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At least 73 records · Page 4

The Influences of Neutron Irradiation on Aggregate Induced Degradation of Concrete

Reactor cavity concrete, the primary support structure for the reactor pressure vessel (RPV), is exposed to chronic neutron/gamma radiation during normal operation. During long term operation, the interaction of neutron irradiation with the concrete’s constituents may cause premature degradation of the concrete structure, as highlighted by a review of concrete properties in nuclear power plant environments. At high fluence levels, as in biological shielding, neutron irradiation may cause amorphization of the crystalline components of concrete, i.e., mineral aggregates, and volume changes, which are typically expansive in nature. Volume expansion can generate tensile stresses within concrete which can induce microcracking and/or result in debonding of aggregate with the matrix. On the other hand, structural disordering can result in changes in the stability of the phase in aqueous environments. This report presents the findings of investigations performed over 3 years through the collaboration of researchers from University of California, Los Angeles, Arizona State University, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The first part of the study addresses the effect of neutron irradiation on the durability of aggregates. Comparisons of aqueous dissolution rates, as a function of pH and temperature, were performed for aggregates that are either pristine (i.e., non-irradiated) or exposed to Ar+ ion irradiation at specified doses. These experimental results were coupled with molecular dynamics simulations of atomic scale changes in the crystallographic structure of the mineral and any resulting changes in physical properties (e.g., density) that result. The second section focuses on macroscopic effects of such changes in aggregate behavior in concrete degradation, primarily through changes in the concrete’s microstructure. Particularly, the effects akin to those originating from alkali-silica reaction (ASR) were evaluated. The project is structured to encompass 6 main tasks, as follows: Task 1: Selection of aggregates in relation to their abundance and mineralogy, and their irradiation Task 2: Molecular dynamics (MD): The effects of irradiation on the atomic disordering of aggregates Task 3: The influences of irradiation on aggregate reactivity Task 4: Reactive-transport simulation of expansive product formation in concrete microstructures Task 5: X-FEM-based modeling of damage evolution due to irradiation-induced aggregates reactions Task 6: Benchmarking, verification and validation of the simulation modules Thus, a rigorous understanding of irradiation-assisted mineral alterations was used to develop a mechanistic degradation model for concrete exposed to neutrons, while considering aspects of: chemical reaction (dissolution and precipitation), mass and ion transport, and damage evolutions. The models developed were embedded in a multi-physics aging code for nuclear components and structures called Grizzly, which allows for benchmarking, verification, and validation against expansion data acquired on concrete undergoing alkali-silica reaction, a physically/chemically equivalent form of degradation that develops in the absence of radiation. These findings provide insight into the sensitivities of minerals to irradiation, by highlighting characteristics of concretes and power plants subject to such risks. The research will aid the nuclear power industry to anticipate and mitigate such risks in light of second license renewals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Polarimetric Radar Scattering Properties of Oriented Aggregates

The scattering properties of aggregates are studied herein. Early aggregates (<7 monomers) of branched planar crystals and mature aggregates (up to 100 monomers) of columns are randomly generated with varying assumptions about the monomer attachment processes and the orientation behavior during collection. The resulting physical properties of the aggregates correspond well with prior in situ and retrieved sizes and shapes. Assumed azimuthally uniform orientations during collection and monomer pivoting upon attachment resulted in flatter and denser aggregates. The column aggregates had lower density and more spherical shapes than the branched planar crystal aggregates. The scattering properties were calculated using the discrete dipole approximation for a set of orientation angles and transformed to spectral coefficients representing modes of orientation angle variability. The zeroth- and second-order coefficients dominate this variability, with the zeroth-order coefficients representing the scattering properties for randomly oriented particles. The second-order coefficients for backscatter showed differences between horizontal and vertical polarization increasing with density, and these coefficients for specific differential phase increase with both mass and density. Similarly, coefficients for the copolar covariance decreased with density. Rapid changes in the contributions to the radar moments from the second-order coefficients from low to moderate density were observed, likely due to the increasing presence of horizontally aligned monomers in the aggregate structure. Differences in how differential reflectivity and correlation coefficient evolve with the orientation distribution parameters suggest that these measurements, along with specific differential phase and reflectivity, provide complementary information about aggregate sizes, shapes, and orientation distributions.

