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At least 703 records · Page 39

Investigation of North American Vegetation Variability under Recent Climate: A Study Using the SSiB4/TRIFFID Biophysical/Dynamic Vegetation Model

Recent studies have shown that current dynamic vegetation models have serious weaknesses in reproducing the observed vegetation dynamics and contribute to bias in climate simulations. This study intends to identify the major factors that underlie the connections between vegetation dynamics and climate variability and investigates vegetation spatial distribution and temporal variability at seasonal to decadal scales over North America (NA) to assess a 2-D biophysical model/dynamic vegetation model's (Simplified Simple Biosphere Model version 4, coupled with the Top-down Representation of Interactive Foliage and Flora Including Dynamics Model (SSiB4/TRIFFID)) ability to simulate these characteristics for the past 60 years (1948 through 2008). Satellite data are employed as constraints for the study and to compare the relationships between vegetation and climate from the observational and the simulation data sets. Trends in NA vegetation over this period are examined. The optimum temperature for photosynthesis, leaf drop threshold temperatures, and competition coefficients in the Lotka-Volterra equation, which describes the population dynamics of species competing for some common resource, have been identified as having major impacts on vegetation spatial distribution and obtaining proper initial vegetation conditions in SSiB4/TRIFFID. The finding that vegetation competition coefficients significantly affect vegetation distribution suggests the importance of including biotic effects in dynamical vegetation modeling. The improved SSiB4/TRIFFID can reproduce the main features of the NA distributions of dominant vegetation types, the vegetation fraction, and leaf area index (LAI), including its seasonal, interannual, and decadal variabilities. The simulated NA LAI also shows a general increasing trend after the 1970s in responding to warming. Both simulation and satellite observations reveal that LAI increased substantially in the southeastern U.S. starting from the 1980s. The effects of the severe drought during 1987-1992 and the last decade in the southwestern U.S. on vegetation are also evident from decreases in the simulated and satellite-derived LAIs. Both simulated and satellite-derived LAIs have the strongest correlations with air temperature at northern middle to high latitudes in spring reflecting the effect of these climatic variables on photosynthesis and phenological processes. Meanwhile, in southwestern dry lands, negative correlations appear due to the heat and moisture stress there during the summer. Furthermore, there are also positive correlations between soil wetness and LAI, which increases from spring to summer. The present study shows both the current improvements and remaining weaknesses in dynamical vegetation models. It also highlights large continental-scale variations that have occurred in NA vegetation over the past six decades and their potential relations to climate. With more observational data availability, more studies with differentmodels and focusing on different regions will be possible and are necessary to achieve comprehensive understanding of the vegetation dynamics and climate interactions.

climate variability↗

Refined AFC-Enabled High-Lift System Integration Study

A prior trade study established the effectiveness of using Active Flow Control (AFC) for reducing the mechanical complexities associated with a modern high-lift system without sacrificing aerodynamic performance at low-speed flight conditions representative of takeoff and landing. The current technical report expands on this prior work in two ways: (1) a refined conventional high-lift system based on the NASA Common Research Model (CRM) is presented that is more representative of modern commercial transport aircraft in terms of stall characteristics and maximum Lift/Drag (L/D) ratios at takeoff and landing-approach flight conditions; and (2) the design trade space for AFC-enabled high-lift systems is expanded to explore a wider range of options for improving their efficiency. The refined conventional high-lift CRM (HL-CRM) concept features leading edge slats and slotted trailing edge flaps with Fowler motion. For the current AFC-enhanced high lift system trade study, the refined conventional high-lift system is simplified by substituting simply-hinged trailing edge flaps for the slotted single-element flaps with Fowler motion. The high-lift performance of these two high-lift CRM variants is established using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) solutions to the Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations. These CFD assessments identify the high-lift performance that needs to be recovered through AFC to have the CRM variant with the lighter and mechanically simpler high-lift system match the performance of the conventional high-lift system. In parallel to the conventional high-lift concept development, parametric studies using CFD guided the development of an effective and efficient AFC-enabled simplified high-lift system. This included parametric trailing edge flap geometry studies addressing the effects of flap chord length and flap deflection. As for the AFC implementation, scaling effects (i.e., wind-tunnel versus full-scale flight conditions) are addressed, as are AFC architecture aspects such as AFC unit placement, number AFC units, operating pressures, mass flow rates, and steady versus unsteady AFC applications. These efforts led to the development of a novel traversing AFC actuation concept which is efficient in that it reduces the AFC mass flow requirements by as much as an order of magnitude compared to previous AFC technologies, and it is predicted to be effective in driving the aerodynamic performance of a mechanical simplified high-lift system close to that of the reference conventional high-lift system. Conceptual system integration studies were conducted for the AFC-enhanced high-lift concept applied to a NASA Environmentally Responsible Aircraft (ERA) reference configuration, the so-called ERA-0003 concept. The results from these design integration assessments identify overall system performance improvement opportunities over conventional high-lift systems that suggest the viability of further technology maturation efforts for AFC-enabled high lift flap systems. To that end, technical challenges are identified associated with the application of AFC-enabled high-lift systems to modern transonic commercial transports for future technology maturation efforts.

