian zonal wind speeds measured during the Cassini and New Horizons Jupiter flybys in 2000 and 2007, respectively. We performed our cloud tracking wind measurements using an automated, two-dimensional correlation imaging velocimetry technique. We analyzed all LORRI panchromatic images from the New Horizons Jupiter flyby dataset. This LORRI measurement documents the state of Jupiter’s zonal mean wind speed in 2007 and extends the historical record of Jupiter’s winds. Among the Cassini ISS images, we processed the CL1CL2, CB2, UV3, BL1, BL2, GRN, RED, IR1, IR2, IR3, IR4, MT2, and MT3 filters. Our Cassini measurements provide valuable context to understand the altitudes probed by LORRI. Comparing the panchromatic LORRI measurements against past wind measurements using images captured with various narrow and wide-band camera filters is not straightforward. Because the Cassini ISS CL1CL2 “clear” filter’s performance is similar to that of LORRI, comparing CL1CL2 winds against LORRI results will help determine if the New Horizons measurements represent Jupiter’s cloud-top zonal wind speeds or if they are sensitive to different altitudes. In addition to placing our New Horizons measurements in altitudinal context, the Cassini ISS's IR4, IR2, RED, GRN, and BL1 filters are similar to those on Europa Clipper EIS camera. Wind measurements performed using those ISS filters will enable comparison to future missions, including anticipated observations to be taken by Europa Clipper

Jupiter↗

Fast Track to the Cloud: Design Patterns for 12-Factor Earth Sciences Applications

As expanding service offerings and decreasing prices make the cloud increasingly attractive to Earth Science applications, there are nontrivial practical considerations which can hinder its meaningful use. In this talk, we will discuss architectural recommendations and lessons learned while working on EOSDIS' cloud efforts, particularly the NASA-compliant General Application Platform (NGAP) and its associated applications. Prominent in our findings is the importance of 12-factor design patterns and the powerful "wins" they enable in the cloud. We will share our strategies for "fast-tracking" applications to the cloud --whether they be legacy, planned for the future, or somewhere in between.

cloud↗

Multi-Wavelength Comparison of Jupiter’s Zonal Winds During the New Horizons and Cassini Flybys

We present Jovian zonal wind speeds measured during the Cassini and New Horizons Jupiter flybys in 2000 and 2007, respectively. We performed our cloud tracking wind measurements using an automated, two-dimensional correlation imaging velocimetry technique. We analyzed all LORRI panchromatic images from the New Horizons Jupiter flyby dataset. This LORRI measurement documents the state of Jupiter’s zonal mean wind speed in 2007 and extends the historical record of Jupiter’s winds that serve as useful points of comparison for Juno observations. Among the Cassini ISS images, we analyzed the CL1CL2, CB2, UV3, BL1, BL2, GRN, RED, IR1, IR2, IR3, IR4, MT2, and MT3 filters. Our Cassini measurements provide valuable context to understand the altitudes probed by LORRI. Comparing the panchromatic LORRI measurements against past wind measurements using images captured with various narrow and wide-band camera filters is not straightforward. Because the Cassini ISS CL1CL2 “clear” filter’s performance is similar to that of LORRI, comparing CL1CL2 winds against LORRI results will help determine if the New Horizons measurements represent Jupiter’s cloud-top zonal wind speeds or if they are sensitive to different altitudes. In addition to placing our New Horizons measurements in altitudinal context, the Cassini ISS's IR4, IR2, RED, GRN, and BL1 filters are similar to those on Europa Clipper EIS camera. Wind measurements performed using those ISS filters will enable comparison to future missions, including anticipated observations to be taken by Europa Clipper.

Jupiter↗

Flow of the normal component of He-II about bluff objects observed with He$^*_2$ excimers

Flow of the normal fluid component of He II about a cylinder and flat plate in a channel with a square cross-section was observed by tracking clouds of He$^*_2$ excimers. Flow was produced using a lithographically patterned heater. The direction and speed of flow projected onto a plane parallel to the axis of the channel and perpendicular to the heater exhibited significant change with time even after the heater was turned off. Flow was recorded in movies. Excimers moved at least as fast as could be recorded by the camera. Velocity vector field maps of flow suggest formation of structures downstream of the cylinder object that are consistent with parts of eddies. Here, in this paper, we establish a foundation to observe normal component flow of a quantum fluid over centimeters.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Preliminary evaluation of Nimbus-6 sounding data

Preliminary results on Nimbus-6 moisture and temperature soundings are discussed. The satellite takes readings of cloud-tracked winds and temperatures (with vertical resolution) in microwave and IR (15 micron and 4 micron) channels. The data are compared with ground-based radiosonde data. Isotherm patterns and thickness patterns derived from satellite data and radiosonde data are compared, as well as data on precipitable water. Satellite soundings are found to present a realistic picture of thermal and moisture fields in the vicinity of large-scale disturbances, and can be useful in initialization for large-scale numerical prediction models when properly combined with data from other sources. Limitations in vertical resolution are noted.

Tracton, M. S.↗

Wind sets from SMS images - An assessment of quality for GATE

The paper analyzes the accuracy, representativeness, and reproducibility of tracer winds in the 1974 GARP Atlantic Tropical Experiment whose data are used as ground truth. The tracer winds were generated by tracking clouds in SMS (Synchronous Meteorological Satellite) images. Data availability limits comparisons to satellite winds with ship winds at the surface and at 250 mb. Attention is focused on how accurately the cloud displacements can be measured and on the extent to which the cloud displacements represent the wind field. Operator errors in obtaining the cloud displacements are examined in a series of reproducibility tests and wind sets. Differences between proximate satellite and ship winds were all under 3 m/sec. Representativeness of cloud tracers for cumulus and cirrus level flow is found to be good within the accuracy of currently available ground truth data.

