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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Copernicus-LinCov (COPCOV) Software Integration in Support of Robust Trajectory Optimization

Robust trajectory optimization is the process of optimizing a trajectory while accounting for system uncertainty due to a variety of potential error sources. This work highlights the development and features of a novel tool known as CopCov to support robust trajectory optimization efforts. CopCov acts as an interface between Copernicus, a generalized trajectory design and optimization tool, and LinCov, a linear covariance analysis tool. By having a direct interface between these two software packages, Copernicus can receive covariance information from LinCov through a direct feedback loop, thus enabling optimization of a trajectory that is robust to trajectory dispersions and navigation errors. This paper details the architecture of CopCov and its flexibility to operate under varying configurations, including with both tools running locally or alternatively with the tools communicating via a remote connection. Additionally, the CopCov tool is demonstrated on a simple Hohmann transfer reference trajectory with varying numbers of Trajectory Correction Maneuvers (TCMs) and varying problem formulations. This example scenario is used to highlight how the inclusion of the CopCov interface affects burn placement of both major burns and minor burns (i.e., TCMs) in the optimized solution. Results are compared against analytical solutions and against a Genetic Algorithm (GA) optimizer for independent verification and validation.

Copernicus↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Application of Regolith Polymer Composite Fused Granular Fabrication Construction in Simulated Lunar Conditions

NASA’s Artemis program has the goal of creating a sustained lunar presence to provide unprecedented opportunities for scientific discovery and to ensure industry’s access to the unlimited resources and commercial potential in space. To achieve this goal, NASA must incrementally develop and expand its capabilities beyond the short lunar stays of the Apollo program to a robust continued presence with infrastructure and equipment to reduce mission risk. Kennedy Space Center’s Granular Mechanics and Regolith Operations laboratory (a.k.a. Swamp Works) has partnered with SpaceFactory and LERA Consulting Structural Engineers to develop the architectural and structural design of a robotically constructable unpressurized shelter. The shelter, called Lunar Infrastructure Asset (LINA), is designed to protect astronauts and surface assets from radiation, meteoroid impact, thermal gradients, and to withstand moonquakes. A Fused Granular Fabrication (FGF) construction process using regolith polymer composites was developed. The construction system and associated print parameters are discussed along with the environmental simulation equipment and a summary of test conditions. Test samples were printed in dirty thermal vacuum conditions (~10-3 torr, ~-200 °C,) and subscale versions of LINA were printed on a regolith simulant substrate in vacuum (~10-4 torr). Full scale LINA design optimization, simulation, and construction concept of operations are discussed.

lunar infrastructure↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Selection, Production and Properties of Regolith Polymer Composite for Lunar Construction

lunar infrastructure↗

DOE OSTI2024

Verification, Validation, and Calibration Through a Causal Lens

While typical validation and verification approaches focus on identifying the associations between data elements using statistical and machine learning methods, the novel methods in this paper focus instead on identifying causal relationships between data elements. Statistical and machine-learning-based approaches are strictly data-driven, meaning that they provide quantitative comparison measures between data sets without explicitly considering the hypotheses behind them. This can lead to the erroneous conclusion that, if two data sets are close enough, the models that generated them are similar. In addition, when experimental and simulated data differ to an extent that fails to meet the acceptance criteria, calibration techniques are used to tweak simulation model parameters to reduce the gap between the two types of data. This produces the false expectation that a simulation model will match reality. The methods presented in this paper move away from these strictly data-driven methods for validation and calibration toward more robust, model-driven methods based on causal inference. Causal inference aims to identify the possible mechanisms that might have generated data. Thus, this analysis targets the prediction of the effects when one (or more) of the identified mechanisms are altered. There are many approaches to identify, quantify, and illustrate causal relationships. For the scope of this paper, directed graphs are employed as causal models. If the directed graph lacks cycles, it is known as a directed acyclic graph. A node in such a graph represents an observed data element while a directed edge connecting two nodes represents a causal relationship between two variables. The developed causal methods are designed to extract causal models from simulation models and experimental data. Causal models capture the causal relationships between data elements (e.g., simulated and experimental data). In this context, validation and verification are performed by comparing causal models. The proposed approach does not only inform system analysts on how a simulation model matches real-world data, but also identifies elements of the simulation model that should be revised when discrepancies between simulation and experimental data are observed. Through these causal methods, analysts can identify the portion of the model equation(s) that are behind an edge connecting two variables. Hence, once the structural differences between causal models have been determined, model calibration can occur by changing only those model parameters that impact the identified causal relationships.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

