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DECOVALEX-2023: Task F1 Final Report

DECOVALEX-2023 Task F is a comparison of models and methods for post-closure performance assessment (PA) of a deep geologic repository for radioactive waste. The general aims of Task F are to build confidence in the models, methods, and software used for PA and to stimulate additional research and development in PA methodologies. The task objectives are to motivate development of PA modelling skills and capabilities, to examine the influence of model choices on calculated repository performance, and to compare the uncertainties introduced by model choices to other sources of uncertainty. Task F involves no actual experiment or site. It is a PA modelling exercise that requires the conceptual development of hypothetical repository designs and geologic settings. Because three of the teams were interested in salt and the rest of the teams were interested in crystalline rock, Task F was split into two branches: Task F1 for crystalline rock and Task F2 for salt. This report is for Task F1, crystalline rock. Teams from seven countries (Canada, Czech Republic, Germany, Korea, Sweden, Taiwan, and United States) participated in Task F1. The teams worked together to define the features, events, and processes of the reference case repository and established a set of performance measures. In addition, they defined a set of benchmark problems designed to test and compare modelling capabilities for fracture flow and transport at different scales. The repository design and benchmark problems are documented in a Task Specification that evolved over time as the group honed the specifications. The benchmark problems verified that each team can aptly model flow and transport in fractured media in 1-, 2-, and 3-dimensions. Two general approaches were used for the 3-dimensional benchmarks: discrete fracture network (DFN) and equivalent continuous porous medium (ECPM). DFN modelling involves explicit meshing of each fracture while ECPM modelling aims to capture the effective porosity and directional permeability of each cell in a space-filling mesh as affected by intersecting fractures. In some models, a combination of the two is used, i.e., DFN for large known fractures and ECPM for the rest of the domain. Transport is solved by using either the advection-dispersion equation or particle tracking. Although some variation is observed among model breakthrough curves in the benchmark problems, there is strong agreement in breakthrough behaviour up to at least the 75 th percentile for all benchmarks. At the 90 th percentile, breakthrough results show larger differences, suggesting several models retain substantially higher fractions of tracer in regions of slower moving water. In addition to the flow and transport benchmarks, several teams completed the source term benchmark, verifying capabilities for modelling radionuclide decay and ingrowth, waste package breach, instant release fractions, fuel matrix degradation rates, and radionuclide solubility limitations. The reference case is conceptualized as a generic spent fuel repository at a depth of 450 m in fractured crystalline rock. The repository has 50 parallel backfilled drifts, each with 50 deposition holes 6 m apart. Each deposition hole contains a 4-PWR waste package and bentonite buffer. The rock domain is 5 km in length, 2 km in width, and 1 km in depth. It has 6 deterministic fractured deformation zones and a multitude of stochastic fractures. Teams generally used the ECPM approach for the entire rock or a hybrid approach in which the deterministic fracture zones are modelled with a DFN and the rest of the rock is modelled by ECPM. Of the reference case problems specified, only the results of the initial reference case problem are compared in this report. The initial problem focuses on transport from the deposition holes to the surface, i.e., it neglects waste package performance. Tracers are released at all waste package locations at time zero and tracked for their releases to the near field and ground surface. The water fluxes calculated at the ground surface entry and exit regions of the domain are similar for all models except for two that have considerably lower fluxes. For tracer transport, large differences are observed among models in the magnitude of tracer transported. Much of the difference appears to be due to how the repository is implemented and hence the different degrees of repository simplification. Models that exclude the drifts, buffer, and backfill from the domain tend to show greater release of tracers and radionuclides from the repository. The initial study presented here indicates that major differences in modelling important processes within the repository (e.g., diffusion through buffer and backfill) can produce broadly different release and transport results, especially when those processes are excluded. Even for the models that included all specified features, events, and processes, the results show significant differences and demonstrate the importance of examining multiple modelling approaches in performance assessment. The differences in results observed in this study are expected to motivate teams to either increase complexity in future versions of the reference case models or to improve methods to account for the effects of simplified features and processes. Either way, future improvements in these models are expected to produce results that more closely agree.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Evaluation of Timber Mountain Recharge and Groundwater Flow in Relation to Pahute Mesa-Oasis Valley Flow System

