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DOE OSTI2021

Building and grid system benefits of demand flexibility and energy efficiency

The global electricity system is undergoing a dramatic transformation. Technology advancements in clean energy generation (e.g., solar photovoltaics and wind) and electrified demand (e.g., transportation and building heating) are providing a cost-competitive pathway to mitigate the urgent and severe consequences associated with a changing climate. In addition, as extreme events continue to increase in frequency and magnitude, solutions are needed for adapting to the current climate. Through energy efficiency and demand flexibility, buildings play a prominent role in meeting these challenges; recently in Joule, a paper by Langevin et al. provides clear insight into the magnitude of buildings’ technical potential.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Lyapunov stability of smart inverters using linearized distflow approximation

Fast-acting smart inverters that utilize preset operating conditions to determine real and reactive power injection/consumption can create voltage instabilities (over-voltage, voltage oscillations and more) in an electrical distribution network if set-points are not properly configured. In this work, linear distribution power flow equations and droop-based Volt–Var and Volt–Watt control curves are used to analytically derive a stability criterion using Lyapunov analysis that includes the network operating condition. The methodology is generally applicable for control curves that can be represented as Lipschitz functions. The derived Lipschitz constants account for smart inverter hardware limitations for reactive power generation. A local policy is derived from the stability criterion that allows inverters to adapt their control curves by monitoring only local voltage, thus avoiding centralized control or information sharing with other inverters. The criterion is independent of the internal time-delays of smart inverters. Simulation results for inverters with and without the proposed stabilization technique demonstrate how smart inverters can mitigate voltage oscillations locally and mitigate real and reactive power flow disturbances at the substation under multiple scenarios. The study concludes with illustrations of how the control policy can dampen oscillations caused by solar intermittency and cyberattacks.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Emerging Energy Market Analysis Initiative, Methodological Framework

Planning and operations of the electric power sector are undergoing radical changes. Climate change mitigation efforts have forced rapid changes to the technology mix. Technologies like wind and solar have experienced rapid growth, while investment in fossil sources has peaked or is declining. These foundational changes are forcing changes to energy systems. Demand-side adoption of electrified technologies, including electric vehicles, is changing load profiles and opening up new avenues for consumer participation in the power systems. The implications of an evolving power system pertain to more than environmental and technical dimensions. Changes to the generation mix and its consequent upstream and downstream impacts such as fuel production have significant and highly concentrated consequences on economies and employment. Shifts towards distributed (or decentralized) generating assets offer the potential to reshape economic and employment opportunities associated with the energy sector across space and socioeconomic groups. The Emerging Energy Market Analysis (EMA) initiative aims to identify sustainable, regionally acceptable, and high-value energy solutions that are secure and equitable. Unlike short-term, least-cost choices that can narrowly account for traditional options, EMA’s focus on emerging energy markets recognizes that new or adapted practices and technologies can alter the frontier of solutions and advance a community’s social, economic, and natural pathways. Such change requires a more comprehensive analysis of societal input, resources, capabilities, and infrastructure. These considerations lay the foundation for community decision-making models that are responsive to community values as well as the history and drivers. The result is a community-based decision and engagement model that will be valuable to decisionmakers and developers of advanced and emerging energy solutions, seeking a social license to operate prior to project development.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Comprehensive Analysis of PINNs for Power System Transient Stability

The integration of machine learning in power systems, particularly in stability and dynamics, addresses the challenges brought by the integration of renewable energies and distributed energy resources (DERs). Traditional methods for power system transient stability, involving solving differential equations with computational techniques, face limitations due to their time-consuming and computationally demanding nature. This paper introduces physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) as a promising solution for these challenges, especially in scenarios with limited data availability and the need for high computational speed. PINNs offer a novel approach for complex power systems by incorporating additional equations and adapting to various system scales, from a single bus to multi-bus networks. Our study presents the first comprehensive evaluation of physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) in the context of power system transient stability, addressing various grid complexities. Additionally, we introduce a novel approach for adjusting loss weights to improve the adaptability of PINNs to diverse systems. Our experimental findings reveal that PINNs can be efficiently scaled while maintaining high accuracy. Furthermore, these results suggest that PINNs significantly outperform the traditional ode45 method in terms of efficiency, especially as the system size increases, showcasing a progressive speed advantage over ode45.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reinforcement learning for adaptive maintenance policy optimization under imperfect knowledge of the system degradation model and partial observability of system states

