Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “cascade”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 685 records · Page 38
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Electrochemical Reductive N-Methylation with CO 2 Enabled by a Molecular Catalyst

The development of benign methylation reactions utilizing CO 2 as a one-carbon building block would enable a more sustainable chemical industry. Electrochemical CO 2 reduction has been extensively studied, but its application for reductive methylation reactions remains out of the scope of current electrocatalysis. Here, in this work, we report the first electrochemical reductive N-methylation reaction with CO 2 and demonstrate its compatibility with amines, hydroxylamines, and hydrazine. Catalyzed by cobalt phthalocyanine molecules supported on carbon nanotubes, the N-methylation reaction proceeds in aqueous media via the chemical condensation of an electrophilic carbon intermediate, proposed to be adsorbed or near-electrode formaldehyde formed from the four-electron reduction of CO 2 , with nucleophilic nitrogenous reactants and subsequent reduction. By comparing various amines, we discover that the nucleophilicity of the amine reactant is a descriptor for the C-N coupling efficacy. We extend the scope of the reaction to be compatible with cheap and abundant nitro-compounds by developing a cascade reduction process in which CO 2 and nitro-compounds are reduced concurrently to yield N-methyl amines with high mono-methylation selectivity via the overall transfer of 12 electrons and 12 protons.

amines↗
DOE OSTI2022

Valence Disproportionation of GeS in the PbS Matrix Forms Pb 5 Ge 5 S 12 Inclusions with Conduction Band Alignment Leading to High n-Type Thermoelectric Performance

Converting waste heat into useful electricity using solid-state thermoelectrics has a potential for enormous global energy savings. Lead chalcogenides are among the most prominent thermoelectric materials, whose performance decreases with an increase in chalcogen amounts (e.g., PbTe>PbSe>PbS). Herein, we demonstrate the simultaneous optimization of the electrical and thermal transport properties of PbS-based compounds by alloying with GeS. The addition of GeS triggers a complex cascade of beneficial events as follows: Ge 2+ substitution in Pb 2+ and discordant off-center behavior; formation of Pb 5 Ge 5 S 12 as stable second phase inclusions through valence disproportionation of Ge 2+ to Ge0 and Ge 4+ . PbS and Pb 5 Ge 5 S 12 exhibit good conduction band energy alignment that preserves the high electron mobility; the formation of Pb 5 Ge 5 S 12 increases the electron carrier concentration by introducing S vacancies. Sb doping as the electron donor produces a large power factor and low lattice thermal conductivity (κ lat ) of ~0.61 Wm -1 K -1 . The highest performance was obtained for the 14% GeS-alloyed samples, which exhibited an increased room temperature electron mobility of ~121 cm 2 V -1 s -1 for 3 × 10 19 cm -3 carrier density, and a ZT, of 1.32 at 923 K. This is ~ 55% greater that the corresponding Sb-doped PbS sample and is one of the highest reported for the n-type PbS system. Moreover, the average ZT (ZT avg ) of ~0.76 from 400 to 923 K is the highest for PbS-based systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Direct Conversion of Methane to Ethylene and Acetylene over an Iron-Based Metal–Organic Framework

Conversion of methane (CH 4 ) to ethylene (C 2 H 4 ) and/or acetylene (C 2 H 2 ) enables routes to a wide range of products directly from natural gas. However, high reaction temperatures and pressures are often required to activate and convert CH 4 controllably, and separating C 2+ products from unreacted CH 4 can be challenging. Here, we report the direct conversion of CH 4 to C 2 H 4 and C 2 H 2 driven by non-thermal plasma under ambient (25 °C and 1 atm) and flow conditions over a metal–organic framework material, MFM-300(Fe). The selectivity for the formation of C 2 H 4 and C 2 H 2 reaches 96% with a high time yield of 334 μmol g cat –1 h –1 . At a conversion of 10%, the selectivity to C 2+ hydrocarbons and time yield exceed 98% and 2056 μmol g cat –1 h –1 , respectively, representing a new benchmark for conversion of CH 4 . In situ neutron powder diffraction, inelastic neutron scattering and solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance, electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR), and diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transform spectroscopies, coupled with modeling studies, reveal the crucial role of Fe–O(H)–Fe sites in activating CH 4 and stabilizing reaction intermediates via the formation of an Fe–O(CH 3 )–Fe adduct. In addition, a cascade fixed-bed system has been developed to achieve online separation of C 2 H 4 and C 2 H 2 from unreacted CH 4 for direct use. Integrating the processes of CH 4 activation, conversion, and product separation within one system opens a new avenue for natural gas utility, bridging the gap between fundamental studies and practical applications in this area.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Deciphering the Mechanism of Base-Triggered Conversion of Ammonia to Molecular Nitrogen and Methylamine to Cyanide

