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At least 703 records · Page 39

Nature-based climate solutions can help mitigate the radiative forcing that follows deforestation

Widespread expansion of agriculture and forestry has altered the surface of the Earth, the composition of the atmosphere, and as a result, the climate. Here we quantify the radiative forcing caused by the historical deforestation of an ecoregion in the U.S. Upper Midwest and the adoption of eight nature-based climate solutions. We combined regional forest inventory data with over three decades of remote sensing and in situ data from a replicated land use change experiment. Deforestation of the region caused net global warming (1626 ± 44 µW m -2 ), mainly from the 76 % reduction of ecosystem carbon stocks, but also from the 84 % reduction of the soil methane sink and the 115 % increase in soil nitrous oxide emissions. The associated albedo increase offset 24 % of this greenhouse gas induced warming. For the adoption of nature-based climate solutions, we found that conservation agriculture can provide -39 to -76 ± 31 µW m -2 of climate mitigation over a 100-year time period while short/medium length forestry rotations can provide more at -296 to -881 ± 44 µW m -2 and natural forest regeneration can provide the most at -1555 ± 44 µW m -2 . As the impacts of climate change on nature and society intensify, consideration should be given to the climate mitigation, habitat, and ecosystem services that nature-based climate solutions can provide.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Divergent responses of historic rain-on-snow flood extremes to a warmer climate

Global warming is altering flood risks induced by rain-on-snow events. However, decision-makers lack guidance on how rain-on-snow induced extreme floods could be altered with warming. Here, storyline analyses using a kilometer-scale land surface model reveal diverse responses of four historically-impactful, decision-relevant rain-on-snow induced extreme flood events over the contiguous U.S. to warming, due to alterations in their water budgets. For the 2017-Feb California floods, runoff first increases and then decreases with warming, peaking under the +3 K scenario, while runoff of the 2017-Jan California floods increases monotonically by ~53%/K. Contrastingly, runoff of the 1996-Jan Mid-Atlantic floods decreases gradually with warming. Despite these differences, warming generally shifts flood-generating regimes along elevation profiles. High elevations could experience notably increased runoff, while low elevations encounter a shift from rain-on-snow-driven to rainfall-dominated runoff. These findings underscore the need for flood control planning to quantify region- and elevation-specific changes in rain-on-snow events in a warmer climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Fine root and soil carbon stocks are positively related in grasslands but not in forests

Increasing fine root carbon (FRC) inputs into soils has been proposed as a solution to increasing soil organic carbon (SOC). However, FRC inputs can also enhance SOC loss through priming. Here, we tested the broad-scale relationships between SOC and FRC at 43 sites across the US National Ecological Observatory Network. We found that SOC and FRC stocks were positively related with an across-ecosystem slope of 7 ± 3 kg SOC m −2 per kg FRC m −2 , but this relationship was driven by grasslands. Grasslands had double the across-ecosystem slope while forest FRC and SOC were unrelated. Furthermore, deep grassland soils primarily showed net SOC accrual relative to FRC input. Conversely, forests had high variability in whether FRC inputs were related to net SOC priming or accrual. We conclude that while FRC increases could lead to increased SOC in grasslands, especially at depth, the FRC-SOC relationship remains difficult to characterize in forests.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Time irreversibility as an indicator of approaching tipping points in Earth subsystems

With shifting environmental trends, many Earth system elements may be poised to undergo critical transitions or ‘tipping’. Reliable anticipation of these tipping elements is vital to inform policy decisions. Many of the current methods for tipping point detection are based on loss of resilience or ‘critical slowdown’ of the system as it approaches a tipping point. However, these methods are prone to false alarms; the detected slowdown may be an artifact of nonstationary noise unrelated to tipping behavior. Here, we explore the efficacy of early warning signs based on a nonequilibrium thermodynamics framework. The model-free detection method relies on the increased intrinsic time-irreversibility due to detailed balance breaking, preceding the onset of tipping or instabilities. We demonstrate that these EWSs are effective for tipping point detection and robust against false alarms due to nonstationary noise, using idealized models for two key elements of the Earth system that are prone to tipping: the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Arctic sea-ice loss.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Aperture and roughness govern iron oxide passivation in olivine fractures during carbon mineralization

