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At least 685 records · Page 38

Regulatory Mechanisms to Enable Investments in Electric Utility Resilience

In 2019, Sandia National Laboratories contracted Synapse Energy Economics (Synapse) to research the integration of community and electric utility resilience investment planning as part of the Designing Resilient Communities: A Consequence-Based Approach for Grid Investment (DRC) project. Synapse produced a series of reports to explore the challenges and opportunities in several key areas, including benefit-cost analysis, performance metrics, microgrids, and regulatory mechanisms to promote investments in electric system resilience. This report focuses on regulatory mechanisms to improve resilience. Regulatory mechanisms that improve resilience are approaches that electric utility regulators can use to align utility, customer, and third-party investments with regulatory, ratepayer, community, and other important stakeholder interests and priorities for resilience. Cost-of-service regulation may fail to provide utilities with adequate guidance or incentives regarding community priorities for infrastructure hardening and disaster recovery. The application of other types of regulatory mechanisms to resilience investments can help. This report: characterizes regulatory objective as they apply to resilience; identifies several regulatory mechanisms that are used or can be adapted to improve the resilience of the electric system--including performance-based regulation, integrated planning, tariffs and programs to leverage private investment, alternative lines of business for utilities, enhanced cost recovery, and securitization; provides a case study of each regulatory mechanism; summarizes findings across the case studies; and suggests how these regulatory mechanisms might be improved and applied to resilience moving forward. In this report, we assess the effectiveness of a range of utility regulatory mechanisms at evaluating and prioritizing utility investments in grid resilience. First, we characterize regulatory objectives which underly all regulatory mechanisms. We then describe seven types of regulatory mechanisms that can be used to improve resilience--including performance-based regulation, integrated planning, tariffs and programs to leverage private investment, alternative lines of business for utilities, enhanced cost recovery, and securitization--and provide a case study for each one. We summarize our findings on the extent to which these regulatory mechanisms have supported resilience to date. We conclude with suggestions on how these regulatory mechanisms might be improved and applied to resilience moving forward.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Atmospheric Electric Field-Mill Sensor Field Campaign Report

The foundation stone of atmospheric electricity is the existence of a Global Electric Circuit (GEC) influencing all of the planet. In fact, global thunderstorm activity acts as a voltage source that imposes a potential difference between the ionosphere (positively charged) and the Earth’s surface (negatively charged) of about ~300 kV. Such potential difference is discharged through the poorly conducting atmosphere in fair-weather regions, with atmospheric electric fields of ~100 V/m. First evidence of the GEC was gathered by scientists involved on the Carnegie vessel expeditions (early 20th Century), in which they describe a similar daily variation of the atmospheric electric field in different parts of the Pacific Ocean. Such variation become known as the Carnegie Curve (CC).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Domestic Sales Mix of Plug-In Electric Vehicles by Trim Variant and Vehicle Characteristics

As plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) take up a larger share of the United States vehicle market, their variety increases as well. Since many electric vehicle manufacturers offer multiple PEV trim variants, the distribution of vehicle characteristics such as battery capacity, all-electric range, electricity consumption, and curb weight cannot be determined by sales data alone. Sales data and vehicle registration data were analyzed to quantify and map the trim variant distribution of PEV models from nine automakers. With this information, we quantify national sales-weighted characteristics of fourteen different models over ten years, including battery capacity, fuel economy, and vehicle weight. We find a positive correlation between share of all-wheel drive variants for Tesla vehicles and average annual snowfall, and general uniformity nationwide in other vehicle characteristics. The estimated trim variant distributions will be useful in informing decisions regarding materials recycling and EV impact on the energy grid, and this study found that the total installed battery capacity in PEV in the U.S. was 76 GWh through 2020.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Shielded and Low-Damping SPM Probes For Quantitative Electrical and Electrochemical Characterization (Phase IIB)

The purpose of this DOE SBIR award was to develop new scanning probe microscopy tools for the elucidation of electrical and electrochemical properties at the nanoscale. High performance probes are important for energy materials research. In both solar cells and batteries, the essential physics and chemistry occur at the nanoscale and nanoscale characterization tools are required for their elucidation. The introduced new models are a shielded probe and an electrically insulated probe where only less than one micron of a conductive tip is exposed. In Phases I and IIa, we explored the development of cost-effective methods to insulate cantilevers from aqueous solutions and patented a technology that provides an insulated electrical contact to the tip. Also, our technology was adapted to be compatible with all popular commercial AFM systems. In Phase IIb, we improved reproducibility and batch size to drive down costs while maintaining quality control with testing. We transformed our product into a convenient turnkey solution to make electrochemical characterization approachable to a wide range of researchers. In January 2021, the technology was well received by the AFM community and Nanosurf Inc. (Woburn, MA) acquired Scuba Probe Technologies. The technology and expertise of Scuba Probe Technologies complements Nanosurf’s development of the full range of nano-electrical characterization tools.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Low-Cost Sulfur Thermal Storage for Increased Flexibility and Improved Economics of Fossil-Fueled Electricity Generating Units (Final Report)

