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At least 73 records · Page 4

COVID-19–Related School Closures, United States, July 27, 2020–June 30, 2022

As part of a multiyear project that monitored illness-related school closures, we conducted systematic daily online searches during July 27, 2020–June 30, 2022, to identify public announcements of COVID-19–related school closures (COVID-SCs) in the United States lasting ≥1 day. We explored the temporospatial patterns of COVID-SCs and analyzed associations between COVID-SCs and national COVID-19 surveillance data. COVID-SCs reflected national surveillance data: correlation was highest between COVID-SCs and both new PCR test positivity (correlation coefficient [r] = 0.73, 95% CI 0.56–0.84) and new cases (r = 0.72, 95% CI 0.54–0.83) during 2020–21 and with hospitalization rates among all ages (r = 0.81, 95% CI 0.67–0.89) during 2021–22. The numbers of reactive COVID-SCs during 2020–21 and 2021–22 greatly exceeded previously observed numbers of illness-related reactive school closures in the United States, notably being nearly 5-fold greater than reactive closures observed during the 2009 influenza (H1N1) pandemic.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Scientific machine learning for closure models in multiscale problems: A review

Here, closure problems are omnipresent when simulating multiscale systems, where some quantities and processes cannot be fully prescribed despite their effects on the simulation's accuracy. Recently, scientific machine learning approaches have been proposed as a way to tackle the closure problem, combining traditional (physics-based) modeling with data-driven (machine-learned) techniques, typically through enriching differential equations with neural networks. This paper reviews the different reduced model forms, distinguished by the degree to which they include known physics, and the different objectives of a priori and a posteriori learning. The importance of adhering to physical laws (such as symmetries and conservation laws) in choosing the reduced model form and choosing the learning method is discussed. The effect of spatial and temporal discretization and recent trends toward discretization-invariant models are reviewed. In addition, we make the connections between closure problems and several other research disciplines: inverse problems, Mori-Zwanzig theory, and multi-fidelity methods. In conclusion, much progress has been made with scientific machine learning approaches for solving closure problems, but many challenges remain. In particular, the generalizability and interpretability of learned models is a major issue that needs to be addressed further.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fabrication and Testing of DOE Standard Canister Closure Leak Test Assembly

DOE manages over 300 types of SNF, most of which are located at the INL site. “Road-ready dry storage” is a management concept where SNF is packaged into dry, sealed canisters, which are then placed in on-site storage in anticipation of later removal. The Idaho Cleanup Project and INL are collaborating on the Road-Ready Capability Demonstration Project, which will develop and demonstrate the designs, technology, processes, and regulatory framework for packaging DOE SNF for road-ready dry storage. In support of establishing a large-scale road-ready dry storage program at the INL site, the demonstration will package a select amount of DOE-managed SNF into DOE Standard Canisters. The closure process for the DOE Standard Canisters will include fuel and basket loading, welding, inspection, leak testing, and if needed, repair. As a follow-up to previous discussion on the design of the DOE Closure Leak Test Assembly, this report describes recent fabrication and testing efforts performed at INL. DOE Standard Canisters are sealed by two sequential gas tungsten arc welds. Both are performed by remotely operated and semi-autonomous welding systems. The first weld is a circumferential pipe weld that completes assembly of the canister body and lid assembly. The second and final closure weld connects the vent plug to the vent port with an identical butt joint to the circumferential pipe weld. After the second weld is performed on the vent port, these welds are helium leak tested using an inside-out technique. In addition to the commercially available vacuum and leak detector systems, the DOE Standard Canister Closure Leak Test Assembly was designed for both remote and manual operation. This report describes fabrication and performance testing associated with the inside-out technique. INL staff designed and tested systems to accomplish these tasks. Hardware fabrication occurred at INL facilities. Forthcoming work includes design optimization, integration to existing systems, and implementation to packaging demonstration operations.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Explosively Formed Helical Closure for Radioactive Material Packaging

Benefits • Allows for the creation of features in thin-walled metal parts that would otherwise be impossible or impractical to create. • Reduces margin of error during radioactive material package closure. • Increases efficiency of package closure and opening. Applications and Industries • The tooling and method could be used to create closures for any industrial application. There may be use for the geometry produced by the tooling and method that is outside of closures.

Timmons, Darren↗

Development of a Helical Closure for Radioactive Material Shipping Packages

The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) Packaging Technology group proposed a closure design for the outer packaging of a prototype Type B shipping package being developed for the Department of Energy (DOE). The closure design provides an efficient means of securing the containment vessel (CV) within the radioactive material packaging. This design has a simplified operation, requires less components, and less maintenance when compared to current radioactive material package closure methods. This paper will review and discuss the materials, designs, processes, and testing activities that were considered and pursued in the development of the novel closure for the outer packaging of new radioactive material shipping packages.

