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At least 685 records · Page 38

Future Climate Change Significantly Alters Interannual Wheat Yield Variability Over Half of Harvested Areas

Climate change affects the spatial and temporal distribution of crop yields, which can critically impair food security across scales. A number of previous studies have assessed the impact of climate change on mean crop yield and future food availability, but much less is known about potential future changes in interannual yield variability. Here, we evaluate future changes in relative interannual global wheat yield variability (the coefficient of variation (CV)) at 0.25° spatial resolution for two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). A multi-model ensemble of crop model emulators based on global process-based models is used to evaluate responses to changes in temperature, precipitation, and CO2. The results indicate that over 60% of harvested areas could experience significant changes in interannual yield variability under a high-emission scenario by the end of the 21st century (2066–2095). About 31% and 44% of harvested areas are projected to undergo significant reductions of relative yield variability under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. In turn, wheat yield is projected to become more unstable across 23% (RCP4.5) and 18% (RCP8.5) of global harvested areas—mostly in hot or low fertilizer input regions, including some of the major breadbasket countries. The major driver of increasing yield CV change is the increase in yield standard deviation, whereas declining yield CV is mostly caused by stronger increases in mean yield than in the standard deviation. Changes in temperature are the dominant cause of change in wheat yield CVs, having a greater influence than changes in precipitation in 53% and 72% of global harvested areas by the end of the century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. This research highlights the potential challenges posed by increased yield variability and the need for tailored regional adaptation strategies.

Climate change↗

A generalizable machine learning approach to predict land surface temperature

Monitoring of land surface and atmospheric states is highly reliant on satellite data. Traditionally, data products are generated using carefully tuned and validated algorithms for low-earth orbit (LEO) sensors. However, the emerging constellation of geostationary (GEO) sensors contributes global, high temporal resolution observations which can better capture the diurnal variability of key observables like land surface temperature (LST). Using high performance computing and datasets from the NASA Earth Exchange, we exploit co-located, co-temporal observations from LEO and GEO satellites to develop a deep learning-based method for sensor-to-sensor algorithm emulation. Our model is trained on GOES-16 thermal bands to predict MODIS Terra LST and achieves a validation error <2K. Further, application of the model to unseen times of day and a second GEO sensor observing an unseen spatial domain demonstrate the generalization of the deep learning model across space, time and spectra. We anticipate that the synergies between a variety of active orbit configurations can be used to accelerate application of existing algorithms to new datasets.

Kate Marie Duffy↗

Modeling and Simulation Efforts to Support Improved Comfort in ARGOS

BACKGROUND: The Active Response Gravity Offload System (ARGOS) provides an analog environment for extravehicular activity (EVA) testing and training. Discomfort has been observed during longer suited test sessions. While the subject’s core is offloaded during surface EVA evaluations, his/her arms experience full Earth gravity and can become overly fatigued, especially during suited tests which involve reaching and prolonged arm extensions. A device (ARGOS Negation of Gravitational Effects on the Limbs: ANGEL) to offload the weight of the arms and suit sleeves is being developed by JSC’s Flight Systems Branch, and here we present preliminary modeling of that device using the open-source biomechanical tool OpenSim [1,2] with an in-house developed plugin. We analyze a series of motions performed by a single shirt-sleeved subject with goals of characterizing the device, validating the model, and predicting whether reduced gravity conditions (i.e., lunar gravity (Lg) or Martian gravity (Mg)) can be accurately simulated with the device, as well as providing comfort to the ARGOS user. METHODS AND RESULTS: To model the offload device, we augment the OpenSim human model topology with the offload mechanism components and joints, using CAD models to represent the mechanism graphically. The joint angles of the device are either obtained from (1) inverse kinematics (IK) using motion capture markers on the various components of the device or (2) calculated in the OpenSim plugin by modeling how the components configure themselves under the offloading spring tension given a particular IK-derived arm position. Given the joint angles of the device, the resulting force on the arm is computed by the plugin and applied as an external load in inverse dynamics (ID) in order to enable study of overall shoulder joint torques as well as offload achieved. We verify the calculated joint angles by using the inverse kinematic data and the forces from manual measurements of the spring both independently and integrated within the device. We found that calculated joint angles generally represent the angles measured and computed with IK, supporting a possible analysis workflow inputting human motion data and observing system behavior under varied design parameters. In two different device configurations in which the maximum applied force was 131 N, our current model accurately captured force with a difference of 2-3 N from measured loads. Though our initial test was performed with a shirt-sleeve subject, arm weights were added to emulate the weight of the suit sleeve and the subject was positioned in a test stand with a Mark-III Hard Upper Torso (HUT) and Portable Life Support System (PLSS) mockup. Arm range of motion tasks were performed outside of the HUT, inside the HUT, and inside the HUT while using the device. A variety of other upper body tasks were completed as well. In summary, we have developed a model to investigate and verify an upper limb offload device currently in development. We believe this model will be a valuable tool not only for device characterization but also to predict proper configurations to simulate Lg or Mg conditions, investigate range of motion concerns, predict limitations such as internal collisions and contacts, and inform future design improvements.

