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At least 703 records · Page 39

Timescales of Land Surface Evapotranspiration Response

Soil and vegetation exert strong control over the evapotranspiration rate, which couples the land surface water and energy balances. A method is presented to quantify the timescale of this surface control using daily general circulation model (GCM) simulation values of evapotranspiration and precipitation. By equating the time history of evaporation efficiency (ratio of actual to potential evapotranspiration) to the convolution of precipitation and a unit kernel (temporal weighting function), response functions are generated that can be used to characterize the timescales of evapotranspiration response for the land surface model (LSM) component of GCMS. The technique is applied to the output of two multiyear simulations of a GCM, one using a Surface-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer (SVAT) scheme and the other a Bucket LSM. The derived response functions show that the Bucket LSM's response is significantly slower than that of the SVAT across the globe. The analysis also shows how the timescales of interception reservoir evaporation, bare soil evaporation, and vegetation transpiration differ within the SVAT LSM.

Scott, Russell↗

Latency and activation in the control of TGF-beta

The biological activity of the transforming growth factor-beta's (TGF-beta)3 is tightly controlled by their persistence in the extracellular compartment as latent complexes. Each of the three mammalian isoform genes encodes a product that is cleaved intracellularly to form two polypeptides, each of which dimerizes. Mature TGF-beta, a 24 kD homodimer, is noncovalently associated with the 80 kD latency-associated peptide (LAP). LAP is a fundamental component of TGF-beta that is required for its efficient secretion, prevents it from binding to ubiquitous cell surface receptors, and maintains its availability in a large extracellular reservoir that is readily accessed by activation. This latent TGF-beta complex (LTGF-beta) is secreted by all cells and is abundant both in circulating forms and bound to the extracellular matrix. Activation describes the collective events leading to the release of TGF-beta. Despite the importance of TGF-beta regulation of growth and differentiation in physiological and malignant tissue processes, remarkably little is known about the mechanisms of activation in situ. Recent studies of irradiated mammary gland reveal certain features of TGF-beta 1 activation that may shed light on its regulation and potential roles in the normal and neoplastic mammary gland.

Non-NASA Center↗

The integrated enstrophy budget of the winter stratosphere diagnosed from LIMS data

The quasi-geostrophic integrated enstrophy budget for the 1978 to 1979 winter has been analyzed from 10-0.1 mb using LIMS data. During January and late February periods a significant imbalance in the budget appears at 10mb. This imbalance is attributed to Rossby wave breaking. It is produced by the irreversible transfer of enstrophy to smaller scales not resolved by LIMS. The imbalance episodes correspond well to the appearance of Ertel vorticity filaments shown by McIntyre and Palmer (1984). From a seasonal viewpoint, the integrated enstrophy shows an average (although irregular) transfer from a zonal mean reservoir to waves which are then dissipated. On a shorter time scale the integrated enstrophy sloshes back and forth between the waves and mean flow in early winter; then, beginning with the January sudden warming, the total enstrophy is reduced more rapidly. Between 10 mb and 1 mb this reduction is more or less continuous until the end of February. However, in the mesosphere the total enstrophy decrease is very short lived, being quickly restored after the January warming. Even though the zonal mean integrated enstrophy is large, only about 10% can be utilized by the waves. The available integrated potential enstrophy is introduced, which is a better measure of how close the flow is to saturation by Rossby waves. The largest amount of available potential enstrophy in early January is at 1 mb with decreasing amounts above and below. Saturation of the flow by Rossby waves occurs below 1 mb only coincident with sudden warmings; however, at mesospheric heights the flow appears to be nearly saturated throughout the winter.

