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At least 685 records · Page 38

Ejecta Generation and Redistribution on 433 Eros: Modeling Ejecta Launch Conditions

The NEAR-Shoemaker mission to asteroid 433 Eros presents an unprecedented opportunity to gain fundamental new knowledge about the processes governing regolith formation and redistribution on small bodies. NEAR-Shoemaker’s high-resolution imaging of the surface of Eros makes the asteroid a valuable and heretofore unparalleled laboratory for the detailed study of impact ejecta reaccretion and regolith redistribution on low-gravity (of order 10 -3 g) objects. Regolith is produced on asteroids by impact cratering, and the existence of regolith on the smallest solar system bodies supports the view that some of the ejecta from impact events on such objects may be retained. Impact craters and retained ejecta on low-gravity objects like Eros represent valuable natural laboratories for evaluating various models of impact cratering processes, since they may present crater structures or ejecta features that either do not form or are hidden on higher-gravity bodies like the Moon. Further, quantifying the extent to which impact processes generate and redistribute regoliths on small body surfaces (excavation depths, retained fraction, turnover timescales, etc.) is pivotal to the issue of how to relate meteoritical samples to their asteroidal parent bodies when surficial processes ( i.e., “space weathering”) may disguise or cover up underlying material and confound the ability of remote sensing techniques to provide reliable mineralogical assays of the parent objects. The rich variety of data on Eros’ regolith properties and distribution returned by NEAR-Shoemaker now require detailed analysis in order to take full advantage of the clues these observations offer for elucidating details of the impact cratering process on small bodies. Complicating simple interpretations of crater and ejecta morphology are dynamical effects on ejecta emplacement resulting from Eros’ irregular shape, rapid (5.27 hr) rotation, and low gravity. Figure 1 shows the very different ejecta deposit morphology that can result if the effects of rotation alone are neglected. Considering the additional complicating factors of Eros’ irregular shape and complex gravitational field, simple calculations of the extent and thickness of ejecta blankets and the spatial distribution of ejecta blocks from basic crater scaling laws or numerical hydrocodes alone do not suffice. In order to fully interpret the suite of NEAR-Shoemaker observations of regolith features across the surface of Eros and to evaluate various impact models for specific craters on the asteroid, detailed dynamical modeling of the deposition of crater ejecta from those craters is required . Here, I describe some modifications and improvements to the dynamical model being used for these studies.

D D Durda↗

Recurrence Rate and Magma Effusion Rate for the Latest Volcanism on Arsia Mons, Mars

Magmatism and volcanism have evolved the Martian lithosphere, surface, and climate throughout the history of Mars. Constraining the rates of magma generation and timing of volcanism on the surface clarifies the ways in which magma and volcanic activity have shaped these Martian systems. The ages of lava flows on other planets are often estimated using impact crater counts, assuming that the number and size-distribution of impact craters per unit area reflect the time the lava flow has been on the surface and exposed to potential impacts. Here we show that impact crater age model uncertainty is reduced by adding stratigraphic information observed at locations where neighboring lavas abut each other, and demonstrate the significance of this reduction in age uncertainty for understanding the history of a volcanic field comprising 29 vents in the 110-kilometer-diameter caldera of Arsia Mons, Mars. Each vent within this caldera produced lava flows several to tens of kilometers in length; these vents are likely among the youngest on Mars, since no impact craters in their lava flows are larger than 1 kilometer in diameter. First, we modeled the age of each vent with impact crater counts performed on their corresponding lava flows and found very large age uncertainties for the ages of individual vents, often spanning the estimated age for the entire volcanic field. The age model derived from impact crater counts alone is broad and unimodal, with estimated peak activity in the field around 130Ma (megaannum, 1 million years). Next we applied our volcano event age model (VEAM), which uses a directed graph of stratigraphic relationships and random sampling of the impact crater age determinations to create alternative age models. Monte Carlo simulation was used to create 10,000 possible vent age sets. The recurrence rate of volcanism is calculated for each possible age set, and these rates are combined to calculate the median recurrence rate of all simulations. Applying this approach to the 29 volcanic vents, volcanism likely began around 200-300Ma then first peaked around 150Ma, with an average production rate of 0.4 vents per Myr (million years). The recurrence rate estimated including stratigraphic data is distinctly bimodal, with a second, lower peak in activity around 100Ma. Volcanism then waned until the final vents were produced 10-90Ma. Based on this model, volume flux is also bimodal, reached a peak rate of 1-8 cubic kilometers per million years by 150Ma and remained above half this rate until about 90Ma, after which the volume flux diminished greatly. The onset of effusive volcanism from 200-150Ma might be due to a transition of volcanic style away from explosive volcanism that emplaced tephra on the western flank of Arsia Mons, while the waning of volcanism after the 150Ma peak might represent a larger-scale diminishing of volcanic activity at Arsia Mons related to the emplacement of flank apron lavas.