Efficient carbon dioxide mineralization in silicate-rich formations depends on reaction rates within fracture networks, yet the role of fracture microstructure remains poorly constrained. We investigated how fracture aperture and surface roughness influence mineralization by reacting synthetic forsteritic olivine fractures with controlled apertures (0.5–1.6 millimeters) and roughness (6–16 micrometers) with supercritical carbon dioxide at 13.7 megapascals and 185 degrees Celsius. Optical microscopy and Raman spectroscopy showed that rougher fracture surfaces promoted iron oxide precipitation, which passivated olivine surfaces, limiting magnesium availability for carbonate formation while removing iron as a reactant. These effects were more pronounced in smaller-aperture fractures. A geochemical model incorporating surface topography and passivation reproduced the observed trends, confirming that increased roughness can reduce reactivity despite greater surface area. Our results demonstrate that fracture microstructure strongly influences iron oxide passivation and carbon dioxide mineralization, with important implications for predicting long-term performance of engineered carbon dioxide storage systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Weak, shallow, dry convection over Angola increases offshore stratocumulus cloud droplet number concentrations

Boundary-layer cloud interactions involving shortwave-absorbing aerosols remain one of the least understood aerosol influences on climate. Here, we find the highest stratocumulus cloud droplet number concentrations over the southeast Atlantic occur when agricultural fires coincide with synoptically-weakened surface warming over Angola, occurring June-early August. Dry convection fills a shallow continental boundary layer with smoke, and a nighttime (local solar time 2-9) land breeze transports the aerosol into the marine boundary layer. Offshore aerosol transport is strengthened by low-level easterlies from a continental pressure high southeast of Angola. Simultaneously, the South Atlantic subtropical high is weaker, allowing extensive dispersal of aerosol offshore into the boundary layer, obscuring cloud brightening from shipping. Meteorological co-variation at synoptic scales compensates for cloud brightening by the smoke. Outgoing shortwave radiation increases by 15–20% of the monthly mean in June and July when offshore droplet numbers are less but the stratocumulus deck is more developed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

The hidden influence of terrestrial groundwater on salt marsh function and resilience

Salt marshes are hotspots of nutrient processing and carbon sequestration. So far, studies addressing spatiotemporal variability in and drivers of salt marsh biogeochemical function, carbon storage and resilience have focused on ocean-driven surface hydrologic influences, neglecting effects of terrestrial hydrology through subsurface connections. Here we evaluate drivers of salt marsh redox potential, a proxy for biogeochemical state, through wavelet analyses and information theory using data from seven marshes. The results point to terrestrial groundwater level as a dominant control on redox variability across all sites. Because redox is a key driver of biogeochemical processes, and specifically oxidation of organic matter that sequesters carbon and maintains marsh elevation, these terrestrial influences are critical to understanding marsh function and evolution. Further, the newly identified links between onshore groundwater levels and marsh redox conditions shift the traditional paradigm and suggest that terrestrial hydrology is a primary control on salt marsh carbon sequestration potential and resilience.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Benchmarking greenhouse gas emissions from US wastewater treatment for targeted reduction

Here, in this study, to assess the national climate impact of wastewater treatment and inform decarbonization, we assembled a comprehensive greenhouse gas inventory of 15,863 facilities in the contiguous USA. Considering location and treatment configurations, we modelled on-site CH 4 , N 2 O and CO 2 production and emissions associated with energy, chemical inputs and solids disposal. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we estimated median national emissions at 47 million tonnes of CO 2 equivalent per year, with on-site process CH 4 and N 2 O emissions exceeding current government estimates by 41%. Treatment configurations with anaerobic digesters are responsible for 16 million tonnes of CO 2 equivalent per year of fugitive methane, outweighing benefits achieved through on-site electricity generation. Systems designed for nutrient removal have the highest greenhouse gas emissions intensity, attributable to energy requirements and N 2 O production, demonstrating current trade-offs between meeting water quality and climate objectives. We analysed key sensitivities and included a geospatial analysis to highlight the scale and distribution of opportunities for reducing life cycle greenhouse gas emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Wildfire and power grid nexus in a changing climate