Schoeberl, M. R.↗

Updated PSC Climatology Based on Caliop Measurements From 2006-2023

After more than three decades of research, the roles of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) in stratospheric ozone depletion are well established. Heterogeneous reactions on PSCs convert the stable chlorine reservoirs HCl and ClONO2 to chlorine radicals that destroy ozone catalytically. PSCs also prolong ozone depletion by delaying chlorine deactivation through the removal of gas-phase HNO3 and H2O by sedimentation of large nitric acid trihydrate (NAT) and ice particles. A substantial recovery of the ozone layer is expected by the middle of this century with reduced global production of ozone depleting substances in accordance with the Montreal Protocol and subsequent amendments. But as climate changes, leading to a colder and perhaps wetter stratosphere and upper troposphere, reliable model predictions of recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole and of potentially more severe ozone depletion in the Arctic are challenging. This is due both to a lack of detailed understanding of the underlying physics and the fact that many global models use simple parameterizations that do not accurately represent PSC processes. A more complete picture of PSC processes on vortex-wide scales has emerged from the CALIOP (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization) instrument on the CALIPSO satellite that has been observing PSCs at latitudes up to 82 degrees in both hemispheres since June 2006. The CALIOP Version 2.0 (v2) PSC algorithm was recently developed to address known deficiencies in previous algorithms and includes additional refinements to increase the robustness of the inferred PSC composition. In this paper, we present an updated PSC reference data record and comprehensive climatology constructed by applying the v2 algorithm to the more than 17-year CALIOP spaceborne lidar dataset. In addition, we will examine the potential impact of aerosol and water vapor injections into the stratosphere from the January 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption on PSC occurrence in both the Arctic and Antarctic regions.

polar stratospheric clouds↗

Electrocoagulation of high-salinity produced water: lessons learned from its early applications in unconventional reservoir plays

Ample research has demonstrated that electrocoagulation is a versatile technology capable of facilitating the removal of a wide range of physical, biological, organic, and inorganic constituents such as suspended solids, turbidity, bacteria, viruses, oil and grease, organic carbon (including chemical and biological oxygen demand), silica, fluoride, and so on. Despite its purported advantages and extensive lab-scale evaluations, it has not yet been widely adopted for water and wastewater treatment and reuse at commercial scale. This is symptomatic of a chasm between its technological capabilities on one hand and field performance and reputation on the other. Herein, we opine as to why this might be the case using our collective experiences with the oil and gas industry as an exemplar. In this study, we highlight scientific, technological, engineering, and business issues that need to be addressed to realize the full potential of this promising technology.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Cell to Ecosystem: Understanding Methane and Associated Nutrient Cycling by Sediment Hosted Syntrophic Consortia and Their Viral Predators

The anaerobic oxidation of methane (AOM) is a significant worldwide microbial process in anoxic lake and ocean sediments, responsible for sequestering up to 80% of this greenhouse gas. Often considered a metabolism on the edge of thermodynamic probability, the impact of ANaerobic MEthane-oxidizing ‘ANME’ archaea on carbon and nutrient cycling in sediment ecosystems is far reaching. They not only serve as a sink for methane coupled to diverse electron acceptors, but also catalyze the transformation of many important nutrients including nitrogen, phosphate, and iron. While information about the potential mechanisms supporting metabolism in AOM is now available, remarkably little has been learned about their nutritional requirements, their dependencies on bacterial partners, and consequentially their ultimate impact on nutrient transformation and bioavailability within sedimentary ecosystems, and beyond. Further, the role of viruses within sediment ecosystems represents an essential but vastly understudied aspect of the transformation of carbon and nutrients by AOM. Viruses are now widely appreciated as central players in biogeochemical cycles across diverse ecosystems. These nanoscale predators have been shown to enhance the turnover of essential nutrients, thus stimulating microbial growth and environmental viruses themselves may constitute an important reservoir of nitrogen and phosphorous. Little is known about the role of viruses in methane-impacted sedimentary ecosystems, however prior genomic and microscopy evidence suggests that AOM consortia are susceptible to phage infection. The overarching scientific goal of this multi-disciplinary research proposal is to build on these recent discoveries and expand our understanding of interactions and fundamental activities involved in cycling of carbon and nutrients by syntrophic methanotrophic archaeal-bacterial consortia and associated viruses in anoxic sedimentary environments. Our three specific objectives are to 1) Quantify energy and nutrient exchange (e.g. N, P, Fe and vitamins) within AOM consortia and between ANME-bacterial partners; 2) Identify virus-host interactions associated with AOM and assess C and N transfer through viruses in methane-impacted sediment ecosystems; 3) Model energy and nutrient exchange in AOM consortia and viral-host interactions (i.e. viral activity), and their environmental distribution patterns. Our experimental emphasis cuts across scales that are important for understanding microbial and viral interactions and activities within their habitats, as well as community wide biogeochemical transformations. These research goals will be accomplished through the application of novel molecular techniques targeting DNA, RNA, proteins, and metabolites combined with a unique multi-modal analytical imaging pipeline. We will then model the ecophysiological capabilities of diverse sediment-hosted methanotrophic consortia to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the energetic and nutritional interactions between different AOM partner couplings that occur in sediments.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Evaluation of Foster Dam Juvenile Fish Passage, 2018 (Final Report)

