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At least 685 records · Page 38

Chemical Reactivity Through Adaptive Quantum Mechanics/Many-Body Representations: Theoretical Development, Software Implementation, and Applications (Final Report)

The main objective of this research project was the development and application of a new theoretical/computational framework to model chemical transformations and electronic excitations in fluid mixtures across different phases. Our theoretical/computational framework combines our data-driven many-body (DD-MB) potentials representing molecular interactions with adaptive schemes for modeling chemical reactions in solution. The combination of these two components resulted in an adaptive quantum mechanics/many-body (adQM/MB) method that largely suppresses discontinuities between QM and MM regions, which affect existing QM/MM methods, and thus provides an accurate representation of both quantum mechanical and environmental effects through a rigorous description of mutual polarization between QM and MM regions. The implementation of our DD-MB potentials and adQM/MB method in popular software enabled computer simulations of solvation phenomena, reactive processes, and electronic excitations in fluid mixtures with chemical and spectroscopic accuracy, representing a major step toward realistic computer simulations of a wide range of molecular systems relevant to the DOE mission.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Population genomics provides insights into the genetic basis of adaptive evolution in the mushroom-forming fungus Lentinula edodes

Introduction: Mushroom-forming fungi comprise diverse species that develop complex multicellular structures. In cultivated species, both ecological adaptation and artificial selection have driven genome evolution. However, little is known about the connections among genotype, phenotype and adaptation in mushroom-forming fungi. Objectives: This study aimed to (1) uncover the population structure and demographic history of Lentinula edodes, (2) dissect the genetic basis of adaptive evolution in L. edodes, and (3) determine if genes related to fruiting body development are involved in adaptive evolution. Methods: We analyzed genomes and fruiting body-related traits (FBRTs) in 133 L. edodes strains and conducted RNA-seq analysis of fruiting body development in the YS69 strain. Combined methods of genomic scan for divergence, genome-wide association studies (GWAS), and RNA-seq were used to dissect the genetic basis of adaptive evolution. Results: We detected three distinct subgroups of L. edodes via single nucleotide polymorphisms, which showed robust phenotypic and temperature response differentiation and correlation with geographical distribution. Demographic history inference suggests that the subgroups diverged 36,871 generations ago. Moreover, L. edodes cultivars in China may have originated from the vicinity of Northeast China. A total of 942 genes were found to be related to genetic divergence by genomic scan, and 719 genes were identified to be candidates underlying FBRTs by GWAS. Integrating results of genomic scan and GWAS, 80 genes were detected to be related to phenotypic differentiation. A total of 364 genes related to fruiting body development were involved in genetic divergence and phenotypic differentiation. Conclusion: Adaptation to the local environment, especially temperature, triggered genetic divergence and phenotypic differentiation of L. edodes. A general model for genetic divergence and phenotypic differentiation during adaptive evolution in L. edodes, which involves in signal perception and transduction, transcriptional regulation, and fruiting body morphogenesis, was also integrated here.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Locally adaptive artificial viscosity strategies for Lagrangian hydrodynamics

To accurately model inviscid flow with shock waves using staggered-grid Lagrangian hydrodynamics, artificial viscosity is introduced to convert kinetic energy into internal energy, thereby providing a mechanism to generate the required entropy increase across shocks. In this paper, we propose a new method for constructing an adaptive, artificial viscosity in the context of one-dimensional, staggered-grid Lagrangian hydrodynamics. Our adaptive, artificial viscosity is defined in terms of two parameters that depend on density locally in a neighborhood around a shock, and hence, vary cell-by-cell. Our methodology is based on building a reference set of pre-computed optimal, globally constant artificial viscosity coefficients for a family of isolated shock test problems. For arbitrary flows, the evaluation of the unknown coefficients is automated by first estimating shock intensity locally, and second computing the corresponding adaptive parameter value via interpolation over the data from the pre-computed reference set of optimal, globally constant coefficient values. To illustrate the performance of our new approach, we compare our results against two existing methods. The first method is a limiter-based approach, which relies on estimating velocity gradients of the flow, and the second method is utilized in several commercial codes. Finally, we demonstrate that our new adaptive methodology produces more accurate results for a variety of tests with propagating shock waves, as well as for the aforementioned family of isolated shock problems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model

