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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

High-Accuracy Semiempirical Quantum Models Based on a Minimal Training Set

A great need exists for computationally efficient quantum simulation approaches that can achieve an accuracy similar to high-level theories at a fraction of the computational cost. In this regard, we have leveraged a machine-learned interaction potential based on Chebyshev polynomials to improve density functional tight binding (DFTB) models for organic materials. The benefit of our approach is two-fold: (1) many-body interactions can be corrected for in a systematic and rapidly tunable process, and (2) high-level quantum accuracy for a broad range of compounds can be achieved with ~0.3% of data required for one advanced deep learning potential. Our model exhibits both transferability and extensibility through comparison to quantum chemical results for organic clusters, solid carbon phases, and molecular crystal phase stability rankings. Overall, our efforts thus allow for high-throughput physical and chemical predictions with up to coupled-cluster accuracy for systems that are computationally intractable with standard approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

AI Improves the Accuracy, Reliability, and Economic Value of Continental‐Scale Flood Predictions

Accurate flood early warnings are critical to minimize damage and loss of life. Current large‐scale operational forecasting systems, however, have limited accuracy, description of uncertainty, and computational efficiency. While Artificial intelligence (AI) can address these limitations in principle, the accuracy and reliability of AI forecasts have thus far proven insufficient. Here we present a novel hybrid framework that integrates AI‐based machinery termed Errorcastnet (ECN) with the National Water Model (NWM) to showcase the potential of ensemble AI flood forecasts over the contiguous U.S. ECN boosts prediction accuracy four‐ to six‐fold across lead times of 1–10 days, while providing uncertainty quantification. It also outperforms Google's state‐of‐the‐art global AI model. ECN‐based forecasts offer superior economic value (up to four‐fold) for decision‐making as compared to those from NWM alone. ECN performs well in varied ecoregions, physiography, and land management conditions. The framework is computationally efficient, enabling national‐scale ensemble forecasts in minutes.

artificial intelligence↗
DOE OSTI2021

Protein model accuracy estimation empowered by deep learning and inter-residue distance prediction in CASP14

Abstract The inter-residue contact prediction and deep learning showed the promise to improve the estimation of protein model accuracy (EMA) in the 13th Critical Assessment of Protein Structure Prediction (CASP13). To further leverage the improved inter-residue distance predictions to enhance EMA, during the 2020 CASP14 experiment, we integrated several new inter-residue distance features with the existing model quality assessment features in several deep learning methods to predict the quality of protein structural models. According to the evaluation of performance in selecting the best model from the models of CASP14 targets, our three multi-model predictors of estimating model accuracy (MULTICOM-CONSTRUCT, MULTICOM-AI, and MULTICOM-CLUSTER) achieve the averaged loss of 0.073, 0.079, and 0.081, respectively, in terms of the global distance test score (GDT-TS). The three methods are ranked first, second, and third out of all 68 CASP14 predictors. MULTICOM-DEEP, the single-model predictor of estimating model accuracy (EMA), is ranked within top 10 among all the single-model EMA methods according to GDT-TS score loss. The results demonstrate that inter-residue distance features are valuable inputs for deep learning to predict the quality of protein structural models. However, larger training datasets and better ways of leveraging inter-residue distance information are needed to fully explore its potentials.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Calculation of the detonation state of HN 3 with quantum accuracy

HN 3 is a unique liquid energetic material that exhibits ultrafast detonation chemistry and a transition to metallic states during detonation. We combine the Chebyshev interaction model for efficient simulation (ChIMES) many-body reactive force field and the extended-Lagrangian multiscale shock technique molecular dynamics method to calculate the detonation properties of HN 3 with the accuracy of Kohn–Sham density-functional theory. ChIMES is based on a Chebyshev polynomial expansion and can accurately reproduce density-functional theory molecular dynamics (DFT-MD) simulations for a wide range of unreactive and decomposition conditions of liquid HN 3 . We show that addition of random displacement configurations and the energies of gas-phase equilibrium products in the training set allows ChIMES to efficiently explore the complex potential energy surface. Schemes for selecting force field parameters and the inclusion of stress tensor and energy data in the training set are examined. Structural and dynamical properties and chemistry predictions for the resulting models are benchmarked against DFT-MD. We demonstrate that the inclusion of explicit four-body energy terms is necessary to capture the potential energy surface across a wide range of conditions. Our results generally retain the accuracy of DFT-MD while yielding a high degree of computational efficiency, allowing simulations to approach orders of magnitude larger time and spatial scales. The techniques and recipes for MD model creation we present allow for direct simulation of nanosecond shock compression experiments and calculation of the detonation properties of materials with the accuracy of Kohn–Sham density-functional theory.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improved accuracy and transferability of molecular-orbital-based machine learning: Organics, transition-metal complexes, non-covalent interactions, and transition states

