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At least 703 records · Page 39

Resilient Observer Design for Cyber-Physical Systems with Data-Driven Measurement Pruning

Resilient observer design for Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) in the presence of adversarial false data injection attacks (FDIA) is an active area of research. The existing state-of-the-art algorithms tend to break down as more and more knowledge of the system is built into the attack model; also as the percentage of attacked nodes increases. From the view of optimization theory, the problem is often cast as a classical error correction problem for which a theoretical limit of has been established as the maximum percentage attacked nodes for which state recovery is guaranteed. Beyond this limit, the performance of -minimization based schemes, for instance, deteriorates rapidly. Similar performance degradation occurs for other types of resilient observers beyond certain percentages of attacked nodes. In order to increase the corresponding percentage of attacked nodes for which state recoveries can be guaranteed, researchers have begun to incorporate prior information into the underlying resilient observer design framework. For the most pragmatic cases, this prior information is often obtained through a data-driven machine learning process. Existing results have shown a strong positive correlation between the maximum attacked percentages that can be tolerated and the accuracy of the data-driven model. Motivated by these results, this chapter examines the case for pruning algorithms designed to improve the Positive Prediction Value (PPV) of the resulting prior information, given stochastic uncertainty characteristics of the underlying machine learning model. Theoretical quantification of the achievable improvement is given. Simulation results show that the pruning algorithm significantly increases the maximum correctable percentage of attacked nodes, even for machine learning model whose prediction power is comparable to the random flip of a coin.

Resilient Observer, Cyber-physical Systems, Data-D↗

Observability Analysis of a Power System Stochastic Dynamic Model Using a Derivative-Free Approach

Serving as a prerequisite to power system dynamic state estimation, the observability analysis of a power system dynamic model has recently attracted the attention of many power engineers. However, because this model is typically nonlinear and large-scale, the analysis of its observability is a challenge to the traditional derivative-based methods. Indeed, the linear-approximation-based approach may provide unreliable results while the nonlinear-technique-based approach inevitably faces extremely complicated derivations. Furthermore, because power systems are intrinsically stochastic, the traditional deterministic approaches may lead to inaccurate observability analyses. In this work, facing these challenges, we propose a novel polynomial-chaos-based derivative-free observability analysis approach that not only is free of any linear approximations, but also accounts for the stochasticity of the dynamic model while bringing a low implementation complexity. Furthermore, this approach enables us to quantify the degree of observability of a stochastic model, what conventional deterministic methods cannot do. The excellent performance of the proposed method has been demonstrated by performing extensive simulations using a synchronous generator model with IEEE-DC1A exciter and the TGOV1 turbine governor.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Derivation of heterogeneous material distributions and their sensitivity to HM-coupled two-phase flow models exemplified with the LASGIT experiment

Abstract Advective gas transport in bentonite, a possible buffer material in repositories for radioactive materials, is difficult to simulate in numerical continuum models, partly due to the complicated microstructure of bentonite. To generate reliable models of repositories nevertheless, spatially distributed heterogeneous material properties can be used to allow localization of gas flow. In this study, a pore-size-dependent stochastic approach of the gas entry pressure is derived from Mercury Intrusion Porosimetry, which is used to replicate measurements from the LASGIT experiment. In addition, three benchmark tests are simulated to investigate the dependence of heterogeneous distributions of material properties on the mesh discretization, the temporal dependence, and the coupling between the processes influenced by the heterogeneous parameters. The numerical modeling results of the LASGIT experiment show that the onset of gas flow into the system and the subsequent increase in pressure and stress can be well reproduced using heterogeneous distributions. Compared to a model with homogeneous material properties, heterogeneous distributions may allow the generation of dilatancy-controlled microfractures—an important feature with regard to the advective gas flow in bentonites. However, it can be observed that the heterogeneous distributions in LASGIT are less significant, as technical gaps or differences in material types could have a greater impact.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Mixed-field GCR Simulations for Radiobiological Research Using Ground Based Accelerators

