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NASA NTRS1992

Remnants of the quasars

Assuming a standard black hole accretion model for quasars, we estimate the present total mass density, rho sub BH, of quasar remnants using recent observations of quasar populations and of typical quasar spectra over a wide wavelength range. We find rho sub BH of greater than about (1.4-2.2) x 10 exp 5 solar masses/cu Mpc for a quasar radiative efficiency of 0.1. This is an upward revision by a factor of 3.0-4.6 from a decade-old estimate by Soltan (1982). A typical bright galaxy is thus expected to contain a central black hole of greater than about 10 exp 7/cu h solar masses. Furthermore, we expect that greater than about 50 percent of rho sub BH is contributed by objects of mass greater than about 10 exp 8/sq h solar masses and greater than about 10 percent by those more massive than about 6 x 10 exp 8/sq h solar masses.

Chokshi, Arati↗

NASA NTRS2018

The NASA Eulerian Snow on Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) v1.0: initial model development and analysis

The NASA Eulerian Snow On Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) is a new, open-source snow budget model that is currentlyconfigured to produce daily estimates of the depth and density of snow on sea ice across the Arctic Ocean throughthe accumulation season. NESOSIM has been developed in a three-dimensional Eulerian framework and includes two(vertical) snow layers and several simple parameterizations (accumulation, wind packing, advection_divergence, blowingsnow lost to leads) to represent key sources and sinks of snow on sea ice. The model is forced with daily inputs of snowfall and near-surface winds (from reanalyses), sea ice concentration (from satellite passive microwave data) and sea ice drift (from satellite feature tracking) during the accumulation season (August through April). In this study, we present the NESOSIM formulation, calibration efforts, sensitivity studies and validation efforts across an Arctic Ocean domain (100 km horizontal resolution). The simulated snow depth and density are calibrated with in situ data collected on drifting ice stations during the 1980s. NESOSIM shows strong agreement with the in situ seasonal cycles of snow depth and density, and shows good (moderate) agreement with the regional snow depth (density) distributions. NESOSIM is run for a contemporary period (2000 to 2015), with the results showing strong sensitivity to the reanalysis derived snowfall forcing data, with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) and the Japanese Meteorological Agency 55-year reanalysis (JRA-55) forced snow depths generally higher than ERA-Interim,and the Arctic System Reanalysis (ASR) generally lower. We also generate and force NESOSIM with a consensus "median" daily snowfall dataset from these reanalyses.The results are compared against snow depth estimates derived from NASA's Operation IceBridge (OIB) snow radar data from 2009 to 2015, showing moderate_strong correlations and root mean squared errors of 10 cm depending on the OIB snow depth product analyzed, similar to the comparisons between OIB snow depths and the commonly used modified Warren snow depth climatology. Potential improvements to this initial NESOSIM formulation are discussed in the hopes of improving the accuracy and reliability of these simulated snow depths and densities.

Petty, Alek A.↗

NASA NTRS1992

Asteroid orbital error analysis: Theory and application

We present a rigorous Bayesian theory for asteroid orbital error estimation in which the probability density of the orbital elements is derived from the noise statistics of the observations. For Gaussian noise in a linearized approximation the probability density is also Gaussian, and the errors of the orbital elements at a given epoch are fully described by the covariance matrix. The law of error propagation can then be applied to calculate past and future positional uncertainty ellipsoids (Cappellari et al. 1976, Yeomans et al. 1987, Whipple et al. 1991). To our knowledge, this is the first time a Bayesian approach has been formulated for orbital element estimation. In contrast to the classical Fisherian school of statistics, the Bayesian school allows a priori information to be formally present in the final estimation. However, Bayesian estimation does give the same results as Fisherian estimation when no priori information is assumed (Lehtinen 1988, and reference therein).

Muinonen, K.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Observations of C3H2 (2(12) - 1(01)) toward the Sagittarius A molecular cloud

We have mapped the C3H2 2(12)-1(01) transition line toward the Sgr A molecular cloud on a 1' grid spacing and derived C3H2 column densities of 3 approximately 7 x 10(14) cm-2 for molecular clouds of Sgr A. The fractional abundances of C3H2 relative to H2 are obtained to be 3 approximately 6 x 10(-9), which are slightly lower than that for the cold dark cloud TMC-1 but are enhanced by factors of 5-60 compared to those for Sgr B2 and the Orion extended ridge. We also estimate from the C3H2 column densities total masses of approximately 10(6) M(solar) for two clouds (M - 0.13-0.08 and M - 0.02-0.07), which are thought to be close to the virial equilibrium. We suggest that the large abundance of C3H2 in Sgr A may be partly due to the activities of the Galactic center.