We report molecular-orbital-based machine learning (MOB-ML) provides a general framework for the prediction of accurate correlation energies at the cost of obtaining molecular orbitals. The application of Nesbet’s theorem makes it possible to recast a typical extrapolation task, training on correlation energies for small molecules and predicting correlation energies for large molecules, into an interpolation task based on the properties of orbital pairs. We demonstrate the importance of preserving physical constraints, including invariance conditions and size consistency, when generating the input for the machine learning model. Numerical improvements are demonstrated for different datasets covering total and relative energies for thermally accessible organic and transition-metal containing molecules, non-covalent interactions, and transition-state energies. MOB-ML requires training data from only 1% of the QM7b-T dataset (i.e., only 70 organic molecules with seven and fewer heavy atoms) to predict the total energy of the remaining 99% of this dataset with sub-kcal/mol accuracy. This MOB-ML model is significantly more accurate than other methods when transferred to a dataset comprising of 13 heavy atom molecules, exhibiting no loss of accuracy on a size intensive (i.e., per-electron) basis. It is shown that MOB-ML also works well for extrapolating to transition-state structures, predicting the barrier region for malonaldehyde intramolecular proton-transfer to within 0.35 kcal/mol when only trained on reactant/product-like structures. Finally, the use of the Gaussian process variance enables an active learning strategy for extending the MOB-ML model to new regions of chemical space with minimal effort. We demonstrate this active learning strategy by extending a QM7b-T model to describe non-covalent interactions in the protein backbone–backbone interaction dataset to an accuracy of 0.28 kcal/mol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

On the accuracy of the chemically significant eigenvalue method

We study the accuracy and convergence properties of the chemically significant eigenvalues method as proposed by Georgievskii et al. [J. Phys. Chem. A 117, 12146-12154 (2013)] and its close relative, dominant subspace truncation, for reduction of the energy-grained master equation. We formally derive the connection between both reduction techniques and provide hard error bounds for the accuracy of the latter which confirm the empirically excellent accuracy and convergence properties but also unveil practically relevant cases in which both methods are bound to fall short. We propose the use of balanced truncation as an effective alternative in these cases.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2023

Kohn–Sham accuracy from orbital-free density functional theory via Δ-machine learning

Here, we present a Δ-machine learning model for obtaining Kohn–Sham accuracy from orbital-free density functional theory (DFT) calculations. In particular, we employ a machine-learned force field (MLFF) scheme based on the kernel method to capture the difference between Kohn–Sham and orbital-free DFT energies/forces. We implement this model in the context of on-the-fly molecular dynamics simulations and study its accuracy, performance, and sensitivity to parameters for representative systems. We find that the formalism not only improves the accuracy of Thomas–Fermi–von Weizsäcker orbital-free energies and forces by more than two orders of magnitude but is also more accurate than MLFFs based solely on Kohn–Sham DFT while being more efficient and less sensitive to model parameters. We apply the framework to study the structure of molten Al 0.88 Si 0.12 , the results suggesting no aggregation of Si atoms, in agreement with a previous Kohn–Sham study performed at an order of magnitude smaller length and time scales.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Accuracy, transferability, and computational efficiency of interatomic potentials for simulations of carbon under extreme conditions