Space radiation is comprised of a large number of particle types and energies, which have differential ionization power from high energy protons to high charge and energy (HZE) particles and secondary neutrons produced by galactic cosmic rays (GCR). Ground based accelerators such as the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory (NSRL) at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) are used to simulate space radiation for radiobiology research and dosimetry, electronics parts, and shielding testing using mono-energetic beams for single ion species. As a tool to support research on new risk assessment models, we have developed a stochastic model of heavy ion beams and space radiation effects, the GCR Event-based Risk Model computer code (GERMcode). For radiobiological research on mixed-field space radiation, a new GCR simulator at NSRL is proposed. The NSRL-GCR simulator, which implements the rapid switching mode and the higher energy beam extraction to 1.5 GeV/u, can integrate multiple ions into a single simulation to create GCR Z-spectrum in major energy bins. After considering the GCR environment and energy limitations of NSRL, a GCR reference field is proposed after extensive simulation studies using the GERMcode. The GCR reference field is shown to reproduce the Z and LET spectra of GCR behind shielding within 20% accuracy compared to simulated full GCR environments behind shielding. A major challenge for space radiobiology research is to consider chronic GCR exposure of up to 3-years in relation to simulations with cell and animal models of human risks. We discuss possible approaches to map important biological time scales in experimental models using ground-based simulation with extended exposure of up to a few weeks and fractionation approaches at a GCR simulator.

Kim, Myung-Hee Y.↗

On Stochastic Heating and Its Phase-space Signatures in Low-beta Kinetic Turbulence

We revisit the theory of stochastic heating of ions and investigate its phase-space signatures in kinetic turbulence of relevance to low- β portions of the solar wind. In particular, we retain a full scale-dependent approach in our treatment, and we explicitly consider the case in which electric-field fluctuations can be described by a generalized Ohm's law that includes Hall and thermoelectric effects. These two electric-field terms provide the dominant contributions to stochastic ion heating when the ion-Larmor scale is much smaller than the ion skin depth, ρ i << d i , which is the case at β << 1. Employing well-known spectral scaling laws for Alfvén-wave and kinetic-Alfvén-wave turbulent fluctuations, we obtain scaling relations characterizing the field-perpendicular particle-energization rate and energy diffusion coefficient associated with stochastic heating in these two regimes. Phase-space signatures of ion heating are then investigated using three-dimensional hybrid-kinetic simulations of continuously driven Alfvénic turbulence at low β (namely, β i = β e = 0.3 and β i = β e = 1/9). In these simulations, energization of ions parallel to the magnetic field is subdominant compared to its perpendicular counterpart ( Q ∥,i << Q ⊥,i ), and the fraction of turbulent energy that goes into ion heating is ≈75% at β i = 0.3 and ≈40% at β i ≃ 0.1. The phase-space signatures of ion energization are consistent with Landau-resonant collisionless damping and a ( β -dependent) combination of ion-cyclotron and stochastic heating. We demonstrate good agreement between our scale-dependent theory and various signatures associated with the stochastic portion of the heating. We discuss briefly the effect of intermittency on stochastic heating and the implications of our work for the interpretation of stochastic heating in solar-wind spacecraft data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Computational Investigation of Oxidative Etch Pitting in FiberForm and Its Impact on Material Properties

Oxidation-driven carbon erosion does not occur uniformly but rather through the development of localized etch pits at active surface sites. These active sites form due to atomic defects on the carbon surface, making them significantly more reactive than the surrounding, non-defective areas. As a result, these sites are the first to react during ablation, leading to their removal. This process creates new defects in neighboring atoms, increasing their reactivity and causing localized carbon removal around these active sites. In this way, the highly reactive defective areas serve as nucleation points for the formation and growth of etch pits, which can have adverse effects on structural integrity of FiberForm. To better understand how these etch pits impact the material properties of carbon fiber microstructures, we have developed a new capability within the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) framework to capture the etch pit formation process. This capability, integrated into the DSMC code SPARTA (Stochastic Parallel Rarefied-gas Time-accurate Analyzer), models material removal in the presence of active sites, leading to the formation of etch pits. The current work focuses on studying the effects of these etch pits on the material properties of FiberForm, a widely used base material in thermal protection systems (TPS). The microstructure of virgin FiberForm, obtained via X-ray microtomography, is imported into SPARTA to generate the ablated geometries with etch pits. These modified microstructures are then analyzed using the Porous Microstructure Analysis (PuMA) software to compute various material properties, including elasticity, thermal conductivity, and permeability. We investigate the variation of these properties due to the complex surface topology changes caused by etch pit formation. Additionally, we compare the effects of pitting with the conventional model of shrinking fibers, traditionally used to simulate the ablation of carbon structures. Significant differences emerge between the two approaches. Consequently, this physically realistic model of material removal through etch pit formation offers improved accuracy in predicting the degradation of carbon-based TPS during oxidation. It also provides insights into other mechanisms, such as spallation, where chunks of material are removed into the flow due to etch pit growth. Ultimately, this model enhances our understanding of failure modes in these materials during ablation.