Hartwich, Peter M.↗

A Model for Straight and Helical Solar Jets: II. Parametric Study of the Plasma Beta

Context. Jets are dynamic, impulsive, well-collimated plasma events that develop at many different scales and in different layers of the solar atmosphere. Aims. Jets are believed to be induced by magnetic reconnection, a process central to many astrophysical phenomena. Within the solar atmosphere, jet-like events develop in many different environments, e.g. in the vicinity of active regions as well as in coronal holes, and at various scales, from small photospheric spicules to large coronal jets. In all these events, signatures of helical structure and/or twisting/rotating motions are regularly observed. The present study aims to establish that a single model can generally reproduce the observed properties of these jet-like events. Methods. In this study, using our state-of-the-art numerical solver ARMS, we present a parametric study of a numerical tridimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of solar jet-like events. Within the MHD paradigm, we study the impact of varying the atmospheric plasma beta on the generation and properties of solar-like jets. Results. The parametric study validates our model of jets for plasma beta ranging from 10(sup 3) to 1, typical of the different layers and magnetic environments of the solar atmosphere. Our model of jets can robustly explain the generation of helical solar jet-like events at various beta less than or equal to 1. We show that the plasma beta modifies the morphology of the helical jet, explaining the different observed shapes of jets at different scales and in different layers of the solar atmosphere. Conclusions. Our results allow us to understand the energisation, triggering, and driving processes of jet-like events. Our model allows us to make predictions of the impulsiveness and energetics of jets as determined by the surrounding environment, as well as the morphological properties of the resulting jets.

Magnetic Field↗

Aerocapture Design Study for a Titan Polar Orbiter

In 2014 a team at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) studied the feasibility of using active aerocapture to reduce the chemical Delta V requirements for inserting a small scientific satellite into Titan polar orbit. The scientific goals of the mission would be multi-spectral imaging and active radar mapping of Titan's surface and subsurface. The study objectives were to: (i) identify and select from launch window opportunities and refine the trajectory to Titan; (ii) study the aerocapture flight path and refine the entry corridor; (iii) design a carrier spacecraft and systems architecture; (iv) develop a scientific and engineering plan for the orbital portion of the mission. Study results include: (i) a launch in October 2021 on an Atlas V vehicle, using gravity assists from Earth and Venus to arrive at Titan in January 2031; (ii) initial aerocapture via an 8-km wide entry corridor to reach an initial 350X6000 km orbit, followed by aerobraking to reach a 350X1500 km orbit, and a periapse raise maneuver to reach a final 1500 km circular orbit; (iii) a three-part spacecraft system consisting of a cruise stage, radiator module, and orbiter inside a heat shield; (iv) a 22-month mission including station keeping to prevent orbital decay due to Saturn perturbations, with 240 Gb of compressed data returned. High-level issues identified include: (i) downlink capability - realistic downlink rates preclude the desired multi-spectral, global coverage of Titan's surface; (ii) power - demise of the NASA ASRG (Advanced Stirling Radioisotope Generator) program, and limited availability at present of MMRTGs (Multi-Mission Radioisotope Generators) needed for competed outer planet missions; (iii) thermal - external radiators must be carried to remove 4 kW of waste heat from MMRTGs inside the aeroshell, requiring heat pipes that pass through the aeroshell lid, compromising shielding ability; (iv) optical navigation to reach the entry corridor; (v) the NASA requirement of continuous critical event coverage for the orbiter, especially during the peak heating of the aerocapture when the radio link will be broken. In conclusion, although Titan aerocapture allows for considerable savings in propellant mass, this comes at a cost of increased mission complexity. Further architecture study and refinement is required to reduce high-level mission risks and to elucidate the optimum architecture.