Maintenance policy optimization usually is faced with challenges that arise from an imperfect knowledge of system degradation models and from the partial observability of system degradation states. Here, this paper proposes a reinforcement learning method to address these two challenges for a class of maintenance problems with Markov degradation processes. The reinforcement learning approach consists of a learning component and a planning component. Using sequentially collected observations, at each step of decision-making the learning component improves the knowledge of system degradation in terms of the probability distributions of the transition rates based on sequential Bayesian inference. Using the updated transition rates, at each step of decision-making the maintenance policy optimization problem is then formulated as a partially observable Markov decision problem, and the planning component computes the optimal maintenance policy that maximizes the expected cumulative reward. The proposed method is illustrated using a numerical example with repair and inspection maintenance actions. The result shows that as more observations are collected, the learning component progressively learns the true system degradation process, and the planning component adjusts the optimal maintenance policy accordingly as well, which leads to increased reward.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Future Intensity‐Duration‐Frequency Curves of Extreme Precipitation in the Midwest United States From Convection‐Permitting Modeling

Abstract During the last four decades, global warming has statistically significant intensified extreme precipitation events in the Midwestern United States (defined here as the region covering Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky), leading to increased risks to human life, property, and infrastructure. To enable climate change adaptation and resilience across various economic and social sectors in this region, updated information about future climate changes, specifically at finer spatial scales, is essential. Leveraging a new 150‐year dynamical downscaling data set at convection‐permitting resolution, this study introduces a framework to construct the projected future intensity‐duration‐frequency (IDF) curves of heavy precipitation, which are prominent tools for infrastructure design and water resources management. This framework generates IDF curves at both sub‐daily and multi‐day duration utilizing hourly in situ observations as well as quantile‐based statistical techniques in bias‐correction and return levels selection. The assumption of non‐stationarity in the distribution parameter fitting process is also implemented in this workflow. Compared to historical IDF curves for 1980–2022, future projected IDF curves for 2058–2100 under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios indicate an average intensity increase of approximately 15% and 25%, respectively, across 74 stations, considering both annual and seasonal timescales. Future projections suggest that extreme precipitation events may become more severe across six investigated return periods, with longer return periods showing a greater increase. The frequency of future extreme precipitation events in the Midwest region is also projected to double. Furthermore, current results reveal spatial heterogeneity of future trends across stations owing to the high‐resolution input data set. Plain Language Summary This study investigates the evolving nature of extreme precipitation events in the Midwestern United States under a changing climate. By leveraging a high‐resolution dynamical downscaling data set, we construct projected intensity‐duration‐frequency (IDF) curves for future extreme rainfall events. These curves serve as vital tools for infrastructure planning and water resource management. Our analysis reveals a significant increase in both the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation events in the region. Future projected IDF curves for the late century indicate an average intensity increase of approximately 15%–25% compared to historical values. Moreover, the frequency of such events is expected to double. Spatial heterogeneity in future trends is observed across different stations within the Midwest, highlighting the importance of high‐resolution modeling in capturing localized climate variability. These findings underscore the urgent need for climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the increasing risks associated with extreme precipitation events in the region. Key Points This study introduces a workflow to construct future intensity‐duration‐frequency (IDF) curves over the Midwest United States using a new convection‐permitting modeling data set The current IDF construction workflow reproduces well the historical observed IDF 30 curves in summer months with median relative errors of 2.4% among 74 stations and 6 investigated durations The projected IDF curves show diverse future trends of extreme precipitation across stations, with intensity increases of approximately 15% and 25% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, respectively, and a doubling of frequency on average

Nguyen, Trung↗

DOE OSTI2024

Structure-Related Electronic and Magnetic Properties in Ultrathin Epitaxial Ni x Fe 3–x O 4 Films on MgO(001)

Off-stoichiometric Ni x Fe 3–x O 4 ultrathin films (x < 2.1) with varying Ni content x and thickness 16 (±2) nm were grown on MgO(001) by reactive molecular beam epitaxy. Synchrotron-based high-resolution X-ray diffraction measurements reveal vertical compressive strain for all films, resulting from a lateral pseudomorphic adaption of the film to the substrate lattice without any strain relaxation. Complete crystallinity with smooth interfaces and surfaces is obtained independent of the Ni content x. For x < 1 an expected successive conversion from Fe 3 O 4 to NiFe 2 O 4 is observed, whereas local transformation into NiO structures is observed for films with Ni content x > 1. However, angle-resolved hard X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy measurements indicate homogeneous cationic distributions without strictly separated phases independent of the Ni content, while X-ray absorption spectroscopy shows that also for x > 1, not all Fe 2+ cations are substituted by Ni 2+ cations. The ferrimagnetic behavior, as observed by superconducting quantum interference device magnetometry, is characterized by decreasing saturation magnetization due to the formation of antiferromagnetic NiO parts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Drop-in sustainable aviation fuels enabled by feedstock-agnostic lignin deoxygenation