Large-scale atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations provide an exceptional opportunity to advance the fundamental understanding of carbon under extreme conditions of high pressures and temperatures. However, the fidelity of these simulations depends heavily on the accuracy of classical interatomic potentials governing the dynamics of many-atom systems. Here, this study critically assesses several popular empirical potentials for carbon, as well as machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs), in their ability to simulate a range of physical properties at high pressures and temperatures, including the diamond equation of state, its melting line, shock Hugoniot, uniaxial compressions, and the structure of liquid carbon. Empirical potentials fail to accurately predict the behavior of carbon under high pressure–temperature conditions. In contrast, MLIPs demonstrate quantum accuracy, with Spectral Neighbor Analysis Potential (SNAP) and atomic cluster expansion (ACE) being the most accurate in reproducing the density functional theory results. ACE displays remarkable transferability despite not being specifically trained for extreme conditions. Furthermore, ACE and SNAP exhibit superior computational performance on graphics processing unit-based systems in billion atom MD simulations, with SNAP emerging as the fastest. In addition to offering practical guidance in selecting an interatomic potential with a fine balance of accuracy, transferability, and computational efficiency, this work also highlights transformative opportunities for groundbreaking scientific discoveries facilitated by quantum-accurate MD simulations with MLIPs on emerging exascale supercomputers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Generalized quantum master equations can improve the accuracy of semiclassical predictions of multitime correlation functions

Multitime quantum correlation functions are central objects in physical science, offering a direct link between the experimental observables and the dynamics of an underlying model. While experiments such as 2D spectroscopy and quantum control can now measure such quantities, the accurate simulation of such responses remains computationally expensive and sometimes impossible, depending on the system’s complexity. A natural tool to employ is the generalized quantum master equation (GQME), which can offer computational savings by extending reference dynamics at a comparatively trivial cost. However, dynamical methods that can tackle chemical systems with atomistic resolution, such as those in the semiclassical hierarchy, often suffer from poor accuracy, limiting the credence one might lend to their results. By combining work on the accuracy-boosting formulation of semiclassical memory kernels with recent work on the multitime GQME, here we show for the first time that one can exploit a multitime semiclassical GQME to dramatically improve both the accuracy of coarse mean-field Ehrenfest dynamics and obtain orders of magnitude efficiency gains.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2022

Characterizing Tradeoffs in Memory, Accuracy, and Speed for Chemistry Tabulation Techniques

Chemistry tabulation is a common approach in practical simulations of turbulent combustion at engineering scales. Linear interpolants have traditionally been used for accessing precomputed multidimensional tables but suffer from large memory requirements and discontinuous derivatives. Higher-degree interpolants address some of these restrictions but are similarly limited to relatively low-dimensional tabulation. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) can be used to overcome these limitations but cannot guarantee the same accuracy as interpolants and introduce challenges in reproducibility and reliable training. These challenges are enhanced as the physics complexity to be represented within the tabulation increases. Here, we assess the efficiency, accuracy, and memory requirements of Lagrange polynomials, tensor product B-splines, and ANNs as tabulation strategies. We analyze results in the context of nonadiabatic flamelet modeling where higher dimension counts are necessary. While ANNs do not require structuring of data, providing benefits for complex physics representation, interpolation approaches often rely on some structuring of the table. Interpolation using structured table inputs that are not directly related to the variables transported in a simulation can incur additional query costs. This is demonstrated in the present implementation of heat losses. We show that ANNs, despite being difficult to train and reproduce, can be advantageous for high-dimensional, unstructured datasets relevant to nonadiabatic flamelet models. Furthermore we demonstrate that Lagrange polynomials show significant speedup for similar accuracy compared to B-splines.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Accuracy of kinetic equilibrium reconstruction of NSTX and NSTX-U plasmas and its impact on the transport and stability analysis

An accurate magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equilibrium reconstruction is an essential starting point for stability and transport plasma analysis. Herein this work describes an approach for obtaining kinetic equilibrium reconstructions using the OMFIT framework, which has been applied for the first time to spherical tokamak data from NSTX and NSTX-U. The EFIT equilibrium solver is integrated with experimental data analysis procedures and subsequent TRANSP transport simulations to enhance the accuracy of the reconstruction, in particular, at the edge region, by adding constraints on the total pressure and current density profiles, based on the transport code solution. The accuracy of the equilibrium reconstruction depends on the uncertainty and number of constraints, as well as the choice of basis functions to represent the pressure and current density profiles. Improved fidelity of the equilibrium reconstruction is demonstrated by reducing the variability of the magnetic axis and boundary locations from several centimeters, for reconstructions based on magnetic and experimental pressure constraints, to only several millimeters, for kinetic reconstructions based on transport code constraints, when different representations of basis functions were tested. The variability of the safety factor on axis was reduced ten times in the same sensitivity study. The accuracy of the equilibrium reconstruction and subsequent mapping of the experimental kinetic profile data have a significant impact on the trapped gyro Landau fluid and linear CGYRO turbulence simulations, which predict different spectra of unstable modes and turbulent fluxes for cases with different numbers of constraints in the equilibrium reconstruction. Conversely, the stability analysis performed using the GATO code shows plasmas that are stable to n = 1 MHD modes in both equilibria using magnetic and experimental pressure constraints as well as the transport code constrained equilibrium. However, a scan of parameters away from these conditions shows considerable deviation in the threshold of unstable modes between these reconstructions. Therefore, for reliable plasma analysis and use in turbulence and stability calculations, a high-fidelity equilibrium reconstruction with accurate kinetic constraints based on transport code solutions is necessary.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Impact of various DIII-D diagnostics on the accuracy of neural network surrogates for kinetic EFIT reconstructions