The US electric grid relies on conventional fossil fuel power plants for reliable and secure power, but these plants suffer from physical and financial strain due to the influx of inexpensive and variable solar and wind electricity. Conventional power plants need to generate electricity flexibly and on-demand to accommodate these renewable resources on the grid. Integrating a low-cost thermal energy storage (TES) gives fossil assets the ability to regulate their output efficiently and optimize the plant operation to maximize revenue in the wholesale electricity market. Element 16’s TES concept uses sulfur, a byproduct of the oil & gas industry, as the storage media that is 10 times cheaper than molten salt used in commercial two-tank TES technology. In this project, the team completed a detailed feasibility and technoeconomic study establishing the impact, cost and performance of molten sulfur TES system integrated with fossil assets.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Damage Detection and Electrical Performance Impact of Flat-Flexible Circuits

Flat-flexible circuits or ‘flex circuits’ have varied applications in electronics and in explosive detonation systems. They pose advantages over conventional coaxial cables in their ability to fit into small mechanical envelopes and routings. A typical flex circuit is composed of a laminated assembly of multiple layers of conductor and dielectric materials. Copper, because of its high electrical conductivity, is one of the primary materials used in flex circuit conductors. The conductor must maintain structural integrity and electrical continuity when the flexible circuit is bent during processing or to fit an application envelope. Under some strain conditions a cable may have degraded electrical performance even though visible damage may not be evident. Dislocation density can increase by mechanisms such as dislocation forest hardening, where gliding dislocations in primary slip planes get pinned at obstacles and form Frank-Read sources. Dislocation density increases within the conductor layers may impact electrical resistivity but would not necessarily result in visible mechanical failure. In some detonation applications, such as for building implosion for demolition, the time for signal transmission and voltage used for firing detonators can be critical. If the resistance in a single flex cable within a building demolition array is too high, the resultant demolition shape may be asymmetric, leading to unplanned damage to nearby structures and potential hazards to public safety. This study will apply non-destructive evaluation techniques to evaluate the detectability of damage accumulation in flat, flexible copper-conductor cables and discuss potential implications to their practical use.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Impact of Transport Electrification Demand and Charging Schedules on Electricity Markets and Nuclear Generators

As the U.S. pursues deep decarbonization targets, electric vehicles (EVs) are likely to become a major driver of demand growth and a major determinant of daily demand patterns. This study analyzes a possible future ERCOT-like electricity grid, and examines the impact of different types of EV charging schedules on grid and market outcomes. This analysis demonstrates the significant impact of EV charging patterns on capacity expansion simulations. Even without EVs, the overall daily demand profile in a market can have significant impacts on prices and grid stability in that system, especially if non-dispatchable renewable generators (e.g. wind and solar) make up a significant fraction of the generation mix. EV demand will not necessarily follow this preexisting demand profile, so its daily trends may significantly change what generation portfolio would optimally serve the system. Furthermore, the effects of EV demand can alter the profitability of different types of units, by altering the frequency of market events like extreme-demand hours or zero-price hours. These effects are explored in this study. The EV demand levels were derived from MARKAL simulations of the West-South-Central North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region for the year 2050, using a carbon tax of $100/ton. The baseline MARKAL simulation forecasted that 23% of the region’s annual electricity demand in 2050 would be attributable to EVs, and broke out demand projections for EV and non-EV end-use in that year. To model lower EV penetration into the system, an additional case was explored which assumed that EVs only achieved 75% of the demand level projected by MARKAL.

