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At least 703 records · Page 39

Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Aviation Operations: NASA Case Studies

There is an increasing interest in applying methods based on Machine Learning Techniques(MLT) to problems in aviation operations. The current interest is based on developments in Cloud Computing, the availability of open software and the success of MLT in automation, consumer behavior and finance involving large database. Historically aviation operations have been analyzed using physics-based models and provide information for making operational decisions. This talk describes issues to be addressed in applying either model-driven or data-driven methods. Aviation operations involving many decision makers, multiple objectives, poor or unavailable physics-based models and a rich historical database are prime candidates for analysis using data-driven methods. The issues relating to data, feature selection and validation of the models are illustrated by examining case studies of the application of MLT to problems in air traffic management at NASA. Further research is needed in the application of MLT to critical aviation operations. As always, the best approach depends on the task, the physical understanding of the problem and the quality and quantity of the available data.

Sridhar, Banavar↗

Progress in Predicting Ionic Cocrystal Formation: The Case of Ammonium Nitrate

In contrast to the mature predictive frameworks applied to neutral cocrystals, ionic cocrystals, those including an ion pair, are difficult to design. Furthermore, they are generally excluded categorically from studies which correlate specific molecular properties to cocrystal formation, leaving the prospective ionic cocrystal engineer with few clear avenues to success. Herein ammonium nitrate, an energetic oxidizing salt, is targeted for cocrystallization in a potential coformer group selected based on likely interactions with the nitrate ion as revealed in the Cambridge Structural Database; six novel ionic cocrystals were discovered. Molecular descriptors previously identified as being related to neutral cocrystal formation were examined across the screening group but showed no relationship with ionic cocrystal formation. High packing coefficient is shown to be a constant among the successful coformers in the set and is utilized to directly target two more successful coformers, bypassing the need for a large screening group.

Andrew J. Bennett↗

How Driving Volatility in Time to Collision Relates to Crash Severity in a Naturalistic Driving Environment

The sequence of instantaneous driving decisions and its variations, known as driving volatility, can be a leading indicator of unsafe driving practices. The research issue is to characterize volatility in instantaneous driving decisions in longitudinal and lateral direction and to seek an understanding of how driving volatility relates to crash severity. By using a unique real-world naturalistic driving database from the SHRP 2, a test set of 671 crash events featuring around 0.2 million temporal samples of real-world driving are analyzed. Based on different driving performance measures, 16 different volatility indices are created. The volatility indices are then linked with individual crash events including information on crash severity, drivers’ pre-crash maneuvers and behaviors, secondary tasks and durations, and other factors. As driving volatility prior to crash involvement can have different components, an in-depth analysis is conducted using the aggregate as well as segmented (based on time to collision) real-world driving data. To account for the issues of observed and unobserved heterogeneity, fixed and random parameter ordered models with heterogeneity in parameter means are estimated. The findings suggest that greater driving volatility (both in longitudinal and lateral direction) prior to crash occurrence increases the likelihood of police reportable or severe crash events. Importantly, compared to the effect of volatility in longitudinal acceleration on crash outcomes, the effect of volatility in longitudinal deceleration is significantly greater in magnitude. Methodologically, the random parameter models with heterogeneity-in-means significantly outperformed both the fixed parameter and random parameter counterparts. The relevance of the findings to the development of proactive behavioral countermeasures for drivers is discussed.

Wali, Behram↗

SG50 Data-format Specifications Document for the Automatically Readable, Comprehensive, and Curated Experimental Reaction Database MEDUSAL

The aim of this document is to lay out a first draft of the specifications for the MEDUSAL database (Machine-readable Experimental Data User App & Library) that is being described by OECD/NEA/WPEC SG-50. The EXFOR database (Otuka et al., 2014) has a format that is based on code-value pairs, and a significant portion of the information in the EXFOR entry is contained in free text sections. Several high-level requirements for the MEDUSAL database, as laid out in the Use Cases and Requirements Working Paper (citation), relate to the definition of the specifications

Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP)↗

Metabolite, annotation, and gene integration system and method

Disclosed herein are systems and methods for associating metabolites with genes. In some embodiments, after potential metabolites are identified based on spectroscopy data of the content of an organism, possible reactions capable of producing the potential metabolites are determined. The possible reactions are compared to gene sequences in a database, and an association score for the likelihood that a gene sequence is related to the potential metabolites is calculated.