Abstract Kinetic equilibrium reconstructions make use of profile information such as particle density and temperature measurements in addition to magnetics data to compute a self-consistent equilibrium. They are used in a multitude of physics-based modeling. This work develops a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural network (NN) model as a surrogate for kinetic Equilibrium Fitting (EFITs) and trains on the 2019 DIII-D discharge campaign database of kinetic equilibrium reconstructions. We investigate the impact of including various diagnostic data and machine actuator controls as input into the NN. When giving various categories of data as input into NN models that have been trained using those same categories of data, the predictions on multiple equilibrium reconstruction solutions (poloidal magnetic flux, global scalars, pressure profile, current profile) are highly accurate. When comparing different models with different diagnostics as input, the magnetics-only model outputs accurate kinetic profiles and the inclusion of additional data does not significantly impact the accuracy. When the NN is tasked with inferring only a single target such as the EFIT pressure profile or EFIT current profile, we see a large increase in the accuracy of the prediction of the kinetic profiles as more data is included. These results indicate that certain MLP NN configurations can be reasonably robust to different burning-plasma-relevant diagnostics depending on the accuracy requirements for equilibrium reconstruction tasks.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improving the accuracy and efficiency of quantum connected moments expansions

The still-maturing noisy intermediate-scale quantum technology faces strict limitations on the algorithms that can be implemented efficiently. In the realm of quantum chemistry, the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) algorithm has become ubiquitous, with many variations. Alternatively, a promising new avenue has been unraveled by the quantum variants of techniques grounded on expansions of the moments of the Hamiltonian, notably the connected moments expansion (CMX) and the Peeters–Devreese–Soldatov (PDS) energy functional. Common to those approaches is that, upon preparing an approximate ground state used to compute the necessary moments, the accuracy of the estimated ground state energy depends on the degree of overlap between the prepared state and the true ground state. Thus, we use the ADAPT-VQE algorithm to test shallow circuit construction strategies for the purpose of increasing the overlap with the exact ground state, validated by the sizable accuracy improvement herein reported in the PDS and CMX ground state energies. We also show that we can take advantage of the fact that the terms to be measured are highly recurring in different moments, incurring a substantial reduction in the number of necessary measurements. Finally, by coupling this measurement caching with a threshold that determines whether a given term is to be measured based on its associated scalar coefficient, we observe a further reduction in the number of circuit implementations while allowing for tunable accuracy.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accuracy of ghost rotationally invariant slave-boson and dynamical mean field theory as a function of the impurity-model bath size

Here, we compare the accuracy of the ghost rotationally invariant slave-boson (g-RISB) theory and dynamical mean field theory (DMFT) on the single-band Hubbard model, as a function of the number of bath sites in the embedding impurity Hamiltonian. Our benchmark calculations confirm that the accuracy of g-RISB can be systematically improved by increasing the number of bath sites, similar to DMFT. With a few bath sites, we observe that g-RISB is systematically more accurate than DMFT for the ground-state observables. On the other hand, the relative accuracy of these methods is generally comparable for the quasiparticle weight and the spectral function. As expected, we observe that g-RISB satisfies the variational principle in infinite dimensions, as the total energy decreases monotonically towards the exact value as a function of the number of bath sites, suggesting that the g-RISB wave function may approach the exact ground state in infinite dimensions. Our results suggest that the g-RISB is a promising method for first-principles simulations of strongly correlated matter, which can capture the behavior of both static and dynamical observables, at a relatively low computational cost.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Singular Perturbation-Based Large-Signal Order Reduction of Microgrids for Stability and Accuracy Synthesis With Control

