Accelerated battery life predictions through synergistic combination of physics-based models and machine learning
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25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “accelerated aging”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Lifetime prediction of materials exposed to the natural space environment
The goal of this study is to model the lifetime of different types of seal materials based on results obtained from accelerated experiments. A semi-mechanistic approach was taken. Thermal aging data were taken from the literature whereas experiments were conducted at Auburn under this contract for selected environments. The seal materials of interest are Silicone 383, Silicone 650, Viton 835, and Viton 747. The relevant conditions include thermal, oxygen, inert gas, vacuum, and gamma radiation. Compression set data available from NASA were used to examine the thermal effect. Experiments were conducted at Auburn University and at NASA to isolate the role of thermal, oxygen, inert gas, vacuum, gamma irradiation, and proton irradiation. A simple discrete stress relaxation method was developed to determine the relaxation response of the elastomers. Dynamic mechanical thermal analysis was also used to characterize the mechanical response of the specimens. These provide a more meaningful correlation between mechanisms and degradation.
Zee, Ralph↗
The Geopause
Coupled to the Earth and protected by the geomagnetic field, terrestrial matter in the plasma state dominates a larger region of space than was suspected when the 'space age' began, a region we refer to as the geosphere. Accelerated and heated by solar wind energy, this matter expands in size and increases in mass density in response to the Sun's ultraviolet spectrum, heliospheric conditions, and the occurrence of severe space storms. Such storms regularly damage spacecraft, interfere with communications, and trigger power grid interruptions or failures. They occur within the geopause region, that is, the volume defined by the limits of the instantaneous boundary between plasmas that are primarily heliospheric and geospheric. The geopause is analogous in some ways to the heliopause but also resembles the terrestrial air-sea interface. It is the boundary layer across which the supersonically expanding solar plasma delivers momentum and energy to the terrestrial plasma and gas, exciting them into motion, 'evaporating' them into space, and dissipating considerable amounts of power in thermal forms, while generating energetic particles through repeated storage and explosive release of electromagnetic energy. The intensity of the solar wind and the orientation of its magnetic field jointly control the strength of the coupling between solar and terrestrial plasmas and hence the occurrence of severe storms in the geopause region.
Moore, T. E.↗
Evaluation of Surface Crack Formation in Photovoltaic Backsheets Using Fragmentation and Finite Element Simulations: Preprint
Backsheet cracking is among the most commonly observed degradation modes of photovoltaic (PV) modules in the field. Cracks can reduce the ability of backsheets to fulfil their functions, for example, protection of the modules from the environment or electrical insulation. This work presents an evaluation of the degradation and cracking propensity of two backsheets during accelerated IEC TS 62788-7-2 A3 (International Electrotechnical Commission) aging with the fragmentation test: a co-extruded polyamide backsheet (AAA), and a laminated multilayer backsheet with a polyethylene terephthalate core and outer layer and ethylene vinyl acetate inner layer (PPE). Results show the surface embrittlement of the AAA outer layer during exposure. A longer time of exposure causes cracks to form at lower strains during stretching and creates deeper cracks. Accordingly, Young's modulus of the outer layer increases, as measured by cross-sectional nanoindentation. PPE exhibits cracking after exposure as well. While no similar increase of modulus or crack depth can be observed, the outer layer of PPE exhibits more obvious signs of erosion during exposure, including progressive morphological changes and thickness losses. A finite element model to simulate surface crack formation is devised, based on initially zero-thickness decohesion elements. Decohesion criteria define a critical stress, at which these elements grow, and cracks can begin to form. These criteria are obtained via parameter optimization by comparison between simulation and experiment. The model is used to interpret crack formation in both backsheets.