Nixon, Conor A.↗

Trade Study: Storing NASA HDF5/netCDF-4 Data in the Amazon Cloud and Retrieving Data Via Hyrax Server Data Server

This study explored three candidate architectures with different types of objects and access paths for serving NASA Earth Science HDF5 data via Hyrax running on Amazon Web Services (AWS). We studied the cost and performance for each architecture using several representative Use-Cases. The objectives of the study were: Conduct a trade study to identify one or more high performance integrated solutions for storing and retrieving NASA HDF5 and netCDF4 data in a cloud (web object store) environment. The target environment is Amazon Web Services (AWS) Simple Storage Service (S3). Conduct needed level of software development to properly evaluate solutions in the trade study and to obtain required benchmarking metrics for input into government decision of potential follow-on prototyping. Develop a cloud cost model for the preferred data storage solution (or solutions) that accounts for different granulation and aggregation schemes as well as cost and performance trades.We will describe the three architectures and the use cases along with performance results and recommendations for further work.

AWS cost↗

A Proposed Approach to Studying Urban Air Mobility Missions Including an Initial Exploration of Mission Requirements

Urban air mobility (UAM) is an emerging aviation market that seeks to revolutionize mobility around metropolitan areas via a safe, efficient, and accessible on-demand air transportation system for passengers and cargo. In this paper we describe our three-pronged approach to studying passenger-carrying UAM missions, and we detail the first phase of this approach, which consists of defining an initial set of requirements for multiple exemplar UAM missions. The development of these mission requirements provides justifiable assumptions that feed the second phase of the approach, which is performing aircraft conceptual design studies. Vehicle design is not included in this paper, but the work described here will define sizing missions for follow-on design and sizing studies. The aircraft that emerge from the design studies can then feed the third phase of our UAM analysis approach, which involves simulating an entire UAM network over a metropolitan area to study transportation-system level characteristics. Iteration between each of the three phases of the UAM analysis approach will be necessary to propagate lessons learned as our research progresses and as the UAM community coalesces on a more unified vision for UAM. Therefore, we anticipate that the mission requirements set forth in this paper will be modified over time as the urban air mobility concept matures.

Patterson, Michael D.↗

Astrophysics and Technical Study of a Solar Neutrino Spacecraft: NIAC (NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts) Grant - NASA 2018-Phase-1

We report on our study of the design of a neutrino detector, shielding and veto array needed to operate a neutrino detector in space close to the Sun. This study also took into account the expected rates of Galactic gamma and cosmic rays in addition to the particles from the Sun.These preliminary studies show that we can devise a detector such that a small signal of neutrino interactions can be extracted from a large random number of events from the background sources using a double timing method from the conversion electron produced in the neutrino interaction and a secondary delayed signal from the nuclear excited state produced from the initial neutrino interaction; in our case the conversion of Ga 69 or 71 into Ge 69 or 71, but this method could apply to other nuclei with large neutrino cross sections such as Ir 115. Although these types of events need to be above 0.405 megaelectronvolt (MeV) neutrino energy and are only 66 percent of all conversion neutrino interactions on Gallium, this is a small price to pay for an increase of 10,000 by going close to the Sun to enhance the neutrino rate over the background combatorical fake-signal events. The conclusion of this Phase-1 study is very positive in that we can get the backgrounds less than 20 percent fake signals, and in addition to this we have devised another shielding method that makes the Galactic gamma-ray rate a hundred fold less which will make further improvements over these initial estimates. Although these studies are very encouraging it suggests that the next step is a NIAC Phase-II to actually build a test device,measuring basic principles such as light attention within the scintillator with high dopants and to take data in the lab with a cosmic-ray test stand and triggered X-ray source for comparison with simulated expected performance of the detector. This would be the perfect lead into a future proposal beyond a NIAC (NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts) Phase-II for a test flight of a small one-pint detector in orbit of the detector concept beyond Earth outside of the radiation belts.

