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DOE OSTI2023

Zirconium Scattering Sensitivity in Neutron Transport Calculations of Multiplying Systems [Slides]

This presentation touches on motivation and applications of Zirconium. Performance of evaluated libraries on double and quasi differential experiments is considered. Additionally, the performance of evaluated libraries in select ICSBEP benchmarks is considered. Provided is a detailed look in the performance of evaluated libraries in preliminary benchmark configurations for IER-516: Zirconium Test Assembly (ZTA). Conclusions and recommended experiments to satisfy Zirconium scattering nuclear data needs are presented.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accident event progression, gaps, and key performance indicators for steam generator tube rupture events in water-cooled SMRs: A review

According to historical records of reactor-related incidents, a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) is one of the most common occurrences at operating pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Such design-basis accidents (DBAs) could lead to a direct path for radionuclides to be released to the atmosphere via the safety and relief valves, making assessments of radionuclide discharge from operating nuclear power plants (NPPs) into the environment crucial for ensuring safety. In such analyses, the primary focus has been on the extent of radioactive release, not the potential damage to the core. Moreover, significant and timely intervention by operators is needed during the initial stages of SGTRs in order to avert overfilling of the SGs, as well as to restrict the dissemination of radioactive materials. Determining the event sequence and phases that occur during an SGTR incident in an advanced passive (e.g., AP1000) water-cooled nuclear reactor is crucial for implementing effective passive safety systems (PSSs) for a specific water-cooled small modular reactor (SMR) design. Here this study provides a comprehensive review of the accident event progression, associated physical phenomena, knowledge gaps, and key performance indicators that must be evaluated and assessed in thermal-hydraulics models, based on relevant test data, respectively.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Direct Comparison between Bayesian and Frequentist Uncertainty Quantification for Nuclear Reactions

Until recently, uncertainty quantification in low energy nuclear theory was typically performed using frequentist approaches. However in the last few years, the field has shifted toward Bayesian statistics for evaluating confidence intervals. Although there are statistical arguments to prefer the Bayesian approach, no direct comparison is available. In this work, we compare, directly and systematically, the frequentist and Bayesian approaches to quantifying uncertainties in direct nuclear reactions. Starting from identical initial assumptions, we determine confidence intervals associated with the elastic and the transfer process for both methods, which are evaluated against data via a comparison of the empirical coverage probabilities. Expectedly, the frequentist approach is not as flexible as the Bayesian approach in exploring parameter space and often ends up in a different minimum. We also show that the two methods produce significantly different correlations. In the end, the frequentist approach produces significantly narrower uncertainties on the considered observables than the Bayesian. Lastly, our study demonstrates that the uncertainties on the reaction observables considered here within the Bayesian approach represent reality more accurately than the much narrower uncertainties obtained using the standard frequentist approach.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Resolved Resonance Region Analysis of 206 Pb, 207 Pb, and 208 Pb for Next Generation Lead-Cooled Fast Systems

Recently, great interest has been generated in using lead as a coolant for fast neutron systems and as a result it is important to investigate the ENDF/B-VIII.0 isotopic evaluations that comprise stable le ad. To this end, resonance parameters for 206 Pb, 207 Pb, and 208 Pb were re-evaluated because their resolved reso­nance regions extend beyond 0.5 MeV meaning resonance parameters used in reconstructing cross sections and elastic scattering angular distributions impact fast systems. The impact of resonance parameters is demon­strated by the differences between the evaluations in predicting experimental results from the fully modeled RPI Quasi-Differential Scattering Experiment via MCNPv6.2. In addition, MCNP KCODE calculations of lead-sensitive fast spectra critical benchmarks showed variations of keff on average of 400 pcm, caused solely from differences in elastic scattering angular distributions in 208 Pb. Re-evaluation entailed fitting data with the program SAMMY.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

IER 555: Godiva Benchmark Update CED-2 (Final Design Report)

