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At least 685 records · Page 38

Unsupervised Anomaly Detection in High-Dimensional Flight Data Using Convolutional Variational Auto-Encoder

The modern National Airspace System (NAS) is an extremely safe system. The industry has experienced a steady decrease in fatalities over the years. This can be contributed to both improved flight critical systems with redundant hardware and software protections as well as an increased focus on active monitoring and response to real time and historically identified vulnerabilities by implementing more resilient procedures and protocols. The main practice for identifying vulnerabilities in operations leverages domain expertise using knowledge about how the system should behave with the expected tolerances to known safety margins. This approach works well when the system has a well-defined operating condition. However, the operations in the NAS can be highly complex with various nuances that render it difficult to clearly pre-define all known safety vulnerabilities. With the advancement of data science and machine learning techniques, the potential to automatically identify emerging vulnerabilities in the observed operations has become more practical in recent years. The state-of-the-art anomaly detection approaches in aerospace data usually rely on supervised or semi-supervised learning. However, in many real-world problems such as flight safety creating labels for the data requires huge amount of efforts and is largely expensive. As a result, in this article, we develop a Convolutional Variational Auto-Encoder (CVAE), an unsupervised learning approach for anomaly detection in high-dimensional heterogeneous time-series data. We validate performance of CVAE compared to the state-of-the-art supervised learning approach (as an upper bound) as well as an supervised clustering based on K-Means (as a lower bound) on Yahoo!'s benchmark time series anomaly detection data. Finally, we showcase performance of CVAE on a case study of identifying anomalies in the first 60 seconds of commercial flights' take-offs using Flight Operational Quality Assurance (FOQA) data.

Milad Memarzadeh↗

Gene Expression Measurement Module (GEMM) for space application: Design and validation

In order to facilitate studies on the impact of the space environment on biological systems, we have developed a prototype of GEMM (Gene Expression Measurement Module) - an automated, miniaturized, integrated fluidic system for in-situ measurements of gene expression in microbial samples. The GEMM instrument is capable of (1) lysing bacterial cell walls, (2) extracting and purifying RNA released from cells, (3) hybridizing the RNA to probes attached to a microarray and (4) providing electrochemical readout, all in a microfluidics cartridge. To function on small, uncrewed spacecraft, the conventional, laboratory protocols for both sample preparation and hybridization required significant modifications. Biological validation of the instrument was carried out on Synechococcus elongatus, a photosynthetic cyanobacterium known for its metabolic diversity and resilience to adverse conditions. It was demonstrated that GEMM yielded reliable, reproducible gene expression profiles. GEMM is the only high throughput instrument that can be deployed in near future on space platforms other than the ISS to advance biological research in space. It can also prove useful for numerous terrestrial applications in the field.

Kianoosh Peyvan↗

Assessing the Viability of Using GEOS-Forecast Product for Landslides Forecasting: A Step Toward Early Warning System

Landslides across the globe are mostly triggered by extreme rainfall events affecting infrastructure, transportation and livelihoods. The risks are rarely quantified due to lack of data, analytical skills and limited modeling techniques. Knowledge of local to global scale landslide risks provides communities and national agencies the ability to adapt disaster management practices to mitigate and recover from these hazards. In order to minimize the risks and improve characterization of community resilience to landslides, it is vital to have reliable information about the factors triggering landslides such as rainfall, well ahead in time. Forecasting potential landslide activity and impacts can be achieved through reliable precipitation forecast models. However, it is challenging because of the temporal and spatial variability of precipitation, an important factor in triggering landslides. Evaluation of the precipitation field, associated errors, and sampling uncertainties is integral for development of efficient and reliable landslide forecasting and early warning system. This study develops a methodology to assess the viability of using a precipitation field provided by a global model and its potential integration in the landslide forecasting system. The study focuses on the comparison between the IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Mission) and GEOS (NASA Goddard Earth Observing System)-Forecast product over contiguous United States (CONUS). GEOS model assimilates new observations every 6 hours, at 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC. The framework is tested on the GEOS-Forecast Model initialized at 00 UTC using daily IMERG early product as reference using both categorical and continuous statistics. The categorical statistics includes the probability of detection (POD), success ratio (SR), critical success index (CSI), and the hit bias. Continuous statistics such as correlation, normalized standard deviation, and root-mean-square error are also evaluated. Overall, GEOS-Forecast precipitation field over the analysis period (~1 year) show underestimation with respect to IMERG early for the daily accumulated rainfall. However, the probability distribution function and cumulative distribution function of both show similar patterns. In terms of correlations, POD, SR, CSI, hit bias, the performance varies with respect to the rainfall threshold used.