Current sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) require blending with petroleum-derived fuels due to incomplete hydrocarbon distributions, most notably a lack of aromatics. Lignin, the most abundant renewable source of aromatics, is a promising feedstock for addressing this limitation. Here, we demonstrate a sequential reductive catalytic fractionation and continuous hydrodeoxygenation process that converts multiple woody feedstocks into aromatic hydrocarbons at up to 93% of the theoretical carbon yield. Blending these products with commercial SAFs produces drop-in compatible fuels with elastomer swell performances equivalent to conventional aviation fuels. The process is adaptable across multiple biomass sources, yielding aromatic hydrocarbons with consistent enthalpic efficiencies and fuel properties. These findings establish a scalable route to 100% drop-in SAFs, leveraging lignin-derived aromatics within the existing biofuels infrastructure.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

POTATO: A Unified Assessment System for HL-LHC Outer Tracker Module Productions

The CMS detector s silicon tracker will be replaced in preparation for the upcoming High-Luminosity LHC (HL LHC) upgrade. The inner tracker will include a new pixel detector while the outer tracker (OT) will feature 5,592 pixel strip (PS) and 7,608 strip strip (2S) sensor modules with production distributed across 7 sites worldwide, requiring standardized grading and testing. One testing apparatus the burn-in box replicates the temperature cycling conditions that successful modules must withstand. The Phase-II Outer Tracker Analyzer of Test Outputs (POTATO) standardizes module evaluation and grading among testing sites. Given burn-in box test output, POTATO analyzes the results and assigns a letter grade to a module and its sub-components. POTATO's grading process must adapt to evolving standards for module evaluation; hence, we detail work on POTATO's database and grading functionality that will facilitate the unified assessment of Phase-II OT module assembly and testing worldwide. Once completed, POTATO will allow technicians to interact with a database of all graded modules and efficiently assess the global module assembly effort.

Clark, Olivia J. [U. Tennessee, Knoxville]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Operational Evolution of FTS3: A DevOps Driven Approach to Elastic Operations

The File Transfer Service (FTS3) is a distributed data movement service developed at CERN and widely used to transfer data across the Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG). At Fermilab, FTS3 supports data transfers for multiple experiments, including Intensity Frontier experiments such as DUNE, enabling reliable data movement between WebDAV endpoints in Europe and the Americas. At CHEP 2021, we reported on the initial containerized deployment of FTS3 on OKD, the community Kubernetes distribution of Red Hat OpenShift. In this work, we present the subsequent evolution of this deployment, focusing on new operational capabilities introduced to improve scalability, robustness, and long-term maintainability. We describe the adoption of more secure and reproducible container build workflows, the integration of DevOps-driven operational practices, and enhancements in monitoring and automation. A key new result is the introduction of horizontal scaling and elastic resource management, allowing FTS3 components to dynamically adapt to workload variations while maintaining service reliability. We also discuss improvements in fault tolerance and operational procedures derived from production experience. Finally, we summarize lessons learned from operating FTS3 as a Kubernetes-native service and outline how these developments have improved the resilience and efficiency of data movement operations at Fermilab.

Munoz Flores, Victor Leopoldo [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-bandwidth reconfigurable data acquisition card

A reconfigurable data acquisition card including at least one field programmable gate array (FPGA) and a configurable bus switch coupled with the FPGA. The bus switch forms at least first and second ports used by the FPGA, the bus switch being adaptable for insertion into a connection having a number of lanes at least equal to a combined number of lanes in the first and second ports. The data acquisition card further includes multiple optical transmitters and optical receivers. Each optical transmitter and optical receiver is coupled with a corresponding transceiver in the FPGA via at least one optical fiber having multiple communication links. Timing circuitry in the data acquisition card is coupled with clock generation and distribution circuitry in the FPGA and is configured to distribute clock and timing signals to detector front-ends with fixed latency and to synchronize input/output links with a system clock generated by the FPGA.