Global wildfire events have had increasingly severe impacts in recent years, particularly in the western USA, driven by extreme fire-weather conditions, fuel accumulation and multiple ignition sources. Wildfires sparked by power lines tend to be larger and more destructive, as they often occur during high winds, which accelerate the spread of fires. Moreover, efforts to contain wildfires frequently result in power outages, causing considerable economic disruption. Here, in this Review, we examine wildfire risks related to power-line-induced ignitions, infrastructure damage, climate-induced environmental impacts, grid operational risks, real-time grid management risks, vegetation management risks, and financial and funding risks in the context of a changing climate and their interdependence with power grid infrastructures. We then explore the resilience of power grids under wildfire threats, looking at risk analysis, prediction and mitigation strategies. The Review also shares practical insights and experiences in the USA to inform researchers, policymakers and industry professionals.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

Compounding effects of climate change and WUI expansion quadruple the likelihood of extreme-impact wildfires in California

Previous research has examined individual factors contributing to wildfire risk, but the compounding effects of these factors remain underexplored. Here, we introduce the “Integrated Human-centric Wildfire Risk Index (IHWRI)” to quantify the compounding effects of fire-weather intensification and anthropogenic factors—including ignitions and human settlement into wildland—on wildfire risk. While climatic trends increased the frequency of high-risk fire-weather by 2.5-fold, the combination of this trend with wildland-urban interface expansion led to a 4.1-fold increase in the frequency of conditions conducive to extreme-impact wildfires from 1990 to 2022 across California. More than three-quarters of extreme-impact wildfires—defined as the top 20 largest, most destructive, or deadliest events on record—originated within 1 km from the wildland-urban interface. The deadliest and most destructive wildfires—90% of which were human-caused—primarily occurred in the fall, while the largest wildfires—56% of which were human-caused—mostly took place in the summer. By integrating human activity and climate change impacts, we provide a holistic understanding of human-centric wildfire risk, crucial for policy development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Detecting tropospheric composition and climate responses to US air pollution controls in the context of internally-arising variability

Since the 1970s, air pollutant emissions controls in the United States (US) have lowered concentrations of ozone (O 3 ) and aerosols, which have opposing radiative effects on surface temperature. Using a pair of initial-condition ensembles generated by a fully-coupled chemistry-climate model, we simulate the “world avoided” by US air pollution controls. In this counterfactual world, we find tropospheric column O 3 increases, robust to natural internal variability, extending across the Northern Hemisphere. Robust aerosol increases, dominated by sulfate, remain localized near the US. Wintertime Northwest Atlantic cloud droplet number concentration is particularly sensitive to US aerosol. While an ensemble mean US surface cooling signal (−0.4 °C) implies that aerosol-driven cooling prevails over any O 3 -induced warming, we find that large regional internal variability will confound its detection in any single transient realization. Larger signal-to-noise ratios for composition versus climate variables underscore the greater detectability of emissions-driven changes in tropospheric composition compared to their associated climate impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Landuse and land cover shape organic contaminants distribution in the Oconee River watershed in Georgia

Amid growing concerns over the persistence of organic contaminants, this study examines the influence of land-use patterns on their distribution in the Oconee River watershed, Georgia. Surface water samples from five sites across urban, recreational, and forested areas of Georgia’sOconee River watershed were analyzed for 22 organic contaminants, including pesticides and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Contaminant concentrations varied, with Acenaphthene (max: 19,462.04 ng/L), Chrysene (max: 984.10 ng/L), and Naphthalene (max: 2428.06 ng/L) being predominant. Atrazine (max: 171.04 ng/L) and Malathion (max: 114.99 ng/L)were the most detected pesticides. Land use and land cover significantly influence organic contaminant distribution, with higher levels in forested and urban areas. Risk Quotient (RQ) analysis confirmed no contaminants surpassed the critical threshold, though cumulative exposure may pose long-term risks. The study emphasizes the need for targeted monitoring and regulatory efforts to safeguard water quality in river systems influenced by diverse land-use practices.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Decoupling first-cycle capacity loss mechanisms in sulfide solid-state batteries

