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At least 685 records · Page 38

Modeling and Detection of Future Cyber-Enabled DSM Data Attacks

Demand-Side Management (DSM) is an essential tool to ensure power system reliability and stability. In future smart grids, certain portions of a customer’s load usage could be under the automatic control of a cyber-enabled DSM program, which selectively schedules loads as a function of electricity prices to improve power balance and grid stability. In this scenario, the security of DSM cyberinfrastructure will be critical as advanced metering infrastructure and communication systems are susceptible to cyber-attacks. Such attacks, in the form of false data injections, can manipulate customer load profiles and cause metering chaos and energy losses in the grid. The feedback mechanism between load management on the consumer side and dynamic price schemes employed by independent system operators can further exacerbate attacks. To study how this feedback mechanism may worsen attacks in future cyber-enabled DSM programs, we propose a novel mathematical framework for (i) modeling the nonlinear relationship between load management and real-time pricing, (ii) simulating residential load data and prices, (iii) creating cyber-attacks, and (iv) detecting said attacks. In this framework, we first develop time-series forecasts to model load demand and use them as inputs to an elasticity model for the price-demand relationship in the DSM loop. This work then investigates the behavior of such a feedback loop under intentional cyber-attacks. We simulate and examine load-price data under different DSM-participation levels with three types of random additive attacks: ramp, sudden, and point attacks. We conduct two investigations for the detection of DSM attacks. The first studies a supervised learning approach, with various classification models, and the second studies the performance of parametric and nonparametric change point detectors. Results conclude that higher amounts of DSM participation can exacerbate ramp and sudden attacks leading to better detection of such attacks, especially with supervised learning classifiers. We also find that nonparametric detection outperforms parametric for smaller user pools, and random point attacks are the hardest to detect with any method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A high temperature fatigue and structures testing facility

As man strives for higher levels of sophistication in air and space transportation, awareness of the need for accurate life and material behavior predictions for advanced propulsion system components is heightened. Such sophistication will require complex operating conditions and advanced materials to meet goals in performance, thrust-to-weight ratio, and fuel efficiency. To accomplish these goals will require that components be designed using a high percentage of the material's ultimate capabilities. This serves only to complicate matters dealing with life and material behavior predictions. An essential component of material behavior model development is the underlying experimentation which must occur to identify phenomena. To support experimentation, the NASA Lewis Research Center's High Temperature Fatigue and Structures Laboratory has been expanded significantly. Several new materials testing systems have been added, as well as an extensive computer system. The intent of this paper is to present an overview of the laboratory, and to discuss specific aspects of the test systems. A limited discussion of computer capabilities will also be presented.

Bartolotta, Paul A.↗

Empirical Absolute Calibration Model for Multiple Pseudo-Invariant Calibration Sites

This work extends an empirical absolute calibration model initially developed for the Libya 4 Pseudo-Invariant Calibration Site (PICS) to five additional Saharan Desert PICS (Egypt 1, Libya 1, Niger 1, Niger 2, and Sudan 1), and demonstrates the efficacy of the resulting models at predicting sensor top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. It attempts to generate absolute calibration models for these PICS that have an accuracy and precision comparable to or better than the current Libya 4 model, with the intent of providing additional opportunities for sensor calibration. In addition, this work attempts to validate the general applicability of the model to other sites. The method uses Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) as the reference radiometer and Earth Observing-1 (EO-1) Hyperion image data to provide a representative hyperspectral reflectance profile of the PICS. Data from a region of interest (ROI) in an “optimal region” of 3% temporal, spatial, and spectral stability within the PICS are used for developing the model. The developed models were used to simulate observations of the Landsat 7 (L7) Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), Landsat 8 (L8) Operational Land Imager (OLI), Sentinel 2A (S2A) MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) and Sentinel 2B (S2B) MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) from their respective launch date through 2018. The models developed for the Egypt 1, Libya 1 and Sudan 1 PICS have an estimated accuracy of approximately 3% and precision of approximately 2% for the sensors used in the study, comparable to the current Libya 4 model. The models developed for the Niger 1 and Niger 2 sites are significantly less accurate with similar precision.