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of Timber Mountain recharge on groundwater flow in the surrounding Pahute Mesa-Oasis Valley groundwater basin using several different methodologies. These methodologies included examining climatic and soil moisture data, estimating groundwater recharge by chloride mass balance, interpreting water chemical and isotopic data, and modeling groundwater flow along faults.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sinuosity‐Driven Hyporheic Exchange: Hydrodynamics and Biogeochemical Potentials

Abstract Hydrologic exchange processes are critical for ecosystem services along river corridors. Meandering contributes to this exchange by driving channel water, solutes, and energy through the surrounding alluvium, a process called sinuosity‐driven hyporheic exchange. This exchange is embedded within and modulated by the regional groundwater flow (RGF), which compresses the hyporheic zone and potentially diminishes its overall impact. Quantifying the role of sinuosity‐driven hyporheic exchange at the reach‐to‐watershed scale requires a mechanistic understanding of the interplay between drivers (meander planform) and modulators (RGF) and its implications for biogeochemical transformations. Here, we use a 2D, vertically integrated numerical model for flow, transport, and reaction to analyze sinuosity‐driven hyporheic exchange systematically. Using this model, we propose a dimensionless framework to explore the role of meander planform and RGF in hydrodynamics and how they constrain nitrogen cycling. Our results highlight the importance of meander topology for water flow and age. We demonstrate how the meander neck induces a shielding effect that protects the hyporheic zone against RGF, imposing a physical constraint on biogeochemical transformations. Furthermore, we explore the conditions when a meander acts as a net nitrogen source or sink. This transition in the net biogeochemical potential is described by a handful of dimensionless physical and biogeochemical parameters that can be measured or constrained from literature and remote sensing. This work provides a new physically based model that quantifies sinuosity‐driven hyporheic exchange and biogeochemical reactions, a critical step toward their representation in water quality models and the design and assessment of river restoration strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A consistent and conservative volume distribution algorithm and its applications to multiphase flows using Phase-Field models

In the present study, the multiphase volume distribution problem, where there can be an arbitrary number of phases, is addressed using a consistent and conservative volume distribution algorithm. The proposed algorithm satisfies the summation constraint, the conservation constraint, and the consistency of reduction. The first application of the volume distribution algorithm is to determine the Lagrange multipliers in multiphase Phase-Field models that enforce the mass conservation, and a multiphase conservative Allen-Cahn model that satisfies the consistency of reduction is developed. A corresponding consistent and conservative numerical scheme is developed for the model. The multiphase conservative Allen-Cahn model has a better ability than the multiphase Cahn-Hilliard model to preserve under-resolved structures. The second application is to develop a numerical procedure, called the boundedness mapping, to map the order parameters, obtained numerically from a multiphase model, into their physical interval, and at the same time to preserve the physical properties of the order parameters. Along with the consistent and conservative schemes for the multiphase Phase-Field models, the numerical solutions of the order parameters are reduction consistent, conservative, and bounded, which are theoretically analyzed and numerically validated. Then, the multiphase Phase-Field models are coupled with the momentum equation by satisfying the consistency of mass conservation and the consistency of mass and momentum transport, thanks to the consistent formulation. Finally, it is demonstrated that the proposed model and scheme converge to the sharp-interface solution and are capable of capturing the complicated multiphase dynamics even when there is a large density and/or viscosity ratio.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A consistent and conservative model and its scheme for N -phase- M -component incompressible flows

