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At least 703 records · Page 39

Suppressed Daytime Convection Over the Amazon River

We investigated the interaction between surface conditions and precipitating convection by comparing the Amazon River against the surrounding forest. Despite similar synoptic conditions within a few tens of kilometers, the river surface is substantially cooler than the surrounding forest during the day and warmer at night. We analyzed 20 years of high-resolution satellite precipitation data and confirmed previous findings of daytime rainfall reduction over the river for the whole Amazon Basin. The percentage reduction is strongest during the dry-to-wet transition season. In addition, the percentage reduction of individual tributary is significantly correlated with the Laplacian of surface temperature, which causes thermally driven surface divergence and suppresses local convection. Additionally, nighttime rainfall is enhanced over tributaries near the Atlantic coast during the wet season. A regional climate model then simulates the local rainfall anomalies associated with the river. Above the river, moisture diverges near the surface and converges above the surface before the daytime rainfall, partially driven by the horizontal gradient of humidity. Unlike the river, moisture convergence within the boundary layer is more critical for the rainfall above the forest region. Our studies suggest that strong thermal contrast can be important in deriving heterogeneous convection in moist tropical regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Numerical assessment of triply periodic minimal surfaces for direct air capture of carbon dioxide

Direct air capture (DAC) systems often consist of packing material wetted by a capture fluid that reacts with CO 2 in the airstream. The efficiency of the contactor is determined by a complex relationship of fluid dynamics, heat and mass transfer, contactor geometry, and chemical properties. The efficiency of the contactor must be balanced with other factors, primarily pressure drop through the system. Triply periodic minimal surfaces (TPMS) are a class of differential surfaces that have been explored in multiple engineering applications and have been shown to exhibit excellent performance when used in heat exchangers. Their tortuous path provides a high surface-to-volume ratio and favorable trade-off between contact area and pressure drop. In this work, a gyroid-type TPMS contactor was evaluated using computational fluid dynamics for a variety of geometric parameters to explore the potential benefit of TPMS shapes for DAC applications. A thin-film model was employed to model the flow and distribution of the capture solvent, allowing efficient simulations of TPMS structures at scale by eliminating the need for a computationally intensive interface capturing method. A liquid-gas mass transfer model was implemented in the commercial software STAR-CCM+ and used to predict the CO 2 capture efficiency and study the trade-off between capture performance and pressure drop through analysis of capture rates, mass transfer coefficients, and other relevant variables. TPMS contactors with a variety of geometric parameters and two capture solvent options were investigated to determine the effect of design choices on the operational performance of DAC systems. In conclusion, results showed that while contactor geometry is the dominant factor in efficiency and pressure drop, the physiochemical properties of the solvent are an important secondary influence on the contactor performance.

CFD↗

Significant Climate Benefits from Near-Term Climate Forcer Mitigation in Spite of Aerosol Reductions

Near-term climate forcers (NTCFs), including aerosols and chemically reactive gases such as tropospheric ozone and methane, offer a potential way to mitigate climate change and improve air quality--so called "win-win" mitigation policies. Prior studies support improved air quality under NTCF mitigation, but with conflicting climate impacts that range from a significant reduction in the rate of global warming to only a modest impact. Here, we use state-of-the-art chemistry-climate model simulations conducted as part of the Aerosol and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP) to quantify the 21st-century impact of NTCF reductions, using a realistic future emission scenario with a consistent air quality policy. Non-methane NTCF (NMNTCF; aerosols and ozone precursors) mitigation improves air quality, but leads to significant increases in global mean precipitation of 1.3% by mid-century and 1.4% by end-of-the-century, and corresponding surface warming of 0.23 and 0.21 K. NTCF (all-NTCF; including methane) mitigation further improves air quality, with larger reductions of up to 45% for ozone pollution, while offsetting half of the wetting by mid-century (0.7% increase) and all the wetting by end-of-the-century (non-significant 0.1% increase) and leading to surface cooling of -0.15 K by mid-century and -0.50 K by end-of-the-century. This suggests that methane mitigation offsets warming induced from reductions in NMNTCFs, while also leading to net improvements in air quality.

