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At least 703 records · Page 39

Empirical Estimation of the Energy Impacts of Projects Installed through Residential Property Assessed Clean Energy Financing Programs in California

We examine the energy use impacts of energy efficiency and solar PV projects financed by residential property assessed clean energy (R-PACE) programs in California. We leverage household-level interval meter data to apply normalized metered energy consumption (NMEC) methods at significant scale—more than 25,000 electric meters and more than 15,000 gas meters. We develop a comparison group to account for non-project-related changes in usage. The projects include homes that replaced existing HVAC equipment with higher-efficiency units and homes that installed central heating or air conditioning equipment for the first time. We have limited information on pre-project household equipment stock so we develop a method to infer new installations. We find that projects that installed energy efficiency technologies reduce electricity consumption by approximately 3% and gas consumption by approximately 3.5% on average. When we remove homes that installed new cooling and heating equipment for the first time, savings rise to approximately 5% for electricity and approximately 6% for gas. Given the California climate and the results of an existing study of similar California projects, these results are in line with expectations. Solar PV projects produce electricity that offsets approximately 69% of household electricity consumption on average. We estimate that California R-PACE projects installed through the end of 2019 produce annual reductions in grid-tied electricity consumption of 506 GWh (equivalent to the electricity consumption of approximately 74,000 California households) and gas consumption reductions of 2 million therms (equivalent to the gas consumption of approximately 4700 California households) in a typical weather year.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Mathematical methods for optimal polynomial recovery of high-dimensional systems from noisy data

The goal of our Early Career Research Project (ECRP) is to establish a modern mathematical foundation that will enable next-generation computational methods for polynomial approximation of high-dimensional systems, having a certain set of constraints, from a limited amount of noisy data. Such a foundation is critical to realizing the future potential of the DOE user facilities, and will ultimately empower scientists to address a fundamental question, namely, “how many realizations of a nonlinear manifold are required to recover the entire high-dimensional solution map, with optimal approximation guarantees and minimal computational cost?” The central theme of this effort aims to conquer this challenge by pioneering the development of extraordinarily innovative theoretical analysis and transformational non-intrusive computational methodologies. Such approaches will enable the reconstruction of the entire high-dimensional solution map, with accuracy comparable to the best approximation, while utilizing an optimal number of samples. During this reporting period we have made significant progress on four thrusts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Synthesizing, Compounding, and Characterizing a Heat Labile Polyurethane Foam

ABSTRACT A need exists for a packaging foam material that can be converted from solid to gaseous degradation products at reasonably low energy levels or temperatures, such as 100O C. This paper will primarily discuss the approaches currently being used to synthesize and characterize such a material. These approaches include the incorporation of novel polyols such as azo containing diols, polycarbonate diols, and polypropylene carbonate polyols into polyurethane foams. Characterization methods include NMR, FTIR, TGA, finite element analysis, impact strength, and others. This project will be funded for a duration of three years. Year 1 focused on developing the proposed test methods and producing an initial rigid polyurethane foam. Year 2 focuses on refining the materials and test methods. If appropriate, design of experiment (doe) techniques will be used to optimize components, component levels, density and other variables to attain required final material properties (TGA weight loss, impact strength, etc.). Year 3 focuses on scaling up to larger engineering quantities. The application for this material is in load securement for transportation of low level radioactive waste materials within the US Department of Energy (DOE) complex. Foam in place process equipment and operators will be shielded using this novel method over current practice. Current practice can involve time consuming methods of load securement in low level radiation environments. This new technique would eliminate exposure time securing the load and greatly improve the As Low As Reasonably Attainable (ALARA) conditions. The objective is to progress to higher Technical Readiness Levels (TRL) and larger pilot scale quantities. This paper discusses methodologies and presents current results to date.

