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At least 685 records · Page 38

A new kinetic model for time-dependent polar plasma outflow - Initial results

A new time-dependent kinetic plasma outflow model has been developed, which uses a kinetic description of the parallel motions of the ion guiding centers, while assuming the electrons are a massless neutralizing fluid. The ions, O(+) and H(+) are followed as individual particles which respond to the gravitational, magnetic mirror and ambipolar electric forces as they move in one dimension along a magnetic flux tube. Results are presented for a case where the electron temperature in the flux tube is raised from a value near the ion temperature (3000 K) to a value of 10,000 K.

Wilson, G. R.↗

A time-dependent ice sheet model - Preliminary results

A numerical model of ice sheet flow is developed, and preliminary results are described. This model includes vertical resolution of temperature, stress, and strain rate which represents a considerable improvement over previous vertically averaged ice sheet models. The model follows the flow of ice along a flow line within an ice sheet drainage basin. Longitudinal stresses and basal sliding are included. Basal sliding is dependent on the base shear stress and a specified distribution of basal water pressure. The numerical methods used to solve the coupled set of stress and velocity equations for the static and time-evolutionary cases are discussed. A steady state profile simulating an ice stream is calculated for a particular set of input parameters, and changes in the profile are examined for different choices of parameters. Preliminary studies of response behavior are completed using a simplified ice sheet geometry with a fixed terminus or grounding line. The results of these studies illustrate ice sheet thinning in response to a lowered sea level or to a reduction in the extent of ice rises (or pinning points) within ice shelves.

Bindschadler, R. A.↗

Phase-field modeling of rate-dependent fluid-driven fracture initiation and propagation

The rate-dependent behavior associated with deformation and fracturing of materials, such as natural rocks, poses significant challenges for modeling. In addition to the complications of the viscoelastic response, the speed of fracture propagation reflects micromechanical mechanisms in the fracture process zone(FPZ). In order to represent these complicated behaviors, a thermodynamically consistent, rate-dependent fracture model is required. Based on rigorous thermodynamic principles, we derive a rate-dependent phase-field mechanical model coupled with single-phase fluid flow in both the matrix and the fracture. The model is guaranteed to satisfy energy conservation during fracture propagation. Here, the system of equations is solved using the introduced solution procedure and a novel preconditioner that accounts for the complex fluid-structure interaction. The proposed phase-field model is tested against several benchmark problems on solid-fluid coupling, fluid-driven fracture propagation and rate-dependent viscoelastic deformation. The model serves as a strong basis for investigating rate-dependent fracturing experiments and for making predictions of material behaviors under new conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Enzymatic cleavage of model lignin dimers depends on pH, enzyme, and bond type

Lignin is composed of phenylpropanoid monomers linked by ether and carbon-carbon bonds to form a complex heterogeneous structure. Bond-specific studies of lignin-modifying enzymes (LMEs; e.g., laccases and peroxidases) are limited by the polymerization of model lignin substrates and repolymerization of cleavage products. Here we present a high throughput platform to screen LME activities on four tagged model lignin compounds that represent the β-O-4’, β-β’, 5–5’, and 4-O-5’ linkages in lignin. We utilized nanostructure-initiator mass spectrometry (NIMS) and model lignin compounds with tags containing perfluorinated and cationic moieties, which effectively limit polymerization and condensation of the substrates and their degrading products. Sub-microliter sample droplets were printed on the NIMS chip with a novel robotics method. This rapid platform enabled characterization of LMEs across a range of pH 3–10 and relative quantification of modified (typically oxidized), cleaved, and polymerized products. All tested enzymes oxidized the four substrates and cleaved the β-O-4’ and β-β’ substrates to monomeric products. We discovered that the active pH range depended on both the substrate and the enzyme type. This has important applications for biomass conversion to biofuels and bioproducts, where the relative percentages of different bond types in lignin varies depending on feedstock and chemical pretreatment methods.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Surrogate oracles, generalized dependency and simpler models

Software reliability models require the sequence of interfailure times from the debugging process as input. It was previously illustrated that using data from replicated debugging could greatly improve reliability predictions. However, inexpensive replication of the debugging process requires the existence of a cheap, fast error detector. Laboratory experiments can be designed around a gold version which is used as an oracle or around an n-version error detector. Unfortunately, software developers can not be expected to have an oracle or to bear the expense of n-versions. A generic technique is being investigated for approximating replicated data by using the partially debugged software as a difference detector. It is believed that the failure rate of each fault has significant dependence on the presence or absence of other faults. Thus, in order to discuss a failure rate for a known fault, the presence or absence of each of the other known faults needs to be specified. Also, in simpler models which use shorter input sequences without sacrificing accuracy are of interest. In fact, a possible gain in performance is conjectured. To investigate these propositions, NASA computers running LIC (RTI) versions are used to generate data. This data will be used to label the debugging graph associated with each version. These labeled graphs will be used to test the utility of a surrogate oracle, to analyze the dependent nature of fault failure rates and to explore the feasibility of reliability models which use the data of only the most recent failures.