Non-NASA Center↗

NASA NTRS1980

Ion thruster plume effects on spacecraft surfaces

A charge-exchange plasma, generated by an ion thruster, is capable of flowing upstream from the ion thruster and therefore represents a source of contamination to a spacecraft. An analytical model of the charge-exchange plasma density around a spacecraft is used to estimate the contamination which various spacecraft materials may be exposed to. Measurements of plasma density around an ion thruster are compared to this model. Results of experimental studies regarding the effects on various spacecraft materials' properties due to exposure to expected mercury contamination levels are presented.

Carruth, M. R., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Ion thruster plume effects on spacecraft surfaces

A charge-exchange plasma, generated by an ion thruster, is capable of flowing upstream from the ion thruster and therefore represents a source of contamination to a spacecraft. An analytical model of the charge-exchange plasma density around a spacecraft was used to estimate the contamination which various spacecraft materials may be exposed to. Measurements of plasma density around an ion thruster were compared to this model. Results of experimental studied regarding the effects on various spacecraft materials' properties due to exposure to expected mercury contamination levels are presented.

Carruth, M. R., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1988

The mean density and two-point correlation function for the CfA redshift survey slices

The effect of large-scale inhomogeneities on the determination of the mean number density and the two-point spatial correlation function were investigated for two complete slices of the extension of the Center for Astrophysics (CfA) redshift survey (de Lapparent et al., 1986). It was found that the mean galaxy number density for the two strips is uncertain by 25 percent, more so than previously estimated. The large uncertainty in the mean density introduces substantial uncertainty in the determination of the two-point correlation function, particularly at large scale; thus, for the 12-deg slice of the CfA redshift survey, the amplitude of the correlation function at intermediate scales is uncertain by a factor of 2. The large uncertainties in the correlation functions might reflect the lack of a fair sample.

De Lapparent, Valerie↗

NASA NTRS1989

Problems in determining the surface density of the Galactic disk

A new method is presented for determining the local surface density of the Galactic disk from distance and velocity measurements of stars toward the Galactic poles. The procedure is fully three-dimensional, approximating the Galactic potential by a potential of Staeckel form and using the analytic third integral to treat the tilt and the change of shape of the velocity ellipsoid consistently. Applying the procedure to artificial data superficially resembling the K dwarf sample of Kuijken and Gilmore (1988, 1989), it is shown that the current best estimates of local disk surface density are uncertain by at least 30 percent. Of this, about 25 percent is due to the size of the velocity sample, about 15 percent comes from uncertainties in the rotation curve and the solar galactocentric distance, and about 10 percent from ignorance of the shape of the velocity distribution above z = 1 kpc, the errors adding in quadrature. Increasing the sample size by a factor of 3 will reduce the error to 20 percent. To achieve 10 percent accuracy, observations will be needed along other lines of sight to constrain the shape of the velocity ellipsoid.

Statler, Thomas S.↗

NASA NTRS2015

Titan Density Reconstruction Using Radiometric and Cassini Attitude Control Flight Data

This paper compares three different methods of Titan atmospheric density reconstruction for the Titan 87 Cassini flyby. T87 was a unique flyby that provided independent Doppler radiometric measurements on the ground throughout the flyby including at Titan closest approach. At the same time, the onboard accelerometer provided an independent estimate of atmospheric drag force and density during the flyby. These results are compared with the normal method of reconstructing atmospheric density using thruster on-time and angular momentum accumulation. Differences between the estimates are analyzed and a possible explanation for the differences is evaluated.

Andrade, Luis G., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Ammonia Observations of NGC 6334 I(N)

Coincident with the far-infrared source NGC 6334 I(N) and water maser source E is a massive dense cloud which has the most intense ammonia (1, 1) emission of any known interstellar cloud. We have mapped the (3, 3) emission and find the cloud is extended 0.8 pc in the direction parallel to the Galactic plane, and 0.5 pc perpendicular to it. It has a velocity gradient of 1 km/s.pc perpendicular to the Galactic plane. The gas kinetic temperature is about 30 K and the density is greater than 10(exp 6)/cc. The mass of the cloud is about 3000 solar mass, 3 times greater than previously estimated. The para-ammonia column density is 6 - 8 x 10(exp 15)/sq cm. An ammonia abundance of 0.5 - 1.5 x 10(exp -8) is inferred, where the larger number assumes an early time ortho/para ratio. This suggests either a cloud age of less than approximately 10(exp 6) yr, or substantial depletion of ammonia.