Erbilgin, Onur↗

Oxygen Deficiency in Spaceflight & its Impact on Plants’ Adaptive Changes

The goal of this study was to investigate the effects of hypoxic conditions in spaceflight. The distribution of genes involved with hypoxia in Arabidopsis thaliana and Brassica rapa were analyzed with the results from past spaceflight experiments to evaluate genes for future studies. Transcriptomes data of two different spaceflight studies of Arabidopsis thaliana from the NASA GeneLab database, GLDS-7 and GLDS-17, were compared. DNA microarrays were utilized for transcription profiling to conduct these studies. For GLDS-7, the response in spaceflight was studied with approaches that collected gene expression data. Leaves, hypocotyls, and root tissues were compared to the whole plant. For GLDS-17, seedlings and undifferentiated cultured cells were placed in the Biological Research in Canisters (BRIC), specifically BRIC-16. The genes related to hypoxia in Arabidopsis thaliana from these two studies were compared to genes in Brassica rapa with the TOAST database to evaluate similarities. When transcriptomes were analyzed for GLDS-7 and 17, genes that were considered significant had p-values ≤ 0.05 and log fold change values ≤ -1 or ≥1. Sixteen genes fulfilled the criteria. The genes related to hypoxia were alcohol dehydrogenase, elongation factor, ethylene-responsive factor, GUS, heat-shock proteins, NAP, RAP2.12, and RD20. The genes most impacted by spaceflight were heat-shock proteins. These genes were compared with Brassica rapa through Arabidopsis Ensemble Orthology from the TOAST Database. Similarities were seen in alcohol dehydrogenase, elongation factor, ethylene-responsive factor, heat-shock proteins, NAP, and RAP2.12. Overall, transcription profiling indicates that plants’ survival in spaceflight is dependent on adaptive changes with gene expression. This study also indicates that there are similarities in gene expression between Arabidopsis thaliana and Brassica rapa with comparable gene expression. Future studies could include analyzing additional species to understand which genes could be modified to ensure better yield of space crops amid hypoxic conditions.

hypoxia↗

Global Aerodynamic Modeling for Stall/Upset Recovery Training Using Efficient Piloted Flight Test Techniques

Flight test and modeling techniques were developed for efficiently identifying global aerodynamic models that can be used to accurately simulate stall, upset, and recovery on large transport airplanes. The techniques were developed and validated in a high-fidelity fixed-base flight simulator using a wind-tunnel aerodynamic database, realistic sensor characteristics, and a realistic flight deck representative of a large transport aircraft. Results demonstrated that aerodynamic models for stall, upset, and recovery can be identified rapidly and accurately using relatively simple piloted flight test maneuvers. Stall maneuver predictions and comparisons of identified aerodynamic models with data from the underlying simulation aerodynamic database were used to validate the techniques.

Morelli, Eugene A.↗

Age Disparity in Palliative Radiation Therapy Among Patients With Advanced Cancer

Purpose/Objective: Palliative radiation therapy represents an important treatment option among patients with advanced cancer, although research shows decreased use among older patients. This study evaluated age-related patterns of palliative radiation use among an elderly Medicare population. Methods and Materials: We identified 63,221 patients with metastatic lung, breast, prostate, or colorectal cancer diagnosed between 2000 and 2007 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked database. Receipt of palliative radiation therapy was extracted from Medicare claims. Multivariate Poisson regression analysis determined residual age-related disparity in the receipt of palliative radiation therapy after controlling for confounding covariates including age-related differences in patient and demographic covariates, length of life, and patient preferences for aggressive cancer therapy. Results: The use of radiation decreased steadily with increasing patient age. Forty-two percent of patients aged 66 to 69 received palliative radiation therapy. Rates of palliative radiation decreased to 38%, 32%, 24%, and 14% among patients aged 70 to 74, 75 to 79, 80 to 84, and over 85, respectively. Multivariate analysis found that confounding covariates attenuated these findings, although the decreased relative rate of palliative radiation therapy among the elderly remained clinically and statistically significant. On multivariate analysis, compared to patients 66 to 69 years old, those aged 70 to 74, 75 to 79, 80 to 84, and over 85 had a 7%, 15%, 25%, and 44% decreased rate of receiving palliative radiation, respectively (all P<.0001). Conclusions: Age disparity with palliative radiation therapy exists among older cancer patients. Further research should strive to identify barriers to palliative radiation among the elderly, and extra effort should be made to give older patients the opportunity to receive this quality of life-enhancing treatment at the end of life.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Estimating a Service-Life Distribution Based on Production Counts and a Failure Database