Housley, William M. [Savannah River National Labor↗

Comprehensive framework for data-driven model form discovery of the closure laws in thermal-hydraulics codes

The two-phase two-fluid model is a basis of many thermal-hydraulics codes used in design, licensing, and safety considerations of nuclear power plants. Thermal-hydraulics codes rely on the closure laws to close the system of conservation equations and describe the interactions between phases. These laws, derived from years of experimental investigations, are semi-empirical correlations that lack generality and have a limited range of applicability. Increase of computational power, availability of new experiments, and development of high-fidelity simulations has increased the number of validation data. The discrepancies between the code predictions and the validation data are a great source of knowledge. Missing physics that are not included in the model but are important for the considered phenomena can be discovered by propagating the information from the experimental results through the model. Furthermore, physics-discovered data-driven model form (P3DM) methodology integrates available integral effect tests and separate effects tests to determine the necessary corrections to the model form of the closure laws. In contrast to existing calibration techniques, the methodology modifies the functional form of the closure laws. Based on the functional form of the correction, the missing physics that were not included in the original model can be discovered. The methodology provides the alternative to the machine learning approach, in which the model is discovered in the form of the intractable black-box relation. In this work, the methodology was applied to the CTF subchannel code to improve the prediction of the two-phase flow phenomena.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Turbulence theories and statistical closure approaches

When discussing research in physics and in science more generally, it is common to ascribe equal importance to the three components of the scientific trinity: theoretical, experimental, and computational studies. This review will explore the future of modern turbulence theory by tracing its history, which began in earnest with Kolmogorov’s 1941 analysis of turbulence cascade and inertial range [A.N. Kolmogorov, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 30, 299, (1941); 32, 19, (1941)]. The 80th Anniversary of Kolmogorov’s landmark study is a welcome opportunity to survey the achievements and evaluate the future of the theoretical approach of turbulence research. Over the years, turbulence theories have been critically important in laying the foundation of our understanding of the nature of turbulent flows. In particular, the Direct Interaction Approximation (DIA) [R.H. Kraichnan, J. Fluid Mech., 5, 497 (1959)] and its subsequent development, known as the statistical closure approach, can be identified as perhaps the most profound single advancement. The remarkable success of the statistical closure has furnished a platform to study such essential concepts as the energy transfer process and interacting scales, and the roles of the straining and sweeping motions. More recently, the quasi-Lagrangian formulation of V. L’vov & I. Procaccia and Kraichnan’s solvable passive scalar model provided powerful ways to explore another fundamental aspect of turbulent flows, the phenomena of intermittency, and the associated anomalous scaling exponents. In the meantime, the theory of fluid equilibria has been developed to describe the large-scale structures that can emerge from turbulent cascades of two-dimensional and geophysical flows at a later time. And yet, despite all these successes, analytical treatments suffer from mathematical complexities. As a result, the utility of theoretical approaches has been limited to relatively idealized flows. On the other hand, in recent decades, computational abilities and experimental facilities have reached an unprecedented scale. Looking beyond the horizon, the imminent deployment of exascale supercomputers will generate complete datasets of the entire flow field of key benchmark flows, allowing researchers to extract additional measurements concerning fully developed, complex turbulent flow fields far beyond those available from the statistical closure theories. Some other developments that could potentially influence the future course of turbulence theories include the advancement of machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data science; likely disruptions arising from the advent of quantum computation; and the increasingly prominent role of turbulence research in providing more accurate climate scientific data. Finally, turbulence theorists can leverage these developments by asking the right questions and developing advanced, sophisticated frameworks that will be able to predict and correlate vast amounts of data from the other two components of the trinity.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Cloud Condensation Nuclei Closure Study Using Airborne Measurements Over the Southern Great Plains