The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) evaluation of the Godiva IV critical assembly, HEU-MET-FAST-086: GODIVA-IV DELAYED-CRITICAL EXPERIMENTS (HMF-086), was completed by Russ Mosteller. Five critical experiment configurations performed at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Technical Area (TA)-18 were evaluated as acceptable benchmark cases. The five cases consist of four delayed critical configurations which differ in control rod positions and one prompt critical configuration. All cases calculated a lower $k_{eff}$ than measured by experiment. This data is referred to as the TA-18 Godiva IV benchmark in this report. In 2005, Godiva IV was disassembled for relocation to the Nevada Test Site (NTS), now Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC). Following the disassembly and subsequent reassembly and startup of Godiva IV at NCERC, additional information about the Godiva IV components was obtained. An errata note was added to the HMF-086 evaluation in the ICSBEP handbook to provide this new information until a revision to the benchmark evaluation could be performed. In addition to those corrections, there are differences between the Godiva IV assembly at TA-18 and the Godiva IV assembly at NCERC. These differences include both assembly-specific differences (differences in the safety block gap, differences in the control rod positions, a new NCERC Top Hat and contamination shield) as well as environmental differences, such as the size and shape of the experimental building where the assembly is located. An additional model with similar cases, referred to as the NCERC Godiva IV benchmark in this report, will be added to the revised HMF-086 to capture these additional differences. This will provide the best benchmark model of Godiva for use by those performing experiments at NCERC. The IER 555 CED-2 report documents the information that will be updated in the HMF-086 revision, both the corrections to the TA-18 Godiva IV benchmark and the subsequent changes to create a NCERC Godiva IV benchmark. It describes the measurements that will be performed for cases similar to those performed at TA-18. It also describes measurements that will be included in the evaluation as additional data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of the Performance and Explainability Tradeoffs for Machine-Learning Models for Predictive Maintenance of Circulating Water Systems in Nuclear Power Plants

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has shown great potential for achieving substantial cost savings and enhancing the economic competitiveness of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in today's energy market. Among the different modeling approaches that exist, machine learning (ML) tools in particular have a demonstrated ability to handle high dimensional and multivariate data and to extract hidden relationships within data in industrial environments. While ML methods show great potential, their lack of explainability---especially for black-box models---is a major hurdle to their adoption. Moreover, considering the supposed trade-off between explainability and performance challenges, careful consideration must be made as to which of these quality aspects takes precedence in light of multiple modeling options, resource availability, and domain characteristics. The present work evaluates the performance of six ML models, each with a different degree of explainability, in classifying the conditions of circulating water pumps (CWPs) by utilizing sensor data from nuclear power plants. To determine the drivers behind the trade-offs presented by this array of models, this work also tests different combinations of CWP units as the training and testing data, degrees of data imbalance, and objective functions for hyperparameter tuning. It was found that black-box models tend to afford superior performance in cases where there are far more instances of one type of labeled data than of any other type. It is recommended that a guided procedure be followed for designing and delivering an ML system that is sufficiently explainable to all involved stakeholders.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

ORNL Neutron Cross Section Measurements of 90 Zr NCSP ND-1 Task [Slides]

Luiz Leal's idea to integrate the experimental uncertainties, covariances, and sensitivities in the ND workflow and to centralize the process at one location created a cohesive tool for data testing. It has been practiced for more than two decades by the NCS and ND groups at ORNL. The development and use of the ORNL codes TSUNAMI and TSURFER within SCALE made it possible. Today, it has been extended to SAMINT, which enables the coupling of differential and integral data evaluation in a continuous-energy framework.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

An iron evaluation story: from TALYS model parameters to validation on the ASPIS benchmark with the Monte-Carlo code TRIPOLI-4

Iron is a widespread structural material in nuclear applications. However some benchmark studies show that for many libraries, including TENDL-2019, producing good iron evaluations is still an open challenge. This work aims at improving TENDL-2019 {sup 56}Fe and {sup 54}Fe evaluations through feedbacks from experimental data and Monte Carlo results of the iron benchmark ASPIS. Part of the T6 code infrastructure was used to produce the evaluations. In the new evaluations, particular attention to resonance parameters and formalism was paid to address the importance of elastic scattering. The total inelastic scattering and inelastic continuum cross sections were shaped by modifying the input parameters of TALYS, one of the T6 codes. Additionally, it was necessary to normalise some reaction channels to those of JENDL-4.0. With the new files ASPIS results, obtained with the Monte Carlo code TRIPOLI-4, improved noticeably compared to TENDL 2019. The evaluations and parameter setting modifications are to be included into TENDL-2021. (authors)

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Estimating the color lifetime of energetic quarks