A manufacturer wanted to compare the service-life distributions of two similar products. These concern product lifetimes after installation (not manufacture). For each product, there were available production counts and an imperfect database providing information on failing units. In the real case, these units were expensive repairable units warrantied against repairs. Failure (of interest here) was relatively rare and driven by a different mode/mechanism than ordinary repair events (not of interest here). Approach: Data models for the service life based on a standard parametric lifetime distribution and a related limited failure population were developed. These models were used to develop expressions for the likelihood of the available data that properly accounts for information missing in the failure database. Results: A Bayesian approach was employed to obtain estimates of model parameters (with associated uncertainty) in order to investigate characteristics of the service-life distribution. Custom software was developed and is included as Supplemental Material to this case study. One part of a responsible approach to the original case was a simulation experiment used to validate the correctness of the software and the behavior of the statistical methodology before using its results in the application, and an example of such an experiment is included here. Because of confidentiality issues that prevent use of the original data, simulated data with characteristics like the manufacturer’s proprietary data are used to illustrate some aspects of our real analyses. Lastly, we also note that, although this case focuses on rare and complete product failure, the statistical methodology provided is directly applicable to more standard warranty data problems involving typically much larger warranty databases where entries are warranty claims (often for repairs) rather than reports of complete failures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Trends in Use of Hypofractionated Whole Breast Radiation in Breast Cancer: An Analysis of the National Cancer Database

Use of hypofractionated radiation (HR) as a component of breast-conserving treatment (BCT) in breast cancer is relatively low in the United States despite studies demonstrating its efficacy and guidelines supporting its use from the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) in 2011 and 2018. Little is known regarding national trends in uptake and factors associated with uptake of HR in the US since the 2011 ASTRO guidelines.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

COINS: A composites information database system

An automated data abstraction form (ADAF) was developed to collect information on advanced fabrication processes and their related costs. The information will be collected for all components being fabricated as part of the Advanced Composite Technology (ACT) program and included in a COmposites INformation System (COINS) data base. The aim of the COINS development effort is to provide future airframe preliminary design and fabrication teams with a tool through which production cost can become a deterministic variable in the design optimization process. The effort was initiated by NASA Langley to implement the recommendations of a working group comprised of representatives from the commercial airframe companies. The principal working group recommendation was to reinstitute collection of composite part fabrication data in a format similar to the DOD/NASA Structural Composites Fabrication Guide. The fabrication information collection form was automated with current user friendly computer technology. The new automated form and features that make the form easy to use by an aircraft structural design manufacturing team are described.

Siddiqi, Shahid↗

A photostationary state analysis of the NO2-NO system based on airborne observations from the subtropical/tropical North and South Atlantic

The Chemical Instrumentation Test and Evaluation 3 (CITE 3) NO-NO2 database has provided a unique opportunity to examine important aspects of tropospheric photochemistry as related to the rapid cycling between NO and NO2. Our results suggest that when quantitative testing of this photochemical system is based on airborne field data, extra precautions may need to be taken in the analysis. This was particularly true in the CITE 3 data analysis where different regional environments produced quite different results when evaluating the photochemical test ratio (NO2)(sub expt)/(NO2)(sub calc), designated here as R(sub E)/R(sub C). The quantity (NO2)(sub Calc) was evaluated using the following photostationary state expression: (NO2)(sub Calc) = k(sub 1)(O3) + k(sub 4)(HO2) + k(sub 5)(CH3O2) + k(sub 6)(RO2))(NO)(sub Expt)/J(sub 2). The four most prominent regional environmental data sets identified in this analysis were those labeled here as free-tropospheric northern hemisphere (FTNH), free-tropospheric tropical northern hemisphere (FTTNH), free-tropospheric southern hemisphere (FTSH), and tropical-marine boundary layer (plume) (TMBL(P)). The respective R(sub E)/R(sub C) mean and median values for these four data subsets were 1.74, 1.69; 3.00, 2.79; 1.01, 0.97; and 0.99, 0.94. Of the four data subsets listed, the two that were statistically the most robust were FTNH and FTSH; for these the respective R(sub E)/R(sub C) mean and standard deviation of the mean values were 1.74 +/- 0.07 and 1.01 +/- 0.04. The FTSH observations were in good agreement with theory, whereas those from the FTNH data set were in significant disagreement. An examination of the critical photochemical parameters O3, UV(zenith), NO, NO2, and non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) for these two databases indicated that the most likely source of the R(sub E)/R(sub C) bias in the FTNH results was the presence of a systematic error in the observational data rather than a shortening in our understanding of fundamental photochemical processes. Although neither a chemical nor meteorological analyses of these data identified this error with complete certainty, they did point to the three most likely possibilities: (1) an NO2 interference from a yet unidentified NO(y) species: (2) the presence of unmeasured hydrocarbons, the integrated reactivity of which would be equivalent to approximately 2.7 parts per billion by volume (ppbv) of toluene; or (3) some combination of points (1) and (2). Details concerning hypotheses (1) and (2) as well as possible ways to minimize these problems in future airborne missions are discussed.