Chen, Kai↗

DOE OSTI2022

Anderson Acceleration for Distributed Training of Deep Learning Models

Anderson acceleration (AA) is an extrapolation technique that has recently gained interest in the deep learning (DL) community to speed-up the sequential training of DL models. However, when performed at large scale, the DL training is exposed to a higher risk of getting trapped into steep local minima of the training loss function, and standard AA does not provide sufficient acceleration to escape from these steep local minima. This results in poor generalizability and makes AA ineffective. To restore AA’s advantage to speed-up the training of DL models on large scale computing platforms, we combine AA with an adaptive moving average procedure that boosts the training to escape from steep local minima. By monitoring the relative standard deviation between consecutive iterations, we also introduce a criterion to automatically assess whether the moving average is needed. We applied the method to the following DL instantiations for image classification: (i) ResNet50 trained on the open-source CIFAR100 dataset and (ii) ResNet50 trained on the open-source ImageNet1k dataset. Numerical results obtained using up to 1,536 NVIDIA V100 GPUs on the OLCF supercomputer Summit showed the stabilizing effect of the moving average on AA for all the problems above.

Lupo Pasini, Massimiliano↗

DOE OSTI2024

First-Principles Simulation of Beam-Induced Processes Underlying Atomic Manipulation in Electron Microscopes

The development of experimental methods and apparatuses capable of promoting atomically precise material manipulations holds great promise for realizing the ultimate limit of feature miniaturization in materials and devices. The ability to modify materials atom by atom is anticipated to usher in new technologies in areas as diverse as separation science, medicine, and quantum information science. Historically, scanning probe-based techniques have been the most prominent approaches in this space. However, these methods are best suited for the manipulation of surface-exposed regions of materials, as the strong perturbations required for bond scission are delivered most effectively to atoms in the near-proximity to the scanning probe. In contrast, convergent electron beams with energies tuned slightly below the threshold for inducing irreversible knock-on damage have recently been employed (within scanning transmission electron microscopy) to promote atomic-scale bond rearrangements in various beam-stable solids. Currently, however, the efficiency and selectivity of beam-induced atomic manipulation processes with focused electron beams are such that long irradiation times are required to induce a desired atomic rearrangement. With a better understanding of the underlying physics dictating the outcome of a given irradiation event, methods can be devised to improve the efficiency of these techniques so that their promise can be fully realized through widespread adoption.To this end, this Account details our recent efforts to develop and apply tractable first-principles simulation approaches for studying the response of materials to electric beam-like external electric potentials applied in real space. We briefly review the concepts and capabilities in the area of atomically precise materials manipulation and review the early demonstrations of accomplishments in this area, focusing on studies using scanned convergent electron beam probes in particular. We expound upon the depth of the challenge and identify critical shortcomings of theoretical methods that have previously been employed in the simulation of beam-induced processes. We then describe the computational methods that we have generalized from the concepts and tools most commonly applied to the study of molecular photochemistry and how our adaptations of these methods can be employed to capture the relevant dynamical phenomena for beam-induced processes ranging from the initial electron scattering to the ensuing multistate reactions. Here, we contextualize these methods within the current state of the art in this area, which has historically focused primarily on the simulation of inelastic image formation in the electron microscope for the purpose of interpreting the results of quantitative electron microscopy experiments. We demonstrate that the spatial distribution of state-specific excitation rates due to the presence of an external (probe) electric charge is inhomogeneous, such that irradiation at particular locations in materials can favor specific electronic transitions (and disallow others). In addition to the potential for excited-state reaction pathways to be accessed through the initial inelastic scattering of the tightly focused electron beam from the targeted atoms, we also identify favorable conditions for the electronically nonadiabatic evolution of the highly vibrationally excited system to open complex multistate reaction pathways. Implications of the early results for understanding the mechanisms and potential routes to improved efficiency and selectivity in beam-induced reactions are discussed. We conclude with a summary of the current state of theory and modeling capabilities in this area and provide our perspective on future directions for theoretical and experimental developments that we view as crucial to advancing the use of convergent electron beams in mode-specific, atomically precise platforms for direct-write materials modifications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Game theoretic modeling and optimization of competition and collaboration in dual channel electronic waste supply chains

The rapid growth of electronic waste (e-waste) presents critical challenges for sustainable resource recovery and environmental protection. This study develops a dual-channel closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) model formulated as a hierarchical Stackelberg game, that integrates dynamic pricing and cost-sharing mechanisms to optimize both economic and environmental outcomes. The model explicitly captures strategic interactions between manufacturer-led and third-party recycling channels, accounting for consumer behavior, regulatory incentives, and market competition. Numerical simulations conducted (implemented over a four-iteration horizon using a commercial optimization solver) show that, relative to the baseline equilibrium, manufacturer profit increases from 11.6 thousand USD to 37.9 thousand USD (+226.8%), total recycled volume rises from 7,848 to 7,942 units (+1.2%), and collector profit nearly doubles under cost-sharing, enabling more equitable profit distribution. Furthermore, scenario-based simulations across Sub-Saharan Africa, high-income economies, and emerging Asian industrial countries reveal that infrastructure quality, policy intensity, and labor costs critically shape recycling efficiency and profit allocation. These findings demonstrate that subsidies alone are insufficient to ensure system efficiency. Instead, coordinated strategies that integrate internal incentive alignment with context-sensitive policy support are required. Overall, this study offers a robust framework for designing resilient, efficient, and regionally adaptable e-waste management systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Ameliorating Global Challenges: Globalization, Geopolitics, Basic & Applied Research, and Research Security