Sana Khan↗

Widespread Mangrove Damage Resulting from the 2017 Atlantic Mega Hurricane Season

Comprised of 17 named tropical storms, 6 of which were major hurricanes, the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season ranked as one of the most damaging and costly hurricane seasons on record. In addition to socio-economic impacts, many previous studies have shown that important coastal ecosystems like mangroves are shaped by severe storms. However, little is known about how the cumulative effects of storms over entire hurricane seasons affect mangroves across large regions. We used satellite imagery from the entire Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico region to show that 2017 resulted in disproportionate mangrove damage compared to baseline responses over the previous 8 years. Specifically, we observed 30 times more mangrove damage, via a reduction in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), during 2017 compared to any of the eight previous hurricane seasons, and most (72%) of this damage persisted throughout the 7 month post-hurricane season period as indicated by no NDVI recovery. Furthermore, wind speed, rainfall, and canopy height data showed that mangrove damage primarily resulted from high maximum wind speeds, but flooding (cumulative rainfall), previous storm history, and mangrove structure (canopy height) were also important predictors of damage. While mangroves are known to be resilient to hurricane impacts, our results suggest that increasingly frequent mega-hurricane seasons in the Caribbean region will dramatically alter mangrove disturbance dynamics.

Temilola Elisabeth Fatoyinbo Agueh↗

Fluid-Thermal-Structural Interactions in Ramp-Induced Shock-Wave Boundary-Layer Interactions at Mach6

Shock-wave boundary-layer interactions (SWBLI) pose unique challenges for the slender airframes and sharp control surfaces characteristic of high-speed airbreathing aircraft. Spikes in pressure and thermal loading have been shown to occur in SWBLI regions; thus, predicting their location and behavior proves critical for assuring aircraft structural integrity and fatigue resilience. SWBLIs frequently lead to severe turbulent boundary-layer separation and corresponding unsteady motions characterized by a wide range of frequencies. Low-frequency motion has been shown to couple with the structure of a compliant panel, and turbulent boundary layers thus present a particular danger for thin control surfaces. Previous studies have shown that the thermal loading on a compliant panel in a ramp-induced SWBLI may have a signi cant impact on the panel vibrations. A multitude of studies has investigated the heating on rigid structures, but a charactrization of the heating effects on compliant structures is necessary to fully understand the fluid-thermal-structural interactions (FTSI) occurring in ramp-induced SWBLIs. This studuses infrared thermography and high-frequency Kulite pressure transducers to examine the heating loads on rigid and compliant ramps at various angles and flow conditions at Mach 6.

Hypersonic↗

Climate and Anthropogenic Controls on Blue Carbon Sequestration in Hudson River Tidal Marsh, Piermont, New York

Tidal marshes globally are experiencing erosion with sea level rise. In order to adaptively plan for essential marsh preservation, we recognize the importance of the investigation of marsh archives for the perspective they provide toward resilience. Our objective in this study is to examine the relationship of tidal marsh carbon sequestration with both climate change and human impact throughout past centuries and millennia. A Hudson River marsh sediment core spanning the last 2000 years is analyzed for bulk loss on ignition (LOI), bulk density, sedimentation rate, carbon (C) and mineral flux, and x-ray fluorescence (XRF) analysis including lead, copper, titanium and potassium. We compare this record to previously established pollen and spore stratigraphy from the same site, along with an extensive macrofossil based AMS 14C chronology based upon both cores. Carbon accumulation generally follows sediment accumulation rates, which were higher than 200 g C m−2 yr−1 prior to 1500 years ago. Declines in carbon storage rate during the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) are linked to drought, fire, and charcoal, while lesser declines during the Little Ice Age (LIA) are linked to cooling and a shorter growing season. Subsequent human impact with marsh haying practices also led to carbon accumulation rate decline to 100 g C m−2 yr−1. Increases in C sequestration rates in recent decades may be attributable to nitrogen pollution of the estuary, invasive plants, and/or increased flooding, but the lack of mineral sediment threatens their stability. Ecosystem function is declining with the loss of foundational species, and the crisis is deepening for preservation of this habitat. We strongly recommend strategies for minimizing marsh loss.