Davis, D. D.↗

Small Spacecraft Systems Virtual Institute's Federated Databases and State of the Art of Small Spacecraft Technology Report

NASA's Small Spacecraft Systems Virtual Institute (S3VI) is collaborating with the Air Force Research Laboratory and Space Dynamics Laboratory on the development of a small spacecraft parts database called SmallSat Parts On Orbit Now (SPOON). The SPOON database contains small spacecraft parts and technologies categorized by major satellite subsystems developed by industry, academia and government. The State of the Art of Small Spacecraft Technology report reflects small spacecraft parts submitted to the SPOON database and technologies compiled from other sources that were assessed as the current state of the art in each of the major subsystems. The report, first commissioned by NASA's Small Spacecraft Technology Program in mid-2013, is developed in response to the continuing growth in interest in using small spacecraft for many types of missions in Earth orbit and beyond. Due to the high market penetration of CubeSats, particular emphasis is placed on the state of the art of CubeSat-related technology. The 2018 report is planned for release in late summer. A review of SPOON database functionality, federation of additional NASA-internal and external databases along with a common search capability, as well as an overview of the State of the Art of Small Spacecraft Technology report will be presented. The S3VI is jointly sponsored by NASA's Space Technology Mission Directorate and Science Mission Directorate.

Small spacecraft↗

Human Factors and Behavioral Performance Exploration Measures Harmonized Across HERA, NEK, and ISS: Teams Risk

BACKGROUNDThe Human Factors and Behavioral Performance Exploration Measures (HFBP-EM) suite is a set of standardized measures to assess behavioral health and performance risk related to future exploration class missions, and to support reduction of the Human Research Program’s (HRP) Behavioral Medicine (BMed), Team, Sleep, and Human Systems Integration Architecture risks. HFBP-EM were collected during Human Exploration Research Analogs (HERA) campaigns 4 (C4) and 5 (C5), and during SIRIUS 17 and 19 missions in the Russian Ground Based Experiment Complex, NEK, to document the feasibility, flexibility, and acceptability of these measures in analogsof the spaceflight environment. A subset of the HFBP-EM suite was collected during spaceflight as part HRP’s Standard Measures in Spaceflight Project. Whenever possible, the HFBP-EM protocol and measures are kept the same across studies, however, differences across research settings (e.g., experimental manipulations, mission scenarios, mission length) and implementation of the measures require the data are harmonized to ensure comparable views across missions. The purpose of our project is to develop a harmonized database of HFBP-EM data from different settings, and to summarize the trajectory of behavioral health and performance within and between research settings. In this presentation, we will summarize the harmonized dataset and the trajectory of measures related to the Team Risk, including team performance, team cohesion, team processes, and psychological safety, over time and between and within settings.METHODSWe followed best practices for data harmonization. Characteristics of each research setting were assessed for harmonization potential, and we deemed NEK-SIRIUS 17 as inappropriate due to study aims, length, and data quality. Common variables of interest were identified. Study characteristics and key variables with which datafiles could be merged were defined as “meta-data.” HFBP-EM data from all settings were processed under a common format. We then created a harmonized team-level database designed to facilitate analyses that address HRP research gaps related to HRP’s Team risk. In this database, team cohesion, processes, performance, psychological safety, and group living were operationalized as the team mean of the crew responses for each data collection (e.g., on mission day 7). Data collected on the International Space Station (ISS) included a subset of scale items administered to participants. Data collected from ISS team members within +/- 7 days of the first data collection and every following 30 +/-4 days were aggregated to the team level. We generated figures that display the mean and variability of team constructs across research settings. We also generated plots of changes in team constructs with mission day and with percentage of the mission completed. Where possible, we compared data from spaceflight analogs with data from astronauts aboard the ISS. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONThe team-level harmonized database was structured such that each row represents data for a team on a specific mission day. Team constructs (e.g., team cohesion) were included as columns (i.e., wide format) with repeated measures across mission days given in rows (i.e., long format). The database included data from 18 crews: five, 4-person American crews in HERA C4, four 4-person American crews in HERA C5, one 6-person multinational crew in NEK-SIRIUS 19, and eight, 2–11-person multinational crews aboard the ISS. Results provide insights into mission and campaign differences in team functioning and performance. For example, between campaign differences were observed for team processes—the interdependent team actions that orchestrate taskwork in pursuit of the team’s goals [1]. Greater between-team variability on team processes was detected during HERA C4 than during C5, and a downward trend was observed over the duration of C4, but not C5 or SIRIUS 19. This may be due to the campaign-level differences such as the sleep deprivation implemented during C4. Responses on the subset of team process items administered on the ISS indicate between-crew variability more like those observed in C4 than C5 and NEK, with some, but not all ISS crews demonstrating a downward trend over time. Additional findings will be presented. REFERENCESMarks, M. A., et al (2001) Academy of Management Review, 26(3), 356-376.