Using a simple geometric framework with a realistic nuclear density distribution, we fit published HERMES data to determine fundamental properties of hadronization using the nuclear medium as a spatial analyzer. Our approach uses a fit to the transverse momentum broadening observable and the hadronic multiplicity ratio; the simultaneous fit to two different observables strongly constrains the outcome. Using the known sizes of the target nuclei, we extract the color lifetime, finding a z h -dependent range of values from 2 to 8 fm/c for these data. We also extract estimates for the qˆ transport coefficient characterizing the strength of the interaction between the quark and the cold nuclear medium, finding an average value of 0.035±0.011 GeV 2 /fm. With a three-parameter model we obtain satisfactory fits to the data with a goodness-of-fit parameter χ 2 /dof of 1.1 or less. In a secondary fit of the results from that model we independently find a value for the Lund String Model string tension of 1.00±0.05 GeV/fm. We evaluated the sensitivity for extracting quark energy loss and effective in-medium hadronic cross sections using four-parameter variants of the model, finding large uncertainties in both cases. Our results suggest that hadronic interaction of forming hadrons in the nuclear medium is the primary dynamical cause of meson attenuation in the HERMES data, with quark energy loss playing a more minor role.

Electron-ion collider↗
DOE OSTI2022

U.S. Efforts in Support of Examinations at Fukushima Daiichi (November 2021 Meeting Notes with Updated Information Requests)

Information obtained from Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (Daiichi) is required to inform future Decontamination and Decommissioning (D&D) activities, improving the ability of the Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated (TEPCO Holdings) to characterize potential hazards and to ensure the safety of workers involved with cleanup activities. This information also has important implications for the safety and operation of U.S. commercial nuclear power plants. This document summarizes results from the Fiscal Year 2022 (FY2022) U.S. effort to review Daiichi information and extract insights to enhance the safety of existing and future nuclear power plant designs. This U.S. effort, which was initiated in 2014 by the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy, is completed by a group of experts in reactor safety and plant operations that identify examination needs and evaluate recent Daiichi examination data to address these needs. Fukushima-related information and associated discussions during forensics meetings benefit operating, new, and advanced reactors. Significant safety insights are being obtained in several areas: system and component performance, radionuclide surveys and sampling, debris end-state location, combustible gas effects, and plant operations and maintenance. In addition to reducing uncertainties related to severe accident modeling progression, these insights have and continue to be used to update guidance for severe accident prevention, mitigation, and emergency planning. As discussed in this document, revised operator guidance was successfully used to improve operator response during a loss of off-site power event at the Duane Arnold Energy Center plant. Reduced uncertainties in modeling the events at Daiichi improve the realism of reactor safety evaluations that inform future D&D activities. U.S. evaluations of information from Fukushima and input regarding future examinations are of interest to several organizations within Japan. Meeting presentations by Japan describe how comments and recommendations documented in prior U.S. forensics effort reports, including consensus information requests developed by forensics effort participants, are considered in future Fukushima D&D activities. As discussed in this report, TEPCO Holdings considered these information requests in their D&D planning activities. An updated list of consensus information requests is included in this FY2022 report.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

MSR Salt Spill Accident Testing Using Eutectic NaCl-UCl 3

Assessing the potential consequences of identified accident scenarios is an essential part of the licensing process for a new nuclear reactor and is achieved by using accident progression models. A likely accident scenario that will be evaluated by developers of molten salt reactors (MSRs) is a spill of radionuclide-bearing fuel salt onto the reactor containment floor (i.e., a salt spill accident). Models to determine the consequences of a molten salt spill accident need to be parameterized and validated using experimental data, but little experimental effort has been dedicated to fill these data gaps to date. Specifically, data is needed to enable model development for individual processes (e.g., spreading, heat transfer, corrosion, radionuclide vaporization, and aerosol generation) that quantifies the sensitivities towards the initial conditions of the spill, the ambient environment, and the features of the containment. In addition, integrated experiments that simulate salt spill accidents will need to be conducted to provide insight into coupled processes and data for model validation, but these experiments will require the use of proven methods to quantify the processes under evaluation.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Milestone 1.2.10: Steady-state H 2 “roll over” point data for aluminum alloys 1100 and 6061