Abstract Airborne measurements of non‐refractory bulk aerosol chemical composition, aerosol size distributions, and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) were conducted onboard a research aircraft during the Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols and Land Ecosystems field campaign in the spring and summer of 2016. A CCN closure study for the entire campaign period was performed where measured CCN concentrations at 0.24% and 0.46% supersaturation were compared with the predicted CCN concentrations calculated using κ ‐Köhler theory, three different assumptions of aerosol mixing state, and various assumptions about hygroscopicity, density, and the insoluble fraction of organic particles. We found that the Closure Ratio (CR), calculated as the ratio of predicted to measured CCN concentrations, was equal to one under two different aerosol mixing state assumptions: (a) all particles are composed of 100% organic particles, and (b) particles are externally mixed and composed of pure sulfates, nitrates, and organic particles assuming hygroscopicity values for organic particles ( ) between 0.04 and 0.17. The use of internal mixing state assumption often led to overprediction of CCN concentrations but the agreement within ±20% with the measured CCN concentrations was observed under certain closure permutations. A similar agreement, that is, within ±20%, was also observed using permuted parameters concerning density (1 and 1.5 g cm −3 ) and an insoluble fraction (0% and 20%) of organic particles. These findings may provide constraints on to predict CCN concentrations at a remote continental Southern Great Plains site.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Scalar Flux Profiles in the Unstable Atmospheric Surface Layer Under the Influence of Large Eddies: Implications for Eddy Covariance Flux Measurements and the Non‐Closure Problem

How convective boundary-layer (CBL) processes modify fluxes of sensible (SH) and latent (LH) heat and CO 2 (F c ) in the atmospheric surface layer (ASL) remains a recalcitrant problem. Here, large eddy simulations for the CBL show that while SH in the ASL decreases linearly with height regardless of soil moisture conditions, LH and F c decrease linearly with height over wet soils but increase with height over dry soils. This varying flux divergence/convergence is regulated by changes in asymmetric flux transport between top-down and bottom-up processes. Such flux divergence and convergence indicate that turbulent fluxes measured in the ASL underestimate and overestimate the “true” surface interfacial fluxes, respectively. While the non-closure of the surface energy balance persists across all soil moisture states, it improves over drier soils due to overestimated LH. The non-closure does not imply that F c is always underestimated; F c can be overestimated over dry soils despite the non-closure issue.

Geology↗

Moment-Fourier approach to ion parallel fluid closures and transport for a toroidally confined plasma

A general method of solving the drift kinetic equation is developed for an axisymmetric magnetic field. Expanding a distribution function in general moments, a set of ordinary differential equations is obtained. Successively expanding the moments and magnetic-field involved quantities in Fourier series, a set of linear algebraic equations is obtained. The set of full (Maxwellian and non-Maxwellian) moment equations is solved to express the first-order density, temperature, and flow velocity in terms of radial gradients of the zeroth-order pressure and temperature. Closure relations that connect parallel heat flux density and viscosity to the radial gradients and parallel gradients of temperature and flow velocity are also obtained by solving the non-Maxwellian moment equations. The closure relations combined with the linearized fluid equations reproduce the same solution obtained directly from the full moment equations. Furthermore, the method can be generalized to derive closures and transport for an electron-ion plasma and a multi-ion plasma in a general magnetic field.

neoclassical transport↗

Closure and transport theory for plasmas with multiple ion species

This report summarizes a DOE-funded research project on closure and transport theory for plasmas with multiple ion species. The work developed accurate moment-based closure models across the full range of collisionality, incorporating both kinetic and collisional effects. Key contributions include high-fidelity closure relations, multi-temperature models, and transport coefficients applicable to fusion, space, and astrophysical plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 366: Area 11 Plutonium Valley Dispersion Sites, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada with ROTC 1

This Closure Report presents information supporting closure of Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 366, Area 11 Plutonium Valley Dispersion Sites, and provides documentation supporting the completed corrective actions and confirmation that closure objectives for CAU 366 were met. CAU 366 consists of the following six Corrective Action Sites (CASs), located in Area 11 of the Nevada National Security Site: • CAS 11-08-01, Contaminated Waste Dump #1 • CAS 11-08-02, Contaminated Waste Dump #2 • CAS 11-23-01, Radioactively Contaminated Area A • CAS 11-23-02, Radioactively Contaminated Area B • CAS 11-23-03, Radioactively Contaminated Area C • CAS 11-23-04, Radioactively Contaminated Area D

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Achievements and Ongoing Challenges for advanced CFD Boiling Closure Model Development using Physical Insights from Validation-Oriented High-Fidelity Boiling Experiment