Here, we propose a consistent and conservative model for multiphase and multicomponent incompressible flows, where there can be arbitrary numbers of phases and components. Each phase has a background fluid called the pure phase, each pair of phases is immiscible, and components are dissolvable in some specific phases. The model is developed based on the multiphase Phase-Field model including the contact angle boundary condition, the diffuse domain approach, and the analyses on the proposed consistency conditions for multiphase and multicomponent flows. The model conserves the mass of individual pure phases, the amount of each component in its dissolvable region, and thus the mass of the fluid mixture, and the momentum of the flow. It ensures that no fictitious phases or components can be generated and that the summation of the volume fractions from the Phase-Field model is unity everywhere so that there is no local void or overfilling. It satisfies a physical energy law and it is Galilean invariant. A corresponding numerical scheme is developed for the proposed model, whose formal accuracy is 2nd-order in both time and space. It is shown to be consistent and conservative and its solution is demonstrated to preserve the Galilean invariance and energy law. Numerical tests indicate that the proposed model and scheme are effective and robust to study various challenging multiphase and multicomponent flows.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Analysis of a new multispecies tumor growth model coupling 3D phase-fields with a 1D vascular network

In this study, we present and analyze a mathematical model for tumor growth incorporating ECM erosion, interstitial flow, and the effect of vascular flow and nutrient transport. The model is of phase-field or diffused-interface type in which multiple phases of cell species and other constituents are separated by smooth evolving interfaces. The model involves a mesoscale version of Darcy’s law to capture the flow mechanism in the tissue matrix. Modeling flow and transport processes in the vasculature supplying the healthy and cancerous tissue, one-dimensional (1D) equations are considered. Since the models governing the transport and flow processes are defined together with cell species models on a three-dimensional (3D) domain, we obtain a 3D–1D coupled model.

3D–1D coupled blood flow models↗

Verification of a quasi-linear model for gyrokinetic turbulent transport

The verification and calibration of a new quasi-linear transport model with a large database of gyrokinetic turbulence simulations is presented in this paper. In a previous paper (Staebler et al 2020 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 63 015013), a model for the saturated spectrum of electric potential fluctuations was developed based on the properties of the non-linear 3D spectrum. In this paper, a modification to the overall multiplicative factor in this model is found to be necessary to improve the fit to scans of the temperature and density gradients. The error in the fit of the quasi-linear fluxes of electron and ion energy fluxes is significantly better than for previous saturation models. The spectral shift model for the impact of equilibrium E × B velocity shear (Staebler et al 2013 Phys. Rev. Lett. 110 055003) and the zonal flow mixing model for electron-scale turbulence (Staebler et al 2016 Phys. Plasmas 23 062518) are both revised to be compatible with this new model. Furthermore, the models for the loss of bounce averaging and electron collisions in the TGLF reduced linear equations (Staebler et al 2005 Phys. Plasmas 12 102508) are also changed to improve the linear eigenmodes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Deep learning closure models for large-eddy simulation of flows around bluff bodies

Near-wall flow simulation remains a central challenge in aerodynamics modelling: Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes predictions of separated flows are often inaccurate, and large-eddy simulation (LES) can require prohibitively small near-wall mesh sizes. A deep learning (DL) closure model for LES is developed by introducing untrained neural networks into the governing equations and training in situ for incompressible flows around rectangular prisms at moderate Reynolds numbers. The DL-LES models are trained using adjoint partial differential equation (PDE) optimization methods to match, as closely as possible, direct numerical simulation (DNS) data. They are then evaluated out-of-sample – for aspect ratios, Reynolds numbers and bluff-body geometries not included in the training data – and compared with standard LES models. The DL-LES models outperform these models and are able to achieve accurate LES predictions on a relatively coarse mesh (downsampled from the DNS mesh by factors of four or eight in each Cartesian direction). We study the accuracy of the DL-LES model for predicting the drag coefficient, near-wall and far-field mean flow, and resolved Reynolds stress. A crucial challenge is that the LES quantities of interest are the steady-state flow statistics; for example, a time-averaged velocity component $\langle {u}_i\rangle (x) = \lim _{t \rightarrow \infty } ({1}/{t}) \int _0^t u_i(s,x)\, {\rm d}s$ . Calculating the steady-state flow statistics therefore requires simulating the DL-LES equations over a large number of flow times through the domain. It is a non-trivial question whether an unsteady PDE model with a functional form defined by a deep neural network can remain stable and accurate on $t \in [0, \infty )$ , especially when trained over comparatively short time intervals. Our results demonstrate that the DL-LES models are accurate and stable over long time horizons, which enables the estimation of the steady-state mean velocity, fluctuations and drag coefficient of turbulent flows around bluff bodies relevant to aerodynamics applications.