Cloud microphysics↗

Plasmon Dynamics Driven by Aggregation of Tris(2,2′-bipyridine)ruthenium(II)-Functionalized Gold Nanoparticles Probed by XANES and Transient Absorption Spectroscopy

Energy conversion dynamics is critical for advancing next-generation photovoltaics, optoelectronics, and light-harvesting technologies. Noble metal plasmonic nanoparticles play a pivotal role as nanoscale electromagnetic confinement structures, driving photon-induced chemical reactions. In this study, we explore the effects of [Ru(bpy) 3 ] 2+ functionalization and aggregation on citrate-capped gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) of 40 and 100 nm diameters, focusing on molecule-plasmon interactions and their influence on electronic and energy dissipation properties. X-ray absorption near-edge spectroscopy (XANES) revealed that [Ru(bpy) 3 ] 2+ functionalization induces controlled aggregation without altering the oxidation state of gold. A more pronounced white-line intensity is observed in 40 nm AuNPs, consistent with greater s–p–d hybridization and a higher density of surface states, likely influenced by both nanoparticle size and aggregation. Transient absorption (TA) spectroscopy highlights faster electron–phonon relaxation dynamics in aggregated 40 nm nanoparticles, which is attributed to increased electron delocalization and more efficient coupling to the phonon bath. In contrast, 100 nm nanoparticles exhibit minimal changes due to a lower degree of aggregation. Interestingly, we observe that enhanced electron–phonon coupling in aggregated nanoparticles coincides with a slowing of electron–electron scattering. These observations suggest a competitive interplay between the two relaxation pathways, where enhanced energy transfer to the lattice in aggregated systems can suppress electronic thermalization. In conclusion, these findings underscore the critical role of nanoparticle size, aggregation, and molecule–surface interactions in modulating plasmonic dynamics and excited-state lifetimes and further provide valuable insights into designing tailored plasmonic systems with transformative potential for sensing, catalysis, and energy conversion.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Venous levels of shear support neutrophil-platelet adhesion and neutrophil aggregation in blood via P-selectin and beta2-integrin

BACKGROUND: After activation, platelets adhere to neutrophils via P-selectin and beta2-integrin. The molecular mechanisms and adhesion events in whole blood exposed to venous levels of hydrodynamic shear in the absence of exogenous activation remain unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Whole blood was sheared at approximately 100 s(-1). The kinetics of neutrophil-platelet adhesion and neutrophil aggregation were measured in real time by flow cytometry. P-selectin was upregulated to the platelet surface in response to shear and was the primary factor mediating neutrophil-platelet adhesion. The extent of neutrophil aggregation increased linearly with platelet adhesion to neutrophils. Blocking either P-selectin, its glycoprotein ligand PSGL-1, or both simultaneously by preincubation with a monoclonal antibody resulted in equivalent inhibition of neutrophil-platelet adhesion (approximately 30%) and neutrophil aggregation (approximately 70%). The residual amount of neutrophil adhesion was blocked with anti-CD11b/CD18. Treatment of blood with prostacyclin analogue ZK36374, which raises cAMP levels in platelets, blocked P-selectin upregulation and neutrophil aggregation to baseline. Complete abrogation of platelet-neutrophil adhesion required both ZK36374 and anti-CD18. Electron microscopic observations of fixed blood specimens revealed that platelets augmented neutrophil aggregation both by forming bridges between neutrophils and through contact-mediated activation. CONCLUSIONS: The results are consistent with a model in which venous levels of shear support platelet adherence to neutrophils via P-selectin binding PSGL-1. This interaction alone is sufficient to mediate neutrophil aggregation. Abrogation of platelet adhesion and aggregation requires blocking Mac-1 in addition to PSGL-1 or P-selectin. The described mechanisms are likely of key importance in the pathogenesis and progression of thrombotic disorders that are exacerbated by leukocyte-platelet aggregation.

NASA Discipline Cell Biology↗

What Role Do Aggregators Play in Power System Security and Resilience? Preprint

Barriers to the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in wholesale electricity markets have limited the use of DERs for power system security and resilience. In September 2020, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved an order to reduce these barriers. FERC Order No. 2222 enables the participation of DER aggregators in wholesale electricity markets. DERs include renewable generation and technologies that support the integration of renewable generation by increasing grid flexibility and resilience. Requiring wholesale energy markets to allow DER aggregator participation provides a path for DERs to become competitive in these markets. As the contribution from aggregated DERs continues to increase, the aggregator's role in supporting grid security and resilience will become more critical. This paper reviews work that demonstrates how DER aggregators can provide resilience support through technical capabilities, operational strategies, and secure communication architectures. Socioeconomic influences and impacts of aggregators, including implications for social resilience, are presented. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to enhancing resilience in a power grid that includes a growing cohort of DER aggregators, but there are many options for aggregators to contribute to a more resilient and secure power grid.