Richardson, Jacob A.↗

Activities of NASA's Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) in the Assessment of Subsonic Aircraft Impact

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimated a peak increase in ozone ranging from 7-12 ppbv (zonal and annual average, and relative to a baseline with no aircraft), due to the subsonic aircraft in the year 2015, corresponding to aircraft emissions of 1.3 TgN/year. This range of values presumably reflects differences in model input (e.g., chemical mechanism, ground emission fluxes, and meteorological fields), and algorithms. The model implemented by the Global Modeling Initiative allows testing the impact of individual model components on the assessment calculations. We present results of the impact of doubling the 1995 aircraft emissions of NOx, corresponding to an extra 0.56 TgN/year, utilizing meteorological data from NASA's Data Assimilation Office (DAO), the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), and the Middle Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 3 (MACCM3). Comparison of results to observations can be used to assess the model performance. Peak ozone perturbations ranging from 1.7 to 2.2 ppbv of ozone are calculated using the different fields. These correspond to increases in total tropospheric ozone ranging from 3.3 to 4.1 Tg/Os. These perturbations are consistent with the IPCC results, due to the difference in aircraft emissions. However, the range of values calculated is much smaller than in IPCC.

Rodriquez, J. M.↗

A PPE Use Case on Configuration Management Approach for MBSE

Systems engineers worldwide have been working to implement Model-based Systems Engineering (MBSE) environments, tools, and methodologies. MBSE is a formalized application of modeling to support systems engineering, including requirements, design, analysis, verification, and validation activities over the project’s lifecycle[1]; MBSE captures the system data into a digital environment. Significant benefits of MBSE includes a reduction in the time in performing systems engineering activities and an improvement higher fidelity data production. As more Systems Engineers are using MBSE, the models it produces are becoming the source of truth for Systems Engineering artifacts. As we move towards using these models as the source of truth, a more rigorous Configuration Management (CM) infrastructure is needed. Many of the MBSE tools provide CM options but utilizing them efficiently and effectively can be challenging. More rigorous methods and tools are needed to assist with keeping track of changes in the model, making sure inadvertent changes to baseline data did not occur, visibility of changes in the different model versions, and the impacts of changes to the models. System engineers and configuration management personnel from the Power and Propulsion Element (PPE) project at NASA Glenn Research Center have been working to develop a modeling construct that allows models to be the source of truth and maintain a configuration managed baseline. This paper presents a process that leverages the existing CM tools and describes how PPE used this process to manage changes more rigorously. It will describe the process behind building the model architecture that utilizes the MBSE tool capabilities and the configuration management process. It will contain some of the advantages and disadvantages of the architecture that the PPE project had settled upon utilizing, as well as some enhanced capabilities that the PPE MBSE team has developed.