backsheet↗
Interactions between creep, fatigue and strain aging in two refractory alloys
The application of low-amplitude, high-frequency fatigue vibrations during creep testing of two strain-aging refractory alloys (molybdenum-base TZC and tantalum-base T-111) significantly reduced the creep strength of these materials. This strength reduction caused dramatic increases in both the first stage creep strain and the second stage creep rate. The magnitude of the creep rate acceleration varied directly with both frequency and A ratio (ratio of alternating to mean stress), and also varied with temperature, being greatest in the range where the strain-aging phenomenon was most prominent. It was concluded that the creep rate acceleration resulted from a negative strain rate sensitivity which is associated with the strain aging phenomenon in these materials. (A negative rate sensitivity causes flow stress to decrease with increasing strain rate, instead of increasing as in normal materials). By combining two analytical expressions which are normally used to describe creep and strain aging behavior, an expression was developed which correctly described the influence of temperature, frequency, and A ratio on the TZC creep rate acceleration.
Sheffler, K. D.↗
Multifrequency radio observations of Cygnus A - Spectral aging in powerful radio galaxies
A detailed analysis of the radio spectrum across the lobes of Cygnus A is presented in order to critically test the synchroton spectral aging theory. The results are in good agreement with the jet model for powerful radio galaxies, involving particle acceleration at the hot spots and outflow into the radio lobes, with subsequent energy loss due to synchrotron radiation. The hot spot spectra are well represented by a spectral aging model involving continuous injection of relativistic particles. Both hot spots have spectral break frequencies around 10 GHz. An injection index of 0.5 is found for both hot spots, consistent with diffusive shock acceleration at a strong nonrelativistic shock in a Newtonian fluid. The LF hot spot emission spectrum falls below the injected power law. This effect is isolated to the hot spots, and is best explained by a low-energy cutoff in the particle distribution.
Carilli, C. L.↗
Unified Wind-Wave Growth and Spectrum Functions for All Water Depths: Field Observations and Model Results
Abstract Wind-wave development is governed by the fetch- or duration-limited growth principle that is expressed as a pair of similarity functions relating the dimensionless elevation variance (wave energy) and spectral peak frequency to fetch or duration. Combining the pair of similarity functions, the fetch or duration variable can be removed to form a dimensionless function of elevation variance and spectral peak frequency, which is interpreted as the wave energy evolution with wave age. The relationship is initially developed for quasi-neural stability and quasi-steady wind forcing conditions. Further analyses show that the same fetch, duration, and wave-age similarity functions are applicable to unsteady wind forcing conditions, including rapidly accelerating and decelerating mountain gap wind episodes and tropical cyclone (TC) wind fields. Here it is shown that with the dimensionless frequency converted to dimensionless wavenumber using the surface wave dispersion relationship, the same similarity function is applicable in all water depths. Field data collected in shallow to deep waters and mild to TC wind conditions and synthetic data generated by spectrum model computations are assembled to illustrate the applicability. For the simulation work, the finite-depth wind-wave spectrum model and its shoaling function are formulated for variable spectral slopes. Given wind speed, wave age, and water depth, the measured and spectrum-computed significant wave heights and the associated growth parameters are in good agreement in forcing conditions from mild to TC winds and in all depths from deep ocean to shallow lake. Significance Statement This paper presents a growth function and spectrum model to describe wind-wave development in all water depths. Their applicability covers a wide range of wind forcing conditions including steady, accelerating, decelerating, and tropical cyclone events. Support for the unified spectrum model and growth function is presented with field observations and numerical computations.