aggregator↗

Tackling P3HT:Y‐Series Miscibility Through Advanced Processing for Tunable Aggregation

Abstract Polymer and small molecule blend thin films are of strong interest for organic electronics and particularly organic solar cells. The high miscibility in blends of ordinary P3HT and state‐of‐the‐art Y‐series non‐fullerene acceptors (NFAs) suppresses phase separation and aggregation challenging successful charge separation and transport. In a recent work, current‐induced doping (CID) is introduced, a method to precisely control the aggregation of Poly(3‐hexylthiophene) (P3HT) in solution. The highly ordered pre‐aggregation in solution is used here to control the P3HT aggregation in neat films and blends with Y12 (BTP‐4F‐12). This results in a 25‐fold increase in hole mobility in P3HT organic field‐effect transistor (OFET) devices and tunability of the P3HT aggregate quality in the presence of Y12 over large ranges. At the same time, particularly the Y12 long‐range ordering is heavily suppressed by increasing P3HT aggregation. However, solvent vapor annealing (SVA) leads to an extraordinarily high Y12 ordering, changes in the crystal orientation of Y12, and a further improvement of P3HT aggregation. A broad range of different degrees of aggregation of both materials can therefore be obtained in the final thin films solely by changing processing parameters without changing the composition of the material system.

Chemistry↗

Efficient Long-range, Directional Energy Transfer through DNA-Templated Dye Aggregates

The benzothiazole cyanine dye, K21, forms dye aggregates on double stranded DNA (dsDNA) templates. These aggregates exhibit a red-shifted absorption band, enhanced fluorescence emission and an increased fluorescence lifetime, all indicating strong excitonic coupling among the dye molecules. K21 aggregate formation on dsDNA is only weakly sequence dependent, providing a flexible approach that is adaptable to many different DNA nanostructures. Donor (D) – bridge (B) – Acceptor (A) complexes consisting of Alexa Fluor 350 as the donor, a 30 bp (9.7 nm) DNA templated K21 aggregate as the bridge and Alexa Fluor 555 as the acceptor show an overall donor to acceptor energy transfer efficiency of ~60%, with the loss of excitation energy being almost exclusively at the donor-bridge junction (63%). There was almost no excitation energy loss due to transfer through the aggregate bridge and the transfer efficiency from the aggregate to the acceptor was about 96%. By comparing the energy transfer in templated aggregates at several lengths up to 32 nm, the loss of energy per nanometer through the K21 aggregate bridge was determined to be <1%, suggesting that it should be possible to construct structures that use much longer energy transfer “wires” for light-harvesting applications in photonic systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

HJ-aggregates of donor–acceptor–donor oligomers and polymers

A vibronic exciton model is developed to account for the spectral signatures of HJ-aggregates of oligomers and polymers containing donor–acceptor–donor (DAD) repeat units. In (DAD) N π-stacks, J-aggregate-promoting intrachain interactions compete with H-aggregate promoting interchain interactions. The latter includes Coulombic coupling, which arises from “side-by-side” fragment transition dipole moments as well as intermolecular charge transfer (ICT), which is enhanced in geometries with substantial overlap between donors on one chain and acceptors on a neighboring chain. J-behavior is dominant in single (DAD)N chains with enhanced intrachain order as evidenced by an increased red-shift in the low-energy absorption band along with a heightened A 1 /A 2 peak ratio, where A 1 and A 2 are the oscillator strengths of the first two vibronic peaks in the progression sourced by the symmetric quinoidal–aromatic vibration. By contrast, the positive H-promoting interchain Coulomb interactions operative in aggregates cause the vibronic ratio to attenuate, similar to what has been established in H-aggregates of homopolymers such as P3HT. An attenuated A 1 /A 2 ratio can also be caused by H-promoting ICT which occurs when the electron and hole transfer integrals are out-of-phase. In this case, the A 1 peak is red-shifted, in contrast to conventional Kasha H-aggregates. With slight modifications, the ratio formula derived previously for P3HT aggregates is shown to apply to (DAD) N aggregates as well, allowing one to determine the effective free-exciton interchain coupling from the A 1 /A 2 ratio. Applications are made to polymers based on 2T-DPP-2T and 2T-BT-2T repeat units, where the importance of the admixture of the excited acceptor state in the lowest energy band is emphasized.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Oligomeric baroeffect and gas aggregation states