This report presents the results of a fish passage study conducted by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Portland District (USACE) at Foster Dam (herein, Foster) during the spring (March–June) and fall (October–December) of 2018. The goal of this study was to provide biologists, engineers, resource managers, and regional decision-makers with information about passage of juvenile Chinook salmon and juvenile steelhead (or appropriate surrogates) through specific routes at Foster. The results of this study are intended to help facilitate decision-making regarding long-term measures for enhancing salmonid passage at Foster. Radio telemetry (RT) methods were instituted at low winter reservoir forebay elevation (low pool, 613 ft mean sea level (msl); spring 2018 and fall 2018) and high summer reservoir forebay elevation (high pool, 635 ft msl; late spring and early summer 2018) to accomplish the following objectives: I. Estimate the following passage metrics under typical operations (i.e., baseline conditions): a. Overall dam-passage survival and survival specific to each route of dam passage, calculated using two different methods: i. Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) estimate: Probability of survival from dam passage to detection at the Primary Array, 19 river kilometers (rkm) downstream of Foster. ii. Virtual Release/Dead Fish Correction (ViRDCt) estimate: Corrects the bias that occurs from misidentifying fish that did not survive dam-passage as alive at the tailrace Egress Array, allowing an estimate of survival from dam passage to this array, 2.5 rkm downstream of Foster. b. Route distribution (passage proportions by route; also known as “passage efficiencies”). c. Efficiency metrics i. Dam-passage efficiency (DPE), the proportion of total fish passing the dam relative to the number of total fish detected in the near forebay of the dam and therefore available to pass. ii. Fish passage efficiency (FPE), the proportion of fish passing via a non-turbine route, relative to the number of total fish in the near forebay and available to pass. iii. Fish weir efficiency (FWE) and spill bay efficiency (SBE), the proportion of fish passing the weir or spill bays, respectively, relative to the total number of fish passing the dam. d. Reservoir residency time (time elapsed between release into reservoir and dam passage) and travel times through the system. II. Estimate efficiency and effectiveness of the new fish weir, compared to the turbines and the spillway. III. Under alternative operations, compare passage through each route (turbines, weir, spillway) using a block/treatment (on/off) design similar to the 2015 and 2016 studies. IV. Estimate efficiency of the new fish weir operating at a low level of discharge (< 500 cfs) and a high level of discharge (= 500 cfs), as well as dam passage survival at each weir discharge level. V. Evaluate survival and behavior of hatchery summer steelhead to wild surrogate winter steelhead for potential use of summer steelhead as a surrogate species winter steelhead. VI. Evaluate juvenile passage rates in the auxiliary water supply (AWS), forebay water supply (FWS), and hatchery water supply (HWS).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Regional geothermal exploration in Egypt

A study is presented of the evaluation of the potential geothermal resources of Egypt using a thermal gradient/heat flow technique and a groundwater temperature/chemistry technique. Existing oil well bottom-hole temperature data, as well as subsurface temperature measurements in existing boreholes, were employed for the thermal gradient/heat flow investigation before special thermal gradient holes were drilled. The geographic range of the direct subsurface thermal measurements was extended by employing groundwater temperature and chemistry data. Results show the presence of a regional thermal high along the eastern margin of Egypt with a local thermal anomaly in this zone. It is suggested that the sandstones of the Nubian Formation may be a suitable reservoir for geothermal fluids. These findings indicate that temperatures of 150 C or higher may be found in this reservoir in the Gulf of Suez and Red Sea coastal zones where it lies at a depth of 4 km and deeper.