Mechanics↗

Predicting Anaerobic Membrane Bioreactor Performance Using Flow-Cytometry-Derived High and Low Nucleic Acid Content Cells

Having a tool to monitor the microbial abundances rapidly and to utilize the data to predict the reactor performance would facilitate the operation of an anaerobic membrane bioreactor (AnMBR). This study aims to achieve the aforementioned scenario by developing a linear regression model that incorporates a time-lagging mode. The model uses low nucleic acid (LNA) cell numbers and the ratio of high nucleic acid (HNA) to LNA cells as an input data set. First, the model was trained using data sets obtained from a 35 L pilot-scale AnMBR. The model was able to predict the chemical oxygen demand (COD) removal efficiency and methane production 3.5 days in advance. Subsequent validation of the model using flow cytometry (FCM)-derived data (at time t – 3.5 days) obtained from another biologically independent reactor did not exhibit any substantial difference between predicted and actual measurements of reactor performance at time t. Further cell sorting, 16S rRNA gene sequencing, and correlation analysis partly attributed this accurate prediction to HNA genera (e.g., Anaerovibrio and unclassified Bacteroidales) and LNA genera (e.g., Achromobacter, Ochrobactrum, and unclassified Anaerolineae). In summary, our findings suggest that HNA and LNA cell routine enumeration, along with the trained model, can derive a fast approach to predict the AnMBR performance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Two-dimensional turbulence in a massless fluid with a relativistic lattice Boltzmann model

We investigate a relativistic adaptation of the lattice Boltzmann method that reproduces the equations of motion for a turbulent, two-dimensional, massless hydrodynamic system. The classical lattice Boltzmann method and its extension to relativistic fluid dynamics are described. The numeric formulation is evaluated using a zero-averaged stirring force introduced into the numerics to induce turbulence, and the flow characteristics produced are compared to properties of a classical turbulent hydrodynamic flow. The model can reasonably be expected to offer quantitative simulations of electron fluid flows in graphene or Kagome lattices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Investigation of grid-based vorticity-velocity large eddy simulation off-body solvers for application to overset CFD

Accurately predicting unsteady wakes and vortex-dominated flows is essential to a wide range of engineering applications, including aircraft, rotorcraft, shipboard operations, bio-inspired unsteady flight and propulsion, wind turbines, and urban flows. While current CFD software can model the complete flow field and wake system, the computational costs incurred in high Reynolds number unsteady turbulent flow simulations often remain prohibitive for routine engineering use, particularly for applications involving moving components. Prior work has demonstrated that by adopting a vorticity-velocity formulation in a grid-based off-body flow solver (VorTran-M and VorTran-M2) one can lower these costs by several orders of magnitude when compared to conventional approaches. This paper describes the extensions made to VorTran-M2 to support turbulent flows, and associated benchmarking activity to assess its performance for problems involving strong stretching and diffusion processes, whose competing contributions to the vorticity field are core drivers of turbulent flow evolution. Predictions are presented for: (i) the Kida-Pelz problem whose inviscid form is of mathematical interest due to its apparent formation of singular flow in finite time; and (ii) the Taylor Green vortex arrangement, which has been extensively studied as a fundamental simulation challenge in the turbulent modeling community. Here, the results are used to evaluate the overall predictive ability and performance of two sub-grid scale models incorporated into VorTran-M2. Results indicate that the computational cost savings seen previously for inviscid and convection dominated problems extend to turbulent flow simulations supporting the viability of VorTran-M2 as a low cost means for accurately modeling the far-field and background flow, particularly when long duration vorticity evolution is of interest.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multiphysics Running-In Simulations for Pebble-Bed Reactors with Griffin