Kranjc, Mark D.↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Analytical Development and Standardization for Biomass-Derived Thermochemical Liquids

This project began in FY14 to address the lack of standard chemical characterization analytical methods for bio-oils. Bio-oils are very complex and present numerous analytical challenges; yet reliable chemical information (quantification of both individual compounds and chemical functional groups) is needed to inform upgrading research and refinery co-processing. In this project, analysis needs are first determined from engaging the bioenergy community. Next, standard methods are developed to meet these needs, and then subsequently validated via inter-laboratory studies. Methods that are successfully validated (< 10% variability) are then shared as Laboratory Analytical Procedures (LAPs), which are free and publicly available. We have been tracking LAP use and have seen sustained usage as evidenced by an average of 500 pages views and 100 downloads per quarter, demonstrating the value of these methods to the bioenergy community. LAP methods that are particularly useful and reliable will be chosen for the next-level of standardization through ASTM. We have recently achieved approval by ASTM for our carbonyl titration method. This method (ASTM E3146) is the first example of an ASTM standard solely focused on the chemical characterization of bio-oils. Work in this project is meeting the analysis needs of the bioenergy community and will ultimately help enable the commoditization of bio-oils.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A Method for In-Situ Q₀ Measurements of High-Quality SRF Resonators

Accelerator projects such as LCLS-II naturally require low-loss superconducting (SRF) cavities. Due to strong demand for improving intrinsic quality factor (Q₀), importance of accurate cavity characterization increases. We propose a method to measure Q₀ in situ for an SRF resonator installed in its cryogenic module and connected with a RF feed source via a fixed RF coupler. The method exploits measurements of a response for an SRF resonator fed by an amplitude-modulated signal. Such a signal can be synthesized as a beat-wave composed of two frequencies that are close to the resonant frequency. Analyzing the envelope of the reflected signal, one can find the difference in reflection for the chosen frequencies and use them to compute the intrinsic Q. We also develop the methodology to carry out measurements of Q₀ at the nominal cavity operating voltage. We verified our method in experiments with a room temperature copper resonator and with two SRF resonators including Fermilab’s 650 MHz cavity and JLab’s 1500 MHz cavity.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Advanced Laboratory and Field Arrays: Debris Modeling, Detection,& Mitigation (Task 1)

The statement of project objectives for this task was: develop tools, methods and models to assess, and mitigate the risk of damage to MHK infrastructure from woody debris. Develop the capability to detect woody debris using sonar and/or physical methods for purposes of characterizing debris statistics in river (at UAF’s Tanana River Test Site) and near-shore wave (at Yakutat, AK) environments and to activate debris mitigation measures. Develop debris impact risk maps and tables using statistics on debris size, geometry, type, prevalence, mobility and location. Improve and apply the COUPi discrete element method (DEM) to develop models of debris movement and impact on MHK infrastructure to evaluate risk of damage, and interference, to operations from debris. The proposed final deliverable for the task was a set of tools or techniques for providing estimates of the probability of debris impact, and resulting impact forces, on MHK infrastructure as a function of debris size, type, wave regime, and current velocity. Such estimates are required to assess damage risks to operational MHK infrastructure.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Deep neural network uncertainty quantification for LArTPC reconstruction

We evaluate uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for deep learning applied to liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) physics analysis tasks. As deep learning applications enter widespread usage among physics data analysis, neural networks with reliable estimates of prediction uncertainty and robust performance against overconfidence and out-of-distribution (OOD) samples are critical for their full deployment in analyzing experimental data. While numerous UQ methods have been tested on simple datasets, performance evaluations for more complex tasks and datasets are scarce. Here we assess the application of selected deep learning UQ methods on the task of particle classification using the PiLArNet monte carlo 3D LArTPC point cloud dataset. We observe that UQ methods not only allow for better rejection of prediction mistakes and OOD detection, but also generally achieve higher overall accuracy across different task settings. We assess the precision of uncertainty quantification using different evaluation metrics, such as distributional separation of prediction entropy across correctly and incorrectly identified samples, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs), and expected calibration error from observed empirical accuracy. We conclude that ensembling methods can obtain well calibrated classification probabilities and generally perform better than other existing methods in deep learning UQ literature.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Illuminating the pathways to carbon liberation: a systems approach to characterizing the consequential unknowns of carbon transformation and loss from thawing permafrost peatlands (Final Report)