Astrophysics↗

Trigger of Standard and Blowout Solar Jets: I. Parametric Studies of the Magnetic Field Geometry

Context. Jets are dynamic, impulsive, well collimated plasma events developing at many different scales and in differentlayers of the solar atmosphere.Aims. Jets are believed to be induced by magnetic reconnection a process central to many astrophysical phenomena.Studying their dynamics can help us to better understand the processes acting in larger eruptive events (e.g. flares andcoronal mass ejection) as well as mass, magnetic helicity and energy transfer at all scale in the solar atmosphere. Therelative simplicity of their magnetic geometry and topology, compared with larger solar active events, makes jets idealcandidate for studying the fundamental role of reconnection in energetic events. Methods. In this study, using our state-of-the-art numerical solver ARMS, we present several parametric studies of anumerical three-dimensional magneto-hydrodynamic model of solar jet-like events. We study the impact of the magneticfield inclination and photospheric field distribution on the generation and properties of two types of observed solar jets:the so-called standard and blowout jets.Results. The present parametric studies validate our model of jets for different geometric properties of the magneticconfiguration. On one hand, a blowout jets is eventually always trigger for the range of parameters that we tested. The3D magnetic null-point configuration is a very robust structure for the energy storage and impulsive release characteristicof blowout jets. On the other hand, the existence of the standard jet depends on the magnetic geometry. We show thatthe reconnection occurring during the standard jet phase influences the properties of the trigger of the blowout jet.Conclusions. Our results allow us to better understand the energization, triggering and driving processes of standardand blowout jets. Our model allows us to predict the impulsiveness and energetics of jets in terms of the surroundingmagnetic field configuration. Finally we discuss the interpretation of standard jets and blowout jets and the physicalfactors that determine which type of jets will occur.

Pariat, E.↗

Common Probe Design Study and Follow-On Activities

The Common Probe Study was funded by the NASA's Planetary Science Division in the Science Mission Directorate in 2018 to investigate the feasibility of a common aeroshell design for atmospheric probe missions at Venus, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune. The study involved 4 NASA Centers: Ames Research Center, Goddard Space Flight Center, Langley Research Center, and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The common aeroshell design that was studied was a 400 kg, 1.5 m diameter, 45-degree sphere cone shape with a high density heatshield material (Heatshield for Extreme Entry Environments Technology, or HEEET) and a parachute system to extract the descent vehicle. This size of aeroshell could accommodate a descent vehicle of 0.75 m diameter, which could encompass both Tier 1 and Tier 2 science instruments at each of the 5 destinations. Study methodology: First, a notional payload of instruments for each destination was defined based on the top priority measurements indicated by the Planetary Science Decadal Survey. Steep and shallow entry flight path angles (EFPA) were defined for each planet based on qualification and operational g-load limits for current, state-of-the-art instruments. Interplanetary trajectories were then identified that bounded the EFPA range.Next, 3-DoF simulations for entry trajectories were run using the entry state vectors from the interplanetary trajectories. Conical ribbon parachutes were sized based on heatshield separation dynamics. Aero-heating correlations were used to generate stagnation point convective and radiative heat flux profiles. High fidelity thermal response models for various TPS materials were used to size stagnation point thicknesses, with margins based on previous studies. Backshell TPS masses were assumed based on scaled heat fluxes from the heatshield and also from previous mission concepts.Based on these analyses, we have found that the common design is applicable for atmospheric probe missions for 4 out of the 5 destinations. Because of the unique gravity well for Jupiter, the entry environments are more severe resulting in heat loads an order of magnitude higher than for the other destinations.The next step is to determine what follow-on activities NASA should engage in. A questionnaire for the atmospheric probe community has been developed, with a focus on what size of aeroshell should be further analyzed (smaller or same diameter), and what incentives would make using such an aeroshell, if assembled and available, desirable to mission proposers.Preliminary results from this questionnaire will be presented.