L B Nilsson↗

Development of a Terrain Mapping/Crater Evolution Measurement using Diffractive Optical Elements

When landing on the moon, understanding the interaction of the engine exhaust plume with the lunar surface is critical for the success of the descent and landing flight phases. Two evaluation tools currently used are computational simulations and ground test measurements. Computational simulations require experimental measurements for comparison/validation, but ground test measurements cannot accurately emulate all aspects of an actual lunar landing; flight tests remain the only method of obtaining fully representative data. A terrain mapping/crater evolution measurement system was developed for potential inclusion on a future lander mission. This system uses two stereo cameras viewing a laser dot grid pattern projected on the ground, where the grid is created by shining a laser through one or two diffractive optical elements. CAD simulations of the stereo imaging system are first used to validate the proposed design. Laboratory testing of the system using both a large-scale fixed-geometry crater and a small-scale evolving-geometry crater validate the use of the system for terrain mapping measurements, and for its potential inclusion on a future lander mission.

Joshua M Weisberger↗

NOR Flash Memory Scrubbing Application for Boot File Preservation of NASA’s Descent and Landing Computer (DLC)

Progress on NASA’s Safe and Precise Landing Integrated Capabilities Evolution (SPLICE)project continues, specifically with this development of the Descent and Landing Computer(DLC). One of the DLC’s primary contributions as a SPLICE technology is its implementationof algorithms and operation of sensors to autonomously guide a spacecraft in performing moreprecise and safer landings on celestial bodies such as the Moon and Mars. The second iterationof the DLC is known as the Engineering Test Unit (ETU) and one of its desired functionalitiesis the ability to preserve the fidelity of the system’s boot file through the use of memoryscrubbing. The ETU has two primary boards, one for housing a Multi-Processor System ona Chip (MPSoC) and the other for housing a Xilinx Kintex Ultrascale FPGA3. To emulate amemory scrubbing function implemented on the ETU’s FPGA board, the design and testingof a software application was performed on a Xilinx KCU105 FPGA evaluation board. Thememory scrubbing application had to meet certain key criteria such as (1) properly utilize withthe flash memory’s Serial Peripheral Interface (SPI) to read, write, and erase flash memoryproperly, (2) be able to detect arbitrarily large or small amounts of bit-errors, (3) be able tocorrect all detected errors, and (4) perform memory scrubbing indefinitely and autonomously.A prototype implementation was constructed and tested, demonstrating successful detectionand correction of bit errors in multiple configurations. In the form of burst errors or singularbit flips, and in amounts of errors ranging from one to fifteen (per 256 Bytes), the applicationwas successful in preserving memory fidelity.

