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At least 685 records · Page 38

Applying the System Complexity Metric (SCM)

A fundamental cause of difficulty in larger engineering projects is their inherent complexity. An impression of complexity occurs if a system is simply difficult to understand, so that there is no obvious mental model that correctly predicts its behavior. Higher complexity is usually associated with higher cost and higher failure rate. Complexity is indicated by a system having more and diverse components, multiple interactions and feedback loops, transients and dynamic behavior, and often the emergence of unanticipated failure modes. Identifying and removing these signs of complexity should reduce complexity and improve performance. Here we limit complexity measurement to the number of components and their interactions. A System Complexity Metric (SCM) is defined as equal to the sum of the number of parts in a system, N, plus the sum of the one-way interconnections between them, I. SCM = N + I. The SCM is easily determined by direct inspection of system block diagrams. Previous work found that life support system cost was directly proportional to SCM and that failure rate increased faster than SCM squared. SCM can be used to compare systems or to guide their redesign to reduce cost and failure rate. Carbon dioxide removal systems will be analyzed using SCM, cost, and failure rate.

Harry W Jones↗

Autonomy Metrics

The results of a survey applying these metrics to historic missions and planned future missions are charted, showing rather startling differences between autonomy achieved by missions that have already flown vs. autonomy predicted by some missions that have yet to fly.

spacecraft↗

PCB Quality Metrics that Drive Reliability

Risk-based technology infusion is a deliberate and systematic process that defines the analysis and communication methodology by which new technology is applied and integrated into existing and new designs, identifies technology development needs based on trends analysis and facilitates the identification of shortfalls against performance objectives. This presentation at IPC Works Asia Aerospace 2021 Events provides the audience a snapshot of quality variations in printed-wiring-board quality, as assessed, using experiences in processing and risk analysis of PWB structural integrity coupons. The presentation will focus on printed-wiring-board quality metrics used, the relative type and number of non-conformances observed and trend analysis using statistical methods. Trend analysis shows the top five non-conformances observed across PWB suppliers, the root cause(s) behind these non-conformance and suggestions of mitigation plans. The trends are then matched with the current state of the PWB supplier base and its challenges and opportunities. The presentation further discusses the risk-based SMA approaches and methods being applied at GSFC for evaluating candidate printed wiring board technologies that promote the adoption of higher throughput and faster processing technology for GSFC missions.

Printed circuit boards↗

Using the System Complexity Metric (SCM) to Compare CO2 Removal Systems

A fundamental cause of difficulty in large engineering projects is their inherent complexity. An impression of complexity occurs if a system is simply difficult to understand, where there is no obvious mental model that correctly predicts its behavior. Higher system complexity is usually associated with higher cost and higher failure rate. Complexity is perceived if a system has many diverse components, multiple interactions and feedback loops, transients and dynamic behavior, and unanticipated failure modes. Identifying and removing these signs of complexity should improve performance and reduce the cost and failure rate. Complexity can be directly measured by the number of components and their interactions. The System Complexity Metric (SCM) is defined as the sum of the number of parts in a system, N, plus the number of the one-way interconnections between them, I. SCM = N + I. The SCM is easily determined by direct inspection of the system block diagram. SCM can be used to compare systems and to guide their redesign to reduce cost and failure rate. Carbon dioxide removal systems are analyzed using SCM, cost, and failure rate. As in previous work, cost is directly proportional to SCM and that failure rate increases as a power of SCM for large differences in SCM. The SCM ranking of carbon dioxide removal systems is the same as their ranking in detailed analysis and practice.

Harry W. Jones↗

Using the System Complexity Metric (SCM) to Compare CO2 Reduction Systems

A fundamental cause of difficulty in large engineering projects is their inherent complexity. An impression of complexity occurs if a system is simply difficult to understand, where there is no obvious mental model that correctly predicts its behavior. Higher system complexity is usually associated with higher cost and higher failure rate. Complexity is perceived if a system has many diverse components, multiple interactions and feedback loops, transients and dynamic behavior, and unanticipated failure modes. Identifying and removing these signs of complexity should improve performance and reduce the cost and failure rate. Complexity can be directly measured by the number of components and their interactions. The System Complexity Metric (SCM) is defined as the sum of the number of parts in a system, N, plus the number of the one-way interconnections between them, I. SCM = N + I. The SCM is easily determined by direct inspection of the system block diagram. SCM can be used to compare systems and to guide their redesign to reduce cost and failure rate. Carbon dioxide reduction systems are analyzed using SCM, cost, and failure rate. As in previous work, cost is directly proportional to SCM and that failure rate increases as a power of SCM for large differences in SCM. The SCM ranking of carbon dioxide reduction systems is the same as their ranking in detailed analysis and practice.