Suchman, D.↗

Interactive image processing for meteorological applications at NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

The paper reviews the development of the AOIPS (Atmospheric and Oceanographic Information Processing System) system for the interactive manipulation of meteorological satellite images. A block diagram of the system is presented; both software and hardware considerations are examined; and attention is given to the Image 100 processing system and to the interactive terminal. As a example the paper examines the functions of Metpak (the software package) which involve cloud tracking and wind vector generation.

Billingsley, J. B.↗

Meteorological data-processing package

METPAK, meteorological data-processing package of satellite data used to develop cloud-tracking maps, is given. Data can develop and enhance numerical prediction models for mesoscale phenomena and improve ability to detect and predict storms.

Billingsly, J. B.↗

The Viking results - The case for man on Mars

The Viking landers have provided a number of insights into the composition of the Martian atmosphere and soils (e.g. the high Ar-40/Ar-36 ratio in the atmosphere, and the very low level of organic molecules in the Martian soil). However, a manned mission to Mars could yield much needed additional information on the planet. Seismic and electromagnetic sounding surveys, cloud tracking, drilling for permafrost, and the deduction of geologic field relationships are among the tasks for which a manned research endeavor is particularly suited. Rocket propellant synthesis and the production of food on Mars may be necessary to support such a manned mission.

Clark, B. C.↗

Weather and climate

Highlights of recent progress and the directions of future advances in the application of space observations to weather and climate are reviewed. In mesometeorology and severe storms, satellite stereography of cloud topography and temperature profiling from GOES-VAS promise dramatic developments in both nowcasting and prediction. In global weather, the initial results from the year long Global Weather Experiment conclusively demonstrate the enhanced forecast skill emanating from the use of satellite data, especially cloud track winds and temperature profiles. In climate, empirical studies and numerical experiments point to the feasibility of useful climate predictions on monthly and seasonal time scales. They also indicate the kinds of surface boundary conditions to which climate is sensitive and which need to be observed from space.

Atlas, D.↗

Interactive processing of SEASAT scatterometer data

The Man-computer Interactive Data Access System (McIDAS), adapted for the interactive processing of satellite-derived temperature soundings and cloud-track winds for the FGGE Special Effort, was adapted for the processing and evaluation of SEASAT data. The implementation of the McIDAS SEASAT processing system required (1) extensive modifications to the data base structure to store and display SASS winds, as well as corroborative level II data, model first guess fields and level III analyses, and (2) the development of software to dealias and analyze SASS wind vectors interactively.

Atlas, R.↗

Applications of the TIROS-N sounding and cloud motion wind enhancement for the FGGE 'special effort'

In January of 1978, a panel of experts recommended that a 'special effort' be made to enhance and edit satellite soundings and cloud tracked winds in data sparse regions. It was felt that these activities would be necessary to obtain maximum benefits from an evaluation of satellite data during the Global Weather Experiment (FGGE). The 'special effort' is being conducted for the two special observing periods of FGGE. More than sixty cases have been selected for enhancement on the basis of meteorological interest. These cases include situations of blocking, cutoff low development, cyclogenesis, and tropical circulations. The sounding data enhancement process consists of supplementing the operational satellite sounding data set with higher resolution soundings in meteorologically active regions, and with new soundings where data voids or soundings of questionable quality exist.

Atlas, R.↗

Preliminary results of an assessment of FGGE 'special effort' data and its impact on GLAS model analyses and forecasts

Attempts to improve the handling of satellite temperature and cloud-derived data during the FGGE experiment are compared with results gained during the trials. The satellite data were edited by assigning quality indicators to temperature soundings by means of the IR TV camera on the Tiros-N spacecraft, and to cloud-tracked wind data from GEO satellites. The data quality were assayed on the basis of horizontal, vertical, and temporal consistency of observed synoptic conditions. The data interpreter-operator retrieved all available data for an area, determined which regions were data-sparse, then used data-rich areas nearby to supply smoothed gradients into the zones with insufficient data. Results are presented for measurements taken during Jan.-Feb., and May 1979 over Alaska. It was found that enhanced and operational IR soundings were mostly equivalent. Some improvements were implemented in the 1000-300 mb layer thickness and intensification of atmospheric thermal gradients. Interactive processing was concluded to be an aid to processing Tiros-N data. The data-improvements treatment was found to significantly modify large scale analyses.

Atlas, R.↗

Forecasting tropical cyclone recurvature with upper tropospheric winds

Data from 17 tropical cyclones during the 1974 through 1979 hurricane seasons are used to investigate whether the high level winds far to the northwest, north and northeast of the hurricane center can be used to predict hurricane track recurvature. When the man 200-mb winds 1500 to 2000 km northwest and north of the storm center equal or exceed 20 m/s, 80 per cent of the storms recurved before traveling as much as 12 degrees of longitude farther west. The high winds were also used to predict change in direction of forward motion during the next 72 hours. The regression equations developed explain up to 41 per cent of the variance in future direction. In addition to the geostrophic winds used, winds were also obtained by tracking clouds with successive satellite imagery. The u-components of the satellite winds are highly correlated with the geostrophic winds at 200-mb and could probably be used instead of them when available. The v-components are less highly correlated.

Gentry, R. C.↗