Near-term climate forcers (NTCFs)↗

The Mars Environmental Compatibility Assessment (MECA)

The Mars Environmental Compatibility Assessment (MECA) will evaluate the Martian environment for soil and dust-related hazards to human exploration as part of the Mars Surveyor Program 2001 Lander. Sponsored by the Human Exploration and Development of Space (HEDS) enterprise, MECA's goal is to evaluate potential geochemical and environmental hazards that may confront future martian explorers, and to guide HEDS scientists in the development of high fidelity Mars soil simulants. In addition to objectives related to human exploration, the MECA data set will be rich in information relevant to basic geology, paleoclimate, and exobiology issues. The integrated MECA payload contains a wet-chemistry laboratory, a microscopy station, an electrometer to characterize the electrostatics of the soil and its environment, and arrays of material patches to study the abrasive and adhesive properties of soil grains. MECA is allocated a mass of 10 kg and a peak power usage of 15 W within an enclosure of 35 x 25 x 15 cm (figures I and 2). The Wet Chemistry Laboratory (WCL) consists of four identical cells that will accept samples from surface and subsurface regions accessible to the Lander's robotic arm, mix them with water, and perform extensive analysis of the solution. Using an array of ion-specific electrodes (ISEs), cyclic voltammetry, and electrochemical techniques, the chemistry cells will wet soil samples for measurement of basic soil properties of pH, redox potential, and conductivity. Total dissolved material, as well as targeted ions will be detected to the ppm level, including important exobiological ions such as Na, K+, Ca++, Mg++, NH4+, Cl, S04-, HC03, as well as more toxic ions such as Cu++, Pb++, Cd++, Hg++, and C104-. MECA's microscopy station combines optical and atomic-force microscopy (AFM) to image dust and soil particles from millimeters to nanometers in size. Illumination by red, green, and blue LEDs is augmented by an ultraviolet LED intended to excite fluorescence in the sample. Substrates were chosen to allow experimental study of size distribution, adhesion, abrasion, hardness, color, shape, aggregation, magnetic and other properties. To aid in the detection of potentially dangerous quartz dust, an abrasion tool measures sample hardness relative to quartz and a hard glass (Zerodur).

Meloy, Thomas P.↗

Multimodal analysis and characterization of the boehmite layer formed on AA6061 before and after alkaline etching

Low-enriched uranium (LEU) alloyed with 10% Mo (U-10Mo) is being considered as a promising alternative to oxide-based dispersion fuel with high-enriched uranium for use in research reactors. The configuration of this proposed LEU monolithic LEU fuel plate consists of a U-10Mo plate-type fuel foil with a 25 µm zirconium interlayer barrier clad with an aluminum alloy (AA6061). In certain research reactors, the clad AA6061 is coated with a boehmite layer to prevent corrosion. The boehmite layer has a high-pH passivation range, which makes it resistant to oxidation. Boehmite is usually formed on the AA6061 surface by autoclave processing. Before the boehmite layer is added, the surface of the AA6061 is cleaned using techniques such as polishing and wet etching. In this study, we use multimodal analysis to examine how pretreatment of AA6061 using polishing followed by alkaline etching affects the chemical composition of the boehmite layer. X-ray photoelectron microscopy (XPS), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), and x-ray diffraction (XRD) were used to study the chemical changes in the boehmite layer caused by alkaline etching pretreatment. XPS provides quantitative analysis for the Al:O ratio as well as oxidation states present on the surface, which suggests slight oxidation of the boehmite surface after alkaline etching of the AA6061 surface. We further explored this suggested oxidation of the boehmite surface using high-resolution transmission electron microscopy with selected area electron diffraction (SAED) and grazing incidence x-ray diffraction (GI-XRD), which suggested only a small amount of aluminum oxide at the surface. The multimodal analysis and imaging yielded new insights for optimizing boehmite growth on AA6061 for research reactors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Material Compatibility Study of Coated Metals to Maintain Biocidal Silver in a Spacecraft Potable Water System