We are confronted with a myriad of global challenges, from extreme weather events, occurring at higher frequencies than at any point in history, to pollution, food insecurity, clean water shortages, and fundamentally limited natural resources and materials. The largest number of people inhabit our planet today and enjoy the highest standard of living - though not equally distributed across the world - compared to any prior moment in history. To sustain this quality of life, we are largely reliant on fossil fuel sources, which are responsible for more greenhouse gas emissions by weight each day than the collective weight of all humans that inhabit the planet. Ameliorating these global challenges will require elements of solutions that include advances in basic and applied research, innovative global engineering, materials discovery, new technologies, manufacturing at scale, resilient and adaptable infrastructure, carbon-free energy sources and storage technologies, and new supply chain networks and markets. Success will require constructive collaborative efforts between researchers in countries located in every continent of this planet. For any of these goals to be realized in a timely fashion, geopolitical leaders must become better educated about this existential challenge and incentivized to act.

applied research↗

DOE OSTI2021

Fault isolation and fault-tolerant control for Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy time-varying delay stochastic distribution systems

A fault isolation, estimation, and fault-tolerant control (FTC) scheme for nonlinear time-varying delay stochastic distribution control systems was presented in this paper. The Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model was adopted to approach the nonlinear dynamics of time-varying delay systems. According to the output equivalence principle and Laplace transformation, an augmented state vector was given to solve the time-varying delay problem. When multiple actuator faults and interference occur simultaneously, fault detection, isolation and fault estimation was designed to obtained the fault information. To decouple faults and obtain the value and location information of the fault, the system was separated into two parts through the designed multiple conversion matrices, in which one subsystem was only affected by one actuator fault. This has simplified the design of fault isolation and estimation. A adaptive observer for fault estimation was given. Then, fault information such as the time, location, and size was determined. The observer gain matrices were calculated using linear matrix inequality (LMI). When a fault was detected and diagnosed, a FTC algorithm was devised using the proportional-integral control scheme to compensate the fault as much as possible. It has been shown that even if multiple faults actuator occurred simultaneously, the FTC controller still ensured the output probability density function of the system traced the desired probability density function when a fault occurred. Finally, the expected results were obtained through the simulation example, which confirmed the effectiveness of the method.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Reinforcement Learning‐Based Adaptation of Grid Following Inverter's Internal Controller to Networked Microgrids' Strengths

The varying topological configurations, generator commitments and dispatches, and dynamic load demand lead to changing system's strengths during the operations of networked microgrids. When the system's strengths significantly change, the fixed control gains at large devices may result in unsatisfactory system performance; this necessitates the tuning of the control gains at large devices to adapt to the changing system's strengths. In this paper, observer-based reinforcement learning (RL) is utilised to automatically tune the proportional-integral (PI) gains of phase lock loop (PLL) controller of grid-following (GFL) inverters to adapt to the changing strengths of microgrids and networked microgrids. The RL agent in this framework augments an observer predicting system's strengths, from which the RL control policy will adjust accordingly to tune the PLL controller's gains towards the system's strengths. Also, to enhance the control performance, the recently introduced Barrier function-based RL framework is leveraged for the design of reward function to prevent the high frequency nadir. An operational 26 kV electric distribution system, which is modelled as networked microgrids, is used to illustrate the need and effectiveness of the proposed RL-tuned control.

frequency response↗

DOE OSTI2025

Adaptive Computing (AC) [SWR-24-106]

The Adaptive Computing (AC) software stack supports goal-based computing, for which a simulation workload is created on the fly adapting to the results of calculations. Application-specific code defines an objective, which may be to solve an optimization problem or to train a surrogate model with minimal uncertainty. Then, the AC driver decides where in the design parameter space to run simulations to best achieve that objective. This process is iterative and online; as new data is returned from simulations, the AC driver chooses new simulations to run. The AC driver can strategically run simulations on distributed hardware resources (including high performance computing machines, cloud resources, and edge devices) to maximize throughput and obey resource constraints.

Griffin, Kevin [National Renewable Energy Laborato↗