Kuiper, T. B. H.↗

NASA NTRS1994

An Ab Initio Study of CuCO

Modified coupled-pair functional (MCPF) calculations and coupled cluster singles and doubles calculations, which include a perturbational estimate of the connected triples [CCSD(T)], yield a bent structure for CuCO, thus, supporting the prediction of a nonlinear structure based on density functional (DF) calculations. Our best estimate for the binding energy is 4.9 +/- 1.4 kcal/mol; this is in better agreement with experiment (6.0 +/- 1.2 kcal/mol) than the DF approach which yields a value (19.6 kcal/mol) significantly larger than experiment.

Bauschlicher, Charles W., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1988

An X-ray and radio study of steep-spectrum radio soruces. I - Four fields from the Clark Lake Observatory 26 MHz survey

A multifrequency study of fields containing steep-spectrum radio sources is presented. New spectral and spatial data are used to determine the locations and optical identifications of steep-spectrum sources which previously had either poor positions or questionable correspondence to known sources. X-ray images from the Einstein Observatory provide estimates of the extent, temperature, density, and thermal pressure of hot gas associated with galaxies and clusters of galaxies. From the equations relating synchrotron emission to inverse Compton scattering of 3 K background photons, lower limits to the average magnetic field strength in the source are derived. For the resolved radio sources of known distance, the minimum nonthermal pressure and the corresponding magnetic field strength are also calculated. For the four fields discussed in this paper, it is found that three out of five steep-spectrum sources are embedded in a cluster atmosphere and two are unidentified. Except for unresolved radio structures associated with cores of galaxies, the estimated thermal pressure is sufficient to confine the radio sources.

Harris, D. E.↗

NASA NTRS1996

Infrared Observations of G0.18-0.04

The Galactic Center H(II) region, G0.18-0.04, the 'Sickle', is located where the nonthermal 'Arc' crosses the Galactic plane. The Sickle appears to be the ionized edge of a dense molecular cloud. The source of ionization has been ascribed to both the interaction of the cloud with the magnetic field of the Arc and to the hot stars in the adjacent cluster, AFGL 2004, also known as the 'Quintuplet Cluster'. This paper addresses the relative locations of the stars, the ionized and molecular gas, and the sources of gas excitation and dust heating. Using NASA's Kuiper Airborne Observatory, we have observed the far infrared forbidden lines of [S(III)] 18.7 and 33.5 micrometers, [Si(II)] 34.8 micrometers, [Ne(III)] 36.0 micrometers, [O(III)] 51.8 and 88.4 micrometers, [N(III)] 57.3 micrometers, [O(II)] 63.2 and 146 micrometers, [C(II)] 158 micrometers, and [N(II)] 205 micrometers and the adjacent continua at 11 positions around G0.18-0.04, including G0.15-0.05, the 'Pistol', in a beamsize of 40 - 60 arcsec. The electron density, the ionic abundances, and the ionization structure of the H(II) region are estimated from the doubly ionized line fluxes. The density and radiation field found in the photodissociation region (PDR) between the H(II) region and the molecular cloud are estimated from the [C(II)] and [O(I)] line fluxes and the far-infrared continuum. We compare the ionization structure and the PDR properties to shell models of H(II) regions with varying distances from their exciting stars. The agreement of observations and models indicates that the hot stars of AFGL 2004 are the likely source of ionization of the Sickle. Additional hot stars are necessary to ionize the more outlying positions. However, because of its low ionization and high PDR radiation field, the Pistol cannot be as close to AFGL 2004 as indicated by its close proximity on the sky. Instead, the Pistol is probably ionized by the luminous blue variable candidate, Pistol Source A. We estimated the extinction to the region from the distribution of the J, H, and K' magnitudes of the stars in the field that we measured from the Anglo-Australian telescope and from the IRAS LRS spectrum of AFGL 2004. The extinction is fairly uniform, with no enhancement from the molecular cloud. The strength of Brackett gamma, the 19-micrometer lines and continuum, and the IRAS 25-micrometer continuum are all consistent with the absence of a dense, foreground molecular cloud. We conclude that the H(II) region is on the near side of the dense cloud.