A shift in depth range enables marine organisms to adapt to marine heatwaves (MHWs). Subsurface MHWs could limit this pathway, yet their response to climate warming remains unclear. Here, using an eddy-resolving Earth system model forced under a high emission scenario, we project a robust global increase in subsurface MHWs driven by rising subsurface mean temperatures and enhanced temperature variability. Historically, maximum MHW intensity occurs around 100m depth, which shifts to the faster-warming surface under greenhouse warming. However, removing the long-term warming trend yields an increase in subsurface MHW intensity and annual days greater than that at the surface, especially in large marine ecosystem regions, primarily due to increased variability. Additionally, days of the surface and subsurface concurrent event increase ten times more than those of individual events. Our study highlights a heightened threat to marine organisms under global warming, as the increased subsurface heatwaves reduce their refuge options.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MINE: a new way to design genetics experiments for discovery

Abstract The Maximally Informative Next Experiment or MINE is a new experimental design approach for experiments, such as those in omics, in which the number of effects or parameters p greatly exceeds the number of samples n (p > n). Classical experimental design presumes n > p for inference about parameters and its application to p > n can lead to over-fitting. To overcome p > n, MINE is an ensemble method, which makes predictions about future experiments from an existing ensemble of models consistent with available data in order to select the most informative next experiment. Its advantages are in exploration of the data for new relationships with n < p and being able to integrate smaller and more tractable experiments to replace adaptively one large classic experiment as discoveries are made. Thus, using MINE is model-guided and adaptive over time in a large omics study. Here, MINE is illustrated in two distinct multiyear experiments, one involving genetic networks in Neurospora crassa and a second one involving a genome-wide association study in Sorghum bicolor as a comparison to classic experimental design in an agricultural setting.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Quantum mechanical model of crossing and anti-crossing points in 3D full-band Monte Carlo simulations

This work presents a 3D quantum mechanics based model to address the physics at band structure crossing/anti-crossing points in full band Monte Carlo (FBMC) simulations. The model solves the Krieger and Iafrate (KI) equations in real time using pre-computed coefficients at k-points spatially sampled within the first Brillouin zone. Solving the KI equations in real time makes this model applicable for all electric fields, which enables its use in FBMC device simulations. In this work, a two-level refinement scheme is used to aggressively sample regions in proximity to band crossings for accurate solutions to the KI equations and coarsely sample everywhere else to limit the number of k-points used. The presented sampling method is demonstrated on the band structure of silicon but is effective for the band structure of any semiconductor material. Next, the adaptation of the fully quantum KI model into the semi-classical FBMC method is discussed. Finally, FBMC simulations of hole transport in 4H silicon carbide with and without the KI model are performed. Results along different crystallographic directions for a wide range of electric fields are compared to previously published simulation and experimental values.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Security and Trust Metrics for Edge Computing

The present state of edge computing is an environment of different computing capabilities connected via a wide variety of communication paths. The energy grid is relying upon distributed energy devices connected at the edge of the internet. Consider the scenario where each edge device is customer-owned distributed energy resource (DER) that is connected via a trustworthy link to a grid service provider. Each DER keeps a local simple trust record of interactions. Information protection is provided by internet https standards, however, trust must be evaluated throughout operation. This paper presents a model for representing and evaluating trust in general and applied to the energy grid as a key example. Actors on the edge may interact with each other as well as with a central datacenter.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Adaptive Patching for High-resolution Image Segmentation with Transformers

Attention-based models are proliferating in the space of image analytics, including segmentation. The standard method of feeding images to transformer encoders is to divide the images into patches and then feed the patches to the model as a linear sequence of tokens. For high-resolution images, e.g. microscopic pathology images, the quadratic compute and memory cost prohibits the use of an attention-based model, if we are to use smaller patch sizes that are favorable in segmentation. The solution is to either use custom complex multi-resolution models or approximate attention schemes. We take inspiration from Adapative Mesh Refinement (AMR) methods in HPC by adaptively patching the images, as a pre-processing step, based on the image details to reduce the number of patches being fed to the model, by orders of magnitude. This method has a negligible overhead, and works seamlessly with any attention-based model, i.e. it is a pre-processing step that can be adopted by any attention-based model without friction. We demonstrate superior segmentation quality over SoTA segmentation models for realworld pathology datasets while gaining a geomean speedup of 6.9× for resolutions up to 64K2, on up to 2, 048 GPUs.