Here we report an in-depth investigation into the ammonia oxidation mechanism by the catalyst [Ru III (tpy)(dmabpy)NH 3 ] 3 + ([Ru(NH 3 )] 3 + ). Stoichiometric reactions of [Ru(NH 3 )] 3 + were carried out with exogenous noncoordinating bases to trigger a proposed redox disproportionation reaction, which was followed using variable-temperature NMR spectroscopy. An intermediate species was identified as a dinitrogen-bridged complex using 15 N NMR and Raman spectroscopy on isotopically labeled complexes. This intermediate is proposed to derive from coupling of nitridyl species formed upon sequential redox disproportion reactions. Acetonitrile displaces the dinitrogen bridge to yield free N 2 . DFT calculations support this lower-energy pathway versus that previously reported for ammonia oxidation by the parent [Ru III (tpy)(bpy)NH 3 ] 3 + complex. These experimental and computational results are consistent with the interpretation of redox disproportionation involving sequential hydrogen atom transfer reactions by an amide/aminyl intermediate, [Ru(NH 2 ) – ] + $\Leftrightarrow$ [Ru(NH 2 ) • ] + , formed upon deprotonation of the parent complex. Control experiments employing a large excess of ammonia as a base indicate this new proposed lower-energy pathway contributes to the oxidation of ammonia to dinitrogen in conditions relevant to electrocatalysis. In addition, analogous methylamine complexes, [Ru(NH 2 CH 3 )] 2 + /3 + , were prepared to further test the proposed mechanism. Treating [Ru(NH 2 CH 3 )] 3 + with a base cleanly yields two products [Ru(NH 2 CH 3 )] 2 + and [Ru(CN)] + in an ~3:1 ratio, fully consistent with the proposed cascade of hydrogen atom transfer reactions by an intermediate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Reduction of CO to Methanol with Recyclable Organic Hydrides

We report the reaction steps for the selective conversion of a transition metal carbonyl complex to a hydroxymethyl complex that releases methanol upon irradiation with visible light have been successfully quantified in acetonitrile solution with dihydrobenzimidazole organic hydride reductants. Dihydrobenzimidazole reductants have been shown to be inactive toward H 2 generation in the presence of a wide range of proton sources and have been regenerated electrochemically or photochemically. Specifically, the reaction of cis-[Ru(bpy) 2 (CO) 2 ] 2+ (bpy = 2,2'-bipyridine) with one equivalent of a dihydrobenzimidazole quantitatively yields a formyl complex, cis-[Ru(bpy) 2 (CO)(CHO)] + , and the corresponding benzimidazolium on a seconds time scale. Kinetic experiments revealed a first-order dependence on the benzimidazole hydride concentration and an unusually large kinetic isotope effect, inconsistent with direct hydride transfer and more likely to occur by an electron transfer-proton-coupled electron transfer (EΤ-PCET) or related mechanism. Further reduction/protonation of cis-[Ru(bpy) 2 (CO)(CHO)] + with two equivalents of the organic hydride yields the hydroxymethyl complex cis-[Ru(bpy) 2 (CO)(CH 2 OH)] + . Visible light excitation of cis-[Ru(bpy) 2 (CO)(CH 2 OH)] + in the presence of excess organic hydride was shown to yield free methanol. Identification and quantification of methanol as the sole CO reduction product was confirmed by 1 H NMR spectroscopy and gas chromatography. The high selectivity and mild reaction conditions suggest a viable approach for methanol production from CO, and from CO 2 through cascade catalysis, with renewable organic hydrides that bear similarities to Nature's NADPH/NADP + .