The baroeffect is analyzed to include a gas that aggregates into higher-order polymers or oligomers. The resulting pressure change is found to vary independently of the molecular weight of the gas components and to depend only on the aggregation or oligomeric order of the gas. With increasing aggregation, diffusive slip velocities are found to increase. The calculations are extended to include general counterdiffusion of two distinct aggregation states (k-, j-mer) for the gas, and the pressure change is derived as a function that is independent of both molecular weight and the absolute aggregation. The only parameter that determines the baroeffect is the ratio of aggregated states, beta = k/j. For gases that reversibly aggregate, possible oscillatory behavior and complex dynamics for pressure are discussed. Gas aggregation may play a role for low-temperature crystal-growth conditions in which vapor concentrations of one (or more) species are high.

Noever, David A.↗

DDA Computations of Porous Aggregates with Forsterite Crystals: Effects of Crystal Shape and Crystal Mass Fraction

Porous aggregate grains are commonly found in cometary dust samples and are needed to model cometary IR spectral energy distributions (SEDs). Models for thermal emissions from comets require two forms of silicates: amorphous and crystalline. The dominant crystal resonances observed in comet SEDs are from Forsterite (Mg2SiO4). The mass fractions that are crystalline span a large range from 0.0 < or = fcrystal < or = 0.74. Radial transport models that predict the enrichment of the outer disk (>25 AU at 1E6 yr) by inner disk materials (crystals) are challenged to yield the highend-range of cometary crystal mass fractions. However, in current thermal models, Forsterite crystals are not incorporated into larger aggregate grains but instead only are considered as discrete crystals. A complicating factor is that Forsterite crystals with rectangular shapes better fit the observed spectral resonances in wavelength (11.0-11.15 microns, 16, 19, 23.5, 27, and 33 microns), feature asymmetry and relative height (Lindley et al. 2013) than spherically or elliptically shaped crystals. We present DDA-DDSCAT computations of IR absorptivities (Qabs) of 3 micron-radii porous aggregates with 0.13 < or = fcrystal < or = 0.35 and with polyhedral-shaped Forsterite crystals. We can produce crystal resonances with similar appearance to the observed resonances of comet Hale- Bopp. Also, a lower mass fraction of crystals in aggregates can produce the same spectral contrast as a higher mass fraction of discrete crystals; the 11micron and 23 micron crystalline resonances appear amplified when crystals are incorporated into aggregates composed otherwise of spherically shaped amorphous Fe-Mg olivines and pyroxenes. We show that the optical properties of a porous aggregate is not linear combination of its monomers, so aggregates need to be computed. We discuss the consequence of lowering comet crystal mass fractions by modeling IR SEDs with aggregates with crystals, and the implications for radial transport models of our protoplanetary disk.

Crystal Shape and Crystal Mass Fraction↗

Simulating wind power forecast error distributions for spatially aggregated wind power plants

Dispersion and aggregation of wind power plants lower the uncertainty of wind power by reducing wind power forecasting errors. Using quantitative methods, this paper studies the dispersion's impact on the uncertainty of the aggregated wind power production. A method to simulate day-ahead forecast error distributions at different dispersion and forecasting skill scenarios is presented. The proposed method models the uncertainty of wind power forecasting on an annual basis and at different levels of production. As a result, the uncertainty in the forecasting of spatially dispersed wind power plants is modelled using two continuous distributions: Laplace and beta distribution. The analysis shows that even the production level uncertainty can be modelled in various dispersion and forecasting skill scenarios. The model for aggregated forecast error distributions requires only four variables: capacity-weighted distance of the total wind power plant fleet, mean of the site-specific mean absolute errors (MAEs), number of aggregated wind power plants, and the mean variability of the elevations from the proximities of the aggregated wind power plants. Here, the results are especially promising when the number of aggregated wind power plants exceeds five, the terrain complexity is low or moderate, and the aggregation region is large. This is demonstrated through a case study for Texas, United States.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Cation uptake by fine aggregate in hardened cement mortar and its effect on electrical properties