Hwang, Helen H.↗

Uranus and Neptune Missions: A Study in Advance of the Next Planetary Science Decadal Survey

The ice giant planets, Uranus and Neptune, represent an important and relatively unexplored class of planet. Most of our detailed information about them comes from fleeting looks by the Voyager 2 spacecraft in the 1980s. Voyager, and ground-based work since then, found that these planets, their satellites, rings, and magnetospheres, challenge our understanding of the formation and evolution of planetary systems. We also now know that Uranus- Neptune size planets are common around other stars. These are some of the reasons ice giant exploration was a high priority in NASA's most recent Planetary Science Decadal Survey. In preparation for the next Decadal Survey, NASA, with ESA participation, conducted a broad study of possible ice giant missions in the 2024–2037 timeframe. This paper summarizes the key results of the study, and addresses questions that have been raised by the science community and in a recent NASA review. Foremost amongst these are questions about the science objectives, the science payload, and the importance of an atmospheric probe. The conclusions of the NASA/ESA study remain valid. In particular, it is a high priority to send an orbiter and atmospheric probe to at least one of the ice giants, with instrumentation to study all components of an ice giant system. Uranus and Neptune are found to be equally compelling as science targets. The two planets are not equivalent, however, and each system has things to teach us the other cannot. An additional mission study is needed to refine plans for future exploration of these worlds.

Ice giant↗

Planetary Water Recycling Systems Trade Study

Long-term planetary space missions present new and unique challenges in life-support systems. Water constitutes the majority of the mass required to sustain human life in space and it follows that efficient water recycling has the potential to lower mission costs. The effect of partial gravity in planetary missions mean that terrestrial systems could be applicable. This trade study evaluates terrestrial and NASA developed water recycling technologies on the basis of applicability as a planetary base water recycling systems. Various bioreactors, membrane reactors, filtration, and district water reclamation systems are investigated and rated based on several standardized parameters. A customer-oriented Quality Function Deployment (QFD) is utilized to analyze the ratings of the technologies for the tasks required. The trade study aims to rank the various systems based on their Equivalent System Mass (ESM), Technology Readiness Level (TRL), scalability, crew time, and overall logistics requirements, among others. The results of the study can serve as a basis for future inquiries and studies by NASA and other interested parties. The results of this study provide a down selection from 24 systems to 5 systems that trade very close to each other. The results provide a context and justification for a future comparative hardware test program to determine which of these systems offer the best solution.

Flynn, Michael↗

Blind Study Validating Parametric Costing Tools PRICE True Planning and SEER-H for NASA Science Missions

Two of the primary parametric costing tools used to estimate the development and production cost of future spacecraft hardware are PRICE True Planning - Space Missions Catalog by PRICE Systems, and SEER-H by Galorath. These are standard tools used by NASA and industry to estimate the cost of new aerospace hardware. However, no independent verification of the accuracy of these tools is publicly available. Both PRICE Systems and Galorath have completed internal validation studies of their parametric cost estimating tools; however, they only provided the results of the studies and did not detail the exact methods used to perform the validation. In the present study, cost estimators used PRICE True Planning and SEER-H to estimate the cost of twelve different past NASA science missions. The estimators were prevented from knowing the actual cost of the missions in an effort to minimize cognitive biases. In the present study, SEER had an average error of 23%, median error of -0.3%, with a standard deviation of 43%. PRICE had an average error of 52%, median error of 50%, and standard deviation of 45%. There were several factors independent of PRICE and SEER which may have affected the accuracy of the results in the present study including: uncertainty in the technical data used for the estimates, the methods used to estimate uncertainty in spacecraft component mass and numbers of prototypes, and the experience of the estimators.