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Directing Nanoparticle Organization in Response to Diverse Chemical Inputs

Signaling cascades are crucial for transducing stimuli in biological systems, enabling multiple stimuli to regulate a downstream target with precisely controlled timing and amplifying signals through a series of intermediary reactions. Developing a robust signaling system with such capabilities would be pivotal for programming complex behaviors in synthetic DNA-based molecular devices. However, although “software” such as nucleic acid circuits could potentially be harnessed to relay signals to DNA-based nanostructure hardware, such explorations have been limited. Here, in this study, we develop a platform for transducing a variety of stimuli via messenger-mediated reactions to regulate the release and reloading of gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) in a 3D DNA framework. In the first step, an in vitro transcription circuit is engineered to sense and amplify chemical stimuli, including arbitrary DNA sequences and proteins, producing RNA. In the second step, the RNA releases the DNA-coated AuNPs from the DNA framework via a strand displacement reaction. AuNP reloading is controlled by a separate step driven by degradation of the RNA. Our platform holds promise for applications requiring dynamic multiagent control over DNA-based devices, offering a versatile tool for advanced molecular device engineering.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Magnetoelectric Coupling in a Mn 4 Na–Organic Complex under Pulsed Magnetic Fields up to 73 T

Research on the magnetoelectric (ME) effect (or spin-electric coupling) in molecule-based magnetic materials is a relatively nascent but promising topic. Molecule-based magnetic materials have diverse magnetic functionalities that can be coupled to electrical properties. Here, in this study, we investigate a realization of ME coupling that is fundamental but not heavily studied─the coupling of magnetic spin level crossings to changes in electric polarization. A mixed-valence Mn 4 Na complex with a total ground-state spin S = 5/2 under zero magnetic field and S = 17/2 under high magnetic field undergoes a cascade of ground-state level crossings of the S z states with increasing magnetic field. Magnetization and electrical polarization measurements under pulsed magnetic fields up to 73 T show that each spin level crossing is accompanied by a significant change in electric polarization that is an even function of the applied magnetic field. A molecular Hamiltonian describing antiferromagnetic exchange in a distorted tetrahedron of three Mn III and one Mn II ions matches the data well. We conclude that the ME coupling is caused by magnetostriction within the polar molecule as it distorts to lower its magnetic exchange energy.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2025

Energizing Robust Sulfur/Lithium Electrochemistry via Nanoscale-Asymmetric-Size Synergism

Sluggish redox kinetics and dendrite growth perplex the fulfillment of efficient electrochemistry in lithium–sulfur (Li–S) batteries. The complicated sulfur phase transformation and sulfur/lithium diversity kinetics necessitate an all-inclusive approach in catalyst design. Herein, a compatible mediator with nanoscale-asymmetric-size configuration by integrating Co single atoms and defective CoTe 2–x (Co SA -CoTe 2–x @NHCF) is elaborately developed for regulating sulfur/lithium electrochemistry synchronously. Substantial electrochemistry and theoretical analyses reveal that CoTe 2–x exhibits higher catalytic activity in long-chain polysulfide transformation and Li 2 S decomposition, while monodispersed Co sites are more effective in boosting sulfur reduction kinetics to regulate Li 2 S deposition. Such cascade catalysis endows Co SA -CoTe 2–x @NHCF with the all-around service of “trapping-conversion-recuperation” for sulfur species during the whole redox reaction. Furthermore, it is demonstrated by in situ transmission electron microscopy that initially formed electronic-conductive Co and ionic-conductive Li 2 Te provide sufficient lithiophilic sites to regulate homogeneous Li plating and stripping with markedly suppressed dendrite growth. Consequently, by coupling the Co SA -CoTe 2–x @NHCF interlayer and Li@Co SA -CoTe 2–x @NHCF anode, the constructed Li–S full batteries deliver superior cycling stability and rate performance, and the flexible pouch cell exhibits stable cycling performance at 0.3 C. In conclusion, the gained insights into the synergistic effect of asymmetric-size structures pave the way for the integrated catalyst design in advanced Li–S systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Leveraging Intramolecular π-Stacking to Access an Exceptionally Long-Lived 3 MC Excited State in an Fe(II) Carbene Complex