Ionic silver-based biocide remains an option of choice for microbial control in spacecraft potable water systems. However, depletion of silver ions by wetted materials readily reduces ionic silver to nonbiocidal levels. This phenomenon occurs via various transport mechanisms at the liquid-solid interfaces between the silver-containing water and adjacent surfaces. Consequently, challenges remain in the design and/or selection of materials that can be used for the wetted system components that will help ensure silver is maintained at biocidal levels. Since silver has been baselined, and/or remains, as a potable water biocide option for several future spacecraft potable water systems, a multitiered approach is being investigated, looking at heritage materials, new processes, and/or alterative materials. This study conducted the application of eleven chemically-resistant coatings onto coupons that were cut out from three types of spacecraft-grade metals (Titanium Grade 2, Inconel 718, and 316L Stainless Steel) to investigate the performance of this material strategy as a barrier against silver depletion. In this investigation, the coated metals were immersed in a static 400 parts per billion silver biocide solution at a surface-area-to-volume ratio of 2.0 cm^(-1) and left to soak for predefined time periods. The concentration of the solution in contact with the coated samples was analyzed at various points via inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, and the measurements were interpreted as silver retention percentages over time. This paper summarizes the coating selection process, the configuration of the test, and the performance of each coating-metal combination at diminishing silver depletion. The preliminary results demonstrate that some of the selected coatings succeeded at maintaining biocidal silver concentrations far beyond the corresponding base metal in a similar test. The knowledge acquired through this investigation supports the deploying of coatings on plumbing lines for the integration of biocidal silver in the water system architecture of a spacecraft. Nevertheless, further testing must be continued to assess the performance of these coatings on other wetted geometries and any implications of unifying this material strategy with traditional and developmental engineering design processes for spacecraft potable water systems.

water↗

Effect of the Chemical State of the Surface on the Relaxation of the Surface Shell Atoms in SiC and GaN Nanocrystals

The effect of the chemical state of the surface of nanoparticles on the relaxation in the near-surface layer was examined using the concept of the apparent lattice parameter (alp) determined for different diffraction vectors Q. The apparent lattice parameter is a lattice parameter determined either from an individual Bragg reflection, or from a selected region of the diffraction pattern. At low diffraction vectors the Bragg peak positions are affected mainly by the structure of the near-surface layer, while at high Q-values only the interior of the nano-grain contributes to the diffraction pattern. Following the measurements on raw (as prepared) powders we investigated powders cleaned by annealing at 400C under vacuum, and the same powders wetted with water. Theoretical alp-Q plots showed that the structure of the surface layer depends on the sample treatment. Semi-quantitative analysis based on the comparison of the experimental and theoretical alp-Q plots was performed. Theoretical alp-Q relations were obtained from the diffraction patterns calculated for models of nanocrystals with a strained surface layer using the Debye functions.

Palosz, B.↗

Zero-gravity Mean Free Surface Curvature of a Confined Liquid in a Radially-Vaned Container

A variety of increasingly intricate container geometries are under consideration for the passive manipulation of liquids aboard spacecraft where the impact of gravity may be neglected. In this study we examine the mean curvature of a liquid volume confined within a radial array of disconnected vanes of infinite extent. This particular geometry possesses a number of desirable characteristics relevant to waste water treatment aboard spacecraft for life support. It is observed that under certain conditions the slender shape of the free surface approaches an asymptote, which can be predicted analytically using new hybrid boundary conditions proposed herein. This contribution represents possibly the final extension of what has been referred to as the method of de Lazzer et al. (1996). The method enables the integration of the Young-Laplace equation over a domain with its boundaries, including the wetted portion of the solid boundaries, symmetry planes, and circular arcs representing free surfaces at the center plane of the liquid body. Asymptotic solutions at several limits are obtained and the analysis is confirmed with numerical computations.

Chen, Yongkang↗

Comparison of Retracking Algorithms Using Airborne Radar and Laser Altimeter Measurements of the Greenland Ice Sheet

This paper compares four continental ice sheet radar altimeter retracking algorithms using airborne radar and laser altimeter data taken over the Greenland ice sheet in 1991. The refurbished Advanced Application Flight Experiment (AAFE) airborne radar altimeter has a large range window and stores the entire return waveform during flight. Once the return waveforms are retracked, or post-processed to obtain the most accurate altitude measurement possible, they are compared with the high-precision Airborne Oceanographic Lidar (AOL) altimeter measurements. The AAFE waveforms show evidence of varying degrees of both surface and volume scattering from different regions of the Greenland ice sheet. The AOL laser altimeter, however, obtains a return only from the surface of the ice sheet. Retracking altimeter waveforms with a surface scattering model results in a good correlation with the laser measurements in the wet and dry-snow zones, but in the percolation region of the ice sheet, the deviation between the two data sets is large due to the effects of subsurface and volume scattering. The Martin et al model results in a lower bias than the surface scattering model, but still shows an increase in the noise level in the percolation zone. Using an Offset Center of Gravity algorithm to retrack altimeter waveforms results in measurements that are only slightly affected by subsurface and volume scattering and, despite a higher bias, this algorithm works well in all regions of the ice sheet. A cubic spline provides retracked altitudes that agree with AOL measurements over all regions of Greenland. This method is not sensitive to changes in the scattering mechanisms of the ice sheet and it has the lowest noise level and bias of all the retracking methods presented.