Climate controls↗

Autonomous Contingency Management In Urban Air Mobility: The Communication Network Awareness Machine System

Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) has begun the modernization of the nation’s air transportation system (NAS), with goals to improve system safety, increase operation efficiency and capacity, provide enhanced predictability, resilience and robustness [1]. The overall objective of the Air Traffic Management-eXploration (ATM-X) project is to facilitate the goals of NextGen by conducting research to enable the growing demand of new, mission variant, air vehicles with safe access to the NAS. The implementation and utilization of new and burgeoning technologies that are both flexible, scalable, and systematically user-focused are requisite for ATM-X to achieve its intention of NAS safe entry [2]. Researchers from NASA Langley’s Flight Deck Integration Team have developed a system architecture that would allow ATM-X to leverage the necessary capabilities of an Increasingly Autonomous System (IAS), machine-agent that will promote the safe access and operation of air vehicles within what has become the byproduct of NextGen modernization, a Net-Centric airspace architecture and an Urban Air Mobility (UAM) community. Conducting flight operations within this type of architecture constrains the human-agent’s natural ability by data management. When the massive volume of data, its types, and the acquisition speed at which the data is ingested is observed it becomes evident that the human-agent will be functioning at an operational disadvantage. Therefore, the development and integration of intelligent machine-agents into the flight deck are a necessary implementation to achieve ATM-X overall objective of safe access and operation in the NAS.

Urban Air Mobility↗

Relating Land Cover Change to Runoff Distribution Using NASA Earth Observations in Riley County, Kansas

Riley County, Kansas, has observed increased levels of flooding, potentially due to changes in land use/land cover (LULC) and seasonal vegetation variation. This study contrasts two methods of generating runoff curve numbers (CN) from 2006-2020. (1) The traditional Soil Conservation Service CN calculation method uses a look-up table and tracked LULC to determine runoff changes. These tables allow for CN values specific to various land and crop cover types and account for various farming best practices but lack flexibility in calculations for various seasons or plant health. (2) A dynamic method employs normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) compiled over the rainy season each year to calculate CN using seasonal vegetation. This method allows for a more precise analysis of runoff variability within and between rainy seasons because it can be updated with greater temporal detail and it captures higher spatial resolutions by using NDVI as a proxy for LULC. This study further uses inputs from the United States Geologic Survey (USGS) National Land Cover Database (NLCD), the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Cropland Data Layer, and Landsat imagery to create more precise LULC raster datasets including both urban cover and crop-specific land use and curve number maps of the area. Results can guide decision makers in the City of Manhattan, Riley County Department of Planning and Development, Riley County Conservation District, the Kansas Forest Service, and the Kansas Department of Health and Environment toward informed decisions on resiliency strategies to address future flooding.

Ella Griffith↗

Expandable Variable-Autonomy Architecture Viable Maneuver Displays

The Traveler-Resilient Autonomy team (RA) at NASA Armstrong Flight Research Center (AFRC) is developing a hierarchical autonomous system framework called EVAA– Expandable Variable-Autonomy Architecture which is a reference implementation of a Run-Time Assurance (RTA) architecture, that is seen as a likely path to the certification of autonomous Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS).

Sarkis Serge Mikaelian↗

Bioinspired multilayered cellular composites with enhanced energy absorption and shape recovery

Inspired by the multiscale configuration of the microstructure of cork, the paper describes the design, 3D printing, and evaluation of a new type of multilayered cellular composite (MCC) structure composed of hard brittle and soft flexible phases. The mechanical behavior of 3D printed MCC structures have been investigated both experimentally and numerically. The experiments show that the MCC structure absorbs four times the amount of energy of a conventional cellular configuration under compressive strains up to 70%. Finite element simulations and 2D digital image correlation (DIC) also show that the multilayered architecture provides a more uniform strain distribution and higher stress transfer efficiency, with a resulting progressive failure mode rather than a catastrophic one. Cyclic loading tests demonstrate that the MCC structure also possesses exceptional shape recoverability under compressive deformations up to 40%. These remarkable performance characteristics result from synergies between the properties of the two constituent materials and the chosen multilayered cellular microstructure. The soft phase, in particular, plays a pivotal role in absorbing elastic energy during loading and then releasing the stored energy while unloading. The volume fraction of the soft phase is also essential to control energy absorption and the transition of failure modes. The deformation mechanisms demonstrated here are robust and applicable to other architected cellular materials across multiple length scales and suggest new ways to design lightweight and high-resilience structural materials.

bioinspired composites↗

AAM Supply Chain Working Group: Aerospace Supply Chain and Manufacturing

This presentation provides an overview of the aerospace supply chain and how the AAM Supply Chain Working Group will help to make it more sustainable and resilient. The urgent needs are building a tiered system, a modeling and simulation platform, and an electronic exchange platform.