Zhang, Enzhi↗

The Separation and Hα Contrasts of Massive Accreting Planets in the Gaps of Transitional Disks: Predicted Hα Protoplanet Yields for Adaptive Optics Surveys

We present a massive accreting gap planet model that ensures large gaps in transitional disks are kept dust free by the scattering action of three coplanar quasi-circular planets in a 1:2:4 mean motion resonance (MMR). This model uses the constraint of the observed gap size, and the dust-free nature of the gap, to determine within ∼10% the possible orbits for three massive planets in an MMR. Calculated orbits are consistent with the observed orbits and Hα emission (the brightest line to observe these planets) for LkCa 15 b, PDS 70 b, and PDS 70 c within observational errors. Moreover, the model suggests that the scarcity of detected Hα planets is likely a selection effect of the current limitations of non-coronagraphic, low (<10%) Strehl, Hα imaging with adaptive optics (AO) systems used in past Hα surveys. We predict that as higher Strehl AO systems (with high-performance custom coronagraphs; like the 6.5 m Magellan Telescope MagAO-X system) are utilized at Hα, the number of detected gap planets will substantially increase by more than tenfold. For example, we show that >25 ± 5 new Hα “gap planets” are potentially discoverable by a survey of the best 19 transitional disks with MagAO-X. Detections of these accreting protoplanets will significantly improve our understanding of planet formation, planet growth and accretion, solar system architectures, and planet–disk interactions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DESS (Differential Equation System Solver) [SWR-24-48]

The Differential Equation System Solver (DESS) is a Rust crate implementing fixed-step and adaptive-step solvers and designed especially for modeling physical systems. Seven explicit ordinary differential equation (ODE) solver methods have been added so far: Euler’s, Heun’s, Midpoint, Ralston’s, Classic Runge-Kutta, Bogacki-Shampine, and Cash-Karp. These comprise five fixed-step methods and two adaptive-step methods. Few solver packages are implemented in the Rust ecosystem and none are intended specifically for physical system modeling, so the goal of DESS is to create a Rust ODE solver crate designed to easily specify and model physical systems with modular, configurable solver options. In addition to allowing users to directly input equations to solve, DESS allows users to optionally specify and define relationships between nodes in their system, which the package then translates into a system of equations via the Rust macro system, leading to simpler and more intuitive code.

Steuteville, Robin↗

MSD CoP Webinar: Modeling the Operations of Reservoir Systems with LLMs and Inverse Reinforcement Learning

Context: This panel featured three presentations centered on the common theme of applying LLMs and inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) to capture the complex human-environment interactions that are central to the operation of reservoir systems. Dr. Wyatt Arnold will kick off the webinar with a talk on how analyzing LLM chain-of-thought reasoning reveals sophisticated quantitative justification and risk awareness, showing promise as a bridge between quantitative models and value-driven water management decisions. Next, Dr. Matteo Giuliani will build on this with a discussion demonstrating that AI- and IRL-driven approaches can infer the trade-offs between flood control and water supply using historical observations. Finally, Dr. Rohan Singh Wilkho will close the webinar with a talk establishing IRL as a generalizable diagnostic tool for decoding decision-making in managed hydrologic and human-infrastructure systems. Across the three presentations, the application of LLMs and IRL opens new possibilities for the development of adaptive, transparent, and human-aware models supporting water management in an increasingly uncertain future. Presenters: Wyatt Arnold (Politecnico di Milano); Matteo Giuliani (Politecnico di Milano); Rohan Singh Wilkho (Cornell University) Moderator: Patrick M. Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team); Stefano Galelli (MSD CoP AI Working Group Co-Chair); David Gold (MSD CoP AI Working Group Co-Chair) This webinar was held on: June 23rd, 2026 from 12-1 PM EST.