The ability to manipulate excited-state decay cascades using molecular structure is essential to the application of abundant-metal photosensitizers and chromophores. Ligand design has yielded some spectacular results elongating charge-transfer excited state lifetimes of Fe(II) coordination complexes, but triplet metal-centered ( 3 MC) excited states - recently demonstrated to be critical to the photoactivity of isoelectronic Co(III) polypyridyls - have to date remained elusive, with temporally isolable examples limited to the picosecond regime. Here, with this report, we show how strong-field donors and intramolecular π-stacking can conspire to stabilize a long-lived 3 MC excited state for a remarkable 4.1 ± 0.3 ns in fluid solution at ambient temperature. Analysis of variable-temperature time-resolved absorption data using theoretical models ranging from Arrhenius to semiclassical Marcus theory, combined with computational modeling and X-ray crystallography, reveal a Jahn−Teller stabilized excited state with a high activation barrier for ground-state recovery. The net result is a chromophore with a 3 MC excited-state lifetime that is orders of magnitude longer than anything yet observed for an Fe(II) complex.

carbene compounds↗
DOE OSTI2026

Structural Heterogeneity and Hydrodynamics of an Intrinsically Disordered Protein Condensate

Biology demonstrates precise control over the free-energy landscape through the selective partitioning of biomacromolecules into membraneless organelles, enabling essential functions such as biochemical transformations, signaling cascades, and mechanical reinforcement. Although the function of these condensates depends on their underlying structure and hydrodynamics, molecular-scale information on these systems remains sparse. Here, in this study, neutron scattering is used to probe the organization and dynamics of the intrinsically disordered N-terminal domain of Galectin-3, an extracellular lectin responsible for facilitating liquid–liquid phase separation on the cellular surface, in both dilute and condensed phases. Dilute solutions contain isolated protein chains in equilibrium with mesoscopic clusters, whereas the condensed phase adopts a bicontinuous, microemulsion-like morphology. The dilute phase behavior is quantitatively described by coarse-grained polymer models from soft-matter physics, demonstrating their predictive power for complex biological proteins. At elevated concentrations, the proteins self-assemble akin to block copolymers, microphase separating through the aggregation of hydrophobic domains along the protein contour. The resulting condensate remains fluid-like despite a 25-fold increase in concentration; its internal hydrodynamics slow by only a factor of 3 relative to dilute protein chains. These results provide a molecular-level framework for how disordered proteins achieve both the structural complexity and dynamic fluidity of biomolecular condensates.

Carrick, Brian R. [Massachusetts Inst. of Technolo↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Earthquake Triggering in Southern California in High Resolution: Intensity, Time Decay, and Regional Variability

Abstract Earthquake triggering by seismic waves has been recognized as a phenomenon for nearly 30 years. However, our ability to study dynamic triggering has been limited by our ability to capture the triggering stresses accurately and record the resultant earthquakes. Here we use full waveforms from a dense seismic network and a modern, high‐resolution seismic catalog to measure triggering in Southern California from 2008 to 2017 based on interevent time ratios. We find that the fractional seismicity rate change, which we term triggering intensity or triggerability, as a function of peak strain change for the period of ∼20 s due to distant earthquakes is monotonically increasing and compatible with earlier measurements made with a disjoint data set from 1984 to 2008. A triggering strain of 1 microstrain is equivalent to the local productivity generated by an M 1.8 earthquakes. This result implies that a prediction of seismicity rate changes can be made based on recorded ground shaking using the same formalism as currently used for aftershock prediction. For a teleseismic event, this small level of triggering occurs throughout the region and thus aggregates to a regional effect. We find that the triggering rate decays after the triggerer follows an Omori‐Utsu law, but at a much slower rate than a typical aftershock sequence. The slow decay rate suggests that an ancillary process such as creep or fluid flow must be part of dynamic triggering. The prevalence of triggering in areas of creep or fluid involvement reinforces this inference. A triggering cascade of secondary earthquakes is insufficient to explain the data.