Raut, Bipin↗

Mechanical Design of Spacecraft

In the spring of 1962, engineers from the Engineering Mechanics Division of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory gave a series of lectures on spacecraft design at the Engineering Design seminars conducted at the California Institute of Technology. Several of these lectures were subsequently given at Stanford University as part of the Space Technology seminar series sponsored by the Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics. Presented here are notes taken from these lectures. The lectures were conceived with the intent of providing the audience with a glimpse of the activities of a few mechanical engineers who are involved in designing, building, and testing spacecraft. Engineering courses generally consist of heavily idealized problems in order to allow the more efficient teaching of mathematical technique. Students, therefore, receive a somewhat limited exposure to actual engineering problems, which are typified by more unknowns than equations. For this reason it was considered valuable to demonstrate some of the problems faced by spacecraft designers, the processes used to arrive at solutions, and the interactions between the engineer and the remainder of the organization in which he is constrained to operate. These lecture notes are not so much a compilation of sophisticated techniques of analysis as they are a collection of examples of spacecraft hardware and associated problems. They will be of interest not so much to the experienced spacecraft designer as to those who wonder what part the mechanical engineer plays in an effort such as the exploration of space.

STRUCTURAL MATERIAL↗

OPTIMAL CONTROL AND ENERGY-SAVING ANALYSIS OF COMMON PRESSURE RAIL ARCHITECTURES: HHEA & STEAM

In recent years several novel hydraulic architectures have been proposed with the intention of significantly increasing system efficiency. Two of these architectures, Steigerung der Energieeffizienz in der Arbeitshydraulik mobiler Arbeitsmaschinen (STEAM), and the Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA), use a system of multiple common pressure rails (CPRs) to serve the multiple degrees-of-freedom of the machine. The key difference is that STEAM throttles hydraulic power from these rails while HHEA combines electric and hydraulic power to meet actuator demands. As a throttle-less architecture, HHEA is expected to save more energy than STEAM at the expense of added complexity. Therefore, it is useful to quantify this additional energy saving. Both systems have discrete operational choices corresponding to how the CPRs are utilized for each actuator. It is necessary to determine optimal operation for each of these architectures for analysis and fair comparison. Techniques for optimal operation of the HHEA have been developed previously from the Langrange multiplier method. Applying the same optimal control method to STEAM encountered some technical challenge leading to the optimal control algorithm not being able to satisfy certain constraints. The issue is analyzed and solved by adding noise to the optimization. Using this proposed algorithm, case studies are performed to compare the energy-saving potentials of STEAM and HHEA for two sizes of excavators and a wheel-loader performing representative duty cycles. The baseline is a standard load-sensing architecture. Results show that STEAM and HHEA can reduce energy consumption between 35-65% and 50-80% respectively

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Modeling the Information Age Combat Model: An Agent-Based Simulation of Network Centric Operations

The Information Age Combat Model (IACM) was introduced by Cares in 2005 to contribute to the development of an understanding of the influence of connectivity on force effectiveness that can eventually lead to quantitative prediction and guidelines for design and employment. The structure of the IACM makes it clear that the Perron-Frobenius Eigenvalue is a quantifiable metric with which to measure the organization of a networked force. The results of recent experiments presented in Deller, et aI., (2009) indicate that the value of the Perron-Frobenius Eigenvalue is a significant measurement of the performance of an Information Age combat force. This was accomplished through the innovative use of an agent-based simulation to model the IACM and represents an initial contribution towards a new generation of combat models that are net-centric instead of using the current platform-centric approach. This paper describes the intent, challenges, design, and initial results of this agent-based simulation model.

Deller, Sean↗

TA-55 Forensic Support Operations Cross-Training Exercise

As part of the annual FBI/LANL training schedule, a joint training exercise was conducted during the week of 10FEB2020 with FBI HEAT members and LANL Fissile Material Handlers (FMHs). The joint training exercise was conducted in a non-radiological area to reduce cost and ensure the test object would not be contaminated. The exercise test object was fabricated by LANL using surrogate materials to represent an object containing Special Nuclear Material (SNM). Working with Jim Blankenship and Kevin Swearingen, functional requirements of the test object included the following: unclassified, disassembly (to include screws), and moderately heavy. To meet the objectives, the test object was fabricated by welding a custom aluminum box (8” x 8” x 12”) with a lid which was secured by four (4) screws. The custom box housed a track and field shot put (16 lbs.) that was anchored by a hose clamp. The intent of the training was to disassemble the test object and conduct traditional forensic determinations on the parts. This lessons learned report documents all of the associated aspects related to the joint training effort.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Jettison Engineering Trajectory Tool