Solid-state batteries (SSBs) promise more energy-dense storage than liquid electrolyte lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). However, first-cycle capacity loss is higher in SSBs than in LIBs due to interfacial reactions. The chemical evolution of key interfaces in SSBs has been extensively characterized. Electrochemically, however, we lack a versatile strategy for quantifying the reversibility of solid electrolyte (SE) redox for established and next-generation SSB electrolytes. In this work, we perform tailored electrochemical tests and operando X-ray diffraction to disentangle reversible and irreversible sources of capacity loss in positive electrodes composed of Li 6 PS 5 Cl SE, Li(Ni 0.5 Mn 0.3 Co 0.2 )O 2 (NMC), and carbon conductive additives. We leverage an atypically low voltage cutoff (2.0 V vs. Li/Li + ) to quantify the reversibility of SE redox. Using slow (5.5 mA g NMC −1 ) cycling paired with >100 h low-voltage holds, our cells achieve a surprising 96.2% first-cycle coulombic efficiency, which is higher than previously reported (mean: 72%, maximum: 91.6% across surveyed literature). We clarify that sluggish NMC relithiation kinetics have been historically mistaken for permanently irreversible capacity loss. In conclusion, through systematic decoupling of loss mechanisms, we uncover the unexpected reversibility of SE redox and isolate the major contributors to capacity loss, outlining a strategy for accurate assessment of next-generation SE materials and interface modifications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

A portable and reusable sensor system based on graphene for real-time and sensitive detection of lead ions in water

Long-term exposure to Pb 2+ can cause irreversible damage to the nervous, cardiovascular, and reproductive systems. Therefore, developing a fast and sensitive detection system capable of monitoring minuscule concentrations of Pb 2+ is essential. In this study, we demonstrated a fully portable sensor system enabling rapid, sensitive, and real-time monitoring of Pb 2+ . The sensor system adopted the remote-gate field-effect transistor (RGFET) detection scheme and was easy to operate, even for non-experts. The sensor system comprised two printed circuit boards (PCBs): a sensor PCB with a remote-gate electrode and an analyzer PCB with a metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistor (MOSFET) transducer and peripheral electronics to manage sensor signals. To achieve a high sensitivity for Pb 2+ , we utilized graphene ink drop-casted on the sensor PCB as a sensing membrane. The graphene film was easy to deposit and remove, enabling the sensor PCB to be reused multiple times. The sensor system was further linked to a smartphone application that instantly monitors the sensor response, allowing for rapid point-of-use detection. The sensor exhibited a high sensitivity of 21.7% when the limit of detection (LOD) value of 1 nM (∼0.2 ppb) was detected, and the typical detection time for each sample was approximately 60 seconds. This portable sensor system advances sensing technologies and could potentially supplement expensive, laborious conventional sensing equipment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Uptake of polystyrene nanospheres by wheat and Arabidopsis roots in agar, hydroponics, and soil