Wilson, Larry↗

A time-dependent dusty gas dynamic model of axisymmetric cometary jets

The present time-dependent, axisymmetric dusty gas dynamical model of inner cometary atmospheres solves the coupled and time-dependent equations of continuity, momentum, and energy for a gas-dust mixture between the surface of the nucleus and 100 km, using an axisymmetric 40 x 40 grid structure. A novel numerical method employing a second-order accurate Godunov-type scheme with dimensional splitting is used to solve the time-dependent pde system. It is established that a subsolar dust spike not predicted by previous calculations is generated by narrow axisymmetric jets, together with a jet cone whose opening angle depends on the jet length.

Korosmezey, A.↗

A Component-Level Model of Automatic Dependent Surveillance - Broadcast (ADS-B)

Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B) is being employed in numerous peer-to-peer initiatives attempting to expand the capacity of the National Airspace System (NAS) or enable mixed operations of manned and unmanned vehicles. Safety assessments of these initiatives rely, in part, on modeling the accuracy of ADS-B in reporting the position and direction of an ownship and surrounding traffic. Frequently, these initiatives utilize a position uncertainty model that applies a reported ADS-B estimation position uncertainty (EPU) value to a Rayleigh distribution and uses a Gauss-Markov random walk to add error to the ADS-B output of a vehicle. This model of ADS-B state error is easy to implement and apply to numerous problems. However, it has a couple of draw-backs. First, the ADS-B state errors are equally probable in all directions. This is a good assumption in situations where aircraft maneuvering is not constrained. However, in situations where the aircraft maneuvering is constrained such as landing, the error distribution is likely to exhibit directionality and the non-directional model may skew results especially when assessing very low probabilities (e.g., 10(exp -9)) of catastrophic encounters. Second, the model does not account for processing latency in the receiving aircraft. NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) recently examined the feasibility of decreasing the spacing of aircraft on parallel approaches to runways separated by as little as 700 feet. For Monte-Carlo analysis using a high-fidelity simulation of a large transport, LaRC started with a Gauss-Markov model of ADS-B error but then developed a component level model of ADS-B error to increase the fidelity of results.

Madden, Michael M.↗

A model for predicting damage dependent damping in laminated composites

A constitutive model has been developed for predicting the dynamic properties of composite beams which accounts for the influence of microstructural damage. The model assumes the damage state to be fixed. The model can account for both the damping increase and stiffness loss due to microstructural damage. Damage dependent material constants obtained from a baseline data set can be used to predict damping changes for several composite layups. The validity of the model has been verified by comparing the experimental results to model predictions for crossply laminates with a variety of stacking sequences.

Kalyanasundaram, S.↗

Dynamical responses of constrained pipe conveying fluids and its dependence on the modeling of the contact force

Accurately modeling the impact force used in the analysis of loosely constrained cantilevered pipes conveying fluid is imperative. If little information is known of the motion-limiting constraints used in experiments, the analysis of the system may yield inaccurate predictions. Here in this work, multiple forcing representations of the impact force are defined and analyzed for a cantilevered pipe that conveys fluid. Depending on the representation of the impact force, the dynamics of the pipe can vary greatly when only the stiffness of the constraints is known from experiments. Three gap sizes of the constraints are analyzed, and the representation of the impact force used to analyze the system is found to significantly affect the response of the pipe at each gap size. An investigation on the effects of the vibro-impact force representation is performed through using basin of attraction analysis and nonlinear characterization of the system’s response.

42 ENGINEERING↗

'Self-consistent' production of ion conics on return current region auroral field lines - A time-dependent, semi-kinetic model

We describe initial results from a time-dependent, semi-kinetic model of plasma outflow incorporating wave-particle interactions along current-carrying auroral field lines. Electrostatic waves are generated by the current driven ion cyclotron instability (CDICI), causing perpendicular velocity diffusion of ions plus electron heating via anomalous resistivity when and where the relative drift between electrons and ions exceeds certain critical velocities. Using the local bulk parameters we calculate these critical velocities, and so are able to self-consistently switch on and off the heating of the various particle species. Due to the dependence of these critical velocities on the bulk parameters of the species the heating effects exhibit quite complex spatial and temporal variations. A wide range of ion distribution functions are observed in these simulations, including conics with energies of a few electron volts and 'ring' distributions. The rings are seen to be a natural result of transverse heating and velocity filter effects and do not require coherent acceleration processes. We also observe the formation of a density depletion in hydrogen and enhanced oxygen densities at high altitudes.