Friz, Paul D.↗

Summary of Space Environment Magnetometer and Particle Replacement Experiment (SEMPRE) Study

As part of the GOES-R series follow on architecture study following the NOAA Satellite Observing System Architecture (NSOSA) study, a study team evaluated the feasibility of accommodating the GOES in-situ instruments (Magnetometer and Particle Detectors) on a dedicated spacecraft with no impact to the overall baseline mission cost assuming two large observatories. The accommodations cost on a primary operational type observatory are non-negligible requiring: a large non-magnetic boom to reduce the impact of the spacecraft interference on the magnetometer; and strict contamination control and magnetic cleanliness to prevent magnetic contamination near the magnetometers. These, along with the additional interface complexities greatly increase the cost of larger spacecraft by extending integration time with a large marching army. By contrast, a dedicated mission provides flexibility in location and refresh rate not afforded when these sensors are launched as secondary payloads. This study performed an informal industry survey of small form-factor instruments currently flying or in process of being developed. The study identified three potential particle detector suites and multiple magnetometers that will satisfy the requirements while having low enough volume and mass to allow accommodation on a rideshare class spacecraft. Using the largest of the identified particle detector suites, the Goddard Space Flight Center Mission Design Lab developed a design for a rideshare spacecraft that will accommodate the particle detector suite and magnetometer. The cost of the spacecraft, based on multiple cost models, is comparable to the cost of accommodating the magnetometer and particle detector suite on two (East and West) larger main observatories.

Todirita, Monica↗

Electrochemical, Polarization, and Crevice Corrosion Testing of Inconel X750: A Supplement to the Environmental Control and Life Support System Sustaining Metal Materials Compatibility Study

In previous studies, electrochemical test results were experimentally acquired and then presented for several noble alloys in two specific solutions representative of waste liquids generated or present within the Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) aboard the International Space Station (ISS). Subsequently, another metal candidate, Inconel X750, has been submitted and was subjected to the same test routines in the same solutions and evaluated with the same statistical/analytical methodologies as those utilized in the earlier studies. Previous studies included three titanium grades, (Commercially Pure, 6Al-4V alloy, and 6Al-4V Low Interstitial alloy), two nickel-chromium alloys (Inconel® 625 and Hastelloy® C276), one high tier stainless steel (Cronidur® 30), and a nickel-titanium alloy (Nitinol 60). Thus far, all candidate alloys have exhibited excellent corrosion protection and galvanic compatibility attributes and have been deemed qualified materials for application within the ECLSS facility. Inconel X750 now joins that group. The titanium alloys gave the best results of all the metal candidates by demonstrating superior nobility and galvanic protection properties. It is worth noting that the corrosion performance properties for the three titanium alloys were essentially indistinguishable. As such and for expediency, this study and all future evaluations will refer only to the comparative properties already documented for Titanium 6Al-4V as this alloy is representative of all three alloys and considered to be more mainstream. Now the measured corrosion properties for Inconel X750 were very similar to those determined previously for Inconel 625 and Hastelloy C276 which were also determined to be very high performers. For the current effort, the results have clearly shown that Inconel X750 possesses exceptional anti-corrosion attributes comparable to metals in the highest tier of the galvanic series. Overall, one can conclude that Inconel X750 is quite noble, highly corrosion resistant and galvanically compatible with the other metal groups from both an electrochemical perspective and a long-term exposure scenario. This was clearly demonstrated after utilizing the same techniques as those applied in previous studies which included linear, Tafel and cyclic polarization, galvanic coupling with each of the other metal candidates, and pitting/crevicing assessments after one full year of immersion in the subject test solutions. Attributes defining the nobility and anti-corrosion capabilities for X750 appear to be on par with all the other candidates thus far and this alloy can now be classified as ‘excellent’ exhibiting very high resistance toward general, localized, and galvanic corrosion in the subject test media.