Arnold, Wyatt [Politecnico di Milano]↗

Persistent Sampling: Enhancing the Efficiency of Sequential Monte Carlo

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers are powerful tools for Bayesian inference but suffer from high computational costs due to their reliance on large particle ensembles for accurate estimates. We introduce persistent sampling (PS), an extension of SMC that systematically retains and reuses particles from all prior iterations to construct a growing, weighted ensemble. By leveraging multiple importance sampling and resampling from a mixture of historical distributions, PS mitigates the need for excessively large particle counts, directly addressing key limitations of SMC such as particle impoverishment and mode collapse. Crucially, PS achieves this without additional likelihood evaluations-weights for persistent particles are computed using cached likelihood values. This framework not only yields more accurate posterior approximations but also produces marginal likelihood estimates with significantly lower variance, enhancing reliability in model comparison. Furthermore, the persistent ensemble enables efficient adaptation of transition kernels by leveraging a larger, decorrelated particle pool. Experiments on high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures, hierarchical models, and non-convex targets demonstrate that PS consistently outperforms standard SMC and related variants, including recycled and waste-free SMC, achieving substantial reductions in mean squared error for posterior expectations and evidence estimates, all at reduced computational cost. PS thus establishes itself as a robust, scalable, and efficient alternative for complex Bayesian inference tasks.

Karamanis, Minas↗

Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC 7.2) Presentation

This presentation will be for the graduate seminar class for the University of New Mexico. We will discuss the Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC) version 7.2, a critical tool in radiological consequence analysis within the nuclear safety domain. We will begin with an introduction to radiological consequence analysis and the importance of dose modeling in nuclear safety, referencing key regulatory frameworks such as DOE-STD-3009 and 10 CFR 20. The presentation will provide an overview of RSAC, including its history, primary functions, and the inputs and outputs involved in its calculations. A detailed examination of RSAC's atmospheric dispersion model, based on the Gaussian plume methodology, will be presented, highlighting how meteorological factors influence the results. We will discuss the regulatory alignment of RSAC with DOE and NRC guidelines, emphasizing the assumptions required for compliance and the balance between conservative and realistic inputs. The presentation will also address the limitations and assumptions inherent in RSAC, comparing it with other consequence analysis codes like MACCS, HotSpot, and RASCAL. An example RSAC run will be demonstrated, showcasing a hypothetical accident scenario and interpreting the resulting dose calculations. Finally, we will introduce new ideas to enhance the current RSAC framework. This future work aims to provide multi-industry adaptability and integration with new dispersion models, addressing the evolving needs of DOE and NRC. The presentation will conclude with a discussion on RSAC's ongoing role in nuclear safety and the opportunities for future innovation.

computer program↗

Domain-Adaptive Neural Posterior Estimation for Strong Gravitational Lens Analysis

Modeling strong gravitational lenses is prohibitively expensive for modern and next-generation cosmic survey data. Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based inference (SBI) approach, has been studied as an avenue for efficient analysis of strong lensing data. However, NPE has not been demonstrated to perform well on out-of-domain target data -- e.g., when trained on simulated data and then applied to real, observational data. In this work, we perform the first study of the efficacy of NPE in combination with unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA). The source domain is noiseless, and the target domain has noise mimicking modern cosmology surveys. We find that combining UDA and NPE improves the accuracy of the inference by 1-2 orders of magnitude and significantly improves the posterior coverage over an NPE model without UDA. We anticipate that this combination of approaches will help enable future applications of NPE models to real observational data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A superconfiguration calculation of opacity with consistent bound and continuum electron treatments using green’s functions

One of the challenges in calculating the opacity of dense plasmas is the difficulty in consistently modeling electrons bound to nuclei and those that exist within the continuum of free states in electronic structure models. We address this issue by adapting the green's function approach, originally developed for use in average atom calculations, to the determination of superconfiguration (SC) electronic structure. The spectra created using these SCs indicate that a consistent treatment of continuum electronic structure is important for phenomena involving electrons near ionization thresholds, such as the pressure ionization of bound states and the opacity due to transitions near bound-free edges. Though important for dense plasmas, the detailed incorporation of continuum electrons into structure calculations does not have significant impact on the recent discrepancies between the predicted and measured opacity of hot, dense iron (Bailey et al 2015 Nature517 56). Here we find that the inclusion of plasma effects through an ion-sphere model along with our treatment of continuum electronic states gives a description of pressure ionization in hot, dense aluminum that is in better agreement with experiment than methods that rely on perturbative descriptions of the plasma environment (Hoarty et al 2013 Phys. Rev. Lett.110 265003).