Ferraro, Ellen J.↗

Influence of AA6061 surface preparation on the resistance to surface degradation of thermally grown boehmite films

Understanding substrate–coating interactions is crucial for designing durable, corrosion-resistant systems. This study investigates the effects of surface treatments— polishing, acid etching, and alkaline etching—on AA6061 aluminum alloy and its thermally grown boehmite coatings. Surface treatments were found to significantly alter boehmite film properties by modifying the alloy’s surface composition. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy revealed a 10% alumina drop after acid etching alongside chemisorbed species formation in wet treatments. Structural analysis, including grazing incidence X-ray diffraction and TEM, showed α-Al 2 O 3 formation on polished surfaces, improving wear resistance but inducing cathodic E corr shifts, pointing to higher corrosion susceptibility. In contrast, acid and alkaline etching produced anodic E corr shifts with stable, pit-free films observed via potentiodynamic scans. Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy highlighted reduced oxide resistance with extended boehmite growth. The findings emphasize the role of surface pre-treatments and boehmite optimization in balancing durability and corrosion resistance for AA6061 substrates.

AA6061↗

The Effects of Amazon Deforestation on Rainfall

This study begins with the hypothesis that heavily deforested regions will experience increased surface heating, leading to local circulations that will ultimately enhance the rainfall, or at least, change the pattern of diurnal evolution of rainfall. This would be an important finding because several modeling studies have concluded that widespread deforestation would lead to decreased rainfall. Towards that end rain estimates from a combined GOES infrared/TRMM microwave technique were analyzed with respect to percent forest cover from Landsat data (courtesy of TRFIC at Michigan State University) and GOES visible channel data over a deforested area in Rondonia (southwest Brazil). Five 1" x 1" areas of varying forest cover were examined during the onset of the wet season in Amazonia (Aug-Sept), when the effects of the surface would not be dominated by large-scale synoptic weather patterns. Preliminary results revealed that: maximum rainfall fell in most deforested area; heavily forested areas received the least rainfall; cumulus cloud development initiated at borders; the amplitude of the diurnal cycle of precipitation was a function of th surface cover. Further work will be presented detailing effects of land surface cover on the GOES infrared-measured surface heating, GOES visible observed cumulus development, thunderstorm initiation based on the location of temperature minima in the infrared data, and estimated rainfall and its diurnal cycle from a combined GOES/TRMM technique. Rainfall estimates derived from non-geosynchronous microwave observations (i.e. Goddard Profiling Algorithm, GPROF) will also be examined.

Starr, David OC.↗

Optimized utilization of COMB3 reactive potentials in LAMMPS

An investigation to optimize the application of the third-generation charge optimized many-body (COMB3) interatomic potential and associated input parameters was carried out through the study of solid–liquid interactions in classical molecular dynamics simulations. The rates of these molecular interactions are understood through the wetting rates of water nano-droplets on a bare copper (111) surface. Implementing the Langevin thermostat, the influence of simulation time step, the number of atoms in the system, the frequency at which charge equilibration is performed, and the temperature relaxation rate are all examined. The results indicate that time steps of 0.4 fs are possible when using longer relaxation times for the system temperature, which is almost double the typical time step used for reactive potentials. Additionally, the use of the charge equilibration allows for a fewer atomic layers to be used in the Cu slab. In addition, charge equilibrium schemes do not need to be performed every time step to ensure accurate charge transfer. Interestingly, the rate of wetting for the nanodroplets is dominantly dependent on the temperature relaxation time, which is predicted to significantly change the viscosity of the water droplets. This work provides a pathway for optimizing simulations using the COMB3 reactive interatomic potential.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sub-micrometer random-pyramid texturing of silicon solar wafers with excellent surface passivation and low reflectance