Lee, R. E.↗

Feasibility Study of SDAS Instrumentation's Ability to Identify Mobile Launcher (ML)/Crawler-Transporter (CT) Modes During Rollout Operations

The Space Launch System (SLS) and its Mobile Launcher (ML) will be transported to the launch pad via the Crawler-Transporter (CT) system. Rollout (i.e., transportation) loads produce structural loads on the integrated SLS/Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle (MPCV) launch vehicle which are of a concern with respect to fatigue. As part of the risk reduction process and in addition to the modal building block test approach that has been adopted by the SLS Program, acceleration data will be obtained during rollout for use in modal parameter estimation. There are several occurrences where the ML/CT will be transported either into the Vertical Assembly Building (VAB) or to the launch pad and back without the SLS stack as part of the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) Exploration Ground Systems (EGS) Integrated Test and Checkout (ITCO). NASA KSC EGS has instrumentation installed on both the ML and CT to record data during rollout, at the launch pad, and during liftoff. The EGS instrumentation on the ML, which includes accelerometers, is referred to as the Sensor Data Acquisition System (SDAS). The EGS instrumentation on the CT, which also includes accelerometers, is referred to as the CT Data Acquisition System (CTDAS). The forces and accelerations applied to the ML and CT during a rollout event will be higher than any of the planned building block modal tests. This can be very beneficial in helping identify nonlinear behavior in the structure. Developing modal parameters from the same test hardware in multiple boundary conditions and under multiple levels of excitation is a key step in developing a well correlated FEM. The purpose of this study was three fold. First, determine the target modes of the ML/CT in its rollout configuration. Second, determine if the test degrees of freedom (DOF) corresponding to the layout of the SDAS/CTDAS accelerometers (i.e. position and orientation) is sufficient to identify the target modes. Third, determine if the Generic Rollout Forcing Functions (GRFF's) is sufficient for identifying the ML/CT target modes accounting for variations in CT speed, modal damping, and sensor/ambient background noise levels. The finding from the first part of this study identified 28 target modes of the ML/CT rollout configuration based upon Modal Effective Mass Fractions (MEFF) and engineering judgement. The finding from the second part of this study showed that the SDAS/CTDAS accelerometers (i.e. position and orientation) are able to identify a sufficient number of the target modes to support model correlation of the ML/CT FEM. The finding from the third part of this study confirms the GRFFs sufficiently excite the ML/CT such that varying quantities of the defined target modes should be able to be extracted when utilizing an Experimental Modal Analysis (EMA) Multi-Input Multi-Output (MIMO) analysis approach. An EMA analysis approach was used because Operational Modal Analysis (OMA) tools were not available and the GRFFs were sufficiently uncorrelated. Two key findings from this third part of the study are that the CT speed does not show a significant impact on the ability to extract the modal parameters and that keeping the ambient background noise observed at each accelerometer location at or below 30 µgrms is essential to the success of this approach.

Winkel, James P.↗

Blind Study Validating Parametric Costing Tools PRICE TruePlanning and SEER-H for NASA Science Missions

Two of the primary parametric costing tools used to estimate the development and production cost of future spacecraft hardware are PRICE TruePlanning - Space Missions Catalog by PRICE Systems, and SEER-H by Galorath. These are standard tools used by NASA and industry to estimate the cost of new aerospace hardware. However, no independent verification of the accuracy of these tools is publicly available. Both PRICE Systems and Galorath have completed internal validation studies of their parametric cost estimating tools; however, they only provided the results of the studies and did not detail the exact methods used to perform the validation. In the present study, cost estimators used PRICE TruePlanning and SEER-H to estimate the cost of twelve different past NASA science missions. The estimators were prevented from knowing the actual cost of the missions in an effort to minimize cognitive biases. In the present study, SEER had an average error of 23%, median error of -0.3%, with a standard deviation of 43%. PRICE had an average error of 52%, median error of 50%, and standard deviation of 45%. There were several factors independent of PRICE and SEER which may have affected the accuracy of the results in the present study including: uncertainty in the technical data used for the estimates, the methods used to estimate uncertainty in spacecraft component mass and numbers of prototypes, and the experience of the estimators.