Morgan, P.↗

Evaluating GCM land surface hydrology parameterizations by computing river discharges using a runoff routing model: Application to the Mississippi basin

To relate general circulation model (GCM) hydrologic output to readily available river hydrographic data, a runoff routing scheme that routes gridded runoffs through regional- or continental-scale river drainage basins is developed. By following the basin overland flow paths, the routing model generates river discharge hydrographs that can be compared to observed river discharges, thus allowing an analysis of the GCM representation of monthly, seasonal, and annual water balances over large regions. The runoff routing model consists of two linear reservoirs, a surface reservoir and a groundwater reservoir, which store and transport water. The water transport mechanisms operating within these two reservoirs are differentiated by their time scales; the groundwater reservoir transports water much more slowly than the surface reservior. The groundwater reservior feeds the corresponding surface store, and the surface stores are connected via the river network. The routing model is implemented over the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Continental-Scale International Project Mississippi River basin on a rectangular grid of 2 deg X 2.5 deg. Two land surface hydrology parameterizations provide the gridded runoff data required to run the runoff routing scheme: the variable infiltration capacity model, and the soil moisture component of the simple biosphere model. These parameterizations are driven with 4 deg X 5 deg gridded climatological potential evapotranspiration and 1979 First Global Atmospheric Research Program (GARP) Global Experiment precipitation. These investigations have quantified the importance of physically realistic soil moisture holding capacities, evaporation parameters, and runoff mechanisms in land surface hydrology formulations.

Liston, G. E.↗

Experimental Demonstration and System Analysis for Plasmonic Force Propulsion

This project developed a higher-fidelity model of a recently envisioned small spacecraft propulsion system for precision pointing and proximity control. Plasmonic force propulsion harnesses solar light focused onto plasmon reactive subwavelength nanostructures to accelerate and expel nanoparticle propellant via strong optical forces. The goal of the project was to show that plasmonic space propulsion can provide the level of proximity and attitude control envisioned for future NASA nano/picosatellite missions, a level that is better than state-of-the-art approaches. We achieved this goal by showing that plasmonic force thrusters are feasible for a range of advanced mission concepts requiring swarm formations in a deep space environment. We performed three case studies that evaluated the performance of the plasmonic force propulsion thruster in a deep space, microsatellite swarm formation. These case studies assumed the propulsion system could generate thrust at the level predicted from our Phase 1 study (1.6 μN). Through these cases we were able to analyze the concept within a mission specific context through detailed orbital dynamics calculations. Results indicate that, with the Phase 1 estimated thrust level, the approach is promising for providing attitude control to swarm formation spacecraft. Further, we achieved goals related to technology development. Specifically, we experimentally demonstrated nanoparticle acceleration due to plasmonic forces with asymmetric nanostructures excited by focused laser light. Additionally, we investigated the thrust sensitivity and nanoparticle propellant injection dependencies upon thermal effects. As a result of our study, plasmonic force propulsion is at an early TRL 3. Active research and design has been conducted analytically and in the laboratory. Furthermore, practical applications such as the three case studies have been identified for the scientific basic principles that were observed. Future efforts related to fundamental understanding of these techniques should focus on 1) developing a standalone array of asymmetric nanostructures that can effectively interact with a stream or reservoir of particles or 2) experimentally evaluate a dielectrophoretic injector for nanoparticle propellant. The main limitation discovered about plasmonic propulsion regards performance estimates significantly below the Phase 1 estimations. Specifically, original assumptions in the Phase 1 project (notably, a linear array of asymmetric nanostructures) is not a viable approach to achieving significant acceleration, high exhaust velocity, of nanoparticles. More specifically, we assumed in Phase 1 that nanoparticles would be accelerated in series by a long linear array of asymmetric nanostructures. That is, the acceleration of the nanoparticle would build and increase with the kick received by each subsequent nanostructure. This is fundamentally flawed. The potential profile of a single nanostructure is such that it prohibits this phenomenon. The potential energy associated with the plasmon-generated dielectrophoretic force is a potential well, which is good for trapping nanoparticles, but cannot provide significant acceleration of particles to expel them out and away from the nanostructure. Further, a nanoparticle expelled from the first nanostructure would need to overcome the potential barrier for entry into the next nanostructure accelerating stage. Fundamentally, this effect means that a linear array of nanostructures is not a viable accelerating structure. Correspondingly then, acceleration can, or should, only be provided by one nanostructure, and the net acceleration and thrust force of a single nanostructure is small (~cm/s exhaust velocities, sub-nN level thrust vs. the 100’s m/s, μN originally envisioned). While our experiments demonstrated acceleration and manipulation of a nanoparticle using laser light in aqueous environment, the achievable energy and momentum addition to the nanoparticle from a single nanostructure stage is too low for useful propulsion. In terms of thrust prediction, the estimated thrust of 1.6 μN in Phase 1 is reduced to a few nN of thrust with this new insight and understanding of the concept. This thrust level is too small to achieve attitude control of swarms as originally envisioned.