Plant uptake of micro- and nanoplastics can lead to contamination of food with plastic particles and subsequent human consumption of plastics. There is evidence that plant roots can take up micro and nanoplastics; however, most of this evidence stems from experiments conducted with plants grown in hydroponics or agar systems where uptake of nanoparticles by roots is more favorable than when plants were grown in soil. Here, we discern the root uptake and accumulation of polystyrene nanospheres in plants grown in different growth media: agar, hydroponics, and soil. In addition, we tested the impacts of nanospheres on plant biomass and plant stress. Wheat and Arabidopsis thaliana were grown in agar, hydroponics, and soil media and exposed to polystyrene nanospheres. Three different nanospheres were used (40 nm and 200 nm carboxylate-modified and 200 nm amino-modified polystyrene) and uniformly mixed into the growth media. Plants were grown for 7 to 10 days and the roots were then examined for the presence of nanospheres by confocal laser scanning microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. Plant stress was evaluated by measuring reactive oxygen species (ROS). We observed the 40 nm nanospheres inside the plant roots, but the 200 nm nanospheres only adhered to the root cap cells showing no uptake into the roots. Furthermore, confocal images indicated that root uptake of nanospheres was favored in hydroponic solutions as compared to agar and soil media. Plant biomass was generally not affected by the nanospheres, except for hydroponically grown Arabidopsis thaliana, where biomass was significantly reduced. Small sized (40 nm) and positively charged (200 nm amino-modified) nanospheres showed higher ROS accumulation in plants than negatively charged 200 nm carboxylate-modified nanospheres. In conclusion, this study provides evidence that polystyrene nanospheres can be taken up into the interior of plant roots and cause plant stress, but these impacts are less pronounced in media where the plastic particles are less mobile, like in agar and soil media as compared to hydroponic systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Direct flue gas capture for algae cultivation and subsequent valorization: evaluating life cycle emissions and costs

Algae cultivation and processing is an important pathway under discussion within the broader CO 2 capture and utilization umbrella. Here, we discuss the results of a life-cycle analysis and techno-economic analysis of a pilot-scale photobioreactor that uses flue gas directly from natural gas or biogas combustion at 3–5% CO 2 concentration. The system requires minimal freshwater use as it has been successfully run with industrial wastewater and has a much smaller areal footprint compared with open pond cultivation. Introducing the flue gas directly to the photobioreactor avoids the need for CO 2 separation and pressurization, which is undertaken in many other algae cultivation systems. For the end-use of the biomass, the default case assumes conversion of algae to liquid fuels via hydrothermal liquefaction. The results indicate that the pilot-scale system has a higher cost, and comparable greenhouse gas emissions compared to pond-based systems, especially as the grid is anticipated to evolve to a lower carbon intensity. The costs of algae biofuel production range from $\$12–16$ per GGE at the current pilot scale. Depending on whether the source of the carbon is fossil or biogenic, the net emissions are 68 g CO 2 e per MJ and −4 g CO 2 e per MJ respectively. If the marine algae species is used instead of the freshwater species, it offers an additional 16 g CO 2 e per MJ carbon fixation in the form of calcium carbonate. The findings point to broadly desirable trends in GHG emissions and costs, while the discussion aims to shed light on areas that could further improve the scalability of the system.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS

Alkaline mineral residues from pulp mills as a sustainable and economical alternative to lime fertilizers

Lime is typically comprised of calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) or calcium magnesium carbonate (CaMg(CO 3 ) 2 ) and is needed to maintain a proper pH in agriculture and forestry soils, but it represents a major cost to growers and results in significant greenhouse gas emissions due to the mining, crushing, and transport required. There is a need to identify existing sources of alkaline mineral wastes and assess their potential as sustainable and cost-effective alternatives to lime. Dregs and grits (DGs) are highly alkaline mineral residues from biomass pulp mills that form during the recovery of pulping chemicals and are mostly comprised of CaCO 3 . For the first time, we assess the efficacy of industrially sourced DGs on 22 acidic soils across the Southeastern United States that are currently used in either agriculture or forestry operations. The application of DGs was found on average to result in the same soil pH response as calcite over multiple soil incubations (0 day to 120 days). An analysis of the carbon content of the soils after the incubation revealed that soils incubated with DGs experienced a statistically significant increase in soil carbon relative to control soils and those incubated with CaCO 3 . The generation and application of DGs emits 0.35 tonnes of CO 2 for every tonne of DGs, which compares favorably to the 0.86 tonnes of CO 2 for every tonne of agricultural lime generated and $85 per tonne lime reported in the literature. DGs prove to be a sustainable and economical substitute for agricultural lime in the acidic soils of the Southeastern United States.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES