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Analysis of simultaneous aerosol and ocean glint retrieval using multi-angle observations

Since early 2000, NASA's Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) instrument has been performing remote sensing retrievals of aerosol optical properties from the polar-orbiting Terra spacecraft. A noteworthy aspect of MISR observations over the ocean is that, for much of the Earth, some of the multi-angle views have contributions from solar reflection by the ocean surface (glint, or glitter), while others do not. Aerosol retrieval algorithms often discard these glint-influenced observations because they can overwhelm the signal and are difficult to predict without knowledge of the (wind-speed-driven) ocean surface roughness. However, theoretical studies have shown that multi-angle observations of a location at geometries with and without reflected sun glint can be a rich source of information, sufficient to support simultaneous retrieval of both the aerosol state and the wind speed at the ocean surface. We are in the early stages of creating such an algorithm. In this paper, we describe our assessment of the appropriate level of parameterization for simultaneous aerosol and ocean surface property retrievals using sun glint. For this purpose, we use generalized nonlinear retrieval analysis (GENRA), an information content assessment (ICA) technique employing Bayesian inference, and simulations from the Ahmad–Fraser iterative radiative transfer code. We find that four parameters are suitable: aerosol optical depth (τ), particle size distribution (expressed as the fine mode fraction f of small particles in a bimodal size distribution), surface wind speed (w), and relative humidity (r, to define the aerosol water content and complex refractive index). None of these parameters define ocean optical properties, as we found that the aerosol state could be retrieved with the nine MISR near-infrared views alone, where the ocean body is strongly absorbing in the open ocean. We also found that retrieval capability varies with observation geometry and that as τ increases so does the ability to determine aerosol intensive optical properties (r and f, while it decreases for w). Increases in w decrease the ability to determine the true value of that parameter but have minimal impact on retrieval of aerosol properties. We explored the benefit of excluding the two most extreme MISR view angles for which radiative transfer with the plane-parallel approximation is less certain, but we found no advantage in doing so. Finally, the impact of treating wind speed as a scalar parameter, rather than as a two-parameter directional wind, was tested. While the simpler scalar model does contribute to overall aerosol uncertainty, it is not sufficiently large to justify the addition of another dimension to parameter space. An algorithm designed upon these principles is in development. It will be used to perform an atmospheric correction with MISR for coincident ocean color (OC) observations by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument, also on the NASA Terra spacecraft. Unlike MISR, MODIS is a single-view-angle instrument, but it has a more complete set of spectral channels ideal for determination of optical ocean properties. The atmospheric correction of MODIS OC data can therefore benefit from MISR aerosol retrievals. Furthermore, higher-spatial-resolution data from coincident MISR observations may also improve glint screening.

Kirk Knobelspiesse↗

Al-rich AlGaN high electron mobility transistor gate metallization study up to 600 °C in air

Here we report a comparative study of three rectifying gate metals, W, Pd, and Pt/Au, on ultrawide bandgap Al 0.86 Ga 0.14 N barrier/Al 0.7 Ga 0.3 N channel high electron mobility transistors for use in extreme temperatures. The transistors were electrically characterized from 30 to 600 °C in air. Of the three gate metals, the Pt/Au stack exhibited the smallest change in threshold voltage (0.15 V, or 9% change between the 30 and 600 °C values, and a maximum change of 42%), the highest on/off current ratio (1.5 × 10 6 ) at 600 °C, and a modest forward gate leakage current (0.39 mA/mm for a 3,V gate bias) at 600 °C. These favorable results showcase AlGaN channel high electron mobility transistors' ability to operate in extreme temperature environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microgravity Studies of Liquid-Liquid Phase Transitions in Alumina-Yttria Melts

The scientific objective of this research is to increase the fundamental knowledge base for liquid- phase processing of technologically important oxide materials. The experimental objective is to define conditions and hardware requirements for microgravity flight experiments to test and expand the experimental hypotheses that: 1. Liquid phase transitions can occur in undercooled melts by a diffusionless process. 2. Onset of the liquid phase transition is accompanied by a large change in the temperature dependence of melt viscosity. Experiments on undercooled YAG (Y3A15012)- and rare earth oxide aluminate composition liquids demonstrated a large departure from an Arrhenian temperature dependence of viscosity. Liquid YAG is nearly inviscid at its 2240 K melting point. Glass fibers were pulled from melts undercooled by ca. 600 K indicating that the viscosity is on the order of 100 Pans (1000 Poise) at 1600 K. This value of viscosity is 500 times greater than that obtained by extrapolation of data for temperatures above the melting point of YAG. These results show that the liquids are extremely fragile and that the onset of the highly non-Arrhenian viscosity-temperature relationship occurs at a temperature considerably below the equilibrium melting point of the solid phases. Further results on undercooled alumina-yttria melts containing 23-42 mole % yttrium oxide indicate that a congruent liquid-liquid phase transition occurs in the undercooled liquids. The rates of transition are inconsistent with a diffusion-limited process. This research is directed to investigation of the scientifically interesting phenomena of polyamorphism and fragility in undercooled rare earth oxide aluminum oxide liquids. The results bear on the technologically important problem of producing high value rare earth-based optical materials.

Guynes, Buddy↗

Reconfiguration of Analog Electronics for Extreme Environments

This paper argues in favor of adaptive reconfiguration as a technique to expand the operational envelope of analog electronics for extreme environments (EE). On a reconfigurable device, although component parameters change in EE, as long as devices still operate, albeit degraded, a new circuit design, suitable for new parameter values, may be mapped into the reconfigurable structure to recover the initial circuit function. Laboratory demonstrations of this technique were performed by JPL in several independent experiments in which bulk CMOS reconfgurable devices were exposed to, and degraded by, high temperatures (approx.300 C) or radiation (300kRad TID), and then recovered by adaptive reconfiguration using evolutionary search algorithms.

evolutionary search algorithms↗

LANDSAT Study of Alteration Aureoles in Surface Rocks Overlying Petroleum Deposits

The author has identified the following significant results. A series of low altitude underflight remote sensing experiments were flown at Cement and Davenport oil fields, Oklahoma. An experimental algorithm which employs a sinusoidal stretch of brightness values was developed and applied to a January 1973 scene (bands 4, 5, and 6) of Cement. The results, although not spectacular, are extremely encouraging and for the first time demonstrate that the alteration anomaly at Cement may be defined through enhanced LANDSAT images.

Donovan, T. J.↗

An analysis on the shapes of ultraviolet extinction curves. I - The 2175 A bump

IUE data are used to investigate the properties of the 2175 A interstellar extinction bump toward 45 reddened Milky Way stars. Using analytic fitting functions, parameters are derived which describe the central position, FWHM, and strength of the bump. The bump position is very stable, with an extreme deviation which is still significantly larger than the measurement uncertainty, indicating true variability. The bump FWHM has a large range of intrinsic values, 0.77/micron to 1.25/micron. The normalized bump strength varies by more than a factor of three. There are no convincing correlations among the three bump parameters, but the width of the bump is strongly correlated with the dust grain environments. Dense quiescent regions yield broad bumps, while diffuse interstellar medium and regions of recent star formation yield narrower bumps. The absence of any correlation between bump width and central position argues strongly against graphite grains in the size range prescribed by the Mathis, Rumpl, and Nordsieck (1977) model as carriers of the bump.

Fitzpatrick, E. L.↗

Application of artificial neural networks to thermal detection of disbonds

A novel technique for processing thermal data is presented and applied to simulation as well as experimental data. Using a neural network of thermal data classification, good classification accuracies are obtained, and the resulting images exhibit very good contrast between bonded and disbonded locations. In order to minimize the preprocessing required before using the network of classification, the temperature values were directly employed to train a network using data from an on-site testing run of a commercial aircraft. Training was extremely fast, and the resulting classification also agreed reasonably well with an ultrasonic characterization of the panel. The results obtained using one sample show the partially disbonded vertical doubler. The vertical lines along the doubler correspond to the original extent of the doubler obtained using blueprints of the aircraft.

Prabhu, D. R.↗

Stratospheric NO(y) measurements on the NASA DC-8 during AASE 2

We survey measurements of stratospheric NO(y) on the NASA DC-8 during AASE 2 in early 1992. Emphasis is on correlations with other long-lived species: O3, N2O, and CH4. No cases of extremely high NO(y)/O3 ratios were seen in 1992. This suggests that denitrification at higher altitudes was less pervasive than in 1989. Values of NO(y)/O3 in 1992 are comparable to, though perhaps lower than, those measured in 1989. The correlation of NO(y) with N2O changes over the course of the mission. Relative to the correlation for the whole season, low values of NO(y) occur in February, most notably on the 22nd. The reason for the low NO(y) is unknown. It is generally too warm at DC-8 altitudes for the presence of Polar Stratospheric Cloud (PSC) particles, but denitrification at higher altitudes, followed by descent, might account for the low values seen on 22 February. However, this may be unlikely since the NASA ER-2, flying during the same period, saw no evidence of denitrification at higher altitudes (Loewenstein et al., 1993).

Weinheimer, A. J.↗

Stratospheric NO(y) Measurements on the NASA DC-8 during AASE 2

We survey measurements of stratospheric NO(y) on the NASA DC-8 during AASE 2 in early 1992. Emphasis is on correlations with other long-lived species: O3, N2O, and CH4. No cases of extremely high NO(y)/O3 ratios were seen in 1992. This suggests that denitrification at higher altitudes was less pervasive than in 1989. Values of NO(y)/O3 in 1992 are comparable to, though perhaps lower than, those measured in 1989. The correlation of NO(y) with N2O changes over the course of the mission. Relative to the correlation for the whole season, low values of NO(y) occur in February, most notably on the 22nd. The reason for the low NO(y) is unknown It is generally too warm at DC-8 altitudes for the presence of PSC particles, but denitrification at higher altitudes, followed by descent, might account for the low values seen on 22 February. However, this may be unlikely since the NASA ER-2, flying during the same period, saw no evidence of denitrification at higher altitudes.

Weinheimer, A. J.↗

Nustar Reveals an Intrinsically X-ray Weak Broad Absorption Line Quasar in the Ultraluminous Infrared Galaxy Markarian 231

We present high-energy (3-30 keV) NuSTAR observations of the nearest quasar, the ultraluminous infrared galaxy (ULIRG) Markarian 231 (Mrk 231), supplemented with new and simultaneous low-energy (0.5-8 keV) data from Chandra. The source was detected, though at much fainter levels than previously reported, likely due to contamination in the large apertures of previous non-focusing hard X-ray telescopes. The full band (0.5-30 keV) X-ray spectrum suggests the active galactic nucleus (AGN) in Mrk 231 is absorbed by a patchy and Compton-thin N(sub H) approx. 1.2(sup +0.3) sub-0.3) x 10(exp 23) / sq cm) column. The intrinsic X-ray luminosity L(sub 0.5-30 Kev) approx. 1.0 x 10(exp 43) erg /s) is extremely weak relative to the bolometric luminosity where the 2-10 keV to bolometric luminosity ratio is approx. 0.03% compared to the typical values of 2-15%. Additionally, Mrk 231 has a low X-ray-to-optical power law slope alpha(sub 0X) approx. -1.7. It is a local example of a low-ionization broad absorption line (LoBAL) quasar that is intrinsically X-ray weak. The weak ionizing continuum may explain the lack of mid-infrared [O IV], [Ne V], and [Ne VI] fine-structure emission lines which are present in sources with otherwise similar AGN properties. We argue that the intrinsic X-ray weakness may be a result of the super-Eddington accretion occurring in the nucleus of this ULIRG, and may also be naturally related to the powerful wind event seen in Mrk 231, a merger remnant escaping from its dusty cocoon.

Reveals↗

Precision Oxygen Isotope Measurements of Two C-Rich Hydrated Interplanetary Dust Particles

Introduction: Chondritic-smooth IDPs (Interplanetary Dust Particles) are low porosity objects whose mineralogy is dominated by aqueous alteration products such as Mg-rich phyllosilicates (smectite and serpentine group) and Mg-Fe carbonate minerals. Their hydrated mineralogy combined with low atmospheric entry velocities have been used to infer an origin largely from asteroidal sources. Spectroscopic studies show that the types and abundance of organic matter in CS IDPs is similar to that in CP IDPs. Although CS IDPs show broad similarities to primitive carbonaceous chondrites, only a few particles have been directly linked to specific meteorite groups such as CM and CI chondrites based on the presence of diagnostic minerals. Many CS IDPs however, have carbon contents that greatly exceed that of known meteorite groups suggesting that they either may derive from comets or represent samples of more primitive parent bodies than do meteorites. It is now recognized that many large, dark primitive asteroids in the outer main belt, as well as some trans-Neptunian objects, show spectroscopic evidence for aqueous alteration products on their surfaces. Some CS IDPs exhibit large bulk D enrichments similar to those observed in the cometary CP IDPs. While hydrated minerals in comets have not been unambiguously identified to date, the presence of the smectite group mineral nontronite has been inferred from infrared spectra obtained from the ejecta from comet 9P/Tempel 1 during the Deep Impact mission. Recent observations of low temperature sulfide minerals in Stardust mission samples suggest that limited aqueous activity occurred on comet Wild-2. All of these observations, taken together, suggest that the high-carbon hydrated IDPs are abundant and important samples of primitive solar system objects not represented in meteorite collections. Oxygen isotopic compositions of chondrites reflect mixing between a 16O-rich reservoir and a 17O,18O-rich reservoir produced via mass-independent fractionation. The composition of the 16O-rich reservoir is well constrained but material representing the 17O,18O-rich end-member is rare. Self-shielding models predict that cometary water, presumed to represent this reservoir, should be enriched in 17O and 18O by greater than 200 per mille. The high-carbon hydrated IDPs may be among the best materials available to search for preserved "cometary" H2O signatures. In order to better understand the origin and evolution of these particles, we have obtained 10 hydrated interplanetary dust particles for coordinated mineralogical, isotopic and organic analyses. We have previously reported the results of mineralogical and O isotopic measurements of two hydrated IDPs; here we present results of O isotopic measurements of three additional IDPs. Samples and Methods: Three interplanetary dust particles (L2079C35, L2083D46 and L2083E46) were embedded in S and partially ultramicrotomed into approximately 70 nanometer sections for analysis via transmission electron microscopy (TEM). The remainders of the unsliced particles were removed from S and pressed into high purity Au foil that was cleaned with HF acid and annealed at 800 degrees Centigrade. The pressed IDPs were analyzed via electron microprobe analysis (EPMA) for quantitative bulk chemical analysis. After EPMA analysis, the IDPs were subjected to precision O isotope analysis with the UCLA Cameca IMS-1270 ion probe. A 20 kiloelectronvolt, 0.5 nanoangstrom Cs+ primary beam of approximately 15 micrometers diameter was used for each measurement. Small particles of San Carlos olivine and Burma spinel were pressed into the Au foil for use as standards to correct for instrumental mass fractionation. The detection system was configured for multicollection, with 16O measured on a Faraday cup, and 17O and 18O measured on electron multipliers (EMs). Individual analyses consisted of 15 cycles of 10 seconds per cycle. Additionally, two microtome thin sections were measured for H isotopic compositions with the JSC NanoSIMS 50L ion probe. An 8 picoangstrom, 16 kiloelectronvolt Cs plus primary beam was used. Measurements consisted of H, C, 12C, 16O, and 18O collected with EMs in multicollection. Terrestrial biotite and kerogen were used for isotopic standards. A significant challenge in O isotope measurement of hydrated minerals is the interference from 16OH at mass 17O. We ensured that the 17O and 16OH peaks were fully resolved by using a mass resolution of greater than 7000 and by careful analyses of San Carlos olivine, Burma spinel and chlorite hydrated mineral standards. The hydride was further suppressed with a cold finger attached to an LN2 dewar to trap volatiles in the sample chamber. All sputtered ions were counted (i.e. presputtering was not used); after applying background, yield and deadtime corrections, we performed a change-point analysis on our data via R in order to determine when the sample reached sputtering equilibrium; data points collected prior to the change point were excluded. Change-point analysis was also used to determine whether the IDP had completely sputtered. Results: Mineralogy. IDPs C35 and E46 exhibited hydrated mineralogies, Fe-Ni sulfide grains, nanoglobules and occasional enstatite grains distributed throughout a fine-grained Mg-Fe saponite matrix. C35 also contained breunnerite (Mg,Fe)CO3; solar flare tracks were observed in enstatite, indicating minimal atmospheric entry heating. The mineralogy of D46 is dominated by a large FeS grain with a minor component of adhering silicate material. D46 was strongly heated during atmorpheric entry as evidenced by a well-developed magnetite rim. EPMA analyses show that both C35 and E46 have high carbon contents of 20 weight percentage (approximately 6X CI). D46 contains approximately 6 wt.weight percentage C. A significant amount of the carbon is present as carbon nanoglobules. Results: Hydrogen isotopes: Although the bulk delta D values of both sections of L2079C35 were within error of SMOW (minus 33 plus or minus 19 per mille, 1 plus or minus 14 per mille 1 sigma), several delta D-rich hotspots were also identified, reaching 2000 per mille. As shown in Fig. 1, these hotspots are clearly associated with discrete carbonaceous inclusions that are akin to nanoglobules found in many meteorites and other IDPs. Oxygen Isotopes. Results of the oxygen isotope measurements are shown in Figure 1. The oxygen isotope composition for L2079C35 was delta 18O equals plus11.6 plus or minus 1.9per mille, delta 17O equals plus 7.9 plus or minus 1.9per mille (2 standard errors). The oxygen isotope composition for L2083D46 was delta 18O equals minus 8.1 plus or minus 1.9 per mille, delta 17O equals minus 6.4 plus or minus 3.1 per mille (2 standard errors). The oxygen isotope composition for L2083E46 was delta 18O equals plus 12.0 plus or minus 1.9 per mille, delta 17O equals plus 9.2 plus or minus 2.0 per mille (2 standard errors). Discussion: Despite mineralogical similarities to highly aqueously altered carbonaceous chondrites, the hydrated IDPs we analyzed have oxygen isotopic compositions that are distinct from matrix materials in the CI, CM, and CR chondrites. The IDPs plot along the Young-Russell line, with delta 17O values for C35 and E46 suggestive of interaction with a 16O-poor reservoir. However, we have thus far not observed evidence of extreme 16O-poor reservoirs expected from self-shielding models and observed in Acfer 094 simplectite. The high carbon contents of the IDPs also set them apart from known meteoritic samples. The lack of atmospheric entry heating effects are consistent with low encounter velocities and suggest either an asteroidal source, or a low inclination, low eccentricity cometary origin. Conclusions: The unusual oxygen isotopic compositions, high carbon contents, and the abundance of Drich nanoglobules, together, suggest that the high-carbon, hydrated IDPs are derived from a primitive source that is not yet represented in meteorite collections.

Snead, C. J.↗

A comparison of global estimates of marine primary production from ocean color

The third primary production algorithm round robin (PPARR3) compares output from 24 models that estimate depth-integrated primary production from satellite measurements of ocean color, as well as seven general circulation models (GCMs) coupled with ecosystem or biogeochemical models. Here we compare the global primary production fields corresponding to eight months of 1998 and 1999 as estimated from common input fields of photosynthetically-available radiation (PAR), sea-surface temperature (SST), mixed-layer depth, and chlorophyll concentration. We also quantify the sensitivity of the ocean-color-based models to perturbations in their input variables. The pair-wise correlation between ocean-color models was used to cluster them into groups or related output, which reflect the regions and environmental conditions under which they respond differently. The groups do not follow model complexity with regards to wavelength or depth dependence, though they are related to the manner in which temperature is used to parameterize photosynthesis. Global average PP varies by a factor of two between models. The models diverged the most for the Southern Ocean, SST under 10 C, and chlorophyll concentration exceeding 1mg Chlm-3. Based on the conditions under which the model results diverge most, we conclude that current ocean-color-based models are challenged by high-nutrient low-chlorophyll conditions, and extreme temperatures or chlorophyll concentrations. The GCM-based models predict comparable primary production to those based on ocean color: they estimate higher values in the Southern Ocean, at low SST, and in the equatorial band, while they estimate lower values in eutrophic regions (probably because the area of high chlorophyll concentrations is smaller in the GCMs). Further progress in primary production modeling requires improved understanding of the effect of temperature on photosynthesis and better parameterization of the maximum photosynthetic rate.

Yamanaka, Yasuhiro↗

Cosmological Magnetic Fields from Primordial Kerr-Newman Black Holes

The origin of our universe's cosmological magnetic fields remains a mystery. In this study, we consider whether these magnetic fields could have been generated in the early universe by a population of charged, spinning primordial black holes. To this end, we calculate the strength of the magnetic fields generated by this population, and describe their evolution up to the current epoch. We find that extremal black holes in the mass range $ M \sim 10^{28} -10^{36} \, {\rm g}$ could potentially produce magnetic fields with present day values as large as $B \sim 10^{-20} - 10^{-15} \, {\rm G}$. While we remain largely agnostic as to the origin of these spinning, charged black holes, we do briefly discuss how new physics may have induced a chemical potential which could have briefly maintained the black holes in an electrically charged state in the early universe.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Influence of data uncertainty on cold season threshold-based climate indices

Climate indices are used to reduce the complex climate system and its changes to simple measures. The data basis – whether observational data or climate model data – to which the climate indices are applied, is usually subject to uncertainties. For threshold-based climate indices, the data uncertainty influences the threshold value, and, hence, the uncertainty can influence the values for the climate index. What the actual impacts of these uncertainties are on threshold-based climate indices is examined in this paper. The focus is not only on the climate model uncertainty, but also on the observational data uncertainty. The general sensitivity of each of the chosen climate indices to arbitrary changes in the threshold is studied. This shows a higher sensitivity of indices assessing extremes (ice days, heavy precipitation days) to changes in the threshold than indices that integrate a quantity over a given time interval (coldsum, consecutive days). For assessing an ensemble of climate model data with respect to their ability to reproduce the index values for current climate, the reference data uncertainty is applied to the chosen threshold-based climate indices by changing their threshold value by its corresponding uncertainty. It is shown that the climate model uncertainty can be within the range of the reference data uncertainty. When using threshold-based climate indices to assess changes in future climate periods, uncertainties should always be taken into account and ideally corrected in an appropriate way. This is especially important for indices that assess extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Gemini Planet Imager Spectroscopy of the Dusty Substellar Companion HD 206893 B

We present new near-infrared Gemini Planet Imager (GPI) spectroscopy of HD 206893 B, a substellar companion orbiting within the debris disk of its F5V star. The J, H, K1, and K2 spectra from GPI demonstrate the extraordinarily red colors of the object, confirming it as the reddest substellar object observed to date. The significant flux increase throughout the infrared presents a challenging atmosphere to model with existing grids. Best-fit values vary from 1200 to 1800 K for effective temperature and from 3.0 to 5.0 for log(g), depending on which individual wavelength band is fit and which model suite is applied. The extreme redness of the companion can be partially reconciled by invoking a high-altitude layer of submicron dust particles, similar to dereddening approaches applied to the peculiar red field L dwarf population. However, reconciling the HD 206893 B spectra with even those of the reddest low-gravity L dwarf spectra still requires the contribution of additional atmospheric dust, potentially due to the debris disk environment in which the companion resides. Orbit fitting from 4 yr of astrometric monitoring is consistent with a ∼30 yr period, an orbital inclination of 147°, and a semimajor axis of 10 au, well within the estimated disk inner radius of ∼50 au. As one of a very few substellar companions imaged interior to a circumstellar disk, the properties of this system offer important dynamical constraints on companion–disk interaction and provide a benchmark for substellar and planetary atmospheric study.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Extreme Case of Spectral Band Difference Correction Between the OSIRIS-REX-NAVCAM2 and DSCOVR-EPIC Imagers

