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At least 703 records · Page 39

Real-time inference and extrapolation with Time-Conditioned UNet: Applications in hypersonic flows, incompressible flows, and global temperature forecasting

Neural Operators are fast and accurate surrogates for nonlinear mappings between functional spaces within training domains. Extrapolation beyond the training domain remains a grand challenge across all application areas. We present Time-Conditioned UNet (TC-UNet) as an operator learning method to solve time-dependent PDEs continuously in time without any temporal discretization, including in extrapolation scenarios. TC-UNet incorporates the temporal evolution of the PDE into its architecture by combining a parameter conditioning approach with the attention mechanism from the Transformer architecture. After training, TC-UNet makes real-time inferences on an arbitrary temporal grid. We demonstrate its extrapolation capability on a climate problem by estimating the global temperature for several years and also for inviscid hypersonic flow around a double cone. We propose different training strategies involving temporal bundling and sub-sampling. We demonstrate performance improvements for several benchmarks, performing extrapolation for long time intervals and zero-shot super-resolution time.

Deep learning↗

Rapid synthesis of phase-engineered tungsten carbide electrocatalysts via flash joule heating for high-current-density hydrogen evolution

Fabricating durable and high-performance electrocatalysts operating at high current densities for industrial acidic hydrogen evolution remains a daunting challenge. Tailoring the phase composition of electrocatalysts is a promising strategy to harness synergistic effects and improve charge transfer, thereby optimizing their performance. Here, this work presents a fast, green method based on flash joule heating (FJH) to synthesize phase-engineered tungsten carbide electrocatalysts for the acidic hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) at high current densities. Tungsten carbide electrodes with varying FJH treatment durations (3, 10, 30, and 60 s) are fabricated to fine-tune the mixture of tungsten monocarbide (WC) and tungsten semicarbide (W 2 C) phases. Results show that samples with a 30-s treatment (TC-3) exhibit an optimal balance between these phases, leading to a low overpotential of 180.97 and 387 mV at current densities of 10 mA/cm 2 and 4 A/cm 2 , respectively. TC-3 exhibits significantly lower charge transfer resistance compared to the other electrocatalysts, which can be attributed to its optimal phase ratio. Notably, the TC-3 electrocatalyst remains stable for over 9 days at 4 A/cm 2 due to their controlled phases and excellent corrosion-resistant properties. This work highlights a new method to fabricate cost-effective, high-performance tungsten carbide electrocatalysts with well-controlled phase compositions.

Acidic hydrogen evolution reaction↗

Characterization of Spent Purolite A530E Resin with Implications for Long-Term Radioactive Contaminant Removal

Direct removal of pertechnetate anion (TcO4-) from the subsurface contaminated plumes at legacy nuclear weapons production sites, is effective remediation strategy to prevent their spread to adjacent aquifers but is also challenging because TcO4- is a trace component of the contaminated groundwater typically containing large access of other anionic constituents, such nitrate, sulfate, chloride and others. It can be achieved through ion exchange treatment using Purolite A530E resin which to date however has only been evaluated under laboratory conditions and many questions regarding its long-term operational performance remain. To address this need, here we report comprehensive characterization of the spent Purolite A530E resin which processed over 5.38x109 L of contaminated groundwater and successfully removed about 3.78 Ci of Tc-99 during four years of operation at the 200 West Pump & Treat facility at the US DOE Hanford site. This Tc-99 loading constitutes however only about 0.034% of the theoretical capacity of the resin which retained significant amounts of sulfate. Among other radioactive contaminants, small quantities of U-238, Co-60, and I-129 were retained by the resin. The total loading of iodine (combined 1-127 and I-129) on the spent resin exceeded that of Tc-99. To elucidate the mechanism of iodine retention, ion exchange behavior of iodide and iodate was investigated. Purolite A530E resin exhibited highly efficient uptake of iodide and only moderate affinity for iodate in accord with their Gibbs energy of hydration. Sorption isotherms for both anions obeyed Freundlich model.