Electrical resistivity tests can be used to evaluate the transport properties of concrete and provide a durability assessment. However, the electrical resistivity is largely dependent on the pore solution composition and recent work suggests that some aggregates have the capacity for cation uptake. This study first aims to provide further evidence for adsorption of cations on aggregate surfaces, without formation of reaction products (e.g. alkali-silica reaction). Secondly, hardened mortar samples were prepared using a fine aggregate with a high alkali affinity and a non-reactive fine aggregate as a control. The electrical resistivity of mortars was measured, and the pore solution of these mortars was obtained through high-pressure extraction. The effect of aggregate moisture dilution on the pore solution was decoupled by using a pore partitioning model. The results indicate that aggregate minerology can influence the pore solution composition through cation uptake. Specific minerals of minor quantity, like biotite, may be responsible for cation exchange. While adsorbed cations strongly affected pore solution and formation factor measurement, the bulk resistivity measurements on hardened mortar were only marginally influenced. Research on other implications of similar aggregate interactions with pore solutions are an intriguing area for future research.

Alkali-aggregate reaction↗

Effects of γ-Irradiation, Cation Size, and Salt Concentration on the Aggregation of Boehmite Nanoplatelets

The effects of radiation on the aggregation of nanoplatelets of aluminum oxyhydroxide (boehmite) in slurries of M 1+ cation nitrates has been observed using tumbler small- and ultra-small-angle neutron scattering. Nitrate solutions of H, Li, Na, K, and Rb at concentrations of 10 -5 , 10 -3 , 10 -1 , 2, and 4 molal were compared to the results for pure H 2 O. Primary aggregates consisting of small stacks of boehmite platelets that form immediately after the boehmite is placed in water are smaller for irradiated boehmite than the pristine material. Here, the primary aggregates for irradiated boehmite also appear to have a rougher surface than those observed for unirradiated materials. Both results are possibly due to breaking of the surface OH species and a neutralization of the surface. At low salt concentrations, the pH of the irradiated boehmite slurries is lower than that of the corresponding pristine material indicating that irradiated boehmite adsorbs fewer protons or more hydroxide onto its surface than the pristine boehmite. Increasing the salt concentration decreases the pH to near neutral at 7 due to screening of the electric double layer at the solid/liquid interface. Irradiation does not seem to affect the size of secondary aggregates formed from the aggregation of primary aggregates or of the overall size of the primary aggregates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Investigating Lignin Aggregation and Interactions with Solvents during γ-Valerolactone (GVL) Pretreatment: A Combined Small Angle Neutron Scattering and Molecular Simulations Study

The strong tendency of lignin to aggregate in solution, coupled with limited understanding of how its molecular structure governs this behavior, hinders its effective utilization in biorefineries. Here, in this study, we investigated the solution behavior of lignin extracted from poplar using γ-valerolactone/water (GVL/H2O, 9:1 wt/wt) through combined small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Lignin samples obtained at 100 °C (L100) and 120 °C (L120) differed in β–O–4 content, hydroxyl distribution, and S/G ratio, enabling direct assessment of how molecular composition governs solvation and aggregation. SANS showed that L120 formed rigid and elongated cylindrical aggregates at 25 °C that transitioned to more flexible spheroidal structures by 50 °C and remained stable up to 80 °C, whereas L100 adopted globular aggregates that progressively collapsed with increasing temperature. MD simulations reinforced these observations by showing that S-rich (L120-like) oligomers had larger radii of gyration, stronger solvent coordination driven by methoxy groups, and fewer lignin–lignin contacts. In contrast, G-rich (L100-like) oligomers displayed persistent aggregation and lower solubility. Collectively, these results reveal that increased aromatic methoxylation enhances lignin–solvent interactions and suppresses self-association, whereas reduced methoxylation and higher β–O–4 content promote persistent aggregation into colloid-like structures with restricted solvent penetration into the aggregate interior.

biorefinery pretreatment↗

Visualizing the dynamics of soil aggregation as affected by arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi

Stable soils provide valuable ecosystem services and mechanical soil stability is enhanced by the presence of arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF). Soil aggregation, which is the major driver of mechanical soil stability, is often treated as a static phenomenon, even though aggregate turnover is continually ongoing. In fact, some breakdown of macroaggregates is necessary to allow new aggregate formation and inclusion of new organic matter into microaggregates. We determined how aggregate turnover times were affected by AMF by tracking movement of rare earth elements (REE), applied as their immobile oxides, between aggregate size classes, and using X-ray fluorescence microscopy to spatially localize REEs in a sample of aggregates. Here we show that AMF increased large macroaggregate formation and slowed down disintegration of large and small macroaggregates. Microaggregate turnover was increased in the presence of AMF. Finally, internal aggregate organization suggested that although formation of microaggregates by accretion of soil to particulate organic matter is common, it is not the only mechanism in operation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Characterization of the state of nanoparticle aggregation in non-equilibrium plasma synthesis systems