Simpson, Janet P.↗

NASA NTRS1978

The velocity distribution of interstellar gas observed in strong UV absorption lines

Observations of three strong interstellar UV absorption lines of N I (1199 A), N II (1083 A), and Si III (1206 A) in 47 stars of widely varying distance and a variety of spectral types are analyzed to obtain a velocity distribution function for the interstellar gas. A technique based on the maximum and minimum velocities observed along a line of sight is adopted because of heavy line blending, and results are discussed for both power-law and exponential distribution functions. The expected distribution of radiative-phase supernova remnants (SNRs) in the interstellar medium is calculated as a function of SNR birthrate and of the interstellar density in which they evolve. The results are combined with observed distance estimates, and it is shown that an interstellar density in excess of 0.1 per cu cm would be required to keep the SNRs sufficiently confined so that their cross sections are consistent with the observed number of components. The alternative possibility is considered that SNRs do not enter the radiative phase before escaping from the Galaxy or colliding with neighboring remnants.

Cowie, L. L.↗

NASA NTRS1994

An error covariance model for sea surface topography and velocity derived from TOPEX/POSEIDON altimetry

In order to facilitate the use of satellite-derived sea surface topography and velocity oceanographic models, methodology is presented for deriving the total error covariance and its geographic distribution from TOPEX/POSEIDON measurements. The model is formulated using a parametric model fit to the altimeter range observations. The topography and velocity modeled with spherical harmonic expansions whose coefficients are found through optimal adjustment to the altimeter range residuals using Bayesian statistics. All other parameters, including the orbit, geoid, surface models, and range corrections are provided as unadjusted parameters. The maximum likelihood estimates and errors are derived from the probability density function of the altimeter range residuals conditioned with a priori information. Estimates of model errors for the unadjusted parameters are obtained from the TOPEX/POSEIDON postlaunch verification results and the error covariances for the orbit and the geoid, except for the ocean tides. The error in the ocean tides is modeled, first, as the difference between two global tide models and, second, as the correction to the present tide model, the correction derived from the TOPEX/POSEIDON data. A formal error covariance propagation scheme is used to derive the total error. Our global total error estimate for the TOPEX/POSEIDON topography relative to the geoid for one 10-day period is found tio be 11 cm RMS. When the error in the geoid is removed, thereby providing an estimate of the time dependent error, the uncertainty in the topography is 3.5 cm root mean square (RMS). This level of accuracy is consistent with direct comparisons of TOPEX/POSEIDON altimeter heights with tide gauge measurements at 28 stations. In addition, the error correlation length scales are derived globally in both east-west and north-south directions, which should prove useful for data assimilation. The largest error correlation length scales are found in the tropics. Errors in the velocity field are smallest in midlatitude regions. For both variables the largest errors caused by uncertainty in the geoid. More accurate representations of the geoid await a dedicated geopotential satellite mission. Substantial improvements in the accuracy of ocean tide models are expected in the very near future from research with TOPEX/POSEIDON data.

Tsaoussi, Lucia S.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Formation Of the Giant Planets By Concurrent Accretion Of Solids And Gas

New numerical simulations of the formation of the giant planets are presented, in which for the first time both the gas and planetesimal accretion rates are calculated in a self-consistent, interactive fashion. The simulations combine three elements: 1) three-body accretion cross-sections of solids onto an isolated planetary embryo, 2) a stellar evolution code for the planet's gaseous envelope, and 3) a planetesimal dissolution code within the envelope, used to evaluate the planet's effective capture radius and the energy deposition profile of accreted material. Major assumptions include: The planet is embedded in a disk of gas and small planetesimals with locally uniform initial surface mass density, and planetesimals are not allowed to migrate into or out of the planet's feeding zone. All simulations are characterized by three major phases. During the first phase, the planet's mass consists primarily of solid material. The planetesimal accretion rate, which dominates that of gas, rapidly increases owing to runaway accretion, then decreases as the planet's feeding zone is depleted. During the second phase, both solid and gas accretion rates are small and nearly independent of time. The third phase, marked by runaway gas accretion, starts when the solid and gas masses are about equal. It is engendered by a strong positive feedback on the gas accretion rates, driven by the rapid contraction of the gaseous envelope and the rapid expansion of the outer boundary, which depends on the planet's total mass. The overall evolutionary time scale is generally determined by the length of the second phase. The actual rates at which the giant planets accreted small planetesimals is probably intermediate between the constant rates assumed in most previous studies and the highly variable rates that we have used. Within the context, of the adopted model of planetesimal accretion, the joint constraints of the time scale for dissipation of the solar nebula and the current high-Z masses of the giant planets lead to estimates of the initial surface density (sigma(sub init)) of planetesimals in the outer region of the solar nebula. The results show sigma(sub init) approx. = 10 g/sq cm near Jupiter's orbit and that sigma(sub init) proportional to alpha(sup -2), where alpha is the distance from the Sun. These values are a factor of 3 - 4 times as high as that of the "minimum mass" solar nebula at Jupiter's distance and a factor of 2 - 3 times as high it Saturn's distance. Our estimates for the formation time of Jupiter and Saturn are 1 - 10 million years while those for Uranus fall in the range of 2 - 16 million years. These estimates follow from the properties of our Solar System and do not necessarily apply to giant planets in other planetary systems.