PuMA↗

Modeling the Stochastic Response of Fiber Reinforced Composites with Varied Representative Volume Element Sizes

Fiber reinforced composites are desirable in applications where low weight and high strength are needed, but are susceptible to variability and flaws during manufacturing, making failure predictions difficult. These flaws may occur at the microscale where mechanical properties vary locally due to regions of fiber clusters and matrix pockets. In this study, a multiscale approach was taken to model 3-point bend, 4-point bend, and tensile experiments of a unidirectional composite from only having microstructure scans of these samples and constituent properties from literature. These scans were sampled with different sized windows, and statistically equivalent microstructures were generated, then simulated for stiffness, strength, and fracture toughness using a reduced order micromechanical model and NASA’s Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT). Mesoscale models were created with equivalent element sizes to microstructures and properties sampled from microscale simulation results. Results showed how microscale size affects certain mechanical properties. Also shown is how well mesoscale models agree to experiments when using stochastic element properties and varying element size.

microstructure↗

Multiscale-Informed Modeling of High Temperature Component Response with Uncertainty Quantification

This report summarizes a joint effort between Argonne National Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, and Los Alamos National Laboratory to develop and deploy constitutive models targeted at predicting the life of Grade 91 alloy components subjected to high temperature environments typical of those that structural components in advanced nuclear reactors would experience. Two distinct, but complementary constitutive modeling approaches have been taken here. The first employs a phenomenological viscoplastic model for which parameters have been calibrated based on experimental data for a wide range of Grade 91 alloy that has undergone a variety of processing. A Bayesian approach was used to derive distributions of uncertain parameters for this model based on this data set. The second approach is a reduced order model suitable for engineering-scale analysis that is based on the results of a large set of mesoscale simulations. Mesoscale models allow for the microstructure and composition of a particular alloy to be directly taken into account in the computation of the viscoplastic response, but are computationally expensive, which makes it impractical to directly call those models for the material constitutive response in an engineering-scale simulation. The reduced-order representation of the response of the underlying model used here allows for an engineering-scale model to take into account the characteristics of the underlying microstructure, while only incurring a reasonable computational expense. Both of these approaches have different strengths, and are applicable for different parts of the design/analysis process. The phenomenological models can be readily parameterized based on a set of experimental data for a given class of materials and used for scoping calculations. Once a specific material is chosen and adequately characterized, the reduced order models can accurately predict the response of that specific alloy, and because the models are based on predictive models of the underlying microstructure, they can be used to more confidently predict the response under conditions in regions where there is limited experimental data. Both of these models have been integrated in the Grizzly code, which is used here to perform proof-of-concept uncertainty quantification analyses of a simple component under prototypical conditions. The built- in stochastic analysis capabilities in the MOOSE framework that Grizzly is built on are used here to run large sets of simulations for this uncertainty quantification analysis. As would be expected, because the reduced order models are developed for a much more tightly defined alloy, they predict tighter distributions of the time to failure than the phenomenological models, which are calibrated to a broader set of data. Also important is that these simulations demonstrate that a reduced order modeling approach can be successfully deployed to propagate uncertainties from the material scale to practical engineering-scale component simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Novel Simulation-Based Framework for Sensor Error Impact Analysis in Smart Building Systems: A Case Study for a Demand-Controlled Ventilation System

Sensors are one of the fundamental components for sensor-rich controls in buildings but are prone to different errors. Existing studies show that sensor errors hold a place among top-priority faults in building systems. Before we take countermeasures to mitigate the sensor errors, it is vital to prioritize key sensors and quantify the collective impacts of concurrent sensor errors. In response to this, a simulation-based methodology is introduced to conduct a comprehensive sensor error impact analysis in building systems, which adds a stochastic sensor prioritization through a sensitivity analysis on top of a commonly used deterministic sensor error quantification. The synergies of these two parts help better interpret the sensor error impacts on building energy consumption, ventilation performance, thermal comfort, etc. A sensor-rich CO2-based Demand-Controlled Ventilation system is used as a case study to demonstrate the viability of the methodology as a proof-of-the-concept. The results show that the energy savings potential and ventilation performance are mostly influenced by the accuracy of the AHU outdoor airflow sensors. The accuracy of zone level airflow sensors has a negligible impact on both energy savings and ventilation performance. The accuracy of zone CO2 sensors has more influence on the ventilation performance compared with the accuracy of zone airflow sensors. Compared with the baseline case with zero errors, the largest deviation percentages could reach 16.90% and 94.32%, respectively, in terms of the Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) annual energy consumption and the Outdoor Air Ratio (OAR) when multiple key sensors suffer from normal error intensities simultaneously.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Thermal transport modeling of laser-irradiated spheres