Brown, David G.↗

The Role of Sea Ice in 2 x CO2 Climate Model Sensitivity: Hemispheric Dependencies - Part 2

How sensitive are doubled CO2 simulations to GCM control-run sea ice thickness and extent? This issue is examined in a series of 10 control-run simulations with different sea ice and corresponding doubled CO2 simulations. Results show that with increased control-run sea ice coverage in the Southern Hemisphere, temperature sensitivity with climate change is enhanced, while there is little effect on temperature sensitivity of (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice thickness. In the Northern Hemisphere the situation is reversed: sea ice thickness is the key parameter, while (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice coverage are of less importance. In both cases, the quantity of sea ice that can be removed in the warmer climate is the determining factor. Overall, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage change had a larger impact on global temperature, because Northern Hemisphere sea ice was sufficiently thick to limit its response to doubled CO2, and sea ice changes generally occurred at higher latitudes, reducing the sea ice-albedo feedback. In both these experiments and earlier ones in which sea ice was not allowed to change, the model displayed a sensitivity of -0.02 C global warming per percent change in Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage.

Rind, D.↗

Time-dependent collisional-radiative model for capillary discharge plasmas

A time-dependent, zero-dimensional collisional-radiative model has been developed to study capillary discharge plasmas in view of possibilities for obtaining population inversion leading to laser action in the extreme ultraviolet and soft x-ray spectral region, by amplifying the Balmer-alpha (H-alpha) line of different hydrogenlike ions with nuclear charges from Z = 3 to Z = 6. The model is described in detail, and results for the case of a carbon plasma are presented. Limitations of the model are discussed and comparison is made between our calculations and recent experimental results.

Pockl, M.↗

Determining Catalytically Relevant Surfaces through Coverage-Dependent Lattice Gas Models: Carbon Adsorption on Fe(100)

Here, we have quantified the C–C lateral interactions on Fe(100) using a density functional theory (DFT)-parameterized lattice gas cluster expansion (LG CE) model trained using 265 unique configurations spanning a C coverage from 0 to 1 monolayer (ML). Our LG CE model shows high predictive accuracy with a leave-multiple-out cross-validation score of 10.2 and 16.6 meV/site for systems with and without the top two layers of Fe atoms fixed, respectively. Electronic ground-state structures identified from the lattice gas model (including the structures at 0 and 1 monolayers) were further used to generate ab initio phase diagrams under a range of temperatures and pressures. At low temperatures (<400 K), we found that the 1.0 monolayer structure is dominant, whereas at higher temperatures (>500 K), the 0.88 ML structure is most likely to form on the Fe surface. Interestingly, our model identified a c (2 × 2) ordered structure at 1/2 ML, which correlates well with previous DFT studies for carbon adsorption on iron surfaces and matches with the experimentally observed low-energy electron diffraction structure. Overall, the DFT-parameterized energies for the C/Fe system including effects of coverage and configurational space can further help in developing multiscale models for various heterogeneous reactions involving C–C and C–Fe interactions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Optimizing Prediction Error for Time-dependent Solar Radiation Modeling

Numerical weather forecasting models and statistical methods have found wide use to help power companies estimate renewable output, but better methods are needed, particularly for extended forecasts. Machine learning approaches have been used here as well, but so far a major limitation is the ability to also predict the corresponding uncertainty in a forecast. Here we show that both can be done and demonstrate this using a long-term-short memory neural network where the difference between predicted and ground truth data are used to train a model for the corresponding forecast uncertainties.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

General-Purpose Bayesian Tensor Learning With Automatic Rank Determination and Uncertainty Quantification

A major challenge in many machine learning tasks is that the model expressive power depends on model size. Low-rank tensor methods are an efficient tool for handling the curse of dimensionality in many large-scale machine learning models. The major challenges in training a tensor learning model include how to process the high-volume data, how to determine the tensor rank automatically, and how to estimate the uncertainty of the results. While existing tensor learning focuses on a specific task, this paper proposes a generic Bayesian framework that can be employed to solve a broad class of tensor learning problems such as tensor completion, tensor regression, and tensorized neural networks. We develop a low-rank tensor prior for automatic rank determination in nonlinear problems. Our method is implemented with both stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC) and Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD). We compare the automatic rank determination and uncertainty quantification of these two solvers. We demonstrate that our proposed method can determine the tensor rank automatically and can quantify the uncertainty of the obtained results. We validate our framework on tensor completion tasks and tensorized neural network training tasks.

Bayesian inference↗