Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “predictive state estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 685 records · Page 38
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Robust ab initio predictions for dimensionless ratios of 𝐸⁢2 and radius observables. II. Estimation of 𝐸⁢2 transition strengths by calibration to the charge radius

Converged results for 𝐸⁢2 observables are notoriously challenging to obtain in ab initio no-core configuration interaction approaches. Matrix elements of the 𝐸⁢2 operator are sensitive to the large-distance tails of the nuclear wave function, which converge slowly in an oscillator basis expansion. Similar convergence challenges beset ab initio prediction of the nuclear charge radius. However, we exploit systematic correlations between the calculated 𝐸⁢2 and radius observables to yield meaningful predictions for relations among these observables. In particular, we examine ab initio predictions for dimensionless ratios of the form 𝐵⁡(𝐸⁢2)/(𝑒 2 ⁢𝑟 4 ) for nuclei throughout the 𝑝 shell. Finally, meaningful predictions for 𝐸⁢2 transition strengths may then be made by calibrating to the ground-state charge radius if experimentally known.

ab initio calculations↗
DOE OSTI2024

QCD Predictions for Meson Electromagnetic Form Factors at High Momenta: Testing Factorization in Exclusive Processes

We report the first lattice QCD computation of pion and kaon electromagnetic form factors, 𝐹 𝑀⁡ (𝑄 2 ), at large momentum transfer up to 10 and 28 GeV 2 , respectively. Utilizing physical masses and two fine lattices, we achieve good agreement with JLab experimental results at 𝑄 2 ≲ 4 GeV 2 . For 𝑄 2 ≳ 4 GeV 2 , our results provide ab initio QCD benchmarks for the forthcoming experiments at JLab 12 GeV and future electron-ion colliders. We also test the QCD collinear factorization framework utilizing our high-𝑄 2 form factors at next-to-next-to-leading order in perturbation theory, which relates the form factors to the leading Fock-state meson distribution amplitudes. Comparisons with independent lattice QCD calculations using the same framework demonstrate, within estimated uncertainties, the universality of these nonperturbative quantities.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Glass formation during combinatorial sputtering in binary alloys

Glass formation is a complex phenomenon influenced by thermodynamic and kinetic aspects, which are often controlled by extrinsic contributions. While bulk metallic glasses are typically multicomponent alloys, binary alloys offer a simplified approach to studying glass formation. In this study, we fabricated 57 binary alloy systems through combinatorial sputtering, where each alloy system is represented in 66 different alloys. We developed an automated analysis to determine structure and composition using X-ray diffraction and energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy for over 3700 alloys. We found that ∼17 % of the alloys form glasses under the estimated cooling rate during sputtering of ∼10 8 K/s. Data analysis revealed that commonly used factors like atomic size ratio and heat of mixing are ineffective in predicting glass formation. However, the crystal structure mismatch of the alloys’ elements emerged as the strongest indicator of glass formation under sputtering conditions of binary alloys. Here, the differences in glass formation under slow cooling rates used for bulk glass formation and the here observed glass formation under rapid cooling rates are discussed.

Binary alloys↗
DOE OSTI2025

A database and meta-analysis on the performance of exploding pusher implosions conducted at OMEGA

A database of 222 exploding pusher implosions conducted at the OMEGA Laser Facility is presented. The dataset consists of glass-shell capsules filled with varying pressures of D 2 , T 2 , and 3 He, which were imploded using square laser pulses with intensities ranging from 1 to 1 × 10 15 W/cm 2 . The database includes measurements of bang times, ion temperatures, and yields from the DD, D 3 He, and DT fusion reactions. A semi-analytic exploding pusher model is introduced, which effectively captures the observed trends in the data. This model predicts that the measurements scale according to a power-law relation based on the initial capsule and laser conditions. A generalized power-law scaling relation is directly fit to each dataset, providing a useful interpolation of the entire database. Overall, the database provides a valuable resource to estimating bang times, temperatures, and yields for the design of future experiments. Additionally, it provides a diverse set of data for validating more advanced implosion physics models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multiphysics Analyses of the Protected and Unprotected Loss of Forced Cooling Accidents in the HTR-PM