Harry W. Jones↗

Using MCC Facility Metrics to Size, Inform, and Troubleshoot

The Mission Control Center (MCC) underwent a major architecture update that has been used for Mission Operations since 2016. The MCC Performance team has collected system performance and usage metrics to improve the configuration, troubleshoot incidents, and help size the system to accommodate future programs. The data is collected through MCC custom software and custom scripts to extract data from our Commercial Off The Shelf (COTS) tools. This data has enabled MCC to support more activities concurrently, help our operations and development teams to respond to issues more quickly, and make our directorate informed buyers to meet new requirements when developing project plans for the upcoming Fiscal Year.

Data Science↗

Forest Potential Productivity Mapping by Linking Remote-Sensing-Derived Metrics to Site Variables

A fine-resolution region-wide map of forest site productivity is an essential need for effective large-scale forestry planning and management. In this study, we incorporated Sentinel-2 satellite data into an increment-based measure of forest productivity (biomass growth index (BGI)) derived from climate, lithology, soils, and topographic metrics to map improved BGI (iBGI) in parts of North American Acadian regions. Initially, several Sentinel-2 variables including nine single spectral bands and 12 spectral vegetation indices (SVIs) were used in combination with forest management variables to predict tree volume/ha and height using Random Forest. The results showed a 10–12 % increase in out of bag (OOB) r2when Sentinel-2 variables were included in the prediction of both volume and height together with BGI. Later, selected Sentinel-2 variables were used for biomass growth prediction in Maine, USA and New Brunswick, Canada using data from 7738 provincial permanent sample plots. The Sentinel-2 red-edge position (S2REP) index was identified as the most important variable over others to have known influence on site productivity. While a slight improvement in the iBGI accuracy occurred compared to the base BGI model (~2%), substantial changes to coefficients of other variables were evident and some site variables became less important when S2REP was included.

site productivity↗

A Quantum Volume Metric for Qudit Quantum Computers

Qudit-based quantum computers, such as the high-Q superconducting radio frequency resonator cavities being pursued by the SQMS Center hosted at Fermilab, may provide computational advantages relative to qubit-based machines for some problems. However, the novel system’s hardware and software will present different errors that must be understood and mitigated, along with other unforeseen inefficiencies across the entire stack. It is essential to benchmark these qudit platforms against existing systems. We propose such a benchmark by generalizing the qubit-based quantum volume metric to qudit devices. In particular, we show that the performance depends on the available gateset used to compile unitary operations, as well as realistic noise sources.

Quantum Computing↗

Mobility Metrics Summary Report

Mobility Metrics Summary developed by Crown Consulting Inc. for the NASA Portfolio Analysis and Management Office from January 24, 2017.

George Price↗

Integration of Design Data Into Automated Fiber Placement Process Planning Metrics

With the ever-expanding aviation industry, a need is arising for more rapid production of composite aircraft to meet increasing demand. State-of-the-art aircraft such as the Boeing 787showcase 50% composite material usage by weight, highlighting this emerging industry-wide adoption of the material system. Currently, many of the large structures associated with these aircraft are manufactured additively via Automated Fiber Placement (AFP). The AFP process shows great potential for efficient manufacturing, however unavoidable defects still occur because of tool surface geometry, placement errors, or poor process planning, resulting in decreased quality and throughput. Due to such effects, it is critical to incorporate design for manufacturing (DFM) principles to achieve the optimal manufacturing plan and resulting structure. This work will develop a methodology for incorporating design information into process planning metrics in an automated fashion to achieve an optimal set of process inputs.The analysis incorporates HyperX, Computer Aided Process Planning (CAPP) and Vericut Composite Programming (VCP). Safety margins from HyperX are imported into CAPP where AFP defects are mapped to the values. The resulting margins are then incorporated into the CAPP manufacturability algorithms, creating a design informed process planning analysis

Automated Fiber Placement↗

Metrics for Anomalous Charging currents in Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Anomalous charging currents (ACC) in polymer tantalum capacitors may appear as a temporary short circuit that can last for dozens of milliseconds, cause failures to the parts, or cause malfunctions to fast operating electronic systems. Currently, there is no standard technique or set of metrics to evaluate the level of ACC which compares results obtained by different users and manufacturers. In this work, ACC in different types of capacitors were characterized by analysis of current transients during the constant voltage ramp or power surge testing (PST) techniques. It is shown that although the shape of transients may vary at different test conditions, the transfer charge and energy remain practically the same. The level of ACC is characterized by the energy dissipated in the part during PST. Variations of the dissipated energy with moisture content, test temperature, and voltage are evaluated. Effects of different reflow soldering conditions and long-term (up to 3000 hours) storage at 125 °C are discussed.

polymer tantalum capacitor↗

Benchmark Performance Metrics of a Vane Propellant Management Device for a 0.15 m3 Liquid Hydrogen Tank