MBSE↗

An Intercomparative Study of the Effects of Aircraft Emissions on Surface Air Quality

This study intercompares, among five global models, the potential impacts of all commercial aircraft emissions worldwide on surface ozone and particulate matter (PM (sub 2.5)). The models include climate-response models (CRMs) with interactive meteorology, chemical-transport models (CTMs) with prescribed meteorology, and models that integrate aspects of both. Model inputs are harmonized in an effort to achieve a consensus about the state of understanding of impacts of 2006 commercial aviation emissions. Models find that aircraft increase near-surface ozone (0.3 to 1.9 percent globally), with qualitatively similar spatial distributions, highest in the Northern Hemisphere. Annual changes in surface-level PM (sub 2.5) in the CTMs (0.14 to 0.4 percent) and CRMs (-1.9 to 1.2 percent) depend on differences in nonaircraft baseline aerosol fields among models and the inclusion of feedbacks between aircraft emissions and changes in meteorology. The CTMs tend to result in an increase in surface PM (sub 2.5) primarily over high-traffic regions in the North American midlatitudes. The CRMs, on the other hand, demonstrate the effects of aviation emissions on changing meteorological fields that result in large perturbations over regions where natural emissions (e.g., soil dust and sea spray) occur. The changes in ozone and PM (sub 2.5) found here may be used to contextualize previous estimates of impacts of aircraft emissions on human health.

Air quality↗

Crop Model Improvement Reduces the Uncertainty of the Response to Temperature of Multi-Model Ensembles

To improve climate change impact estimates and to quantify their uncertainty, multi-model ensembles (MMEs) have been suggested. Model improvements can improve the accuracy of simulations and reduce the uncertainty of climate change impact assessments. Furthermore, they can reduce the number of models needed in a MME. Herein, 15 wheat growth models of a larger MME were improved through re-parameterization and/or incorporating or modifying heat stress effects on phenology, leaf growth and senescence, biomass growth, and grain number and size using detailed field experimental data from the USDA Hot Serial Cereal experiment (calibration data set). Simulation results from before and after model improvement were then evaluated with independent field experiments from a CIMMYT worldwide field trial network (evaluation data set). Model improvements decreased the variation (10th to 90th model ensemble percentile range) of grain yields simulated by the MME on average by 39% in the calibration data set and by 26% in the independent evaluation data set for crops grown in mean seasonal temperatures greater than 24 C. MME mean squared error in simulating grain yield decreased by 37%. A reduction in MME uncertainty range by 27% increased MME prediction skills by 47%. Results suggest that the mean level of variation observed in field experiments and used as a benchmark can be reached with half the number of models in the MME. Improving crop models is therefore important to increase the certainty of model-based impact assessments and allow more practical, i.e. smaller MMEs to be used effectively.

damage assessment↗

Model Investigation of Technique for Full Scale Landing Impact Tests at Simulated Lunar Gravity

An investigation of a 1/6-scale dynamic model has been made to develop and evaluate a technique for conducting full-scale landing-impact tests at simulated lunar gravity. Landings were made at touchdown pitch attitudes of -15 degrees, 0 degrees, and 15 degrees. All landings were made with two gear pads forward and at a roll attitude of 0 degrees. Both roll and yaw attitudes were constrained. Vertical landing speed was varied from 5 to 15 feet per second (1.5 to 4.6 m/s) and horizontal speed was varied from 0 to 10 feet per second (0 to 3.0 m/s). Most of the landings were made at a vertical and horizontal speed of 10 feet per second or 3.0 m/s (45 degree flight-path angle) while pitch attitude and surface characteristics, friction and topography, were varied. These parameters were investigated with the free-body earth-gravity and the simulated lunar-gravity test techniques. The landings were made at a model mass corresponding to a full-scale lunar weight (force due to gravity) of 1,440 pounds (6.41 kN) or an earth weight of 8,640 pounds (38.4 kN).