The Jettison Engineering Trajectory Tool (JETT) performs the jettison analysis function for any orbiting asset. It provides a method to compute the relative trajectories between an orbiting asset and any jettisoned item (intentional or unintentional) or sublimating particles generated by fluid dumps to assess whether an object is safe to jettison, or if there is a risk with an item that was inadvertently lost overboard. The main concern is the interaction and possible recontact of the jettisoned object with an asset. This supports the analysis that jettisoned items will safely clear the vehicle, ensuring no collisions. The software will reduce the jettison analysis task from one that could take days to complete to one that can be completed in hours, with an analysis that is more comprehensive than the previous method. It provides the ability to define the jettison operation relative to International Space Station (ISS) structure, and provides 2D and 3D plotting capability to allow an analyst to perform a subjective clearance assessment with ISS structures. The developers followed the SMP to create the code and all supporting documentation. The code makes extensive use of the object-oriented format of Java and, in addition, the Model-View-Controller architecture was used in the organization of the code, allowing each piece to be independent of updates to the other pieces. The model category is for maintaining data entered by the user and generated by the analysis. The view category provides capabilities for data entry and displaying all or a portion of the analysis data in tabular, 2D, and 3D representation. The controller category allows for handling events that affect the model or view(s). The JETT utilizes orbital mechanics with complex algorithms. Since JETT is written in JAVA, it is essentially platform-independent.

Zaczek, Mariusz↗

Regularization and Error Characterization of GRACE Mascons

We present a new global time-variable gravity mascon solution derived from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) Level 1B data. The new product from the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) results from a novel approach that combines an iterative solution strategy with geographical binning of inter-satellite range-acceleration residuals in the construction of time-dependent regularization matrices applied in the inversion of mascon parameters. This estimation strategy is intentionally conservative as it seeks to maximize the role of the GRACE measurements on the final solution while minimizing the influence of the regularization design process. We fully reprocess the Level 1B data in the presence of the final mascon solution to generate true post-fit inter-satellite residuals, which are utilized to confirm solution convergence and to validate the mascon noise uncertainties. We also present the mathematical case that regularized mascon solutions are biased, and that this bias, or leakage, must be combined with the estimated noise variance to accurately assess total mascon uncertainties. The estimated leakage errors are determined from the monthly resolution operators. We present a simple approach to compute the total uncertainty for both individual mascon and regional analysis of the GSFC mascon product, and validate the results in comparison with independent mascon solutions and calibrated Stokes uncertainties. Lastly, we present the new solution and uncertainties with global analyses of the mass trends and annual amplitudes, and compute updated trends for the global ocean, and the respective contributions of the Greenland Ice Sheet, Antarctic Ice Sheet, Gulf of Alaska, and terrestrial water storage. This analysis highlights the successful closure of the global mean sea level budget, that is, the sum of global ocean mass from the GSFC mascons and the steric component from Argo floats agrees well with the total determined from sea surface altimetry.

B. D. Loomis↗

Prediction of Adverse Events in Time Series Data Using ACCEPT (Adverse Condition and Critical Event Prediction Toolbox)

Abstract:An open-source toolbox called ACCEPT (Adverse Condition and Critical Event Prediction Toolbox) that operates from within the Matlab programming environment is introduced. The toolbox provides an open source, special-purpose functionality that can be used specifically for the prediction or forecasting of adverse events in time series data. It also provides a single, unifying framework in which to compare a variety of combinations of algorithmic approaches addressing this problem. The architectural framework also offers the flexibility for expansion to accommodate the newest, latest popular regression and detection methods for this particular problem, enabling the development of an infrastructure that can act as a proving ground platform for comparing new techniques to the state of the art. As such, its intention is to act as a catalyst in advancing the state of the art in technologies related to this problem. There are a variety of other toolboxes that offer similar capabilities and features, however they are either more suitable as general purpose machine learning toolboxes or are only available commercially or through agreements. ACCEPT fills that niche by offering visibility into a specific approach for addressing the adverse event prediction problem.

programming environments↗

Regularization and Error Characterization of GRACE Mascons

We present a new global time-variable gravity mascon solution derived from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) Level 1B data. The new product from the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) results from a novel approach that combines an iterative solution strategy with geographical binning of inter-satellite range-acceleration residuals in the construction of time-dependent regularization matrices applied in the inversion of mascon parameters. This estimation strategy is intentionally conservative as it seeks to maximize the role of the GRACE measurements on the final solution while minimizing the influence of the regularization design process. We fully reprocess the Level 1B data in the presence of the final mascon solution to generate true post-fit inter-satellite residuals, which are utilized to confirm solution convergence and to validate the mascon noise uncertainties. We also present the mathematical case that regularized mascon solutions are biased, and that this bias, or leakage, must be combined with the estimated noise variance to accurately assess total mascon uncertainties. The estimated leakage errors are determined from the monthly resolution operators. We present a simple approach to compute the total uncertainty for both individual mascon and regional analysis of the GSFC mascon product, and validate the results in comparison with independent mascon solutions and calibrated Stokes uncertainties. Lastly, we present the new solution and uncertainties with global analyses of the mass trends and annual amplitudes, and compute updated trends for the global ocean, and the respective contributions of the Greenland Ice Sheet, Antarctic Ice Sheet, Gulf of Alaska, and terrestrial water storage. This analysis highlights the successful closure of the global mean sea level budget, that is, the sum of global ocean mass from the GSFC mascons and the steric component from Argo floats agrees well with the total determined from sea surface altimetry.