Non-equilibrium plasmas offer a unique environment for nanoparticle synthesis. Particles are homogeneously nucleated and grow at near room temperature as a result of non-thermal decomposition of vapor precursors by electrons and other plasma-excited species. Despite their widespread use, several features regarding particle growth in these systems remain poorly understood. In particular, particle aggregation (the formation of non-spherical entities composed of primary particles) is assumed to be negligible because of unipolar particle charging and subsequent Coulombic repulsion, which would hinder collisional growth. Here, we apply ion mobility-mass spectrometry (IM-MS) to a non-thermal, atmospheric pressure DC microplasma to study the state of aggregation of as-synthesized nanoparticles. Under all examined synthesis conditions, we find the presence of highly branched, chain-like aggregates at the reactor outlet, with a primary particle radius below 10 nm that is relatively insensitive to synthesis conditions. The aggregates are polydisperse, with mean masses and mobility diameters increasing with both increasing precursor concentration and increasing flow residence time within the system. TEM structural characterization shows that the aggregates can be described by a quasifractal model, with a fractal dimensions in the 1.6–2.0 range. The mass-mobility relationship inferred from IM-MS and TEM agrees well with Langevin dynamics simulations where coulomb interactions are not considered. We suggest that particle aggregation occurs either in the plasma volume due to the scavenging of smaller neutral or positively charged particles by growing aggregates or outside the reactor where the plasma density is lower and electrons are not available to maintain high levels of unipolar charge. Furthermore, the methods applied here additionally demonstrate the potential of IM-MS and TEM structural characterization in analyzing gas-phase nanoparticle production processes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cooperative Load Scheduling for Multiple Aggregators Using Hierarchical ADMM

Demand response (DR) serves an important role in improving the efficiency and stability of power systems. In recent years, with advances in communication and smart device technologies, many aggregators have emerged to facilitate end customer participation in DR programs. These aggregators, equipped with customized optimal control algorithms, are capable of providing various grid services. Among them is load scheduling during DR events, namely following a load signal provided by the utility company while minimizing overall customer discomfort. However, as the number of aggregators keeps increasing, it becomes challenging for utility companies to conduct load scheduling for multiple aggregators and generate reference signals for each of them. This paper proposes an optimization framework using hierarchical alternating direction method of multipliers (H-ADMM) to optimally generate load following signals for multiple aggregators. Under this framework, utility and multiple aggregators work in a cooperative manner, aiming at minimizing an overall system cost from different levels of the power system hierarchy, while protecting user privacy. A case study has been conducted in a system with multiple aggregators, based on control of HVAC loads. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

ADMM↗

An Equivalent Time-Variant Storage Model to Harness EV Flexibility: Forecast and Aggregation

The demand for vehicle charging will necessitate large investments in power distribution, transmission, and generation. However, this demand is often also flexible in time, and can be actively managed to reduce the needed investments, and to better integrate renewable electricity. Harnessing this flexibility requires forecasting and controlling electric vehicle (EV) charging at thousands of stations. In this work, we address the problem of forecasting and management of the aggregate flexible demand from tens to thousands of EV supply equipment (EVSEs). First, it presents an equivalent time-variant storage model for flexible demand at an aggregation of EVSEs. The proposed model is generalizable to different markets, and also to different flexible loads. Model parameters representing multiple EVSEs can be easily aggregated by summation, and forecasted using autoregressive models. The forecastability of uncontrolled demand and storage parameters is evaluated using data from 1341 nonresidential EVSEs located in Northern California. The median coefficient of variation is as low as 24% for the forecast of uncontrolled demand at the highest aggregation and 10-15% for the storage parameters. The benefits of aggregation and forecastability are demonstrated using an energy arbitrage scenario. Purchasing energy day ahead is less expensive than in the real-time market, but relies on a uncertain forecast of charging availability. The results show that the forecastability significantly improves for larger aggregations. This helps the aggregator make a better forecast, and decreases the cost of charging in comparison to an uncontrolled case by 60% with respect to an oracle scenario.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