Thermal transport of uniformly laser-irradiated spheres of various materials is investigated computationally. One-dimensional simulations of low- to mid-Z materials (Be, Al, and Cu) are performed to evaluate the impact of nonlocal electron transport on experimental observables under laser intensities of relevance to direct-drive inertial confinement fusion. Here we compare thermal transport models of different levels of fidelity: flux-limited Spitzer–Harm diffusion, the Schurtz–Nicolai–Busquet (SNB) reduced-order nonlocal model, and a Fokker–Planck description. Spitzer–Harm diffusion with different flux-limiter factors are compared with different implementations of the SNB model in the HYDRA radiation hydrodynamics code. Under the conditions of interest, the peak heat flux in the thermal front with the SNB model shows good agreement with Fokker–Planck calculations, with the largest errors below 10% at 10 15 W/cm 2 laser intensity. From HYDRA-SNB simulations, two experimentally relevant effects are observed from nonlocal heat transport when compared to flux-limited Spitzer–Harm modeling: coronal temperatures are cooler due to reduced heat fluxes in the expanding plasma and (for mid-Z materials) x-ray emissions are enhanced due to preheating in the dense plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Non-local transport in radiation-hydrodynamics codes for ICF by efficient coupling to an external Vlasov–Fokker–Planck code

Accurately incorporating non-local transport into radiation-hydrodynamics codes, and indeed any fluid system, has long been elusive. To date, a simplified and accurate theory that can be easily integrated has not been available. This limitation affects modeling in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) and magnetic confinement fusion systems, among others, where non-local transport is well-known to be present. Here, we present a coupling methodology between a full Vlasov–Fokker–Planck (VFP) electron kinetic code and radiation-hydrodynamics (rad-hydro) codes. The VFP code is used to adjust native electron transport in the rad-hydro code, thus enabling improved transport without the need to integrate a full electron VFP solver into the rad-hydro code. This approach necessitates only occasional invocation of the VFP code, reducing computational intensity compared to following the dynamic evolution entirely with the VFP code on fluid time scales. We illustrate that the methodology is more accurate than other simplified methods in thermal decay systems relevant to ICF and can replicate standard theoretical results with high accuracy.

Electronic transport↗

The Electromagnetic Characteristics of the Tianlai Cylindrical Pathfinder Array

A great challenge for 21 cm intensity mapping experiments is the strong foreground radiation which is orders of magnitude brighter than the 21 cm signal. Removal of the foreground takes advantage of the fact that its frequency spectrum is smooth while the redshifted 21 cm signal spectrum is stochastic. However, a complication is the non-smoothness of the instrument response. This paper describes the electromagnetic simulation of the Tianlai cylinder array, a pathfinder for 21 cm intensity mapping experiments. Due to the vast scales involved, a direct simulation requires a large amount of computing resources. We have made the simulation practical by using a combination of methods: first simulate a single feed, then an array of feed units, finally with the feed array and a cylindrical reflector together, obtain the response for a single cylinder. We studied its radiation pattern, bandpass response and the effects of mutual coupling between feed units, and compared the results with observation. Many features seen in the measurement result are reproduced well in the simulation, especially the oscillatory features which are associated with the standing waves on the reflector. The mutual coupling between feed units is quantified with S-parameters, which decrease as the distance between the two feeds increases. Based on the simulated S-parameters, we estimate the correlated noise which has been seen in the visibility data, and the results show very good agreement with the data in both magnitude and frequency structures. These results provide useful insights on the problem of 21 cm signal extraction for real instruments.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Laboratory Evaluation of Federated, Hierarchical Controls for Distribution Power System Management: Preprint

The connection of more loads and distributed energy resources (DERs) to the distribution power system brings both challenges and opportunities to system operators. There are opportunities to aggregate flexible loads and DERs to provide transmission grid services, but the coordinated actions of DERs being managed by independent, third-party DER aggregators to support transmission system operations can present challenges. We developed a federated DER management architecture and control framework that aims to manage heterogeneous DERs to deliver reliable transmission grid services while respecting distribution system constraints. The controls include stochastic day-ahead optimization, model predictive control, and a simple real-time management scheme. We present simulation results obtained from a realistic laboratory test bed of federated controls managing DERs within a substation service area to make the substation net power follow the optimal net power determined by the day-ahead optimization based on cost and limiting reverse power flow.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Parameterizing Subgrid Variations of Land Surface Heat Fluxes to the Atmosphere Improves Boreal Summer Land Precipitation Simulation With the NCAR CESM1.2