Here, we present the multiphysics simulation results for the protected pressurized and depressurized loss of forced cooling (PLOFC and DLOFC) events in the High-Temperature gas-cooled Reactor--Pebble-bed Module (HTR-PM) equilibrium core using the Griffin-Pronghorn coupled code system. Additionally, this paper discusses the strategy for estimating the spontaneous fission neutron source needed for unprotected events and re-criticality calculations. The solutions of the protected PLOFC and DLOFC events were verified against similar solutions obtained for temperature evolutions from the open literature. Both the average and maximum pebble surface temperatures behaved as expected during the DLOFC and remained below 1800 K. The PLOFC results are highly dependent on the ability to resolve the natural circulation in the core, which is impacted by the mesh resolution in Pronghorn. Furthermore, we present the results of the unprotected DLOFC transient to predict the timing of the re-criticality event, which occurred 47 hours after the onset of the transient, and the new steady-state power of 1.3 MW.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Study of the ${{^{25}}}$Mg(d,p)${{^{26}}}$Mg reaction to constrain the ${{^{25}}}$Al(p,${\gamma }$)${{^{26}}}$Si resonant reaction rates in nova burning conditions

The rate of the 25 Al( p,γ) 26 Si reaction is one of the few key remaining nuclear uncertainties required for predicting the production of the cosmic γ-ray emitter 26 Al in explosive burning in novae. This reaction rate is dominated by three key resonances (J π = 0 + , 1 + and 3 + ) in 26 Si. Only the 3 + resonance strength has been directly constrained by experiment. A high resolution measurement of the 25 Mg(d, p) reaction was used to determine spectroscopic factors for analog states in the mirror nucleus, 26 Mg. A first spectroscopic factor value is reported for the 0 + state at 6.256 MeV, and a strict upper limit is set on the value for the 1 + state at 5.691 MeV, that is incompatible with an earlier ( 4 He, 3 He) study. These results are used to estimate proton partial widths, and resonance strengths of analog states in 26 Si contributing to the 25 Al( p,γ) 26 Si reaction rate in nova burning conditions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Implementation of tritium transport in a gas-liquid contactor CFD simulation of tritium extraction from lead-lithium in ANSYS fluent

Modifications to the Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) software ANSYS Fluent were done to quantify and characterize tritium transport in Gas-Liquid Contactors (GLCs). A double-slit, Ergun-like equation was employed for the porous media model, with Ergun coefficients validated with Sulzer’s Sulcol software. Tritium transport from PbLi within the GLC was verified against analytical models. The geometry of the CFD model was based on the MELODIE GLC experiment. The hydrodynamic CFD pressure drop results align well with SulCol estimations and fall between the predictions of the analytical Delft-Olujic and Billet & Schultes models. In terms of mass transfer efficiency, traditional mass transfer models showed a significant deviation from experimental results when using varying values of H solubility in PbLi. A saturation phenomenon occurred when utilizing high solubility values for hydrogen in PbLi. In conclusion, a modified film theory mass transfer coefficient, incorporating either the Delft-Olujic or Billet & Schultes wettability model, yielded CFD-predicted extraction efficiencies that closely matched experimental measurements.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Spectroscopy of 30 P and the abundance of 29 Si in presolar grains

The astrophysical 29 Si(p,γ) reaction is expected to play a key role in determining the final 29 Si yields ejected in nova explosions. Such yields are used to accurately identify the stellar origins of meteoritic stardust and recently, distinctive silicon isotopic ratios have been extracted from a number of presolar grains. Here, the light-ion 28 Si( 3 He,p) fusion-evaporation reaction was used to populate low-spin proton-unbound excited states in the nucleus 30 P that govern the rate of the astrophysical 29 Si(p,γ) reaction. In particular, γ decays were observed from resonances up to E r = 500keV, and key resonances at 217 and 315 keV have now been identified as 2 + and 2¯ levels, respectively. Here, the present paper provides the first estimate of the 217-keV resonance strength and indicates that the strength of the 315-keV resonance, which dominates the rate of the 29 Si(p,γ) reaction over the entire peak temperature range of oxygen-neon novae, is higher than previously expected. As such, the abundance of 29 Si ejected during nova explosions is likely to be less than that predicted by the most recent theoretical models.