TESTS↗

Risk Assessment for Asteroid Impact Threat Scenarios

Asteroid impacts can cause a wide range of damage through multiple potential hazards, from localized blast waves or thermal radiation, to tsunami inundation, to global climatic effects. The level of risk posed by these hazards depends not only upon their extent and severity, but also upon the likelihood of the various damage ranges. Some consequences may be more moderate but very likely, while others may be unlikely but catastrophic. Evaluating the risk from these hazards involves substantial uncertainties across all aspects of the problem, including the properties of the asteroid itself, the specifics of its entry, and the complex high-energy damage physics involved. NASA’s Asteroid Threat Assessment Project performs Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessments that use fast-running entry and hazard models to evaluate millions of impact cases representing the distributions of these many uncertain parameters. This paper presents current probabilistic asteroid impact risk assessment modeling tools and approaches used for evaluating specific asteroid impact threat cases. We give an overview of the current PAIR model used to support impact threat scenarios and discuss some of the key applications of these assessment in supporting response decisions and planetary defense preparedness. We then present the results and key findings from the recent 2023 PDC hypothetical impact exercise as an example of the primary types of risk results and metrics being developed to inform and support those mitigation and response decisions.

SMD↗

Impact of NASA’s Entry Systems Modeling Project on Planetary Mission Design

Planetary missions continue to grow larger and more complex. Furthermore, the current focus on human exploration of the Moon and Mars, as well as Mars Sample Return(MSR), place increas-ingly stringent requirements on the reliability of the entry, descent, and landing (EDL) system that ensures the safe delivery of payload or crew to their destination. Planetary EDL is an area in which mission designers are critically reliant on modeling and simulation to demonstrate the reliability of the system, as there are no ground facilities that are able to fully test these systems in a flight-relevant environment. NASA’s state-of-the-art modeling and simulation capability must continually evolve to meet the needs of the next generation of planetary EDL. To accomplish this aim, NASA’s Entry Systems Modeling (ESM) Project was formed in 2013and is funded bythe Space Technology Mission Directorate(STMD) and Science Mission Directorate (SMD). ESM is the Agency’s only cross-cutting effort for advancing entry systems modeling and simulation capabilities across a range of technical disciplines and Solar System destinations. ESM is a portfolio project covering a variety of mid-TRL research efforts within four core EDL-related areas of investment: (1) Thermal protection material modeling, (2) Shock layer kinetics and radiation, (3) Aerosciences, and (4) Guidance, navigation, and con-trol. The material modeling group creates detailed material response modelsof thermal protection systems (TPS)from the micro to macro scale, and at the fun-damental and engineering levels. Shock layer kinetics and radiation focuses on radiative heating of space-craft, quantum chemistry and benchmark experiments for validation.Aerosciences is a broad research area that impacts many aspects of entry systems, including parachutes, aerodynamics, and turbulent heating augmentation due to TPS roughness.The guidance, navigation,and control effort under ESM is expanding the capabilities of NASA’s main flight mechanics tool, POST2, for use on high-performance computing architectures and to generalize interoperability with external applications for more detailed end-to-end simula-tion.In addition, several focusedresearch topics have been approvedto augment ESM’s core portfolio. These include efforts for deep post-flight analysis of Mars 2020/MEDLI2 flight data; development ofTPS failure models; improvement of hypersonic wakeflow models; and a recently concluded effort to provide material response models for NuSil-coated PICA heat-shield material. This presentation will discuss each of these investment areas and demonstrate via real mission examples how advances to the state-of-the-art enabled by ESM are directly impacting the missions of today and tomorrow, including InSight, Mars 2020, Mars Sample Return, Orion, and Dragonfly.