The fundamental understanding of the boiling-associated heat transfer, including sliding bubble effect, is still challenging despite the intensive research for decades in both experimental and computational boiling research communities. One of the main difficulties of boiling experiment come from the fact that direct observation of the underlying principle through experiment is very difficult due to the high complexity of the boiling phenomenon. Also, since the heat transfer characteristics associated with boiling is the result of non-linear interaction of various physical parameters coupled to each other, it is challenging to find the relationship between the parameters for modeling. This paper discusses the authors’ past and ongoing boiling research under CASL (Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors) program, including the efforts to overcome the difficulties of boiling measurement and model development. In particular, we focus on describing the major achievements, lessons learnt, and ongoing challenges for the CFD boiling closure model development based on the high-fidelity subcooled flow boiling experiment at Texas A&M University (TAMU). The major research achievements discussed through this paper include (i) novel boiling measurement strategy and high-fidelity validation data production, (ii) dedicated effort to identify the critical measurement issues in boiling experiment, (iii) new physical insight into sliding bubble heat transfer mechanisms, and (iv) new boiling closure model development. Discussion is also made on the ongoing challenges for the boiling closure model development and the future research plan based on the lessons learnt.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling hydraulic fracture opening and closure with proppant transport and settlement

Hydraulic fracturing is a widely used reservoir stimulation technique for improving fluid circulation in rock formations with extremely low permeability, particularly in enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). To better understand the complex processes involved and improve hydraulic stimulation performance, we have developed ELK (ELectrical fracKing), a MOOSE-based 3D finite element application designed to model the behavior of proppant-fluid mixtures in propagating fractures. ELK integrates both the fluid and proppant components, incorporating particle-driven processes such as gravity settling, particle-particle interactions, and strong density and viscosity contracts, in addition to conventional fluid-driven fracture propagation. In this contribution, we extend ELK to model propped fracture closure, which occurs after the injection phase due to a dramatic drop in the effective stress on the fracture plane. During the shut-in, flowback, and production periods, the fracture width decreases, with the closure behavior depending on proppant concentration.. At low concentrations, closure follows a nonlinear joint law linked to the stiffness of asperities in the fracture walls. While at high concentrations, it is controlled by the properties of packed proppant bed. The extended ELK application is validated against several benchmark examples, including the propagation of an inclined frictional crack, fracture opening and sliding in response to fluid injection, and flowback analysis. We believe that ELK’s enhanced capabilities can serve as a valuable tool for the design and optimization of EGS deployment.

15 - GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Differentiable physics-enabled closure modeling for Burgers’ turbulence

Abstract Data-driven turbulence modeling is experiencing a surge in interest following algorithmic and hardware developments in the data sciences. We discuss an approach using the differentiable physics paradigm that combines known physics with machine learning to develop closure models for Burgers’ turbulence. We consider the one-dimensional Burgers system as a prototypical test problem for modeling the unresolved terms in advection-dominated turbulence problems. We train a series of models that incorporate varying degrees of physical assumptions on an a posteriori loss function to test the efficacy of models across a range of system parameters, including viscosity, time, and grid resolution. We find that constraining models with inductive biases in the form of partial differential equations that contain known physics or existing closure approaches produces highly data-efficient, accurate, and generalizable models, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines. Addition of structure in the form of physics information also brings a level of interpretability to the models, potentially offering a stepping stone to the future of closure modeling.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

High-precision Penning trap mass measurements of neutron-rich chlorine isotopes at the 𝑁 = 28 shell closure

Although it is known that the N = 28 spherical shell closure erodes, the strength of the closure with decreasing proton number Z < 20 is an open question in nuclear structure. Here, in this region of interest, high-precision mass measurements of neutron-rich 43-45 Cl isotopes were performed at the Low Energy Beam and Ion Trap (LEBIT) when coupled to the National Superconducting Cyclotron Lab. The resulting mass excesses (MEs) are ME(⁴³Cl) = -24114.4(1.7) keV, ME(⁴⁴Cl) = -20450.8(10.6) keV, and ME(⁴⁵Cl) = -18240.1(3.7) keV, and improve the uncertainty of these masses by up to a factor of ∼40 compared to the previous values reported in the 2020 Atomic Mass Evaluation. Comparison to ab initio calculations using the Valence-Space In-Medium Similarity Renormalization Group (VS-IMSRG) shows good agreement up to and including the closure.

Erington, H. [Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, ↗

MLUQ (Uncertainty quantification for ML closure models) [SWR-24-36]

Data-based closure models are increasingly being used to replace physic-based closure models because of their flexibility and the growing availability of data. However, closure models are subject to uncertainty because of lack of data in parts of the input space (epistemic uncertainty) or because of noise in the data (aleatoric uncertainty). This software contains a toolbox for training bayesian neural nets that can estimate both uncertainties. A specific treatment is provided to ensure accuracy outside of the data distribution. A set of tools are provided to reduce the dimensionality of the uncertain parameter space, thereby enabling fast uncertainty propagation.

Hassanaly, Malik↗