AAM↗

Simulation of a Representative Future Trajectory-Based Operations Environment

Trajectory-Based Operations in the National Airspace System is a key aspect of advanced air traffic management research. Trajectory-Based Operations focuses on modernizing the current operating paradigm to increase efficiency, predictability, resilience, and flexibility while migrating toward greater operational autonomy across the airspace. Research conducted at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration supports the transition from current airspace operations to Trajectory-Based Operations targeting a 2035-2045 implementation timeframe. Simulation scenarios that demonstrate a representative Trajectory-Based Operations environment in that timeframe, and enable the evaluation of advanced airborne tools such as strategic airborne trajectory management services, are necessary to support this research effort. This report describes characteristics and assumptions made about the future operating environment that were applied to a scenario development methodology to study a representative 2040 Trajectory-Based Operations environment in a simulation use case. This report also includes descriptions of the study design and analysis approach, discussion of the simulation results, and application of these scenarios to future research activities.

Trajectory Based Operations↗

SMARt-STEReO: Preliminary Model Description

Wildfires have increasingly become major threat to US towns and cities, with California alone having its most destructive wildfire seasons to date in 2017 and 2018 and 2020 already becoming one of the worst fire years on record, causing the large-scale evacuations, the destruction of towns and property, and a significant release of hazardous smoke over the entire west coast. Thus, the U.S. Forest Service recently spent over 50% of its budget on wildfire management – funds which could otherwise be directed to science that could support fire prevention. Aerial support plays a major role in fighting wildfires. Airtankers, helicopters, and other aerial assets support the construction of fire-lines, gather data, and transport crews and equipment. However, presently, aerial firefighting operations rely on relatively unsophisticated technologies for communications, such as over-the-air radios, which limit the ability of pilots and management to relay fire data and coordinate operations. Aerial operations in and around fires are additionally high-risk activities due to the variable, dangerous conditions and complex, technically difficult maneuvers which must be performed to, for example, conduct a retardant drop. Thus, between 2000 and 2013, of the 298 wildland firefighter fatalities, 26% were related to aerial operations. As a result, there is significant potential to both improve the performance and resiliency of wildfire response while reducing risk to human operators.

Daniel E Hulse↗

Relating Land Cover Change to Runoff Distribution Using NASA Earth Observations in Riley County, Kansas

In recent years, Riley County, Kansas experienced high levels of flooding potentially due to changes in land use and impervious surface. To analyze the increase in floods and runoff patterns over time, this study contrasted two methods of curve number (CN) calculation, which estimated runoff from rainfall events, from 2006-2020. The conventional calculation method used a look-up table and tracked land use/land cover change. This method resulted in static tables from various inputs such as soil type, surface imperviousness, slope, and crop phenology to estimate runoff versus infiltration. These tables allowed for phenology specific curve numbers and accounted for various farming techniques but required many inputs and lacked flexibility to include seasonal variations in vegetation. In contrast, the dynamic method is a more modern and simple calculation employing normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from Landsat 5, Landsat 7, and Landsat 8 satellites compiled over the rainy season each year to calculate curve numbers based off seasonal vegetation. This dynamic method allowed for more precise analysis of runoff variability because NDVI is a more accurate, real-time measurement for land cover and it could be calculated with greater temporal detail. The results will allow decision makers to make more informed decisions on resiliency strategies to address future flooding.

Trista Brophy↗

Fluid-Thermal-Structural Interactions in Ramp-Induced Shock-Wave Boundary-Layer Interactions at Mach 6

Shock-wave boundary-layer interactions (SWBLI) pose unique challenges for the slender airframes and sharp control surfaces characteristic of high-speed airbreathing aircraft. Spikes in pressure and thermal loading have been shown to occur in SWBLI regions; thus, predicting their location and behavior proves critical for assuring aircraft structural integrity and fatigue resilience. SWBLIs frequently lead to severe turbulent boundary-layer separation and corresponding unsteady motions characterized by a wide range of frequencies. Low-frequency motion has been shown to couple with the structure of a compliant panel, and turbulent boundary layers thus present a particular danger for thin control surfaces. Previous studies have shown that the thermal loading on a compliant panel in a ramp-induced SWBLI may have a signi cant impact on the panel vibrations. A multitude of studies has investigated the heating on rigid structures, but a charactrization of the heating effects on compliant structures is necessary to fully understand the fluid-thermal-structural interactions (FTSI) occurring in ramp-induced SWBLIs. This studuses infrared thermography and high-frequency Kulite pressure transducers to examine the heating loads on rigid and compliant ramps at various angles and flow conditions at Mach 6.