Extended (> 50 years) dry storage is being evaluated by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) for the disposition of ~ 18 metric tons of aluminum-clad spent nuclear fuel (ASNF). Transition of the current ASNF inventory into dry storage—using the standard DOE canister—necessitates a rigorous, predictive understanding of the long-term physical and chemical factors that may influence the integrity of the proposed storage canister, including radiolytic molecular hydrogen (H 2 ) generation. Current model predictions employ initial radiolytic yields of H 2 , the values of which change as the cladding’s H 2 -precursor inventory is depleted and H 2 itself becomes progressively more involved in radiolytic and surface dissociation processes. Consequently, the absorbed radiation dose that this steady-state H 2 yield corresponds to is essential for the evaluation and improvement of model predictions. Here, we report our findings on the long-term generation of H 2 from the gamma irradiation (≤ 36 MGy) of corroded AA1100 and AA6061 coupons in helium environments at ambient temperature and ~ 50% RH. Our findings show that AA1100 systems reached steady-state by ~ 36 MGy, while higher doses were necessary for AA6061 systems. This discrepancy was attributed to the AA6061 coupons developing a thicker corrosion layer that led to the trapping of H 2 and its precursors, and potentially additional chemistries, ultimately delaying the depletion of H 2 precursors and the system’s “roll over” point. Further, current model predictions—based on previous AA1100 data—do not show steady-state attainment until above 120 MGy, which is not the case for the AA1100 data collected here. Consequently, the new alloy dependent data presented here are important for the continued improvement of predictive computer models for evaluating the feasibility of extended storage of ASNF in helium backfilled canisters.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of T - and ρ -dependent decay rates and new (n, γ ) cross-sections on the s process in low-mass asymptotic giant branch stars

Aims. We study the impact of nuclear input related to weak-decay rates and neutron-capture reactions on predictions for the slow neutron-capture process (s process) in asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars. We provide the first database of surface abundances and stellar yields of the isotopes heavier than iron from the Monash models. Methods. We ran nucleosynthesis calculations with the Monash post-processing code for seven stellar structure evolution models of low-mass AGB stars with three different sets of nuclear inputs. The reference set has constant decay rates and represents the set used in the previous Monash publications. The second set contains the temperature and density dependence of β decays and electron captures based on the default rates of nuclear NETwork GENerator (NETGEN). In the third set, we further update 92 neutron-capture rates based on re-evaluated experimental cross sections from the ASTrophysical Rate and rAw data Library. We compare and discuss the predictions of the sets relative to each other in terms of isotopic surface abundances and total stellar yields. We also compare the results to isotopic ratios measured in presolar stardust silicon carbide (SiC) grains from AGB stars. Results. The new sets of models result in a ∼66% solar s-process contribution to the p-nucleus 152 Gd, confirming that this isotope is predominantly made by the s process. The nuclear input updates result in predictions for the 80 Kr/ 82 Kr ratio in the He intershell and surface 64 Ni/ 58 Ni, 94 Mo/ 96 Mo, and 137 Ba/ 136 Ba ratios that are more consistent with the corresponding ratios measured in stardust; however, the new predicted 138 Ba/ 136 Ba ratios are higher than the typical values of the SiC grains. The W isotopic anomalies are in agreement with data from the analyses of other meteoritic inclusions. We confirm that the production of 176 Lu and 205 Pb is affected by too large uncertainties in their decay rates from NETGEN.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

The 2025 Evaluation of Experimental Thermonuclear Reaction Rates (ETR25)

This work describes the formalism for estimating thermonuclear reaction rates for astrophysical applications, emphasizing modern statistical approaches such as Monte Carlo sampling and Bayesian models. We discuss related topics including the calculation of resonance energies from nuclear Q values, indirect estimates of particle partial widths, and matching of reaction rates at elevated temperatures to statistical model results. We have evaluated available experimental data on cross sections, resonance energies and strengths, partial widths, lifetimes, spin-parities, and spectroscopic factors. Based on these results, we have estimated numerical values of 78 experimental charged-particle thermonuclear reaction rates for target nuclei in the A = 2–40 mass region, for temperatures ranging from 1 MK to 10 GK. For each reaction, three rate values are provided: low, median, and high, corresponding to the 16th, 50th, and 84th percentiles, respectively, of the cumulative reaction rate probability density distribution. Additionally, we present the factor uncertainty of each rate at each temperature grid point. These results enable users to sample the reaction rate probability density in nucleosynthesis calculations, facilitating uncertainty estimates of nuclidic abundances. The rates presented here refer to their laboratory values. For use in stellar model simulations, these values need to be corrected for the effects of thermal excitations of the interacting nuclei. For each reaction, we include graphs that illustrate the fractional contributions to the overall reaction rate along with the associated uncertainty. These visuals are designed to assist both stellar modelers and nuclear experimentalists by identifying the primary sources of rate uncertain=^texttx);ty at specific stellar temperatures. A graphical comparison with earlier Monte Carlo rates is also provided.