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

MELCOR Input Model for Spent Fuel Transportation and Storage Canister

This report documents the progress and current results of the MELCOR spent fuel cask input model. The MELCOR model is being developed to investigate aerosol transport and deposition given the aerosol physical phenomena models within MELCOR. To perform the analyses, a general portrayal of the MAGNASTOR® cask system has been employed; however, this system was selected based on available information to provide a reasonable representation of a spent fuel cask. The analytical results are not intended to characterize the performance of the MAGNASTOR® cask. Instead, the provided results are intended to enhance our general understanding of the aerosol behavior within casks and the validity of current models. The current model efforts are being performed to investigate hypothetical UO 2 release from failed fuel pins within a spent fuel cask. The existing MELCOR model of the MAGNASTOR® cask system has been adapted to permit future comparative analyses with the GOTHIC representation of the MAGNASTOR® cask. To support this comparison, the PNNL model characteristics that are unrelated to the aerosol modeling were applied to the MELCOR model. These characteristics included improved comparability of the axial fidelity, total spent fuel power, fuel pin axial power profile, and heat losses from cannister. The thermal-hydraulic solutions are improved within the capability of the MELCOR code and will permit better overall agreement with the GOTHIC results. Detailed results are presented on the thermal-hydraulic analysis of the MELCOR cask as well as characterization of UO 2 aerosol dispersion and deposition within the cask.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

An Improved Risk Priority Measure for the Management of Project Risk

Monte Carlo-based project risk models are essential tools in project risk management, particularly for large, complex projects in which it is difficult to glean intuitively the importance of individual risks to the overall project. Conventional correlation-based methods for measuring the importance of contributing risks in such models are argued here to be both statistically flawed and unintuitive in the importance metrics they produce. Drawing on and adapting methods more traditionally associated with engineering risk models, Risk Reduction Worth (RRW) is introduced as an importance measure. RRW is shown to be statistically robust and provide an easily interpretable, quantitative measure of the importance of a risk to the overall performance of a project; specifically, measuring the extent to which removal of a risk would improve confidence in project outcomes. To ensure practicality of the method, an approach is described in which RRWs can be produced for all contributing risks based on a single Monte Carlo sample. This is demonstrated through application to a large, complex project risk model from which intuitive risk importance insights provide a robust, transparent basis for the allocation of risk management resources.

Risk↗

Predicting climate change impacts on poikilotherms using physiologically guided species abundance models

Poikilothermic animals comprise most species on Earth and are especially sensitive to changes in environmental temperatures. Species conservation in a changing climate relies upon predictions of species responses to future conditions, yet predicting species responses to climate change when temperatures exceed the bounds of observed data is fraught with challenges. We present a physiologically guided abundance (PGA) model that combines observations of species abundance and environmental conditions with laboratory-derived data on the physiological response of poikilotherms to temperature to predict species geographical distributions and abundance in response to climate change. The model incorporates uncertainty in laboratory-derived thermal response curves and provides estimates of thermal habitat suitability and extinction probability based on site-specific conditions. We show that temperature-driven changes in distributions, local extinction, and abundance of cold, cool, and warm-adapted species vary substantially when physiological information is incorporated. Notably, cold-adapted species were predicted by the PGA model to be extirpated in 61% of locations that they currently inhabit, while extirpation was never predicted by a correlative niche model. Failure to account for species-specific physiological constraints could lead to unrealistic predictions under a warming climate, including underestimates of local extirpation for cold-adapted species near the edges of their climate niche space and overoptimistic predictions of warm-adapted species.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