20 ≤ A ≤ 38↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks for physics-aware prediction

This article addresses the need for deep learning models to integrate well-defined constraints into their outputs, driven by their application in surrogate models, learning with limited data and partial information, and scenarios requiring flexible model behavior to incorporate non-data sample information. We introduce Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks (BENN), a framework grounded in Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) principles, designed to impose constraints on Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) predictions. BENN is capable of constraining not only the predicted values but also their derivatives and variances, ensuring a more robust and reliable model output. To achieve simultaneous uncertainty quantification and constraint satisfaction, we employ the method of multipliers approach. This allows for the concurrent estimation of neural network parameters and the Lagrangian multipliers associated with the constraints. Our experiments, spanning diverse applications such as beam deflection modeling and microstructure generation, demonstrate the effectiveness of BENN. The results highlight significant improvements over traditional BNNs and showcase competitive performance relative to contemporary constrained deep learning methods.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Compositing and Characterization of SE Quadrant Waste Exemplars

This report outlines the experimental investigation and characterization of transport properties in Hanford SE quadrant High-Level Waste (HLW). The goal of the study was to establish baseline behaviors of bulk composite rheology and settling characteristics to facilitate waste treatment process design for the Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) and avoid waste conditions and properties favorable to bubble cascade gas release events. The study focused on two major objectives: 1) identifying, obtaining, and preparing relevant Hanford tank waste samples for evaluation and 2) quantifying the “as-received” rheology and transport properties of the samples. Twenty-three centrifuged core segments originating from tanks AN-101, AN-106, and AW-105 were selected based on compositional relevance to SE quadrant PUREX cladding waste. These materials were composited into five waste composites enriched with target analytes: aluminum (Al), iron (Fe), phosphate (PO 4 ), uranium (U), and zirconium (Zr). Physical property and transport testing examined particle size distributions, bulk densities, settling behaviors, rheological properties, shear strengths, and just-suspended mixing speeds (NJS). Testing revealed two distinct composite classifications based on rheological characteristics: non-Newtonian composites (Fe and PO 4 ) and Newtonian composites (Al, U, and Zr). The Fe and PO 4 composites exhibited slow settling rates and reduced mobilization proclivity, attributable to strong particle-particle interactions and the formation of yield structures within non-Newtonian slurries. In contrast, the Al, U, and Zr composites displayed rapid settling and dense compaction behaviors, indicative of minimal structuring and interactions. Shear strengths for all composites were generally low relative to prior studies of SE quadrant waste, with only the U composite showing elevated strength approaching values reported in previous literature. Repeat shear strength measurements revealed contributions from dense granular material in the U composite and stronger cohesive properties in the Al composite. Settling data highlighted hindered settling behavior, with rates falling more than one order of magnitude below estimates based on Stokes’ law and rate decreasing as composite UDS content increased. NJS testing demonstrated different mobilization behaviors between cohesive and granular composites. The Fe composite required the highest mixing rate for resuspension, while the Al composite was the easiest to resuspend. Comparison of measured NJS against predictions made using the Zwietering correlation suggests non-Newtonian behavior alters resuspension mechanics, rendering non-Newtonian systems more stable against resuspension lift forces relative to their granular counterparts.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2024

Methane fluxes in tidal marshes of the conterminous United States

Abstract Methane (CH 4 ) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG) with atmospheric concentrations that have nearly tripled since pre‐industrial times. Wetlands account for a large share of global CH 4 emissions, yet the magnitude and factors controlling CH 4 fluxes in tidal wetlands remain uncertain. We synthesized CH 4 flux data from 100 chamber and 9 eddy covariance (EC) sites across tidal marshes in the conterminous United States to assess controlling factors and improve predictions of CH 4 emissions. This effort included creating an open‐source database of chamber‐based GHG fluxes ( https://doi.org/10.25573/serc.14227085 ). Annual fluxes across chamber and EC sites averaged 26 ± 53 g CH 4 m −2 year −1 , with a median of 3.9 g CH 4 m −2 year −1 , and only 25% of sites exceeding 18 g CH 4 m −2 year −1 . The highest fluxes were observed at fresh‐oligohaline sites with daily maximum temperature normals (MATmax) above 25.6°C. These were followed by frequently inundated low and mid‐fresh‐oligohaline marshes with MATmax ≤25.6°C, and mesohaline sites with MATmax >19°C. Quantile regressions of paired chamber CH 4 flux and porewater biogeochemistry revealed that the 90th percentile of fluxes fell below 5 ± 3 nmol m −2 s −1 at sulfate concentrations >4.7 ± 0.6 mM, porewater salinity >21 ± 2 psu, or surface water salinity >15 ± 3 psu. Across sites, salinity was the dominant predictor of annual CH 4 fluxes, while within sites, temperature, gross primary productivity (GPP), and tidal height controlled variability at diel and seasonal scales. At the diel scale, GPP preceded temperature in importance for predicting CH 4 flux changes, while the opposite was observed at the seasonal scale. Water levels influenced the timing and pathway of diel CH 4 fluxes, with pulsed releases of stored CH 4 at low to rising tide. This study provides data and methods to improve tidal marsh CH 4 emission estimates, support blue carbon assessments, and refine national and global GHG inventories.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Wind farm blockage effects: comparison of different engineering models