VALIDATION, VERIFICATION, AND CALIBRATION THROUGH A CAUSAL LENS

This paper presents an alternative method based on causal inference to perform validation, verification, and calibration of simulation models. While classical validation and verification approaches focus on the identification of the associations between data elements using statistical and machine learning methods, the novel methods in this paper focus instead on the identification of causal relationships between data elements. Statistical and machine learning-based approaches are strictly data-driven, meaning that they provide quantitative comparison measures between datasets without explicitly considering the hypotheses behind them. This can lead to the erroneous conclusion that, if two data sets are close enough, then the models that generated them are similar. In addition, when experimental and simulated data differ to an extent that fails to meet the acceptance criteria, calibration techniques are used to tweak simulation model parameters to reduce the gap between the two types of data. This produces the false expectation that a simulation model will match reality. The methods presented in this paper move away from these strictly data-driven methods for validation and calibration toward more robust, model-driven methods based on causal inference. Causal inference aims to identify the possible mechanisms that might have generated data. Thus, this analysis targets the prediction of the effects when one (or more) of the identified mechanisms are altered. There are many approaches to identify, quantify and illustrate causal relationships. For the scope of this paper, directed graphs are employed as causal models. If the directed graph lacks cycles it is known as a directed acyclic graph (DAG). A node in such a graph represents an observed data element while a directed edge connecting two nodes represents a causal relationship between two variables. The developed causal methods are designed to extract causal models from simulation models and from experimental data. Causal models capture the causal relationships between data elements (e.g., simulated and experimental data). In this context, validation and verification are performed by comparing causal models. The proposed approach does not only inform system analysts on how a simulation model matches real-world data, but also identifies elements of the simulation model that should be revised when discrepancies between simulation and experimental data are observed. Through these causal methods, analysts have a means to identify the portion of the model equation(s) that are behind an edge connecting two variables. Hence, once the structural differences between causal models have been determined, model calibration can occur by changing only those model parameters that impact the identified causal relationships.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Distinctive features of structural evolution and thermodynamic response in wide-bandgap semiconductors driven by intense electronic excitation

Radiation-tolerant material selection requires balancing lattice rigidity, defect dynamics, and electronic stability, as shown by covalent SiC outperforming ionic Ga 2 O 3 and GaN under extreme environments. Responding to intense electronic excitation, irradiation-driven phase segregation (β → δ/κ in Ga 2 O 3 ) and core–shell track (disordered structure in GaN), accompanied by elemental redistribution, contrastingly, exceptional radiation tolerance manifested by comparatively minimal lattice distortion (0.17 % strain variation) was demonstrated in SiC. These differential responses are primarily attributed to two fundamental mechanisms: (i) thermodynamic driving forces governing defect migration and phase separation, and (ii) the synergistic effects of robust covalent bonding composition coupled with efficient defect recombination processes. Here, the stronger electron–phonon (e-ph) coupling in Ga 2 O 3 (4.34 × 1018 W m −3 K −1 ) and GaN (3.55 × 10 18 W m −3 K −1 ) enhances lattice energy deposition, triggering thermal spikes (ΔT ≫ T m ) and structural transition behaviors, whereas weaker e-ph coupling in SiC (3.69 × 10 18 W m −3 K −1 ), relatively high thermodynamic parameters and efficient energy dissipation suppress thermal spikes to maintaining lattice integrity. The photoresponse degradation driven by enhanced radiative recombination is dominant in N-doped SiC, while V-doped systems achieve defect-mediated photoconduction optimization characterized by abrupt current transitions, matching fluorescence yield evolutions, and directly connecting defect engineering to optoelectronic performance.