Levitskaia, Tatiana G.↗

Evaluation of Gaseous Substrates for Microbial Immobilization of Contaminant Mixtures in Unsaturated Subsurface Sediments

Extensive vadose zone metals and organic contamination remains at many former industrial and defense manufacturing sites, and effective remedial solutions are needed to slow or prevent its migration to groundwater. In this study, the application of gaseous substrates to stimulate microbial respiratory reduction of comingled radioisotopes and nitrate under unsaturated conditions was examined for possible application at the Hanford Site, a former nuclear production facility in southeastern WA, USA. First, screening studies were performed to qualitatively measure the sediment respiratory response to 14 gaseous or volatile organic substrates at two moisture contents, 4% and 8%. Volatile substrates produced the strongest respiratory response, among them were butyrate, pentane, butyl acetate. Ethane and butane were the most effective gaseous substrates but only at 8% water content. Hanford sediment from two waste sites with distinctive chemistries were wetted to 7% moisture content, packed into columns, and treated with ethane or butane. After 4 weeks, columns were then leached to quantify retardation in the mobility of aqueous contaminant concentrations compared to no gas control columns. Treatment with both gases resulted in >80% removal of Cr from the aqueous phase. However, NO3 concentration and a waste sites exposure history to NO3 had a major effect on U and Tc reduction. Incomplete nitrate reduction outcompeted U and Tc in waste site sediments having limited prior exposure to NO3. Conversely, waste site sediments co-contaminated with NO3 were able to achieve highly reduced conditions resulting in complete denitrification of NO3, and delayed leaching of U and Tc. This implied effective reduction of both contaminants to less mobile species. This study demonstrates that unsaturated vadose sediments at Hanford waste sites have the capacity for a sustained respiratory response to gaseous substrate injection, which could potentially be deployed as part of an overall strategy to reduce the flux of long-lived radionuclides to groundwater at Hanford and other legacy waste sites.

Bagwell, Christopher E.↗

Impact of oxidation and carbonation on the release rates of iodine, selenium, technetium, and nitrogen from a cementitious waste form

Evaluation of the long-term retention mechanisms and potential release rates for the primary constituents of potential concern (COPCs) (i.e., Tc, I, Se, and nitrate) is necessary to determine if Cast Stone, a radioactive waste form, can meet performance objectives under near-surface disposal scenarios. In this work, a mineral and parameter set accounting for the solubility of I and Se in Cast Stone was developed based on pH-dependent and monolithic diffusion leaching test results, to extend a geochemical speciation model previously developed. The impact of oxidation and carbonation as environmental aging processes on the retention properties of Cast Stone for primary COPCs was systematically estimated. Physically, the effective diffusion coefficients of 4 COPCs in Cast Stone were increased after carbonation and/or oxidation, reflecting an increase in permeability to diffusion. Chemically, i) pH & pe conditions in the original Cast Stone were favorable for the stabilization of Tc, but not for I, Se, and N; ii) oxidation (with/without carbonation) of Cast Stone changed the pe & pH conditions to be detrimental for Tc stabilization; and iii) carbonation (with/without oxidation) of Cast Stone modified the pH & pe conditions to be beneficial for the stabilization of I (in system with Ag added) and Se.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Magnetic properties of ferrimagnetic Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6

The physical properties of Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 have been investigated using single crystals grown by iodine-assisted vapor transport. Additionally, the material possesses a ferrimagnetic ground state and the properties are similar to those in the isostructural compound Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 . Furthermore, in these trigonal materials, the dominant magnetic exchanges are antiferromagnetic and intrinsically frustrated, leading to a variety of competing ground states. In Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 , the Curie temperature is TC = 67(1)K, which is slightly lower than that of Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 where TC = 78K. The anisotropy field is also smaller in the selenide relative to the telluride. In both materials, short-range correlations likely exist well-above TC. Neutron single crystal diffraction data on Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 suggest a collinear ferrimagnetic structure with the moments tilting out of the ab-plane in zero-field. Finally, the magnetization of vapor grown Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 is shown for comparison; these vapor grown crystals do not show a sharp onset of magnetic anisotropy above 300K as was previously observed for melt grown Mn 3 Si 2 Se 6 crystals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of sucrose on the oxidation-reduction conditions and retention of rhenium during vitrification of low-activity waste