Radiation tolerant↗

Adaptive Data Screening for Multi-Angle Polarimetric Aerosol and Ocean Color Remote Sensing Accelerated by Automatic Differentiation

Remote sensing measurements from multi-angle polarimeters (MAPs) contain rich aerosol microphysical property information, and these sensors have been used to perform retrievals in optically complex atmosphere and ocean systems. Previous studies have concluded that, generally, five moderately separated viewing angles in each spectral band provide sufficient accuracy for aerosol property retrievals, with performance gradually saturating as angles are added above that threshold. The Hyper-Angular Rainbow Polarimeter (HARP) instruments provide high angular sampling with a total of 90-120 unique angles across four bands, a capability developed mainly for liquid cloud retrievals. In practice, not all view angles are optimal for aerosol retrievals due to impacts of clouds, sun glint, and other impediments. The many viewing angles of HARP can provide resilience to these effects, if the impacted views are screened from the dataset, as the remaining views may be sufficient for successful analysis. In this study, we discuss how the number of available viewing angles impacts aerosol and ocean color retrieval uncertainties, as applied to two versions of the HARP instrument. AirHARP is an airborne prototype that was deployed in the ACEPOL field campaign, while HARP2 is an instrument in development for the upcoming NASA Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem (PACE) mission. Based on synthetic data, we find that a total of 20-30 angles across all bands (i.e. five to eight viewing angles per band) are sufficient to achieve good retrieval performance. Following from this result, we develop an adaptive multi-angle polarimetric data screening (MAPDS) approach to evaluate data quality by comparing measurements with their best-fitted forward model. The FastMAPOL retrieval algorithm is used to retrieve scene geophysical values, by matching an efficient, deep learning-based, radiative transfer emulator to observations. The data screening method effectively identifies and removes viewing angles affected by thin cirrus clouds and other anomalies, improving retrieval performance. This was tested with AirHARP data, and we found agreement with the High Spectral Resolution Lidar-2 (HSRL-2) aerosol data. The data screening approach can be applied to modern satellite remote sensing missions, such as PACE, where a large amount of multi-angle, hyperspectral, polarimetric measurements will be collected.

multi-angle polarimeter↗

Astrophysics Milestones for Pulsar Timing Array Gravitational-wave Detection

The NANOGrav Collaboration reported strong Bayesian evidence for a common-spectrum stochastic process in its12.5 yr pulsar timing array data set, with median characteristic strain amplitude at periods of a year of A(yr) = 1.92(+0.75,-0.55) x 10^(-15). However, evidence for the quadrupolar Hellings & Downs interpulsar correlations, which are characteristic of gravitational-wave signals, was not yet significant. We emulate and extend the NANOGrav data set, injecting a wide range of stochastic gravitational-wave background(GWB)signals that encompass a variety of amplitudes and spectral shapes, and quantify three key milestones.(I)Given the amplitude measured in the 12.5 yr analysis and assuming this signal is a GWB, we expect to accumulate robust evidence of an interpulsar-correlated GWB signal with 15–17 yr of data, i.e., an additional 2–5 yr from the 12.5 yr data set.(II)At the initial detection, we expect a fractional uncertainty of 40% on the power-law strain spectrum slope, which is sufficient to distinguish a GWB of supermassive black hole binary origin from some models predicting more exotic origins.(III)Similarly, the measured GWB amplitude will have an uncertainty of 44% upon initial detection, allowing us to arbitrate between some population models of supermassive black hole binaries. In addition, power-law models are distinguishable from those having low-frequency spectral turnovers once 20 yr of data are reached. Even though our study is based on the NANOGrav data, we also derive relations that allow for a generalization to other pulsar timing array data sets. Most notably, by combining the data of individual arrays into the International Pulsar Timing Array, all of these milestones can be reached significantly earlier.

Nihan S. Pol↗

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted1 using ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using coordinated exploration of uncertainties arising from the various computer models involved. Two recent international projects generated a large suite of projections using multiple models2,3,4,5,6,7,8, but primarily used previous-generation scenarios9 and climate models10, and could not fully explore known uncertainties. Here we estimate probability distributions for these projections under the new scenarios11,12 using statistical emulation of the ice sheet and glacier models. We find that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius would halve the land ice contribution to twenty-first-century sea level rise, relative to current emissions pledges. The median decreases from 25 to 13 centimetres sea level equivalent (SLE) by 2100, with glaciers responsible for half the sea level contribution. The projected Antarctic contribution does not show a clear response to the emissions scenario, owing to uncertainties in the competing processes of increasing ice loss and snowfall accumulation in a warming climate. However, under risk-averse (pessimistic) assumptions, Antarctic ice loss could be five times higher, increasing the median land ice contribution to 42 centimetres SLE under current policies and pledges, with the 95th percentile projection exceeding half a metre even under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming. This would severely limit the possibility of mitigating future coastal flooding. Given this large range (between 13 centimetres SLE using the main projections under 1.5 degrees Celsius warming and 42 centimetres SLE using risk-averse projections under current pledges), adaptation planning for twenty-first-century sea level rise must account for a factor-of-three uncertainty in the land ice contribution until climate policies and the Antarctic response are further constrained.

Tamsin L. Edwards↗

Insertion Loss of a Multi-Plane Light Conversion Device with Few Mode Fiber Outputs Under Atmospheric Conditions

A key challenge of photon counting optical communication is delivering light with atmospherically distorted wavefronts from the telescope to detectors efficiently. When using fiber coupled single photon detectors, the efficiency of the transmittance is constrained by the modes supported by the fiber. The number of modes supported by a fiber depends on the size of the core. The larger the core, the more modes supported. However, commercial off the shelf superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs) are currently limited in area, which limits the core size of the fibers that can efficiently couple to the detectors. To increase the amount of light that can be delivered to the detectors, NASA Glenn Research Center is considering many different fiber/detector architectures. This paper compares insertion loss of the fiber device for two different architectures: • a multi-plane light conversion device to split the light from a 30 µm core diameter fiber into 7 separate, 15 µm core diameter few-mode fibers butt-coupled to 7 single-element SNSPDs, and • a 30 µm core diameter multimode fiber butt-coupled to a 16 multi-element, SNSPD array. The measured insertion loss for each fiber device under emulated atmospheric conditions with D/r0 between 2 and 30 is presented. The multi-plane light conversion device shows a consistent ~1 dB loss more than the multimode fiber. Also presented is the measured uneven power splitting of the multiplane light conversion device, especially at lower D/r0. How this uneven power splitting contributes to system loss called blocking loss is discussed.

Fiber↗

Insertion Loss of a Multi-Plane Light Conversion Device with Few Mode Fiber Outputs Under Atmospheric Conditions

A key challenge of photon counting optical communication is delivering light with atmospherically distorted wavefronts from the telescope to detectors efficiently. When using fiber coupled single photon detectors, the efficiency of the transmittance is constrained by the modes supported by the fiber. The number of modes supported by a fiber depends on the size of the core. The larger the core, the more modes supported. However, commercial off the shelf superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs) are currently limited in area, which limits the core size of the fibers that can efficiently couple to the detectors. To increase the amount of light that can be delivered to the detectors, NASA Glenn Research Center is considering many different fiber/detector architectures. This paper compares insertion loss of the fiber device for two different architectures: • a multi-plane light conversion device to split the light from a 30 µm core diameter fiber into 7 separate, 15 µm core diameter few-mode fibers butt-coupled to 7 single-element SNSPDs, • and a 30 µm core diameter multimode fiber butt-coupled to a 16 multi-element, SNSPD array. The measured insertion loss for each fiber device under emulated atmospheric conditions with D/r0 between 2 and 30 is presented. The multi-plane light conversion device shows a consistent ~1 dB loss more than the multimode fiber. Also presented is the measured uneven power splitting of the multiplane light conversion device, especially at lower D/r0. How this uneven power splitting contributes to system loss called blocking loss is discussed.