Loomis, B. D.↗

An MBSE Framework to Identify Regulatory Gaps for Electrified Transport Aircraft

A typical aircraft certification process consists of obtaining a type, production, airworthiness, and continued airworthiness certificates. During this process, a type certification plan is created that includes the intended regulatory operating environment, the proposed certification basis, means of compliance, and a list of documentation to show compliance. Earlier work by the authors demonstrated a model-based framework for the management of these certification artifacts for normal category airplanes. Presently, it is expanded and adapted to consider certification for transport category airplanes regulated under 14 CFR Part 25, providing clear transparency and traceability between the text of the regulations and imposed requirements, contextual information, and specified test activities. In particular, a capability to identify potential gaps in the applicability of regulations for novel architectures such as electrified aircraft is proposed. This capability, based on mismatches between the functional intent and the corresponding prescribed physical implementation, is developed. A sample implementation of the proposed capability is presented for a notional electrified powertrain aircraft architecture.

electrified transport aircraft↗

Catalog of solar wind events identified from observations by ISTP spacecraft

The ISTP Science Planning and Operations Facility (SPOF), in collaboration with ISTP investigators, is developing a catalog of solar wind events and features. The catalog is primarily based on plasma and magnetic field observations from the WIND and IMP-8 spacecraft. Interplanetary events that may trigger magnetospheric activity are included as well as features of interest for using the solar wind as a plasma laboratory. Catalog coverage begins on September 8, 1992, the start of ISTP science data collection. The catalog is based on Key Parameter data sets (preliminary summary data at approximately 1 min time resolution produced quickly for survey purposes) and as such has limited citability in formal scientific work. Its primary intent is to serve as a reference for identifying candidate periods for further study, such as may be the focus of coordinated data analysis efforts during ISTP and/or IACG Science Campaigns. To facilitate access by members of the ISTP and wider space physics communities, the catalog will be available on the World Wide Web. The contents of the catalog will be described, and samples of catalog information will be presented.

Peredo, M.↗

Nuclear Archival Electronic Database

The Nuclear Archival Electronic Database (NAED) supports a work scope that has been focused on providing a framework for and preserving key experimental programs and experiences which are critical to the licensing basis of currently operating nuclear reactors or which could be used in the safety basis for the next generation of reactors. It aims at preserving the results of experimental programs for the safety of light water cooled and advanced reactors by locating and documenting, to the extent possible, where the experimental test information for these programs has been archived. The NAED is a compilation of the following: (a) list of experiments or experiences categorized by coolant type, (b) results of an information search, and documentation, of the experiments and experiences that are already considered archived and (c) results of a deep dive and interview on a single experimental program or experience. The intent is to use the NAED as a technology source document by reactor vendors, regulators, and utility personnel.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Operating Lifetime Study of Ultraviolet (UV) Light-Emitting Diode (LED) Products

Light-emitting diodes (LEDs) can emit radiation that spans the range from near infrared (IR) to all three bands of ultraviolet (UV) radiation: UV-A, UV-B, and UV-C. This report focuses on LEDs that emit in one of the three UV bands because they have the potential to displace lowpressure mercury vapor (LPMV) lamps in a variety of industrial processes, including ink and adhesive curing, medical procedures, and germicidal disinfection. However, before emerging UV LED technologies can displace LPMV lamps, the efficiency and reliability of these sources must meet the user’s expectations in each application. An earlier report focused on the construction and initial performance of commercial UV LED products in radiometric and current-voltage (IV) tests [1]. This report focuses on the long-term performance and reliability of the same set of commercial products. The intent of this report is to provide to the lighting industry a benchmark of the state of UV LEDs as of mid-2021 when these products were purchased. Understanding the failure modes and failure rates of UV LEDs is important in improving UV product reliability at the LED, lamp, and luminaire level and is critical to developing products with higher efficiency, lower carbon footprint, and significantly reduced environmental impact than LPMV lamps.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantifying Trapped Powder in Electron Beam Powder Bed Fusion