The work presents four engineering methods to estimate the induction zone in front of a wind turbine and account for the wind farm blockage effect. The methods comprise the vortex cylinder model, vortex dipole model, self-similar model, and wake projection model. The majority of the models presented account for yaw misalignments and ground effect. Actuator disk simulations are used to verify the individual models. The performance of each model is evaluated both in terms of precision and computational time. The induction models are coupled to wake models within the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State framework to provide the full velocity field within a wind farm. Sample wind farm computations are presented, and the impact of including induction effects into wind farm performance predictions is reported. The different codes are publicly available online.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Search for leptoquark pair production decaying into $te^- \bar{t}e^+$ or $t\mu ^- \bar{t}\mu ^+$ in multi-lepton final states in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s} = 13\,\textrm{TeV}$ with the ATLAS detector

A search for leptoquark pair production decaying into $te^- \bar{t}e^+$ or $t\mu ^- \bar{t}\mu ^+$ in final states with multiple leptons is presented. The search is based on a dataset of pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}=13~\text {TeV}$ recorded with the ATLAS detector during Run 2 of the Large Hadron Collider, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 139 fb -1 . Four signal regions, with the requirement of at least three light leptons (electron or muon) and at least two jets out of which at least one jet is identified as coming from a b-hadron, are considered based on the number of leptons of a given flavour. The main background processes are estimated using dedicated control regions in a simultaneous fit with the signal regions to data. No excess above the Standard Model background prediction is observed and 95% confidence level limits on the production cross section times branching ratio are derived as a function of the leptoquark mass. Under the assumption of exclusive decays into $te^{-}$ ($t\mu ^{-}$ ), the corresponding lower limit on the scalar mixed-generation leptoquark mass $m_{\textrm{LQ}_{\textrm{mix}}^{\textrm{d}}}$ is at 1.58 (1.59) TeV and on the vector leptoquark mass $m_{{\tilde{U}}_1}$ at 1.67 (1.67) TeV in the minimal coupling scenario and at 1.95 (1.95) TeV in the Yang–Mills scenario.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Methodological guidelines on concrete degradation based on predictive models and the release of MOSAIC for industry use

In light-water reactors (LWRs), the concrete biological shield (CBS) designates the concrete structure directly facing the reactor pressure vessel (RPV). The primary function of the CBS is to protect equipment and personnel from the neutron and gamma radiation exiting the RPV. Most CBSs in operation in the United States also provide structural support to the RPV. Based on a long-term structural analysis, the structural integrity of the CBS to transfer the in-service passive load to the foundation, dynamic loading during an earthquake, and thermal loading during a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) must be maintained. Based on test reactor data for accelerated conditions, the mechanical properties of irradiated concrete are affected when exposed to neutron fluence higher than ≈ 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV). At 80 years of operation, the fluence estimates at the surface of the CBS range between 1×10 19 and 7×10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV): the fluence value depends mostly on the design. Although fluence attenuates through the CBS by virtue of the shielding properties of concrete, about 5% to 10% of the CBS wall depth is affected by high fluence. The main degradation mechanism is the so-called radiation-induced volumetric expansion (RIVE) caused by the amorphization of aggregate-forming minerals. RIVE causes large deformation of up to 18% in pure quartz, and it also reduces the structural properties of concrete. The structural effects of long-term exposure to fast neutron irradiation in LWRs was studied in the report entitled “Assessment of the Effect of the Irradiation-Induced Degradation on the In-Service Structural Performance of the Concrete Biological Shields” (M3LW-23OR0403013). This report illustrates that (1) irradiation-induced damage expands further than the region subject to a cumulative fluence of 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV) to reach the steel reinforcement location, and (2) the irradiation-induced damage region shows no substantial residual bearing capacity and should not be accounted for in the integrity assessment of the CBS.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Lifetime estimation of a BWR core shroud in terms of IGSCC