S T Bell↗

Greedy Sampling and Incremental Surrogate Model-Based Tailoring of Aeroservoelastic Model Database for Flexible Aircraft

This paper presents a data analysis and modeling framework to tailor and develop linear parameter-varying (LPV) aeroservoelastic (ASE) model database for flexible aircrafts in broad 2D flight parameter space. The Kriging surrogate model is constructed using ASE models at a fraction of grid points within the original model database, and then the ASE model at any flight condition can be obtained simply through surrogate model interpolation. The greedy sampling algorithm is developed to select the next sample point that carries the worst relative error between the surrogate model prediction and the benchmark model in the frequency domain among all input-output channels. The process is iterated to incrementally improve surrogate model accuracy till a pre-determined tolerance or iteration budget is met. The methodology is applied to the ASE model database of a flexible aircraft currently being tested at NASA/AFRC for flutter suppression and gust load alleviation. Our studies indicate that the proposed method can reduce the number of models in the original database by 67%. Even so the ASE models obtained through Kriging interpolation match the model in the original database constructed directly from the physics-based tool with the worst relative error far below 1%. The interpolated ASE model exhibits continuously-varying gains along a set of prescribed flight conditions. More importantly, the selected grid points are distributed non-uniformly in the parameter space, a) capturing the distinctly different dynamic behavior and its dependence on flight parameters, and b) reiterating the need and utility for adaptive space sampling techniques for ASE model database compaction. The present framework is directly extendible to high-dimensional flight parameter space, and can be used to guide the ASE model development, model order reduction, robust control synthesis and novel vehicle design of flexible aircraft.

numerical analysi↗

StreamWorks - A system for Dynamic Graph Search

Acting on time-critical events by processing ever growing social media, news or cyber data streams is a major technical challenge. Many of these data sources can be modeled as multi-relational graphs. Mining and searching for subgraph patterns in a continuous setting requires an efficient approach to incremental graph search. The goal of our work is to enable real-time search capabilities for graph databases. This demonstration will present a dynamic graph query system that leverages the structural and semantic characteristics of the underlying multi-relational graph.

graph search, graph query↗

IRAS low resolution spectra of 26 symbiotic stars

Data related to the spectral scans for 26 symbiotic stars are described which were extracted from the IRAS low resolution database. Data from the 8-15- and 15-23-micron bands are merged in a program that scales the longer wavelength and produces a weighted average of the spectral scans for each source. The survey shows that active dust producers can probably be isolated and some theories related to the presence of dust emission features are discussed in terms of source variability for measurements made with low resolution spectra.

Stencel, Robert E.↗