Griffin, a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)–based application targeting transient modeling of advanced reactors, has been used recently to model pebble-bed reactors (PBRs). The modeling effort has focused thus far on equilibrium core calculations. A new capability to simulate the running-in phase of PBR operation has been added to Griffin. This work demonstrates the new capability with a coupled multiphysics running-in simulation. Griffin computes power densities in the core at each time step of the running-in simulation and passes these to Pronghorn, which models fluid flow and heat transfer to calculate pebble surface temperatures. These surface temperatures are used along with the power densities in a heat conduction model to compute average fuel and moderator temperatures, which are passed back to Griffin and accounted for with temperature-dependent cross sections. This work also describes a novel methodology for determining appropriate pebble feed rates and control rod positioning during the running-in simulation. Furthermore, the RZ-geometry model used in this work requires minimal computational resources and can be used for optimization and uncertainty studies in future works.

Griffin↗

Comparison Study of Conventional and Adaptive Mesh Refinement in Organic Material Decomposition Models

This study compares conventional mesh refinement techniques, specifically Uniform Mesh Refinement (UMR), with a new Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) method, applied to Organic Material Decomposition (OMD) models. The proposed benefit of AMR is that only areas that require refinement, based on minimizing a specific field gradient, are refined thus decreasing model wall time compared to conventional UMR methods. This work specifically focuses on comparing UMR and AMR methods on decomposing (both No-Flow and Porous-Flow material models) Polymeric Methylene Diisocyanate (PMDI) polyurethane foam. Throughout the work, the geometry increased in complexity to assess the refinement methods performance at varying levels geometric intricacy. While AMR has been shown to work well in a variety of applications, the UMR approach proved to be computationally faster, for many of the geometries and foam decomposition models, than AMR. However, it was observed that at higher levels of refinement, greater than 3 UMR, AMR begins to be computationally better. Additionally, the settings used to perform AMR greatly impact its performance, and lessons learned, in terms of OMD models, are shared. Due to physics involved in material decomposition, specifically the evolution of state variables, these problems don’t fully benefit from the advantages of AMR.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Characterizing NWP Model Errors Using Doppler-Lidar Measurements of Recurrent Regional Diurnal Flows: Marine-Air Intrusions into the Columbia-River Basin

Ground-based Doppler-lidar instrumentation provides atmospheric wind data at dramatically improved accuracies and spatial/temporal resolutions. These capabilities have provided new insights into atmospheric flow phenomena, but they also should have a strong role in NWP model improvement. Insight into the nature of model errors can be gained by studying recurrent atmospheric flows, here a regional summertime diurnal sea breeze and subsequent marine-air intrusion into the arid interior of Oregon-Washington, where these winds are an important windenergy resource. These marine intrusions were sampled by three scanning Doppler lidars in the Columbia-River Basin as part of the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2), using data from summer 2016. Lidar time-height cross sections of wind speed identified eight days when the diurnal-flow cycle, (peak wind speeds at midnight, afternoon minima) was obvious and strong. Eight-day composite time-height cross sections of lidar wind speeds are used to validate those generated by the operational NCEP-HRRR model. HRRR simulated the diurnal wind cycle, but produced errors in the timing of onset and significant errors due to a premature nighttime demise of the intrusion flow, producing low-bias errors of 6 m s-1 . Day-to-day and in the composite, whenever a marine intrusion occurred, HRRR made these same errors. The errors occurred under a range of gradient wind conditions indicating that they resulted from the misrepresentation of physical processes within a limited region around the measurement locations. Because of their generation within a limited geographical area, field-measurement programs can be designed to find and address the sources of these NWP errors.

Banta, Robert M.↗

Quasilinear critical gradient model for Alfven eigenmode driven energetic particle transport with intermittency

Abstract A simplified quasilinear critical gradient model (QLCGM) for Alfven eigenmode (AE) driven energetic particle (EP) transport is used to treat the intermittency (burstiness) of the transport. Here intermittency is defined as the ratio of the root mean square deviation from mean flow to the mean flow. The model posits that the intermittency results from the micro-turbulent noise induced in the thermal plasma damping rate for the AE. The model is embedded in a time-dependent EP density transport code to generate the transport-flow time traces from typical critical gradient and slowing down density profiles. The QLCGM appears to be in reasonable agreement with the level and characteristics of the intermittency observed in the DIII-D fast particle loss detector flow time traces: high kurtosis [ O (40)] of the burstiness with the intermittency O (1–2) increasing with the level of mean flow.