Hwang, Paul A.↗
Stimulating β -Series Precipitation in Mg–Nd Alloys Via Microalloying: A Comparison of Electron Microscopy and Small-Angle Scattering Techniques
The Mg–Nd alloy system is of particular interest in the development of high-strength, lightweight structural alloys due to the formation of strengthening metastable Mg–Nd β-series precipitates during heat treatment. The strengthening is primarily provided by a combination of the β''' and β 1 precipitation. It is therefore important to understand how the precipitation behavior can be enhanced by other common alloying elements. In this work, the effects of 0.2 wt pct Zn and Ca on β-series precipitation were studied. Small-angle/ultra-small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS/USAXS) techniques in combination with scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) were used to study the evolution of precipitation microstructure. Here, it is found that the Zn additions refine the precipitates, leading to an increase in hardness with aging at 200 °C. On the other hand, the Ca additions result in an acceleration in the formation of larger β 1 precipitates and chains which provides less strengthening. The β 1 chains are surrounded by precipitate-free zones (PFZs) that further contribute to the decreases in hardness observed in the over-aged condition. This paper demonstrated that SAXS/USAXS provides a powerful tool for an in situ study of the early stages of precipitation in the Mg–Nd-based alloys.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
The magnetic fields, ages, and original spin periods of millisecond pulsars
Accurate determination of the spin-down rates of millisecond pulsars requires consideration of the apparent acceleration of the pulsars due to their high transverse velocities. We show that for several nearby pulsars the neglect of this effect leads to substantial errors in inferred pulsar ages and magnetic fields. Two important ramifications follow. (1) The intrinsic magnetic field strengths of all millisecond pulsars lie below 5 x 10(exp 8) G, strengthening an earlier suggestion of a 'gap' between the magnetic field strengths of millisecond pulsars and of high-mass binary pulsars such as PSR B1913+16, which are thought to have been formed by mass transfer in low-mass and high-mass X-ray binaries, respectively. This result suggests that the magnetic field strengths of recycled pulsars are related to their formation and evolution in binary systems. (2) The corrected characteristic ages of several millisecond pulsars appear to be greater than the age of the Galactic disk. We reconcile this apparent paradox by suggesting that some millisecond pulsars were born with periods close to their current periods. This conclusion has important implications for the interpretation of the cooling ages of white dwarf companions, the birthrate discrepancy between millisecond pulsars and their X-ray binary progenitors, and the possible existence of a class of weakly magnetized (B much less than 10(exp 8)G), rapidly rotating neutron stars.
Camilo, F.↗
Interactions between creep, fatigue, and strain-aging in two refractory metal alloys.
The application of low-amplitude, high-frequency fatigue vibrations during creep testing of two strain-aging refractory alloys (molybdenum-base TZC and tantalum-base T-111) significantly reduced the creep strength of these materials. This strength reduction caused dramatic increases in both the first-stage creep strain and the second-stage creep rate. The magnitude of the creep rate acceleration varied directly with both frequency and A ratio (ratio of alternating to mean stress), and also varied with temperature, being greatest in the range where the strain-aging phenomenon was most prominent. It was concluded that the creep rate acceleration resulted from a negative strain rate sensitivity which is associated with the strain-aging phenomenon in these materials. (A negative rate sensitivity causes flow stress to decrease with increasing strain rate, instead of increasing as in normal materials.)
Sheffler, K. D.↗
A mechanistic model for creep and thermal aging in Alloy 709
This report describes a physics-based model for creep and thermal aging in Alloy 709. Alloy 709 is an advanced austenitic alloy, targeted for use in future Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs) and other advanced reactors. The material has superior high temperature properties compared to currently qualified 316 and 304 stainless steels. However, the available creep and thermal aging test database for Alloy 709 is significantly more limited compared to the historical materials. The physics-based model developed here is one way to accelerate the qualification of the material by providing more accurate long-term predictions for creep properties and thermal aging, compared to current empirical time-extrapolate techniques. The crystal plasticity finite element model is used to predict the deformation and failure of alloy 709. The same setup for the CPFE model is used in both the baseline model calibration process and the simulation campaigns for parameter inference. Specific constitutive choices are made