Technetium speciation and solubility during nuclear waste vitrification are affected by oxygen partial pressure in the melt. Thus, reducing agents such as sucrose, which are routinely added to nuclear waste feeds to repress foaming, can significantly affect the volatilization of Tc and increase its retention in glass. Using Re as a surrogate for Tc, we measured the effect of sucrose addition to two low-activity waste melter feeds on the Re retention, oxygen partial pressure, and iron redox as functions of temperature. As expected, Re retention in glass increased as the sucrose content increased. Furthermore, this is attributed to sucrose reaction with nitrates and nitrites in the feed. Destruction of nitrates and nitrites reduces the salt phase fraction and thus likely promotes Re diffusion into the glass-forming melt. In agreement with available literature, we discuss that a modest increase in the sucrose content (compared to current practice) can significantly improve the Tc retention without reducing Fe 2+ to metal.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Emerging roles of circular RNAs in thyroid cancer

As the most common endocrine-related malignant tumor, the prevalence of thyroid cancer (TC) has soared strikingly over the past thirty years then verged to stabilization or even descension temporally. Distributed in a cell-specific manner, circular RNAs (circRNAs) is a novel class of non-coding RNAs characterized by its covalently closed loop without 5′-terminal cap and 3′-terminal poly A tail, which guarantee its distinctive evolutionary conservation and exonucleases resistance. Emerging evidence indicates that circRNA participates in the pathogenesis and carcinogenesis of several cancers including thyroid cancer. In this review, we concentrated on the connection between circRNAs and thyroid cancer so as to obtain a more profound understanding. We aim to discuss this relationship between TC and circRNAs by summarizing the effect of various circRNAs on tumor biological behaviors and clinical application, and systematically outlook the conceivable application of circRNAs in TC diagnosis and therapy.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Investigating and Optimizing the Lysate-Based Expression of Nonribosomal Peptide Synthetases Using a Reporter System

Lysate-based cell-free expression (CFE) systems are accessible platforms for expressing proteins that are difficult to synthesize in vivo, such as nonribosomal peptide synthetases (NRPSs). NRPSs are large (>100 kDa), modular enzyme complexes that synthesize bioactive peptide natural products. This synthetic process is analogous to transcription/translation (TX/TL) in lysates, resulting in potential resource competition between NRPS expression and NRPS activity in cell-free environments. Moreover, CFE conditions depend on the size and structure of the protein. Here, a reporter system for rapidly investigating and optimizing reaction environments for NRPS CFE is described. This strategy is demonstrated in E. coli lysate reactions using blue pigment synthetase A (BpsA), a model NRPS, carrying a C-terminal tetracysteine (TC) tag which forms a fluorescent complex with the biarsenical dye, FlAsH. A colorimetric assay was adapted for lysate reactions to detect the blue pigment product, indigoidine, of cell-free expressed BpsA-TC, confirming that the tagged enzyme is catalytically active. An optimized protocol for end point TC/FlAsH complex measurements in reactions enables quick comparisons of full-length BpsA-TC expressed under different reaction conditions, defining unique requirements for NRPS expression that are related to the protein’s catalytic activity and size. Importantly, these protein-dependent CFE conditions enable higher indigoidine titer and improve the expression of other monomodular NRPSs. Notably, these conditions differ from those used for the expression of superfolder GFP (sfGFP), a common reporter for optimizing lysate-based CFE systems, indicating the necessity for tailored reporters to optimize expression for specific enzyme classes. In conclusion, the reporter system is anticipated to advance lysate-based CFE systems for complex enzyme synthesis, enabling natural product discovery.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A Satellite-Derived Upper-Ocean Stratification Data Set for the Tropical North Atlantic With Potential Applications for Hurricane Intensity Prediction

Upper-ocean stratification strongly impacts vertical mixing and the heat flux between the ocean and atmosphere, especially under extreme conditions of tropical cyclones (TCs). Knowledge of prestorm stratification is important for accurate TC intensity prediction. In situ observations of the tropical ocean have significantly increased in the past decade. However, they are still too sparse to resolve ocean stratification variability in near-real time and on small spatial scales. Here, in this study, based on long-term observations and an ocean reanalysis data set from 2004–2017, we investigate the possibility of retrieving upper-ocean stratification from sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface salinity (SSS), and sea surface height (SSH) using a simple regression method. It is found that more than 90% of the mean seasonal cycle and about 30% to 80% of temperature and salinity stratification anomalies can be reconstructed using surface data from either observations or an ocean reanalysis. Simple regression can be used with satellite observations to create a high-resolution, near-real-time-gridded ocean stratification data set that successfully reproduces both the large and mesoscale variability of ocean stratification. When used in a simple expression for TC-induced SST cooling, the satellite-derived stratification shows improvements over an ocean analysis in terms of variance explained of SST cooling, offering promise as a near-real-time indicator of the ocean's impact on TC intensification.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A new method to construct a horizontal resolution-dependent wind speed adjustment factor for tropical cyclones in global climate model simulations