The IsoGenie3 Project delivered new systems-level insights into carbon cycling in thawing permafrost landscapes, with an emphasis on methane and carbon dioxide emissions. From >200 samples from the site collected over a decade, co-analyzed for geochemistry and microbiology, the team recovered ~1,500 assembled microbial genomes and ~1,900 viral population genomes, revealing appreciable genetic novelty - from a new highly abundant bacterial phylum, to novel methane consumers and their activities, to rampant viral novelty. IsoGenie3 linked these organisms to carbon compound transformations (which define the cycling of organic matter in soils, and the loss of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane), and saw that the microbes at each stage of permafrost thaw had different genetic potential to degrade categories of compounds, expressed that genetic potential differently, and actually transformed carbon compounds into greenhouse gases in different ways. IsoGenie 3 identified that some of the thaw-stage differences were due to plant-microbiome relationships; the plant species across the thaw gradient contributed different carbon compounds into the soil, and hosted distinct microbiota (differing among parts of plants as well as species). Lastly, microbes in the saturated post-thaw conditions appeared likely to contribute to the mobilization and toxification of mercury released during thaw. In parallel with ongoing field sampling and analysis, hypotheses arising from field observations were tested via lab incubation experiments. When communities are taken out of their native habitats, they behave differently, and the team first rigorously quantified the magnitude of this effect on microbiome composition and functional capacity, organic matter composition, and gas production; overall the main system processes were maintained in the lab incubations under the conditions tested. Further, the microbial data could inform geochemical reaction network models of those processes. Then, the team ran experiments with additions of compounds, varying temperature, and “live” vs. “dead” peat (the latter having been gamma irradiated, with a few additional variants to control for methodological artifacts). From these, we (a) determined the importance of plant-derived soluble phenolic compounds in bogs’ extraordinary recalcitrance of organic matter, and carbon gas emissions skewed to carbon dioxide; (b) proposed an abiotic ‘tanning’ mechanism, which could contribute to Sphagnum’s inhibitory effect on anaerobic decomposition through alteration of N availability. IsoGenie3 illuminated longer-term and landscape-scale interactions of permafrost thaw and carbon cycling, advancing knowledge of the drivers of methane dynamics not only across in the permafrost-associated peatland (where hydrology and plant communities dictate microbiomes) but also their interconnected lakes (where sediment carbon quality and resident microbiota are determined by position within lake, and lake features). By leveraging observations of site methane dynamics extending well before this project, the team was able to construct a 44-year portrait of the interplay of permafrost thaw, hydrology, vegetation dynamics, and carbon gas emissions, and the doubling of the fully-thawed fens over this time. From the detailed study of this focal site, IsoGenie3 also aimed to improve model representation of these kinds of sites and processes. To improve predictions of methane transformations, we incorporated acetate and isotope dynamics into the ‘DNDC’ biogeochemistry model. In addition, recovered genomes were grouped into ‘functional groups’, i.e. the genomes that perform a specific function of interest, then used to parameterize maximum growth rate and optimum growth temperature (via signatures in their sequence composition) for the BioCrunch model. The BioCrunch model was then in turn used to test the impact of increasing functional resolution of the microbes, on the carbon gas emissions. Lastly for modeling, the ecosys model was parameterized from the microbial and other data, and used to evaluate drivers of e.g. change in methane emissions. Finally, this project also led to the development of a range of new methods and tools, a new metric of organic matter decomposability, as well as a graph-database solution to multidisciplinary data storage and querying. This project’s ongoing analyses at our focal site also contributed to broader advancements in understanding elements of genetic plasticity and methane metabolism, climate change microbiology and community assembly, global peatland geochemistry and Arctic lakes’ roles in climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fundamental Algorithmic Research for Quantum Computing (FAR‐QC) (Final report)

This document is the final technical report for the "Fundamental Algorithmic Research for Quantum Computing" (FAR-QC) project at Dartmouth College (PI: J. Whitfield, co-PI: L. Viola). It details the project's primary scientific accomplishments from 2019 to 2025, focusing on advances in quantum simulation algorithms, resource-efficient fermionic encodings, bosonic topology, and optimization methods for near-term quantum devices. The report also summarizes project impacts, including software development (Quiqbox.jl), workforce training, and a complete list of resulting publications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Extended Finite Element Based Approach in Additive Manufacturing Modeling for Optimizing Highly Complex Manifold in Protonic Ceramic Electrochemical Cells