for Alloy 709 to capture the primary deformation mechanisms. The dislocation creep formulation developed by Hu and Cocks is extended to account for coupled precipitation formation and the grain boundary cavitation model developed by Sham, Needleman, et al. is used to model grain boundary cavitation-induced failure. A novel update algorithm is proposed to render the semi-discrete constitutive update for the Sham-Needleman model unconditionally stable. A progressive calibration approach is adopted based on the observations that several types of material responses can be effectively decoupled. A surrogate model is trained based on full-fledged CPFE simulations to accelerate the forward model evaluations, and stochastic variational inference (SVI) is used to calibrate the unknown microstructural model parameters. The calibrated mechanistic model is used to predict the long-term creep life of Alloy 709, and the predictions are compared against classical empirical approaches.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
The Effect of Melt Ultrasound Treatment on the Microstructure and Age Hardenability of Al-4 Wt Pct Cu/TiC Composite
In the present work, Al-4 wt pct Cu/TiC composite was synthesized by the molten salt route that contains submicron-sized TiC particles in the Al-4 wt pct Cu matrix. The concentration of the TiC particle in the base alloy is 7.5 wt pct. Melt ultrasound treatment was done by remelting the as-cast composite at 1023 K (750 °C) in a view to refine the size of TiC particles to nanoscale and distribute them evenly in the matrix. The microstructure and age hardenability of the untreated and ultrasound-treated composites were investigated. The TiC particles accelerate the precipitation kinetics of CuAl{sub 2} phase in Al-4 wt pct Cu alloy. In the present study, the hardness obtained for untreated Al-4 wt pct Cu/TiC composite is 120 VHN within 5 hours of peak aging time, which is higher than the hardness of the monolithic Al-4 wt pct Cu, which is 104 VHN at 35 hours of peak aging time. Melt ultrasound treatment of Al-4 wt pct Cu/TiC composite shows no significant effect on the distribution and refinement of TiC particles in the matrix. However, it partially disintegrates the TiC into Al{sub 3}Ti and Al{sub 4}C{sub 3} particles. The ultrasound-treated composite showed an improved hardness of about 132 VHN at 5 hours of peak aging, in comparison to that of the untreated composite, by forming denser and homogeneous CuAl{sub 2} precipitates.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Institute for Clean Energy Technology Mississippi State University NSR&D Aged HEPA Filter Study Final Report
Data have demonstrated that filter media lose tensile strength and the ability to resist the effects of moisture as a function of age. Testing of new and aged filters needs to be conducted to correlate reduction of physical strength of HEPA media to the ability of filters to withstand upset conditions. Appendix C of the Nuclear Air Cleaning Handbook provides the basis for DOE’s HEPA filter service life guidance. However, this appendix also points out the variability of data, and it does not correlate performance of aged filters to degradation of media due to age. Funding awarded by NSR&D to initiate full-scale testing of aged HEPA filters addresses the issue of correlating media degradation due to age with testing of new and aged HEPA filters under a generic design basis event set of conditions. This funding has accelerated the process of describing this study via: (1) establishment of a Technical Working Group of all stakeholders, (2) development and approval of a test plan, (3) development of testing and autopsy procedures, (4) acquiring an initial set of aged filters, (5) testing the initial set of aged filters, and (6) developing the filter test report content for each filter tested. This funding was very timely and has moved the project forward by at least three years. Activities have been correlated with testing conducted under DOE-EM funding for evaluating performance envelopes for AG-1 Section FC Separator and Separatorless filters. This coordination allows correlation of results from the NSR&D Aged Filter Study with results from testing new filters of the Separator and Separatorless Filter Study. DOE-EM efforts have identified approximately 100 more filters of various ages that have been stored under Level B conditions. NSR&D funded work allows a time for rigorous review among subject matter experts before moving forward with development of the testing matrix that will be used for additional filters. The NSR&D data sets are extremely valuable in as much as establishing a selfimproving, NQA-1 program capable of advancing the service lifetime study of HEPA filters. The data and reports are available for careful and critical review by subject matter experts before the next set of filters is tested and can be found in the appendices of this final report. NSR&D funds have not only initiated the Aged HEPA Filter Study alluded to in Appendix C of the NACH, but have also enhanced the technical integrity and effectiveness of all of the follow-on testing for this long-term study.