Miyazawa, Masatoshi↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Binomial Stochastic Framework for Efficiently Modeling Discrete Statistics of Convective Populations

Abstract Understanding the coupling between convective clouds and the general circulation, as well as addressing the gray zone problem in convective parameterization, requires insight into the genesis and maintenance of spatial patterns in cumulus cloud populations. In this study, a simple toy model for recreating populations of interacting convective objects as distributed over a two‐dimensional Eulerian grid is formulated to this purpose. Key elements at the foundation of the model include i) a fully discrete formulation for capturing discrete behavior in convective properties at small population sample sizes, ii) object age‐dependence for representing life‐cycle effects, and iii) a prognostic number budget allowing for object interactions and co‐existence of multiple species. A primary goal is to optimize the computational efficiency of this system. To this purpose the object birth rate is represented stochastically through a spatially aware Bernoulli process. The same binomial stochastic operator is applied to horizontal advection of objects, conserving discreteness in object number. The applicability to atmospheric convection as well as behavior implied by the formulation is assessed. Various simple applications of the BiOMi model (Binomial Objects on Microgrids) are explored, suggesting that important convective behavior can be captured at low computational cost. This includes i) subsampling effects and associated powerlaw scaling in the convective gray zone, ii) stochastic predator‐prey behavior, iii) the downscale turbulent energy cascade, and iv) simple forms of spatial organization and convective memory. Consequences and opportunities for convective parameterization in next‐generation weather and climate models are discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Natural Hazards Perspectives on Integrated, Coordinated, Open, Networked (ICON) Science

This article is about the state of ICON principles Goldman et al. (2021), https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO153180 in natural hazards and a discussion on the opportunities and challenges of adopting them. Natural hazards pose risks to society, infrastructure, and the environment. Hazard interactions and their cascading phenomena in space and time can further intensify the impacts. Natural hazards’ risks are expected to increase in the future due to environmental, demographic, and socioeconomic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate risks to inform the design and implementation of risk mitigation and adaptation strategies. Multihazard multisector risk management poses several nontrivial challenges, including: (a) integrated risk assessment, (b) Earth system data-model fusion, (c) uncertainty quantification and communication, and (d) crossing traditional disciplinary boundaries. Here, we review these challenges, highlight current research and operational endeavors, and underscore diverse research opportunities. We emphasize the need for integrated approaches, coordinated processes, open science, and networked efforts (ICON) for multihazard multisector risk management.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Flow Channels and the Generation of Alfvénic Turbulence Along Storm‐Time Inner Magnetospheric Field‐Lines

Abstract A feature of Earth's storm‐time magnetosphere outside the plasmapause is the occurrence of broad‐spectrum Alfvénic fluctuations. In this letter observations from the Van Allen Probes are compared with 3‐D fluid‐kinetic simulations of an evolving convective flow channel to investigate the mechanisms generating the observed spectrum. It is shown how narrow channels of fast convection are unstable to the Kelvin‐Helmholtz instability which on closed field‐lines initiates a cascade to small scales. Sustained driving of the flow combined with reflection from the topside ionosphere leads to the generation of an intensified spectrum of electromagnetic structures having similar spectral and morphological characteristics to those observed. This process couples enhanced magnetospheric convection to kinetic scale electromagnetic fluctuations that drive particle transport, scattering and energization through the outer radiation belt and ring current during geomagnetic storms.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

The Variable Continuous Bimaterial Interface in the San Jacinto Fault Zone Revealed by Dense Seismic Array Analysis of Fault Zone Head Waves

Key factors controlling earthquake ruptures include fault geometry, continuity, and seismic velocity structure around the fault. We present a novel tool that better informs deep bimaterial fault geometry embedded in distributed damage and seismicity, associated velocity contrasts across the fault, and their correlations with surface complexities. The method employs fault zone head and direct body waves and is applied to recordings from five spatiotemporally different seismic arrays along the complex San Jacinto fault zone (SJFZ) in southern California. We detect and distinguish these signals based on instantaneous phase coherence and relative energy in a cascading manner from one scale array to another. The analysis reveals a >70-km long continuous bimaterial interface within the SJFZ with several deep northeast dipping fault segments. The northern SJFZ, for instance, locates ~7 km northeast of its surface expression at 18-km depth. P-wave velocity contrasts range from near 0% to >15%, consistent with other bimaterial faults, and differ by a few % depending on fault-array azimuth, implying directional-dependent velocity contrasts. S-wave head waves and velocity contrasts are also imaged for the first time at the southern SJFZ, averaging to 2.9% in agreement with tomography results. The imaged geometry and continuity suggest the SJFZ initiated along remnant tectonic structures and translates to a rupture potential of M > 7.2, i.e., the sizes of its largest paleo-earthquakes. The P and S contrasts, and their ratios, have important implications for earthquake rupture speed, mode, directivity, and frictional heating along the SJFZ and other major faults globally.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Envisioning U.S. Climate Predictions and Projections to Meet New Challenges