Multi-plane light conversion device↗

LEO Sensor to GEO Sensor Algorithm Transfer Models for Land Surface Temperature

Land surface temperature (LST) is a key climate observable used to detect changes in the Earth’s surface energy budget that influence carbon and water cycles. Land surface temperature exhibits strong diurnal variability, which geostationary satellites can observe at scale thanks to their temporal resolution. Due to anthropogenic climate and land use changes, the surface energy balance has been considerably modified and may be described by changes in diurnal temperature range and extremes. Using high performance computing and datasets from the NASA Earth Exchange, we exploit co-located, co-temporal observations from low-earth orbit (LEO) and geostationary (GEO) sensors to develop a deep learning-based method for LEO-to-GEO algorithm emulation. Our model is trained to predict MODIS Terra LST from GOES-16 thermal bands and achieves validation error <2K. Application of the model to unseen times of day (observed by MODIS Aqua) and a new GEO sensor (Himawari-8) observing an unseen spatial domain, demonstrate the generalization of the deep learning model across space, time and spectra. Communicating diurnal LST variability observed by geostationary satellites can have impacts in multiple disciplines, from understanding of snow, vegetation and soil dynamics, to recognizing trends in heat events relevant to human health.

Kate Marie Duffy↗

Osiris-Rex Post-Tag Observation Trajectory Design and Navigation Performance

NASA’s OSIRIS-REx spacecraft successfully collected a sample of asteroid regolith from the surface of near-Earth asteroid Bennu in October of 2020. Subsequent imaging of the sampler head showed material leaking from the collection mechanism, thus stowage of the sample precluded execution of any planned maneuvers in the following days. Optical navigation imaging also ceased in the days following sample collection. The desire to image the sample site to investigate the results of the spacecraft-to-surface interaction led to the Navigation team designing a trajectory to return to Bennu after several months in order to image the surface one final time. After several iterations a trajectory design was created that satisfied the numerous constraints that were levied in order to place utmost importance on the safety of the spacecraft and stowed sample, while also closely emulating previously obtained imaging conditions to provide a close comparison of site pre- and post-contact. Significant analysis was necessary in order to reliably reacquire the asteroid after several months without optical navigation imagery. The final design required five maneuvers to return the spacecraft to Bennu and perform a final flyby of the asteroid at a distance of 3.8 kilometers. Successful execution of the phase provided key insights regarding the performance of the sample collection activities and the subsurface composition of the asteroid.

Daniel R Wibben↗

Propulsive trajectory optimization to minimize surface contamination

MOTIVATION: We present an optimization technique for propulsive vehicles that autonomously minimizes contamination during surface approach and landing. In addition to short-range hoppers, the optimization technique is also fully applicable to traditional orbit-to-surface landers. This study addresses scenarios where surface alterations from propulsion events are counterproductive or hazardous to the mission objectives. This is of immediate interest for landers (whether human or robotic), that may rely on pristine soils collected in the immediate vicinity of landing sites to accomplish science investigations, mining, or ISRU surface operations. Such missions are averse to various surface-plume interactions such as thermal scoring, physical agitation, and contamination. The capability can be applied with minimal impact to the baseline mission concept. METHODS: Optimization algorithms have been developed to calculate descent trajectories and maneuvers, thrust magnitude, and attitude for various mission cases. These parameters are determined as an optimal solution when minimizing either fuel consumption, contamination deposited at the landing site, or some weighted combination of both. Among constraints imposed on the solution, we examined pitch rate, vertical takeoff and vertical landing (VTVL) requirements, size of the contamination zone, and minimum ground clearance during flight. This tool provides unique, non-intuitive solutions and can be a valuable resource for mission planners. RESULTS: A variety of agile trajectory solutions were obtained, each yielding different reductions in landing site contamination and corresponding to only modest increases in fuel consumption. Several optimal trajectories were obtained by varying the contamination weight in the fitness function. As expected, when the contamination weight is zero, the trajectory appears close to parabolic since the optimization scheme only attempts to minimize for fuel utilization, yielding essentially, the expected ballistic trajectory. Notably for contamination weights greater than zero, trajectory inflections are observed in the descent phase, which manifests as hovering or additional, mini “pseudo hops” before the final touchdown. A trajectory inflection is characterized by arresting the majority of the spacecraft vertical velocity component at a coordinate outside of the landing target, and without violating ground clearance constraints. FUTURE WORK: Our optimization technique is ready for laboratory or field demonstrations to validate the sophisticated maneuvering solutions obtained for fuel optimization and surface preservation. An appropriate testbed would validate the optimal guidance algorithms, the navigation system, and sensor suite by emulating vehicle flight in closed loop robotic tests. Critically, these algorithms could then be ported to flight software for implementation.