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
Functional Data Analysis of Spaceflight-Induced Changes in Coordination and Phase in Head Pitch Acceleration During Treadmill Walking
Astronauts returning from spaceflight experience neurovestibular disturbances during head movements and attempt to mitigate them by limiting head motion. Analyses to date of the head movements made during walking have concentrated on amplitude and variability measures extracted from ensemble averages of individual gait cycles. Phase shifts within each gait cycle can be determined by functional data analysis through the computation of time-warping functions. Large, localized variations in the timing of peaks in head kinematics may indicate changes in coordination. The purpose of this study was to determine timing changes in head pitch acceleration of astronauts during treadmill walking before and after flight. Six astronauts (5M/1F; age = 43.5+/-6.4yr) participated in the study. Subjects walked at 1.8 m/sec (4 mph) on a motorized treadmill while reading optotypes displayed on a computer screen 4 m in front of their eyes. Three-dimensional motion of the subject s head was recorded with an Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) device. Data were recorded twice before flight and four times after landing. The head pitch acceleration was calculated by taking the time derivative of the pitch velocity data from the IMU. Data for each session with each subject were time-normalized into gait cycles, then registered to align significant features and create a mean curve. The mean curves of each postflight session for each subject were re-registered based on their preflight mean curve to create time-warping functions. The root mean squares (RMS) of these warping functions were calculated to assess the deviation of head pitch acceleration mean curves in each postflight session from the preflight mean curve. After landing, most crewmembers exhibited localized shifts within their head pitch acceleration regimes, with the greatest deviations in RMS occurring on landing day or 1 day after landing. These results show that the alteration of head pitch coordination due to spaceflight may be assessed using an analysis of time-warping functions.
Miller, Christopher↗
Effects of Nb/Ti/V/Ta on phase precipitation and oxidation resistance at 1073 K in alumina-forming austenitic stainless steels
Highlights: • Effects of Nb/Ti/V/Ta on phase precipitation at 1073 K in AFA alloys are studied. • The precipitation of σ-FeCr can be accelerated by the formation of B2-NiAl. • The additions of V and Ta can improve the oxidation resistance of AFA alloys. • The precipitation of σ-FeCr will deteriorate the oxidation resistance. • Good performance can be achieved by M co-alloying and an appropriate M/C ratio. - Abstract: The present work investigated the effects of strong carbide-forming elements M (M = Nb, Ti, V, Ta) on the phase precipitation and oxidation resistance at 1073 K in alumina-forming austenitic (AFA) stainless steels (Fe-20Ni-(18–23)Cr-2.5Al-2.3Mo-0.08C-Nb/Ti/V/Ta wt%). The designed alloy rods were solid-solutioned at 1523 K for 1.5 h, and then aged at 1073 K for 24 h or oxidized at 1073 K for 500 h, respectively. Besides primary MC carbides, B2-NiAl, Fe{sub 2}M, and σ-FeCr phases would be precipitated from the γ-austenitic matrix in these aged AFA alloys. Furthermore, the precipitation of σ-FeCr could be accelerated by the B2-NiAl formation, which is related to the γ stability. The formation of MC and Fe{sub 2}M can be controlled via adjusting the ratio of M/C. The oxidation resistance of these AFA alloys can be improved effectively by V and Ta addition due to the formation of compact Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} protective scales. This work will provide a new approach to obtain a good combination of creep strength and oxidation resistance through co-alloying with Nb/Ta/V and controlling the M/C ratio within 1.0–2.0 (in molar ratio) simultaneously.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Probable Maximum Precipitation in the U.S. Pacific Northwest in a Changing Climate
The safety of large and aging water infrastructures is gaining attention in water management given the accelerated rate of change in landscape, climate and society. In current engineering practice, such safety is ensured by the design of infrastructure for the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). Recently, several physics-based numerical modeling approaches have been proposed to modernize the conventional and ad hoc PMP estimation approach. However, the underlying physics has not been investigated and thus differing PMP estimates are obtained without clarity on their interpretation. In this study, we present a hybrid approach that takes advantage of both traditional engineering wisdom and modern climate science to estimate PMP for current and future climate conditions. The traditional PMP approach is improved and applied to outputs from an ensemble of five CMIP5 models. This hybrid approach is applied in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) to produce ensemble PMP estimation for the historical (1970-2016) and future (2050-2099) time periods. The new historical PMP estimates are verified by comparing them with the traditional estimates. PMP in the PNW will increase by 50% of the current level by 2099 under the RCP8.5 scenario. Most of the increase is caused by warming, which mainly affects moisture availability, with minor contributions from changes in storm efficiency in the future. Moist track change tends to reduce the future PMP. Compared with extreme precipitation, ensemble PMP exhibits higher internal variation. Thus high-quality data of both precipitation and related meteorological fields (temperature, wind fields) are required to reduce uncertainties in the ensemble PMP estimates.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Luminescence response and CL degradation of combustion synthesized spherical SiO{sub 2}:Ce nanophosphor