In the face of a changing climate, the understanding, predictions, and projections of natural and human systems are increasingly crucial to prepare and cope with extremes and cascading hazards, determine unexpected feedbacks and potential tipping points, inform long-term adaptation strategies, and guide mitigation approaches. Increasingly complex socio-economic systems require enhanced predictive information to support advanced practices. Such new predictive challenges drive the need to fully capitalize on ambitious scientific and technological opportunities. These include the unrealized potential for very high-resolution modeling of global-to-local Earth system processes across timescales, reduction of model biases, enhanced integration of human systems and the Earth Systems, better quantification of predictability and uncertainties; expedited science-to-service pathways, and co-production of actionable information with stakeholders. Enabling technological opportunities include exascale computing, advanced data storage, novel observations and powerful data analytics, including artificial intelligence and machine learning. Looking to generate community discussions on how to accelerate progress on U.S. climate predictions and projections, representatives of Federally-funded U.S. modeling groups outline here perspectives on a six-pillar national approach grounded in climate science that builds on the strengths of the U.S. modeling community and agency goals. This calls for an unprecedented level of coordination to capitalize on transformative opportunities, augmenting and complementing current modeling center capabilities and plans to support agency missions. Tangible outcomes include projections with horizontal spatial resolutions finer than 10 km, representing extremes and associated risks in greater detail, reduced model errors, better predictability estimates, and more customized projections to support next generation climate services.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance

Abstract Climate impacts increasingly unfold in interlinked systems of people, nature, and infrastructure. The cascading consequences are revealing sometimes surprising connections across sectors and regions, and prospects for climate responses also depend on complex, difficult‐to‐understand interactions. In this commentary, we build on the innovations of the United States Fifth National Climate Assessment to suggest a framework for understanding and responding to complex climate challenges. This approach involves: (a) integration of disciplines and expertise to understand how intersectionality shapes complex climate impacts and the wide‐ranging effects of climate responses, (b) collaborations among diverse knowledge holders to improve responses and better encompass intersectionality, and (c) sustained experimentation with and learning about governance approaches capable of handling the complexity of climate change. Together, these three pillars underscore that usability of climate‐relevant knowledge requires transdisciplinary coordination of research and practice. We outline actionable steps for climate research to incorporate intersectionality, integration, and innovative governance, as is increasingly necessary for confronting climate complexity and sustaining equitable, ideally vibrant climate futures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Subseasonal Clustering of Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western United States

Abstract The serial occurrence of atmospheric rivers (ARs) along the US West Coast can lead to prolonged and exacerbated hydrologic impacts, threatening flood‐control and water‐supply infrastructure due to soil saturation and diminished recovery time between storms. Here a statistical approach for quantifying subseasonal temporal clustering among extreme events is applied to a 41‐year (1979–2019) wintertime AR catalog across the western United States (US). Observed AR occurrence, compared against a randomly distributed AR timeseries with the same average event density, reveals temporal clustering at a greater‐than‐random rate across the western US with a distinct geographical pattern. Compared to the Pacific Northwest, significant AR clusters over the northern Coastal Range of California and Sierra Nevada are more frequent and occur over longer time periods. Clusters along the California Coastal Range typically persist for 2 weeks, are composed of 4–5 ARs per cluster, and account for over 85% of total AR occurrence. Across the northwest Coast‐Cascade Ranges, clusters account for ∼50% of total AR occurrence, typically last 8–10 days, and contain 3–4 individual AR events. Based on precipitation data from a high‐resolution dynamical downscaling of reanalysis, the fractions of total and extreme hourly precipitation attributable to AR clusters are largest along the northern California coast and in the Sierra Nevada. Interannual variability among clusters highlights their importance for determining whether a particular water year is anomalously wet or dry. The mechanisms behind this unusual clustering are unclear and require further research.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