Plasmonic Force↗

Observations of phase changes in monoolein during high viscous injection

Serial crystallography of membrane proteins often employs high-viscosity injectors (HVIs) to deliver micrometre-sized crystals to the X-ray beam. Typically, the carrier medium is a lipidic cubic phase (LCP) media, which can also be used to nucleate and grow the crystals. However, despite the fact that the LCP is widely used with HVIs, the potential impact of the injection process on the LCP structure has not been reported and hence is not yet well understood. The self-assembled structure of the LCP can be affected by pressure, dehydration and temperature changes, all of which occur during continuous flow injection. These changes to the LCP structure may in turn impact the results of X-ray diffraction measurements from membrane protein crystals. To investigate the influence of HVIs on the structure of the LCP we conducted a study of the phase changes in monoolein/water and monoolein/buffer mixtures during continuous flow injection, at both atmospheric pressure and under vacuum. The reservoir pressure in the HVI was tracked to determine if there is any correlation with the phase behaviour of the LCP. The results indicated that, even though the reservoir pressure underwent (at times) significant variation, this did not appear to correlate with observed phase changes in the sample stream or correspond to shifts in the LCP lattice parameter. During vacuum injection, there was a three-way coexistence of the gyroid cubic phase, diamond cubic phase and lamellar phase. During injection at atmospheric pressure, the coexistence of a cubic phase and lamellar phase in the monoolein/water mixtures was also observed. The degree to which the lamellar phase is formed was found to be strongly dependent on the co-flowing gas conditions used to stabilize the LCP stream. A combination of laboratory-based optical polarization microscopy and simulation studies was used to investigate these observations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Distinct Chlorine Isotopic Reservoirs on Mars: Implications for Character, Extent and Relative Timing of Crustal Interaction with Mantle-Derived Magmas, Evolution of the Martian Atmosphere, and the Building Blocks of an Early Mars