Intense electronic excitation↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Robustness of Semi-Superjunction 4H-SiC Power DMOSFETs to Single-Event Burnout from Heavy Ion Bombardment

We compare the failure mechanism and performance of a silicon carbide (SiC) semi-superjunction (semi-SJ) power DMOSFET against pure SJ and conventional DMOSFET when struck by a single heavy ion. The Single-Event Burnout (SEB) failure mechanism was identified as the thermal runaway from second breakdown resulting in mesoplasma formation. The semi-SJ design shifts the mesoplasma location from the drift/substrate interface seen in the control device structures to a location along the center of the P-pillar and closer towards the DMOSFET surface, thus significantly improving the SEB threshold voltage. The SEB threshold voltage varies with pillar width and ratio of pillar thickness to drift layer thickness. A maximum value of SEB threshold voltage is reached when the pillar to drift layer ratio is 0.9 and the pillar width is 2.4 μm. The semi-SJ SEB/breakdown voltage ratio is 100% and 13% higher than the pure SJ and conventional DMOSFET, respectively. Using a new figure of merit (FOM), which accounts for the tradeoff between SEB threshold voltage and on-state performance, we find that the SiC semi-SJ DMOSFET achieves a FOM that is 1.8 and 8 times higher than SJ and conventional DMOSFET, respectively, making the semi-SJ a competitive candidate for radiation hardened applications.

SiC↗

DOE OSTI2023

Chapter 6: Abuse Response of Batteries Subjected to Mechanical Impact

Electrochemical and thermal models to simulate nominal performance and abuse response of lithium-ion cells and batteries have been reported widely in the literature. Studies on mechanical failure of cell components and how such events interact with the electrochemical and thermal response are relatively less common. This chapter outlines a framework developed under the Computer Aided Engineering for Batteries program to couple failure modes resulting from external mechanical loading to the onset and propagation of electrochemical and thermal events that follow. Starting with a scalable approach to implement failure criteria based on thermal, mechanical, and electrochemical thresholds, we highlight the practical importance of these models using case studies at the cell and module level. The chapter also highlights a few gaps in our understanding of the comprehensive response of batteries subjected to mechanical crash events, the stochastic nature of some of these failure events, and our approach to build safety maps that help improve robustness of battery design by capturing the sensitivity of some key design parameters to heat generation rates under different mitigation strategies.

abuse simulations↗

NASA NTRS2004

Robust local search for spacecraft operations using adaptive noise

Randomization is a standard technique for improving the performance of local search algorithms for constraint satisfaction. However, it is well-known that local search algorithms are constraints satisfaction. However, it is well-known that local search algorithms are to the noise values selected. We investigate the use of an adaptive noise mechanism in an iterative repair-based planner/scheduler for spacecraft operations. Preliminary results indicate that adaptive noise makes the use of randomized repair moves safe and robust; that is, using adaptive noise makes it possible to consistently achieve, performance comparable with the best tuned noise setting without the need for manually tuning the noise parameter.

planning↗

NASA NTRS2013

Development of the Orion Crew-Service Module Umbilical Retention and Release Mechanism

The Orion Crew-Service Module umbilical retention and release mechanism supports, protects and disconnects all of the cross-module commodities between the spacecraft's crew and service modules. These commodities include explosive transfer lines, wiring for power and data, and flexible hoses for ground purge and life support systems. Initial development testing of the mechanism's separation interface resulted in binding failures due to connector misalignments. The separation interface was redesigned with a robust linear guide system, and the connector separation and boom deployment were separated into two discretely sequenced events. Subsequent analysis and testing verified that the design changes corrected the binding. This umbilical separation design will be used on Exploration Flight Test 1 (EFT-1) as well as all future Orion flights. The design is highly modular and can easily be adapted to other vehicles/modules and alternate commodity sets.