surface contamination↗

Towards a program of record of inland water quality: Exploiting present and heritage multispectral sensors for maximum information extraction

Degradation of Earth’s inland water resources due to anthropogenic perturbations and climate anomalies at both local and global scales continues to place human health at substantial risk. There is now a growing necessity to develop pragmatic approaches that allow timely and effective extrapolation of local processes, to spatially resolved global products, and to promote operational and sustainable resource policy management. This research exploits recent advancements in bio-optical modeling, cloud computing, and machine learning to enhance our capacity to leverage present and heritage satellite data. Recent research suggests that sensors with low spectral resolution, such as Sentinel 2 and Landsat missions, contain enough hidden spectral variation which can be exploited using data-driven approaches. The availability of three decades of archival imagery will open doors to discover global trends of eutrophication and increased cyanobacteria dominance and provide valuable insight to the development of predictive methodologies. Preliminary efforts in synthetic emulation of global natural inland waters will be discussed and contextualized against satellite radiometric measurement uncertainty, satellite data product uncertainties and causal signal ambiguity over the visible wavelength range, supported by high quality field and image data for selected inland aquatic sites. Insights on water quality estimation via data-driven machine learning models versus matrix inversions will be discussed, and how we can exploit spectral-spatial relationships in high spatial resolution data. A cross-sensor synergistic approach with detailed uncertainty analysis based on optical water types, will allow for unprecedented global snapshots of fine scale ecological dynamics of inland waters.

Inland↗

The Evolution of Team-X: 25 Years of Concurrent Engineering Design Experience

Established in 1995 in response to NASA’s “Faster, Better, Cheaper” era, Team-X was born from a need to perform rapid space mission design for principal investigator-led competed proposals. The success and sustainability of Team-X over the 25 years that have followed is directly attributable to the Team-X business model and its evolution over time. While dozens of organizations and institutions have emulated the Team-X design process, there are nuances to the Team-X business model that are unique to JPL, and explain why it is different than other concurrent design teams. One of the key components of a business model is the customer segments that are served. Team-X was founded to conduct the Pre-Phase A work necessary to formulate a portfolio of multiple planetary mission concepts, but has since expanded to include the capability to conduct studies for Earth science, astrophysics, and heliophysics missions as well as Human Exploration and Operations missions and space technology development. Team-X delivers value to its clients both in terms of speed and cost. Team-X has also added value by creating teams to enable the development of Instrument and SmallSat Concepts. Value has further been enhanced through a revision of its process for reviews and the addition of pre-design architecting capabilities. Other aspects of the Team-X infrastructure, in addition to study process, have enabled it to succeed for over a quarter century. From our most important resource, the people, our tools, especially for cost estimating, as well as our increasing capable IT infrastructure have contributed to our capability to meet the demands of our clients. The Team-X business model and its evolution over time, position it well for success in the decades to come.