Select emerging solar cell technologies, ranging from very narrow screen-printed fingers to perovskite/silicon tandems, would benefit from a reduction of the height of the standard pyramidal texture of monocrystalline silicon wafers to below 1 μm. However, fabricating such small surface features usually compromises the requisite low reflectance and high passivation quality. Through systematic design of experiments, we demonstrate that conventional alkaline-based wet-chemical etching processes can be tuned to produce dense, spatially homogeneous, and uniformly sized sub-micrometer pyramids. Precise texture size can be further controlled by adding potassium silicate to the texturing solution to effectively slow the pyramid growth rate and promote nucleation. With pyramid size distribution data—extracted from multiple atomic force microscopy images across each wafer—we demonstrate 16 nanotextures with average pyramid sizes ranging from 62 to 512 nm, with the largest having only 0.3% of its pyramids taller than 1 μm. Six of the nanotextures exhibit light trapping and surface defect densities comparable to state-of-the-art microtextured wafers. In conclusion, the best nanotexture achieved an AM1.5G-weighted reflectance of 11.8% and a minority-carrier lifetime of 3.4 ms after passivation with amorphous silicon, demonstrating that smaller textures need not deteriorate solar cell performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Atmosphere-Biosphere Interaction Study (Field Campaign Report)

The objective of this campaign was to collect hyperspectral reflectance measurements and complementary optical and infrared data of land surface (i.e., vegetation and soil) throughout the growing season (i.e., from March to September) at high temporal frequency (e.g., < 30 minutes). To collect the measurements, the EcoSpec system, a tower-based sensor system housing seven optical and infrared sensors that was developed at Argonne National Laboratory, was deployed to the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility Southern Great Plains (SGP) atmospheric observatory (within the crop, south of the eddy correlation flux measurement system [ECOR] tower). The EcoSpec system consists of a spectroradiometer having 2,151 channels (350–2,500 nm), red-greenblue (RGB) camera, diffuse radiometer, thermal infrared (TIR) sensors, albedometers, Photochemical Reflectance Index (PRI) sensors, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) sensors, and wetness sensor. The system is designed to collect an array of land surface measurements, including hyperspectral reflectance of plants and soils, RGB photos capturing contextual information of land surface, radiant temperature of sky and land surface, incoming and reflected shortwave radiation, and incoming radiation components (direct and diffuse) as frequent as every minute from up to 12 discrete positions around the tower. This would allow us to capture inherent heterogeneity of the terrestrial ecosystem and to obtain representative spectral signatures of the plant and soil surfaces via averaging those measurements. The SGP site provides advanced atmospheric and other physical measurements that are essential for our investigation of ecosystem functions using hyperspectral reflectance measurements of land surfaces. Located in the mid-latitudes, the SGP site exhibits dynamic seasonality and a wide range of meteorological variability and flux properties that make it ideal for studying interactions between near-surface atmosphere and biosphere across a range of environmental conditions. The atmosphere, plants, and soil control terrestrial carbon and water cycles. To make more accurate climate forecasts, researchers need to understand ecosystem dynamics at the biosphere–atmosphere interface. Even though our ability to forecast ecosystem dynamics and climate at both the regional and global scales has advanced significantly, we still do not know how local phenomena affecting water and carbon fluxes—such as diurnal variations—interrelate with large-scale atmospheric/climate phenomena, and vice versa. The lack of a more thorough understanding of ecosystem dynamics and climate interactions is a key knowledge gap for the improvement of earth system models (ESMs).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of chemical stabilities and contact angle of 3D printed polymers with CO 2 capture solvents to enhance absorber performance

Increasing absorption rate in aqueous amine CCS systems is one avenue to decrease capital cost by reducing the overall size of the absorber column. One potential route is by replacing conventional steel packing with custom designed packing made from 3D printed polymers. 3D printing offers endless flexibility in packing designs to better enhance liquid/gas contact, increase CO 2 mass transfer and create compact absorber columns. Additionally, before exploring novel packing designs, it is necessary to identify polymer materials that can be 3D printed while also showing long-term physical and surface property stability upon exposure to corrosive amine solutions. Four polymers that are commonly used for 3D printing were evaluated using CO 2 -loaded amine solution at temperatures typically observed in the absorber column. Three polymers, high-density polystyrene (HDPS), acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) and nylon were found to be physically stable after 5000 hr of amine exposure at temperatures up to 60 °C. The contact angle (wetting) of water and CO 2 -loaded aqueous amine solution on the polymer surfaces were also stable after exposure to the CO2-loaded amine solution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Experimental observations of the chemistry of the SiO2/Si interface