Pollack, James B.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Effects of Conformal Coat on Tin Whisker Growth

A whisker from a tin plated part was blamed for the loss of a commercial spacecraft in 1998. Although pure tin finishes are prohibited by NASA, tin plated parts, such as hybrids, relays and commercial off the shelf (COTS) parts, are something discovered to have been installed in NASA spacecraft. Invariably, the assumption is that a conformal coat will prevent the growth of, or short circuits caused by, tin whiskers. This study measures the effect a Uralane coating has on the initiation and growth of tin whiskers, on the ability of this coating to prevent a tin whisker from emerging from the coating, and on the ability to prevent shorting. A sample of fourteen brass substrates (1 inch by 4 inches by 1/16 inch) were plated by two separate processes: half of the specimens were 'bright' tin plated directly over the brass substrate and half received a copper flash over the brass substrate prior to 'bright' tin plating. Each specimen was coated on one half of the substrate with three bi-directional sprays of Uralane 5750 to a nominal thickness of 25 to 75 micrometers (1 to 3 mils). Several specimens of both types, Cu and non-Cu flashed, were placed in an oven maintained at 50 C as others' work suggests that this is the optimal temperature for whisker formation. The remaining specimens were maintained at room ambient conditions. The surfaces of each specimen have been regularly inspected using both optical (15 to 400x power) and Scanning Electronic Microscopy (SEM). Many types of growths, including needle-like whiskers, first appeared approximately three months after plating on the non-conformally coated sides of all specimens. At four months, 4 to 5 times more growth sites were observed on the coated side; however, the density of growth sites on the non-conformally coated side has since increased rapidly, and now, at one year, is about the same for both sides. The density of growth sites is estimated at 90/sq mm with 30 percent of the sites growing whiskers (needle-like forms) with the potential to cause short circuit bridging. The average growth rate of the needle-like whiskers on the non-conformally coated areas is about 130 micrometers per year with some outliers reaching 800 micrometers after one year. It is more difficult to make growth measurements under the conformal coat. As yet no whiskers have been observed to penetrate through the coating surface, however, a number of tin nodules appear on the verge of breaking through the thinner regions of the coating surface. These domes are developing sharper and sharper tips, as if a growing whisker is about to push its way through a tough skin. Our observations are that the specimens with copper flash show a much lower density of nucleation sites and significantly slower whisker growth compared to the specimens that have only bright tin plating over brass. The specimens kept at room temperature have a higher whisker density than those stored at 50 C. This is an unexpected result and does not agree with the published findings of others. All of the whiskers originate from small surface defects (thin, tiny scratches) that appear over the entire surface of each specimen.

Kadesch, Jong S.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Evidence for an extragalactic component of the far-ultraviolet background and constraints on galaxy evolution for z between 0.1 and 0.6

A sounding rocket experiment that measured the power spectrum of small-scale fluctuations in the far-UV background is described. Evidence is presented that these fluctuations are the integrated light from distant galaxies. If this result is used as an upper limit to the integrated light from galaxies, it provides a constraint on the mean UV luminosity density in the redshift range between 0.1 and 0.6 of L(gal) less than 7 x 10 to the 7th solar luminosities/Mpc. When compared to estimates of the present UV luminosity density, this places a strong constraint on the far-UV evolution of galaxies in the last one-third of a Hubble time. This constraint can be interpreted as a limit on the average past star formation rate relative to the present if dust obscuration was not significantly greater in the past. An upper limit to the average star formation rate is derived.

Martin, Christopher↗