The style, magnitude, timing, and mixing components involved in the interaction between mantle derived Martian magmas and Martian crust have long been a point of debate. Understanding this process is fundamental to deciphering the composition of the Martian crust and its interaction with the atmosphere, the compositional diversity and oxygen fugacity variations in the Martian mantle, the bulk composition of Mars and the materials from which it accreted, and the noble gas composition of Mars and the Sun. Recent studies of the chlorine isotopic composition of Martian meteorites imply that although the variation in delta (sup 37) Cl is limited (total range of approximately14 per mille), there appears to be distinct signatures for the Martian crust and mantle. However, there are potential issues with this interpretation. New Cl isotope data from the SAM (Sample Analysis at Mars) instrument on the Mars Science Lab indicate a very wide range of Cl isotopic compositions on the Martian surface. Recent measurements by [10] duplicated the results of [7,8], but placed them within the context of SAM surface data. In addition, Martian meteorite Chassigny contains trapped noble gases with isotopic ratios similar to solar abundance, and has long been considered a pristine, mantle derived sample. However, previous studies of apatite in Chassigny indicate that crustal fluids have interacted with regions interstitial to the cumulus olivine. The initial Cl isotope measurements of apatite in Chassigny suggest an addition of crustal component to this lithology, apparently contradicting the rare gas data. Here, we examine the Cl isotopic composition of multiple generations and textures of apatite in Chassigny to extricate the crustal and mantle components in this meteorite and to reveal the style and timing of the addition of crustal components to mantle-derived magmas. These data reveal distinct Martian Cl sources whose signatures have their origins linked to both the early Solar System and the evolving Martian atmosphere.

Shearer, C. K.↗

Micro- to nano-scale areal heterogeneity in pore structure and mineral compositions of a sub-decimeter-sized Eagle Ford Shale

Mineral and organic matter compositions & pore structures of fine-grained shale influence reservoir properties. To improve the understanding of spatial heterogeneity in core-sized samples, methods of microscale X-ray fluorescence (μXRF) mapping, (ultra-) small-angle x-ray scattering [(U)SAXS] and wide-angle X-ray scattering (WAXS) have been used to determine elemental, pore-structure variations at scales up to ~10 cm on two samples prepared at circular and rectangular orientations from a piece of Eagle Ford Shale outcrop in South Texas, USA. In addition, thin section petrography and field emission-scanning electron microscopy observations, X-ray diffraction (XRD), total organic carbon, and pyrolysis were utilized to investigate the potential spatial heterogeneity of pore types, mineral and organic matter compositions for cm-sized samples at both orientations. Overall, the siliceous-carbonate mineral contents in these two samples (8 cm×8 cm×0.08 cm and 5 cm × 8 cm × 0.08 cm, in terms of width×length×thickness) of carbonate-rich Eagle Ford Shale vary between laminations at mm scales. For the circular sample, porosity and specific surface area (SSA) variations range from 0.82 to 3.04% and 1.51 to 14.1 m 2 /g, respectively. For the rectangular sample, values for porosity and SSA vary from 0.93 to 2.50% and 3.95 to 10.8 m 2 /g. By analyzing six selected sub-samples on each of two samples with (U)SAXS and XRD techniques, nm-sized pores are mainly interparticle ones in the higher calcite regions, where the porosity is also relatively lower, while the lower calcite regions consist of both interparticle and intraparticle pore types with higher porosity. Lastly, the μXRF and (U)SAXS mappings are combined to generate porosity distribution maps to provide more insights about sample heterogeneity related to the laminations and fractures at our observational scales.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Demonstration System for Geological Thermal Energy Storage of Concentrating Solar Thermal

Energy storage is increasingly necessary as variable energy technologies are deployed. Seasonal energy storage can shift energy generation from the summer to the winter, but these technologies must have extremely large energy capacities and low costs. Geological Thermal Energy Storage (GeoTES) is proposed as a solution for long-term energy storage [1]. Excess thermal energy can be stored in permeable reservoirs such as aquifers and depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs for several months. The energy capacity cost of GeoTES is very low which makes it suitable for both daily- and seasonal storage of Concentrating Solar Thermal (CST) energy, thus enabling CST to provide value to electricity markets and thermal energy off-takers. A CST-GeoTES demonstration system has been funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, Solar Energy Technology Office. In this article, we will describe this demonstration system and progress that has been made in its development. The demonstration system will comprise a 2 MWth parabolic trough with an 8m aperture developed by Gossamer Space Frames, seven wells, and a 100 kWe power cycle. The demonstration system will be deployed in Kern County, California by Premier Resource Management. A techno-economic model for CST-GeoTES systems has also been developed [3] and is applied to the demonstration system and its planned future expansion. The model integrates the output of specialist models of each subsystem, which enables the performance and cost of both the subsurface and surface systems to be captured. Off-design models enable the performance to be evaluated at each hour of the year, before being aggregated to evaluate the economic potential of CST-GeoTES. Initial analysis indicates that CST-GeoTES can provide long duration energy storage capabilities with low marginal costs of energy capacity - leading to a low value of Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) compared to alternative technologies, see Figure 2. In this article, we investigate the cost and performance of the specific demonstration site being developed by PRM and explore a range of operational profiles that can deliver different value streams, such as daily and seasonal storage, capacity, and resiliancy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Produced water sharing: Improved economics and reduced community impact – A Pennsylvania case study

Here, hydraulic fracturing for oil and gas extraction from unconventional reservoirs is water intensive. Between water sourced for fracturing purposes and water present in rock formations, operators often produce a greater volume of water than oil or gas. Historically, this surplus of produced water has mainly been disposed of via deep injection wells. Rising disposal costs, seasonally limited water availability, and concerns over induced seismicity have incentivized produced water recycling practices, where an operator uses produced water for hydraulic fracturing operations. The logistical challenges associated with produced water recycling have also encouraged operators to adopt ad-hoc water exchange practices, in which competing operators will exchange produced water for mutual cost savings. In this paper, we investigate the potential benefit from systematic produced water exchange among operators in Northeastern Pennsylvania. We leverage PARETO, a free and open-source modeling framework for produced water management optimization, to quantify the benefits of water exchange practices. In an example drawn from FracFocus data, we find that the adoption of systematic water sharing could improve produced water recycling rates from 49.2% to 99%, decreasing operating and trucking costs.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Effect of initial water saturation on the performance of fracturing fluids with and without polyallylamine under simulated EGS conditions

Objectives/Scope: StimuFrac (US Patents 9,873,828 B2 and 9,447,315 B2), a CO 2 - reactive polymer aqueous solution [polyallylamine (PAA) 1wt% in water] combined with CO 2 , can be used as a potentially less water-intensive fracturing fluid for enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Our previous results show that in hot dry rock (HDR), PAA/CO 2 fracturing fluids outperformed other fluids such as water, CO 2 , and CO 2 /water in generating large fractures with less fluid consumed. The objective of this work is to investigate the effect of initial water saturation on the performance of StimuFrac by conducting hydraulic fracturing tests with ½ foot cubic rock samples held under representative EGS stress/temperature conditions and by using cyclic injection strategies (under constant injection rate). The resulting fracture hydraulic conductivities, breakdown pressures, and volumes of fluids required are compared. Methods/Procedures/Process: To simulate geothermal reservoir conditions, in all tests, the rock sample was held under triaxial confinement and at 200 °C, and different volumes of water were initially injected into the rock sample before any fracturing processes were initiated. For the single-cycle PAA (or water) alternating CO 2 (PAG or WAG) injection fracturing experiments, one complete cycle consisted of two steps: (1) injecting a PAA slug (or water slug) followed by (2) injecting CO 2 to initiate and propagate the fracture. For experiments involving multiple injection cycles, the CO 2 injection pressure is increased until it peaks and begins to decline (indicating fracture initiation at this moment), and then continued being injected for another 30 seconds to propagate the fracture. Then, these two-step cycles [injection of PAA (or water) followed by CO 2 injection (up to 2-4 mL/min)] are repeated. Applications/Significance/Novelty: The results of this study suggest that water saturation significantly affects the fracturing fluid transmission into the rock pore space, thus affecting the fracture initiation and propagation. In this study, fracturing tests via a single injection cycle or multiple injection cycles were performed. Splitting the rock samples in half after testing reveals that fracture propagation is significantly limited under high water saturation conditions (three-day initial water injection) compared to stimulation experiments performed in hot dry rock. The fractures propagate less than 1/3 of the distance from the wellbore to the outer rock surface, and in some cases, no fracture is generated. This may be caused by leak-off dominating the fracturing process and the fluid injection rate is insufficient to overcome leak-off, even under high injection rate conditions. Additionally, CO 2 could be leaking off into the wellbore annulus and this may be making it more difficult to generate sufficiently high-pressure gradients away from the near-wellbore region. Under low water saturation conditions (dry rock or after 1-day initial water injection), PAA/CO 2 consistently generated significantly larger fractures compared with the other fluids. CO 2 generated large fractures only in the hot dry rock and only when using high injection rates, though data variability is high.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Possible impacts of molten salt reactors on the International Monitoring System