Physics↗

Benchmark of interfacial area concentration approaches for the two-fluid model in gas-dispersed condensing flow

Accurate predictions of interfacial area concentration (IAC) are required for closure of the condensation phase change term. The interfacial area transport equation (IATE) can dynamically predict interfacial area concentration and is increasingly being used in the benchmarking of phase change flows over static based correlations which require a flow regime map. For higher flow regimes, the two-group two-fluid IATE model can separately model the transport of spherical bubbles and cap/slug bubbles. Recently, a modified formulation of the one-group and two-group two-fluid model with interfacial area transport equation was proposed for gas-dispersed condensing flows. Three datasets have been used for validation consisting of condensing two-phase flow data in the unheated section of a vertical annulus with conditions spanning a range of pressures, inlet subcoolings and mass fluxes for benchmarking the various IAC approaches. For bubbly flows, the coupled void transport - IATE simulation results in good agreement in the predictions of the void fraction and the interfacial area concentration under nearly all sixty conditions. Considering the proposed two-group two-fluid IATE model formulation, the group-2 Nusselt number correlation is investigated to account for the appropriate heat transfer length scale for group-2 bubbles. Validation of the proposed two-group two-fluid model against the new dataset shows good agreement with experimental data with significant improvement over the one-group IATE model for conditions with substantial group-2 void fraction throughout the simulation domain.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Distributionally Robust Bilevel Optimization Model for Distribution Network With Demand Response Under Uncertain Renewables Using Wasserstein Metrics

Here, we consider a distribution network integrating demand response (DR) participants in the presence of uncertain renewable suppliers and outdoor temperatures. A bilevel optimization model is proposed to capture the intricate dynamics between price-incentivized DR participants and distribution system operations, including energy procurement and active/reactive power flows. The model is formulated as a distributional robust bilevel optimization using Wasserstein metrics. We show favorable data-driven properties including out-of-sample guarantee and asymptotic consistency. Furthermore, we present a tractable mixed-integer linear programming reformulation and characterize the worst-case distribution. Computational experiments are conducted on a modified 33-bus system. Our findings underscore the efficacy of the pricing strategies derived from the proposed bilevel optimization model. These strategies not only effectively manage DR participants' behavior but also bring equity considerations among households with various characteristics to light. The results contribute to a deeper understanding of the interplay between distribution system operators and DR participants.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

3D Convective Urca Process in a Simmering White Dwarf

Abstract A proposed setting for thermonuclear (Type Ia) supernovae is a white dwarf that has gained mass from a companion to the point of carbon ignition in the core. In the early stages of carbon burning, called the simmering phase, energy released by the reactions in the core drive the formation and growth of a core convection zone. One aspect of this phase is the convective Urca process, a linking of weak nuclear reactions to convection, which may alter the composition and structure of the white dwarf. The convective Urca process is not well understood and requires 3D fluid simulations to properly model the turbulent convection, an inherently 3D process. Because the neutron excess of the fluid both sets and is set by the extent of the convection zone, the realistic steady state can only be determined in simulations with real 3D mixing processes. Additionally, the convection is relatively slow (Mach number less than 0.005) and thus a low Mach number method is needed to model the flow over many convective turnovers. Using the MAESTROeX low Mach number hydrodynamic software, we present the first full-star 3D simulations of the A = 23 convective Urca process, spanning hundreds of convective turnover times. Our findings on the extent of mixing across the Urca shell, the characteristic velocities of the flow, the energy-loss rates due to neutrino emission, and the structure of the convective boundary can be used to inform 1D stellar models that track the longer-timescale evolution.

Boyd, Brendan (ORCID:0000000254199751)↗