A new method to construct a horizontal resolution-dependent wind speed adjustment factor for evaluating tropical cyclones (TCs) in global climate models (GCMs) is presented here. In contrast to the previous studies that used idealized axisymmetric wind fields, this study analyzes 48 hours of 10-second surface wind fields from 1-km TC simulations. The adjustment factor is derived from filtering the simulated TC wind fields onto various horizontal grid spacings typical of those used in GCMs. The new adjustment factor leads to TCs with greater intensity than the existing adjustment factors for horizontal grid spacings smaller than 30 km. This difference is attributed to more realistic wind fields in the TC simulations that contain highly asymmetric, localized patches of higher wind speeds instead of axisymmetric wind fields. Applying the new adjustment factor to select GCM simulations suggests the common interpretation of low-intensity bias in GCM-simulated TCs might be slightly exaggerated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Revisiting the Definition of Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones by Clustering the Initial Intensity and Inner‐Core Size

Abstract Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) provides a great challenge in operational forecasting and contributes significantly to the development of major TCs. RI is commonly defined as an increase in the maximum sustained surface wind speed of at least a certain threshold within 24 hr. The most widely used threshold is 30 kt (15.4 m/s), which was determined statistically. Here we propose a new definition for RI by objectively clustering TCs using the intensification rate, initial intensity, and radius of the maximum wind speed (RMW). A group of 770 samples is separated at a threshold of 45 kt (23.2 m/s). The threshold is 40 kt (20.6 m/s) for the western North Atlantic, where TC size measurements are more reliable. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate that the proposed threshold is robust even considering the uncertainty in RMW of as high as 30 km. We show that, when a TC undergoes RI, its maximum wind speed is approximately 60 ± 15 kt (30.9 ± 7.7 m/s) and the RMW is 45 ± 20 km. The new threshold outperforms the conventional threshold of 30 kt/24 hr in describing the bimodal distribution of lifetime maximum intensity and explaining the annual count of Category 5 TCs. This new definition provides a more physically based threshold and describes a more reliable representation of extreme events. Although more comparisons are needed for operational application, it is likely to be desirable for case‐based process studies and could provide a more valuable metric for TC intensification classification and research.

Li, Yi↗

A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification

Abstract Tropical Cyclones (TCs) inflict substantial coastal damages, making it pertinent to understand changing storm characteristics in the important nearshore region. Past work examined several aspects of TCs relevant for impacts in coastal regions. However, few studies explored nearshore storm intensification and its response to climate change at the global scale. Here, we address this using a suite of observations and numerical model simulations. Over the historical period 1979–2020, observations reveal a global mean TC intensification rate increase of about 3 kt per 24‐hr in regions close to the coast. Analysis of the observed large‐scale environment shows that stronger decreases in vertical wind shear and larger increases in relative humidity relative to the open oceans are responsible. Further, high‐resolution climate model simulations suggest that nearshore TC intensification will continue to rise under global warming. Idealized numerical experiments with an intermediate complexity model reveal that decreasing shear near coastlines, driven by amplified warming in the upper troposphere and changes in heating patterns, is the major pathway for these projected increases in nearshore TC intensification.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Machine Learning Bias Correction on Large–Scale Environment of High–Impact Weather Systems in E3SM Atmosphere Model