The objective of this project is to develop a novel numerical approach based on the extended finite element method (XFEM) for modeling moving boundaries of material deposited in additive manufacturing (AM) process with improved accuracy and reduced computational cost. One of the major challenges in simulating AM processes is that the boundaries of the computational domain need to change as material is deposited. Previous approaches have achieved this by activating new finite elements, but this requires a high level of mesh refinement to capture small movement of the boundary. XFEM allows the solution boundary to move independently of the mesh, permitting smooth representation of the evolution of the boundary as material is deposited. As a result, this new method will significantly improve the simulation accuracy while reducing the computational cost compared with existing approaches. Furthermore, this project will bring significant improvements for the design and AM process optimization in an iterative fashion among numerical simuation, parameter optimization, and experimental validation. Specifically, this project will support the protonic ceramic electrochemical cells (PCEC) stack development at INL by providing insights into the density, residual stress, thermal and mechanical properties of the PCEC manifold and interconnect, which is critical in enhancing the system lifetime and reducing the overall cost. Upon the success of proposed development and validation of the proposed approach, simulation will be applied to determine an optimal set of AM process parameters for the PCEC manifold production. This project will consolidate Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s simulation capabilities provided by the MOOSE framework and the Valhalla AM simulation application, with encouraging expansion to emerging PCEC applications and AM technologies at INL and beyond.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Gapped-filtering for efficient Chebyshev expansion of the density projection operator

In this paper, we develop the gapped-filtering method, whereby a short Chebyshev expansion accurately represents the density-matrix operator. The method optimizes the Chebyshev coefficients to give the correct density matrix at all energies except within the gapped region where there are no eigenstates. Gapped filtering reduces the number of required terms in the Chebyshev expansion compared to traditional expansion methods, as long as one knows or can determine efficiently the HOMO and LUMO positions. The reduction is especially noticeable (factors of 2-3) when high accuracy is sought. To exemplify the method, we use gapped-filtering to increase the efficiency of stochastic-GW calculations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

From Quantum to Classical: Sensing Materials, Methods, and Platforms for Energy

This presentation covers several ongoing sensors projects at NETL, including the use of quantum sensors for energy sector applications (e.g. infrastructure monitoring, critical metal detection, grid modernization) as well as NETL-developed materials and platforms for detecting economically critical metals including rare earth elements, cobalt, and aluminum. Taken together, these projects demonstrate NETL's leadership in unleashing American energy through the development of high performance sensors for reliable energy production and consumption.

critical minerals↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - 1.3.2.001 - Algae Biomass Composition

Addressing critical improvements in biomass productivity and associated biochemical composition is a priority for the economic and sustainable commercial development of biofuels and bioproducts from algae. Capitalizing on pathways that integrate engineering approaches with fundamental biochemistry of photosynthetic organisms will lead to a better understanding of the complex nexus of algae growth rates, productivity and composition. This project focuses on identifying the critical factors for economic development of fuel and bioproduct technologies. Algal compositional characteristics form the foundation of robust economic and business models. This project supports that foundation by developing and validating accurate compositional methods and disseminating them to the greater community. Simultaneously, we build a deep understanding of the dynamic biochemical composition and carbon allocation for biomass value and conversion yields. A co-product portfolio developed under this project demonstrated a 30% increase in intrinsic value. Additionally, an integrated pipeline of molecular diversity mapping for product discovery with quantitative demonstration across species was deployed over the BETO algae program. The advances made here are highly relevant to BETO's multi-year program targets of reducing costs and integrating dynamic biomass composition with conversion processes to provide options for bioproducts, all leveraging the molecular diversity of algae.

algal compositional characteristics↗

Two datasets are better than one: method of double moments for 3D reconstruction in cryo-EM

Cryo-electron microscopy is a powerful imaging technique for reconstructing three-dimensional molecular structures from noisy tomographic projection images of randomly oriented particles. We introduce a new data fusion framework, termed the method of double moments, which reconstructs molecular structures from two instances of the second-order moment of projection images obtained under distinct orientation distributions: one uniform, the other non-uniform and unknown. We prove that these moments generically uniquely determine the underlying structure, up to a global rotation and reflection, and we develop a convex-relaxation-based algorithm that achieves accurate recovery using only second-order statistics. Our results demonstrate the advantage of collecting and modeling multiple datasets under different experimental conditions, illustrating that leveraging dataset diversity can substantially enhance reconstruction quality in computational imaging tasks.