Molten salt reactors (MSRs) are gaining support as many countries look for ways to increase power generation and replace aging nuclear energy production facilities. MSRs have inherently safe designs, are scalable in size, can burn transuranic wastes from traditional solid fuel nuclear reactors, can store excess heat in thermal reservoirs for water desalination, and can be used to produce medical isotopes as part of the real-time liquid-fuel recycling process. The ability to remove 135 Xe in real time from the fuel improves the power production in an MSR because 135 Xe is the most significant neutron-absorbing isotope generated by nuclear fission. Xenon-135, and other radioactive gases, are removed by sparging the fuel with an inert gas while the liquid fuel is recirculated from the reactor inner core through the heat exchangers. Without effective abatement technologies, large amounts of radioactive gas could be released during the sparging process. This work examines the potential impact of radioxenon releases on samplers used by the International Monitoring System (IMS) to detect nuclear explosions. Here, atmospheric transport simulations from seven hypothetical MSRs on different continents were used to evaluate the holdup time needed before release of radioxenon so IMS samplers would register few detections. Abatement technologies that retain radioxenon isotopes for at least 120 d before their release will be needed to mitigate the impacts from a molten salt breeder reactor used to replace a nuclear power plant. A holdup time of about 150 d is needed to reduce emissions to the average level of current nuclear power plants.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

A Simple Data-Centric Methodology for Producible Geothermal Well Determinations: Preprint

The Bureau of Land Management (BLM) has traditionally lacked a standardized methodology for determining if a newly drilled geothermal well is "producible," a designation essential for deciding whether a lease should be "held by production." This is a straightforward problem to solve in oil and gas: Demonstrate that a well is economically viable, meaning it produces sufficient oil or gas to exceed direct operating costs and lease-related expenses, such as rentals or minimum royalties. In geothermal, the problem is more complex: Geothermal wells are tightly coupled with the downstream infrastructure - specifically, the power plant, which is often not designed until well after a lease is deemed as "held by production." Although this designation is critical for advancing geothermal power plant development on BLM-managed lands, current geothermal well assessments often rely on ad hoc approaches that can be complex, operator-biased, and heavy in assumptions related to economic viability. To address this, we have developed two complementary methodologies: a minimum power requirement-based approach and a productivity index (PI)-based approach. These methods leverage key flow test data - pressure, temperature, flow rate, and specific enthalpy - to provide reliable and standardized producible well determinations. The minimum power requirement-based approach evaluates wells against specific power output thresholds informed by reservoir experts and the associated temperature requirements. The PI-based approach assesses well productivity using widely accepted reservoir engineering metrics, proposing a threshold of 2.5 kg/s/bar. Both methods are data-driven and grounded in empirical production data from operational geothermal wells, avoiding uncertain economic assumptions while maintaining decision-making accuracy. Wells falling below key performance thresholds (i.e., PI, specific power) are deemed non-producible. These methodologies aim to streamline BLM's decision-making process, reduce nontechnical barriers to geothermal energy adoption, and enable regulatory expansion into states lacking geothermal expertise. Preliminary results indicate clear trends and thresholds in production data that provide actionable insights for evaluating well producibility. Validation using well completion report (WCR) data is ongoing, with promising results demonstrating the potential for these standardized methodologies to impact geothermal development significantly.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