Separation↗

DOE OSTI2026

Algebraic Multigrid with Filtering: An Efficient Preconditioner for Interior Point Methods in Large-Scale Contact Mechanics Optimization

Large-scale contact mechanics simulations are crucial in many engineering fields such as structural design and manufacturing. In the frictionless case, contact can be modeled by minimizing an energy functional; however, these problems are often nonlinear, nonconvex, and increasingly difficult to solve as mesh resolution increases. In this work, we employ a Newton-based interior-point (IP) filter line-search method, an effective approach for large-scale constrained optimization. While this method converges rapidly, each iteration requires solving a large saddle-point linear system that becomes ill-conditioned as the optimization process converges, largely due to IP treatment of the contact constraints. Such ill-conditioning can hinder solver scalability and increase iteration counts with mesh refinement. Here, to address this, we introduce a novel preconditioner, algebraic multigrid with filtering (AMGF), tailored to the Schur complement of the saddle-point system. Building on the classical AMG solver, commonly used for elasticity, we augment it with a specialized subspace correction that filters near null space components introduced by contact interface constraints. Through theoretical analysis and numerical experiments on a range of linear and nonlinear contact problems, we demonstrate that the proposed solver achieves mesh independent convergence and maintains robustness against the ill-conditioning that notoriously plagues IP methods. These results indicate that AMGF makes contact mechanics simulations more tractable and broadens the applicability of Newton-based IP methods in challenging engineering scenarios. More broadly, AMGF is well suited for problems, optimization or otherwise, where solver performance is limited by a low-dimensional subspace, such as those arising from localized constraints, interface conditions, or model heterogeneities. This makes the method widely applicable beyond contact mechanics and constrained optimization.

Mathematics and Computing↗

DOE OSTI2022

Localized growth and remodelling drives spongy mesophyll morphogenesis

The spongy mesophyll is a complex, porous tissue found in plant leaves that enables carbon capture and provides mechanical stability. Unlike many other biological tissues, which remain confluent throughout development, the spongy mesophyll must develop from an initially confluent tissue into a tortuous network of cells with a large proportion of intercellular airspace. How the airspace in the spongy mesophyll develops while the tissue remains mechanically stable is unknown. Here, we use computer simulations of deformable polygons to develop a purely mechanical model for the development of the spongy mesophyll tissue. By stipulating that cell wall growth and remodelling occurs only near void space, our computational model is able to recapitulate spongy mesophyll development observed in Arabidopsis thaliana leaves. We find that robust generation of pore space in the spongy mesophyll requires a balance of cell growth, adhesion, stiffness and tissue pressure to ensure cell networks become porous yet maintain mechanical stability. The success of this mechanical model of morphogenesis suggests that simple physical principles can coordinate and drive the development of complex plant tissues like the spongy mesophyll.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

NASA NTRS2020

The Roughness Properties of Small Ice-Bearing Craters at the South Pole of the Moon: Implications for Accessing Fresh Water Ice in Future Surface Operations

The lunar poles provide a fascinating thermal environment capable of cold-trapping water ice on geologic timescales [1]. While there have been many observations indicating the presence of water ice at the lunar surface [e.g., 2–4], it is still not clear when this ice was delivered to the Moon. The timing of volatile dep-osition provides important constraints on the origin of lunar ice because different delivery mechanisms have been active at different times throughout lunar history. We previously found that some small (<10 km) cra-ters at the south pole of the Moon have morphologies suggestive of relatively young ages, on the basis of crisp crater rims [5]. These craters are too small to date with robust cratering statistics [5], but the possibility of ice in young craters is intriguing because it suggests that there is some recent and perhaps ongoing mechanism that is delivering or redistributing water to polar cold traps. Therefore, understanding if these small, ice-bear-ing craters are indeed young is essential in understand-ing the age and source of volatiles on the Moon. Here we take a new approach to understand the ages of these small polar cold traps: analyzing the roughness properties of small ice-bearing craters. It is well under-stood that impact crater properties (e.g., morphology, rock abundance, and roughness) evolve with time due to a variety of geologic and space-weathering processes [6–11]. Topographic roughness is a measurement of the local deviation from the mean topography, providing a measurement of surface texture, and is a powerful tool for evaluating surface evolution over geologic time [e.g., 11–14]. In this study we analyze the roughness of southern lunar craters (40°S–90°S) from all geologic eras, and determine how the roughness of small (<10 km) ice-bearing craters compare. We discuss the implications of the ages of ice-bearing south polar craters, and potential strategies for accessing fresh ice on the Moon.