Earth-viewed images acquired during a recent asteroid intercept mission present a unique opportunity for radiometric calibration of visible imagers onboard a space exploration probe. Measurements from the CERES consistent DSCOVR-EPIC imager act as a reference in providing spatially, temporally, and angularly matched radiance values for deriving OSIRIS-REx-NavCam sensor calibration gains. The calibration is accomplished using an optimized all-sky tropical ocean ray-matching technique, which employs complex pixel remapping, navigation correction, and angular geometry consideration. Of critical consideration in this specific inter-calibration event is the extreme difference in spectral response function (SRF) width between the NavCam and EPIC imagers, which could cause a rather large bias. The NASA-LaRC SCIAMACHY based online spectral band adjustment factor (SBAF) calculation tool provides an empirical solution to such potential spectral-difference-induced biases through a high spectral- resolution hyper spectral convolution approach. The adjustments produced from this tool can effectively reduce the calibration gain bias of NavCam2 by nearly 6%, thereby adjusting the NavCam2 sensor to within 3.2% of its prelaunch calibration. These results highlight the capability of the SBAF tool to account for exceptionally disparate SRFs.

Scarino, Benjamin↗

Emulating climate extreme indices

We use simple pattern scaling and time-shift to emulate changes in a set of climate extreme indices under future scenarios, and evaluate the emulators' accuracy. We propose a metric for the error in emulation in the context of initial condition ensembles, to specifically characterize the role of internal variability in the emulation performance. Our metric separates systematic emulation errors from unavoidable discrepancies between emulated and target values due to internal variability. We compute the metricis at grid-point scale, and we show geographically resolved results, or aggregate them at global scale. We demonstrate the use of our error metric in the emulation of a suite of temperature and precipitation extreme indices. We test and compare simple pattern scaling and time-shift using a range of trajectories spanning targets inspired by the Paris agreement -- warming to 1.5C and 2.0C from the pre-industrial baseline -- and two of the longer-established trajectories, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. With this suite of scenarios we can test the effects on the performance of the size of the temperature gap between emulation origin and target. We find that for most indices emulation the dominant source of discrepancy is internal variability. For at least one index, however, counting exceedances of a high temperature threshold, significant portions of the globally aggregated discrepancy and its regional pattern originate from the systematic emulation error. This error exceeds internal variability of both the target and the emulated quantities in large coherent regions at low latitudes, and the explanation can be found in the differential behavior of temperature distributions across latitudes. The metric also highlights a fundamental difference in the two methods related to the simulation of internal variability, which is dampened significantly by simple pattern scaling. This aspect is of consequence when using these methods for specific applications, where preserving variability for uncertainty quantification is deemed important. With this study we offer our metric as a diagnostic tool, facilitating the formulation of scientific hypotheses on the reasons for the error. In the meantime, we show that for many impact relevant indices by now traditional emulation techniques can be accurate within the variations unavoidably introduced by internal variability, establishing the fundamental condition for using their emulation in impact modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Numerical Generation of Asymmetric Flows about Slender Bodies of Revolution at Extreme Incidence

It is well known that slender bodies of revolution will develop an asymmetric, unsteady flow pattern in experimental tests, if the angle of incidence to the oncoming stream is above a critical value. It has been suggested that the origin of these asymmetric flows may stem from geometric imperfections of the model being tested, or from disturbances in the oncoming stream. In numerical simulations, it is possible to generate bodies of revolution which are perfectly symmetric about their longitudinal axis, and to impose uniform flow conditions which are free from disturbances. The current work presents numerical simulations of the flow about an ogive-cylinder configuration at 40 and 60 degree angle of incidence. These simulations. were performed using numerical algorithms which are also symmetric about the lateral plane of the cylinder body. The flowfields at 40 degree angle of attack were seen to remain symmetric to the round-off accuracy of the computer. At 60 degree angle of attack, a lateral force coefficient developed of O(1) which progressed to an alternate vortex shedding in time. The nature of this lateral force generation and vortex shedding was dependent on the choice of numerical algorithm. The origin of the asymmetries observed in the 60 degree angle of attack computations were traced to round-off errors in the implicit block-matrix inverter. A means of inverting the implicit operator matrices, which maintains the symmetry of the overall numerical algorithm was implemented.

Murman, Scott M.↗