Nuclear astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2023

U.S. Efforts in Support of Examinations at Fukushima Daiichi - November 2022 Meeting Notes and Information Request Status

Information obtained from Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (Daiichi) is required to inform future Decontamination and Decommissioning (D&D) activities, improving the ability of the Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated (TEPCO Holdings) to characterize potential hazards and to ensure the safety of workers involved with cleanup activities. This information also has important implications for the safety and operation of U.S. commercial nuclear power plants. This document summarizes results from the Fiscal Year 2023 (FY2023) U.S. effort to review Daiichi information and extract insights to enhance the safety of existing and future nuclear power plant designs. This U.S. effort, which was initiated in 2014 by the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy, is completed by a group of experts in reactor safety and plant operations that identify examination needs and evaluate recent Daiichi examination data to address these needs. Fukushima-related information and associated discussions during these meetings benefit operating, new, and advanced reactors. Significant safety insights have been and are continuing to be obtained in several areas: system and component performance, radionuclide surveys and sampling, debris end-state location, combustible gas effects, and plant operations and maintenance. In addition to reducing uncertainties related to severe accident modeling progression, these insights have and continue to be used to update guidance for severe accident prevention, mitigation, and emergency planning. Furthermore, Daiichi-related activities, such as code modeling improvements and analysis, testing, and new technology deployment efforts, have the potential to offer additional benefits to the operating fleet and new LWR and non-LWR designs. U.S. evaluations of obtained examination information and input regarding future Daiichi examinations are of interest to several organizations within Japan. Since its inception, the U.S. has provided consensus input for high priority time-sequenced examination tasks and supporting research activities. In their Mid-to-Long-term Examination Plan for 1F investigations, TEPCO included all remaining U.S. consensus information requests and additional information requests they identified. TEPCO periodically provides reports on the status of these requests (reflecting D&D priorities, new insights from investigations, and new technologies that become available). Hence, U.S. experts agreed that it was appropriate for TEPCO to track and prioritize these information requests as D&D progresses. U.S. experts will continue to review and comment on the information obtained from examinations and, as needed, provide additional details and relevant background material to support future examinations. As documented in this report, several other items, such as additional details on information requests pertaining to ex-vessel examinations, relevant references from prior research, additional documents to provide insights regarding recent investigation findings, and reviews of recently released documents, were agreed to during the FY2023 meeting.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Transformational challenge reactor analysis to inform preconceptual core design decisions: Sensitivity study of transient analysis in a hydride-moderated microreactor

The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR) program aims to demonstrate a revolutionary design approach enabled by advanced manufacturing and data analytics in the design of nuclear reactors. This article discusses scoping analyses of preconceptual designs to inform TCR design decisions and the evaluation of sensitivities and uncertainties on postulated transient scenarios. The applicability of the systems codes TRACE and RELAP5-3D to TCR transient analysis are examined, and RELAP5-3D models are used to examine the transient response of two candidate core designs at multiple power levels. Then, the uncertainty quantification code RAVEN is used to quantify the effect of several design parameters on reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) progression at hot zero power (HZP) and hot full power (HFP) as well as to assess the impact of uncertainties in transient parameters for the pressurized loss of forced cooling (PLOFC).When results were compared, TRACE and RELAP5-3D showed good agreement in their ability to predict system behavior, but RELAP5-3D calculations were closer to analytical predictions for the RIA. Furthermore, models for a PLOFC accident in two designs (a UO2 and TRISO core) at multiple power levels showed greater temperature margins for the TRISO core at all power levels. Using this information, along with other scoping analyses and constraints, the TCR design team selected a power level of 3 MWth and a TRISO-based core design. For this design RAVEN was applied to vary RIA parameters in RELAP5-3D models at HZP and HFP to understand the effect on figures of merit such as peak power, fuel and coolant temperature, and energy deposition. This sensitivity study found that the inserted reactivity worth was the most important parameter controlling all figures of merit, but for insertion up to 1.5$ no failure of TCR fuel is anticipated. For constant reactivity insertions, the magnitude of the fuel temperature coefficient was found to have the greatest effect on all figures of merit under most circumstances. These results not only demonstrate the anticipated robust safety of the proposed TCR fuel form but also provide a reference for future metal-hydride moderated systems to understand RIA behavior. In the PLOFC, the impact of heat transfer enhancement due to wavy flow channel effects dominated the variance in peak temperatures, and variations in heat exchanger elevation provided the greatest control on natural circulation flow rate. Additionally, no fuel particle failure is anticipated in the PLOFC.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