Deutsch, Ariel N.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Assessment of MOOSE-Based Tools for Calculating Radial Core Expansion

Radial core expansion in liquid-metal cooled fast reactor systems is a well-known phenomenon that produces strong reactivity feedback effects. An inherently safe reactor design takes advantage of negative reactivity feedback in accident scenarios by utilizing a core restraint system which produces a bowed shape that allows for radial expansion of the fuel regions. Detailed modeling and simulation of core radial expansion itself as well as subsequent reactivity feedback is a challenging task involving contact of many fuel assembly elements and physics feedback from neutronics, thermal hydraulics, and thermal mechanical response. A variety of physics codes have been developed to model aspects of radial core expansion but in general invoke geometrical or physics approximations. No code system currently exists which tightly and robustly couples these physics with enough detail to fully resolve the complex core radial expansion reactivity feedback effects. The future availability of such a code system is of vital importance to fully understanding the reactivity feedback effects that occur due to radial expansion, and consequently to optimizing the design of the core restraint system. A high-fidelity code will also be used to benchmark existing lower fidelity, faster running models to understand their benefits, limitations, and range of applications. A code development path using MOOSE-based tools is proposed in order to leverage the detailed geometry capabilities and natural tight coupling and robustness of MOOSE-based applications for modeling this complex phenomena. While simulation of the full phenomenon involves several physics, an assessment has been initiated on the capabilities and readiness of the currently available Tensor Mechanics module within MOOSE for calculation of the structural mechanical responses which occur within the reactor core. This report focuses on modeling the force-deformation response which mimics the physics of a duct contact deformation, as well as differential thermal expansion which produces a thermal bowed shaped for the fuel assemblies in a core. Simple examples were initially performed such as simple supported beam bending under load. The complexity of examples was progressively increased to better mimic the duct behavior by including a differential thermal example and inclusion of hexagonal cross-sections in the geometry. Further assessment of the structural mechanical response simulation capability is still required for modeling duct contact interactions and irradiation creep and swelling. Companion thermal hydraulic and neutronics assessments will also be required; these activities are planned for future years. Finally, integration of the multiple physics components through MOOSE is required to predict the core radial expansion and subsequent feedback effects.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Predictive analytics of selections of russet potatoes

We explore the application of machine learning algorithms specifically to enhance the selection process of Russet potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) clones in breeding trials by predicting their suitability for advancement. This study addresses the challenge of efficiently identifying high-yield, disease-resistant, and climate-resilient potato varieties that meet processing industry standards. Leveraging manually collected data from trials in the state of Oregon, we investigate the potential of a wide variety of state-of-the-art binary classification models. The dataset includes 1086 clones, with data on 38 attributes recorded for each clone, focusing on yield, size, appearance, and frying characteristics, with several control varieties planted consistently across four Oregon regions from 2013 to 2021. We conduct a comprehensive analysis of the dataset that includes preprocessing, feature engineering, and imputation to address missing values. We focus on several key metrics such as accuracy, F1-score, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) for model evaluation. The top-performing models, namely a feedforward neural network classifier (Neural Net), a histogram-based gradient boosting classifier (HGBC), and a support vector machine classifier (SVM), demonstrate consistent and significant results. To further validate our findings, we conducted a simulation study using the aims, data-generating mechanisms, estimands, methods, and performance measures (ADEMP) framework, simulating different data-generating scenarios to assess model robustness and performance through true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative distributions, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and MCC. The simulation results highlight that non-linear models like SVM and HGBC consistently show higher AUC-ROC and MCC than logistic regression, thus outperforming the traditional linear model across various distributions, and emphasizing the importance of model selection and tuning in agricultural trials. Variable selection further enhances model performance and identifies influential features in predicting trial outcomes. The findings emphasize the potential of machine learning in streamlining the selection process for potato varieties, offering benefits such as increased efficiency, substantial cost savings, and judicious resource utilization. Our study contributes insights into precision agriculture and showcases the relevance of advanced technologies for informed decision-making in breeding programs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Combining Chemistry, Material Science, Inspiration from nature, and Serendipity to Develop Stimuli-responsive Polymeric Materials