Hypersonic↗

NASA and Blue Origin Collaborative Assessment of Precision Landing Algorithms and Computing

NASA’s Safe and Precise Landing Integrated Capabilities Evolution (SPLICE) project is developing sensor, algorithm, and compute technologies for precision landing and hazard avoidance. These technologies are being tested as an integrated Precision Landing and Hazard Avoidance (PL&HA) system on Blue Origin’s New Shephard suborbital vehicle. A key goal for the computing element of this technology development is to characterize the performance of the SPLICE software workloads on the project’s Descent and Landing Computer (DLC). The DLC is a multi-core processor designed as a surrogate for NASA’s High-Performance Space Computer (HPSC). Measurements of the SPLICE workload performance on the DLC provides NASA insight on how PL&HA capabilities will perform on the HPSC, and guidance on how the SPLICE algorithms can be implemented to best utilize the DLC platform. This insight can also be used to derive requirements to guide trade studies on candidate computing architectures, for use on platforms like Blue Moon. NASA and Blue Origin are collaborating under an agreement to pursue this mutual benefit. Performance metrics collected are based on measurement of common compute resources such as percentage used of memory bandwidth, I/O utilization, interrupt latency, and kernel vs. user space code residency. Where possible existing performance counters and metrics that are part of the operating system kernel are used. As the design has a significant FPGA component, performance counters are identified and instantiated in the fabric to measure DMA performance and interface metrics. Collection of metrics is performed on the DLC with a representative workload that simulates a full landing cycle of the Blue Origin New Shepard vehicle. Consideration is given to the other compute implementations and whether they can run SPLICE algorithms at the same rate and with the same latency as the DLC. One option being considered is the use of a RISC-V soft core instantiated in a radiation resilient FPGA fabric such as the Xilinx KU60. Select algorithms from the SPLICE code will be run for comparison with the DLC. This paper describes how the DLC is instrumented to collect performance measurements of the SPLICE workloads, preliminary results from these measurements, and their implications on SPLICE algorithm implementation. The results of experimentation to derive candidate requirements for architecture trades on a PL&HA computing system are also presented.

computer performance↗

Southern Colorado Disasters: Using NASA Observations to Map Aspen Extent and Recovery Due to Wildfire

Quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides) is an important species for wildlife, watershed health, and ecosystem resilience across its range. Heavy ungulate browsing and factors influenced by a changing climate including seasonal temperature changes and moisture deficit have led to reduced post-fire aspen regeneration rates in southern Colorado. This project partnered with Trinchera Ranch and the Colorado State Forest Service to estimate aspen recovery after the Spring Creek Fire, which ignited in June of 2018. The Southern Colorado Disasters team utilized field measurements and satellite imagery from Landsat Operational Land Imager (OLI), Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI), and the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) to train and run several random forest models that detect pre- and post-fire aspen extent. Ocular sampling of over 500 points on high-resolution pre-fire and post-fire images identified percentage aspen cover in 30 x 30-meter grid cells. This process provided training data for regression models, which were able to detect aspen across the landscape for both time periods using multiple remote sensing vegetation health indices. In addition, landscape suitability for aspen regeneration was modeled to provide a guide for managers on where to monitor for aspen regeneration post-fire.

DEVELOP Project Summary↗

Southern Colorado Disasters: Using NASA Earth Observations to Map Aspen Extent and Recovery Due to Wildfire

Quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides) is an important species for wildlife, watershed health, and ecosystem resilience across its range. Heavy ungulate browsing and factors influenced by a changing climate including seasonal temperature changes and moisture deficit have led to reduced post-fire aspen regeneration rates in southern Colorado. This project partnered with Trinchera Ranch and the Colorado State Forest Service to estimate aspen recovery after the Spring Creek Fire, which ignited in June of 2018. The Southern Colorado Disasters team utilized field measurements and satellite imagery from Landsat Operational Land Imager (OLI), Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI), and the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) to train and run several random forest models that detect pre- and post-fire aspen extent. Ocular sampling of over 500 points on high-resolution pre-fire and post-fire images identified percentage aspen cover in 30 x 30-meter grid cells. This process provided training data for regression models, which were able to detect aspen across the landscape for both time periods using multiple remote sensing vegetation health indices. In addition, landscape suitability for aspen regeneration was modeled to provide a guide for managers on where to monitor for aspen regeneration post-fire.

DEVELOP Technical Paper↗