The continued operation of aging Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs) worldwide requires gradually increasing cost of inspection, maintenance, and repair. Intergranular Stress Corrosion Cracking (IGSCC) in sensitized austenitic stainless steel piping first became a major issue for BWRs in the 1980s, resulting in recognition of the susceptibility of reactor internals to IGSCC. Shroud cracking identified in 1993–1994 confirmed that IGSCC of internals is a significant issue for BWRs. IGSCC is a time-dependent, material degradation process, which is caused and accelerated by the presence of residual stresses, material sensitization, irradiation, cold work, elevated temperature, and corrosive environments. This paper emphasizes the importance of accounting for corrosive environments, or more exactly, electrochemical phenomena in modelling IGSCC and predicting the service life of BWR in-vessel components, and stresses the necessity of performing such modeling not just for a single state point under full power conditions, but for the whole operating history of the reactor, including startups and shutdowns. Overall, this paper demonstrates that ignoring electrochemical considerations may result in underestimating component lifetime and lead to unnecessary expenses for inspection and repair.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Water Stable Isotopes in Precipitation, Rivers, and Groundwater Across an Elevation Gradient in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (USA) Reflect Source Elevation

Understanding watershed processes is critical to predict the impacts of climate change and forest management on water resources. However, collecting hydrological data in mountainous terrain is challenging. Precipitation, river water, and groundwater H and O stable isotope data can provide insights into processes occurring at the mountain range scale. Water δ 2 H and δ 18 O values in precipitation vary with terrain elevation; thus, the resulting isotopic lapse rates of precipitation, groundwater, and river water have the potential to elucidate watershed processes and source elevations of major rivers. We analysed H and O stable isotope data of precipitation, groundwater, and river water over the course of one Water Year (Oct 2016—Oct 2017) in the Sierra Nevada mountains of California, USA. We calculated elevation-dependent isotopic lapse rates of these waters to estimate the source elevation of major rivers draining the west flank of the Sierra Nevada mountains. We also investigated the Cosumnes River's watershed in more detail to determine how river flow may be more fully partitioned. Here, we found that H and O stable isotopes in precipitation are temporally variable, but isotopic lapse rates are generally consistent with prior studies. However, groundwater samples across an elevation gradient provide a more consistent and accessible isotopic lapse rate to predict river water source elevations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Climate change-resilient snowpack estimation in the Western United States

Abstract In the 21st century, warmer temperatures and changing atmospheric circulation will likely produce unprecedented changes in Western United States snowfall 1–3 , with impacts on the timing, amount, and spatial patterns of snowpack 4–7 . The ~900 snow pillow stations are indispensable to water resource management by measuring snow-water equivalent (SWE) 8,9 in strategic but fixed locations 10,11 . However, this network may not be impacted by climate change in the same way as the surrounding area 12 and thus fail to accurately represent unmeasured locations; climate change thereby threatens our ability to measure the effects of climate change on snow. In this work, we show that maintaining the current peak SWE estimation skill is nonetheless possible. We find that explicitly including spatial correlations—either from gridded observations or learned by the model—improves skill at predicting distributed snowpack from sparse observations by 184%. Existing artificial intelligence methods can be useful tools to harness the many available sources of snowpack information to estimate snowpack in a nonstationary climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Formation and detection of metastable formic acid in a supersonic expansion: High resolution infrared spectroscopy of the jet-cooled cis -HCOOH conformer

High-resolution direct absorption infrared spectra of metastable cis-formic acid (HCOOH) trapped in a cis-well resonance behind a 15 kcal/mol barrier are reported for the first time, with the energetically unstable conformer produced in a supersonic slit plasma expansion of trans-formic acid/H 2 mixtures. We present a detailed high-resolution rovibrational analysis for cis-formic acid species in the OH stretch (ν 1 ) fundamental, providing first precision vibrational band origin, rotational constants, and term values, which in conjunction with ab initio calculations at the couple-cluster with single, double, and perturbative triple [CCSD(T)]/ANOn (n = 0, 1, 2) level support the experimental assignments and establish critical points on the potential energy surface for internal rotor trans-to-cis isomerization. Relative intensities for a- and b-type transitions observed in the spectra permit the transition dipole moment components to be determined in the body fixed frame and prove to be in good agreement with ab initio CCSD(T) theoretical estimates but in poor agreement with simple bond-dipole predictions. As a result, the observed signal dependence on H 2 in the discharge suggests the presence of a novel H atom radical chemical mechanism for strongly endothermic “up-hill” internal rotor isomerization between trans- and cis-formic acid conformers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