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Addressing Electric Aviation Infrastructure Cybersecurity Implementation

This technical report evaluates key considerations of cybersecurity systems in preparation for the electrification of both legacy and new aviation services. The objectives are to consider the landscape of components and interconnections, review sensitivities and the criticality of data and operations, and aim to understand the applicability of existing best practices or the need for new ones associated with the cybersecurity of electric charging systems for the aviation sector. Given the early stages of electric aviation deployment, developers have the opportunity to plan and integrate cybersecurity strategies into the complete electric aviation system during the initial stages of design and procurement and will benefit from employing a framework for continuous cybersecurity monitoring. This paper presents initial considerations of key cybersecurity strategies and their application to forthcoming electric aviation systems.

airports↗

The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100): Chapter 3. Electricity Demand Projections

The City of Los Angeles has set ambitious goals to transform its electricity supply, aiming to achieve a 100% renewable energy power system by 2045, along with aggressive electrification targets for buildings and vehicles. To reach these goals, and assess the implications for jobs, electricity rates, the environment, and environmental justice, the Los Angeles City Council passed a series of motions directing the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) to determine the technical feasibility and investment pathways of a 100% renewable energy portfolio standard. The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100) is a first-of-its-kind objective, rigorous, and science-based power systems analysis to determine what investments could be made to achieve these goals. The LA100 final report is presented as a collection of 12 chapters and an executive summary, each of which is available as an individual download. This chapter explores how electricity is consumed by customers now, how that might change through 2045, and potential opportunities to better align electricity demand and supply.

100% Renewable↗

FTR for: Reducing plug-load electricity footprint of residential buildings through low-cost, non-intrusive sub-metering and personalized feedback technology

The project started in October 2016 and ended in December 2022. The project's principal goals and achievements were: (i) Measure real and reactive electric power consumption in ~400 apartments in multifamily settings of varying size and vintage and publish the data; data was published according to New York State's recommended 15x15 rule continuously from Jan 2019 through December 2022 (10 second time resolution); with the combination of large number of apartments, real and reactive power, as well as high time resolution (10-seconds), the dataset is first of its kind worldwide; because the dataset New York City apartment consumption pre, during, and post pandemic, it further offers unique insights into changes in residential electricity consumption during lockdowns and after modified work from home schedules. (ii) Measure effectiveness of different feedback types to prompt residents to lower their electricity consumption; achieved 11% (kWh-weighted) reduction versus baseline consumption; confirmed previous studies that social comparisons elicit above average responses; showed, for the first time, that the so called boomerang effect in power consumption feedback projects can be explained by a previously hypothesized norm-conforming "magnet effect" (rather than a non-conforming defiance effect), thus substantially advancing the research in the field. (iii) Disaggregate apartment-level consumption to appliance level; because the hardware for electricity consumption unexpectedly allowed only for 10-second time resolution (rather than the 1-second resolution we had planned on), the disaggregation algorithms we developed on sample data could not be applied to the actual field data we collected. The project has yielded high visibility, with a total of 17 publications, from peer reviewed journals, published data sets (free access), blog posts, NY Times, National Public Radio, and CNN.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Stochastic Price Generation for Evaluating Wholesale Electricity Market Bidding Strategies

This work presents a novel method for generating electricity price scenarios from statistical properties of past electricity prices using a hybrid statistical and reduced-form stochastic model. Previous work in applying stochastic differential equations (SDE) to model electricity prices has focused on daily average prices. To extend stochastic price generation methods to hourly or sub-hourly pricing, we address several weaknesses in the state-of-the-art: (1) we replace the mean-reversion component of the SDE with an ARIMA process that is better able to characterize the daily and weekly trends; (2) we extend the price-spike, or jump process to account for conditional probabilities of price spikes occurring in consecutive time steps by replacing the traditional Poisson process for modeling jumps with a generalized point process model inspired by brain neuron models; and (3) we replace the traditional method of estimating spike intensity with empirical variance with a Markov process based on observed price spike intensity transitions. The method is demonstrated with electricity prices from the US ERCOT market and a use-case example is provided for bidding an energy storage unit into the day-ahead and real-time energy markets of ERCOT using stochastic optimization methods. Results show that the the synthetic price model out performs a (naive) persistence forecast model by resulting in 24% to 47% more in profits over 168 simulated days.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Multiscale Electricity Modeling for Evaluating Carbon Capture and Sequestration Technologies (Final Report)

Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technologies that can operate with a high degree of operating flexibility could provide necessary electric grid flexibility in a system with high shares of variable renewables. This project examines the deployment and dispatch potential of twelve unique flexible CCS (FLECCS) technologies that encompass post-combustion carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture designs, concepts using a storage media to enable energy arbitrage, and hybrid processes that integrate CCS with direct air capture (DAC) for flexibility with net zero or negative CO 2 emissions. FLECCS technology potential is explored with a multi-model, multi-scale framework including the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) electric sector capacity expansion model (CEM) and the PLEXOS production cost model (PCM). Innovative methods were developed to represent FLECCS technology operating modes, performance, and cost in the two models. ReEDS was then used to simulate nine scenarios for each FLECCS technology, three CO 2 emissions price futures reaching $\$$150, $\$$225, and $\$$300/tCO 2 in 2050; and three scenarios for FLECCS technology deployment favorability relative to competing technologies. For each CO 2 price and reference FLECCS favorability, the 2050 infrastructures from ReEDS model are downscaled and implemented in PLEXOS to examine hourly dispatch under detailed operational constraints that are not included in ReEDS. FLECCS technologies exhibited a wide range of deployment potential ranging from none to several hundred gigawatts of capacity, with outcomes highly sensitive to input cost and performance parameters that are inherently highly uncertain. When deployed, FLECCS tended to displace a combination of wind, solar, and natural gas-based technologies rather than supporting increased renewable deployment. As a result, CO 2 emissions reductions facilitated by FLECCS deployment tended to come with higher overall system costs and electricity prices. When economically competitive, FLECCS technologies can contribute significant flexible generation and firm capacity to the grid, but continued technology development and an expanded analytical scope are necessary to fully understand FLECCS deployment potential its impact on the electric power sector. Follow-on analysis incorporating captured CO 2 tax credit value from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and other potential policy scenarios could be particularly valuable, as this policy can substantially change the relative competitiveness of FLECCS technologies.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Fundamental studies of thermal and electrical transport in microporous metal-organic frameworks

In this work, we established porous metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) as designer conductors of electrons and ions relevant to fundamental research and technological applications. MOFs are porous, crystalline materials composed of organic linkers and inorganic nodes. While most MOFs are insulating with respect to ionic and electronic charge carriers, a number of exceptions have been reported in recent years. Electrically conductive MOFs are highly attractive for applications including electrical energy storage, chemiresistive sensing, and optoelectronics because of their high surface areas and tunable chemical properties. Ion-conducting MOFs are desirable for the synthetically tunable size, shape, and polarity of their pore environments, allowing for the tailored development of solid state electrolytes for metal-ion batteries. We developed systematic strategies for the design of MOFs that conduct ions and electrons. For each objective, we leveraged the versatile chemistry of these materials to obtain frameworks with targeted properties towards electronic or ionic charge carriers. We studied the factors that govern electrical transport in MOFs in order to gain fundamental knowledge of this emerging class of materials. We took several approaches to tackle this problem from multiple angles. Namely, we synthesized and characterized new frameworks, investigated post-synthetic modifications to enhance conductivity, and correlated theory and experiment to uncover new mechanistic findings. These results, which put forth new design principles for conductive MOFs, move the field toward one of the DOE Basic Energy Sciences Grand Challenges: to “design and perfect atom- and energy-efficient synthesis of revolutionary new forms of matter with tailored properties.” In addition to investigating the movement of electrons in MOFs, we also studied the movement of other charged species in MOFs, such as protons, lithium, and magnesium. Proton-conducting frameworks could be appealing materials for solid state electrolytes in fuel cells. In addition, they contain crystallographically defined proton-conducting channels, in contrast with state-of-the-art polymer membranes such as Nafion, which are amorphous. Controlling pore size and polarity in MOFs can thus shed light on proton and other ion transport mechanisms, ultimately enabling the design of more advanced electrolyte materials and potentially novel electrical energy storage materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electrically enhanced thermochemical cycles for hydrogen generation

In two-step metal-oxide (MO) solar thermochemical cycles, high temperature solar thermal energy is first converted to chemical energy in the form of a reduced MO. The reduced MO is then reoxidized in a second step with steam (or carbon dioxide) to produce hydrogen (or carbon monoxide) at a lower temperature. Solar thermochemical cycles of this type circumvent heat-to-electrical conversion required for electrochemical water splitting and promise high efficiencies. However, significant challenges remain to implementation. Ultra-high temperatures and efficiency-sapping low per-cycle conversion stand out as particularly difficult hurdles. Hybrid approaches utilizing both thermal and electrical energy provide some of the advantages of each, and can facilitate lower temperature operation and offer better per-pass utilization than thermochemical alone. However, early concepts for implementing the thermo-electrochemical approach introduced substantial new challenges including difficult separations, corrosive environments, and energy losses from large temperature swings and phase changes. We are currently investigating two different options for implementation. In the first, a MO that reduces at lower temperature is selected. As the reduced MO lacks the full thermodynamic driving force to effectively split water, the reaction is driven forward by an electrically-assisted proton-conducting membrane that separates and recovers hydrogen as it is produced. This approach produces a pure hydrogen stream, is mechanically simple, and has unique thermodynamic advantages. The second option seeks to more directly couple the electrical boost to the solid MO to drive either the reduction or oxidation step, or both, through the utilization of layered MO materials and advanced reactors. This approach could be applied to both water and carbon dioxide splitting. The results of process modeling and optimization will be presented, and progress towards demonstrating the concepts at the laboratory scale will be discussed.

08 HYDROGEN↗

AMPPED LDRD: Advanced Models of the Physics & Phenomena of Electrical Discharge.

This Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project aimed at addressing an unmet need for physics-based models that enable prediction of electrical breakdown in the presence of high voltage gradients and real-world environments. This project focused on understanding coupled plasma-surface feedback phenomena critical to electrical discharge processes and design of breakdown voltages, breakdown times, and breakdown paths. New secondary electron emission and coupled plasma-surface measurement methods and models were developed. Highly reproducible discharge experiments were developed to provide current-voltage data as a function of time, and methods were developed to condition electrodes for predictable discharge. To assess plasma-surface feedback mechanisms, new surface physics capabilities, including measurement systems for local and global photoemission yield and ion-induced secondary electron emission yield were developed. Discharge models were developed to incorporate these yields for predicting discharge behavior to understand influence of surface physics on discharge current and time evolution, and methods to accelerate these simulations were demonstrated. A key finding was that the initiation process of a non-vacuum discharge appears highly dependent on photoemission at the cathode. Advanced diagnostics were developed, including spatial electrical field imaging, spectroscopy of plasmas, and high-speed imaging of discharge event s in metal and dielectric environments. These diagnostics and improved electrical models are a step toward enabling quantitative design margins, assurance of safety architectures, and implementation of novel materials and technologies for wide ranging energy and electronics applications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Physical Mechanisms and Electric-Bias Control of Phase Transitions in Quasi-2D Charge-Density-Wave Quantum Materials

The goals of this fundamental science project, aimed at understanding the physical mechanisms and developing methods for electric-bias control of phase transitions in quasi-2D CDW materials, have been achieved. We focused on 1T-TaS2, one of the most interesting materials of this type, and demonstrated electrical gating of the I-V characteristics and hysteresis in this material. The demonstration of electrical gating of CDW phases in quasi-2D material was performed at RT. We have conducted experiments to separate the electric-field CDW switching from Joule heating-induced switching. This was an important development for 2D CDW materials. The project has led to a better understanding of the physical mechanisms behind the phase transitions and CDW depinning in quasi-2D van der Waals materials. We established that the CDW domain depinning in 1T-TaS2 does not lead to a strong increase in the collective current and accompanying narrow-band noise. We developed a technique that utilized the low-frequency noise measurements in such materials for monitoring the CDW phase transitions. In the experiments where 1T-TaS2 flakes were used in polymeric matrices, we verified the robustness of the phase transitions between the nearly commensurate and incommensurate CDW phases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Integration of equitable resilience metrics into climate-informed electric utility planning processes: phase one

Working together, Sandia National Laboratories, Southern California Edison (SCE) - an Investor-Owned Utility (IOU) - and the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) are studying how electric utilities can use equity and resilience metrics to help inform the prioritization and sequencing of resilience-driven infrastructure investments. To this end, this project evaluated “Social Burden,” an equitable resilience metric which measures the potential impact of disruptions in access to non-electric critical services on people and estimates community resilience to these disruptions. The Social Burden was expanded to incorporate SCE’s existing equity metric and applied to evaluate the potential impacts from a range of climate-informed hypothetical outage scenarios developed under SCE’s 2022 Climate Adaptation Vulnerability Assessment. One baseline (“blue-sky”) state and eight different outage scenarios were evaluated to measure the potential impacts of the outages on non-electric infrastructure, critical services, and people. Key findings include: 1) the Social Burden framework is flexible enough to adapt to and build upon existing utility equity and/or resilience metrics, 2) Social Burden results highlight the high degree of non-electric service redundancy within the SCE service area with most (6/8) hypothetical outage scenarios predicted to increase people’s Social Burden by less than 10%; however, 3) access to critical services and people’s ability to obtain them is unequal and spatially clustered, meaning that there are some hypothetical outage scenarios (2/8) that will exert a higher toll on communities directly experiencing the outage as well as some nearby communities with pre-existing vulnerabilities. The report concludes with recommendations for potential use cases of the expanded Social Burden metric and identifies priority follow-on work. Potential use cases may include incorporating equity into IOU’s prioritization of climate resilience investments. Additionally, Social Burden analysis may provide additional data and insights to augment grid planning, potentially by identifying additional needs and/or prioritizing previously identified needs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