Highlights: Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer A simple combustion reaction and post annealing process were adopted to generate SiO{sub 2}:Ce nanocrystalline phosphor. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer The annealing under reductive carbon-oxygen environment rendered a partial conversion of Ce{sup 4+} to Ce{sup 3+} ions. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer Excellent spectroscopic behavior of SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sup 3+} under various excitation stimuli is evaluated and discussed. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer The long term columbic aging and luminescence output are monitored under a continuous 2 kV accelerated electron flux. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer Simultaneous presence of Ce{sup 3+} and Ce{sup 4+} states in SiO{sub 2} host has been resolved using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer The formation of a sub-stoichiometric SiO{sub x(x<2)} layer is responsible for CL degradation. -- Abstract: This study was aimed to systematically investigate the luminescence response of SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sup 3+} nanophosphors with different excitation sources. The powders were synthesized by using an urea assisted combustion method. SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sub 1m%} samples were also annealed at 1000 Degree-Sign C for 1 h in a charcoal environment to reduce incidental Ce{sup 4+} to partial Ce{sup 3+} ions. High resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM) images of the as synthesized and annealed powder samples confirmed that the particles were spherical and in the size range of 3-8 nm in diameter. X-ray diffraction (XRD) and electron dispersion spectroscopy (EDS) results showed that the SiO{sub 2} was crystalline and pure. Diffused reflectance, photoluminescence (PL) and cathodoluminescence (CL) results of the SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sup 3+} samples were obtained and compared with each other. The CL degradation and the surface reactions on the surface of the SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sup 3+} were studied with X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) and Auger electron spectroscopy (AES). A clear improvement in the chemical stability of the SiO{sub 2}:Ce{sup 3+} annealed at 1000 Degree-Sign C were obtained.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Forest stand and canopy development unaltered by 12 years of CO2 enrichment*
Abstract Canopy structure—the size and distribution of tree crowns and the spatial and temporal distribution of leaves within them—exerts dominant control over primary productivity, transpiration and energy exchange. Stand structure—the spatial arrangement of trees in the forest (height, basal area and spacing)—has a strong influence on forest growth, allocation and resource use. Forest response to elevated atmospheric CO2 is likely to be dependent on the canopy and stand structure. Here, we investigated elevated CO2 effects on the forest structure of a Liquidambar styraciflua L. stand in a free-air CO2 enrichment experiment, considering leaves, tree crowns, forest canopy and stand structure. During the 12-year experiment, the trees increased in height by 5 m and basal area increased by 37%. Basal area distribution among trees shifted from a relatively narrow distribution to a much broader one, but there was little evidence of a CO2 effect on height growth or basal area distribution. The differentiation into crown classes over time led to an increase in the number of unproductive intermediate and suppressed trees and to a greater concentration of stand basal area in the largest trees. A whole-tree harvest at the end of the experiment permitted detailed analysis of canopy structure. There was little effect of CO2 enrichment on the relative leaf area distribution within tree crowns and there was little change from 1998 to 2009. Leaf characteristics (leaf mass per unit area and nitrogen content) varied with crown depth; any effects of elevated CO2 were much smaller than the variation within the crown and were consistent throughout the crown. In this young, even-aged, monoculture plantation forest, there was little evidence that elevated CO2 accelerated tree and stand development, and there were remarkably small changes in canopy structure. Questions remain as to whether a more diverse, mixed species forest would respond similarly.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