Subgrid horizontal variations of land surface heat fluxes to the atmosphere resulting from subgrid land cover heterogeneity are important in land-atmosphere interaction in global climate models (GCMs). To incorporate it, a parameterization using stochastic sampling based on truncated normal distributions diagnosed from the land model and internal ensemble mean of multiple calls to the planetary boundary layer and deep convection schemes is developed. After its implementation in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Earth System Model version 1.2 (CESM1.2), large changes of simulated land precipitation are found to occur in regions where large subgrid variations of surface heat fluxes exist. The simulated precipitation is improved in boreal summer, especially over eastern China and the coastal areas of the Bay of Bengal. The improved precipitation is mainly a result of improved large-scale moisture convergence and advection by altered vertical diffusion and convection.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

SGD-Net: Efficient Model-Based Deep Learning with Theoretical Guarantees

Deep unfolding networks have recently gained popularity for solving imaging inverse problems. However, the computational and memory complexity of data-consistency layers within traditional deep unfolding networks scales with the number of measurements, limiting their applicability to large-scale imaging inverse problems. We propose SGD-Net as a new methodology for improving the efficiency of deep unfolding through stochastic approximations of the data-consistency layers. Our theoretical analysis shows that SGD-Net can be trained to approximate batch deep unfolding networks to an arbitrary precision. Our simulations on intensity diffraction tomography and sparse-view computed tomography show that SGD-Net can match the performance of the traditional batch network at a fraction of training and testing complexity.Deep unfolding networks have recently gained popularity for solving imaging inverse problems. However, the computational and memory complexity of data-consistency layers within traditional deep unfolding networks scales with the number of measurements, limiting their applicability to large-scale imaging inverse problems. We propose SGD-Net as a new methodology for improving the efficiency of deep unfolding through stochastic approximations of the data-consistency layers. Our theoretical analysis shows that SGD-Net can be trained to approximate batch deep unfolding networks to an arbitrary precision. Our simulations on intensity diffraction tomography and sparse-view computed tomography show that SGD-Net can match the performance of the traditional batch network at a fraction of training and testing complexity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

All about the neutron from lattice QCD

I describe how simulations of lattice QCD using the path integral formulation provide the two basic quantum mechanical properties of QCD, its ground state in which correlation functions are calculated, and Fock state wavefunctions between which matrix elements of operators are calculated. Both constructs are stochastic, so unfortunately one gets no intuitive picture or even qualitative understanding of what they look like, nevertheless they contain and display all the subtleties of the quantum field theory. Today, these simulations provide many quantities that are impacting phenomenology and experiments. I illustrate the methods and the steps in the analysis using, as examples, three observables: the isovector charges of the nucleon, the contribution of the quark’s intrinsic spin to the nucleon spin, and the pion-nucleon sigma term.

Gupta, Rajan (ORCID:0000000317843058)↗

Modeling laser velocimeter signals as triply stochastic Poisson processes

Previous models of laser Doppler velocimeter (LDV) systems have not adequately described dual-scatter signals in a manner useful for analysis and simulation of low-level photon-limited signals. At low photon rates, an LDV signal at the output of a photomultiplier tube is a compound nonhomogeneous filtered Poisson process, whose intensity function is another (slower) Poisson process with the nonstationary rate and frequency parameters controlled by a random flow (slowest) process. In the present paper, generalized Poisson shot noise models are developed for low-level LDV signals. Theoretical results useful in detection error analysis and simulation are presented, along with measurements of burst amplitude statistics. Computer generated simulations illustrate the difference between Gaussian and Poisson models of low-level signals.

Mayo, W. T., Jr.↗

Euler–Lagrange stochastic modeling of droplet breakup and impact in supersonic flight

Blunt bodied aircraft traveling supersonically in weather environments may be damaged by impacts with water droplets and other airborne particles, such as snow and ice. Prior to an impact, these particles will encounter a bow shock that causes a discontinuity in their relative velocity with the gas phase, which can lead droplets to breakup into smaller droplets. These smaller droplets are more easily diverted from colliding with the blunt body due to their significantly reduced inertia relative to the initial rain droplets. One-way coupled Euler–Lagrange simulations are used to study the dynamics of droplets approaching a blunt body in steady two dimensional and axi-symmetric flow fields using a stochastic version of the Taylor analogy breakup model for the breakup dynamics. Ultimately, the dominant mechanism determining engineering quantities of interest was observed to be a competition between breakup time and the time available for a droplet to reach the body after encountering the bow shock. At Mach numbers 2, 3, and 6, the competition between these mechanisms was the dominant factor determining the momentum transfer to the blunt body via droplet collisions, which can be well characterized by a scaling relation.

Briney, Sam (ORCID:0000000179061081)↗