Abstract Electron beam powder bed fusion (PBF-EB) shows great potential for manufacturing complex parts including those with internal cavities for heat exchanger, manifold systems, or energy absorption purposes. PBF-EB allows for the manufacture of channel geometries without the need for support structures. Due to the nature of the powder spreading process, powder feedstock is often trapped in intentionally manufactured cavities. This trapped powder can often be difficult to remove and can disturb the intended flow of fluid through the cavity or damage downstream components in its use case. These trapped powder particles present a risk of contamination and component failure if not completely evacuated. Ti6Al4V is a choice material for aerospace applications due to its high strength to weight ratio and its composition as a nonferrous metal; however, in weight sensitive applications excess entrapped powders or powders loosely attached to the surface could cause undesirable weight increases. The inherent spreading process of PBF-EB is different than laser powder bed fusion (PBF-LB) in its operational temperature, sintering. In addition, PBF-EB is less commonly studied in literature compared to its PBF-LB counterpart, and as a result the complexity of the semi-sintered powder and its spreading behavior are not well understood. Prior work has investigated the difficulty in removing trapped powder from PBF-EB, but these studies do not address how to quantify the amount of trapped powder in the cavity. Thus, an accurate method to measure the amount of trapped powder in the cavity must be investigated. In this work, Ti6Al4V coupons were manufactured with horizontal and vertical cavities of three different sizes. Archimedes testing allows for the determination of density differences caused by porosity and trapped powders by measuring mass and volumetric dispersion. Computed tomography (CT) is well suited for segmenting the internal structure and features of a part and has been studied for applications including voids, porosity, and dross. Thus, CT was explored as a method for evaluating trapped powder content in this work. The volumetric representation of the segmentation of the reconstructed CT volume can vary greatly depending on the input filter and thresholding methods. In this study, four different types of segmentation approaches were evaluated to determine the best approach for segmenting the volume as compared to an operator labeled ground truth. The percentage density results from the Archimedes testing were compared to the volumetric percent density from the computed tomography approach. Differences in packing density between two different internal channel features were investigated. Overall, this work sought to validate the use of computed tomography for the detection of trapped powders and present a framework for volumetric segmentation.

Johnstone, Brian↗

Gateway System Requirements

The Gateway Program (GW) System Requirements Document (SRD) is approved for the public domain to support NASA's Lunar Gateway Program. The main intent of these documents is to define top level functional and performance requirements for the systems that facilitate cooperative deep space exploration endeavors and execute lunar missions. The SRD defines NASA requirements for the procurement and development of the GW mission. The Gateway Program is a collaboration of US government, international partners and commercial providers. The Gateway SRD are expected to be used by all parties in development of the Gateway Program elements. For effective development and integration of the Gateway vehicle, all involved entities must use, and have awareness of, these high level program requirements to flow down to their respective developmental responsibilities so all Gateway elements will be operable as an entity. The Gateway SRD represents the requirements that are necessary for the Gateway mission. NASA has determined there is benefit to U.S. and foreign spacecraft developers to approve this information for the public domain because all the parties/participants need a common understanding of the requirements and the parameters under which they operate (size, shape, form fit and function). This will allow systems built by various nations and commercial entities to attach and function together properly and safely in the hostile environment of space.The Gateway SRD provides information regarding the current requirements for Gateway elements. Specifically, the Gateway SRD provide an overview of expected features and capabilities and requirements for safe integration of elements within the Gateway program. The SRD contains top-level functional and performance descriptions of the Gateway and definition of the interfaces limited to the scope necessary for integration purposes between Gateway elements. The documents do NOT contain detailed design information or any specifics of hardware or software implementation. The data approved for release does not include: manufacturing drawings, detailed interface control and design data, software code, detailed CAD models, structural or thermal models of the system, avionics or avionics box, board, or cable manufacturing information.

Adamek, Christopher↗

First-Order Model Management With Variable-Fidelity Physics Applied to Multi-Element Airfoil Optimization

First-order approximation and model management is a methodology for a systematic use of variable-fidelity models or approximations in optimization. The intent of model management is to attain convergence to high-fidelity solutions with minimal expense in high-fidelity computations. The savings in terms of computationally intensive evaluations depends on the ability of the available lower-fidelity model or a suite of models to predict the improvement trends for the high-fidelity problem, Variable-fidelity models can be represented by data-fitting approximations, variable-resolution models. variable-convergence models. or variable physical fidelity models. The present work considers the use of variable-fidelity physics models. We demonstrate the performance of model management on an aerodynamic optimization of a multi-element airfoil designed to operate in the transonic regime. Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations represent the high-fidelity model, while the Euler equations represent the low-fidelity model. An unstructured mesh-based analysis code FUN2D evaluates functions and sensitivity derivatives for both models. Model management for the present demonstration problem yields fivefold savings in terms of high-fidelity evaluations compared to optimization done with high-fidelity computations alone.

Alexandrov, N. M.↗