Kam’s method↗

Diagnostics of Magnetohydrodynamic Modes in the Interstellar Medium through Synchrotron Polarization Statistics

One of the biggest challenges in understanding magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence is identifying the plasma mode components from observational data. Previous studies on synchrotron polarization from the interstellar medium (ISM) suggest that the dominant MHD modes can be identified via statistics of Stokes parameters, which would be crucial for studying various ISM processes such as the scattering and acceleration of cosmic rays, star formation, and dynamo. In this paper, we present a numerical study of the synchrotron polarization analysis (SPA) method through systematic investigation of the statistical properties of the Stokes parameters. We derive the theoretical basis for our method from the fundamental statistics of MHD turbulence, recognizing that the projection of the MHD modes allows us to identify the modes dominating the energy fraction from synchrotron observations. Based on the discovery, we revise the SPA method using synthetic synchrotron polarization observations obtained from 3D ideal MHD simulations with a wide range of plasma parameters and driving mechanisms, and present a modified recipe for mode identification. We propose a classification criterion based on a new SPA+ fitting procedure, which allows us to distinguish between Alfvén mode and compressible/slow mode dominated turbulence. We further propose a new method to identify fast modes by analyzing the asymmetry of the SPA+ signature and establish a new asymmetry parameter to detect the presence of fast mode turbulence. Additionally, we confirm through numerical tests that the identification of the compressible and fast modes is not affected by Faraday rotation in both the emitting plasma and the foreground.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Using Controlled-Source Electromagnetic (CSEM) for CO 2 Storage Monitoring in the North Dakota CarbonSAFE Project

Conference presentation for International Meeting for Applied Geophysics & Energy (IMAGE), September 26 – October 1, 2021, Denver, CO. Geophysical methods are key for characterizing the geologic formations to store CO 2 and monitor the injected CO 2 over time to ensure containment. In the integrated multimeasurement geophysical approach considered for this project, it is expected that the controlled-source electromagnetic (CSEM) method is a strong contributor to mapping the CO 2 movement. A feasibility study of the CSEM method, including 1D and 3D modeling and a field noise test, was conducted to determine its effectiveness in monitoring CO 2 in the Broom Creek and Deadwood Formations. The study results demonstrate that the CSEM method can be used for CO 2 storage monitoring in the study area.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Exabiome: Advancing Microbial Science through Exascale Computing

The Exabiome project seeks to improve the understanding of microbiomes through the development of methods for accelerating metagenomic science using exascale computing. This article gives an overview of scientific impact of the three components of the project: metagenome assembly, protein family detection, and comparative analysis of metagenomes. Exabiome developed MetaHipMer, the only metagenome assembler capable of scaling to full exascale systems. MetaHipMer has enabled ground-breaking assemblies on the Frontier supercomputer, with many scientific benefits, such as the discovery of rare species and viral genomes. To investigate protein families, Exabiome developed two exascale tools, PASTIS and HipMCL. Together, these can utilize exascale resources to understand the functional diversity of billions of dark matter proteins and novel protein families. For comparative analysis, Exabiome developed kmerprof, a tool that can be used to compare huge metagenomes for many different scientific purposes, for example, grouping human microbiomes according to body location.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Proposed Products to Support Shelter-Evacuation Decision Making in the Event of a Nuclear Detonation

Response strategies implemented in the first few hours to days after a nuclear detonation on the US homeland may save more than 100,000 lives. Effective planning and pre-event capability development can increase the response efficacy and so the number of lives saved. During such an event, the US Department of Defense, Joint Task Force Civil Support (DoD JTF-CS) provides command and control for the DoD forces supporting civil authority response operations. Among other activities, JTF-CS expects to support FEMA as well as State and local agencies in shelter and evacuation response activities. JTF-CS currently uses a manual method to generate evacuation decision making products. This method compares the dose that would be (a) acquired remaining at a given location to that (b) acquired during evacuation along a small number of routes. In these products, evacuation may be warranted when the projected “remain” dose is greater than the “evacuate” dose. This method only provides a limited consideration of the protection buildings provide their occupants. To inform the JTF-CS nuclear detonation response, the DoD Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) has tasked Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) to design a set of planning and response products to support shelter-evacuation activities. This report documents these products to facilitate DTRA and JTF-CS planning efforts. To provide context, we also provide appendices that summarize US planning guidance response zones, early (<72 h) response strategies, and other key topics.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