Paul D Friz↗

The Large UV/Optical/Infrared Surveyor (LUVOIR): Decadal Mission Study Update

NASA commissioned the study of four large mission concepts, including the Large Ultraviolet / Optical / Infrared (LUVOIR) Surveyor, to be evaluated by the 2020 Decadal Survey in Astrophysics. In response, the Science and Technology Definition Team (STDT) identified a broad range of science objectives for LUVOIR that include the direct imaging and spectral characterization of habitable exoplanets around sun-like stars, the study of galaxy formation and evolution, the exchange of matter between galaxies, star and planet formation, and the remote sensing of Solar System objects. To meet these objectives, the LUVOIR Study Office, located at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), completed the first design iteration of a 15-m segmented-aperture observatory that would be launched by the Space Launch System (SLS) Block 2 configuration. The observatory includes four serviceable instruments: the Extreme Coronagraph for Living Planetary Systems (ECLIPS), an optical / near-infrared coronagraph capable of delivering 10^-10contrast at inner working angles as small as 2 O/D; the LUVOIR UV Multi-object Spectrograph (LUMOS), which will provide low- and medium-resolution UV (100 – 400 nm) multi-object imaging spectroscopy in addition to far-UV imaging; the High Definition Imager (HDI), a high-resolution wide-field-of-view NUV-Optical-NIR imager; and Pollux, a high-resolution UV spectro-polarimeter being contributed by Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES).The study team has executed a second design iteration to further improve upon the 15-m concept, while simultaneously studying an 8-m concept. In these proceedings, we provide an update on these two architectures.

space telescopes↗

Space-Cent: Studying the Physiological and Anatomical Effects of Centrifugation and Head Down Tilt: 2021 Update

BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to evaluate the cerebral and ocular physiological and anatomical effects of head-down tilt bedrest (HDBR) with and without daily artificial gravity (AG) in healthy subjects to provide novel insights into possible countermeasures for the Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS). Previous long-term studies using the spaceflight analog of strict 6° HDBR for 30 days revealed changes in ocular structure, including optic disc edema. The effects of an AG countermeasure using intermittent centrifugation to restore upright hydrostatic gradients and reduce the ocular and brain anatomical effects has not been explored. METHODS The effects of 60-day exposure to simulated microgravity (6° HDBR) on the cerebral, ocular and vestibular systems with and without the intervention of daily 30 minute exposure to AG (short-arm centrifugation) was evaluated in 24 healthy subjects. Non-invasive measurements of cerebral blood flow, intracranial blood volume (near infrared spectroscopy, NIRS), cerebral and ocular structure (MRI and optical coherence tomography), internal jugular vein area (ultrasound), lateral ventricular volumes (MRI), intraocular pressure, and sensorimotor/vestibular (i.e. balance and coordination) systems were made during various time-points during the bedrest study. Additional measures with ultrasound and NIRS were made during centrifugation. RESULTS The study began in Spring 2019 and all 24 subjects completed the testing by end of 2019. Data analysis continues. We report the following updated results for 2021. MRI showed significant decreases in carotid artery flow, increases in brain and CSF volumes, and aqueductal flow velocities in all subjects in HDT compared to baseline supine, but no effects of the short duration AG. All groups showed increased posterior globe flattening during bedrest compared to baseline, without protection from AG. As previously reported we observed chorioretinal folds for the first time in a bedrest analog, as well as optic disc edema, with no protection from the short-term AG. Data from the study is now being transmitted to the NASA LSDA which will allow for future research. CONCLUSIONS The 6 degree HDBR analog produced significant changes in the anatomical and physiological functions of the brain and eye in healthy subjects. Daily 30 minute exposure to AG with short-arm centrifugation had significant transient effects on physiology of the cerebrovascular system, but was not sufficient to prevent the anatomical effects of HDBR on the brain and eye.

E M Bershad↗