Changes in silicon surface preparation prior to thermal oxidation are shown to leave a signature by altering the final SiO2/Si interface structure. Surface analytical techniques, including XPS, static SIMS, ion milling, and newly developed wet-chemical profiling procedures are used to obtain detailed information on the chemical structure of the interface. The oxides are shown to be essentially SiO2 down to a narrow transitional interface layer (3-7 A). A number of discrete chemical species are observed in this interface layer, including different silicon bonds (e.g., C-, OH-, H-) and a range of oxidation states of silicon (0 to +4). The effect of surface preparation and the observed chemical species are correlated with oxide growth rate, surface-state density, and flatband shifts after irradiation.

Grunthaner, F. J.↗

Zn uptake by illite and argillaceous rocks

The uptake of Zn by Illite du Puy (IdP) and two argillaceous rocks, Opalinus Clay (OPA) and Boda Claystone (BODA) was investigated. The uptake of Zn by illite was studied in 0.1 M NaCl at near-neutral pH and Zn loadings varying from 2.1 to 42 mmol/kg. The Zn uptake by the two argillaceous rock systems was carried out in 0.1 M NaCl at pH 7.2 and in their respective porewaters at pH 8.0 to evaluate the influence of porewater composition. The Zn loadings varied from 1.8 to 86 mmol/kg and 1.7 to 60 mmol/kg for OPA and BODA, respectively. The simplified “bottom-up approach” to predict the uptake of Zn to natural rocks with different clay mineral contents and porewater compositions was tested. This approach was found to be applicable in the argillaceous rock systems at low Zn equilibrium ([Zn] eql ) concentrations below 10 -7 M. However, at [Zn]eql above 10 -7 M, the model calculations clearly underpredicted the sorption data. The extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) results support findings based on wet chemistry calculations using the 2 site protolysis non-electrostatic surface complexation and cation exchange (2SPNE SC/CE) sorption model. In the IdP system with prolonged reaction times of up to two years, formation of Zn precipitates was not observed. This indicates that the Zn surface complexes are stable over a time period of two years, and dissolution and recrystallization processes might not play a significant role in the Zn-IdP uptake process. In addition, the EXAFS results on illite corroborate previous findings on the existence of weak and strong sites types in dioctahedral clay minerals, as assumed in the 2SPNE SC/CE model. In the OPA and BODA systems, precipitation processes could start to begin at metal loadings of 16 mmol/kg and 24 mmol/kg, respectively. The differences between argillaceous rock samples prepared in NaCl and porewater are modest indicating that in the case of Zn the clay minerals play a predominant role in the uptake process, and that the effects originating from the porewater are minor. Furthermore, despite the differences in mineralogy, both argillaceous rocks show the same uptake behaviour, indicating that the clay minerals are predominantly responsible for the sorption at low and the precipitation processes at higher Zn concentrations. The study demonstrates how results on “pure” systems such as IdP can be transferred to predict the uptake by argillaceous rocks at low sorbate concentrations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

More concentrated precipitation decreases terrestrial water storage

Terrestrial water availability is a key determinant of human and ecosystem well-being. Apart from mean precipitation and evaporation changes, it is unknown how daily-scale precipitation concentration into fewer, heavier events affects hydrologic partitioning and the land water balance. Here we show observationally that more concentrated precipitation decreases land water availability across all climates globally, a drying effect as strong in magnitude as the wetting effect of increased total precipitation. Simple and complex land-surface models recover the observed effect, whereas idealized simulations show that it arises from enhanced evaporation caused by hydrologic partitioning changes at the land surface. Projected terrestrial water storage impacts of warming-driven precipitation concentration at about 2 °C of warming shift the land surface to abnormally dry conditions (≥0.5 standard deviation) for 27% of the global population, independent of any total precipitation or irrigation changes. Our results show new key determinants of the land water balance, highlighting its sensitivity to the temporal distribution of precipitation, with broad implications for future water availability.

climate change↗