Neither of us can remember people talking about stimuli-responsive polymers when we were students. Even though this was still in the last century, it was almost 70 years after Staudinger's seminal paper "uber Polymerisation"![1] By the time we entered graduate school in the early 1990 s, the first papers on polymer light emitting diodes appeared, while research on electrically conducting, nonlinear optical, and other "functional" polymers was already in full swing. Looking back, there were some stimuli-responsive materials that were around at the time, but it took the better part of the last 30 years until the field had developed into what we think is one of the most vibrant areas of polymer science. Before the potential usefulness of this class of materials was recognized, researchers were focused on developing polymeric materials that would not respond to external influences, and in fact maintain (in particular) their mechanical properties in a wide range of environments. This has led to the development of many environmentally robust polymers, which have come to impact basically every aspect of our daily life. Ironically, this long-sought stability now comes back to haunt us in the form of plastic pollution, but this is another story. The concept of materials that adapt their properties in response to changing environmental conditions might appear like a complete reversal with respect to the original goals of creating stable materials. However, eventually a) it was recognized that materials that respond to a specific stimulus in a predictable and useful manner would significantly broaden the potential usefulness of polymers, and b) the field of polymer science had developed to the point where the rational design, preparation, and characterization of such materials became possible. The expression 'stimuli-responsive polymer' had been first used in the 1980's, however its use really only gained popularity a few decades later. In the early days, terms such as environmentally-sensitive or environmentally-responsive polymers, stimuli-reversible or stimuli-sensitive polymers, or polymers with phase transitions have also been used.

Rowan, Stuart J.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Predicting fracture behavior in single crystal nickel using a coupled crystal plasticity phase field damage approach

Understanding the fracture behavior of single crystal metals is critical for predicting material performance under mechanical loading. Here, in this study, we investigate the fracture characteristics of single crystal nickel tensile bars using a crystal plasticity coupled phase field damage (CP-PFD) model. Experimental tensile tests were conducted on 15 specimens spanning five crystallographic orientations and three thickness variants per orientation. The results revealed two distinct fracture modes: brittle fractures with 45-degree angled surfaces and ductile fractures characterized by significant necking. The CP-PFD model successfully replicated these fracture behaviors, demonstrating strong agreement with experimental observations. The model effectively predicted the strain at which necking and fracture occurred, as well as the orientation-dependent fracture mechanisms. By comparing experimental and simulated fracture surfaces, we establish the CP-PFD model as a robust tool for predicting single crystal behavior and damage evolution. This work provides insight into the microstructural dependence of fracture behavior and establishes a predictive framework for modeling orientation-dependent damage evolution in single-crystal nickel.

Crystal plasticity↗

DOE OSTI2025

Water-mediated ion transport in an anion exchange membrane

Water is a critical component in polyelectrolyte anion exchange membranes (AEMs). It plays a central role in ion transport in electrochemical systems. Gaining a better understanding of molecular transport and conductivity in AEMs has been challenged by the lack of a general methodology capable of capturing and connecting water dynamics, water structure, and ionic transport over time and length scales ranging from those associated with individual bond vibrations and molecular reorientations to those pertaining to macroscopic AEM performance. In this work, we use two-dimensional infrared spectroscopy and semiclassical simulations to examine how water molecules are arranged into successive solvation shells, and we explain how that structure influences the dynamics of bromide ion transport processes in polynorbornene-based materials. We find that the transition to the faster transport mechanism occurs when the reorientation of water molecules in the second solvation shell is fast, allowing a robust hydrogen bond network to form. Our findings provide molecular-level insights into AEMs with inherent transport of halide ions, and help pave the way towards a comprehensive understanding of hydroxide ion transport in AEMs.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