Murphy, Jonathan↗

The Effect of Boundary Layer Character on Stochastic Rotor Blade Vortex Shedding Noise

This work illustrates the effect of a rotor blade’s boundary layer on the broadband LBL-VS self-noise emitted from an optimum hovering rotor through experimental and multi-fidelity computational studies. Blade surface roughness effects associated with different manufacturing techniques and the effect of adding a boundary layer trip were shown to decrease LBL-VS noise by upwards of 30 dB at the frequency of maximum emission with a slight penalty in aerodynamic performance when compared with smooth rotor blades. Low-fidelity 2-D viscous flow analysis verified the presence of laminar separation bubbles on the rotor blades which are responsible for LBL-VS noise. Three high-fidelity lattice-Boltzmann simulations were conducted with different wall-functions to predict the boundary layer character correspondent to their experimental counterpart and the resultant presence or absence of LBL-VS noise. Excellent aerodynamic and aeroacoustic agreement was seen between the lattice-Boltzmann simulations and the experimental data for the cases with surface roughness and the boundary layer trip, with the broadband noise results from the simulation with fully turbulent wall-functions diverging from the experimental results above 5 kHz. The transitional wall-function simulation which emulated the smooth experimental blades underpredicted thrust by 14% and broadband noise by a minimum of 10 dB with an accurately predicted broadband noise trend.

Christopher S Thurman↗

Flight Testing of In-Time Safety Assurance Technologies for UAS Operations

Ongoing research at NASA is driven by a strategic plan defined by the Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate and a vision for future In-Time Aviation Safety Management Systems (IASMS) as described by the National Academies. In both visions, system safety awareness and provision are expanded through increased access to relevant data; integrated analysis and predictive capabilities; improved real-time detection and alerting of domain-specific hazards; decision support, and in some cases, automated risk mitigation strategies. One primary research focus is to develop means by which more timely (i.e., “in-time”) actions may be taken to mitigate precursors, anomalies, or trends that are observed during operations. In this paper, we describe such means as a collection of Services, Functions, and Capabilities (SFCs) that are supported by an underlying information system. For example, an integrated risk assessment capability is envisioned that continuously monitors safety-related metrics and margins and recommends timely operational changes. Assessment functions and/or services can be based on data analytics and predictive models derived from heterogeneous data sets that span relevant indicator metrics and their time histories. Likewise, on-board functions can identify and reduce susceptibility to precursor conditions that have led (and can lead) to aircraft loss-of-control or out-of-control accidents. This paper summarizes development and testing of such an information system tailored to hazards anticipated for future highly autonomous flight missions near and over densely populated areas. Testing is accomplished via simulation and by using small, unmanned aircraft operating over a test range at NASA’s Langley Research Center. Flight plans and test scenarios are defined to emulate several use-cases, including package delivery; reconnaissance; fire management; and urban air taxi vertiport operations. Two test phases are summarized with Phase 1 occurring in (2019-2020) and Phase 2 ongoing (2021-present). Results focus on SFC performance, technology readiness level assessment, and requirements discovery/validation. Companion papers are cited throughout for additional details on the recent testing.

safety management↗

Development of a Terrain Mapping/Crater Evolution Measurement using Diffractive Optical Elements

When landing on the moon, understanding the interaction of the engine exhaust plume with the lunar surface is critical for the success of the descent and landing flight phases. Two evaluation tools currently used are computational simulations and ground test measurements. Computational simulations require experimental measurements for comparison/validation, but ground test measurements cannot accurately emulate all aspects of an actual lunar landing; flight tests remain the only method of obtaining fully representative data. A terrain mapping/crater evolution measurement system was developed for potential inclusion on a future lander mission. This system uses two stereo cameras viewing a laser dot grid pattern projected on the ground, where the grid is created by shining a laser through one or two diffractive optical elements. CAD simulations of the stereo imaging system are first used to validate the proposed design. Laboratory testing of the system using both a large-scale fixed-geometry crater and a small-scale evolving-geometry crater validate the use of the system for terrain mapping measurements. High-speed, front-illumination shadow particle tracking of particles ejected from the evolving geometry crater is also performed, demonstrating another diagnostic that can be used to further the understanding of plume-surface interactions.

Joshua M Weisberger↗