The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) highlights the growing importance of microgrids (MGs) in enhancing power system reliability. Employing electromagnetic transient (EMT) analysis in MGs becomes crucial for controlling the rapid transients. However, this requires an accurate but high-order model of power electronics and their underlying control loops, complexifying the stability analysis from the viewpoint of a higher control level. To overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a large-signal order reduction (LSOR) method for MGs with considerations of external control inputs and the detailed dynamics of underlying control levels based on singular perturbation theory (SPT). Specially, we innovatively proposed and strictly proved a general stability and accuracy assessment theorem that allows us to analyze the dynamic stability of a full-order nonlinear system by only leveraging our derived reduced-order model (ROM) and boundary layer model (BLM). Furthermore, this theorem furnishes a set of conditions that determine the accuracy of the developed ROM. Lastly, by embedding such a theorem into the SPT, we propose a novel LSOR approach with guaranteed accuracy and stability analysis equivalence. Case studies are conducted on MG systems to show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Pleural homocysteine for malignant pleural effusion: A prospective and double‐blind diagnostic test accuracy study

Abstract Objective To assess the accuracy of pleural fluid homocysteine for discriminating malignant pleural effusion (MPE) and benign pleural effusion (BPE). Methods A total of 194 patients from two cohorts (Hohhot and Changshu) with undiagnosed pleural effusion were prospectively enrolled. Their pleural homocysteine was measured, and its diagnostic accuracy and net benefit for MPE were analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis, respectively. Results In the Hohhot cohort ( n = 136) and the Changshu cohort ( n = 58), MPE patients had significantly higher homocysteine levels than BPE patients. The areas under the ROC curves of homocysteine for the diagnosis of MPE were 0.61 ( p = 0.027) and 0.59 ( p = 0.247), respectively. The decision curves of homocysteine were close to the reference line in both the Hohhot cohort and the Changshu cohort. Conclusion The diagnostic accuracy of pleural fluid homocysteine for MPE was low.

Cao, Xi‐Shan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Accuracy of self‐reported weight, height and body mass index among older people in Japan

Aim Weight and height are usually self‐reported in population‐based epidemiological surveys. While the accuracy of self‐reports has been extensively studied in younger populations, less is known in older populations. We investigated the accuracy of self‐reported weight, height and body mass (BMI) in an older cohort in Japan, where overweight/obesity and underweight coexist. Methods We used data from older Japanese adults (≥65 years) participating in the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study in 2016 to 2017 (7357 men and 9271 women). Self‐report data were linked to objective data obtained from clinical examinations. Results The mean ± standard deviation (SD) age was 74.5 ± 5.8 years, mean ± SD weight, height and BMI were 55.7 ± 10.1 kg, 156.0 ± 8.9 cm and 22.8 ± 3.1, respectively. Results showed high intraclass correlation coefficients for self‐reported and measured values (0.97 for weight; 0.96 for height). While weight/height were overestimated among men (weight by 0.096 kg; height by 0.27 cm) and women (weight by 0.18 kg; height by 0.27 cm), BMI tended to be slightly underestimated (−0.034 kg/m 2 for men; −0.037 kg/m 2 for women). However, the absolute differences between self‐reported and measured values were not negligible; people had a higher risk for both under‐ and overestimation of their BMI category with increasing age. Lower education predicted BMI overestimation, whereas lower income predicted BMI underestimation. Conclusions Overall accuracy of self‐reported body habitus was higher in this cohort of older Japanese compared with previous reports. Nevertheless, misclassification of BMI due to the misreporting of their weight/height was more common among the oldest‐old, as well as those with lower education and income. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 803–810 .

Yazawa, Aki↗
DOE OSTI2025

Accuracy-Based Annotation Quality Score (ABAQS) v1.0

Assessing genome annotation quality is crucial for downstream analyses, but current methods are inadequate for eukaryotes. We present Accuracy-Based Annotation Quality Score (ABAQS), a novel, minimal-data-driven method that comprehensively assesses annotation quality. ABAQS evaluates multiple factors, including genome completeness, gene model validity, and protein profile accuracy, outperforming other metrics like BUSCO and PSAURON. We applied ABAQS to over 2500 eukaryotic genomes and showed its robustness and effectiveness in evaluating genome annotation quality, making it a valuable tool for researchers working with genomic data. ABAQS reveals significant variation in annotation quality and highlights the importance of filtering in improving annotation quality and accuracy.

Haridas, Sajeet [Lawrence Berkeley National Labora↗