Entry Systems Modeling↗

Regional Impacts of Ice Sheet Surface Representation Improvements in an Earth System Model

Ice sheet surface conditions and their subsequent impact on surface mass balance play an important role in ice sheet dynamics and ice sheet interaction with the overlying atmosphere and surrounding ocean. The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s (GMAO) Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) ecosystem of models and reanalyses model ice sheet and glacier surface mass balance with a moderately complex snow and ice module, including prognostic surface albedo evolution, fractional snow cover, and snowpack hydrology and meltwater retention. With this configuration, Greenland near surface air temperatures and ice sheet melt are well represented in MERRA-2, GMAO’s current atmospheric reanalysis; however, the similarity to observations in some regions is due, in part, to compensating biases in surface energy budget. Recent improvements to GEOS’ cloud microphysics and longwave radiation parameterizations reduced biases in surface net longwave radiation and exacerbated surface net shortwave radiation biases, effectively increasing near surface temperatures and melting, particularly during the summer months. Here, we demonstrate the Earth system response to an improved representation of the ice sheet surface focused on minimizing the surface energy biases and increasing spatial and temporal representativeness. New changes to the surface albedo parameterization, including the introduction of a prognostic aerosol darkening scheme, help mitigate shortwave biases, while modifications to surface roughness characteristics improve near surface sensible heat fluxes. Focusing on the Arctic and Greenland, we examine the combined impact on these changes on regional weather conditions and ice sheet surface mass balance using a high resolution atmospheric only experiment, and we use a coupled model configuration to assess the impact on oceanic conditions and subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Overall, these improvements increase modeled ice sheet surface realism and provide a strong basis for more accurate ice sheet mass balance in GMAO’s future reanalyses and forecasting systems.

Lauren C Andrews↗

Regional Impacts of Ice Sheet Surface Representation Improvements in an Earth System Model

Ice sheet surface conditions and their subsequent impact on surface mass balance play an important role in ice sheet dynamics and ice sheet interaction with the overlying atmosphere and surrounding ocean. The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s (GMAO) Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) ecosystem of models and reanalyses model ice sheet and glacier surface mass balance with a moderately complex snow and ice module, including prognostic surface albedo evolution, fractional snow cover, and snowpack hydrology and meltwater retention. With this configuration, Greenland near surface air temperatures and ice sheet melt are well represented in MERRA-2, GMAO’s current atmospheric reanalysis; however, the similarity to observations in some regions is due, in part, to compensating biases in surface energy budget. Recent improvements to GEOS’ cloud microphysics and longwave radiation parameterizations reduced biases in surface net longwave radiation and exacerbated surface net shortwave radiation biases, effectively increasing near surface temperatures and melting, particularly during the summer months. Here, we demonstrate the Earth system response to an improved representation of the ice sheet surface focused on minimizing the surface energy biases and increasing spatial and temporal representativeness. New changes to the surface albedo parameterization, including the introduction of a prognostic aerosol darkening scheme, help mitigate shortwave biases, while modifications to surface roughness characteristics improve near surface sensible heat fluxes. Focusing on the Arctic and Greenland, we examine the combined impact on these changes on regional weather conditions and ice sheet surface mass balance using a high resolution atmospheric only experiment, and we use a coupled model configuration to assess the impact on oceanic conditions and subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Overall, these improvements increase modeled ice sheet surface realism and provide a strong basis for more accurate ice sheet mass balance in GMAO’s future reanalyses and forecasting systems.

Lauren C. Andrews↗

Critical Progressive Damage Analysis Model Features for Low-Velocity Impact on Thermoset and Thermoplastic Panels

A previous verification and validation framework evaluated the ability of various progressive damage analysis (PDA) tools to predict the mechanical response and damage state in post-buckled stiffened aerospace structures composed of fiber-reinforced thermoset composite materials. Herein, the ability of PDA tools to predict damage in thermoplastic composite materials subject to low-velocity impact (LVI) loading has been assessed. LVI tests and analyses have been conducted for similar panels, comprising thermoset or thermoplastic composite materials. Preliminary test/analysis correlations revealed that using the same combination of PDA model features and finite element model-building guidelines for the thermoset and thermoplastic LVI specimens resulted in underprediction of matrix crack lengths and delaminated area in the thermoplastic analyses despite yielding good correlations for the thermoset specimens. In this paper, the quality of the test/analysis correlations for analyses of thermoplastic LVI specimens performed with different combinations of PDA model features using the NASA CompDam material model are presented. Model features that were assessed in terms of effect on the quality of the test/analysis correlation include the representation of damageable interfaces, residual thermal stresses, and fiber damage.

