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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 703 records · Page 39
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Forecasting distributed energy resources adoption for power systems

Failing to incorporate accurate distributed energy resource penetration forecasts into long-term resource and transmission planning can lead to cost inefficiencies at best and system failures at worst. We have developed an open-source tool that employs an advanced Bass specification to calibrate and forecast technology adoption. The advanced specification includes geographic clustering, exogenously estimated market size, and dynamic time steps. Training on historical adoption of rooftop photovoltaics at the U.S. county-level and using detailed techno-economic estimates, our model achieves a two-year average mean-absolute-percentage-error of 19% in predicting system counts at the county-level, weighted by population. Model error was negatively correlated with market maturity - the error was 12% for counties in states with at least 28 W-per-capita of installed capacity. The advanced specification significantly reduces unweighted forecasting percent error compared to a conventional Bass specification: from 196% to 25% for capacity and from 226% to 22% for system count.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Directed energy deposition of functionally graded V-4Cr-4Ti to Fe-9Cr transition for fusion power systems

This study proposes a graded structure via additive manufacturing for divertor and first wall blanket applications in fusion reactors. Materials were selected based on thermodynamic calculations to operate from 1100 °C at the plasma-facing level to 550 °C at the structural steel level. Conventional joining methods often lead to failures due to discrete reaction layers with significant mechanical property differences. Using laser beam-directed energy deposition (LB-DED), this study demonstrates the fabrication of a VCrTi-Gr91 steel functionally graded component through a novel process parameter optimization framework. A systematic approach included powder characterization, single-track depositions, and construction of printability maps. Near full-density specimens of each interlayer were additively manufactured, and a transition from V-based alloys to reduced activation ferritic martensitic steels was achieved. Computational material selection of interlayer alloys and thermodynamic/diffusion kinetics simulations prevented most interface incompatibilities. A brittle intermetallic formed at one interface, causing cracking, which was not predicted by current thermodynamic models. Transition alloy design approach was updated with a more recent database and a mitigation strategy has been proposed to eliminate the formation of deleterious intermetallic phases. Ultimately, LB-DED has proven effective for producing multi-material graded systems for fusion applications, with the demonstrated process parameter optimization framework applicable to various materials.

Additive manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impacts of Solar Land Availability on the Evolution of the U.S. Power System

Long-term planning scenarios of the United States electricity system have not identified solar resource availability to be a limiting factor in how much solar capacity might be deployed. However, there are some smaller regions where siting challenges indicate solar deployment could be limited by solar resource availability. In this work, we use geospatial modeling tools to develop a restrictive siting scenario that significantly reduces the amount and location of utility-scale solar resources. We use that restrictive siting regime, along with other previously defined siting scenarios, to examine how solar resource availability impacts the buildout of the electricity system using business-as-usual and decarbonization futures in a national-scale capacity expansion model. The restrictive siting scenario uses observed siting pressures to exclude many types of land on which development is allowed today and results in a greater than 90% reduction in solar resource potential-to approximately 3000 GW. Even with this drastic reduction, utility-scale solar capacity grows by more than 3 times through 2050 in the business-as-usual scenarios and by more than 6 times in the decarbonization scenarios, though less solar is deployed in scenarios with lower available solar resource. We quantify how system costs and generation mixes change as solar resource availability changes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Risk-Oriented PMU Placement Approach in Electric Power Systems

The objective of traditional PMU placement approaches is to use the minimal number of PMUs to cover system complete observability. Very few consider the probability and the consequence severity of observability loss. For example, following line trip, grid topology changes, which may results in observability loss and overloaded lines. As long as the overloaded lines are still observable, then we can take action in time to correct the system; and the consequence of the observability loss is not severe, although some parts of the system is not observable. Otherwise, if the overloaded lines become unobservable, then we lose the situation awareness of the system and the consequence of the observability loss is severe. To address the above points in PMU placement, this paper proposes a risk-oriented PMU placement approach. The proposed approach uses two indices, namely the probability of observability loss and its corresponding consequence of severity to design the optimal PMU placement strategy. We show that our proposed approach is able to capture the critical events while the traditional approaches fail to do so. Extensive simulation results carried out on the IEEE 39-bus and 118-bus systems demonstrate its effectiveness.

observability, risk of observability loss, PMUs pl↗