The use of cryogenic propellants has and will continue to play an integral role in manned-space exploration due the high specific impulses offered and its ubiquity through in-situ resource utilization. But guaranteeing vapor-free transfer of such low-surface tension liquids is difficult for traditional capillary-action propellant management devices (PMDs). Screen-channel liquid acquisition devices and compliant origami bladders are potential solutions, but to quantify the benefits these technologies offer, this paper present a cast study analyzing the performance metrics of an orthodox vane PMD as a benchmark for comparison. A 0.15 m3 liquid hydrogen tank at 20.3 K and 103 kPa was selected for study. Then assuming no body forces and no heat transfer (for simplicity), a steady-state 1-D differential equation was numerically solved in tandem with four possible wetted area configurations to yield an expulsion efficiency for a theoretically maximum inputted expulsion flow rate. Maximization of the flow rate was constrained by the onset of choked flow. Additional inputs, including vane height and vane number, were parametrically varied between 0.1 – 10 cm and 4 – 28 vanes, respectively.

Liquid Acquisition Device↗

ATM-X Urban Air Mobility: Assistive Detect and Avoid for UAM Operations Safety Evaluation Metrics

This document satisfies ATM-X UAM Task UID 989 “Evaluation Report on Tactical Separation Provision Services with Advisory Detect and Avoid Safety Metrics”. The first version of this document was delivered to the UAM team on October 3, 2022, for initial revision and comments.This current version incorporates all the comments received and is being delivered to the UAM subproject for a final revision before is submitted to satisfy the L1 milestone deliverable.

UAM↗

Assessment of Segmentation-Induced Deviations of Porosity Metrics in Powder Bed Fusion Additively Manufactured Components

Post processing X-ray computational tomography (CT) inspection data for additively manufactured (AM) components can induce deviations in defect quantification, affecting subsequent fatigue and failure predictions. To assess the influence and potential impact of segmentation-induced measurement deviations, this paper applies several segmentation techniques to X-ray CT data for powder bed fusion Ti-6Al-4V specimens exhibiting porosity conditions. X-ray CT reconstructions were segmented with varying techniques including Otsu’s thresholding, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, and the multilayer perceptron. Metrics such as pore size and global porosity were compared for internal validity. Then, top-down X-ray CT measurements of surface-breaking porosity were compared to optical profilometry for cross-validation.

Data fusion↗

Setting the Bar for the Replacement of the Probability of Collision Metric

Recent research in satellite conjunction risk assessment has levelled a number of criticisms at the probability of collision (Pc) parameter as a durable statement of satellite collision likelihood, and a number of different alternatives to this calculation have been proposed. Many of these proposals, however, stop at the outlining of the theory and do not discuss the additional philosophical and practical issues that must be confronted in evaluating such proposals for adoption. The present work seeks to outline some of these philosophical and practical considerations, and therefore the kinds of analyses and profiling that will be needed before the Pc, which is at present nearly universally adopted in the conjunction risk mitigation community, can be replaced with a new (and superior) paradigm and associated metric.

conjunction assessment↗

Metrics on Predictive Probability of Collision Assessments Reliant on Object State Updates

The probability of collision (Pc) metric is the dominant method of risk charac-terization for evaluating satellite close approaches, and has become of particular interest following major debris production incidents. However, confidence in the use of Pc for actionability has been questioned due in part due to its non-intuitive and often significant corrections following messaging updates. This paper assesses predictively computed probabilities and confidence bounds on Pc values corresponding to orbit determination updates by comparing these predic-tive values to observed operational values. This paper also presents use cases for this methodology in assessing event actionability.

conjunction assessment↗

A Novel Additive Manufacturing Process Metric for Predicting Spatter-related Porosity in Laser Powder Bed Fusion

Components fabricated using the powder bed fusion laser beam metallic (PBF) additive manufacturing (AM) process comprise a multitude of sequential weld passes. Porosity defects resulting from weld pass inconsistencies are a concern for PBF materials and have a strong adverse effect on the mechanical properties. In an effort to understand and avoid spatter induced porosity, this work aims to provide a novel computational technique that can be used to quantify and predict the sequence-sensitive impact of spatter upon the PBF process stability and consequential porosity in as-printed material. A novel spatter impact AM model-based process metric (AM-PM) is introduced to model and quantify the impact that spatter has on the PBF process. The occurrence of spatter induced porosity is studied using thermal rise, lack of fusion, and spatter impact AM-PMs synchronized with porosity measured by high-resolution X-ray computed tomography. Six cylindrical specimens were designed to compare the AM-PM correlations with porosity across two different laser powers and three hatch scanning strategies. A point field based computational approach is shown to be effective for testing the influence of the different AM-PMs and interrogating the physical process conditions underlying the porosity formation. Further, characterization using optical metallography and scanning electron microscopy indicated that both keyhole and lack of fusion porosity correlated with the spatter impact AM-PM, which can be exploited to predict and control spatter related porosity by the hatch strategy. Efforts to predict porosity composition within PBF material should incorporate the PBF process disturbances that can result from spatter. The spatter impact AM-PM can be readily incorporated into the development of defect prediction models at the part scale.

Additive Manufacturing↗