Large–scale dynamical and thermodynamical processes are common environmental drivers of high–impact weather systems causing extreme weather events. However, such large–scale environmental conditions often display systematic biases in climate simulations, posing challenges to evaluating high–impact weather systems and extreme weather events. In this paper, a machine learning (ML) approach was employed to bias correct the large–scale wind, temperature, and humidity simulated by the atmospheric component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) at ~1° resolution. The usefulness of the ML approach for extreme weather analysis was demonstrated with a focus on three high–impact weather systems, including tropical cyclones (TCs), extratropical cyclones (ETCs), and atmospheric rivers (ARs). We show that the ML model can effectively reduce climate bias in large–scale wind, temperature, and humidity while preserving their responses to imposed climate change perturbations. The bias correction is found to directly improve water vapor transport associated with ARs, and representations of thermodynamical flows associated with ETCs. When the bias–corrected large–scale winds are used to drive a synthetic TC track forecast model over the Atlantic basin, the resulting TC track density agrees better with that of the TC track model driven by observed winds. In addition, the ML model insignificantly interferes with the mean climate change signals of large–scale storm environments as well as the occurrence and intensity of three weather systems. This study suggests that the proposed ML approach can be used to improve the downscaling of extreme weather events by providing more realistic large–scale storm environments simulated by low–resolution climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Changes in Four Decades of Near‐CONUS Tropical Cyclones in an Ensemble of 12 km Thermodynamic Global Warming Simulations

We evaluate tropical cyclones (TCs) in a set of thermodynamic global warming (TGW) simulations over the continental United States (CONUS). A 12 km simulation forced by ERA5 provides a 40‐year historical (1980–2019) control. Four complimentary future scenarios are generated using thermodynamic deltas applied to lateral boundary, interior, and surface forcing. We curate a data set of 4,498 6‐hourly TC snapshots in the control and find a corresponding “twin” in each counterfactual, permitting a paired comparison. Warming results in an increase in mean dynamical TC intensity and moisture‐related quantities, with the latter being more pronounced. TC inner cores contract slightly but outer storm size remains unchanged. The frequency with which TCs become more intense is only moderately consistent, with snapshots having increased hazards ranging from 50% to 80% depending on warming level. The fractions of TCs undergoing rapid intensification and weakening both increase across all warming simulations, suggesting elevated short‐term intensity variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Drivers of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis: African Easterly Waves and the Environment

Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis requires favorable environmental conditions and an initial disturbance, which, in the North Atlantic, is often an African easterly wave (AEW). Although studies have examined how AEWs and the environment affect TC genesis, their relative importance is less understood. Here, we examine whether AEW strength or sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are the primary drivers of TC genesis. Regional model simulations were performed to address how increased AEW strength and SSTs affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs in a year with below‐average TCs with AEW origins and SSTs. We found that environmental favorability plays a larger role than AEW strength in driving the frequency of TCs with AEW origins. Strengthening the AEWs did not affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs due to low environmental favorability. Warmer SSTs led to increased environmental favorability and a statistically significant increase in TCs with AEW origins.

Bercos‐Hickey, Emily [Climate and Ecosystem Scienc↗

Recent Tropical Cyclone Outer Size Increases in the Western North Atlantic

The outer size of a tropical cyclone (TC) plays a pivotal role in its impact through a modulation of wind duration, rainfall extent and storm surge. While global and basin scale trends in TC size have been examined previously, whether there have been regional changes over time remains unclear. Here, using a suite of observations and reanalyses, we detect an increasing TC outer size over the western North Atlantic during 1979–2022. Over the western subtropical North Atlantic where the largest changes are found, the area-averaged increase in the radius of 17 ms -1 winds is about 7.5% over this period. Analysis of the large-scale environment reveals that the air-sea thermodynamic state has become more favorable for storm intensification, and thereby expansion, over that region. Further, numerical model simulations link changes in the environment with those in storm size, and suggest a combination of natural variability and external forcing in driving them.

Balaguru, Karthik [Pacific Northwest National Labo↗

Central American mountains inhibit eastern North Pacific seasonal tropical cyclone activity

Abstract The eastern North Pacific (ENP) has the highest density of tropical cyclones (TCs) on earth, and yet the controls on TCs, from individual events to seasonal totals, remain poorly understood. One effect that has not been fully considered is the unique geography of the Central American mountains. Although observational studies suggest these mountains can readily fuel individual TCs through dynamical processes, here we show that these mountains indeed play the opposite role on the seasonal timescale, hindering seasonal ENP TC activity by up to 35%. We found that these mountains significantly interrupt the abundant moisture transport from the Caribbean Sea to the ENP, limiting deep convection over the open ocean area where TCs preferentially occur. This study advances our fundamental understanding of ENP TC genesis mechanisms across the weather-to-climate timescales, and also highlights the importance of topography representation in improving the ENP regional climate simulations, as well as TC seasonal predictions and future projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