Frank Leone↗

Critical Progressive Damage Analysis Model Features for Low-Velocity Impact on Thermoset and Thermoplastic Panels

A previous verification and validation framework evaluated the ability of various progressive damage analysis (PDA) tools to predict the mechanical response and damage state in post-buckled stiffened aerospace structures composed of fiber-reinforced thermoset composite materials. Herein, the ability of PDA tools to predict damage in thermoplastic composite materials subject to low-velocity impact (LVI) loading has been assessed. LVI tests and analyses have been conducted for similar panels, comprising thermoset or thermoplastic composite materials. Preliminary test/analysis correlations revealed that using the same combination of PDA model features and finite element model-building guidelines for the thermoset and thermoplastic LVI specimens resulted in underprediction of matrix crack lengths and delaminated area in the thermoplastic analyses despite yielding good correlations for the thermoset specimens. In this paper, the quality of the test/analysis correlations for analyses of thermoplastic LVI specimens performed with different combinations of PDA model features using the NASA CompDam material model are presented. Model features that were assessed in terms of effect on the quality of the test/analysis correlation include the representation of damageable interfaces, residual thermal stresses, and fiber damage.

Frank Leone↗

NASA High-Speed 2D Photogrammetric Measurement System

The object of this report is to provide users of the NASA high-speed 2D photogrammetric measurement system with procedures required to obtain drop-model trajectory and impact data for full-scale and sub-scale models. This guide focuses on use of the system for vertical drop testing at the NASA Langley Landing and Impact Research (LandIR) Facility.

Dismond, Harriett R.↗

Uncertainty in Agricultural Impact Assessment

This chapter considers issues concerning uncertainty associated with modeling and its use within agricultural impact assessments. Information about uncertainty is important for those who develop assessment methods, since that information indicates the need for, and the possibility of, improvement of the methods and databases. Such information also allows one to compare alternative methods. Information about the sources of uncertainties is an aid in prioritizing further work on the impact assessment method. Uncertainty information is also necessary for those who apply assessment methods, e.g., for projecting climate change impacts on agricultural production and for stakeholders who want to use the results as part of a decision-making process (e.g., for adaptation planning). For them, uncertainty information indicates the degree of confidence they can place in the simulated results. Quantification of uncertainty also provides stakeholders with an important guideline for making decisions that are robust across the known uncertainties. Thus, uncertainty information is important for any decision based on impact assessment. Ultimately, we are interested in knowledge about uncertainty so that information can be used to achieve positive outcomes from agricultural modeling and impact assessment.

damage assessment↗

Monthly mean simulation experiments with a course-mesh global atmospheric model

Substitution of observed monthly mean sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) as lower boundary conditions, in place of climatological SSTs, failed to improve the model simulations. While the impact of SST anomalies on the model output is greater at sea level than at upper levels the impact on the monthly mean simulations is not beneficial at any level. Shifts of one and two days in initialization time produced small, but non-trivial, changes in the model-generated monthly mean synoptic fields. No improvements in the mean simulations resulted from the use of either time-averaged initial data or re-initialization with time-averaged early model output. The noise level of the model, as determined from a multiple initial state perturbation experiment, was found to be generally low, but with a noisier response to initial state errors in high latitudes than the tropics.

Spar, J.↗

Recent developments in isotachophoresis

Recent advances in the field of isotachophoresis are discussed. These comprise (1) the utilization of digital simulation techniques for computer modeling of isotachophoretic systems of weak electrolytes, (2) the impacts of the models based on migration only, (3) the trend towards automated analytical instruments, and (4) the development of truly industrial-scale isotachophoresis amenable for downstream processing in biotechnology.

Thormann, Wolfgang↗